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tv   Street Signs  CNBC  July 20, 2020 4:00am-5:00am EDT

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s -athe last 12 have been. -well, thanks. it's been certainly a very eventful journey. so there you have it, our top 10 most outrageous rides. but stay tuned to this channel. you know, we're not done yet, and i think we're gonna have a lot more outrageous stuff in the future, so keep checkin' it out. good morning, everybody and welcome to street signs. these are your headlines >> european markets in the red and fail to deliver in bronchusel leaders remain at odds despite another all night round of negotiation. the gridlock in europe keeps gains in broader asia in check but chinese stocks out performed. the shanghai composite closing
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more than 3% higher. shares in astrazeneca hit a record high as the giant prepares to release positive news on the covid-19 vaccine and julius bar with a drop in assets under management but a record high net profit and stresses it is well prepared for a challenging second half. european leaders remain deadlock after a drawn out three day summit over the budget and recovery they will resume talks today over how to allocate the money and urging his colleagues to approve the recovery fund,
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italian prime minister pushed for unity emphasizing that the pandemic has effected the whole block. >> we're going through a stalemate. this looks like it's very complicated. more complicated than expected there's many issues we're discussing and we're not yet able to resolve and i have invited all eu leaders to converge to approve the next generation eu which is a plan for european recovery. over the weekend a lot of negative headlines around the stick point, the size of the fund, between grants and loans and now the all important governance question. this morning it seems like the tone is a little bit more positive what can you tell us where do we stand as we approach it at 4:00 p.m. today. >> right so one european official described the moment to me in a way that if the leaders wanted to get a deal then that will
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happen very quickly. if some of them want it we're not going to see a break through today. it's the fourth consecutive day. and reach an agreement over this recovery plan and neo eu budget and wise the negotiations would have by now and if indeed the european counsel went and makes a proposal today, this afternoon based on all the conversations he has had with the leaders over the weekend, if all the 27 governments agree with that proposal then we could see a break through shortly after
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that it's likely they'll have to come back in a few days time. let's take a look at some of the remarks. >> european counsel president, in seven years of experience, positions so dopposed in ways. there's three main points. the quality of money, a budget and aid package. >> so the biggest hurdle that emerged over the weekend is the division between france and loans out of the 750 billion euro recovery fund but i just wanted to bring the context of these talks into perspective here because it's actually the first time that the european union is going to -- is planning to tap the markets in such a
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large scale. we cannot forget that they are short their physical stimulus measures and then also the european central bank in the background there's a lot happening at the level. let's see how it will make it this afternoon >> is this really about money. 50 billion here or there or is it about power dynamics. bear in mind that this proposal ba based on one and it will come if the proposal is shutdown and what this could mean for the position of those two countries
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in the european union. >> it's about that but it's also about historical context and it's also about the different political dynamics in the various countries. so we cannot forget that we have 27 european leaders. they all have a different political background they all have different realities back home. now when i mention that one of the reasons why is again the large level of borrowing overall is the netherlands overall always had certain issues with the european commission for not applying the stability and growth class in their view to the full extent.
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>> the european commission is not going to sanction the countries so some people in the netherlands including the prime minister are in the opinion. and that's why there's a lot of debate right now about this governance of the recovery fund. so it's indeed not just about the money but also what's happening back home. >> we're just over an hour into the fresh trading session. we're coming off of another decent week for european stocks. the third week in a row that european stocks have advanced but this morning we've opened up on the back foot a flat start to trade but we have traded lower now.
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so a little bit of stabilization coming through but interesting to see that investors are cautious as we closely eye the brussels discussions and also await the data their trial data is due to be released in the medical journal later on today on their candidate vaccine but not enough to get investors excited at this stage. let's take a look at the individual markets the regional split this morning and what that looks like we have red across the board here the ftse 100 underperforming about 90 basis points. the dax is down about a third of a percent. and the ftse mib down .4%. a little bit more interesting action that we'll come to in just a moment but first let's take a look at sectors and what the split looks like for equi equities this morning. every single sector is trading lower. at the start of the session health care was in positive territory but even that sector
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now trading down below 10 basis points at the bottom, a very clear trend away from the cyclical sectors. taking the hardest hit down 1.4. we bounced off the absolute lows but still some selling pressures in the cyclical travel and leisure names and finally let's take a look at italian yields. interesting action in bond markets. as you can see there, we have yields lower across the curb we have yields falling to early march lows apparently as potential for this grows. we had positive commentary as silvia pointed out this morning but still big gaps to close when it comes to things in particular like governance and the make up of the funds between grants and loans. so still a number of open questions but the italian bond market is reacting already let's bring in steen jakobsen. great to have you on the show as always first up, what's your take on the eu summit discussions.
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will we get a deal agreed? >> of course we get a deal but first we have to go through the motions of delay, water down suggestions, nonreforms and then it's -- it's not good news in my opinion because it's still of course this time also added ingredients and long-term budget and it goes on but it will be an interesting afternoon to see what comes through but obviously we get a deal because that's the way it works with the eu. >> talk about, this will be just about what we're used to seeing in europe. what does the market want to see. in other words, what would be an acceptable or positive deal from a market perspective the current recovery package being discussed.
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390 billion euros in non-repayable grants was the market like this >> no but it doesn't matter. politically it's very interesting. pretty much any deal will do the works and the market of course is just looking for another pay out from government. another extension off the fiscal side of things and the nonreforms that comes with the way it's being constructed right now. think about it now 200% debt to gdp it doesn't really matter at the end of the day and they're never going to pay that money back and similarly now, 1,620% of gdp. for these countries it's a little bit like we lost all the money but we are still going to play at the casino.
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>>and the fact that it has now become the centerpiece of policy here in europe, is that what we should be thinking about this reko r recovery fund that it's not so much about the numbers today but the precedent that this set and what it means for european growth going forward. >> exactly right because the recovery fund claims to be temporary but i know from 30 years of doing this job, every time someone mentions the word temporary it's going to be a fixture and secondly, they want to be able to issue it
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themselves going forward and to be self-reliant but that means that taxes will go up and away from the national treasurers this is a make or break deal because there's in essence the eu commission using this deep, deep health care crisis to try to get through stuff that they have been trying to deal with for a long time. so the combination of the recovery fund and the fact that the eu commission is trying to get away with being able to raise not only through funding but also through taxes is a turning point in the history of the eu. italian yields are moving lower in today's summit. they're now working to see to some extent sharing when it comes to debt. >> as long as you have a
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non-functi non-functioning market it would be ideal because it plays in access so it's an effort for the treasurers and banks and asset liability managers like the pension fund so it would be very, very support i have but in terms of the economic background of this, it changes zero literally zero interest in the fundamentals because this is a grant pay out and what they're trying to avoid is to get an increa increase in debt to gdp.
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>> it's on a slippery slope. he wants to have a payroll tax cut that equates to $1 trillion foundational on the budget so i think that it's going on on the u.s. in terms of spending more even than the eu is doing and i think in terms of the sectors, i saw steve last segment was
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talking about the potential. we remain with the case europe cannot perform we're bettering in health care and transformation there's a high chance that we see the break. 50 basis point below that. >> it's fascinating. this call that seems to be gaining a bit of momentum now. from an economic point of view, it's a big week for pmi. we're going to get the flash numbers on friday. some are expecting europe to show a stronger improvement and it's had a clearer run of reopening. would you share that view. >> i will say immediately that i give zero credability to pmi all of these things are based on
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service that i don't really buy. in that sense, of course europe is continuing to opening up while the u.s. over the weekend has seen among other things los positively again. and the impact on the economy is also indicating that this should be in place and could do it over the next two or three months >> thank you for joining us. chief economist. >> i mentioned this before, i want to highlight the details. the release of phase one human trial data of coronavirus vaccine candidate is due for release later today. the data will cover the efficacy of the vaccine in producing antibiotics and killer t-cells in patients. they're trading higher this morning up about 1.2%. a record high earlier this
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morning. elsewhere in the health care space, gsk will take a 10% stake in the german biotech firm for 130 million pounds the first step toward collaborating on a novel candidate. >> you can follow us on twitter at street signs cnbc and you can tweet me directly. i always love to hear from you coming up on the show, more dismal data from japan the pandemic weighs on global demand for cars and other japanese products. brap ♪ ♪ now is the time to support the places you love. spend 10 dollars or more at a participating small business and get 5 dollars back,
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. welcome back to street signs. let's get into some of the keycorp rats in focus this morning. julius bar posted record first half earnings as revenue soared amid the pandemic. net profit rose 43% in 491 million franks but it's assets under management fell 6% compared to the end of last year jew they're sticking to the midterm targets despite the outbreak uncertainty. phillips expects to return to
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growth in the second half of the year that's after the giant posted a 6% drop in second quarter sales weighed down by the pandemic the company reported a nearly 30% increase in new orders for ventilators and other hospital equipment. in the auto space renault hosted a 34.9% decrease in lock down. >> japan's exports dive. it was not quite as bad as the one in may but the trading data for the world's third largest economy raises worries for a prolonged economic downturn. global demand for cars and other durable goods have plummeted since march. they have ordered lock down to protect their citizens from the pandemic >> where we left off in the
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asian session we have a lot of green on the board there for shanghai composite ended 3.1% higher. >> they also surged today after chinese state media reported that china's top security
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regulator would encourage m&as in the industry to create stronger players in the financial space. all of that really did help the markets take off again after the b benchmark saw the biggest fall in months. also despite the geo political tensions we're seeing, earlier this month it introduced the new sanctions regime aimed attack at tackling human rights abuses. they're responding to that yesterday. and they said that beijing would firmly respond to any attempt by the u.k. to sanction chinese officials. also defended the treatment of weaker muslims saying that every ethnic group in china is treated as equal and denies that there was concentration camps in the region but the british foreign secretary said that it's clear he had suffered human rights abuses in china and that the u.k. has raised this with the
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united nations to try to call out china over this but also hong kong and is expected to give an update on the next steps regarding hong kong and china later today. back to you. >> finance ministers and central bank governors make a final decision on the debt suspension program following the virtual summit over the weekend. the world bank president says the situation is becoming increasingly desperate for developing countries and urged nations to do more according to it, 42 countries so far requested to suspend $5.3 billion in debt repayment >> we spoke to the finance minister after the meeting what type of recovery he expects to see following the pandemic.
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but i am optimistic as always. i think at least in saudi arabia, see that after the let down and people are back and it's the cup and it's how things develop. and we're watching what is happening in the world at the end of the day, people's life. >> it's deeply concerning i think for a lot of people specifically in the region as investors. as you look at what's happening at the oil sector. how worried are you about the economies getting back on track. given the price today.
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>> even the worse oil prices and, you know, worst geopolitical separation and strongly i think this is going to be an exception. we are watching with something obviouslybut.
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>> we do actually talk about what is the price in our budget but generally we're hoping and i think that you'll see by then that we would manage our fiscal buffers. we have buffers with saudi arabia and sufficient constraint and we think that we would come out stronger >> the saudi finance minister speaking there with our colleague hadley campbell. coming up on street signs delivery hero is on the way to expand in 35 new markets with the quick delivery service we'll speak to the ceo after the break.
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>> shares hit a record high after the british pharma giant prepares to release positive news of the covid-19 vaccine and the who reports a record single day increase in global coronavirus cases but president trump once again insists covid will disappear. >> i will be right eventually. it's going to disappear and i'll be right do you know why it doesn't because i've been right probably more than anybody else
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>> let's get a check on european markets trading for about an hour and a half. we're coming off of three straight weeks of gains for european equities. can it outperform given the outbreak is largely under control. >> ftse 100 down about 1% and the dax is down .4%. french and italian markets coming under a bit of selling pressure we're all keeping our eyes peeled for the data expected to be published today in the medical journal.
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the set on the vaccine candidate that it's producing for the university of oxford developing the vaccine. so all eyes on the vaccine front later today. >> futures have been holding relatively steady throughout the morning. 170 points lower also poised from a weekly start and last week the nasdaq under performed the broader u.s. markets ending the week in negative territory for the first time in three weeks. that was in contrast to what we saw in broader u.s. markets.
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the rise in face coverings and businesses come as president trump doubled down on his vow now to implemented a national mandate. so companies taking matters into their own hands seeing more companies mandating the face coverings on their own accord. now it's aiming to deliver groceries as well as medicine and electronics and household goods to customers in less than an hour. they're planning to roll out the new service in 35 countries.
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this involves electronics, pharmaceuticals and a much the y prospect of this business compare to traditional food delivery and it's additional service to give to our customers. people love it and so do we.
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what is the real benefit of scale. >> and all of a sudden to 10 or 11 after deducting for delivery services and riders. we're charging a very small fee and we make one and now that means there's an enormous amount of scale or we have to drive prices and we need large scale and uber and many others think it. >> and one of the big questions i think when we look at this consolidation is is this a market where a reduction in the number of players will lead to greater profitability of the
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incumbent. what's your take are the deals, the process that we're seeing where the number of companies is becoming lower. is it going to lead to greater profitability if you're one of the players that can remain? >> you need a lot of scale >> it's more orders and you also drive higher logistic efficiencies meaning that the cost of delivering lower and in essence, yes, you can drive profitability. without scale it's going to be very, very hard long-term. i expect competition will be there. it's just a question of how large they will be. >> you're on the scale band wagon. what does that mean for you in terms of m&a i know that you said in the past
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if a good opportunity came up you would consider it. he will be rate for us what kind of deal would you be looking at, size and type? >> right so we mostly look at smaller systems that before it's very rare and we will do whatever it takes to win the market and then take on more battleground. we would rather invest that money into winning the market and go after it. >> you announced a blockbuster q-2 and obviously due to the crisis prompted people to order more meals how is it likely to compare.
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>> had a very tough april. but it also has more in europe where it took big losses but we did the right things. we put a lot of value to follow our principles and support a community and gained a lot in the market and that's now we see that there's more trust and more growth coming so i think that we're actually in q-2 in strength and q-3 has started very well. >> well that's good to hear for you guys i know that asia i believe is your largest market here but if you look at the way the virus struck the world on a sequential
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basis, asia the earliest hit and now we have seen them come out of lock down as you would expect sequentially in terms of order pattern and how your business has faired. >> so we saw asia in a very early stage taking a little bit of a downturn but then after that, just being a strong market and strong development there so that has continued and already before the crisis with i think 94% russia the same pace in q-2 with growth in this half of q-2 and then the beginning of q-3. asia, i think for us it was at the top of our service and and it came to europe, middle east and latin america.
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>> thank you so much for sharing your insight ceo of delivery hero >> it has sued the takeover target grand vision over information about it's coronavirus response the french italian eye wear maker says the company has not responded to its request for details on how it handled the pandemic it strongly disagrees with the demand and subsequent legal action >> the shares are soaring after it increased it's offer to buy a smaller rival and the new offer is 18% higher than the original bid announced in february and later rejected by the board as too low. it would now value the target at 4.2 billion euros. still ahead on street signs, the u.s. reports 10s of thousands of
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>> most were reported in the united states, india and russia. they once again saw a large surge in florida logging 10,000 new cases for the fifth day in a row. but u.s. president donald trump doubled down on his claim that the virus will quote disappear adding that the surge in cases will be brought under control. >> i mean, eventually i will be right, eventually. it's going to disappear. i'll say it again. it's going to disappear and i'll be right i don't think so do you know why because i've been right probably more than anybody else. >> president trump has refused
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to publicly commit to accepting the results of the upcoming presidential election. the president doubled down insisting he was not going to just say yes because quote mail in voting is going to rig the election >> let's flush out what is going on state side. you raise an interesting point, who is president trump's biggest opponent right now is it actually joe biden, the democratic presidential nominee or is it the virus what is your take? >> well, trump is trying to make a race about joe biden but to the large extent he is running against the coronavirus. if the u.s. doesn't turn the corner on covid-19 it's hard to see anything else the president is doing compensating for the failure. increasingly though trump seems to be ignoring the pandemic and his communications
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he hasn't held regular task force meetings and to the extent that he talks about covid-19 he largely describes an optimism about curbing the virus that doesn't really square with the pressing data we see being released by the cdc so i think this election will be a referendum on trump and the white house's failure to get covid-19 under that. >> but staunch supporters actually -- are they actually critical of his handling of the pandemic what's been remarkable about his support is how unrelenting it is his supporters that are very committ committed. are you seeing glimpses of his steady supporters looking ahead from president trump at this stage? >> he makes a habit and sometimes without evidence that he has internal numbers showing that he's doing much better than experts predict and of course a big part of that is his loyal
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base. >> that's certainly tempting to read into a poll like that but what we learned is that the polls were not always reliable many experts were surprised with president trump's victory and the polls certainly didn't capture this is there reason to believe that
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polls will be more accurate and more reliable this time around >> there's no doubt that trump is worried about the polls right now. it's premature to say that this race is over and if you did look at the last presidential election, the same average had hillary clinton up by 8% in august of 2016 that's even closer to that year's election than we are now in 2020. so these races often do have a tendency of tightening up. plus what matters isn't the popular vote but what occurs in a limited number of swing states so the white house should be nervous about the polling. clearly. but i don't think that biden has a slam dunk on this contest. >> professor in terms of the difference and importance of states one comes to mind and that is texas which writing an article about this, the political holy grail in the
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u.s., that was the way they framed it. and the data or polling has been interesting recently even a dallas morning news poll suggesting that mr. biden has a 5 point lead in the state. that would be pretty huge if biden actually took texas, wouldn't it? >> if biden took texas that might be game over and the fact that texas is even in play i think could embarrass donald trump but the fact that he's going to have to devote more resources to that is fewer resources than he is able to devote to other states that have been kind of traditional swing states so the fact that texas might actually be in play in 2020 i think is a considerable story.
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>> is it sustainable that he'll be able to maintain one stance when it comes to the health care crisis and another when it comes to the economy >> so it's certainly predicated on what happens in covid-19. it does remain buoyant but it's unlikely that we'll see a sharp v-shaped recovery by election day that trump is hoping for as these numbers surge now the congressional budget office estimated that unemployment within the year at 10.5%. that's about 7% higher than before the pandemic. jp morgan also predicted that
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gdp will shrink by 6.2% in the fourth quarter one reason and that's very bad news for the president that's generally received high marks on economic issues if not on some others. >> thank you for being with us hope to speak to you again before november. professor of political science at ucl the trump administration is seeking to block billions of dollars in coronavirus testing and tracing funds in the upcoming stimulus bill according to multiple reports. let's bring in our nbc colleague that joins us now live from washington d.c. with the latest. tracy. >> hi, good morning. so here's where we are.
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and just over a trillion dollars is compared to 3 trillion that democrats approved plus they want to focus on something different. they want to focus on lawsuit protection for businesses and even schools and government entities as a result of this virus. they are looking at giving money to schools and to help them recover from being closed for so long but president trump is saying unless there's a payroll tax cut built into this plan, he may veto. so we learned a couple of top republicans are headed over to the white house today to talk to him about how they might be able to work this out back to you. >> thank you so much
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now trading above the flat line after opening on the back foot the italian market just joining the mix and now trading 2 basis points higher. the dax now up .5% flat on the morning. ftse 100 still clawing it's way back and at one stage that index was down about 1% so at one point this morning, every single sector was trading in negative territory. now we have certainly changed the tune investors are closely eyeing any kind of commentary headlines coming out of brussels where we are all awaiting the resumption of talks later on today after marathon talks over the weekend yielded no agreement there's a picture for you now of the sectors. we have chemicals in front trading 60 basis points higher construction and materials,
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industrials real estate, health care and technology. health care started out the morning the best performing basket of stocks in the index and then it turned negative and now positive territory again and astra zeneca has been a key out performer. a record high this morning all eyes are on the astra zeneca data due out today manufacturing and set to distribute the university of oxford covid-19 candidate vaccine. we're expecting a data release later today. let's take a look at u.s. futures. where do we stand for the wall street open? a little bit less negative than before looking to open 75 points lower. we're looking at more than 170 points lower just a little while ago. worldwide exchange is coming up next (announcer) america's veterans have always stepped up.
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>> it is 5:00 a.m. in atlanta georgia. here's your top 5 at 5 what will more than 100 major companies say about the american economy going forward? well you're going to find out this week. the clock is ticking in d.c. as congress gets back to work on the next round of economic stimulus first texas and florida and now another state is warning it's cases are trending, quote, the wrong direction. facebook under fire once again yet another major ad reportedly slashing spending on the social network and amazon shares making


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