shutdowns happened clearly by late spring of 2020, based on data the science that children were not as susceptible to covid didn't contract as easily didn't spread it as easily didn't suffer severe disease karl markovitz was writing about this in "new york post" that spring 2 1/2 alerts later jake tapper going why aren't people more upset about educational losses and developmental setbacks? and learning loss? it just in general like ask psychologically impact of all this jeb bush sitting there shaking his head? get out of town, why weren't they calling out teachers

unions with weingarten ilk on multicity bus tour. >> hob calling out doj liz calling parents stream terrorists when they had nerve to get involved with what was taught to kids. >> jake tapper knows very well why not a louder conversation on this topic a teachers unions fund democrats to the tune of tens of millions of dollars every election cycle they are also extremely important in getting out the vote and right now, the number one thing that democrats need in cities like new york, states where really worried about losing their edge is getting out the vote no one is going to urban the on teachers unions, or, by the way, our health authorities, who helped basically shut down the country. as dagen said, there was no science, and to promote the idea that teachers and kids should be kept home from

school, in sweden never closed the schools had absolutely. >> discertainble negative impact people question whole authoritarian regime of fallen fauci at all. >> it is happening on fox the next hour of "mornings with maria" begins right now. . maria: good monday morning. thanks very much for joining us this morning i am maria bartiromo. it is monday, october 4, top stories right now 8:01 east coast, technology on deck futures rallying ahead of a big week of technology earnings, we've got important economic data this week dow industrials right now at high of the morning up 235, s&p up 27 nasdaq higher by 52, alphabet, microsoft, reporting earnings meta on wednesday

then biggies on thursday apple, amazon could be market he movers stay tuned we've got a new lead on inflation coming up this week, with third quarter gdp out thursday, september's pce index out friday, big week economic news and earnings, interest rates this morning pulling back from 15-year highs take a look at treasury 10-year treasury, down 6 basis points this morning at level 4.170% on the 10-year stocks higher friday as well momentum continues this morning a good week in fact last week dow industrials all of a sudden, up 4.89% nasdaq up better than 5%, 5 1/4% higher on week s&p 500 higher by 4 3/4%, the price of oil this morning as it pulls back on worries about slowing demand in china, price brent 9261 down 1% crude oil 83.19 down 1 and a third percent

european markets like this we are waiting on new out of uk the treasury chief, rishi sunak, is getting closer to becoming the next prime minister of the uk prime minister boris backs out s&p up 36 cac quarante up 109 dax higher by 221. british pound is strengthening again take a look at found versus dollar 1.1305 dollars in asia overnight markets mixed the big story in hong kong posting biggest one day decline since november 2008, with hang seng down better than 6% after the people's congress and xi jinping pretty much took down his press creditor china's third quarter gdp up 3.89% beat expectation as xi jinping enters third term as chinese president takes out humanities predecessor during the closing

ceremony of the people's congress saturday. back in u.s. 15 days until midterm election a new poll showing voters trust republicans over democrats to handle topics as inflation and economy. we're getting into it this morning, "mornings with maria" is live right now. . >> new abc ipsos poll finds americans trust republicans to handle key issues 35% preferring republicans over democrats on economy and inflation, 35% also saying republicans would do a better job fighting crime, joining the conversation all morning long dagen mcdowell, liz peek, viewers have seen results of the policies out democrat party voting with feet. dagen: joe biden we talked about it earlier, voted for and passed five trillion dollars if new spending and borrowing. the republicans however would have better numbers, on fighting inflation if they

hadn't cosigned on to about 1.2 trillion dollars in new nondefense spending, there were 17 republicans senators who voted for that semiconductor boon will doel 19 respective senators voted for more than one trillion-dollar infrastructure bill, i don't know what they were thinking nation was already a problem, last november. when they voted or helped pass the infrastructure bill, and it was north of 8% when they passed that semiconductor bill mitch mcconnell led those senators in the yea camp so lucky that their leading on inflation right now because they should never have done that, shame on them. maria: yeah let me just say that all of this spending not a dime went to the border. you would think those republican senators would have at least held the line, said we're not going to grow to any

more spending until we see some money going to border agents we've got 15,000 border agents, supposed to be 20,000 back to a 15,000 "the big guy" in the white house want to hire 87,000 new irs agents to take number up to 166,000 versus 15 to 20,000 border agents now nbc poll finding voter interest in about november's election all-time high compared to to past midterms so is political divide 81% democrats 79% republicans believe agenda of opposing party puts american ideals in peril liz we've seen peril democrat policy has resulted in. >> i think maria the republicans are going to be pretty good shape november 8 but i got to tell you more important election is 2024. when they take office republicans have to reearn

voters' trust and confidence in ability to handle spending to control spending, by the way, they really have not done to dagen's point. not just recently subdoff on bills i thought ask incredibly sketchy semiconductor chips act republicans have to lie down, do continuing resolution without a hard barring in a very different situation than last decade why? interest rates over 4% cost of government borrowering, now at 31 trillion-dollar, is going to become a bigger, bigger line-item in our budget, now the fastest growing part of the federal budget even conservative projections of interest rates put interest rate increases next decade at 8 trillion dollars, this is no longer trivial it is important republicans have to lead the charge controlling spending,

by the way, is not easy i get that voters like handouts like perks benefits that we've seen over the last few years, it has to stop. maria: a great point, glad you mentioned the cost of holding all of this debt, that dagen mentioned early we've got to take a short break with we come back china hang seng index plummeting overnight 6% lower ze ze entered unprecedented third term as president of china markets react looking to week of economic data earnings. >> you are watching "mornings with maria" live on fox business. . i would watch the flight attendants. if they're not nervous, then i'm not going to be nervous. financially, i'm the flight attendant in that situation. the relief that comes over people once they know they've got a guide to help them through,

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>> >> . maria: welcome back highs of the morning take a look stock market rally underway ahead to big weeks earnings economic data dow industrials at high 263, that is up almost 1% s&p 500 up 30 points nasdaq right

now, higher by 64 google microsoft coca-cola 3m reporting third-quarter earnings tomorrow, that could set the tone, joining me right now global advisers president chief investment officer dominic great to see you. thanks for being here i want your take on fed start with earnings what are you expecting this week. >> continuation what we've seen we came intoi earnings season pretty low expectations most economists talking about one to three% earnings growth, traditional 7 to % growth, way, way low expectations kind of beating that in 3 to 4% range even if you back out energy a huge winner still plus, for the quarter i think pretty much continuation what we're seeing so far good but not -- >> benefit been waiting to see how much inflation cuts into earnings this week we've got tech on deck, that otherwise going to be real important amazon apple report thursday

meta wednesday microsoft tomorrow, we are also looking at inflation data of the week, the first read on the third quarter gdp, that is coming out thursday. the economists out there expecting growth, they are looking for first read of the third quarter to show 2.1% growth after two he quarters contraction september personal consumption of expenditures report one favorite on inflation >> do you expect a market moving number for pce month-over-month estimates 5/10 of a percent year-over-year 5 1/4%. >> fed having 2.9 most wall street economists talking about risy i think number 2, 2 1/2% ebb realistic but coming off two negative he quarters in a row the economy is healthy enough can continue to grow but not expand at crazy right we are going to

see numbers continue inflation we expect it to slowly moderate not coming down the way hoped and expected. maria: i want your take what is behind this rally, because i was just reading the fund report thomas lee's report talking about multiple fed speakers including three most hawkish spoke of a fed pause after the december meeting, in 2022. he thinks that is what is behind this rally that we've been seeing, look i know the fed right now is in blackout period, until the meeting hoops we've got next fed meeting november 1, and 2, that is in a week so right now for the next week a blackout period won't hear fed speakers what do you make of what we heard last week? do you think we will see a pause in aggressive rate hikes after the december meeting? >> um, first, tom lee incredibly optimistic all year long unfortunately hasn't wording out what markets are looking at we kind of bounced

off that 3550 on s&p 500500 good support level that i decedent rally getting right now i don't believe much higher than 3900, 4,000 on the s&p because fed going to manage announcement on interest hikes i three three-quarters of one percent don't see policy softening until at least after first of the year the question had economy been pushed too far over the edge? we go into recession or deep recession? in a is the fear factor right now. >> sounds like you think one of those bear market rallies. >> i do, i think this is a great opportunity for people to look at her to portfolios what has not worked so far this year trim back, raise cash people have not done that portfolio looking at not done that. maria: i think great you mentioned we want to watch to see how severe rate hikes have been you are seeing that in housing already.

the 30-year fixed mortgage rate 6.94% that is highest since 2002, case-shiller 20 city index new pending home sales this week all housing day data continues to show that these seven% cent mortgage rates are creating demand destruction people walking away from mortgages, then go to rent get sticker shock there as well. >> one interesting stat close to 80% mortgages in this country today are in 3% range, so even if you want to upgrade your house, move i got to give up 3 1/2% mortgage for 7% mortgage? that is really putting brakes on people's motivations to move upgraded house i am seeing in clients, clients go i am this could of renting for awhile see what happens with the economy next year maybe go into recession. so, we are seeing a new housing starts seeing in

homes, available for sale, there is a real brakes on real estate growth in this country. maria: all right. so you are selling into this rally then? >> we are raising cash very carefully, we had lowered cash exposure from about 30% to 20, 25% going to ride this horse as long as it goes but trimming out things we don't like in the portfolio. >> here is lindsey group larry lindsey size no fed did not wink blink or pivot, no. >> good to see you thanks so much. >> have a great day, have a good day alibaba, very indicative of what is going on in the chinese market right now, shares of the chinese tech giant trading lower after president xi jinping tightening grip on ching ruling party secured unprecedented five-year term as communist party leader effectively dictator for life the consolidation shooking

investors facing political uncertainty head winds in have china stock down 11 1/2% we remember with founder jack ma disappeared for several months remember that one? he he disappeared yesterday xi jinping first public move eliminate take out predecessor publicly humiliateing the guy hu jintao was moved from the people's congress yesterday, pushing back on green agenda ark arc attorney general is here we get into it stay with us. . ♪ do you want to stay a little while, ♪ ♪ don't you want to stay a little while ♪ ♪ .

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. maria: welcome back a group of 19 state attorneys general are demanding the country sixth biggest banks trn over documents related to united nations neither zero banking alliance this lawsuit

allegations environmental, social practices is hurting a american energy industry to discuss arkansas attorney general leslie rutledge, ie. ggood tough this morning tell us more about this investigation. >> good morning thank you essentially 19 states looking into have issued subpoenas to six banks regarding the neither zero banking alliance under u.n. essentially six banks we are wanting to find out why they are wanting to starve out companies over fossil fuels put more costs on the american public farmers ranchers small business owners what this will do if it goes forward. >> isn't this coming from democrats the biden administration let's face it the biden administration, has a whole of government approach to esg, pretty much, discouraging banking of fossil fuel companies, it is discouraging leases then

complaining that its the oil companies' fault for gasoline prices where they are. you are spot-on maria what we are seeing with neither zero banking alliance companies are hoping to put the into place paris agreement, that president trump got rid of on day one unfortunately president biden put it back into place, wanting to take the companies that invest that work with they banks all the way to zero emissions by 2050 want liberal woke agenda through banks we want banks to focus more on banking regulations we have too many binking regulations they should be focused on all i hear from bankers complints about cspv strangleholding them they are looking to stranglehold all sorts of of businesses over environmental elevation have nothing to do with banks or the other than wanteding to push issue

liberal woke jean shove paris agreement down throats of american businesses. >> i move on to bailout of student loans, before do i explain the impact of all of this just last month, jamie dimon and all other bankers were in washington the evening in froven congress rashida asked if he was going to stop banking fossil fuel companies his answer no because that would be road to hell for america explain what this is doing to, communities, to jobs, with this constant focus on this climate change agenda. doesn't even make sense, because you can't kill fossil fuels overnight, suddenly in "la la land" a green economy. >> well you are precisely right what it is going to do it is going to hurt american businesses, arkansas businesses right here folks like my husband a road crop farmer in middle he have

harvest going to impact everything we see six large banks working to essentially implement the woke liberal left's green agenda rather than focusing on making sure we have more being a access to droed ensure we have entrepreneurs who can have small business on main streets, batesville arkansas part energy independence making sure diverse energy sector not quash out fossil fuel industry. >> by the way, everybody wants clean water and fresh air we all want a green, strong clean economy how about smarts in terms of getting there? it is not going to happen overnight, but i digress i got to ask about a federal appeals court temporarily stopping administration from for giving billions of dollars in student

loan debt you were part of the lawsuit halted by this plan your reaction to this victory, and where it goes now. >> what a huge victory we received from from 8th circuit stopping the biden cancellation of student loan debt 8 circuit said biden administration can't give back all money you can't saddle 400 billion dollars debt on american public that never took out loans to begin with that is unfair about this program arkansas is part of lawsuit to stop it we don't believe the president has the authority to use the heroes act put in place, for brave men and women in the military and instead giving student loan relief to those got high dollar degrees giving that loan that problem, to people who never took out loans to begin with so this was a big

win for the court, to stop this. >> have the units face embarrass immoral for people didn't take out loans couldn't ford it midterm elections 15 days away appears bad policy is resulting in motivated voters the governor race in michigan extremely close as well, democrat incumbent gretchen whitmer, and dixon neck and neck i spoke with tudor dixon yesterday on "sunday morning futures" said public is paying attention to education and energy. watch this. >> don't forget that our tlaib was saying get your money out of banks, gretchen whitmer said nothing about that, because she is absolutely onboard we radical energy policies the most radical governor there is in the country, running in a primary against gavin newsom for president right now we can

that he will from her progressive policies. maria: a.g. how important do you think energy policy will be for voters? >> i think it is extremely important, because americans have been feeling the pain at the pump since joe biden took office, in january of 2021. we have felt the pain at the pump it costs more to go to as i said soccer practice costs more to go to work buy groceries pay light bill i believe his policies and policies of nancy pelosi and liberal left are going to sink the democratic party in 20 days it is time for america to get out vote and vote with your not just with your heart but with your pocketbook your child's future. >> we leave it there watching midterms now 15 days away checking back with you leslie rutledge joining us this morning in arkansas the devastate is seeing largest drop in american history not full story the committee for

responsible federal budget saying nothing to celebrate talking with christine mcdaniel what it means for inflation. stay with us. ♪ ♪ . this... is the planning effect. this is how it feels to know you have a wealth plan that covers everything that's important to you. this is what it's like to have a dedicated fidelity advisor looking at your full financial picture. making sure you have the right balance of risk and reward. and helping you plan for future generations. this is "the planning effect" from fidelity.

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flight plan for plane showed a passenger one other board the plane seems a relative of him butt it will be confirmed by authorities. chancellor rishi sunak front-runner to become next prime minister, boris johnson dropped out last night only remaining candidate leader of house of commons penny mordaunt, needs 100, she has passed 90 nominations a vote expected friday. nearly a dozen midterm candidates facing pressure over stock priding law violations, pressure from house and senate accused of violating stock act insider trading rules that apply 2020 called stock trading on congressional knowledge act

could affect midterms for instance mark kelly of arizona allegedly failed to disclose stock options for a tech tirm with ties to china. >> punching ticket to world certifies seize 6 to 5 win he over yankees, clapping -- there is fighting happening in studio wp sending into stands to fend philadelphia fillies to world sievers peat bad rays 4 to 3 game one friday, catch action on fox. >> and we've got nfl action kicking off with quarterback making return to the field to lead dolphins to 16 to 10 win over steelers, new york giants defense coming in flush. beat jaguars, tom brady doing

best to keep buccaneers afleet team struggling against panthers carolina winning 21 to 3, ouch, chiefs spoiling mccaffrey's debut kansas city picking up 44 to 23 run didn't put it in just, maria: a lot of sports news thank you, president biden is under fire taking a premature victory lap misleading american people when it comes to deficit reduction here is what he said. >> my administration announced this we are deficits fell by 1.4 trillion dollars, largest one year drop in american history republican plan about three trillion dollars would add to the deficit three trillion dollars, that is the

plan. maria: not study committee for a responsible federal budget the emergency covid spending leapsed joining me former white house counsel economic advisories trade economist, senior fellow, christine mcdaniel thanks very much, how do you see it a drop in deficit, and let's not forget, what the deficit was after president biden's student loan bailout was announced. >> right, it is truly 1.4 trillion less, and that is great but that was expected, with covid spending -- you know behind us. but, you know, the president biden is not really a budget cutter. we have -- 8 trillion more in deficit spending from this president's policies, and executive actions under his administration.

so it is you know still really looking at a lot of spending. and all comes at a time fed trying so hard to get inflation under control, so all excessive spending may being the job that much heart, means that the harder for fed to get inflation under control longer this will go on, the deeper recession could be. >> a whole lot of spending five trillion dollars in spending, by the way. and we continue to see the administration, try to distance itself from the inflation numbers, when joe biden walked into the oval office, the cpi inflation was 1.4%. that is pretty extraordinary, and now five trillion dollars later the cpi inflation is 8.2%, now irs is making inflation adjustments to retirement accounts allowing employee contribution limit

for 401(k)s to rise 2,000 dollars to 22500 dollars for 2023 largest increase on record, what are your thoughts on that. >>. >> that is -- because of inflation, would be great more people that could take advantage of that increase savings would definitely help to cool off consumer spending, but then we have inflation really, eating into household budgets, it is -- between between raising rates, bigger payout from savings, but yet higher prices, you know really -- causing household problems a lot of problems usually middle income lower that -- hi income people, 401(k) is ira,

not clear how much benefit for middle income and below but to extent people can take advantage of it great but higher prices, that is probably not going to be very much. >> what are your thoughts on growth today in the united states? i mean i also want your take on china, china said the economy grew 3.9% third quarter beijing released data following a delay last week during xhie. communist party congress, economists expecting growth after two quarters contribution. >> well, for china, yes china's economy largely still covid driven economy. they have big property slump experiencing, so they have weakened business confidence,

weakened consumer confidence, and that was you know to be expected. china's numbers are always interpreted with bit of caution, outright delays, but, you know, numbers just confirm what ebb we've been thinking that it is covid is still driving that economy, and 24%, wage populationing incubations for gdp because to the extent they can't use resources, at all, that is going to not only detachen their economy but world economy, u.s. cooling off a necessary cooldown, not a huge drop, but something that we it is not bad news it is not huge drop it is probably less than what you

know, potential this is really necessary as fed tries to cool things down so that liz jump in here. >> i think one of the questions people have state of consumer in the u.s. bank leaders announcing earnings said consumer continues to spend, commerce are in good shape what do you think at what point does consumer begin to pull in its horns. >> when we say consumer, you know -- representative agent consumer, but where a bunch of different types of consumers out there we see lower incomes middle incomes examine consumer starting to feel lower index starting to feel higher utility, higher rent, hi interest rates all that consumer debt, that people started building up, now taking higher rates on that,

and the higher income households, coming out, i've seen suggests still a lot of spending to be done on higher income side, so almost like -- almost like a two track you know economy, if you will. socialist there is not really i know if any one story that explains everything, depends on which type of household you are talking about. maria: we will leave it there great to talk with you thanks very much christine mcdaniel a market up 218 on dow we'll be right back with more. .

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maria: just about everything most of competitive this year versus last year certainly more expensive this month versus last month consumer price index surged 8.2% last month food increased 13% year-over-year joining me president ceo of stu lenards, joining us right now great to see you. thank you so much for joining us, i know that you've been watching your costs go up on produce level what foods have

you seen biggest spike in do you think, areas that people can find ways to save money as they shop for hollywood meals? >> you know a challenge, today for customers, the challenge for all retailers you want to best value out there right now what you are seeing is chicken prices starting to come down, commodity things happening chicken for instance, come down meat prices seem easing up a little bit right now but with this bird flu you have a pop going on with egg prices, it is a wild ride right now. one of the things that we're trying to do is just -- split everything 50-50 with suppliers right now. maria: that is great, because i know that you could actually you know pass it on to

consumers but trying not to splitting there it. let me ask you stu when we see cpi numbers every month, we notice that it is food prices that are high, oil prices have come off the highs even used cars have come off the highs, but food is still very, very high expensive in price why does it take so long to move the needle on food. >> i think a lot of lagging indicators with food we had a heat wave in california standing right now amidst strawberries gone up in price because of that, you don't know what the new cpi numbers i tried to find out like foods, 40 different items five gallon at restaurants i wouldn't rely on those numbers we know about 5% in the store

right now. customers are getting smart shopping different. they are dhik prices coming down there is something doing chicken parmigian for the family you can buy this 3 pounds of food, for 25 bucks, so people will buy something like that, and i haven't heard never in 50 years doing this people saying i am cooking ham-and-eggs for dinner eggs alleviate expensive protein you are seek people tighten belt and switch one thing i would say to retailers there's a few things we're doing don't cut back in customer service, in pandemic in essential business didn't close doors at all, one of the things we did made a lot of customers happy big rock in front of the store

rule one customer is always rights rule two, forever wrong we rule with number one sticking to that at the store, the other thing is -- but i notice a lot of companies cutting back on consumer service don't do it now, going through turbulent times, time to win customers for not maybe 2023, 2022, but 23 and beyond. >> i wondered if people are having chick instead of turkey thanksgiving, a good bird costing 6.70 a pound in september that is 112% higher than in 2012 prize 3.16 per pound, should shopper rethink what they serve for

thanksgiving this year? what about replacing the the turk kwlooi with a chicken you said eggs best protein right now a dozen eggs still up 30% year-over-year by the way. >> certain things will never change people's life you are going to have a turkey the million dollar of your containable at thanksgiving, that could cost 100 dollars, i mean you got to have a turkey, the question can you supplement with other things, at our house we have a turkey also have maybe salmon along or maybe might even want something less expensive like burgers for the kids, fill them up more before they get to the main course. turkey is least expensive

protein, amazes me i can't believe complain, then buy slide of cold cuts for 12 dollars a pound for turkey i can't figure it out, relax with your turkey have your turkey. look around your thanksgiving table, see everybody smiling having a great time server great wine enjoy thanksgiving tighten your belt, up a little bit. and shop smart. >> there are ways to do that the store looks amazing behind you thanks very much for all that you are doing happy thanksgiving if i don't see you beforehand hopefully i will thank you so much. >> thank you, maria, thank you, everybody. >> all right. we will see you soon. we'll be right back. . i know what i like. i've been meaning to ask you, carl. does your firm offer personalized index investing? hmm? so i can remove a stock that doesn't align with my goals.

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maria: welcome back. we have breaking news, we want to bring to you right now. penny mordont in the uk is withdrawing for the prime minister spot, according to i-tv i-tv reporting she does not have the sufficient nominations. she was supposed to have that by 9:00 a.m. this morning, and we are told she does not, and is now withdrawing for the race and the job of prime minister of the uk. dagen mcdowell, liz peek, thanks very much for being here. great to be with you ladies. "varney" & company picks it up stu take it away. stuart: i guess it looks like su