tv The Journal Editorial Report FOX News September 3, 2022 12:00pm-1:00pm PDT
... ask you doctor about tremfya® today. welcome to the journal editorial report, i am paul gigot. medical control for the house and senate kicking into high gear with labor day weekend unofficial campaign, president biden's job approval kicking up, democrats and allies touting a come back the help the party keep control of the house and senate in the november midterms
but my first guest says productions could be premature. karl rove is a "wall street journal" columnist and fox news jupiter and served as senior advisor to president george w. bush. welcome, good to see you. look at the polling, it seems undeniable, democrats have had a rally had had democrat versus republican polling generic pulling showing it even. what is wrong with that story? >> if democrats are even, it generally means they will lose, a lot more places around the country where congressional districts where there are 85% democrat and not as many 85% public and districts so the democrats need a lead on that. we've had great midterm election predictors for republicans with generic ballot tide or a quarter or two behind. the democrats have had a good couple of months but they exaggerate how good they are and ignoring the fact they started from a deep place. president biden's approval
rating today in the 538.com averages 42 at the same time in 2018, donald trump's was 40 and republicans lost 42 seats in the house of representatives, does anybody think two points will save the democrats rather than losing in the double digit seats in the house? they will reelect nancy pelosi as speaker, i don't think so, i think it's premature. paul: what's driving the come back? is it abortion politics post overturning of roe v. wade? decline gas prices, donald trump's moving front and center in the campaign? >> the simple answer is yes, all of those things. there's a bit of an abortion plan. what's interesting is after dogs, the supreme court decision, democrat enthusiasts particularly among women rose. it didn't rise among dependents and republicans but rose among
immigrants and reflects in the favorability rating for joe biden. he went from high 30s to low 40s but again among the electorate, electorate is not just democrats and if you look at it, abortion issue is a recent a pool, the eighth most of one issue and inflation and crime in the economy and jobs and immigration and the border, all. reporter: and then the issue of abortion to the voters who will make the outcomes of this for another in older independent. paul: if you look at the "wall street journal", to after inflation is the head of the -- two behind the economy into the head of inflation so abortion has been coming up but i want to ask you about the generic voting, ballot between republicans and democrats.
his attempt to write for republicans after labor day historically? >> attempt to rise for the party out of power after everyday midterm elections so my suspicion his we get closer to the election we will see maybe slightly towards republican but the democrats need an advantage on the generic ballot to wind. the one throwing this up in the air is the presence of donald trump, we are entering our fourth week for we have been talking about not inflation or immigration, not even the democratic agenda, we've been talking about donald trump and mar-a-lago search for the classified records that stopped the normal dialogue we would see to the advantage of the democrats and disadvantage of the republicans. paul: especially because trump isn't even on the ballot this year. what you make of president biden's speech thursday night
where as i read it, he tried to inject trump in the center of the campaign and though he's not on the ballot? >> this is the only way they can save themselves. we have the biden administration is not done well and i go back donald trump essentially the same time in 2018 the public race and republicans lost 42 seats in the house so the white house is desperate to do anything it can to make it not an election about biden and his performance an office and issues that have risen during his time there but donald j trump it was extraordinary to appear, okay fine but to put the u.s. marines behind you to give it an official event i thought was over the top and the speech was weird because there different points, i will unite the country, maga republicans are a threat to democracy.
here's the great things i've done. twenty-four minutes of relatively confusing but them whole message was this is election between donald trump and joe biden, not in referendum on joe biden. paul: briefly, how should we republicans respond as they run? >> they ought to have an agenda of their own of the candidate level where they say here's why i am running, here are my disagreements with my opponent, disagreements with biden in here are the things important to me if you honor me by giving your vote. there won't be a national solution mom i hope is trump begins to receive a little bit from the scene but the only way candidates can make this about their issues is making it about their issues and going out and speaking with conviction about their values and views of what they think is important and give people a sense of what it is they will do when they go to washington. want to say what they disagree with and draw distinctions with
their opponent particularly good people like mandela barnes the people want to know what is that they will do if they get sent to washington. paul: thanks. appreciate it. president biden setup attacks on the gop in a primetime address targeting so-called data republicans. swing voters how will republicans respond? the panel ways in next.
quality and democracy are under assault. too much of what's happening in our country today is not normal. donald trump and mega republicans represented extremism, the threat is the very foundations of our rep republic. paul: president biden thursday at independence hall and sylvia stepping up attacks on the gop and former president donald trump in the white house built
as his soul of the nation speech, president taking aim at what he calls maga republicans saying that the country's institutions at risk and undermine democracy. the primetime speech review of the president's campaign message ahead of the november midterms. will it persuade swing voters democrats need to keep control of congress? let's ask "wall street journal" in a columnist dan henninger and kyle peterson and monai. dan, starting with you, what did you make of the president beach? >> for starters, it was billed as a primetime speech but as far as i can tell looking through the channels, it's only carried by msnbc and cnn and maybe c-span. i think as far as primetime viewership goes, probably more people watching serena williams playing doubles of the u.s. open
and joe biden talk about the soul of the nation in philadelphia. that said, it's unfortunate more people did not see that speech because i personally found it repelling and discussing the president of the united states was stand there in front of the u.s. marines and make this hyper- partisan speech in which he basically is talking about the soul of the country a threat to democracy citing january 6, donald trump's objection to the election outcome the last time and associating it with all republics. he tries to make a distinction between maga repugnance and republicans but there's no distinction in the way he delivered that speech but let's look at the record january 6 was going on at the capitol, all sorts of senior officials in the white house including vice
president mike pence. as far as the rigged election goes, you have republicans putting up candidates against other republicans who defend the rigged election idea so is endorsed by mike pence and mike pompeo, governor bryan kemp of georgia, governor doug ducey of arizona put their careers at risk by imposing the rigged election narrative so what joe biden did i think was over the top, hyper- partisan speech, unfortunate to see the u.s. president delivering something like that in advance of ele election. paul: i want to get your take on this speech, to but i also, my own view is the strategy of this speech is basically one main goal, to elevate donald trump in the election, to make this election about fundamentally donald trump versus democrats. what you make of that? >> no doubt you are right about that. i think it's a few months since president biden rolled out the term maga republicans, it clearly seems to be something they focused, the idea of labeling the entire republican party with donald trump and
specifically donald trump's most controversial attributes such as contesting 2020 election so i think democrats have been pleased to have president trump back in the headlines after the raid on his home in malaga the past couple of weeks and there seems to be early signs trump's visibility is making moderate voters a little less comfortable going to the polls to cast vote for republicans in the coming midterm elections so as a pure political strategy it seems like it could be wise from president biden. paul: kyle, what does all tell you about president biden's attempt, as he promised during the campaign and inaugural address, unite the country? it seems to me we got peril dividers here. trump in his politics, whatever you think about that and joe biden, mirror image. >> i agree it would be wise for fact checkers to go into the speech and find some things to
pick out, i would pick two, one is president biden keeps acting as if the right of contraceptive is under attack in america which is blatantly not true. the figures say 92% of americans say contraceptives are morally fine to use, no state that will go after them. the others biden keeps saying the freedom to vote is taken away from americans which is a statement for pants on fire rating of other politicians were making it. i agree with dan here, the idea is for biden to present all of the republican party as time, the lunatics in charlottesville and rioters january 6, i don't think that is accurate, i think a lot of republicans are ready to move on. you see that in election results this year, brad roethlisberger and bryan kemp with victories and even the maga republicans now are busy scrubbing websites
of these massive voter fraud claims they can't defend in the general election and by the way, democrat party has been funding these candidates so that's the other thing i think missing from biden's speech, he could have said that's why i'm calling on democrat party to stop giving money to these people supporting candidates who think the election was stolen. paul: democrats and new hampshire are running ads trying to help the nomination of the most maga republican senate campaign so they say they hate donald trump and maga but really they want him around, they need him and want them in politics. midterms has the supreme court's dobbs decision changed the november? do republic and have a strategy to respond? our panel debates next. c
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in the wake of the supreme court's decision overturning roe v. wade, abortion is shaping up to be a top issue in the midterm elections with voters in a new "wall street journal" poll bringing a close second to the economy. ahead of inflation and immigration asked what the most important factor in choice for congress, we are back with dan henninger, kyle peterson and "wall street journal" columnist, allysia findlay. kyle, how significant do you think abortion is in the election and what is assigned it might be changing the dynamics? >> i think it's a big deal, one side is voter registrations, a democratic data firm let's look at voter registrations sense of the supreme court overturned roe v. wade and it finds pronounced
gender gap so double digits men versus women, more women registering than men, double digits and some states, swing states pennsylvania, ohio, colorado, 17% wisconsin so i think that's potentially a significant factor. one way you win elections is changing minds and the second way is by getting the people who would generally agree with you to the polls and a lot of these people, young people in particular are generally low propensity voters especially in a midterm and not presidential year end if they register to vote and prepare to do it, that could be a serious shift. paul: another signed is if you look at the special house elections that took place before
the dobbs decision came down, republicans were outperforming 2020 performance but if you look at the special elections after republic and tend to do poorly, they still one in new york state and nebraska and minnesota but narrow margins than expected, is that something republicans are worried about as they go forward? >> i think it clearly is. also there are unique circumstances in special elections, new york state which is the hudson river value, democrats have 18000 voter registration advantage. the democrat only one by about 2500. you see increased migration among liberals from the city up to that area. in minnesota, that the district probe trump and the minnesota republican in that outperformed republicans and 2020 and did better than any other republicans and that area. in nebraska republic and stick worse than republicans 2020 but there was a unique circumstance
in which republican who had promote the reason the seat was vacant was because the former republican in that district had been convicted of lying to federal investigators which probably did not help the republic and bread. i do think the turnout, price of democratic turnout was a big factor. i don't think it's necessarily abortion, it's changing minds among voters but no doubt motivating progressives to turn out in the races, especially swing races. paul: dan, is the problem for the gop that the fundamental ground politically has changed with the overturning of roe? the republic and to some extent are still talking about abortion as if it hasn't. in other words, when roe was the law of the land, it didn't matter politically because nothing much could change through legislatures but now of course it can. do they have to adjust their
message? >> i think this is the key. it was easy before the dobbs decision for politicians to take basically total views on abortion, either total ban or no research is on abortion because it didn't matter. you have roe v. wade the law of the land. after the dobbs decision we see it clearly the case that the politicians have to take a more nuanced position in sync with opinions of the general public which are not total us and either extremes. at the moment the issue seems to be the burden on republicans to talk about why they do not favor total ban on abortion and some of these republican candidates masters in arizona for senate candidate scrubbing websites saying they are only against late-term abortion or partial birth abortions. i think we republicans have the opportunity to present democrats
on this because it's basically an article among democrats that there should be no restrictions on abortion. the question is, in the coming debates, if the republicans present democrats, what are they going to say? i think most are reluctant to talk about what restrictions more in sync with the general public they be willing to support so is a big public debate, that's what we thought would happen if roe v. wade were overturned, is occurring right now and it's unclear to me ultimately the republicans will be disadvantaged like this come november. paul: kyle, briefly, allow for republicans don't want to run on abortion, they want to talk about it, they'd rather talk about inflation and immigration do they have to engage democrats on abortion in this election? >> i think they do it michigan is an interesting state so 1931 block fans abortion broadly without exception for rape and
republicans as far as i know, have not put forward the policy they intend to replace it with if they want to pitch to the middle, the public opinion, he's a great opportunity to do that.a paul: stilstl ahead, all eyes on the federal reserve as hiringse close in m august. we will talk to kevin hassett abou t the central bank's next move is advice to get inflationf under control. w ♪
to hire at a solid pace despite slowdown from previous months. writers report a week after fed chair jerome powell warned of possible economic pain ahead including slower growth and rising unemployment rate as the central bank flights to get inflation under control. political pressure on powell to ease up on interest rate increases is growing with massachusetts senator elizabeth warren saying the fed actions would plunge the country into recession. >> do you know what worse than high prices and a strong economy? it's high prices and millions of people out of work. i'm very worried the fed will tip this economy into recession. paul: was bring and kevin hassett, former chairman of the council of economic advisers the white house and distinguished visiting fellow at the hoover institution. welcome, kevin. let me ask about the job market
here. strong growth, good august report. the question i have, how do you explain strong job growth after six months of slow economic growth? >> what we are seeing is classic stagflation every recession that began probably beginning of the year. if you go back and look at the 70s what normally happens is when firms start to have tro trouble, if there's no inflation and reduce their real wage bill and lay workers off but if there's inflation than the price the firm is selling is going up, if they hold wages the same than the real wage declines so they can buy themselves space at the beginning of recession without having to lay people off so mid 70s we had one recession where the first six months of recession the economy added 1 million jobs. then what happens is that adjustment but does not go far
enough you see people laid off. my expectation is the gdp data is screening recession, the jobs data are turning right now and they are about to be consistent with what we've seen in the past in the 70s. paul: you are saying we are going to have a recession here in the coming year. let's talk about prices, a lot of people saying moderate price is down, oil price is down, money supply growth really slowing. peak inflation already here, do you agree? >> i think that's right in the sense that i think inflation is going to go basically running about 10% rate if you look at the three month average, i think it will go down to six or seven by the end of the year but a long way to go get to the 2% target. i was at the conference -- probably the only conservative there, i guess david used to be
but he's the president so he's lost credential there but if i have bruises, you can imagine what it's like to be the only conservative but i can tell you i was stunned the federal reserve governor, the bank presidents were steel eyed and jay powell's speech was originally given by the staff 28 minute speech the gossip was and he cut it to eight minutes so he walked into a bar like clint eastwood and he was really serious. he doesn't want to be arthur burns who let inflation get out of control, he understands he has historic opportunity to be like paul and i think he'll take it. three quarters of the next meeting and i think we'll get a few more before they cause. paul: that is fascinating. he did invoke booker's name in that speech. of course the equity markets didn't like it, they fell afterwards because i think they
anticipated maybe a lower break at the top of the interest rate cycle. are you saying they were fooling themselves and much more to come? >> there will be much more to come unless the inflation made a surprise on the downside. i thought one of the more important passages, i'll paraphrase, imagine i came to you and said i need a raise and then you said back at some time we will talk about it, then what does that mean? that means probably not, but way off in the future. he said they will have to consider reducing the pace of increase and i found that incredibly meaningful but because that doesn't mean like this meeting. [laughter] paul: who knows, right? exactly. i guess the interesting question then is the political reaction to this. you are going to see i think more members of congress like elizabeth warren speak up and
say hey, stop because we don't want to see a recession. when you were at jackson, did you hear enough resolve among governors to say they can stand up to that political pressure? >> i'm confident that's what they said and what people were saying at the bar after three drinks, it's clear people understand its a historic challenge. when push comes to shove your under pressure, what do you do? i'll remind you when i was in the white house for a big chunk of the time president trump was threatening to fire jay powell and one day after we convinced him it was a bad move, we announced he would be fired in the stock market went up 1000 points. that did happen in the president praised us for adopting a policy that made the market go up but if they attack jay powell, it's a negative for the economy and markets, the independents and
that is important, i think president trump started to realize that after a while and democrats make political points but in the end the biden and administration i'm pretty sure will do the right thing. paul: there's some economists out there and analyst saying inflation is falling, money supply show up in money supply declined will show up as it always does so don't overdo the rate increase, on his writing that, what is your response to that? >> i think it's possible they will overdo it and they will if they stay in recession denial. the fact is we are in session right now, the labor market will probably turn if it matches the 70s and they need to keep high rates through the recession but if they continue especially the white house and fed in recession denial to just deny the data are weak and they can draw three-quarter points move as far
as the eye can see and if they as the eye can see and if they did, i think it would be a big stick. if i were there now, would run for and look at the inflation rate and see what happens. paul: right now about 25. appreciate it. when we come back, randi weingarten lungs pandemic as national test results revealedin the damage done to students bye. school closures. ♪ yay!!! ensure max protein, with 30 grams of protein, 1 gram of sugar enter powered by protein challenge for a chance to win big! ever get a sign the universe is trying to tell you something? the clues are all around us... not that one... that's the one. at university of phoenix, you could earn your master's degree in less than a year for under $11k. learn more at phoenix.edu
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if you can't afford your medication, astrazeneca may be able to help. ♪far-xi-ga♪ new national test scores released this week reveal a total covid closures in schools took on children. national assessment of educational progress referred to as the nation's report card showing unprecedented decline in reading and math scores with 9-year-old losing five points in reading 2020 -- 2022, the largest drop since 19907 points in math, the most on record. we are back with mene and allysia finley. mene, give us, go through the numbers in more detail and a sense of the magnitude and how significant the drops are.
>> sure people have been aware of the educational impact in school closures the past couple of years but it is shocking to see them documented in this assessment. the decline in math scores was the largest ever on record in the history of this assessment and the decline in reading scores was the biggest in the past 30 years so it's unprecedented in the scale and also worth noting this is a nationwide assessment covering all regions across the country, people have known in urban school districts that tend to be poor, higher proportion of minority students, the impact was large and one of the places where it was largest, it seems as if nobody in the entire public school system nationwide was untouched by the impacts of these long school closures we experienced. paul: so there was the impact in
these inner-city schools by race, poor results. >> that's right. i believe the decline in math scores among students with 13 points. among hispanic students, eight-point that was where the biggest impact has taken place and it's ironic because you have democrats and progressive allies running the school systems, teachers unions tend to be in line with them and they stress the importance of increasing outcomes for poor minority students yet we can see clearly the policies they supported during the pandemic led to tragic and perhaps irreversible outcomes for the students most determined to help. paul: allysia, i would ask about how long it will take for students to get back to pre-pandemic levels to make up for learning losses. i saw a report showing wipe out 20 years of gains in these scores. how long will it take? >> as you say, the scores are back to where they were in 1999. they have plateaued the last
decade and educators and experts weren't sure why car because of the teachers unions and pol policies, their opposition to the pay, it hurt students in urban districts. how long it will take to get back to where we were a few years ago, 20 years of progress will be difficult to catch up, higher income students in higher performance which was interesting, higher performance lost about two points on the assessment. lower performance, the lowest in 10% cost five times as much so the achievement gap is widening and so is the racial gap in terms of academic performance so it will take a lot more to make up this ground for those who are minorities, lower income and performers. you are looking at perhaps decades. paul: how are the officials in
washington and the unions reacting to this? it's terrible commentary on school closures, what is their response? are they conceding any mistakes? >> they know how poorly it reflects on their performance and decisions over the course of the pandemic so they are trying damage control, one education department official saying yes, school closures probably affected it but also things like shootings and cyber bullying so she's basically trying to deflect as much blame as possible from the decision to keep schools closed with regard to randi weingarten who heads one of the largest national teachers unions, she did concede school closures probably had a lot to do with it but she basically said there's no ch choice, we had to keep schools closed for public safety to keep kids healthy but we know that's not true either. they were studies as early as summer 2020 showing children were disproportionately
unaffected by covid, the risk of learning loss was more severe than the risk of covid to students so there's no way we can let the officials off the hook for their own decision to keep schools closed as long as they did. paul: allysia, 30 seconds or so, do -- is there any remorse at all, regret at the democratic level, policy level with governors and mayors who followed the unions on this? >> i think your hearing from the new york governor who admitted the other week this was a mistake to disrupt education, not just close schools as long as they did to impose testing mandates and quarantine mandates, further disrupting education. the testing mandates and requirements mean during, after the vaccine became available still missed days of school they tested positive had to wait five to ten days so there is more
california lawmakers passing a bill this week to give government panel control over the pay, hours and working conditions of estimated half-million fast food workers in the state. the bill known as fast act would establish ten member council appointed by the governor and state legislative leaders to set wages of up to $22 an hour for fast food workers starting next year. legislation drawing nationwide attention was democratic
congress and ricotta saying he hopes the bill will lay the groundwork for similar efforts in other states. we are back with dan henninger, kyle peterson and allysia finley. allysia, this is an extraordinary piece of legislation. basically talking about the government dictating working conditions and pay of workers in the private economy. who's driving this? >> the unions and particularly sei you. because of particulars in the bill it would exempt joints that allow bargaining agreements so it provides extra incentive for employers to allow unions. the other way it does this in terms of working conditions so the board could dictate employers be allowed unions to come to the promise and organize
workers. there's no lending principle to what the board could dictate. paul: that is extraordinary. can they go, have you ever seen anything like this? you have been watching government meddle in the economy for decades, have you seen anything like this before? >> no msn been living in germany all my life where they do this but here in the u.s., not at all. twenty-two dollars an hour for fast food workers, california fast food workers are already the highest paid workers in the industry over $15 an hour. what is this likely to do? simply speed migration out of blue states into red states as costs rise in states like california to illinois and new york. companies able are simply going to lead and deprive the states
of much-needed taxes already happening in new york city where they pace for the next several years, from commercial enterprises. this will only worsen it and the thing about old-time liberals used to be conscious of this, the new breed of democratic processes don't care, they are willing to write it down to the basement. paul: nice angle if you are the governor or state legislature, you just say the commission did it if people get upset, not our fault, the commission. >> right and they have opportunities to say that in coming years. the lesson of the science of economics is there's no such thing as free lunch, they are only trade-offs so if you think about rising wages or making it more expensive to run fast food operation, one side effect could be fewer people employed in
industry if you have to pay $22 an hour, self ordering kiosk looks deeper than it did yesterday or you may have food prices go up in which case you will hear complaints about that or restaurants may shut down entirely in which case we will hear more about food deserts in certain communities. the core problem is technocrats think they can turn a little dial on the economy and everything else will stay the same but that's not how the world works. paul: how many franchisees will be affected by this? how are they saying they will respond? >> there are over 5000 franchisees affected by this running over 16000 locations. they are fighting back against this hard lobbying, they've tried to lobby the governor and there are some components of the bill that were removed but they will take on democrats and the legislature this fall, they are starting to run ads and they
will make this campaign because whatever starts in california never stays in california. paul: any chance governor newsom with his designs and the white house will veto this? >> i don't think so, i think the reason they removed provisions and modified the bill was to shore up support among democrats in the legislature and governor newsom but he wants to use it as a branding exercise to launch his presidential ambitions trying to make california the top of the country and climate, now labor and so many other w ways. to watch as california trieso exportrk progressive policies across the country. we have to take one more break. when we come back, hits andhe missesyy of the week. ♪
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democrat. so what happened question or two republicans split the rest of the boat. one is sarah palin who is a polarizing figure. the other republican, nick could have won a head-to-head matchup except who was eliminated by the rank choice system. so advocates of rank choice say this system produces candidates that are a better reflection of the will of the electorate. but in alaska it seems to have done just the opposite. paul: all right alicia. practice the mr. new york state in its infinite progressive with sims giving first priority to pop licenses to people who been formally convicted of cannabis offensive. the state strategy is to basically strangle small businesses that abide by laws with regulation and taxes while rewarding those lawbreakers with the subsidies. newsflash, people do not want to live in a sanctuary state for potheads. carson going to be hit to virginia governor glenn young
kennett for vowing to untie his state from california's insane plan for gas powered cars. some menacing culvert moved ahead with this plan that would basically they did not know is virginia under democrat ralph northam tied itself to california standards a couple of years ago. i think they should be thankful they've now chosen a governor is going to set them on a much more sane course. cracks thank you. dan. cracks i'm getting a hit to joe biden's national security team for last week sending two warships into the straits of taiwan. the narrow choice between taiwan and mainland china. china's leader should jinping has made it clear that he intends to gain control over the south pacific or western pacific china is building a blue water navy to achieve exactly that. the pandemic taught us reliable supply chain depend crucially on freedom of navigation and kudos to the biden team for making that principle clear.
paul: could not agree more dan that's very important statement. remember if you do have your own hit or miss, be sure to tweet it to us that is it for this week show. thanks to my panel and thanks to all of you for watching. i am a paul gigot. hope to see you right here next week. i stare in the air over mississippi. the investigation is just beginning into a rogue pilot who threatened to crash a small plane into a wall mount and tupelo hello everyone welcome to "fox news live" this labor day weekend i am molly line info arthel nebo. rich: i am rich edson and for eric shawn. the supporting the plaintiff circled over north mississippi for hours causing panic and evacuations on the ground for police and they rest of the pilot. these facing criminal charges as investigators try to figure out his motive