muir is coming up. i'm kristen sze. >> and tonight, breaking news. the urgent hunt for a killer. two murders already. then, attacking two officers and several others. the suspect then posting this live on facebook. police now warning tonight, he is armed and dangerous. donald trump calling the polls phony tonight, telling supporters, we're winning. and now, the new poll just out. and what senator elizabeth warren said today about, quote, nasty women. the plane crash, no survivors. the jet plunging from the sky just after takeoff. the ball of fire. the u.s. launching air strikes. the iraqis moving closer to mosul. and martha raddatz tonight revealing the new horror playing out right now in that city, where isis is still in control. inside the deadly bus crash. at least 13 people dead. authorities late today and what they revealed.

and the eye-opening new headline tonight involving babies. and where they should sleep in their first year. it surprised many. good evening. good evening. and it's great to start another week with you. and we begin tonight with that urgent manhunt right now, a suspect accused of killing two, and then leaving a trail of violence. attacking many, including those two police officers. overnight, police responding to reports of shots fired. the officers then shot and rushed to the hospital. and then, the suspect putting his escape live on facebook, with his own words of warning. tonight, authorities are now telling the public he is armed and dangerous. and abc's jim avila from oklahoma. >> reporter: armed and dangerous, wounded and live on facebook. >> let me tell you, it hurts. >> reporter: 38-year-old michael vance, suspected of shooting two police officers outside of oklahoma city, wounding them both, then taking their truck. >> i have two gunshot victims, shots to the leg and foot area. both patients are conscious.

>> reporter: before the night is over, allegedly shooting two others and also murdering his aunt and uncle. all while wielding an ak-47. >> i'm about to steal another car like right now. this [ bleep ] is going to be intense. >> reporter: jonathan chouinard and his pregnant wife had their car taken from them at gunpoint. >> you know, he's got an assault rifle, got a tripod on it, you know, and he tells us to get out of the car. >> letting you all know, look, this is real. see, that's a [ bleep ] gun. that's the real deal. >> reporter: hollie ahern, watching the carjacking, was shot in the leg. >> my boyfriend said, get down, get down, so, i got down, but i had already been shot. >> reporter: vance is injured as well, shot in the initial confrontation with police who were responding to a disturbance call. >> wow. that really hurt. see, i'm bleeding where police shot me. >> reporter: the gunman continuing his violent rampage at his relative's house.

>> you're so lucky this went down this way. i was coming for you. >> he was accused of child sexual assault and that is supposedly set him off, but we don't know that for sure yet. >> and jim avila with us tonight from oklahoma. and jim, you were telling us that authorities have little idea where this suspect is tonight? >> reporter: that's right, david. he was last seen about 35 miles north of oklahoma city. he was driving a silver stolen mitsubishi eclipse. but he stopped facebooking and he's not been seen since. he could be anywhere. david? >> jim avila leading us off tonight. jim, thank you. and now, to major developments in the race for the white house tonight. 15 days to go. donald trump telling supporters today that the polls are phony, that he is winning. hours earlier, though, he did say he is somewhat behind. and two new polls out. the abc news tracking poll has hillary clinton up by 12. late today, cnn out with its new poll, showing clinton with a five-point lead over trump. abc's tom llamas in florida, and tonight, you will hear from one

trump supporter, pleading that trump stay on-message in these final days. >> reporter: today, donald trump telling his supporters, don't believe the polls. >> folks, we're winning. we're winning. we're winning. >> reporter: trump says the polls are rigged. >> they are phony polls put out by phony media, and i'll tell you what, all of us are affected by this stuff, and what they do is, they try and suppress the vote, this way, people don't go out and vote. >> reporter: but this morning on a radio show in charlotte, a rare admission. >> i guess i'm somewhat behind in the polls, but not by much. >> reporter: if trump is sending mixed messages, his campaign manager is not. >> we are behind. and she has tremendous advantages. she has a former president, happens to be her husband, campaigning for her, the current president and first lady, vice president, all much more popular than she can hope to be. >> reporter: trump tried a reset with that speech at gettysburg, but even with the historical backdrop, he couldn't help himself. he brought up the women accusing him of sexual misconduct.

>> every woman lied when they came forward to hurt my campaign. total fabrication. the events never happened. never. all of these liars will be sued after the election is over. >> reporter: some supporters now pleading for trump to stay focused. this man appealing to trump's running mate, mike pence. >> please tell donald trump to stick to the issues and he'll beat hillary. i'm tired of the crap. if you can tell him, if anybody can tell him. >> reporter: trump's troubles getting the "snl" treatment. >> i'm completely innocent. i've said this before and i'll say it again. nobody has more respect for women than i do. [ laughter ] >> all right, all right, all right, settle down, settle down, settle down, entire planet.

settle down. >> "snl" having a field day with both candidates. and tom llamas joins us live from florida tonight. tom, i know the trump campaign feels pretty good about ohio, but they're spending a lot of time in florida. they see that state as make or break? >> reporter: that's right, david. this is a make or break state for the trump campaign. donald trump calls it his second home. he spent yesterday here. today and tomorrow, all campaigning in the sunshine state. during the primaries, he won 66 out of 67 counties, so he does have some confidence behind him. david? >> tom llamas, our thanks to you again tonight. and now to hillary clinton tonight, spending these final 15 days in this battlegrounds, as well. tonight, in new hampshire, with help from senator elizabeth warren, who went there. warren bringing up the moment donald trump called clinton a nasty woman during the final debate. and she brought it up in a state where a republican senator is trying to hold onto her seat. abc's cecilia vega tonight. >> reporter: hillary clinton in new hampshire today with the one

woman who gets under donald trump's skin even more than she does. elizabeth warren going right to this moment in the last debate. >> such a nasty woman. >> get this, donald. nasty women are tough. and on november 8th, we nasty women are going to march our nasty feet to cast our nasty votes to get you out of our lives forever. >> reporter: the massachusetts senator relishing her role as chief attack dog. >> he thinks that because he has a mouth full of tic tacs that he can force himself on any woman within groping distance. well, i've got news for you, donald trump. women have had it with guys like you. >> reporter: clinton herself says she'll no longer answer to trump's attacks. >> i debated him for four and a half hours.

i don't even think about responding to him anymore. >> reporter: with 15 days to go, she's feeling exceedingly confident. >> i wish the election were today. >> reporter: in new hampshire, clinton standing alongside senate candidate maggie hassan, going after her rival, republican senator kelly ayotte, who once called trump a role model for children. ayotte took it back, but clinton says, hassan is different. >> unlike her opponent, she has never been afraid to stand up to donald trump. >> and cecilia vega is with us live tonight. those two new national polls have clinton ahead, but it's tighter in some of the key battlegrounds. north carolina appears to be a very tight race tonight. >> reporter: that's right, david. and aides say though they are encouraged by early voting and turnout there so far, but they're hoping to get a bigger boost this week from the first lady. they call her their not so secret weapon. and she will be campaigning with hillary clinton by her side for the very first time. that happens on thursday. david? >> cecilia vega with us every step of the way. cecilia, thank you.

and to a major headline tonight, sure to fuel debate on both sides in these final days of the campaign. premiums going up for americans who depend on obamacare. a new government report revealing premiums will go up an average of 25% next year, though most of the 10 million users will qualify for more government subsidies. also 1 in 5 consumers will have only one insurer to choose from, because several major carriers withdrew from the program. the signup season starts november 1st, just days before the presidential election. we are learning more tonight about that deadly bus crash in southern california. 13 people killed, dozens hurt when a tour bus crashed into a tractor trailer on the highway. the driver is among the dead. federal investigators confirming there were no seat belts on the bus, and no signs that the driver ever applied the brakes. authorities looking at several possible causes, including driver fatigue or mechanical problems. overseas tonight, and to the american air strikes pounding isis.

the iraqis nearing the key city of mosul. and we have new reporting tonight an the horror playing out right now in that city. what isis is doing to families who are trapped there. abc's chief global affairs correspondent martha raddatz is in iraq. >> reporter: today, with heavy machine guns, rpgs and automatic rifles, iraqi security forces pounded isis fighters in villages south of mosul. the u.s.-led coalition striking from above and on the ground. and this is the man in charge of the u.s. ground forces in iraq, major general gary volesky. just after dawn, we join him on an extensive look inside the u.s. efforts. how much of a problem has the oil that isis has lit on fire and the sulfur been? >> just as you see with the visibility, but it hasn't stopped any combat operations. >> reporter: our first stop, a moonscape. the first reporters at this isolated american outpost. we are east of mosul.

american soldiers moved in here just about three days ago to help the iraqi partners as they advance on mosul. they are monitoring every strike in real time. we cannot show you the screens of the battle playing out. they've cleared it completely of isis? >> they moved their forward headquarters forward. >> reporter: driving along in mine-resistant vehicles, howitzers standing ready to strike targets as far as 20 miles away. describe how they fight. >> they're trying to defend forward, then they're collapsing back to mosul, and so the question is, how hard will they fight in mosul? >> reporter: general volesky and i walked the streets of mosul back in 2009, as the city was beginning to thrive, but then isis took over. now, the destruction isis is leaving in its wake is apparent. >> the only thing left was really what we thought was a mosque. >> reporter: but that is nothing compared to the human toll. >> and martha raddatz is with us from iraq now, and you've been in touch with a man who escaped mosul, but whose family is still

trapped inside where isis is still in control. and you're hearing about the horror that family is now witnessing? >> reporter: absolutely terrifying, david. this man's family said they are rounding up males in the village and executing them, 40 in the last couple of days. and now they are rounding up families, putting them in the center of the village and using them as potential human shields. david? >> horrific scene you describe. martha raddatz and the team in iraq, stay safe. and we thank you. in the meantime, we turn next tonight to growing outrage this evening after thousands of national guard soldiers who served this country were asked to pay back bonuses they were promised, to re-enlist and go to war a decade ago. abc's mary bruce on capitol hill tonight, getting answers. >> reporter: after serving for two decades, army sergeant robert richmond agreed to go back to war, after being given a $15,000 bonus. >> i had a contract and i served the entire contract and i risked my life to serve that contract. >> reporter: now, ten years after getting the money, the

pentagon wants it back. during the height of the wars in iraq and afghanistan, the national guard used bonuses to entice soldiers across the country to re-enlist. extra cash intended for those with skills in high demand. but criminal fraud by a national guard official dispensing bonuses led many in california to receive payments they didn't qualify for. guardsmen like christopher van meter, who survived a roadside bomb in iraq, received a purple heart, and then notices to pay back $46,000. >> it was a slap in the face. >> reporter: in california, roughly 10,000 soldiers told to pay up. $22 million already recouped. the deputy commander of the california guard says it is unfair, but that his hands are tied. >> if we could wave the magic wand and make all this go away, we would. >> but you heard from that army sarl sergeant there who said, i

had a contract, i served the contract. why do i have to pay it back? what's being done tonight to address this, mary? >> reporter: david, this ultimately falls on the pentagon, and tonight, they are looking closely at this matter, but lawmakers say this is disgraceful and unacceptable. some even calling for new legislation. david? >> a lot of people are going to be angry about this one. mary, thank you. and to the powerful storms right now rocking the west, as much of the east now braces for the coldest air of the season. let's get right to chief meteorologist ginger zee, doing double duty tonight, and ginger, what do you have? >> reporter: all right, david, get straight to that satellite image. because you have to see the impressive culprit there over the pacific ocean. that counterclockwise rotation, and the front that has caused 30 to even 70-mile-per-hour wind gusts in some mountain passes. and another one coming at you wednesday morning. the only benefit from this is for areas that need that rain so badly. you can see, up to even a half inches for bakersfield. even southern california getting in on some of that. up to five inches just north of the bay area. in the east, we've got the frost advisories and freeze watches stretching from virginia all the way to massachusetts. and there they are. the wind chills by wednesday morning. brr.

>> we knew it would come eventually. ginger, thank you. there is still much more ahead on "world news tonight" this monday. the deadly plane crash, no survivors. the final images tonight of that jet falling from the sky, just after takeoff, exploding into a ball of fire. and look at this tonight. the citizen ride-along with police, in a car when a suspect opens fire on them. you'll see the chase, and then what happens next here. and the new headline today about babies, and where they should sleep in their first year. the recommendation tonight, and it is surprising many. to write n the things they love to do most on these balloons. travel with my daughter. roller derby. ♪ now give up half of 'em. do i have to? this is a tough financial choice we could face when we retire. but, if we start saving even just 1% more of our annual income... we could keep doing all the things we love.

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or suicidal thoughts or actions. tell your doctor right away if you have these, new or worsening depression, or unusual changes in mood or behavior. or swelling, trouble breathing, rash, hives, blisters, muscle pain with fever, tired feeling or blurry vision. common side effects are dizziness, sleepiness, weight gain and swelling of hands, legs, and feet. don't drink alcohol while taking lyrica. don't drive or use machinery until you know how lyrica affects you. those who have had a drug or alcohol problem may be more likely to misuse lyrica. now i have less diabetic nerve pain. and these feet would like to keep the beat going. ask your doctor about lyrica. next tonight here, to what turned into a terrifying ride-along for a citizen who was simply in the patrol car with the officer when a suspect opens fire. here's abc's gio benitez. >> you okay? >> my face. >> reporter: it's the sense moment caught on camera in madera, california.

the young woman you hear is a civilian passenger inside a police car. she's on a ride-along to learn more about police work. at 4:34 a.m., the officer she's with tries pulling over this mazda, but instead -- >> he's not stopping? you're kidding me, right? >> reporter: and what happens next is straight out of hollywood. watch that passenger window. >> no, no, no, no, no, no, no. >> shots fired! >> reporter: the police car attacked in a hail of bullets, 14 in all. and look. two bullets hit the windshield and passed miraculously right between the officer and his civilian passenger. >> that was purely by the grace of god that these two survived. >> reporter: the passenger suffering only minor cuts from flying glass. the shooters got away, leaving their gun, but tonight, a promise from police. >> we will have people in custody before the week is out. >> reporter: gio benitez, abc news, new york. >> gio, thank you. when we come back here tonight, the missing college student, the reward now jumping to $100,000. also, that deadly plane crash, the jet coming down

moments after takeoff. new recommendations tonight for parents about babies, and where they should sleep in their first year. and, play the song -- ♪ this question, do you know the song? and who sang it? and we'll tell you why it's suddenly back in the news tonight. yes, really! don't sound so surprised. let's see it! -oh you're ready. alright, here we go. let's hear the crowd. ahhhh! i go to the right. i go to the left. fake 'em out. mama go up, up, up! she did it. -again? you can't avoid gravity. but unitedhealthcare can help you avoid financial surprises by helping you compare costs and doctor quality ratings. unitedhealthcare uh-huh

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and that unlimited 2% cash back from spark means thousands of dollars each year going back into my business... which adds fuel to my bottom line. what's in your wallet? to the index of other news tonight. the deadly plane crash overseas. video showing a french surveillance plane in malta plunging from the sky just after takeoff, exploding into flames and thick black smoke. all five people onboard were killed. the plane was part of an operation to track human smuggling and drug trafficking. there are new recommendations tonight about babies, sleep and preventing s.i.d.s., or sudden infant death syndrome. the american academy of pediatrics saying babies should sleep in the same room as their parents for the first year of their life, to reduce the risk of s.i.d.s. up to 50%. they say babies and parents should not sleep in the same bed, though. they also add that if the baby is held skin to skin for the

first hour of its life, the risk of s.i.d.s. also goes down. the risk also drops 50% if the baby is vaccinated. we do have much more on our website for you. the search for a missing student in texas tonight. zuzu verk disappearing nearly two weeks ago now. last seen leaving for a date with her boyfriend. her family pleading with him to come forward and talk to police. the reward for information has now grown to $100,000. and we do have a passing to note tonight. ♪ take good care of my baby >> '60s teen idol bobby vee has died. known for his hit songs "take care of my baby" there, "run to him" and "rubber ball," as well. vee and his band stepped into the spotlight, filling in after the plane crash that killed buddy holly, ritchie valens and the big bopper. bobby vee was 73. when we come back here on a monday night, we take you right onto the field this evening, with the cubs players. how superstitious are they now? their answers tonight, one by one.

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the world series showdown between the cubs and the indians, but after the curse, then steve bartman, how superstitious are the cubs players themselves? here's paula faris. >> reporter: for these two teams to be celebrating in october, you'd think a higher power got involved. what do you think the baseball gods are saying about this match-up, the two most starved franchises in sports history right now? >> baseball gods are probably really happy right now. >> reporter: last time you guys were in the world series was 1945. who was the president, truman or eisenhower? >> ah, truman. >> reporter: yes. were credit cards around? >> they weren't, no. >> reporter: color television? >> no. >> reporter: you are three for three. after all those years of misery and curses involving billy goats and foul balls -- do you believe in curses, do you believe in the goat, do you believe in steve bartman, do you believe that the cubs are cursed?

>> i don't -- no. i don't believe in that stuff. i like scary movies, though. >> reporter: still, some guys don't leave anything to chance. >> certain people, you want to wear the same underwear, you don't want to have to change your underwear out. i mean, you wash it. >> reporter: let's hope so. paula faris, abc news, cleveland. >> you learn it all on >>. new at 6:00 pointing fingers

from the humane society. and showers marching east and a stronger storm in the coming days. >>. we're live in berkeley. this tree just uprooted part of the street. why this taxi driver has just been named the best cabby in the country. and let's take a look outside. it shows the storm that is slowly descending across the bay area. good evening, thanks for joining us tonight i'm ama daetz. >> we're not just expecting rain, but also, wind. >> all scheduled ferry service is being replaced by bus service because of the stormy forecast. >> abc7 news was in winsor as

light showers began to fall. >> you can see rain drops on the lens of the camera. here is a look at the wind and the rain. >> drew tuma is in with a look at the forecast. drew? >> we have had the wind and live doppler 7 showing a live afternoon. right down to street level we go into the city of san francisco, beginning to see our first drops of the day over the sunset district and bay view district and daily city. light showers around kensington and piedmont and orinda. the heaviest of the rain still confined to the north bay. around santa rosa and heelsburg. and the south bay, we're waiting for wet weather. it's going to take time, and some of us may end