tv ABC News Your Voice Your Vote Election Night 2016 ABC November 8, 2016 4:00pm-11:01pm PST
just blocks apart in new york city, and just hours from now, you will see the next president at one of those podiums. a night of history starts right now. the time has finally come. they've made their case. >> we will make america great again. >> we're going to prove to the world we are stronger together. >> so, who will be your next president? right now, live from times square, the crossroads of america, with our country at the crossroads, this is abc election night 2016. now reporting, from abc news election headquarters, george stephanopoulos. >> good evening, and welcome to election night 2016. what a crazy campaign this has been. bitter, ugly, always unpredictable. the debates, the rallies, the
ads and attacks, they're all done now. the decision in your hands. our whole team is here all through the night. and the first states are in. so, let's get right to it. the polls have now closed in six states, with 60 electoral votes, and abc news can project that donald trump has won the state of kentucky. that was a state won by bill clinton twice in 1992 and 1996. republican ever since then. donald trump, the winner tonight. up in vermont, three electoral votes, hillary clinton wins those. of course, that is the home state of bernie sanders, her rival in the primaries. solid blue state. hillary clinton gets that tonight. and in the state of indiana, right in the middle of the country, donald trump wins that, as well. that was won by barack hussein obama in 2008. it's gone republican ever other time since 1964. and, of course, donald trump's running mate, mike pence, is from the state of indiana, so, right there, we see 19 electoral votes for donald trump, three for hillary clinton so far. those first three states, we can
call. polls have closed in the state of georgia, that went to bill clinton in 1992, we do not have enough votes in to protect that yet. it's been a solid republican state ever since 1992, not enough votes in there yet. state of south carolina, also solid red, went democrat only once in the last generation to jimmy carter in 1976, not enough votes there yet, either. and we also have been paying special attention tonight to 12 battleground states, those are the states that the candidates spent the most time in, spent the most money in. those are the states that are going to determine this election. one of the key ones, polls just closed in the state of virginia. they voted for barack obama in the last two elections, of course, hillary clinton's running mate, tim kaine, from the state of virginia. that is a key part of her strategy, but we do not have enough votes in to project that, so, we have some votes in, three states called so far, as i said, our entire team is here. "world news tonight" anchor david muir, we don't have a lot of results. we do have exit polls.
>> exit polls. we are seeing incredibly fascinating signs about the makeup of this country and some of the key issues as they headed to the polls today. first, look at the issue of race in this country. and in particular, the racial makeup of the voters. 70% of the voters who turned out today, white. 30%, nonwhite. that number is up from 28% four years ago, and thats that tripled since 1976. on the question of honesty, so much attention paid to hillary clinton, the e-mails, that private server. when they were asked, which candidate is most honest and trustworthy, 37% saying hillary clinton, 32% saying donald trump is the most honest and trustworthy. this is a key question, as we know, which is most qualified to be president, which candidate, hillary clinton, 53% at this point, donald trump, 37%. this is preliminary data. and on the final question, and george, we asked donald trump about temperament, he said, i have the best temperament to be commander in chief, to be president, voters were asked this question. who has the best temperament, 56% saying hillary clinton, at this point, 34% saying donald
trump. >> temperament and qualificat n qualifications. also joined by my "this week" colleague, martha raddatz is here. you spent a lot of time on the road in your car, going out and meeting voters and you really did hear this distaste for both candidates. >> absolutely distaste for both candidates. and different parts. pennsylvania, i was just back from pennsylvania, in rural pennsylvania, big trump country, hillary clinton in those cities, but the voters would tell me, i'm not really voting for that person, i'm voting against the other. and that was everywhere i went. undecided voters, even those solidly for one of the candidates, it was a vote against the other. >> not a ton of enthusiasm. our chief political analyst here, matthew dowd. what are you watching for? >> i'm watching the demographics. if these hold, it looks like a presidential year. donald trump wanted it to look like a midterm year. i remember a tied race in 2000, 18% of the vote was nonwhite in
2000 and it was a tie. this year, it looks like 30% is. to me, that's the history getting made tonight, besides potential history at the end. the history is this country has changed over the last 20 years. >> and jon karl, you've been doing a deep dive in all the states. i want to put up the 12 states we are watching, the battleground states. there they are right there. which two are you paying most attention to? >> i'm paying attention to the ones that the candidates paid the most attention to, north carolina, one of the big battleground states that was visited and spent heavily in, and florida. no state had more candidate visits and more money spent than the state of florida. and here's the thing, george. with both of those states, donald trump simply has to win. with north carolina, it is very difficult to see how he gets elected president if he loses, with florida, it is virtually impossible to see how he's elected. if i can tell you one more item here, if you are looking at florida, if you want to look at one place on this entire map, look at hillsborough county.
>> that is the bell weather county right there. we're at an odd place tonight light here in times square. we consider it the crossroads of america. i'm also joined by my "gma" colleagues who are at both head quarters right there. robin roberts is with the clinton campaign, that's at the javits center, that's the clinton headquarters tonight. ten blocks away from here, amy robach at the trump campaign at the new york hilton. ten blocks up from here. and robin, what's the mood there right now? >> oh, it's growing. the crowd, you can see, the coming in. there's a bigger crowd, george, outside, it took us about an hour and a half to gain access here. usually a short distance from our studios. we saw police presence virtually at every block. the crowd is beginning to grow, and there is a large projector that is showing the results as they come in. and the projector is hanging from a glass ceiling. and people have noticed the glass ceiling here and wondering if hillary clinton will be able
to indeed shatter that glass ceiling, becoming the first woman to be president. but you've been to these things, george. it's starting to pick up. it's a little early yet, but you can feel the energy building. >> no accident they picked that hall with the glass ceiling. cecilia vega, you have been with the clinton campaign from the very, very beginning. and one of the things they've been telling us, it seemed like they were getting momentum coming into election day. as they really look back at the convention and the debaments as the turning points. >> those are the two moments in this campaign. basically gave them their biggest bumps in some of the polls. of course, that first, the convention, the khan moment, the gold star family that ended up going at it with donald trump, telling him to read the constitution. and michelle obama's line, they go low, we go high, that became a campaign point for hillary clinton, she mentioned it almost every day. and of course, that first debate, where they just went at it. hillary clinton turning that issue into alicia machado, took that out on the campaign trail. and you saw her shift in her
campaigning, turning it to an issue of women. one that she started running on and has not stopped since, george. >> how about the lowest point? >> i got one word for you. e-mails. and it did not let up. she startled her campaign on the issue of e-mails at a low point, and she almost ended it on one, the craziest day we had on the campaign trail is that day that james comey announced again that they were investigating her e-mails, of course, we know what happened with that, nothing came of that investigation, but that was definitely one of the low points. they were gloating about how well they were doing in the polls when that happened and that took the air out of that. >> and david muir, she had such a hard time figuring out who talk about the e-mails. the first time she apologized was in an interview with you. >> you had a sense, going in, that she knew she had to address the e-mail question, george. we asked her that september day, she said, i'm sorry, and we talked about the book that she wrote right before the campaign and in that book, she talks about how important it is that a candidate acknowledges that they make mistakes. that a politician was able to call it a mistake. i said, would you call it a
mistake? she said, absolutely she would. we sat down with her in the middle of the investigation, i said, can you believe we're still talking about your e-mails? she knew it really dogged her. tim kaine came to her defense and she welcomed him in that way on particular, that issue, because she was so exhausted talking about herself. >> no question about it. let me go to amy robach at the new york hilton. not at the trump tower, amy, but you are at the trump rally. >> yes, this is the biggest venue closest to the trump tower, and that is why we are here at the hilton. a few of the thousand expected guests have started to arrive. probably one of the most exciting things we've seen is only rosa, taking selfies with some of those guests who have begun to come here, but something interesting, those guests walk through the door office this ballroom, they can each pick up one of those "make america get again" caps, those red caps. if you take a look behind me, i'd like you to look, there is one of those hats right behind me in a glass enclosed case.
there are two of them on either side of the stage. they say the reason why is because it has become the iconic symbol of the trump campaign. george? >> it certainly has. and tom llamas, you've been with the trump campaign from the start. you and i were both there in trump tower june 2015, i can tell you from my part, i had no -- there was no way i thought donald trump would be here today as the nominee of the republican party. i'm not sure donald trump thought so, either. >> george, never doubt how high donald trump thinks of himself. but i do think you're right. this was an incredible campaign. and in the beginning, there really was no campaign. it was donald trump a microphone and a twitter account. and he did so many things that were unconventional, and that's why no one believed he could get to this point. he savaged his opponents with insults. he shunned spending money on ads or a ground game. he did whatever he wanted. he showed off his airplane. there was so much going there and of course, he would make up his own facts. but it was his message and that
energy. 70 years old with that booming voice from queens, he would go into those arenas and said, we're going to build a wall and mexico's going to pay for it. nafta's killing your jobs, we're going to bombing the hell out of isis and millions of people bought in. >> and for the longest time, it looked like one of his iconic sentences, i could shoot someone on fifth avenue and not lose a vote, for a long time, that helped. >> think about how much he bounced back from. even bounced back from that horrific "access hollywood" moment, to where we're watching battleground states right now. he disparaged hispanics, african-american, every single voting block at one point or another, he had problems with. and yet he still at this point in a very close race. we can't ever deny that he truly is in many ways a comeback kid. and the reason why, he never stopped fighting. he never gave up. like him or hate him, he kept in this race the entire time. >> five rallies right through midnight last night. tom, we'll be coming back to you. want to go to times square right now. michael strahan there, as well, right down there with the
people. got a nice setup down there. tell us about it. >> very nice, george. and thank you. you got robin at the javits center, amy at the hilton. we're right here in the heart of new york city, right here in times square. and you see i'm standing on this map here. this is an interactive map. some red states, some blue states. these states light up when they're called, when the call is given for trump or for clinton. it is a booth behind me built in partnership with facebook, we're going to connect with our audience. hundreds of our audience members, people out there, going to talk about the things they are concerned about the most. things they are looking out for in this election. and wee ha have a great crowd h. a lot of trump supporters, a lot of clinton supporters, they are excited. a lot of young voters, too, here, george. see some pace university students here. so, i'm going to stay out here in times square with the people, and we're going to have a conversation about this election. >> looking forward to that, michael. we have our first tweet of the night. this is from mike pence. hi says, "thank you, indiana,
making our state the first on board to vote to make america great again." that comes from the republican vice presidential candidate, mike pence. i want to welcome back charlie gibson. great to see you. and you started covering campaigns for abc news, i think, back in 1976 -- >> it was 1876. >> one thing i'm pretty sure of, none of us has ever seen a campaign quite like this one. >> are you asking me if i've seen anything like this? no. >> and? >> that's it. i can go home. no, you know, what's dismaying, george, and i think all of us who are here, all are here because we love politics, we love this process of electing a president. it is a -- it is a moment of majesty. and i haven't seen much majesty in this campaign. david made mention of hillary clinton's book, and, chapter about when you should apologize, i think donald trump missed that
chapter somewhere along the line. and -- the toxic nature of this campaign is truly dismaying to somebody who loves politics. you know, you were all immersed in the, who is going to win which senate race, but -- being retired, i look at it sort of from 10,000 feet. and at a greater distance, and this campaign truly, truly dismays me, for the country. not just for what's happened over the last couple of months, but what's going to happen in the coming months, because the divisions are so great, and whether or not, whoever wins tonight, can govern, given the kind of toxicity that exists, really worries me. >> i want to bring that question to coe key robekie roberts. people really thought washington was broken, especially donald trump voters. it's going to be a big challenge to try to make something work there, as well. >> right. his drain the swamp was all about washington. and there's a tremendous
anti-government mood in the electorate. we are seeing that as the voters come out of the polls. they are angry or dissatisfied with the government. and they've got good reason to be. the congress has not been able to function. and they've promised a lot of things they can't do. and so, i think it's going to be -- it's going to be very, very hard to pull this together, but there's some -- something of a polyanna about this, because like charlie, like all of us here, we really do love this process, and love the politics and the country. and i think that -- i think that sometimes after even a bitter election like this, people do come together. they say, okay, this is our president, and it is exciting and let's do something. >> and terry moran, you spend most of your time in london as our chief foreign correspondent. i think a lot of people all around the world look at this election with eyes wide open. >> they were shocked, and
there's no question that it's done damage to the united states image around the world. you have don't have to look any further than iran. when the ayatollahs wanted to find the west anti-american propaganda they could this year, they showed the presidential debates to the people of iran. and then they just said, look at how degenerate and broken that system is. and for our allies around the world, friends and allies, this was a shocker, you know? they heard one of the major party candidates question the commitment of the united states to nato. that's a bell that will be hard to unring for people around the world. and even beyond that, for people around the world, for all the problems that america has, the american democracy is still seen as kind of a beacon of stabil y stability, of decency, of order, and it's damaged that. >> byron pitts, eight years ago, charlie announced barack hussein obama would be the first african-american president in the united states, a lot of people thought that maybe we're heading towards a post-racial america. clearly not the case. >> you know, throughout
america's history, there has always been a backlash to progress. 1863, emancipation proclamation, sa slavery is gone, great. 1865, the klan is born. 1877, jim crow begins. so, i think many people felt that certainly the election of barack hussein obam barack obama, people could celebrate, but what happens next? there have been countless moments, black american could raise his head when jackie robinson broke the color barrier. but, george, something happens when you raise your head, you have to look both ways because someone will be looking to knock your head off. i think black america is what's casually optimistic when obama won, but history tells us, be careful what happens after progress. >> byron pitts.
we have to take a quick break. another look at the board right now. 19 electoral votes for donald trump, three for hillary clinton. we're going to be right back with pierre thomas on the impact of fbi director james comey on this election. and we have nate silver from five thirty eight here, as well, with his final forecast. back live in times square after this.
and we are back now with election night 2016. we just heard cecile ia vega talking about the e-mail issue, how much that hurt the clinton campaign. that brings up james comey. i want to talk to pierre thomas about that. boy, pierre, james comey getting it from all sides, for coming out in july and giving that commentary after his finding that he wouldn't, would not bring charges against hillary clinton. more criticism when he came out, ten days ago, said he was looking at it again and sunday, the same thing.
how much, what kind of damage has this done to him, and take us inside his head on what he took these actions. >> george, political theater is coming to washington. both of these candidates have sharply criticized comey, about what he decided to do. now, what this means is that the fbi director found himself right where he didn't want to be, in the middle of an election, and it's going to be a prickly relationship, because they're going to have to work with him, but the bottom line is, he said that having a presidential candidate, hillary clinton, in the midst of a criminal investigation required transparency. he felt he had to do what he had to do, but one of his closest aides told me, there were no good decisions he could make, only bad ones. he made the best he could make, but bottom line, imagine that moment in the situation room for either trump or clinton, both having criticized comey and he's going to have to work with them. he's got a ten-year term that does not end until 2023. he doesn't plan on going anywhere. but he serves at the pleasure of
the president. >> pierre thomas, thank you. let me bring that to nate silver of fivethirtyeight. you do the forecasts of the polls, whatever is coming in on our abc projections, as well. before we get to that, i want to ask you about the comey effect. he came out with the letter ten days ago, looking at the e-mails again, you heard the democrats scream, and they think it really hurt hillary clinton's chances, and their chances of getting control of the senate. >> yeah, so, we had it hurting clinton by about three points on net in the polls. she regained a point in the next few days. but there were so many close senate campaigns, within a point or two that if one of them, say evan bayh, who is down in early returns, would lose by a point or so, they might be able to point a few fingers potentially. >> and nate, tell us where you have your final forecast as we're coming into the evening. >> so, we wound up with clinton having a 71% chance of winning, so, better than two in three and we'll update that as the night goes along, as abc news calls states. so far, obviously, no game
changer with trump winning kentucky or clinton winning vermont. the people i follow think the returns look good so far for clinton in florida, of course, which is a must-win state for trump. >> okay, nate silver, thank you so much. we have a group of strategists here, republican and democratic. stephanie cutter, let me begin with you. you worked on president obama's campaigns in his white house, as well. how are you feeling coming into the evening? >> i feel pretty good, listening to nate saying 72% of hillary winning. but i think what we see from the early returning is that her ground game has really delivered. especially in florida, where the makeup of that electorate is becoming all that much more diverse. so, i think it's looking good for her there, and if she blocks trump there, she's won the presidency. >> and alex castellanos, you started off this campaign not a big fan of donald trump, came onboard as the months went by. and in some ways, that is the story of the republican party over the course of this election. >> yeah, this -- we've seen it in both parties, frankly. the outsiders versus the
insiders, and in the democratic party, it was bernie sanders, trying to overthrow the democratic establishment, and they lost, but in our party, the outsider won, and that has -- it's been difficult to bring the party together in all that. we shouldn't forget that on occasion, these elections are not just about the candidates, they're about government, and both parties think the government is failing them and want change and it will be interesting to see tonight if they get that change. >> a lot of republicans never came onboard for donald trump, one of kristol. we learned today that george w. bush and his wife did not vote for donald trump. there was a big group of conservatives, including you, safing the republican party simply cannot get on board. >> we'll see what the implications of those. i see that senator pat toomey of pennsylvania waited to vote fl very late in the day and did announce that he did vote for donald trump. he withheld his endorsement or support until the very end,
which confirms the point you made to alex. most republicans came onboard, and i'm not for trump, but i'll say this. if we have a reasonably close race, if trump does almost as well as mitt romney did in 2012, better than john mccain in 2008, he will be a big force. if trump loses tonight, it's not the end of trump. may be the end of the beginning of the trump phenomenon, but the implications will ripple through the republican party. >> it may not be the end of trump, but the question for the republican party is, how do they grab onto those growing voter groups in the country? >> you're right. i have a feeling tonight, as we're looking at the exit polls, we're going to be looking at the cleavages in the electoral along race lines, generational lines, college lines. and republicans tried to draw for votes in shrinking groups of voters. >> okay, thank you all. be coming back to you, as well. got to take another quick break. when we come back, the polls close in north carolina and ohio, two big battleground
this is abc news live coverage of election night 2016. here again, george stephanopoulos. >> and we are back now. 7:30 in the east and polls have just closed in three more states. 38 electoral votes in the three states. let's look at the board right now. donald trump has 24 electoral votes to three for hillary clinton, because he's just won the state of west virginia. solid republican state, voted republican in the last four elections. of course, donald trump made a direct pitch to the coal miners in that state. very turned off to democrats. that is a win for donald trump. we're closely following these battleground states. polls have closed in two battleground states, including the state of north carolina. hillary clinton closed out the campaign last night in the state of north carolina. we do not have enough votes in
to project that right now. of course, mitt romney won that in 2012. barack obama won it in 2008. and this, jon karl, this is really hard-fought state. robb robbie mook saying, they're not even sure it's going to be decided tonight, and barack obama went in there heavy in the last several days. >> went over there huge to try to boost the turnout among young voters and especially african-american voters. the state that we are watching, florida, george, a lot of returns are coming in. look at this. we have 40% of the vote already in, and -- florida. it's been going back and forth. so much early vote. that's why we're seeing so much come in. and neck and neck. it's been going back and forth between clinton and trump. some of the key counties, i mentioned hillsborough county, we don't have anything there yet. miami-dade county, a county that is two-thirds hispanic. obama won it by 25 points back in, four years ago and it's
almost exactly the same margin that clinton is winning right now. >> and that's really interesting. the clinton campaign told us that was right on the bubble. they would have to win that by 24%, 25% to have a chance of winning the state. just about right there right now. >> absolutely. and, i mean, it's going back and forth, every minute or so, it goes back and forth. >> i know you are going to keep an eye on that. the polls have closed in the state of ohio. such a key state for so many different election cycles. no republican has ever won the white house without winning the state of ohio. not enough votes in to project what's happening there yet. this is one of donald trump's best states through the campaign. and david muir, you've been going through the exit polls, what are we learning from them? >> the working class, blue collar workers left behind in the rust belt, in ohio. look at the two questions. first, voters in ohio were asked, and this is preliminary data. your job situation versus four years ago. 38% said the job situation is better today. 35%, about the same, only 27% said it's worse today, but look at this issue that donald trump really doubled down on.
trade. he really went after hillary clinton on this, and bill clinton, his time on this and the trade deals struck under the first clinton administration. takes away jobs, 47%, concerned about trade deals, only 32% in ohio say it actually creates more jobs. so, these are issues key to trump's success in ohio. >> and ron claiborne in ohio for us. ron, i want to go to you. this has been such a competitive state for donald trump, despite the fact that the republican governor of ohio, john cakasich is against him. >> that's right, george. donald trump's effort had a lot going against him. john kasich very pointedly did not endorse donald trump. the senate candidate, rob portman, the gop senate candidate, endorsed him and after those remarks, recorded on the bus that came out, about a month ago, portman withdrew his endorsement of trump. also, the get out the vote effort here by the trump campaign considered weak. a schism in the gop party here and yet donald trump expected to
do very well here. the last polls we saw in the recent days showing him slightly ahead of hillary clinton. >> martha raddatz, you were there this weekend. >> ohio, just like pennsylvania. it is that divided america. there are parts of ohio that none of us would recognize as america. there is absolute blight. there are people who are desperate. and those are people who have turned to donald trump. and what they hear from him, i can ask voters, say, do you believe that he'll make a change, do you believe hillary clinton could make a change, and they'll say, i don't really believe either of them, but donald trump gave them some sort of hope. they didn't believe he could really make change, but it gave them hope. he said what they wanted to hear. >> and matthew dowd, one of the signs how much america is changing, right now, ohio is a state that democrats can win the presidency without winning ohio. >> i think we're going to see over the course of the night a few switches, we have to win this state in order to win the presidency, i think that's going to switch back and forth. the other piece of data i think is really important is how much
barack obama mattered in this election. if you take a look, one, he campaigned in the last ten days feverishly and helped build turnout. you look at his approval rating, one of the few things that's risen. people felt better about the president. when you look at his approval rating and how it breaks. if you approve of barack hussein obama, you voted for hillary clinton. if you didn't approve of barack obama, you voted for donald trump. >> the polls have closed in the state of virginia, one of those battleground states. let's look at it right now. we do not have enough votes in to project what's happened there just yet, but as you see, donald trump has a pretty good lead. of course, hillary clinton came into this campaign considering that one of her safer states, with a pretty healthy lead in the polls. we'll be following that all night. right now, i want to go to kellyann conway, joining us this evening. you're at trump tower, maybe at the hilton. tell me how you are feeling right now? >> we're feeling great, george. we like the fact in some of the states, it looks like a jump
bam. we're trying to protect our core four and get to 270. as you know, we've had a really aggressive campaign to try to flip a blue state or two, and in doing so, we look at michigan, pennsylvania is always what i call a reach state, like your reach college when you apply, but it's one that really, to martha's earlier point, really is attracted to donald trump's question about trade and job creation and illegal immigration. and then, of course, we're looking at a big day of vote turnout in places like north carolina, florida, nevada, where the democrats generally do a very good job earlier on, and we like to make up those gains today. and you look at michigan, pennsylvania, new hampshire, three states that don't have a very robust early vote, absentee voting would be the key in those states and so that's why we've been deploying governor pence and mr. trump back to those states where they'll be basically 100% day-of voting. >> secretary clinton's team said they were working on a victory
speech and a concession speech. are you working on two, as well? >> i was with mr. trump until we arrived to trump tower at 4:30 this morning, and he's feeling really great. he's feeling buoyant. very pleased about the movement he's created, the fact that he has given voice to a lot of the forgotten men and women that martha was talking about, in ohio for example. i feel really good about the campaign going into tonight, too. we're competitive with a candidate, hillary clinton, who is very well known, who has the advantage of a very popular president, a former president who is also popular. happens to be her husband. a lot of celebrities campaigning for her. and we didn't always have, you know, republican elected officials. we're going to win a couple of the states tonight without the republican governors or senators voting for us. >> i want to ask you about that. we know that former president george h.w. bush voted for hillary clinton. george w. bush said he left his ballot blank, did not vote for
donald trump. john mccain and mitt romney both did not vote for donald trump. how much did that hurt you? >> it doesn't help. and it's very personally disappointing, though i respect all four of the people you just mentioned, and respect their right to vote the way they'd like. i just would, what i would say to that is that we were all there for them, certainly, but secondly, you know, in growing a party, you have to count on being able to keep the party also it is together, to be able to grow it. and the irony for donald trump is, he's been able to grow this party in places and among voter groups without having the full support of some of the erectlec officials. we've worked hand and glove with chairman rins preibus and the rnc. they've been nothing but fantastic to us here at the trump campaign. but at the same time, we don't have all the senators, governors, former presidents. the irony, george, is tonight, we are poised to win states that neither romney nor mccain won and winning those states without rock n romney or mccain support.
donald trump's taken the party away from dangerously close to being the party of the elites and to the party of the working man and working women. that's a huge accomplishment. >> mr. trump talked a lot about before tonight, the possibility of some problems at voting sites. are you seeing any big ones? >> we're hearing reports of some, but nothing that's tangible enough to me to raise flags. but we do have folks giving reports anecdotally. we have positive information from the polling places today. very long lines of people in their full trump regalia, famous now head hats. so, people excited, i think you are going to see record turnout in some places. that's a great sign for the health of democracy. but we will assess that, as it comes due. if it comes due. we're really focused right now on people who are still voting in some of these states after work, looking at the data inpunts we have here in our data and digital war room to try to
see if we can piece together 270. >> i know you have a lot more work to do. thank you for joining us. i want to go to pierre thomas right now. keeping an eye on ballot security. hearing of any major problems? >> no major problems so far. things are going pretty well. nothing to speak of, george. >> okay, pierre thomas, thank you. i want to go back now to robin roberts. you're there with a member of the clinton campaign. >> yes, i am. i'm here with christina shockey. so, how has the campaign been responding to materially results we're seeing? >> we feel great tonight. as you can see, thousands of people are starting to pour into javits center to what we hope is going to be a celebration tonight. we felt great coming into today, because of the impressive early vote, in florida and north carolina. we really saw the hillary coalition come out and vote for her early. and from the early results, we're feeling very excited right now. >> and the number of people that have come out all across the country, the long lines, the wrapping around buildings and
such. >> yeah, you know, it's really exciting for us to see millions of americans are getting out there today. we're seeing democracy in ak. we're really grateful, by the enthusiastic supporters for hillary clinton. we're really seeing hillary's coalition come together tonight. african-americans, latinos, millennials, asia-pacific islanders, suburban moms are coming out to support her. we think this is going to be a historic night. >> i don't have to tell you that hillary clinton's unfavorable ratings have been an issue, and that is one of the reasons why you were brought in. what has been the biggest challenge there? >> we've had a lot of headwinds in this campaign. hillary's certainly be at the forefront of a lot of issues for many years and she takes a lot of incoming attacks. she has for decades. but she keeps in there and keeps fighting. we had some headwinds during the campaign, but she worked her heart out and i think people responded to her positive message for this country. >> the crowd is growing and they are watching the results from
the big screen that is hanging from the glass ceiling, and people have commented about the glass ceiling here. >> we think it's going to be a meaningful night. we are trying to make our capacity bigger here tonight, robin, is because so many of the people that we invited asked to bring their daughters. we had moms and dads say that they thought this was going to be a really meaningful night for this country, they wanted to bring their daughters to be here to hear hillary clinton speak. you know, i think hillary is somebody who has fought on behalf of children and families her entire life. she's a children's advocate, running for president of the united states. we think heshe's going to make history tonight and be an incredible president for america. >> a large crowd here and even larger crowd waiting outside to get in, george. >> okay, robin, thank you so much. be coming back to you in a little bit. i want to put the results from virginia up again. show the raw vote coming in for virginia. right now, showing a relatively large, rather large lead for donald trump right this, jon karl. go inside the numbers, show us
what's coming in and try to assess what it means. >> that would be shocking, because this is a state the clinton team has felt they've had a lead for a long time and the trump team actually pulled resources out of virginia, but if you drill down, you see that trump lead isn't all that it appears. first of all, virginia is a state that the further south you go, the stronger republican vote you're going to have. the key vote and the most populous part of the state is up north. fairfax county. this is a county that went 21 points for barack obama and you see there's not much vote coming in. less than 1,000 votes in there. that's going to be overwhelmingly clinton vote. and then, arlington county, right in here, nothing. nothing's come in. that's an area that obama won by 40 points four years ago. there's a bell weather county, louden county, which kind of crosses different parts of the state, and if you look at that, in that state, in that county, loudoun, clinton has the lead.
>> and matthew dowd, a real sign of a rapidly changing america right there. virginia used to be part of the solid republican south. it's been won by barack obama twice. as they get an influx of a lot of new populations. >> well, i think it's a reflection of this urban/rural split. george bush, worked on his campaign in 2000 and 2004, we never considered west virginia close to a swing state. that changed automatically in 2008, and now it's almost -- almost no longer a swing state, it's moving so rapidly blue in the course of this. it's a problematic situation for the republican party that because of these demographics, a lot of these states now are following the demographics. >> how do the republicans get virginia and states like it back? >> we have to win voters who live in denser areas. large pieces of the state are rural, but when folks are living in the sub burrurbsuburbs, urba
republicans need to win places back like virginia there. >> and stephanie rawlings-blake, you represent a city heavy african-american population, but one of the concerns, for the longest time, african-american voters were not coming out in the same numbers they were coming out for barack obama. >> i think secretary clinton really leaned on the first lady in this race, and i think you're going to see the african-american vote really come out. i think it's unreasonable to expect the vote to come out the same way it did in 2008, 2012, but i think that we're really going to show up, because we understand how important this race is. i was there at the congressional black caucus, when president obama looked into the crowd and said, if you care about me, and if you care about my legacy, then you need to support hillary clinton, and i think a lot of us heard that very loudly. >> cokie roberts, you spent a lot of time studying first ladies, michelle obama, in some ways, the star of this campaign. >> she was the prime surrogate to get voters out, and not just
african-american voters, young people. young people. really responded to her. and she just -- she took it on the trail in a way that was so meaningful. and her, of course, her popularity ratings are so high that, when donald trump just once went after her, he pulled back, the only time he really pulled back fast. and hillary clinton, of course, took up her chant from the convention of, when they go low, we go high, and took it out on the trail, but the other thing michelle obama did that was so effective was, every place she went, she'd say to the voters, just two more votes in this precinct would have turned it around, and she had all of that data that she used along with her inspirational talks, to really get the voters energized. >> and cecilia vega, hillary clinton said she wasn't voting for bill clinton's third term, wasn't running for barack obama's third tearm, but you di see both obamas come out and
president obama said, we have work that needs to get finished. >> the biggest rally of this entire campaign was just last night in philadelphia on independence mall. the obamas there, the clintons there. george, this election has very been about for hillary clinton preserves president obama's legacy, and she's using that as a way to get votes, especially with what kristina called the clinton coalition. african-american voters. latino voters. voters of color. the one group that she did not mention, which i thought was really interesting is white men. hillary clinton has had a huge problem with that from the very beginning. but george, i want to go back to michelle obama for one second. one of the most invigorating rallies that i covered covering this for the last year and a half was a michelle obama rally in north carolina, with hillary clinton. when they walked out, arm and arm in a college arena, that place went wild. and hillary clinton has tried to capitalize on that ever since that they go low, we go high moment at the convention. she, michelle obama, was hands
we are back now with election night 2016 right here in times square. and right outside, michael strahan with some clinton supporters? >> thank you, george. i'm out here with a group of students from pace university. and how many of you are first-time voters? as you can see, a lot of young voters out here. and i have mariah right here. she's 20 years old. first-time voter. she's from tennessee, and you usually are on the conservative side, but you voted for, everyone here voted for hillary. what made you vote for hillary? >> i just think that i couldn't support trump, because of his
views towards women, i think he's sexist, i don't agree with the idea of it being okay for someone to brag about sexual assaulting women. i didn't like the whole muslim ban thing. i didn't like the idea of someone calling mexicans rapists and drug dealers. so, there are a lot of things -- >> a lot of things. >> a lot of things he said that i didn't agree with. and a lot of things don't line up with what used to be the republican, like, family morals, so, i couldn't support him. >> all right, well, definitely understand that. and congratulations on being a first-time voter. your voice will be heard and we're going to go back to you, george. >> thank you, michael. want to go down to north carolina. linsey davis in raleigh, north carolina. and linsey, the polls closed there at 7:30. what do you hear there? important senate race there on the ballot and the governor is up. >> you're right, george. in theory, the polls were
supposed to close at 7:30, but because of some problems that occurred in durham county, what they're describing as computer glitches that essentially shut down voting for a period of time, they have extended voting at a few locations in durham county. as you mentioned, some calling this the tight trifecta, because you not only have a tight race for the senate, for governor, but also for president. according to the most recent polls here for president, north carolina, you have a tie between hillary clinton and donald trump. and this is the epitome of a swing state -- right? because in 2012, north carolina voted for mitt romney, in 2008, president obama. a huge help for president 0 bam that in 200 8, extremely large black turnout. hillary clinton will need a repeat of that in order to win north carolina again. but based on early voting here, the black voter turnout is nine points down this year, compared to where it was in 2012, of
course, the year that president obama lost. also, just to look at that senate race, this is being called one of the core four, obviously, democrats need four seats in order to win control of a majority in the senate. and democrats are looking very closely, thinking that they could get a win here. and then you have the race for governor here, where the incumbent republican, people are suggesting that there may be a referendum on his bathroom bill, which some estimate has cost the state billions of dollars in lost revenue, george. >> a lot of controversy in that state. linsey davis, thank you. let's keep north carolina up there, see the results as they are coming in. that's florida. let's bring up north carolina. jon, i want you to dig inside what you are learning for the counties. >> it is going back and forth. if you look at what's happening here, the big democratic stronghold in north carolina, of course, is the raleigh-durham area. one of the big strongholds. this is an area that barack obama won by a double-digit margin, not any vote has come in yet from raleigh durham.
it's big, populated. i would expect as we see more coming from there, you are going to see clinton pull ahead. you see one county here to keep an eye on that's not come in is watauga. this county's voted for the winner in every single presidential election since 1996, but again, no vote coming in. so, although you have a quarter of the vote coming in, very even, going back and forth. there's a lot of hillary clinton vote that's not been counted yet. >> exit polls coming in? >> they asked, when you made their decision, a rlot of talk about director comey's announcement, whether it would make a difference. look at north carolina. 59% said they made their decision much earlier. 18% say in the month of october. just 5% say in the last few days or the last week. and we've seen similar results from some of the other battlegrounds. and the qualities in north carolina that matter most. 35% said can bring change. 22% good judgment.
21%, right experience. as you know, donald trump was campaigning on change in washington. >> and martha raddatz, north carolina, another one of the states that's changing very rapidly. >> there's a fascinating figure here. the toddler population of this country, 3, 4-year-olds, younger, is now majority nonwhite. 70% of the electorate is down two points from 2012, so, that trend is going to continue, as those toddlers grow up. >> and it is accelerating. martha, thank you. we have to take another quick break. when we come back, polls about to close in 16 more states, including one of the biggest, one of the most critical of the night, that is the battleground state of florida. we'll be right back.
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the time has finally come. they've made their case. >> we will make america great again. >> we're going to prove to the world we are stronger together. >> so, who will be your next president? right now, live from times square, the crossroads of america, with our country at the crossroads, this is abc election night 2016. now reporting, from abc news election headquarters, george stephanopoulos. >> and welcome back to election night 2016. 8:00 p.m. here in the east. and the polls have just closed in 16 states, plus the district of columbia. let's look at where things stand right now. you see there, 68 electoral votes for hillary clinton, 37 for donald trump. the magic number is 270. here are the states that have closed. we can say now that hillary
clinton has won the big state of illinois. chef was born in the state of illinois. that is her home state. she's the winner there. democrat has won by double digits in the past six presidential elections. hillary clinton wins the state of illinois. hillary clinton also wins the state of new jersey. that is a state that's not voted republican since 1988 for george h.w. bush. one of the states where donald trump has a home, but that one's gone to hillary clinton. hillary clinton also winning the true blue state of massachusetts. it has voted democrat in the last seven elections. last voted republican in 1984. of course, also the home of senator elizabeth warren, one of hillary clinton's allies, perhaps donald trump's most determined foe on twitter. hillary clinton wins the state of massachusetts. and the state of maryland. and its ten electoral votes. hillary clinton wins that, as well. major stephanie rawlings-blake,
you have a new senator, as well. >> i do. i'm very excited. he got such a wonderful reputation in the house, and he is going to do an amazing job. and as this is all coming together, you know, i'm very excited about what this clinton coalition is going to be. i'm excited about the numbers that we're hearing and i'm very optimistic. >> more numbers are coming in. the state of rhode island, four electoral votes, again, one of those solid blue states, the last republican to win rhode island, ronald reagan in 1984. another one, state of delaware, its three electoral votes, the northeast filling in blue right now. last voted republican in 1988 for george h.w. bush. district of columbia, no surprise there, that goes to hillary clinton right there and its three electoral votes, and now one for donald trump, the state of mississippi and its six electoral votes. jimmy carter, the last democrat to win that in 1976. donald trump campaigned in mississippi, he ones that state. and the state of oklahoma, seven electoral votes.
voted republican in every presidential election since 1968. and matthew dowd, before we move on right here, what you are starting to see here is the way tradition has gone in so many of the last elections, democrats have won so many of the solid blue states for the six out of the last seven elections, appears to be continuing tonight. >> if you look at the map as it fills in, it's very much similar to a map we saw in 2012 and very similar to, for a few exceptions, to 2008. so, you see, we've seen it in the demographics, we've seen it among race, and the geography, that's settled out in the country, vast swaths are red and then there's coasts that become blue. >> let's put up the map again one more time. see where the scoreboard stands right now. 68 electoral votes for hillary clinton, 37 for donald trump so far. a lot of states coming in right now that we don't have enough votes to project, including the state of connecticut. it last went republican in 1988
for george h.w. bush. of course, that was his home state. hillary clinton and donald trump both won their primaries in april. we cannot call that one yet. tennessee, the state of tennessee, not enough data in yet on the state of tennessee and its 11 electoral votes. haven't voted democrat since 1996, even al gore, when he ran in 2000, could not win his home state for the democrats. we don't have enough data, this is a little bit of a surprise, the vote just coming in slow, but the state of alabama, and its nine electoral votes, not enough day to project there yet. not enough day to project in the state of maine, either, its four electoral votes. and jon karl, there's a little twist in maine, one of two states where they split the votes. >> that's right. so, the second congressional district of maine is way up north, they say the people up there speak with canadian acc t accents, but they vote like they're from alabama. it's part of the state that the trump team has put a lot of effort in. one of their paths to 270 electoral votes gets them to exactly 270, and they have to
take that maine congressional district. >> okay, state of missouri right now, ten electoral votes, state has gone blue only twice in the past decade, '92 and '96. not enough information in to project on that one. important senate race being held there, as well. so, we're going to spend time looking at missouri later. but these are the states we're paying most attention to tonight, these battleground states, these 12 battleground states, and the biggest one of them all, the polls have closed now in the state of florida. and that is the big one. jonathan karl, 29 electoral votes, not only are the polls closed, so much of the vote is coming in. let's look at what exactly we're seeing in that vote right now. >> well, if you take a deep dive into florida, it's been going back and forth. right now, clinton with a slight lead. but if you take a look at the counties, again, it all comes down to some of the bell weather counties. down here, miami-dade is overwhelmingly hispanic and overwhelmingly democratic.
if you look at miami-dade, hillary clinton has a big lead there, 30-point lead, a bigger lead than barack obama had in 2012. and still a significant amount of vote to be counted in miami-dade. that's going to be overwhelmingly hillary clinton. if you go up here to the panhandle, george, this is -- excuse me. if you go up to the panhandle, this is a part of florida that is overwhelmingly republican, and we see very little vote has been counted up there. so, there will be some more donald trump vote. one other county to mention is devalue count deval county, part of the state that mitt romney won by three points. right now, we have a slight lead for donald trump. the trend seems to be moving towards hillary clinton. >> there's no more important state early on in this evening. david muir, what do you have in the exit polls? >> the clinton campaign wants florida to lights out for the night. jon, you were talking about
miami-da miami-da miami-dade. if you dive in at the racial makeup of the voters so far in florida. hispanic/latino making up 18%. that's just ticking up one percentage point from four years ago. and if you break it down, when you make up your decision, many of them, 61% said much earlier than the most recent weeks. but look at this. this could be interesting, as the night plays out. when asked if trump's treatment of bothers you after the audio released from that bus, 68% of florida voters saying so far that that bothered them a lot as they headed into the polls. >> martha raddatz, you spent a lot of time on the road and a lot of the voters said it wasn't making that much of a difference to them. >> a little bit of truth in both of that. they said it made a difference, but not as much as you would expect it. and it changed over the months that i went. first, they were very concerned about it, then they weren't as concerned about it. so, they went either way. didn't seem like as big a deal as we're hearing about tonight. and i think it was very different in different states. again, if you go to the rural
areas, they knew everything about it. they knew every little change. >> let's go back to paula faris, at the university of miami. what is happening there right now? what are you feeling? >> well, i got to tell you, there's a lot of excitement from the students behind me. as have been mentioning, all about florida and trump's campaign knows that. it's virtually impossible for him to win the presidency would winning here at the sunshine state, that's why he spent more time and money here than anywhere else. in fact, both candidates have spent more time here in florida over the last month than a anywhere else. the story here, george, has been the early vote. 6.4 million floridians voted early here. we went to five polling stations, and they were virtually ghosttowns. to put that into context, that's more than the total vote here in florida back in 2000. one key demographic that david muir was just referencing was that hispanic vote. and the early hispanic vote in 2012 was 522,000. fast forward here, 980,000, 36% of hispanic early vote didn't
even vote in the last election cycle. i have to tell you, the students here, george, are so engaged, most of these students are from out of state. they know the gravity of this vote. they registered here in florida, because they know their vote is going to count. one of the students said, quote, i'm so nervous, i might pass out. but george, they want to say one thing to you. >> hi, george! >> you have a lot of fans here on the campus of the university of miami, george. >> that is good to hear. i will take that. thanks very much. let's stick in on this. i want to bring tom and cecilia here. what we are seeing with the focus on the latino vote and the early vote is the difference in the ground games between the clinton organization and the trump organization. >> yeah, they both call this a must-win state. and hillary clinton has spent a lot of time in florida, in fact, one of the things we've seen over her -- out of her campaign in the last few months is this coalition of big name celebrity surrogates. and she had this huge rally down there with jennifer lopez and latino stars, and really, she's
trying to galvanize the latino community down in florida. donald trump say, he spends half of his time in florida, that's his second home. hillary clinton is trying to get in on that ground. >> tom llamas, he did very well in the primaries. >> he won 66 of the 67 counties. the only county he lost, miami-dade. i can't tell you enough how important florida is for donald trump. it's part of their core four. it's where he had the most visits since he locked up the nomination. look at the ad spending. the clinton team, $92 million to $41 million for donald trump. now, kellyanne conway said there is one path to the nomination without florida, but many people you are chasing windmills at that point. >> another big announcement out of the state of florida. marco rubio, he was running for president earlier in the year, decided to go back into the senate race, he will come back as the senator. he has won that race, 51% to 46%, right now over patrick murphy. and jon karl, seeing a real gap here between marco rubio and
donald trump. >> yeah in miami-dade, it's over ten points. statewide, five to six points depending as it goes back and forth. rubio outperforming donald trump. it's a little sweet revenge. rube yoep's presidential campaign died in florida, when he got destroyed by donald trump. he said he was never going to run for senate again. he finally decided to change his mind to run and he had to answer for every everything he said about trump during the primaries. he never lifted his endorsement, george, but he made it clear he still does not like donald trump. >> he did vote for -- >> he did vote for donald trump. >> and he endorsed him. secret ballot. we'll see. >> we remember marco rubio from the debate. >> but you know, george, he said, during the primaries that donald trump couldn't be trusted with the nuclear codes. during the course of this election, he said, yes, he still believes that, but he still has my endorsement. >> i want to bring the republican strategists in. marco rubio, a case study in the kind of pretzels you can get tied up into when you are a republican elected official
dealing with donald trump. called him a con artist, just said he could not be trusted with the nuclear codes. yet, in the end, he comes around and votes for him. >> yes, he does. and that was the tight rope a lot of republicans had to walk, but if marco rubio is running five to ten points ahead of donald trump, i'm demanding a recount. that's -- those are not good signs early for donald trump in florida. you know, trump has been appealing to a different voter than rubio. rubio's about the future. donald trump is appealing to the republican party's budweiser voter, older, whiter, less educated, rubio is very different candidate. and you can see a different republican party than maybe younger, more optimistic, doing better in florida tonight. >> and bill, you saw the real split here between former republican officials and current office holders. the former president says, i'm not voting for donald trump. mols of the elected officials came around, finally, maybe
holding their nose, to say, i'm going to vote for him. >> there's a lot of pressure for them if they're on the ballot in particular. and that but true of rubio and toom toomey. the secret ballot is a good thing. in the general election, jimmy carter, gerald ford was on the ballot. he was the democratic candidate for senate in new york. he respected gerald ford. i don't think he had a high view of carter. i asked pat, did you really vote for carter over ford? and he gave me a long lecture on the history of the secret ballot. and how important a thing that is in the anglo-american tradition. i wonder about paul ryan, marco rubio. >> tom llamas, you wanted in on this? >> we have news coming in for the first time tonight, we are hearing frustration from donald trump, in an interview tonight over the radio, on lindsey graham not voting for him. he said, i think it's terrible. on george w. bush not voting for
him, he said, well, i think it's sad. donald trump can't be surprised. he put lindsay gram's ceey grah phone number out there. george w. bush, he savaged him on the war in iraq and destroyed his brother, constantly made fun of his brother and family. for the first time, george, we are hearing the frustration of what's happening tonight. >> got to take another quick break. when we come back, nate silver's forecast is change pg. we'll have that, plus more states. okay google, show me korean restaurants in boulder. google assistant: i found a few places. vo: the new pixel, phone by google. exclusively on verizon. the only next gen network that lets you get the most out of it. how is this possible? vo: because verizon lte advanced delivers 50% faster peak speeds in 450 cities, coast to coast. buy a pixel and get up to $400 back. and get 20 gigs of data with no surprise overages, and 4 lines for only $40 each.
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election night 2016. i want to go straight to nate silver from fivethirtyeight, our forecasting guru. nate, your forecast is changing right now? >> a little bit. we have clinton up to 78%. she was at 72% at the start of the night. as more blue states come in, predictably to her side. >> she goes up even though the states were expected to go her way? >> yeah, i mean, you know, what we're seeing is we have some semblance of a normal election night in america. you're not seeing new jersey go red or something like that. obviously, the first major swing state that's called will shift those numbers a whole bunch. and we're on the edge of four, five or six, maybe not on the edge, but monitoring four, five, six states right now. no major domino has fallen, but still, the script is going a little bit more how the clinton campaign would want it. >> we don't have any swing states we can call, but two other states can come in. the state of south carolina has gone republican, of course, we were saying it is a solid republican state. the only democrat to win was jimmy carter in 1976. and tennessee hasn't voted for a democrat since 1996. that goes to donald trump, as
well. let me bring in one of donald trump's biggest supporters, former major rudy giuliani. i like what "washington post" reporter sent out a bulletin, and you just left trump's apartment, said trump is watching everything, though i'm telling him not to. >> i meant during the campaign, more than tonight. i used to always tell him during the campaign, don't watch television, the way george w. never watched television. but he loved watching it. >> how is he doing right now? >> i never -- oh, he's fine. he's in great shape. he -- he's -- he's happy, obviously, he doesn't -- he doesn't know how all these numbers are going to turn out anymore than we do, but he's pretty happy with the information we've gotten back about where we perform, where we thought we were going to perform, so -- i hate the word cautiously optimistic, but
that's probably the best description i can give. i wish i could think of a better one. >> you say he's been happy. he's been lashing out tonight, including lindsey graham. he still seems to have some anger there. >> i haven't heard that, i mean, i can't imagine what lindsey has to do with tonight, but in any event, this is a question of, we got to find out what the voters are going to do and nobody ever knows until they actually vote. i remember in '04, kerry was going to win up until 9:00 at night and then all of a sudden, boom, it switched. >> no question. we all remember that change. do you think donald trump is at peace with whatever the voters decide tonight? >> oh, yeah. this is a very mature, very accomplished man. i think, obviously, whoever wins is going to be extremely happy and feel very satisfied with what they did and whoever loses
is going to be really disappointed, because as you know, george, this is a tremendous effort, you give your whole life to it, and you also feel tremendous sort of loyalty to the people who worked so hard for you. so, this is not something that is easy to lose, it's something wonderful to win. i expect that he's going to win it, but i certainly am not a prophet and i've seen these things switch in a second one way or the other. >> if he wins, there's been some talk of him serving as attorney general. are you interested? >> right now, i'm interested in getting through tonight. and i'm superstitious. i'm superstitious about that stuff. i never -- when i was running, i never talked to anybody about what they might do, should i get elected, even though i was a front-runner for awhile. i certainly thought about it in my head, i sort of thought about
sometimes you'd have these little dreams of who your secretary of state or your attorney general or secretary of defense would be or head of the cia, but i never talked to anybody about it, i never would let anybody talk to me about it. >> major iuligiuliani, thank yor joining us tonight. >> thank you very much, george. always a pleasure. >> jon, we're tabout to take another break. >> a few minutes ago, there was a 30-vote lead out of 8 million votes cast. florida is looking tight. trump has just moved ahead ever so slightly, but this is looking incredibly close. one thing you have to say for donald trump, they are still counting votes in the panhandle, there are still votes to come in in miami-dade county. this is going to be a contest at the end that i think is going to go right down to the wire. >> matthew dowd, you worked on the george w. bush campaign in 2000, little deja vu. >> ah, i hope we're not faced with 547 votes in this, but it looks very close. >> okay. we are just minutes away from
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try clarispray today. your voice, your vote, live from abc 7 news. >> college students at priestly call cast their ballots. many told abc 7 news they were freshmen who were only 18 and all were excited about casting their very first vote. >> independent monitors were in here lee hercules observing the vote, checking to make sure ballots
were available in the languages needed at the polling places. good evening. i'm dan ashley. >> i'm ana dade. the polls close in just about 2 1/2 hours. >> we have team coverage for you right now. abc 7 news reporter vic lee is in san francisco. >> we begin with david louie in sunnyvale. david? >> well, there has been some confusion here at the polling place at the plaza del rey mobile home park in sunnyvale. some voters arriving here found their names are not on the roster of registered voters. the precinct captain tells me the registrar of voter reassigned a number of voter around lawrence expressway and tazman drive to balance the work load at other precincts. some voters didn't receive or didn't pay attention to a notice of their new precinct. if they showed up at the wrong polling place, they weren't on the roster. however, poll workers did offer them a pink provisional ballot to save them a trip to the correct precinct. the registrar has 24 days to verify that voter registration. so the ballot will count
eventually. the process takes longer than a regular ballot, of course, some voters were frustrated but others took it all in stride. a bit of confusion here in sunnyvale, all for a plan that was -- had the best of intentions. live at sunnyvale, david louie, abc 7 news. >> thank you. now we found out about this problem from our 7 on your side hot line. volunteers have been fielding inquiries from voters all day long. >> yes, if you encounter any problems we'll look into it and get answers. number is 415-954-8151. >> vic lee is live from city hall in san francisco. >> vic, what is the situation there? >> well, first of all, take a look at city hall. red, white and blue. they just turned the lights on, absolutely beautiful. now, i talked with john arnst and he says so far it has been a smooth election. h expects a big turnout here at city hall when people leave their work. there is a lot on the ballot in
san francisco. 25 propositions, ballot measures to be exact, plus of course local, state and national elections. and it is a big ballot, with four or five long cards, they're expected by the way to release the results at 8:45 tonight. but that may all change. >> there is a line here, somewhere else in the city, people still voting? i'll hold off. i'll wait for the voting to end before i release results. >> as of yesterday, he says a third of registered voters in san francisco cast their ballots through the absentee process early voting. he hopes this year will be a record. vic lee, abc 7 news. >> thanks a lot. turnout is big in wine county. an estimated 6,000 people are voting the traditional way by walking in and casting their ballots. most of the county's 76
registered voters are signed up to vote by mail. county clerk says he expects to release the results of the election tonight at 8:01, right after the polls close. early exit polls show a record number of latino voters in california are casting their ballot today. the l.a. times reports as of this afternoon about three out of ten voters identified as latino. it is a 50% increase from the last presidential election. latinos are the largest minority group in the state, but are typically underrepresented at the polls compared with other minority groups. nice to have good weather for everyone to go out and vote today. >> it was absolutely beautiful. many 70s across the bay area. live doppler 7 showing you high clouds now. we have a high surf advisory until 6:00 p.m. tomorrow night. wave heights are building so watch out along the coast. as far as highs for wednesday, another warm one, mostly 70s, 60s along the coast. accuweather seven-day forecast, dry through thursday and veterans day as well. cooler for the weekend. possibility of a few showers as we head into tuesday.
and we are back now at 8:30 here in the east. that is the crowd for hillary clinton's campaign at the javits center here in midtown manhattan. go to robin roberts in a minute. let's look at the map, the scoreboard right now. see where the electoral votes stand. and there you see it right there, very close so far. 68 for hillary clinton, 66 for donald trump. the magic number, 270. we can now say that donald trump has won the state of alabama. nine electoral votes. last time they voted for a democrat, 1976. that was the only time since 1964. it guess to donald trump. and the polls have closed in one more state. another home state of hillary clinton, the state of arkansas, of course, her husband was governor there for many years. six electoral votes, not enough vote in yet to project a winner
right there. and of course, we are following these battleground states, these 12 battleground states that are so important in this election, and the polls have also closed in the state of pennsylvania. one of the key ones. the keystone state, a real corn cornerstone of hillary clinton's strategy. one of her closing rallies there, president obama, the first lady. this is so key. donald trump's campaign hoping this could be one of the states in hillary clinton's blue firewall that they could flip. and deborah roberts, you're in johnstown, pennsylvania, where there is a core of trump support. >> that's exactly right, george. in fact, folks are hoping that they will see some seismic activity here from johnstown tonight. i have to tell you, though, that even though this is, and pennsylvania has traditionally, in the last few weeks, tilted democratic, they are hoping to see a big shift. we're at a watch party for a state legislator, a republican, who is hoping to become the
first republican in 30 years to occupy what is traditionally been a democratic seat. they are also hoping to see this in the presidential race. this is trump territory. it's a former steel mill town, people have seen a lot of unemployment, drug problems. they feel like donald trump speaks to them. he was here about a week and a half ago, and boy did they turn out for him, george. tonight, a lot of the folks are saying they are solid by behind him. some democrats have told us that they voted for donald trump. i spoke with one woman who said she reluctantly voted for him. people said they weren't thrilled about this candidate, but they feel that he understands their problems, their pain and their suffering, better than hillary clinton. and they're hoping that this area might somehow ship this state a little bit more and maybe tip it over to the trump column. could be a long night. a lot of folks here excited and we'll see what happens. >> we will. deborah roberts in johnstown, pennsylvania. of course, hillary clinton, david muir, pinning her hopes on philadelphia and those
all-important philadelphia suburbs. >> the counties around flori philadelphia. so interesting to hear the president say, i hope the moms and dads out there will think about their daughters, the respect for their daughters, a direct appeal to the moment in the campaign when we heard that audio from that bus. we know this number so far. in the philadelphia suburbs, obama won them by seven points. hillary clinton is winning them by 27 points. if you look at what the voters said about trump and what he said about women on that audio tape and some of the other behavior towards women, look at this. 71% of pennsylvania voters said it bothered them a lot. only 28% said not at all. so, it would ail peer in the counties around philadelphia, the strategy is working. >> martha, you spent a lot of time in those counties, as well. the clinton campaign pitching directly at women. >> i have to say, johnstown, where deborah roberts is, that's the only place i asked a voter what they thought of having a female president and a man told
me, there is no way a woman could do that job. back in the philadelphia suburbs, they like hillary clinton. but they don't like her as much as they used to. i mean, the e-mail thing, we were talking about it before, that actually has some resonance in those areas. but again, they like donald trump even less. >> and tom llamas, the philadelphia suburbs, the only place we saw a speech from melania trump. >> that is right. he hoped -- outside of philadelphia, in the suburbs. he hoped that melania could win over female voters, waudz tbeca trump campaign was worried about all the comments, all the women that came forward in the last few weeks accusing donald trump of sexual harassment, melania was supposed to be is secret weapon. she gave the one speech, we didn't see her again. during your interview, he announced to her she was going to be speaking, it was news to her. we were in pennsylvania yesterday, in scranton, in a dark gymnasium. you could see the steam ridsing
from the lights and the sea of red hats and the crowd was so hangry. they were on fire. and donald trump felt off that, he said one of the most vicious lines about hillary clinton. he said, that is the face of failure. that is the face of a failed foreign policy. >> i want to get to new hampshire in a second. we have a senate race to call and congressman todd young in the state of indiana has defeated evan bayh in that state. evan bayh, a former two-term senator. former two-term governor. this is a real blow to the democrats hopes to take the senate. >> it is. getting senator bayh back into office was a key part of taking the majority. this loss means that pathway is tougher. there's still a shot, but it is getting tougher. >> but you know, this also makes missouri a race to watch, because blunt is the evan bayh of missouri. >> and he's the republican in missouri. >> and he's a republican, so,
they can balance each other out. >> and running against a real, a person that's -- jason kander, made his name in the last several months. >> todd young, the challenger, ran a classic -- the democrats recruited evan bayh, chuck schumer did it personally, and they thought this was great, get a two-term governor and two-term senator back. they recruited a de facto incumbent and allowed the republican to run the challenger race for a republican seat. and young was behind and gained 15 points in the last two weeks. >> evan bayh got hit for staying in a hotel room instead of his parent wh apartment -- >> if only that worked on the presidential level. >> it will not. >> and look, evan bayh had a 35-point lead at one point, george. this was a great recruit for democrats, or so they thought. but you know, as you said, two terms, congress, two tomorrerms senate.
by the way, we have other big news -- >> abc news can project that republicans are going to retain control of the house, right there. democrats are not going to be able to pick up enough seats to get control of the house. >> not a big surprise. but this means that paul ryan will be the man, we think, i mean, the challenge now is, paul ryan is speaker of the house. he supported donald trump, but refused to campaign with him. a lot of anger on the part of people who supported trump. and he will face a challenge to his speakership. he has control of the congress. republicans have control. but there will be a lot of republicans who, in the house, who are saying that paul ryan should pay a price for not more fully supporting trump. >> cokie and charlie, you covered the house. this is going to be a real challenge for paul ryan and who the next president is. >> absolutely. paul ryan has been saying over the last couple of days, oh, this is a lot of hype, i'm fine for speaker, everybody's for me, i've been out in all their districts campaigning for them. and that does count for a lot, as you well know, charlie, but
he's got a whole caucus that is very much opposed to him, and he's got to placate them at the same time that he'll be under pressure if there's a democratic president, to work with her. and so, it's going to be a lot of tugging on him to come. >> and then he's got to factor in, as well, charlie gibson, does he want to be president of the united states, and speaker is not the place to do it from. >> is there a question about whether he runs for president? i can answer that one with one word, too. but he has a devilish problem. and basically, he tried to finesse the trump problem, as to whether he would support donald trump or not, by simply going out and saying, i care about my members, i'm going to go out and do everything i can for them. he really worried about his on constituency in the house. but it's a devilishly difficult group to manage. as john boehner learned when he was speaker of the house. so, ryan's problems aren't going to go away. >> even if he retains control, if he has a smaller majority right there, and tom llamas, its will be one challenge to work
with hillary clinton, another challenge to work with donald trump. there is no question that donald trump was irritated throughout this campaign by paul ryan. >> george, it was the strangest political relationship. almost like love affair in junior high, like, did they break up, are they back together? two weeks ago, i interviewed donald trump and i asked him what he thought about paul ryan, he said one of the reasons he wasn't supporting him is because he thought paul ryan wanted to run for president. republicans were so upset over that. reince priebus, from wisconsin, paul ryan's state, tried to hard to mend that relationship, and just in the closing days, the trump campaign deciding to pull out of wisconsin. they didn't go there in the final days. and i can't remember, and jon karl can help me out there, did they ever appear together in public? >> they never appeared on stage together. not once. this is -- and it's an unbelievable relationship, because trump was, you know, had ryan at his convention, ryan was -- >> the chair of the convention. >> the chair of the convention, and they didn't appear together. >> even when they met in washington, you saw the shot of them going in.
they never showed each other together. >> but i tell you, ryan will face a serious challenge to his -- >> george, one of the things that we're seeing tonight, three big check marks to be checked tonight in the politics in washington. the republicans just made a big check mark. they retained the house of representatives. they are starting to look like, they just won a seat in indiana that nobody expected them to win in the course of this, that's beginning to see where it goes. so, the idea that the republican party was gone, there was an anchor on it, they retain most of the governorships, they now retain the house and we're waiting to hear on the president and the senate. so, this is a country still governed by two political parties. >> and mary bruce is in wisconsin, the home of the speaker of the house, paul ryan. mary, what's happening there? >> you know, george, paul ryan is a bit superstitious when it comes to election days. he has a ritual, he goes hunting. he did that today. he's hoping the good luck will carry over, and he's going to need it. regardless of what happens tonight with the presidential election, paul ryan's future is
at stake here. his political future is on the line. if donald trump does not win, if hillary clinton does, paul ryan could face huge, tremendous challenges regardless. he is going to be the most powerful republican standing in the house, if hillary clinton does, in fact, win. he could be an instant 2020 contender, and that means he's going to have to find some kind of way to show the republicans in congress can get something done, why dealing with the push-back that he could be getting from members of his own party who could point a finger at him if donald trump loses tonight. >> you'll be covering the house for us. i want to go back to the battleground board. and one of the key states right there is the state of new hampshire, polls have closed in the state of new hampshire, as well. don't have enough votes to project a winner right there, but jon karl, this is a small state. only four electoral votes, but on this electoral map in this year, it packs a powerful punch. >> absolutely. another one of those states that's on donald trump's path to getting exactly 270 electoral votes. he spent a lot of time there.
new hampshire is really, in many ways, the state that gave us donald trump republican nominee. remember, he lost iowa, came in second, and then he came in and had that huge victory in new hampshire, which propelled him into south carolina and onto the nomination. he's been largely behind in the public polls in new hampshire, almost throughout the course of this campaign, since the convention. this is a tough state for them. >> the republican debate in new hampshire, such a key moment in that campaign. that was the debate where marco rubio took it on the chin from chris christie. he was rising in this race for -- before that happened. >> he punched himself in the chin. >> he was repeating his argument against president obama. >> how many times was it? >> three times. three times. as a moderator, you let him do it and let the voters notice it themselves. governor chris christie noticed it, he was across the stage. as he was repeating himself, i look over at christie, he looks
at me, i'm ready on this one. i'm not in the game with you. >> there he goes again. robot. >> he brought up governor christie's name. so, we went to the governor next. >> that was pivotal. >> the other -- the other reason new hampshire so important. i want to bring this to cecilia vega, as well. if hillary clinton can hold onto the state of new hampshire, then donald trump is almost certainly going to have to flip one of those other big blue states right across the stop of the midwest. >> absolutely. and you've seen her concentrate on new hampshire a lot recently, in fact, she had a rally there not too long ago, with massachusetts senator elizabeth warren. this is bernie sanders' backyard. you go back to that primary, the hard-fought primary she lost in that state and now she's trying to turn it to her camp. she is, this is one of the states where we saw her reach out to millennial voters, where she really struggled with that. interesting to see how this works out for her tonight. the clinton camp is watching this state closely. >> more senate news, coming from the state of illinois. and this i a pickup for the democrats. congresswoman tammy duckworth, a
veteran, who is -- defeated senator mark kirk, he was seeking a second term. you see it right there. tammy duckworth, that is a pickup for the democrats. they need four, if hillary clinton wins the white house to control the senate, five if she doesn't. that is the first pickup there for the senate democrats, and stephanie, that was one that was long expected. >> long expected. she has been running very strong there for some time, against mark kirk, incumbent senator. and recently, they've had some explosions over racial comments he's made. so, she really tied up the race in the past couple of weeks. the probability of her wins was only going up. >> the democrats plus-one right now. and while we're here, let's go back to florida. that state, so important, how much do we have in right now? >> well, it is close. 48% clinton, 49% trump. trump has beenn gaing here. 91% of the precincts reporting, but zoom in here a little bit. if you want to see one story to
tell you about trump's strength right now in florida, it's the county of valucia county. this is a county that romney won, but barely. he had 111,000 votes. i'm on brevard, i'm sorry. there it is. you have 140,000 votes until volusia county. 30,000 more votes docked than mitt romney in 2012. florida, we have 10% of the state to count. this is, i think, going to be very close. look back at miami-dade county, again, this is the big overwhelmingly democratic largely hispanic county, and we have 91% reporting, so, we'll have -- >> and what is the vote, with 91% in there, what is the vote gap? >> the vote gap is almost 30 points. she's doing better in miami-dade
than barack obama did, and in fact, if you look at our exit polls, she is outperforming brk w barack obama among hispanic votes. 29% ahead. obama won by 21%. so, she's significantly -- doing significantly better. >> have to take another quick break. more results coming in. we'll be right back. >> back live in times square after this.
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back now, election night 2016. let's take a look at where things stand. put up the scoreboard of the electoral votes won by each of the candidates right now. 68 for hillary clinton, 66 for donald trump. couldn't be closer right now. let's take a look at those battleground states, the 12 battleground states we are following closely. let's pull up one of the key ones, state of ohio. jon karl what are we seeing? >> this is a battleground that trump had been winning in virtually every public poll coming into this election. but if you look at this right now, there's only about a third of the state that's been voted, but hillary clinton has a narrow lead and there are signs of trouble for donald trump. take for instance, delaware county. delaware county, which is right above columbus. this is a county that mitt romney won by more than 20 points. if you look at it right now, donald trump has barely a one-point lead in delaware
county. >> as you said, a third of the vote in. matthew dowd, this is key, as well. as donald trump continues to do, hang in there in florida, maybe gets the win in florida, if h hillary clinton wins in ohio, that cancels it out. >> donald trump, i mean, what's fascinating to me is, she's running up in their margins in all the places that she needed to in florida, and other places and he's running up his margins in all the places he needed to. so, that's why we're seeing such a competitive race. >> alex, you've done a lot of races in florida. >> a lot of races. if you look at the northern counties, nonurban areas, there seems to be a bit of a trump wave. those counties are dramatically overperforming for trump. if that's true in other places like ohio and north carolina, we ought to keep an eye on some of the rural counties, because they may help balance the scales. >> trump overperforming up in the north, clinton overperforming down in the south. >> so, what happens in the i-4 corridor? my home county, orange county.
it's a county that dbarack obam. i'm showing donald trump losing it by 24 points. doing worse in some of the counties. bear in mind, what's interesting about orange is that you have a real big influx of folks coming from puerto rico. these are folks who are u.s. citizens, they can vote. the latino population in florida is not just about the cuban vote in miami-dade. it's becoming more diverse. this is a big reason why this central florida maybe be tougher for donald trump this time around. >> and bill, the cuban vote is also changing in florida. >> right, it is, the younger generation. the younger generation is different from alex's generation, which is different from alex's parents generation. you mentioned that trump's overperforming in the north and hillary clinton in the south, the electorate is overperforming. just looking at the raw numbers here, we're going to have a massive turnout in the competitive battleground states. for all the talk about how unfavorably viewed they both were, going to be a low turnout election -- we must have the
most americans voting ever. >> you spent a lot of nights sweating out florida results. what are you looking at right now? >> looks like we're going to be sweating it out again. i think it's going to be very close. there's still a good sizable vote out in the miami-dade area, which could bring her over the top. i also think in the i-4 corridor, it's increase in latino votes, but this is an area where, in the suburbs, we can see the white college educated women come out in large droves for her, too. that's part of the story in florida that we haven't seen yet. >> want to go back to robin roberts, there with brian fallon from the clinton campaign. >> you've been very patient, standing here with us. watching intently, listening intently what are you hearing and how are you feeling about florida right now? >> well, a state like florida is important, but it's important to keep it in perspective. there is a large portion of the vote still out in southern florida. looking at miami-dade and brow ward, where you are seeing a
record set a couple hours before the polls closed. we're outperforming president obama in many key counties in florida. if we do win florida, the story of it will be the surge you've seen in the latino vote. to the point just made on the panel, we had a very targeted strategy, recognizing that the latino vote is not a monolith. we've talked to the puerto rican community, the cuban community, and the mexican community, when you look at a state like nevada. we have taken a strategic approach. that could make the difference. but while florida is important in terms of if donald trump loses it, very hard to see how he could get to 270, it's not going to be decisive for him just if he ones florida. he's going to have to run the table. not just win florida, win ohio, win north carolina and then paul off a michigan or a pennsylvania, and right now, the latter two states, michigan and pennsylvania, we feel very good about. >> you want to talk about, quickly about the stage here. >> the stage is symbolic, too. it's cut out in the shape of the
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there's nothing "or something" about it. panera. food as it should be. your voice, your vote, live from abc 7 news. >> live to the special election night coverage. the polls close in just over two hours now. good evening. >> turnout has been strong across the bay area as voters decide on 17 state wide propositions. let's look at oakland at the alameda county registrar of
voters office. voters can drive up and drop off their ballots. they're stuffed in big yellow trolleys and wheeled inside to be counted. >> and kristen sze will be monitoring returns all night for us. she's here with a look at a sweet issue that voters will decide on in several bay area cities. >> we're talking about a penny per ounce soda tax, three bay area cities are voting on it. san francisco, oakland, albany. berkeleys had a soda tax and a study found after it passed low income and minority residents drink less sugary beverages. soda taxes have been rejected in the past. this time they have spent over $50 million combined to sway your vote. so we'll be watching the soda taxes closely tonight. polls close at 8:00. >> thank you. now state wide a lot of people will be paying close attention to proposition 64, which would legalize recreational use of marijuana. california's nonpartisan legislative analysts office estimates that the state could
collect a billion dollars in taxes a year. opponents say it will control and regulate marijuana. opponents worry about safety, citing problems in other states which have already legalized recreational use such as colorado. >> we'll have another abc 7 news update in about 30 minutes. always get updates on our news app and abc news.com. >> the app comes in handy on nights like tonight.
back live in times square. here again, george stephanopoulos. >> it's 9:00 p.m. here on the east coast. the polls have just closed in 14 more states. let's put up the scoreboard, look at where things stand. donald trump with 127 electoral votes, hillary clinton with 97. we're paying so much attention to battleground states. and let's look at florida, there you see it. just about 100,000 votes separate donald trump and hillary clinton. and rebecca jarvis, you've seen an interesting development? >> with the polls so close, we're actually seeing a selloff
in the -- [ inaudible ] >> rebecca's microphone went off. you're seeing a selloff in the mexican peso. >> yes, about 1% -- >> we'll come back to you. and jon karl, the votes are so close right now. >> it's unbelievably tight. trump has well over 100,000 votes. but i think hillary clinton will bounce back. miami-dade county, 93% of votes in. but in broward county, went overwhelmingly for barack obama in 2012 and 2008, only
p precincts reporting. >> and north carolina, about 4,000 votes separate them. another one of the changing states. >> well, the halfway point between raleigh durham, is apex. in 2000, it was 90% white. today, a town of 42,000. the hispanic population is up 40%, the black population, up 80%, asian pacific up 60%. so, this is no longer jesse helms' north carolina. and donald trump had three offices in north carolina, hillary clinton had 33. >> and texas, 38 electoral votes, one of the biggest prizes
on the board. and donald trump, the projected winner. matthew dowd, democrats hope the state is changing, but not quite yet. >> yes, there was a huge increase in latino vote, but it seems to have trended back. i think what you're going to see is a less of a margin a typical republican gets, but it's still a red state. >> another republican state, kansas, six electoral votes. republican dominated the state, it goes again to the republican, donald trump. state of nebraska, five electoral votes. donald trump, only projected to win four. >> well, it splits its vote.
the second district, it's a place that the clinton team is very hopeful to pick up. >> they paid some attention to omaha. >> and not just omaha, states they never paid attention to before. arizona, who would have ever thought we would be talking about arizona. texas, they had hopes there. they were even looking at utah. this map has changed for them. they have their sights set high. we will see. >> a lot of red there right now. south dakota, three electoral votes there. that will go republican as well. only voted for democrats in four presidential elections, the last time in 1964. north dakota, their three electoral votes go to donald trump as well. and wyoming, three electoral votes, that goes to donald trump
as well. and let's put up the map. right up the middle of the country, straight down the middle, you have a line of red. right there for donald trump, across the south also. a few states for hillary clinton, and one in blue, the state of new york, 29 electoral votes. goes to hillary clinton, voted democrat in every election since 1984. tom llamas, at the beginning, donald trump kept talking about winning his home state. >> he said he was going to win new york, he said he felt the people of new york would go for donald trump. the only campaigning he did was around trump tower and manhattan. we just got word mike pence is on his way, and we bet they're watching florida, florida, florida, right now. >> and a lot of states we can't project, louisiana, eight
electoral votes, new mexico, five electoral votes, the democrats hoping for a win there. part of their solid blue wall. before 2008, it was a swing state. the democrats had been counting on it. and donald trump had a real feud there with the republican governor. minnesota, ten electoral votes, not enough data coming in yet to project that one. that was a state that donald trump made a late play for. one of the things we saw, tom, they thought he was going to go to wisconsin, trump saw polls, and went elsewhere. >> they put together a last-mineral last-minute rally in minneapolis. it was one of their biggest ones, during a vikings game. >> that's a solid blue state, going democrat every single election since 1976.
>> false hopes, it's a tough state for republican. >> it is a tough state for republica republicans. but let's go to the battlegrounds. florida. >> florida, florida, florida. i mentioned in the beginning, the state that's been the bellwether has been hillsboro county. take a look. hillsboro county, hillary clinton has a big lead. that doesn't mean it's going to continue to be a bellwether, but it's always been one. overall in florida, the count is incredibly tight. it's still donald trump with a slight lead, but as i mentioned, a lot of democratic votes still to be counted. >> polls just closed in other battleground states. michigan, 16 electoral votes, voted for bush in 1988.
that's one of your home states, matthew dowd. michigan has also been one of the states, like pennsylvania, republicans towards the end think, this is one we can get. >> they looked at the limited nature of the map for donald trump, the places where he could win the election, he needed to flip a blue state. they went for wisconsin, pennsylvania, then settled on michigan. then the clinton folks got nervous about it. hillary went there, sent a whole bunch of surrogates there in the last days. it's a state that's divided. detroit will vote overwhelmingly for hillary clinton, and the rest of the state will vote for donald trump. >> david kerley is there. what are you seeing? >> exactly what matthew is talking about. the trump campaign believes it's all about turnout. they were hoping to get people out in the rural areas, and that is one way he may be able to
crack this blue wall. and the campaign was hoping the african-american vote would be lower. it was only 2% lower according to the exit polls. and 2 out of 10 voters were white educated women, and clinton is winning them by ten points. not a lot of votes counted here, but hillary clinton has the lead at this hour. david muir, jobs are always such a big issue in the upper midwest. >> yes, and that's something that donald trump tried to capitalize on. voters were asked what do you think about your job situation, 39%, better, 26%, about the same, 25% worse. and the president and hillary clinton were there the last 24 hours, they wanted to do the early voting states first. what we couldn't find out, were they truly worried about michigan in the final days?
and perhaps trump's campaign will wish they had a better ground game there all along. > we have another call, we can say abc news can project that donald trump will win the state of arkansas. it's been a republican state, and it's going to go to donald trump, six electoral votes. let's go back to the battlegrounds in the upper midwest. wisconsin, ten electoral votes. tough state for donald trump in the primaries. he lost that state to ted cruz, we don't have enough votes to call that right now. and bill kristol, this is a state where the conservatives never warmed to donald trump. strong talk radio voices there,
just didn't like him. >> it's the mormons in utah, and the midwesterners in wisconsin that resisted donald trump the most. and paul ryan's state, he will be under great pressure from within his conference. but if the republicans hold the house, don't win the presidency, and maybe lose the senate, paul ryan is the one guy that came through. people like me criticized him for being too nice to trump, bei being too accommodating, if he preserves the majority, he could be the most valuable republican of the night. and connecticut, hillary clinton winning the seven electoral votes. 104 for hillary clinton, 129 for donald trump. and another battleground state, colorado, 9 electoral votes in
the west. the whole state votes by mail. voted democrat in 2008 and 2012. and matthew dowd, colorado, strategists look at virginia and colorado as a pair. the states tend to go the same way. >> i think we're going to see them going in the same way. virginia is close, colorado will be close. another state where the divisions within the state, denver and boulder, are different from the rest of the state. and just like places like florida, michigan, these geographic pots of votes each side is getting and turning out. >> another battleground state, the state of arizona, with its 11 electoral votes. clinton team went there late, michelle obama, spent some money there, even though it's been a solid red state. >> yes, a democrat hasn't won in 20 years.
but colorado, same thing, they were hoping the latino vote would come out. colorado, a state they thought they had locked in early on, and went back towards the end and started pouring more ad money in there. arizona, they think they had this locked in. >> they don't need arizona, but that would be big news there. they would love the state of florida. going to stay on the state of florida, because it's so close. what are you seeing, jon? >> florida still remains unbelievably tight. can i give you one on colorado since i'm right here? this is jefferson county, colorado. a key swing county, western denver suburbs. she's outperforming barack obama, so that's a good sign. but florida, we're still
48%/49%, trump still with the lead. but let's check the counties outside of miami. broward county, overwhelmingly democratic county, 48% reporting, still over half to be counted. >> so, we're going to have this race, the panhandle versus broward county, getting in the last several votes. >> i think it's going to come down to a few thousand votes. we saw that in a lot of the polls, florida is one of the pivot states, all the polls, some had donald trump or hillary clinton ahead, but they were all within a point. and it looks like florida will be within a point. >> another quick break, we'll be right back.
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welcome back to abc news coverage of election night 2016. here again, george stephanopoulos. >> we're back in times square. let's look at where the map stands. 104 electoral votes for hillary clinton, 129 for donald trump. the magic number, 270. let's check in with amy robach, at trump headquarters tonight. >> that's right. we're seeing a very different scene than about 30 minutes ago. a lot of cheers, a lot of energy as the results start to come in. anytime someone starts talking about florida, you hear the crowd erupt with usa, usa. smiles, laughing, something i wasn't seeing an hour ago.
people are becoming a lot more hopeful than earlier in the evening. >> and matthew dowd, he's in the game. donald trump is in the game if he can put out that state of florida. >> yes, he's definitely in the game. if she won florida, slam dunk, there's really no path for him. florida is the pillar of the game he needs to keep running. florida, north carolina, then across the country. but florida is the first one. >> but not hillary clinton. not pivotal for her. >> show the states he's got to win. >> it's basically 12 battleground states. looking at the one going into today, hillary clinton had a lead. she's already got over 270. what trump has to do, win all the ones we had as toss-ups,
florida, north carolina, then a traditionally blue state, like nevada. >> and as we watch florida and north carolina, two states so close between hillary clinton and donald trump, if he manages to win the two states, then he has to find some of the northwestern blue states to pick off. >> if he's not going to win in nevada and new hampshire, he has to get one of the biggies. one of them, the state of michigan. it's a state that democrats feel good about, but were the most nervous, you could say about any of the industrial, midwest states. >> and david, one of the signs why donald trump is hanging in in florida? >> well, the clinton campaign
looking at women voters in florida, zeroing in on the exit polls. clinton getting 51% of the women voters with trump's 44%. in florida, of all the battlegrounds, is where she's performing at this level, surpassing this level in every other battleground. >> and stephanie, there was a sign of nervousness in the democratic camp in michigan. take us through the states they're worried about in the midwest? >> in michigan, they do think it's going to be much closer than 2012. they think white, college educated white women will bring them over the top. looks like the african-american vote is down a little bit in michigan, and the rural vote is significantly higher than it was
in 2012. so, it's going to be very tight. in ohio, much of their early vote was very good in ohio, outperforming where president obama was. some bellwethers are not in yet. much of is areas outside of cleveland and cincinnati. and in pennsylvania, they feel very good about pennsylvania. from all signs, traditional republican counties outside of philadelphia are going for her in very strong ways. that's a strong sign for what happens across the state. >> and florida may be telling us about the future of other states. hillary doing well in the i-4 corridor, that may mean she'll do well in florida. and trump may do well in michigan. >> and ten battleground states
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miss out here tonight. cars are pulling up to vote, a fairly popular vote with this drive-through voting. 63% of voters are voting by mail this election. they're walking up, driving by and even biking in their ballots. all day and into the evening voters drove up and dropped off their ballots. >> seeps lims like a positive experience of the convenience of driving up their car and knowing that their vote has gotten in. >> reporter: also ballot trol y trolle trolleys. the teams of workers are zipping around to move ballots, replacing old plastic bins. it was hard to keep up with the ballots stuffed in new locked containers located in downtown oakland and at 14 city halls. making voting more convenient is expected to lead to alameda county breaking their previous
voting record set back in the 2008 election. just inside the precincts they're going to shut down this drive-by voting line at 8:00 tonight. now, the campaign for the first open senate in california in a generation is getting a lot of attention. >> kamala harris and loretta sanchez are running for the seat to replace retiring senator barbara boxer. >> laura? >> reporter: hi, dan. well, they have blown up the balloons. the lights are set. they're doing a sound check behind me for what kamala harris and her supporters are certainly hoping is a victory party here later tonight. we are about three miles from te election headquarters of loretta sanchez a 20-year congresswoman and harris's rival. harris and her husband went to their polling place, also here in southern california, also this morning.
harris has the support of retiring senator boxer, dine fieinstein feinstein, governor brown and president obama. >> it's the first time that we make a change in 24 years. when i looked at the candidates, who ran, including the ones still running against me, they just don't have the experience. >> i think voters are smarteren than that and they will make their decision based on our track record and who has done what for their issues and interests. >> reporter: harris and sanchez support education reform and obamacare. sanchez has blamed harris for rising crime rates in some parts of california. now, we should start to see the returns here in southern california throughout the state just a minute or so after 8:00. of course, we will be here and we will have any reaction for you. lo
today house minority leader nancy pelosi blames comey's decision to send a letter to congress two fridays ago about the clinton e-mail investigation was like a molotov cocktail. >> he became the leading political operative in the country, whitingly or unwhitingly. wittingly or unwittingly, what he did was wrong. >> comey's letter alerted congress that the fbi was reviewing new e-mails that could be pertinent to the clinton e-mail investigation. >> now, we will send out election updates through our abc 7 news app. download it tonight and enable push alerts to be the first to get election results on your phone or tablet. >> election news continues with live resulted from abc and
and we're back now, 9:30 p.m. in the east. election 2016. let's look at where things stand right now. 104 electoral votes for hillary clinton, 129 for donald trump. it takes 270 to win. and let's go right to jon karl for the latest on florida. >> it's as tight as it's been. donald trump still has a lead, a significant lead. but again, as i mentioned before, the miami area, specifically the county just above miami, broward county, this is an overwhelmingly democratic county.
more than a third of the vote is still outstanding. hillary clinton can still harvest enough votes there. >> how much vote is in so far? >> the overall vote, about 90%. let's take a look, overall. 94% of the vote in florida is in. >> and you have it a little bit more than 100,000-vote lead for donald trump. and north carolina, let's see where that stands. there it is right there, 49% for donald trump. about a 60,000-vote lead in north carolina for donald trump. >> multiple states are going to go down to the wire, we may not even be decided by this evening. it's going to be a close race. >> one state that hillary
clinton is counting on, the state of new hampshire. let's pull that up. there you see, donald trump ahead there. about 78,000 to about 76,000 in the state of new hampshire. >> and new hampshire is a state that is critical to one of donald trump's path, and, george, incredibly close. >> and another one that's close, the state of michigan. blue state of michigan, as we said, a lot of attention there. donald trump ahead, about 30,000 votes over hillary clinton. and cecilia vega, this has to be unnerving the clinton camp a little bit. >> they were a little uncertain about michigan going in. they thought they had it in the bag, then got nervous and went back. hillary clinton, former president clinton, president obama was there. this is a state they want to win, they're not 100% sure about
it. and the issue of trade has come up, especially in the primaries with bernie sanders and her issue on tpp, and her flip-flop, as he would say, on that. it's been used to illustrate what her opponents would say, inconsistencies, hillary clinton's willingness to change what she says. >> and another state coming in for donald trump, louisiana, eight electoral votes coming in for donald trump. and you're seeing the map fill in red across the south. and down the middle of the country. tom llamas, what are you hearing from the trump camp? >> right now, the campaign is buoyant, feeling happy. there is a tweet, eric trump tweeted out a picture of trump with governor mike pence in their headquarters, they're saying they're excited and like
what they're seeing. we'll see where it goes from here. >> but right now, this could be, as you were saying, moatthew, a very, very long night. >> we're seeing donald trump overperform in a lot of places that people had questions about. but he's in many places, setting records in rural areas. >> alex? >> the missing trump voter that we've all been wondering about, they've shown up. in rural america, voting in intense levels. that may mean he can hang on in north carolina, and maybe in michigan. if he can do that and keep arizona, that would get trump to 275. >> martha? >> and i saw enthusiasm for trump in the rural areas. they were concerned in ohio and pennsylvania that they could get the vote out. talked to some gop chairman
there, saying we're very worried because there's no organization there, but in the last couple of days, they saw that ramp up. i traveled around, trump signs all over the place. they were doing it themselves, people would put signs in front of their houses. and in those areas, the economy is very, very important. it's the number one issue, for example, in ohio. and that's where trump is leading, among those who are worried about the economy. >> and this is the exit poll in michigan, look at this. donald trump, 54%, to hillary clinton, 39%. this could illustrate the success he's
america tonight. >> and here's why they're smiling. if you look at the key states, new hampshire, michigan, north carolina, and florida, right now, they're still counting votes. but right now, in florida, he still has that slight lead. in north carolina, he has the lead, very close. in new hampshire, looks like he has a chance to do something in new hampshire. and michigan, only 18% of the votes counted, but he's off to an early lead. but one note of caution to the folks at trump headquarters. florida, back to the ever-important county of broward county. 75% of precincts reporting. more than 200,000 potential democratic votes still to be counted there. >> and hillary clinton has been there four times in the last few
days. florida, they've invested in ads and visits. one of the most traveled-to states since early voting began. trying to lock in the early vote, build up a firewall against donald trump. try to lock in the voters. we talked about the i-4 corridor, and the demographic has shifted there. cubans, puerto ricans, living there. >> and there's this real split between rural and city areas. >> yes, a middle school mock election in new bethlehem, pennsylvania, trump gets 86% of the vote from the kids. and i say, can you work with the
hillary supporters to make the country together? and they said no, we have to split the country. and i said, we tried that, it didn't really work. on june 23rd, i stayed up all night in london, covering the brexit thing. at first, they looked like they lost it, then more results come in. i have a sense of deja vu happening here. >> byron pitts? >> i'm fascinated by the change in america, in 1967, a commission came out that said, there are two americas, one black, one white. now it seems we've gone in a different direction. many minorities feel like
america is better for them. there are more black people in college, life expecexpectancy h increased, but for rural working class white america, seems like they're unhappy. >> they've been stuck for a long time. and one way to put it, the difference between starbucks and budweiser america. >> yes, the 22 states you can look at hillary clinton carrying, 16 of hers are in the top half of starbucks. donald trump's, 18 of his 25 are in the bottom half, low starbucks. that's why this is the last election that republicans can try to win with the old white
guy strategy. it nearly blew up the car this election. so, the challenge for republican, we need to be a party that appeals to more americans than just that. how do we appeal to the i-4 corridor, the younger, educated voters. >> mary? >> i think it's going to be hard to appeal to those voters when you don't have any understanding of urban america. when you, the only thing you can say about american cities is that they're basically cesspools, almost 90% of the population lives in cities and metro areas. it's no mistake, this is going to be a city versus rural vote. >> and jon, let's also look at another battleground state, virginia. one that hillary clinton is
counting on. what are we seeing here? >> this one looks tight, too. 79% reporting, and donald trump still has the lead in virginia. i should caution once again, we see the democratic counties coming in slower. maybe one of the most important, fairfax county. just north of d.c. 80% reporting, clinton has a 33-point lead. but virginia is closer than i would have thought. >> i want to bring in donna brazile. the chair of the democratic national committee. how worried are you with the close states? >> we're still confident that will are lots of votes that still haven't been counted. lots of votes in traditional democratic areas, and i'm still
confident. i've talked to the team back at the headquarters in brooklyn. we know based on what we've heard early in the day, with the kind of lines we saw, not just in durham and north carolina, the lines that we knew existed in detroit, the lines in pennsylvania, at the end of the night, i'm confident, maybe it's too early to count all of the votes, but as soon as they're all counted, we'll see the democrats will overcome some of the shortages we're witnessing right now. >> i had some people telling me they're sensing some weakness in flint and detroit. >> earlier today, some of the voters we rely on, they tend not to vote before 4:30 p.m., 5:00 p.m. i was on several radio stations encouraging people to stay in line. detroit, flint, earlier today, it was slow, steady.
but then they started to come in after 4:00 p.m., 5:00 p.m. this afternoon. the last message i had an hour ago was to remind people to stay in line. they have the right to vote, if they stay in line. >> and you remember well, the days of the recount in florida. are we headed that direction again? >> i hope not. but if that happens, we're prepared in florida and any other state for that outcome. but right now, i want to see what happens in broward and west palm beach. i'm optimistic, even if we can't overcome that big hurdle, we still believe there are enough votes out there, before we start popping the champagne. >> and donald trump has been bringing it up over the last several days, what was revealed in the wikileaks, any regrets about giving out questions to
the clinton campaign? >> as you know, i've never had access to questions. as a strategist, i work with topics, trend lines, but the event they claim the debate questions, as you well know, it was a forum. i have enough time to make my case, but right now, i'm focused like everybody else on the campaign. making sure every voter in line stays in line, and we believe there are still votes to come in all across the country for hillary clinton. we're expecting a big night tonight. >> and paula faris in miami, we talked about the possibility of a recount. walk us through what procedures are in place. >> i don't mean to give everybody in the studio immediate indigestion, it is time to talk about a mandatory
recount. if the differential is 0.5%, it will be ordered by the secretary of state, and will be completed by next thursday by 3:00 p.m. these are the rules in place, 50,000 votes. and right now, they're still coming in from democratic-heavy broward county. 50,000 votes, automatic trigger for a mandatory recount. >> and you're seeing something in virginia? >> well, jon has been talking about the northern virginia vote. you get so caught up in the numbers. the tightening, it's just an amazingly close situation. virginia is now an example of it. >> it's a state that the trump campaign has essentially written off weeks ago. this became much less of a
battleground. the assumption was that hillary clinton had a big advantage. >> they had stopped advertising there. >> and let's not forget were tim kaine is from. he's the senator of the state. i would love to hear from someone in the clinton campaign about this. >> tim kaine has never lost a race in virginia. coming up, ten states still heading to the polls. we'll be back with you live when we come back.
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and we're back now, election night 2016, coming up on 10:00 p.m. in the east. let's look at where things stand in the electoral college. 104 for hillary clinton, 137 for donald trump. you need 270 win. and jon karl, so many close battleground states right now. >> florida, north carolina,virginia, michigan, surprisingly close, and new
hampshire. let's look at where all of them stand. in florida, donald trump still has a lead. north carolina, donald trump has a lead. in virginia, donald trump has a lead. a lot of democratic votes still to be counted in northern virginia. but virginia will be incredibly close. whether or not he wins, it will be cleoser than anybody thought. in michigan, a state with only 21% in, but donald trump, ahead. >> and matthew, these states are all so close. coming into the race tonight, it looked like hillary clinton, a convergence of national polls had her at about a 4% lead. >> i had her at about 5%. but what we're seeing, a divergence between the national numbers, and the possibility that hillary clinton could win
the national vote by a large percentage, four or five points, and possibly by a few thousand votes. we have no idea what will happen in the electoral college. >> if donald trump wins in three or four states, he becomes president. florida, north carolina, virginia, or florida,north carolina, and michigan, he's there. >> if he wins one of the states up in the north, michigan, pennsylvania, he has a real possibility right there. cokie, incredible. >> it's very different from what we were seeing going into it, and from what we were seeing earlier this evening. and a complete reversal in terms of the electoral college going for her, and maybe the popular vote going for him. that was an earlier theory. and what it is is, the rural votes getting out. it's the non-college educated people getting out.
people that feel like the new america has left them out and left them behind, economically and culturally. and they're ready to show their distaste for the current country. >> charlie? >> what's dismaying about this, to me, looking at this from a distance, the disparities in so many groups. such a difference between urban and rural, men and women. such a difference between college educated and not. between whites and blacks. it's dismaying, the polarity these groups. >> and asking the question, what candidate is qualified to be president, honest, trustworthy, has the temperament, 5% say
both. same with the qualifications. 5% say both. 2% say both are honest and trustworthy. they're not willing to give an inch to the other side. >> tom llamas? >> charlie's point of the two americas theory. i want to tell a story from michigan. exit polls say 50% say trade kills jobs. and i was at a rally, a guy going crazy for trump. he said i'm an auto worker, the union bosses are going for hillary clinton, the guys on the floor are going for donald trump. >> and rebecca jarvis? >> trump has pulled ahead in the polls, we've seen a selloff in the peso and stocks, as he's
including whether to legalize marijuana. >> voters are still dropping votes in alameda county. there is still steady traffic as people come in. voters got to try out a new way to cast their ballots. they can drive up to the big yellow trolleys and drop them off. it's easy for them and election worker passenge workers. >> we are live at the election night party for attorney general kamala harris. she's expected to win the race against loretta sanchez. barbara boxer is retiring. >> kristen zee is going to be tracking the race. >> two women, two democrats as you said vying for the senate seat being vacated by a retiring barbara boxer. we can expect kamala harris to don pretty well here in northern california. we expect loretta sanchez, congresswoman from orange
county, to be more competitive certainly in southern california. now, when the result dos cos don we'll be able to show you county by county how the bay area votes in this election. i'll be standing by all night with the break down. thank you so much. in santa clara county elections workers took an early start to tallying ballots that have already been mailed in. >> they hope to have them ready to count by the time polls close tonight. a look outside san francisco city hall. isn't that nice? >> voters have an hour left to cast their vote. you have a right to vote as long as you're in line by 8:00. >> you still have an hour to get in line. >> yeah. >> we'll have an update in about 30 minutes and always on our abc 7 news app.
welcome back to abc news coverage of election night 2016. here again, george stephanopoulos. >> and it is 10:00 p.m. here on the east coast in times square. let's take a look at where things stand right now in this very close race for president. there you see it. hillary clinton has 104 electoral votes. donald trump, 140. you need 270. polls have just closed in four more states with 21 e telectora votes, and donald trump has won the state of montana. republicans carried that state in all but one election, 1992. since 1964. but it is going to donald trump, the republican this time around. and three electoral votes. polls have closed in the state of iowa, one of our battleground states. not enough vote in to say yet what's going to happen there with the six electoral votes.
voted for president bush in 2004. close in both 2000 and 2004. barack obama won it twice. tough state for hillary clinton. we don't have enough votes in there to project yet. the state of utah, not usually a battleground. usually solid red. but you've got hillary clinton, donald trump, gary johnson, of course, evan mcmullin, hometown favorite there, running, as well. a mormon in a very heavily mormon state. not enough votes to call that yet, but we are keeping an eye on the very, very close battleground states right now, including nevada. another battleground state. six electoral votes. not enough to project yet. a lot of early vote in that state. last voted republican in 2004 for george w. bush. not enough to project, though. cecilia, want to bring you in on this, because we did see a heavy latino vote and early vote in nevada. democrats had been encouraged by that. >> one of the most encouraging signs for the clinton campaign this weekend coming into election day. a market, a latino market in las
vegas, where people waited for hours to vote to cast a vote. we saw a really strong ground game from the clinton campaign in states like nevada and one number that jumps out at me as we headed into election day, the clinton campaign says early voting started, knocked on and made phone calls, they contacted 45 million people. this is a well oiled very well paid for machine that they've got going into this election day and they're banking on that right now. especially in states like nevada. >> banking on the latino surge in florida, but boy -- >> i don't know, george. look at this. it's still very close. donald trump with 130,000-plus vote lead and i've been talking a lot about broward county, just north of miami. look what's happening there. 98% of the vote is in. and donald trump still has a big lead in the state of florida. it looks to me like he is trending towards winning the state of florida. >> tom llamas, what are they saying in the trump war room? >> one of the trump metrics is
to measure twitter. the trump campaign is sending out more and more photos of thumb's up, donald trump smiling inside that room. i have one text, this is a wild night. and the mood is energetic and upbeat. >> amy robach, you're at the new york hilton, where trump campaign hoping to celebrate tonight. >> that's right. and there are a lot of people already celebrating here, a lot of shouting, a lot of chanting. and we've heard from inside that trump war room, one senior top aide telling us that the mood in that room could be summed up with one word. fireworks. another one, intense. and we have tweets showing inside, actually, trump's d.c. brand new hotel, popping champagne already. people are in the mood to celebrate. and certainly at trump headquarters, we are waiting for him to make his way to the hilton. we don't know when that's going to be, but a dramatic shift in mood here in the past hour.
and we are all watching very closely, as these returns come in. >> robin roberts, what are we seeing at the javits center? >> well, just as amy said, a drastic shift in the mood here at the javits center. though people are trying to stay upbeat -- and you can hear every time -- they just saw that she's the projected winner in new mexico, and so they are very happy about that. but earlier, george, they were playing music, it was a very upbeat scene. and then, when the race started getting tighter and going in the way of donald trump, they stopped the music, they put the results up on the big screen, they kept changing from different networks and it was so quiet, as people were intently listening to the commentary, as well. so, you could hear the cheers, because of new mexico, but they're trying to remain optimistic, but in all honesty, there has been quite a shift here in the last hour or so, george. >> okay, robin roberts. we are not ready to project the state of new mexico yet. but jon, let's look at the other
battlegrounds. what do we see in the state of v.a. sla? >> looks like hillary clinton has pulled ahead. the northern counties near washington, especially fairfax, that vote is coming in. hillary clinton is pulling ahead in virginia. but i think the state that we're going to be watching, if trump takes florida, the state that it will all come down to, i believe, is the state of michigan. >> michigan. >> because, matthew dowd, if krm donald trump holds onto florida, he's leading in north carolina, leading in ohio. we don't have enough vote in iowa. that's what they call the core four. all he really needs is one more of the big blue states from the democrats. >> yeah, and jon's right. i think as we move forward, as we, this comes in, if this sticks with the way the numbers are, as we know, these always are a few thousand votes, it becomes the great state of michigan, could ultimately decide the presidency. >> stephanie cutter, nervousness in the democratic camp? i guess that answers the question. >> in this camp.
i think you're right. i mean, michigan, we knew it was going to be closer. there's -- it's -- there's -- even though we believe florida is leaning in trump's direction, there's still some vote out. and there's big democratic counties that have yet to report in michigan. and i think this is just going to be later than anybody thought. i think she's still favored to win. >> david muir, what do you have in michigan? >> take a look at this. tom llamas was talking about this earlier. when you ask about trade, donald trump pounded this issue during his visits to michigan. 50% of the voters in michigan said the trade deals takes away jobs here in america. only 31% said the trade deals create more jobs. and look at this. when you break it down, with other countries, take away jobs, if you feel like your frightened about these trade deals, that the jobs disappear because of them, the breakdown is very clear. you went with donald trump, 57% to -- >> jon, i want to go to you in a
second. we have another call to make. abc news can project that donald trump has won the state of missouri. gone blue only twice in the last four decades. both times for bill clinton in 1992 and 1996. donald trump, republican, wins the state of missouri. right now, filling in the red across that map. martha raddatz? >> i just want to say, we keep talking about this divide in america. the divide is about opportunity. and you look at places like michigan, you look at places like ohio, you look at places like pennsylvania. real incomes for americans with a four-year college degree have increased by 22%, real incomes for americans without have fallen by 10%, 68% of americans age 25 and older do not have a four-year college degree. and it's not so much enthusiasm in these area that's bringing out all the trump voters, it is anger. it is frustration. it's feeling that they are really left out. >> and we just saw a state go to
donald trump, now a state has gone to hillary clinton. we heard the javits center applaud when they thought new mexico was coming in. we can project that now, as well. new mexico, and its five electoral votes for hillary clinton. so, there you see the map right now, 150 to 109. jon, let's go back to michigan. becoming more and more important by the hour. >> this is a state that barack obama won by nine points. right now, only a quarter of the vote is in, and trump is up five points. here is what's happening. look at three key counties in michigan. first, marquette county up north in the upper peninsula. look at this. trump is beating hillary clinton in marquette county. you know what happened in that county in 2012? barack obama won by 14 points. so, donald trump is outperfo outperforming mitt romney. if you go back and you look at eaton county, just outside of lanci lansing, trump has a big lead.
only 35% reporting. obama won that county by 14 points. and then, finally, historically we know, we talk a lot about macomb county. only 1% is in. but this is the county that gave us the reagan democrats. the very early counting there, donald trump with a lead in macomb. >> michigan, very, very close right now. a lot of vote yet to come in in the state of michigan. let's pull up the state of north carolina right now. that is another one of the core four for donald trump. and in the state of north carolina, what are you seeing? >> state of north carolina, again, trump expanding his lead. this has been close all night. but trump is expanding his lead in north carolina. 83% in. he's got a 3 percentage point lead. >> matthew dowd? >> it's an amazing unfolding of the map, as we watch this tonight. i mean, i had thought, as the national polls were moving, all this was going in the direction, but what we're seeing is a diver jens. between sort of the national popular vote and the votes in these states that are divided on
a very rural versus urban and rural and suburban -- one thing i noticed in the numbers is donald trump is overperforming what anybody thought he was going to get in the suburban areas of these states. >> tom llamas, what are you hearing from the trump camp? >> we have this from kellyann ckellyanne conway. she said, come into the war room. she says he is energized an optimist optimistic. we're talking about the core four for the trump campaign. ohio, florida, north carolina, iowa, they have a lot of reasons to be happy. >> they are watching the numbers come in. byron pitts. >> across the street, there's a new play called "a bronx tale." one of the famous lines from the play is, it's better to be feared than loved. and so it seems at this point, tonight, fear is winning out, the dark picture of america seems to be carrying the hour at this point. >> talk about the divide in this country. the story line that is sort of emerging here, this difference
between urban america and rural america. and take a look at this. i just pulled this up. the u.s. economy. is the condition of the economy not good or poor? 57% in urban america say it's not good or poor, but in rural america, 72% say the economy needs to be fixed. look at this, nationwide, direction of the country. in urban america, 53% believe we're on the wrong track, but that, look at that number in rural america. 71% believe this country is on the wrong path. >> terry moran? >> whoever wins here, what is happening in the united states is part of a pattern across the world, and it goes beyond brexit. it's essentially ordinary people around the world saying that the way elites have arranged the globalized world, through immigration and trade, ain't working for them and their families. and when they get a chance to punch the elite in the face, they have. >> we're see, they are sending a message to washington, to the elite institutions across the board. cecilia vega? >> we haven't heard from anyone in the clinton campaign, and this is the opposite of what we
normally deal with on debate nights when they feel like they've won something, they are out there screaming from the roof toops is going, i haven't heard from anybody yet, now, it's the clinton team that is quiet tonight. they do think that -- they're still waiting on michigan. that knew that was going to be a late one, and they always said was that florida was not theirs. they didn't necessarily need to win it. >> but florida was their hope, that's why they went in for the kill in the last several days. >> yes, their spin is that they didn't necessarily need it, but you saw them invest extremely heavily in that state. if they do not win florida tonight, there will be some tears because of that one inside brooklyn. >> that's where they spent the most money, jon karl. >> she went there more to florida, more than any other state. trump spent the most money, went there more than any state. really did come down to florida. and looking now, 95% reporting, he's still got that significant lead, well over 100,000 votes. you know, the other state i'm watching is new hampshire. another state that four years
ago, mitt romney actually had a home in new hampshire, partly from new hampshire, just like he was partly from michigan, and he lost handedly to barack obama. and look at this. almost half the vote is in, and donald trump has a three percentage point lead. >> if he wins new hampshire and michigan and the core four -- >> look at the possibilities. if you look, again, we have 12 battleground states, virginia, say that goes to clinton, she's up there. pennsylvania, wisconsin. she takes all those states, we've thought all along she's going to win, she seems to have a pretty clear path to 270. but now because of what's happened, if you put florida in trump's camp, if you put north carolina in trump's camp, if you put ohio in trump's camp, and arizona, 254. he now actually has a couple of paths to get to 270. >> all it takes is michigan right there. >> all it takes is michigan, michigan does it, if he doesn't do michigan, he could do new
hampshire and nevada. >> and can i just point out -- >> and he has iowa. >> and in michigan and in new hampshire, remember, hillary clinton was dealt a surprise by bernie sanders who had -- many people said had a similar message, talking to white working class blue collar america about the inequality that so many people are feeling in this country. there are some parallels with donald trump's message and bernie sanders. i know that frustrated sanders when he joined forces with hillary clinton, saying, don't vote for him, vote for hillary. a lot of people on the ground feel like there's something that resonates about the arguments both of them made. we remember when hillary was surprised. >> our friends at fivethirtyeight had it at a 99% she would win michigan in the primary. >> let's go to nate silver right now. a pretty dramatic change in your forecast right now. >> well, it's not about our forecast, it's about the fact we haven't had any swing states called yet. and those are states that clinton was supposed to win, was supposed to win michigan, pennsylvania, wisconsin, those
states are all correlated, meaning if you have problems with white working class voters, if you don't turn out african-americans, you lose those states or win by a razor thin margin. she is in profound trouble right now in the electoral college. >> you were pointing out for awhile that donald trump had a better chance in the electoral college than he did in winning the national vote. i want you to address another question that a lot of people are going to be asking right now. we did see a convergence of the high quality national polls over the course of the last week, at around a three to four-point lead for hillary clinton and we'll see what comes in, what comes in at the end. and some people had always been talking about the possibility of a systematic bias in the polls, they were going to be missing trump voters. is that what's happening? >> well, first of all, our model at least always showed the potential for a split. where i think clinton might still be the favorite to win the popular votes, she will wrack up huge margins in california and
new york. she's not performing that well in the midwest. that could prove to be her downfall in the electoral college. but also, polls at the end, sometimes it's not the last poll that's the most accurate, because pollsters don't want to be out of line. and therefore, it's a next to last poll sometimes that was the honest opinion of the pollster and those showed a very competitive race. >> and as we were just repeating one more time, as we were coming into the day, your projection above 70% for hillary clinton, where is it right now? >> i mean, i would look at betting markets which say that donald trump is a narrow favorite to win the electoral college. >> okay, nate silver, thank you. we saw both campaigns closely watching these results come in. millions still heading to the polls out west. voters in the final six states still casting their ballots. we'll be right back. >> back live in times square after this.
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abc news live coverage of election night 2016 is sponsored by hulu. >> and it is election night 2016, we are right here in times square. what a dramatic night. what a close election. want to go to the battleground states. jon karl, been talking about the possibility, just heard nate silver, looking at the betting markets, starting to predict a donald trump victory. they had not been doing that for several weeks and months. let's look at the paths that could get him there. >> i see two paths for a donald trump victory, if he wins the state of florida. and that is trending in that direction. so, if you put florida in his column and you assume he wins ohio where he is up, iowa, arizona, north carolina, places where he is up. here's what he can do. the first thing he can do is win
nevada and new hampshire. and that gets him to exactly 270, but again, george, it assumes he wins the second congressional district in maine, which tells you why they were spending so much time there. >> we should say, though, but at 269, donald trump is probably still president. >> 269-269, it goes to the house of representatives, the republicans control the house. it is voted by state delegations, almost certain they would choose a republican president, donald trump, you have to have run. if you come back, if he doesn't take new hampshire and nevada, he can take the state of michigan. if he takes michigan, 276. both of these paths are difficult, because there isn't that much vote yet in michigan. michigan is a state where he has not led a single public poll, he's up right now in the raw vote. a little over a quarter. the other problem is that nevada, nevada's been a state, again, where the public polls were all trailing, all going against trump coming into this
election. >> what did the polls miss? >> oh, they missed the surge of the vote, of his vote, of the margins that he was going to get among noncollege educated whites, because as we've looked through the numbers, hillary clinton's getting overwhelming numbers with nonwhites. nonwhite turnout unlike we've ever seen. 70% of the vote was white. so, what's -- and she got college educated white women, what's happened is, noncollege white men buy a huge margin went to donald trump. >> and we have to take a quick break. before we go, a big state for donald trump, donald trump has won the state of ohio. donald trump wins the state of ohio. one of his core four. you saw it right there. a big victory there for donald trump. there you see it. key state, no republican has ever won the white house without winning ohio. donald trump has won it. we'll be right back.
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your voice, your vote, live from abc 7 news. >> and good evening once again. i'm dan ashley. >> and i'm ama daetz. welcome to abc 7 news' special election coverage. polls close in just over half an hour. >> two democrats are going to the same seat in the u.s. house that covers south alameda county and north santa clara county. >> let's check in first on the congressman mike handa watch
party. katie is live there at justin's in santa clara. katie. >> reporter: pretty quiet right now. we are waiting for supporters to arrive at the party, what they hope is a victory party for the incumbent. the congressman himself is expected here between 8:30 and 9:00. his staff tells me he's been out visiting polls for the last few hours and will also be stopping by a couple of other election night parties before coming here. honda is seeking his ninth term. honda won but then he was beat in the june primary making honda the only incumbent in california to not come in first place in his primary. so is that a sign of things to come? is that a sign that honda's 16-year career in congress is coming to an end? we'll have to wait for the results to come in and see how the voters in the 17th district decided. worth noting, back in september,
honda sued cona saying his campaign manager was illegally accessing campaign data so that is still ongoing as we wait for results tonight. >> all katie, thank you. >> chris nguyen is live at the headquarters of his opponent. >> this is expected to be a very close race tonight. some would say that a vote for him is a vote for the future. that's the message his supporters have been trying to get out in the weeks leading up to the election. the party starts around 8:00 tonight. the stage is set, the decorations are up for tonight's event. as many of you know, he first ran for congress at the age of 27. he is now 40. this is his third attempt at running for congress and the second time running against mike honda. he is trying to earn the support
of voters in the 17th congressional district, which includes sections of alameda county and santa clara county. i've been cold that he's somewhat superstitious and is not expected to be here when the first round of results are announced around 8:00, but we are told that he will address the crowd between 9:00 and 10:00 tonight. we'll send it back over to you. >> it's going to be fascinating all the way around. >> as we continue to watch the results come in, hillary clinton sent out this tweet to her supporters tonight. this team has so much to be proud of. whatever happens tonight, thank you for everything. right now donald trump leads with 168 votes. clinton has 109. key won the key battleground state of ohio. 270 votes are needed to win. >> it could go right down to the wire so stay with us. we will send out election updates through our abc 7 news app. download it right now and enable push alerts so you can be the first to get election results on your phone or your tablet. >> and we will, of course, have another abc 7 news update coming
and we are back, election 2016. 10:30 here in the east coast. you see it right there, donald trump, we called it just before the break. donald trump projected the win the state of ohio and its 18 electoral votes there, and david muir, you see a big gender gap in that state. >> this is really fascinating in ohio, which of course, was a must-win for donald trump, and he's now pulled that off tonight. no republican wins the white house without ohio. the breakdown. 53% women voters, 47% men. but look when we break it out. who did they vote for? look at the men. 54% went with donald trump, 39% with clinton. that's 15 points right there. the gap there. and then look at women. she carries women, but only by nine points. and one more thing i wanted to show you is when you do the education breakdown, the voters without college degrees, 55% to
45%, with a college degree, which gets back to this dits cushion we've been having about economic opportunity in this country, not matching those with college degrees and trying to level the playing field. >> and cokie, we've seen the gender gap a little bit less there. >> in ohio, yes. but, you know, what we're seeing is, we've been talking all season about this change of the college educated vote and especially college educated white women and they are going for clinton, it appears, from all of the exit polls. the difference is that they're not enough of them and so, what you've got is many more noncollege educated people turning, first of all, there are many more of them, but secondly, many more of them turning out to vote. and it is, as we've said, this sense of opportunity that is world wide because of technology. and so, what you're seeing is, people being left behind by the technological revolution in a way that's very similar to the
industrial revolution, where think are really, their lives are so disrupted that they don't recognize them, either in terms of their day-to-day economic life or their neighbors. their neighbors are different people from what they used to be, their kids might be doing something, might be involved in a gay relationship that they never expected, all kinds of things have changed in their lives and this is the way of saying, we want it to stop. >> and these are people who stuck with this guy, through the most incredible campaign in our history, i think it's safe to say. whatever happens tonight, donald trump has astonished the country. >> you heard the noise right there, that means we have another state to call, and it is the state of virginia, virginia, 13 electoral votes, going to go to virginia. voted for obama in the last two elections. such a key state for hillary clinton, her running mate, tim kaine, from virginia. you would call it, jon karl, a must-win state. >> absolute must-win. especially now.
and one that, although hillary clinton has won, it was a lot closer than anybody thought it would be. >> that's right. 48%, 47% coming in right there. but right now, she seems to be holding onto the states so far that she needs, but it goes back to that state in the midwest, state of michigan. let's look. >> and i'll tell you, it's very close, it's tightened a little bit. trump still has a lead with about a third of the vote in. and i'm trying to look at the key counties in michigan, it's been awhile since it's been a true battleground. as close as you can get to a bell weather county, i don't know what bell weather means anymore after this election, it is so scrambled, but it's kent county. that's lansing. and this is a -- >> grand rapids. kent county is grand rapids. >> i'm sorry, i'm talking about eaton. i meant eaton. eaton county is lansing, and this is a county that has gone in the past, has gone back and forth. if you look at it, three-point victory for obama, and look at this. trump with 40% in, has a huge
lead, a 24-point lead over trump, but you mentioned grand rapids. let's go out to grand rapids, a solidly republican part of the state. if you go to kent county, as i said, in grand rapids, trump has a huge lead there, but only 9% of the vote is in. that means, to me, that there's a lot more republican vote to come in from grand rapids and kent county. but there's also a lot of vote, george, still to come in in detroit. wayne county, only -- i'll circle it, so you can see down here, a third of the vote in, that is overwhelming democratic. i don't know. i could see trump moving ahead in michigan. i could see him losing michigan. >> either way, cecilia vega, president obama went to detroit in the final days, hillary clinton went back in the final days. they didn't pay a lot of attention to it from the convention and late october, early november. didn't spend any money there. and they kept saying that they thought that donald trump didn't invest early enough in the state of michigan. >> yeah, you're right. initially, i with us going to
say this became a general election state for them, but it really became, like a last couple of weeks state for them that they really started to pay attention. george, i just want to say, over the last half hour, i've been sitting here and i keep thinking back to the primaries, and the 17 republicans duking it out, and i'm talking to sources in the clinton campaign throughout all of it and they thought they were getting ready to run against marco rubio or jeb bush and they never thought that it would be -- they have always said the race would be tight, but i think when it came down to it, the thought of hillary clinton running against donald trump, they thought they had this in the bag. and look at where they are right now. you've got to bet that they are really nervous inside brooklyn seeing this map right now. >> george, let me raise just one other thing we haven't talked about tonight, which is, again, looking at this as a distance, as i know do, being retired. never in my lifetime, george, and i don't think in yours, have we had two such unpopular candidates. >> have not. >> never. >> so, we're talking about why
people voted for donald trump or why they voted for hillary clinton, we haven't talked tonight about why people voted against hillary clinton, and against donald trump. and a dismaying percentage of the vote, in both cases, were because they didn't like the other guy, or they didn't like her. and that, again, speaks a sadness about this election. i mean, something extraordinary is going on, and you can't take anything away from trump and how strongly he's running. but i wonder how much of that is an anti-hillary vote and how much is really a pro-trump vote. >> i think you see a lot of anti the other side. people i spoke to, it is about character and temperament. a lot of people didn't trust donald trump's temperament, but they didn't trust hillary clinton's character. people knew a lot about this race, it's incredible to go around the country and hear everybody talking about it. everybody engaged in this race. i wouldn't say there's a lot of depth on the issues, but the
messaging worked. donald trump's message got out there, among the voters. he said she's corrupt. he said the e-mails over and over and over again. he said benghazi, and those sort of things really stuck with the voters. >> the other thing, i think you're seeing is, is a reflection of the political environment, the environment we're in as a country as a whole. what you're watching is unfolding. a bunch of voters don't think donald trump has the temperament. don't think he's ready to be commander in chief. but they're voting for him, because they're tired of status quo and in the end, it looks like she formalized representing the status quo and he represe representing blowing it up and people inspite of their questions whether he was qualified to be president went for blowing it up. >> nuclear codes. what about the nuclear codes, if you don't think he has the temperate. you know, he wouldn't do that, would he? i'm going to vote for him anyway. >> it's kind of astonishing that he's this close right now, when you've got a majority of americans, solid majority said
he's not qualified for the job. >> the analogy i've heard used is that he's the experimental treatment to what ails america. he may comes with side effects, he may not be tested in the same way as other leaders might but if you have been sick long enough, maybe you're willing to take a chance on that treatment. >> i think that's right. we've discussed this, george, over the months. in a change election, being the candidate of change is the better thing to be and you have to make yourself acceptable. a lot of us thought he probably hadn't succeeded in doing that and people think secretary clinton is more qualified, et cetera, but it seems like donald trump was able to reassure people just enough, not to be scary enough that he, if you want change, we're voting for trump. if he makes it across the finish line, just comes just short, just shows how powerful the unhappiness of the status quo is, and i think hillary clinton, and again, we said this over the months, not just second guessing, she never really explained the change she was going to bring about. entirely a disqualification of donald trump that she attempted and may have not succeeded.
>> there's another name here that hasn't been mentioned. james comey. when he came out and announced he was reopening the investigation into the e-mails, not fully reopening, but looking at what was on anthony weiner's comput computer, hillary clinton was on her way, they certainly thought and i think most of us thought was on her way towards a pretty decisive win. that was the ultimate october surprise. comey came back a couple of days ago, said basically, never mind, there's nothing more to investigate, but i think, if this goes donald trump, you're going to hear democrats -- >> we have another projection right now, it is a projection for hillary clinton. the state of colorado. voted democratic in 2008, 2012. that is going to hillary clinton right there. so, one of the things we're seeing, virginia and colorado, as we said matthew dowd, going in tandem, voting like new mexico, also coming in for hillary clinton.
building up her bare minimum, question is, can she hold the firewall? >> that's the real question. we're going to go to michigan, i think wisconsin is still undecided. the numbers in wisconsin, maybe john can give us an update on that. i think wisconsin is not yet decided. new hampshire's not yet decided. and so, we still have -- and obviously florida's not been called, north carolina's not been called. those are leaning right now in donald trump's direction. this is going to be a long time. >> okay, i want to -- jon, pull up wisconsin. let me go to clayton sandell in denver, you hear those cheers behind you, clayton. >> yeah, there's a lot of excited people here but i think there is also releech, you know, you heard cecilia say earlier, the clinton camp thought they had colorado wrapped up very early. they pulled all of their ads over the summer. but in recent weeks, the race tightened here considerably. one poll had them tied at one point and that prompted a flurry of activity. many visits by clinton sure galts, donald trump himself over the weekend. and it highlights just how
purple a state colorado still s is. in the last ten presidential elections here, republicans have won all the contests, except for three. bill clinton in '92 and, of course, barack obama twice. but with a hillary clinton win here, that now makings it three for three for democrats here in colorado. that's never happened here before, george. >> clayton, thank you. pull up the scoreboard right now. 131 electoral votes for hillary clinton, 168 for donald trump. takes 270. nine battleground states left on the board. jon karl, look at wisconsin. >> wisconsin is quite a story. 48%, half of the vote in, and donald trump with a two-point lead over hillary clinton. you know, i've got to drill down and see where the outstanding vote is, but with almost half the vote in to see donald trump leading in the state of wisconsin is -- >> and this is a state he didn't win in the primaries. >> this is a win he got trounced in the primaries, because the entire republican establishment in the state was against him.
paul ryan was against him. scott walker was against him. the conservative talk radio, a guy named charlie sikes, one of the big influencer for republicans, led a jihad against donald tru donald trump on the radio. and then, look. i don't know if he's going to win wisconsin, but it is unbelievable at this point, he looks to be in the hunt. >> tom llamas. >> take you inside the trump war room right now. it is so filled, you can't even walk in. there are so many people around there. chris christie is right next to donald trump. you know, covering trump is a lot like playing roulette. you never know what's going to happen. and in roulette, the trend is your friend. and one lesson i learned from cov covering donald trump, once he starts winning, he doesn't lose. i think we are at a very critical moment. he's just won ohio. my republican sources say he's going to win florida, as well. this could be a very interesting night. >> he wins ohio, he wins florida, he needs north carolina and he's going to look up north
to the state of michigan. we have another call to make right now in the senate. and this is the north carolina senate race and we can say that the republican incumbent, senator richard burr is going to win that race in the state of north carolina. key race to help the republicans retain control of the senate. now they have made up for the seat they lost in illinois. and this is going to be very close, bill kristol, but that was a big one for the republican party. >> yeah, looks like the senate could maybe go to a 50/50 split. i think most of us thought that hillary clinton was likely to be the next president and it would be a democratically controlled senate, because tim kaine would be the tie breaker. >> okay, and gary langer, our pollster, is he hooked up now? do we have gary on the microphone right now? i want to pick up with a couple of the points i wanted to get with nate silver, as well. first of all, this idea that we are conditioned to watch all the public polls, we saw hillary clinton have a fairly solid but
small lead in the final days, but first pick up on the point that onkarl was making. what kind of an impact did we see from this announcement about ten days ago from james comey? >> well, george, what we have here is really a cry, i think, among the disadvantaged voters in this country. those that don't have a college education, who have seen their real incomes falling, as we've been discussing, they're not turning out in greater numbers than we expected, but they are voting overwhelmingly for donald trump. that is that expression of discontent with the status quo in terms of a system that hasn't been working for these americans. now, we did see this in the pre-election polling. we had a small lead nationally for clinton, four points in the final estimate. we'll see how that comes out. but state by state, in these tossup states, you're seeing this overwhelming trump vote among these noncollege whites. >> on the two states we were just talking about, wisconsin and michigan, and we talked
about this before, not a single public poll, there might have been one tie in michigan between the conventions and election day. same thing in wisconsin. >> yeah, i didn't follow the state polls in those two states. we can dig back in and look how they did. state polling is sometimes squirrely. it takes a lot of effort to do pre-election polls well. but the -- i think the most important thing to keep in mind is, what the voters are telling us here. and this notion here that for many americans, for particularly noncollege educated white americans, the system is not working. they've been falling behind, growing increasingly frustrated. not since the great recession, but for decades. and this expression of frustration turns into this anti- -- >> yeah, but you have a good metaphor there, as well. you can look at some of the economic statistics and pick out statistics, unemployment is down. there's been economic growth for the last several quarters. you can see consumer confidence.
a fairly healthy economy, yet a lot of people feel there is no economic opportunity. >> that's right. it's less about the economy than it is about the opportunity for prosperity. really, the promise of the american dream. if you don't have a college degree, we talked about this earlier, your real income against inflation over the last 35 years has declined. the reason most people in this country feel like they're doing less well is because it's true. and we're seeing the result tonight. >> okay, gary, thank you very much. let's go back to michigan. jon karl? >> michigan, still projecting 41% in, donald trump still up by three percent in the state of michigan. >> david kerley, what is the feeling there in detroit? >> oh, george. let me tell you. this is the state democratic party we're at in detroit, and it has completely changed. people have been on the podium saying, keep your fingers crossed, we're not out of it yet, but the mood has changed here entirely. don't forget, this is a state that hasn't gone republican since 1988.
it's been a solid blue state for so long. but as gary langer was just pointing out, what we're seeing in michigan is that a lot more rural voters did turn out here. 27% of the vote in michigan, according to the exit polls, was rural. it was only 19% just the last election. so, a lot of folks have turned out. now, there are still a lot of votes in detroit, about 60%, 64% of the vote, still to come in from wayne county. but this is what the clinton campaign was worried about. how good was the trump turnout? and what we're seeing is, in the rural areas, it's very good. will detroit make up the difference? >> this night could not be more dramatic or close. all eyes on michigan, florida, the battleground states. voters still casting their ballots out west. we'll be right back. >> abc news live coverage of election night 2016 is sponsored by hulu.
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coming up on 11:00 p.m. in the east, and this dramatic election night, it's been an unusual campaign and tonight, everything so close and donald trump doing so well so far. let's look right there. he's got 168 electoral votes to hillary clinton's 131. you need 270 to win. we've been keeping an eye on battleground states all night. started out at 12, now we're down to nine and jon karl, let's go through the wins that remain, starting with that big win, 29 electoral votes, the state of florida. >> state of florida, 95% reporting, george. donald trump still holding a pretty commanding lead. we move up the coast a little bit, north carolina, donald trump with a solid five-point lead, 91% reporting. keep going up, pennsylvania, this was a long shot from the start for trump, he's losing, but, again, it's pretty close. only a three-point margin in pennsylvania. new hampshire, one that he had been losing in most of the public polling, look at this. he's got a three-point lead with
more than half of the vote in. go to michigan. donald trump still leading, it's narrowed a little bit. about 45% in. wisconsin. donald trump with over half the vote in, still has a pretty serious lead in the state of wisconsin. >> three big opportunities there. >> just shocking. >> three big opportunities there for donald trump. let's go back to the possibilities. say for the sake of argument, you give him the statements where he has the lead right now. north carolina and florida, the states that he has to win. those are the states that he has to win. but then he's got his choice among michigan, wisconsin, pennsylvania looking like clinton for now, but he's got his choice, michigan, wisconsin and new hampshire still out there. >> i'm going to leave iowa in the middle. hillary clinton is looking pretty strong in iowa, which is a state we thought donald trump, one we thought he was going to win. you look at the other stafts, 243 if he stakes ohio, north carolina, florida. if he takes, and also arizona,
because az, if he hangs onto that, he should take arizona. if he takes michigan, 270 electoral votes. put michigan back. if he takes pennsylvania, 274. put it back. if he takes wisconsin, not quite there. he needs something else. he would need to pull in iowa, that would get him to 270. >> so, we've seen really a reversal of what we've seen all throughout this election campaign in hillary clinton had multiple maps, now donald trump has and she has a narrower path. i want to take that to sean spicer. sean, what are you seeing, what are you feeling? >> it's just pure excitement here at trump tower. mr. trump, governor pence and the entire team are just watching these results come in. the excitement is unbelievable, as we saw north carolina, ohio, we're keeping our eye on florida, but it looks good and it's just, you know, again, you see michigan and wisconsin, all closing in and as -- i know jonathan karl was just talking about, i'm not sure which one of
all of them it will take, but it's definitely the race that we thought. i know we've kind of had that candidate with a message and a ground game that we've been touting for awhile. it's producing the result we thought it would. >> what did you see that others didn't? >> well, i think that we saw a shift in the electorate a few weeks ago. to mr. trump. and again, i think this was the perfect storm. you heard republicans out there talking about clinton inc, the obama care increases, and the trump message of change. all kind of coming at that perfect storm in these last couple weeks. and then when the fbi scandal happened, and they revived the concerns that most voters had with trust and honesty, it really kind of became that perfect storm of that message of change that donald trump and mike pence have been talking about. >> what are you seeing out of michigan right now? >> well, again, i think that we've seen a shift in at the last couple of weeks. we had us going into this race, just barely ahead, and the counties that we're tracking,
the results that are coming in are pretty muff on par. i think it's going to be close but we're going to pull it out. >> and wisconsin? >> wisconsin's going to be a tight race. and so, we'll keep an eye on that, but senator johnson's fighting hard. and i think we've got some areas that, you know, if you look at some of those key counties that obama won 51%, 52%, you're now seeing a role reversal, where donald trump is up 51%, 52% on those. we're not giving up on wisconsin. it's going to be tough. but it's amazing to see some of these counties come in. and i think we feel pretty good about where iowa is going to end up, as well. >> you and your boss, chairman of the republican party, took a lot of heat for the way you've backed donald trump. i was wondering how mr. preibus is feeling now? >> i think there are smiles all around trump tower tonight. i think we touted, you know this, and jon karl knows this, but we've been talking about the data operation that the rnc put together, the ground game that we have, the amount of time and money that chairman reince priebus has invested in both and
i think we have a candidate that's talking about change and a movement, and those things combined, we've been talking about for awhile and i think it's finally that combination hit it at the sweet spot and going to spell for a really good night for us tonight. >> sean spicer, thank you. all eyes on the big battleground states. florida, north carolina, wisconsin, michigan. polls about to close in more states. we'll have all the latest results when we come back.
it's 11:00 p.m. in the east. election night 2016, and it's in keeping with that this year has been. let's look at the map, donald trump in the lead. those are the two campaign headquarters in new york. let's put up the board, see where things stand. 190 electoral votes for clinton, 172 for trump. polls have closed in five more states. 82 electoral votes. california is the big one. 55 going to hillary clinton. that was expected. she wins the biggest democratic
prize of the night. hawaii, 24 electoral votes, going for hillary clinton as well. the state of idaho, four electoral votes, solid republican state, going for donald trump. not enough data for washington, expected to go to clinton. also, oregon, we'll wait for these. but we're paying so much attention to the battleground state. we're down to nine from 12, and what we've seen, many many electoral paths opening up for donald trump to get to the 270 he needs. jon, let's start with the state of florida. >> looks like he running the table on the remaining states. florida, donald trump has a lead of well over 100,000 votes. just not enough votes out there, i believe, for hillary clinton to recapture the lead.
trending solidly for donald trump. north carolina, another state that was a toss-up, a five-point lead with 92% of the vote in. trailing in the state of pennsylvania, with about 70% in. but look how close pennsylvania is. this is a state that hasn't gone republican since 1988. keep going up north. new hampshire, 59%. a state where trump has been the underdog for months, george. and he's 49% to 46% hillary clinton. and the real story here may be in the industrial midwest. the states of michigan, where he still has a lead with about half the vote in. and the state of wisconsin, where he's the ultimate underdog, up three points with 57% in. >> receicecilia vega? >> well, the shift in the last five to seven days, you don't vote against something, you vote
for something. and a lot of observers may say, perhaps that message came too late for hillary clinton. when we look back at the message she cast over the last few days of this race, she said, don't vote against something, vote for something. and i think it came a little late. >> and so much of her message was drowned out in the final days by the message from james comey, the fbi director. >> yes, they were virtually gloating about the powerful ground game, built up all around the country. and the news broke, this roller coaster of emotions and projections, but it's e-mails and trust and likability. >> cokie? >> voters are voting for change.
state after state that's close, about 40% of voters said change was the most important thing. more important than temperament, judgment, or any of that. and those voters went for trump in each of those states by about 85%. >> and charlie gibson, you go back to 1980, there has been a bush or clinton in the white house except for the last eight years with barack obama, and hillary clinton as secretary of state. and maybe there's some reaction to people who have been in far too long. >> you know, i think that was one of the things that despite the donald trump characterization of jeb bush, he was a formidable candidate going in. indeed had an incredible fund-raising operation at the beginning. but people didn't want a third bush and maybe not wanting a
second clinton. >> another state, the state of north carolina, big battleground state, it's going to donald trump. 15 electoral votes right there, one of his core four states. matthew dowd, he's filling in the map the way he needs to. >> she had all the paths in the world when the night began. now, he has multiple paths for the electoral college to get to 270. she at this point has to come close to running the table to win all the big prizes out there. >> has to win nevada, minnesota, wisconsin, michigan, pennsylvania and new hampshire. >> she's got to now run the table. we've been talking for weeks, republican privately have been saying, this is a very narrow path for donald trump. now, suddenly here tonight, we see a narrow path for hillary clinton. >> can i just point out one key number emerging as the storyline
of the night? trump's margin among noncollege voters is the highest, going back 30 years. look at this. 39-point gap between donald trump and hillary clinton between when it comes to noncollege whites. better than reagan did in 1984. >> and amy robach? >> so much screaming and excitement in the room. and right after they finished celebrating, they started chanting florida, florida, florida, call it. everyone is anxiously awaiting for that state to be called. but they're certainly celebrating tonight. you can see the sea of red hats tonight, make america great again. everyone is proudly wearing them right now, and very excited to be here, and waiting for trump to show up later this evening.
>> robin roberts at the javits center? >> we're at the big screen. and it is -- they're intently watching the coverage, they keep switching from network to network, doing their best to stay upbeat, and the mood has changed off and on, as you would imagine. but they, as you hear them right now, they are not going anywhere and they know it's a very small margin, but they still feel that victory is within the grasp of hillary clinton. >> thank you. jon, let's pull up the battleground possibilities, and show donald trump's various paths now. >> so, solidly already called, ohio, north carolina, the solid lead still in the state of florida. arizona, let's give him arizona.
254. so how does he get the remaining 16? multiple paths, the first thing he could do is win michigan, gets him to exactly 15. and when iowa and wisconsin, where he's leading now, that gets him to 270. and he could also win the state of pennsylvania. if he gets pennsylvania, even though he doesn't get wisconsin, i should say, all of these, george, include the congressional district in maine. if he didn't take that, all of the 270s would be 269, 269. >> and let's look at what hillary clinton's possible paths are. put pennsylvania, leave florida with trump. north carolina, certainly. leave florida, and let's see what her paths are. >> well, the most likely would
be to obviously take pennsylvania. she's still leading there. and win michigan. and then, keep wisconsin. 268. she's got -- >> still would need new hampshire. >> would need nevada or new hampshire. >> george, whoever wins, the closer this is, the greater the divide in the country. and this is such a dramatic evening. things a lot of people didn't expect, but the line is so close. if she wins the popular vote, if he wins the electoral college, everybody will be doubting everything. >> based on everything we're seeing and likely unfolding, whoever wins is going to be very upset. hillary clinton will be, she's going to sit there and think, i came very close but for wikileaks, the supposed russian hacks, and the comey letter,
the and trump will blame the republican establishment, the media. no matter who wins, i totally agree, it's an untenable situation in the aftermath. >> a majority nationwide say they're not at all confident that votes will be counted accurately. meanwhile, among those voters who say they prefer hillary clinton, 72% say they're scared of a donald trump presidency. there are a lot of folks at home watching the numbers come in who are feeling an emotion they might not normally feel on election night. terror. >> if donald trump wins this, i can imagine a lot of committed democrats blaming james comey and the media. >> james comey, absolutely. maybe media for the attention
they gave to it. i think there's probably a lot of factors here. i think there's a wave in rural areas that nobody had in their models. maybe not the clinton campaign. i think comey situation had more of an impact than anybody predicted. drowning out any potential closing message she had. >> you hear the chime, another state to project. oregon, seven electoral votes, has not voted for a republican since 1984. will go to hillary clinton. the blue west filling in for hillary clinton. 197 for electoral votes, 187 for donald trump. and bill kristol, i want bring you in here. if donald trump wins, he's going
to have a republican house, almost certainly going to have a republican senate as well. >> or a 50/50 senate. where the vice president would make a tie. >> if you said a week ago, an undivided republican government, that's pretty amazing. trump surprised a lot of us in the primaries time and time again, we thought, that was the primaries, nate silver was very cautious, predicting a hillary clinton victory. he said it was 2-1, hillary clinton victory. looks like it may not happen. trump will have surprised. when was the last time there was an upset of this kind, people went in on election day -- >> well, that was a time when
they didn't even poll in the final three weeks. alex? >> the big story here, win or lose, whichever candidate is the size of the repudiation of business as usual, what cokie was talking about, is stunning tonight. in that, there's an opportunity to bring the country together. trump did it march 15th in florida, after he won the florida primary. the gracious press conference, lots of flags. whichever candidate wins tonight will have to do that. >> what's amazing, president obama's approvial rating in som of these states is above 50%. so, in some of these states, there are some who approve of president obama that voted for trump.
>> and the people that have come to the rallies, there was a lot of hate in those rallies. a lot of racism, absolutely it was. and -- >> i think we should think a little bit more of about half of the american people who might be voting for donald trump, to say that about them. >> they wore it on their t-shirts. all i'm saying, a ott lot of pe, you can say what you want about donald trump and what he wants to do, there is a lot of fear about the people who showed up in those rallies. >> i think there's a big question about what type of change these voters want. >> they're trying to figure out when this magical year, when america was great. do you know the year we're trying to get back to? >> nobody is trying to get back to anything. talking about making america great, opening up opportunities for everybody. he went to the inner city, and said, why is black america
trapped on an island of urban despair? let's do something about that. >> i want to come back to the states we're seeing close races. florida? >> 96% reporting, if you look at the counties i've been talking about, down by miami, democrats waiting for the vote to come in. miami-dade is 100% in. broward county, 100% in. >> she won each of those first two by 30% of the vote? >> she won miami-dade by almost 30% of the vote. in ord in other words, a margin bigger than barack obama. >> and that means the clinton people hit their targets. they said if they won by about 25%, they would win. but they didn't account for the surge in trump territory. >> i think there is some serious
head-scratching going on, trying to figure out how this could have happened in the state that both sides said this was a must-win. >> david? >> when you look at noncollege whites how they voted, it's 39-point gap. 28%, hillary clinton, 67%, donald trump. how many times did kellyanne conway tell us, there's going to be a shadow trump vote? and i remember being out on the trail on labor day with him, and he kept saying to me, look at the size of the crowds, lined up down the street. he said the same thing to tom llamas over and over again. donald trump was confident that what he was sensing and feeling in the crowds was something that is not registering in the polls. >> and one more thing we should raise, i'm getting e-mails about
it, there probably is a strong sentiment about not having a woman president. we've never had a woman president, and we've talked about excitement among women to have a woman president. but there's always in these situations at least equal amounts of hostility to that kind of change. and the fact that we're seeing this, particularly among noncollege educated white men is not surprising. and i think some of it has to be attributed to the fact that trump is running against a woman. >> what are we seeing in michigan? >> michigan, donald trump, 49%, 46% for hillary clinton. more than half the vote counted. michigan, we're still looking for wayne county, detroit. but 60% of wayne county is in. only 40% outstanding in wayne county. grand rapids, kent county,
two-thirds yet to be counted. that's republican territory. we could see trump's lead build. >> and wayne county is much bigger. so, 40% is a much bigger pool of votes. mccomb may come down to -- donald trump is carrying, but not as big as earlier. but michigan is going to go until the wee hours. >> we should explain a little bit about mccomb county in the state of michigan. that's state where reagan brought a lot of democrats up to the republican party. bill clinton won them back in 1992, they've been fought over since then. >> it's always, winning michigan for a democrat was always run up
the numbers in wayne county, do as best as you can in oakland, mccomb, survive the rest of the state. that was always the winning strategy for democrats. now it looks like he's doing better than normal in mccomb, and the rest of the mitten, he's running up huge numbers. >> bill? >> i'm just looking at my own little math here. trump is running stronger in wisconsin than michigan, and is very likely to win wisconsin. there's more vote there, and he has a bigger margin. >> what are we seeing in wisconsin? >> 63% of the vote is in, and he has a commanding lead. so -- >> wisconsin is a smaller state than michigan. >> trump needs to hang on to iowa, win wisconsin, he's there. >> where are we in iowa? >> iowa is close. let's take a look. right now, trump has moved ahead
in iowa, 49% to 46%. >> tom llamas? >> one of trump's top aides on twitter, it's happening. >> what's happening? >> i don't know. but apparently it's happening, and they're very excited about it. the conventional wisdom throughout the campaign, bill was talking about this, was always wrong. so many of us shouldn't be vi surprised, he called this brexit plus plus plus this week. he may be 100% right. and i was looking at amy's live shot from his watch party, he motivated white voters, and gave them a uniform. they're all wearing the make america great again hat. and to me, the big story, he motivated the white vote so much, he gave them a shot of espresso and a red bull chaser,
back live in times square, after this. >> we're back now in times square. coming up on 11:30 now. the trump campaign saying it's happening. they believe they're on the way to victory. jon, if you look at the battleground states right now, donald trump isn't ahead in the states he needs to get 270 electoral votes.
>> let's start with florida in the south. he is, i think, has a very commanding lead, with 96% of the vote in, and all the democratic vote in, in southeast florida. so, move up to the state of north carolina. he's already won. pennsylvania is one state, look at this, george. 48%, 48%, trump with a slight lead. this is a state again that has not gone republican since 1988. a state i imagine few people thought trump had any chance of being close in. he has a tie. new hampshire, another state he had trailed, trump continues to have a lead, 64% of the vote in. go to michigan, it's tightened a bit. but donald trump still has a lead in michigan, almost half the vote is still out. wisconsin, maybe the shocker of them all. 65%, two-thirds of the vote is in, and donald trump has a
three-point lead over hillary clinton in wisconsin. >> getting back to what cokie brought up earlier, whether we're witnessing pushback to the idea of the first woman president. 41% of the men who went to the polls today, voted for hillary clinton, 53% for donald trump. and women, it's the reverse. hillary clinton 54%, donald trump, 42%. we haven't seen this kind of gender gap since 1966. >> and i want to go to rebecca jarvis. markets around the world are watching the results. >> and they're selling off. dow futures are down more than 700 points. if that were to stick in tomorrow's trading session, it would be the single largest drop since the great recession. >> and utah, six electoral
votes, looked like it had been in play for a while, donald trump not popular, but donald trump will win the state of utah. stays solid red right there. he's continuing to fill in that map. right now, 197 electoral votes for hillary clinton, 193 for donald trump. but as jon was showing you, he has many, many more paths to the 270 right now. >> if we go back and do the paths. excuse me. so here it is. hillary clinton, she's got colorado, virginia. he already has north carolina, ohio. if you give him florida, where he has a commanding lead, if you give him new hampshire, where he's leading. if you look at, now he's at 247. multiple ways for him to get to 270. one way, if he wins the state of
michigan, takes arizona. take michigan back out, he can win the state of wisconsin, and iowa, where he's leading and has led for some time in the polls. take wisconsin back out. he can win the state of pennsylvania. that puts him over the top. take pennsylvania back out. win the state of nevada, he's at 270. he has multiple plausible paths to 270 electoral votes. >> so many paths for donald trump. coming up on 11:30 p.m. in the east. we'll be here right until the end. so much drama here tonight. could the biggest upset in presidential history be in the making? we'll be right back.
it's now 11:30 p.m. in the east. we have a projection. it's the state of florida. 29 electoral votes, they go to donald trump. donald trump has won the state of florida, one of his must-win states, one of his keys to victory. he said all along, he was going to win that state. he has a home there, worked hard in this state. he pulled out a victory there, pulling ahead of hillary clinton. 222 electoral votes to 197 for hillary clinton. matthew, this is a big one. >> it's huge. this is the one, for the last month, the clinton folks said, we win florida, it's over.
donald trump got it, and now, he has many different ways to get to the 270 votes he needs to be the next president of the united states. >> cecilia, counting on a surge of latino votes, they got one, but it wasn't enough. >> it wasn't. and radio silence from brooklyn right now. we know that hillary clinton is in a hotel there with bill clinton and chelsea. just a couple of hours ago, we were getting details down to what their granddaughter was wearing, and what the catering was. i think the fact that how silent they are, speaks volumes to how nervous they must be. >> amy robach, exuberance in the trump camp. >> no one is silent here. i said people were smiling and laughing, now they're jumping up and down, screaming,
high-fiving. we're hearing the chants that were once florida, florida, florida, now they're saying president trump, president trump. shouting, smiling, people taking pictures. i think there's even a group singing right now. this is a very unexpected turn. and now this crowd won't stop cheering for the man they came to support. the night started somber, it's anything but that. >> and washington, coming in, 11 electoral votes, it's going to hillary clinton. now, she has 209 electoral votes to his 222. donald trump doing very well across the middle, hillary clinton on the east coast. jon? >> hillary clinton has to win all these states in the industrial midwest, and hang on to nevada.
those pictures tell the story. that's the hillary clinton campaign, you see tears at the clinton campaign. now, at the trump headquarters, you hear the cheers, you see the hats. donald trump has 222 electoral votes to 209 for hillary clinton. it's getting close. >> and in the war room in trump tower, they're getting very excited. we said conventional wisdom was wrong, and so is political science. everyone said they weren't ready for prime time, but they made
the call to go to minnesota. people criticized them for that, but seems to have been smart. the visit to michigan, seems like a smart play. and the supporters still there, they put up with a lot, and now they're there. >> a small state, iowa, six electoral votes, last republican voted for, bush in 2004. it's gone to donald trump. and jon karl, now hillary clinton has one path? >> she basically has one path. she needs to win all of those states we just mentioned in that industrial midwest. pennsylvania, michigan, wisconsin, minnesota, and she needs to hang on to the state of nevada. if she does that, she narrowly wins. let's look at it on the possibilities board. so, here's where we are. if she wins michigan, new hampshire, nevada, pennsylvania,
she still needs to win the state of wisconsin to get over 270. >> so, donald trump has many, many more paths. he's still leading. let's go through the states, he's still leading in most of those states. >> let's go back to the map. running out of states that are still open. pennsylvania, clinton now up slightly. but donald trump is up in new hampshire, 48% to 46%. michigan, donald trump leading. wisconsin, donald trump is up three points, 70% remaining. minnesota, clinton has the lead. but right now, she has to win in three states where donald trump is leading. >> and wisconsin, a fairly healthy lead, three points? >> yes. and here's one county that caught my eye. if i can zoom back out, in
wisconsin. door county, right here, he's got a three-point lead with, i'm sorry. i'm going to get -- door county, he has a lead where barack obama won by double digits in 2008, and by seven points in 2012. it's a place where the median income is $50,000, 96% white, a state that's been democratic, but suddenly, it's the trump demographic. >> and ohio, that could tell you about some other states. >> if you look at ohio, which looks like it's going to be an eight to ten point victory for donald trump, and extrapolate the voters there. wisconsin, and michigan, and right now, the odds completely favor donald trump being elected
the next president of the united states. >> if he wins michigan or wisconsin, either one, he wins. >> terry, you were talking about brexit. >> it's deja vu, the polls and pundits, britain would never leave the european union. they were being told by the betters the voters of great brita britain, the smart play was to stay in the european union. and the great wave of the unwashed, the people who voted for brexit were not in the higher classes for sure, and they came out and socked the establishment in the face. that feels like what's happening because of donald trump. i just want to take a step back. this is an astonishing personal
try triumph. this is a personal endeavor. and his sister, a judge on the new york state supreme court, said i knew better when i was a child to compete with donald, because he always wins. >> i think putin is excited, and other world leaders are a little fearful about what would happen under a donald trump presidency. he said the generals have been reduced to rubble. let's remember what the trump supporters are voting for. ban on muslims, build a wall, offended mexicans, lashed out at a gold star family, and the access hollywood tape. we haven't talked about it a lot this evening, but the white working class men i spoke to
after that tape was released didn't care. i mean, really didn't care. [ inaudible ] >> of white evangelical votes than we've ever seen in our polling, 87%. it might not have been a personal campaign for donald trump in the traditional sense, but there was definitely a campaign in the churches. videos that went out on sunday, mike pence going out, and the turnout was high. >> go ahead. >> you use the word fear talking about foreign leaders responding to this. i have a number of e-mails from friends across the country. there's also an amount of fear from brown america. the optics of the trump rally. to many people, that looks like 1950 america. you don't see many brown people walking around that room.
i think there is a sense, with the rhetoric we've heard throughout the campaign, this may be a wonderful opportunity to pivot back to people of color and say, don't be nervous. because many are this evening. >> and senator ron johnson has defeated russ feingold 52% to 45%. so, if this continues, looks like you will have the republican senate. >> looks like 50%/50%, with another republican breaking the tie. and pennsylvania, looks like the republican vote that's outstanding. that blue wall, this always happens in politics. the three big republican victories in a row, then the
democratic blue wall, pennsylvania, michigan, wisconsin, three of the key states, looks like it's totally crumbling. >> that wisconsin senate race is a shocker. that's one that most republicans today that i spoke to thought was going to go to the democrats. we have a very good day for republicans, not good for all republicans on the a very good day for republicans in the senate, and also the house. looks like we're projecting they'll lose no more than nine, and possible five seats in the house. >> and what are we seeing out of madison county, wisconsin? >> let's take a look. 70 -- in madison, 71% of the votes in, obviously, huge clinton vote there. but 29% still to come in. >> how about dane county? >> dane county, right next door. wait. i don't have dane county --
there it is. 71% in, and obviously, it's a big democratic county. so, there still are a lot of outstanding democratic votes potentially out there. but trump has a solid lead. >> and we've all talked about how unpopular both candidates are, how high the dislikability is, and how untrusted they both were. but voters would rather go with a flawed outsider than a flawed insider. instead of going with somebody they didn't like as the insider, they went with the outsider. >> and tom, you spent a lot of time with the trump campaign. how much thought have they put into what he would do as president? how prepared are they for this tradition, and transition to take over? >> you had governor chris christie heading up his transition team. governor christie had a lot of
news he's been dealing with in the last two weeks. but he had a core group with giuliani, christie, donald trump, mike pence, jeff sessions. we'll see how that cabinet could shake out. but to be completely honest, i don't know if they have thought that far into the future. another quick update inside the war room, they're high-fiving each other, trump family members with the staff. looks like they're almost celebrating the victory tonight. >> and almost the complete opposite for hillary clinton, what comes next. the press corps were joking, they had essentially started measuring the drapes. hillary clinton had 350 fundraisers, he had 50. they've got to be scratching
their heads, you wonder if the democrats not only underestimated donald trump but the entire republican party. >> let's look at the national vote, donald trump has pulled ahead in the national vote, 48% to 47%, about 1.5 million votes. alex castellanos? >> well, maybe there's some reasons that men voted against the first woman president, and all of that. but underneath this, donald trump had a clear message, he was change, make america great again. they were selling t-shirts in the airport, the trump t-shirts said, make america great again. the hillary clinton ones said, hillary clinton 2016. there was no message, vision offering the american people better. they tested 85 slogans in the campaign. not finding that clear message, the campaign, i think, with the vision and the the message may have had an edge. >> and you were one of the
establishment republicans that did not support donald trump. >> yes. >> what happened? >> looking like we didn't do well. i think that what we're seeing today is frankly, a rejection of hillary clinton. i think people looked around and said, i'd rather vote for the devil i don't know than the devin devil i know. i think the comey letter was hurtful to her. i think it's astounding that he hurt florida. he had no field offices, hillary clinton began organizing in florida well over a year ago. when you compare to what mitt romney did in 2012, he lost florida. mccain lost florida. i think the turnout was wrong in po the polls. the same way that romney underestimated the amount of obama coalition members that came out, they underestimated
the number of white folks that came out. >> if you don't have a vision to inspire people, all the machinery in the world won't deliver people to the polls. >> i interviewed donald trump in 2013 in iowa, nobody thought he was going to run. i don't think he thought he was going to run at this point. i asked him, what would the motto of a trump presidential campaign be? this is 2013. he said, i think it would be make america great again. i went back and looked at the old interviews, he's been consistently on the message. >> you broke the story. >> exactly. but the same thing happened with hillary clinton, the campaign at the end was entirely a negative campaign. donald trump is unfit for office, he's temperamentally unfit, he's likely to fly off the handle, maybe cause a
nuclear war. >> she talked about -- go ahead. we have a projection. >> the state of georgia, 16 electoral votes, they will go to donald trump as well. bill clinton won it in 1992, republicans have won it ever since. donald trump continues that tradition. the map continues to get smaller and smaller. the lead for donald trump gets bigger and bigger. he now his closing in. >> he certainly is. and this is fascinating. a key question that we ask every four years. the track of this country, if you think it's on the wrong track. 93% who say wrong track went with trump, 32% who didn't believe wrong track, went with hillary. and noncollege white men, by 49 points, donald trump won noncollege white men in the
country. that's a record, the last one, since 1980, an 11-point gap. >> and in pennsylvania, when voters were saying the white working-class men were enthusiastic about donald trump, they were the hidden vote. >> donald trump, 26 electoral votes from victory. such an exciting night. we'll be right back. okay google, show me korean restaurants in boulder. google assistant: i found a few places.
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and we're back now, coming up on midnight in the east. donald trump, let's look at the map. he has the lead, 244 electoral votes to 209 for hillary clinton. you need 270 to win. you see the states out there right now. hillary clinton has to run the table right now, donald trump is ahead in most of the states right now. matthew, this is really something. we could have one of the biggest
upsets ever in american history coming up. >> regardless of the final outcome, which i think heavily leans in donald trump's favor, this is the biggest political news story in at least 100 years. donald trump, not favored to win against 16 opponents, wins the primary, comes to an election totally behind, against the establishment, and he's about, not yet, but he's on the verge of pulling off. and i think we're going to look back at this, more so than any other presidential election. >> nate silver, you had a hillary clinton election over 70%. >> we were a lot more cautious because of the scenario
unfolding now, if she underperforms in the midwest, she could win the popular vote, but there are a lot of swing states in the west, if you lose wisconsin, she can maybe hold michigan, pennsylvania, and get to a 269-269 tie. but when you lose ohio and iowa by three to five points, when michigan is in jeopardy, her voters are concentrated on the coasts. you have plenty of votes, maybe more than donald trump. but that leads to her maybe not winning the white house. >> and what is your projection? >> right now, clinton with a 20% chance, but that's without wisconsin being called. when wisconsin is called, she has to win arizona or some 269-269 ties, involving her
running the table that would go to the house of representatives. not much of a reward, because the house would be republican. but if she ran the table, it could be a tie. >> let's look at the states still out there. jon, start with wisconsin. >> stranger things have happened, i keep thinking, but i don't know if stranger things have happened. the odds that he would be the republican nominee were astronomically small, but now this has happened. michigan, it's tight. but 48%, 47%, hillary clinton is und underperforming in wayne county,
which is detroit. clearly, the big city, african-american vote in wayne county is not turning out for hillary clinton. >> and arizona, donald trump has a lead. >> 68% reporting, closer than you would have expected. but it's highly unlikely she's going to win the state of arizona. >> cokie, it's astonishing. >> arizona have voted to increase the minimum wage, and maybe some voting to increase the minimum wage are also voting for hillary clinton. >> and in arizona tonight, joe arpaio has lost. >> and john mccain has won. >> we're just moments away from midnight. have to take another quick break. crucial point in the race. all eyes on michigan, wisconsin, is a and pennsylvania. we'll be right back.
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back live in times square, here again, george stephanopoulos. >> it's midnight on the east coast. and donald trump is racking up the victories. 244 electoral votes to 209 for hillary clinton. only needs 26 more to become the next president of the united states. what are you hearing, tom? >> we just got a good piece of information, from john santucci. donald trump left the war room, went to his penthouse in trump tower, said he needed a moment with his wife.
and trump tower is exploding in a good way. they feel like this is their night. and breaking down, on a simple level, matt doubt a-- dowd had big operation, and donald trump won this race by labeling people. jeb bush, low energy. he had an important message, lying ted, crooked hillary. the night is not over, but think about this. president trump. >> president trump, would be the 45th if he wins. three key states, michigan, wisconsin, and pennsylvania. let's look at them one by one. jon, start out with michigan. >> donald trump clinging to a small lead, but it is a lead,
and next door to wisconsin, donald trump has a larger lead, 76% of the vote in. we zoom back out, to pennsylvania. here's one where we have essentially a tie. about a 4,000-vote lead, out of 5 million votes cast. >> but he does not need pennsylvania, if he wins wisconsin and michigan, he's the next president of the united states. >> and i want to talk about what the appeal of donald trump was in the rural areas. he gives them hope. they may not believe he can change anything, but he's their hope and change candidate. they rejected hillary clinton, they want the man who promises them, even if he can't deliver on the promises, he's their man. >> and the u.s., wrong track, if you think it's on the wrong
track, you go with donald trump. and if you thought supreme court appointments were important, you go with donald trump. and the names like the bush family, john kasich in ohio not voting for trump. the voters feeling like they were left behind, they were saying, i don't care what the establishment will do, i've found my man. >> cecilia vega? >> well, in a campaign that has been nothing but surprises, how many times have we sat around a table saying, i can't believe that happened. after donald trump called mexicans, some of them rapists,
to not denouncing the kkk fast enough. the list goes on and on, it's been a campaign of oh, my gods. >> and my thought goes to the white house. barack obama and michelle obama in the white house, they poured everything they had into this in the final weeks. president obama, going back to the white house correspondent's dinner, showing nothing but contempt for donald trump. >> well, saying that ride up to the capitol on january 20th, with barack obama sitting next to donald trump in the up there, it could be a pretty frosty ride. and the campaign, it was donald trump with a microphone, a hat,
and a twitter account. >> and a lot of media exposure. >> we haven't talked abiliout t media. donald trump talked about this, tom knows this. >> every night. >> we weren't telling the truth, we were the corrupt media. don't believe whatever you hear. and apparently a lot of people bought into that. >> donald trump came to the campaign with a skill set. he was a television performer, had the apprentice, other ventures. this was something he brought that no one could match. none of the establishment republicans in the debates, donald trump was the best performer on the stage, and he knocked them all off the stage. >> and trying to reflect when the last time in our history, we've had a moment when donald trump showed up. and the closest i can get, andrew jackson, 1928, he was the
populist, everybody thought he was a crazy man. there was no way he should be president of the united states, all of his party didn't want him to be president. he won. >> it hasn't been decided yet, 244 for donald trump, 209 for hillary clinton. new hampshire, what are we seeing there? >> first, let's share a tweet from david plouff, never been as wrong about anything in my life. there's still a beating heart in wisconsin, but he's never been as wrong. what state did you want to go to? >> let's go to new hampshire. >> 77% reporting, and donald trump continues to lead in the state of new hampshire. >> and michigan? >> michigan, still tight. but donald trump with more than a 50,000-vote advantage in the
state of michigan. next door, wisconsin, donald trump, the lead if anything is expanding. most of the vote is in in dane county, and milwaukee, not a lot more democratic votes to mine. >> and how about minnesota and nevada? >> minnesota, hillary clinton up six points. nevada, a solid six-point lead. >> and pennsylvania? >> pennsylvania, tight. look at that. look at that, george. donald trump is back in the lead in the state of pennsylvania by about 8,000 votes. >> so he's ahead in pennsylvania, ahead in michigan, ahead in new hampshire, ahead in wisconsin right now. >> it's looking like a trump victory. >> just a little note from over the northern border, the canadian government's immigration website crashed
tonight. a lot of people saying they'd move to canada. you can try it yourself, it crashed tonight. it was overloaded. so, the international shockwaves have started. >> charlie? >> you can't take, give him enough credit for doing this. for pulling this off. and i don't mean, i don't want to be a debbie downer. but one of the things that's so dismaying, people can't talk to each other anymore. they walk away from conversations with each other. because the feelings are so heated. no matter who wins this thing, that's not going away. the deep divisions have divided us as a country. and that, that hurts. >> and that's going to be a big challenge for whoever becomes the next president. and debra roberts is in johnstown, pennsylvania. >> there were a lot of trump
supporters, but now we're down to the faithful few, just biting their nails. i asked them if they think it's over, and a couple said it's not over until it's over. they thought a week or two ago, there was something going on. the head of the republican party said, we think we're on to something, we're seeing something we haven't seen before. and also tonight, they saw a senate race to go a republican that hadn't gone to a republican in 30 years. so, they feel they're speaking, these are heavily trump supporters, jobs, jobs, jobs. some of the women said they reluctantly voted for donald trump, at the end of the day, jobs trump everything. so, a lot of nervous folks still waiting, but i think they're feeling confident, but it's not over until it's over. >> donald trump, holding on in
pennsylvania. martha, you spent a lot of time there. >> i have to say, i'm not surprised in those areas where debra is, because of the anger. the mayor, who i drive around with, two days ago in pennsylvania, he was showing me all the trump signs. maybe one or two hillary clinton towns. monessen, going from 25,000 to 7,500, people are moving out, and they don't have jobs. he kept saying, i don't care what donald trump says. and whoever wins tonight will not only be president, they will be commander-in-chief. not only just commander-in-chief, but we are still at war in iraq. we're still at war in afghanistan, and that is going to be immediate. i've been talking to a lot of military in the last couple of
days. texting them, back and forth. it really is kind of across the board. i think donald trump was probably more popular in the military than even the general population. that's the place, if you want to find working-class white males, it's the military. and it's a split in society. no active duty general is going to tell me who he's voting for. but there is a split, and there are, i was just listening to someone, he said, look, i like donald trump, i like what he says. i'm worried about the second amendment. it's the messaging that donald trump has done. >> let's go out west, jon, start with arizona and then nevada. >> arizona, trump has a solid lead, about two-thirds of the
vote in. nevada, hillary clinton, a five-point lead. neither one is particularly surprising. pennsylvania, the lead going back and forth. right now, trump up. one thing i would point out, pittsburgh, allegany counheny c. 25% of the vote is in. >> and donald trump can afford to lose pennsylvania. >> he can absolutely afford to lose pennsylvania. it's shocking we're this close. and one other place that's interesting, luzerne county. looking back to 2012, obama won handily. this is steel, coal country. and donald trump winning by 20 points in a county that barack obama won just four years ago. >> cecilia vega? >> we're hearing from a donor to the clinton campaign, i want to
read you this quote. done, over, he's the president. >> this is from a clinton donor. >> clinton donor. >> there we have it. >> we haven't heard from anybody in the campaign, they're still radio silence. and i'm told by my colleagues in the room at the javits center, we were told that hillary clinton was working on a speech in a hotel room in new york. but the stark, stark words from a top donor to the clinton campaign, done, over, he's the president. >> if wisconsin goes for trump, and maine, too, one of the two congressional districts, i think it's gotten now for trump. it is 270. all he needs is arizona, wisconsin, and maine to get to,
i'm pretty sure about this math, to 270. arizona, wisconsin, they look pretty strong for trump. >> and to take up something martha said, about being president elect. there's two historical things that will be broken, the glass ceiling of a woman president, or the first president with no political or military experience. they've either had military or political experience, and he doesn't have either. >> and bill kristol and matthew dowd, you've worked with republican presidents and republican white houses. we're still waiting for the other states to come in. but donald trump has multiple paths. he calls you up tomorrow morning and says, what should i do? what is his number one job?
>> i'll have to withdraw my application to canada. i guess the website is crashed. he needs to unite the country. he needs to make a gracious speech, and reach out to whoever didn't vote for him. i assume secretary clinton will do something like that, and it's extremely important, the tone of donald trump's speech tonight. i think there will be a certain amount of goodwill, even among those who have strongly opposed him, you have to hope your president succeeds. >> i would agree, but i think one of the things he needs to do, he needs to reassure them, he's going to be surrounded with people in the white house that something isn't going to go out of control.
even his supporters worry about his temperament. >> tom llamas, quickly. >> respectfully, i disagree with matt dowd. just because, if he wins tonight, it's a testament to himself. i did this by myself. a politician's job, to take a jaded perspective, is to get re-elected. if donald trump wins by big margins tonight, he will do whatever he wants. >> donald trump, 26 electoral votes away from the white house. we'll be right back. vo: introducing the new motoz droid with moto mods, exclusively on verizon. boom! vo: transform your phone in a snap. with the only next gen network that lets you get the most out of it, because verizon lte advanced delivers 50% faster peak speeds in 450 cities, coast to coast.
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and we're back now, coming up on 20 minutes after midnight on the east coast. and donald trump is coming up on victory. it's not done yet, but he has 244 electoral votes to 209 for hillary clinton. shaping up to one of, if not the most stunning upset in american political history. cecilia vega, they were exuberant, is reality setting in for the clinton camp? >> i'm hearing from democratic sources and donors to the
clinton campaign that they believe the race is over for hillary clinton right now. no one from the clinton campaign has spoken publicly. that's a sign in and of itself. and hillary clinton is notori s notoriously superstitious. and has been working on two speeches all day and all night. >> tom llamas, the exuberance continuing to grow in the trump camp. >> rudy giuliani talking with reporters about the future. they're calling the polls before the election prejudiced. donald trump said the election is rigged, he may end up winning a rigged election. >> and it picks up on the point of how personal a victory is for
donald trump. donald trump. >> it's a stunning thing. and a key question we always ask, which candidate is qualified to be president. 46% say only hillary clinton. 54% of americans say they oppose the idea of a border wall. and immigrants, 70% say they deserve a chance. and 39% of americans say the candidate who can bring change, 83% of american voters who wanted the change went with donald trump. >> and alex, let me bring that to you. mexico has made it clear, they're not going to pay for a
wall. how does he bring that to his supporters? >> well, for too long, american voters have seen, they send people to washington with their five-point plan, and that's where they start. donald trump is the kind of guy, i want to buy this car, you want $50,000, i'll give you $10,000. i think the american people understand it's part of the process, and will give him slack as long as we move things in a different direction. but peter thiel gave a big speech in washington last week. he said, i don't think voters pull the lever to endorse a candidate's flaws. we're voting for trump because we judge the leadership of our country to have failed.
somebody has to turn washington around. >> that's the big issue right now. washington is broken, someone has to fix it. donald trump, 26 electoral votes away from the presidency. out o. hello moto. snap on a jbl speaker. a projector. a camera that actually zooms. it's a phone you can change again and again and again. hello moto. get excited world. moto is here. the new moto z with motomods. buy one moto z droid, get one free. only on verizon. ...one of many pieces in my i havlife.hma... so when my asthma symptoms kept coming back on my long-term control medicine. i talked to my doctor and found a missing piece in my asthma treatment with breo. once-daily breo prevents asthma symptoms. breo is for adults with asthma not well controlled on a long-term asthma control medicine, like an inhaled corticosteroid. breo won't replace a rescue inhaler for sudden breathing problems. breo opens up airways to help improve breathing for a full 24 hours.
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welcome to abc 7 news special election coverage. >> the race for the president is too close to call and has been dramatic all evening. >> for has. >> we are here live at the local gop party and a runway in twit or market street in san francisco. people are hanging out, eating and mingling and keeping a close eye on the big screen, confidence is overflowing. those here are sure donald trump will take the presidency. tune in for more details tonight at 11:00. for now live in san francisco.
>> now let's go to abc 7 live at clinton headquarters in san francisco. leanne? >> i think clinton supporters thought they were going to win this and they were going to be celebrating early this evening. that hasn't been the case. the mood her is still very somber. people paying really close attention to those key states that are so close and so important that will decide this race. i think people thought this race was going to be close to begin with, but not this close. live from the hillary clinton celebration party, back to you. >> thank you. >> taking a look 59 results for the proposition on legalizing the recreational use of marijuana, prop 64. the associated press has called the race for the yes side. that side leading 56% to 44%. and the latest results now for proposition 61. this would require all prescription drugs performed by the state to be priced at or
below what the usz department of veteran affairs pays. you can see it is losing with 54% of the vote and 46 for it. 20% are reporting. >> the other major race is the race to replace democratic senator barbara boxer. kamala harris projected to win the race. harris leads loretta sanchez handly. >> that are is all for us right now. we will join coverage after this commercial break. >> we will of
jon karl, slim hopes, but they're still alive. >> she's in a situation where she has to win, she has to run the table on these states in the industrial midwest, including pennsylvania. she has to win minnesota, where she has a lead. wisconsin, where she's trailing, michigan, where she's trailing. and pennsylvania, almost a toss-up. >> so, she has to win two key states where she's behind, michigan and wisconsin. >> and even so, donald trump has some other paths here. if he wins in new hampshire, he can win just the state of wisconsin. let's go to my possibilities board. he still has multiple, sorry -- if you look at this, these are the states outstanding. trump has a big lead in arizona.
he's at 260 arizona. wisconsin alone puts him at 270. he doesn't need anything else. >> and michigan, well over 270, pennsylvania as well. just needs one of the three. >> and i want to go back to rebecca jarvis. world markets are now open, asian markets. what are we seeing? >> lower across the board. the dow, down more than 800 points. the s&p, futures are down, the traditional 401(k) is down about 5%. and at the moment, the cme group halted trading in the s&p 500 because stocks were down so much. that's extremely rare. it happened momentarily, now the
market has bounced up a little bit, but much lower. >> and terry moran, we're starting to see world reaction. the french ambassador to the united states, we'll put it up in a second. this is a world we do not know anymore. >> he said after brexit, this election, anything is possible. our world is crumbling before our eyes. the new world order, built after the cold war, promoting not a borderless world, but a very open world, in terms of trade, money, capital, jobs, businesses to flow from country to country. immigration is being rejected, trump voters would tell us the homeland means more. this is a rejection of the
neoliberal world order that has been the consensus around the world. >> themes they hit from the first day in 2015. >> it's what carried him through the primaries and the general election. and getting some updates, we understand that donald trump is waiting for two things to happen. someone calls the race, or he receives a call from hillary clinton. that's where they're at right now. >> let's look at the state of new hampshire. what are we seeing? >> you ready for this? 15-vote margin. donald trump is winning the state of new hampshire by 15 votes. >> how much is out? >> 81%. >> so, still a lot of votes left. but it's a 15-vote margin right now. lots of close states right now, as we go cross the map. matthew, a lot of similarities
to florida in 2000, but not necessarily depending on how other states in the midwest fall. >> i think hillary clinton would wish it was florida 200 at this tim time. i think will have to grasp with a lot of things in the aftermath of this. but i want to follow up on, there was major poll problems in this election. hillary clinton may end up winning the popular vote, and it looks like she probably will win the popular vote. so, the national polls not far off. but every single state poll, most of them done by the hillary campaign. >> it's not just the public polls. we reported with the democratic, republican, senate campaigns. >> i talked to both the
democratic and trump side, almost everyone said, it was almost impossible. the trump side had a route, but they thought it was almost impossible to win in the last 48 hours, and now he's about to. >> nobody had the data that was right. the question is, is there any way to have gotten this right? the proportion of voters, the noncollege white men, they got the sample right. it's the proportion saying they voted for trump that was wrong. is it socially unacceptable to say you voted for donald trump? you can fix sampling error, but you can't fix that. >> alex? >> well, it was uncool to
publicly support donald trump, if you thought that you didn't have a phone or a television set. john kerry, george bush, 2004, the exit polls had kerry winning by six, he lost by two. >> stephanie? >> well, the polls for kerry were wrong, but not the internal data. we were pretty darn close. i want to address one thing, the social undesirability of trump, there's one reason. make america great again was a dog whistle for keeping immigrants out, keeping your foot down on people, discriminating against people -- >> that's only -- >> alex, remember, the most
powerful ad against donald trump were the ads that used his own words. >> i'm not going to argue that donald trump made it difficult to defend him. >> in election after election, everyone said that mitt romney was racist and sexist. >> i don't disagree. >> let's take a quick -- >> you have to agree with me that it's a different -- >> that's why he won. >> i'm going to call this. we're going to come back to this. i want to go back to the state of nevada. they just had the hillary clinton win in the state. >> that's right, in fact, just a few moments ago when the state was called for hillary clinton, there was a great deal of chanting, yes we can, and hillary chanted in the room. it's only six electoral votes
here, it died down. but nationwide, they're disappointed, because this was one of the states where latinos were expected to have a surge. apparently there was a latino surge that helped win nevada. but across the country, it hasn't won. we've been talking about anger all night long. from working white people, and the working class. there's also a great deal of anger tonight among latinos. i've been getting messages all night long from latinos, and their advocacy groups. now they're turning not just to anger but to fear. there's a real fear among latin latinos, because it appears to them that donald trump will win. not just fear about their relatives being deported, or there being i.c.e. squads
looking for undocumented immigrants, but fear they're going to be marginalized. people of color, muslims, blacks, they'll be ostracized and not important. what are the chances if donald trump wins, of true immigration reform? even though the exit polls say that most americans who voted today actually favor a path to citizenship. but they also favor a huge wall. and that wall is a symbol of marginalization, that americans of color are feeling tonight. >> and if he becomes a president -- let's go back to the maps. let's look at pennsylvania, very, very close. >> pennsylvania is close. and we have 93% of the vote in.
donald trump is clinging to a very narrow lead. but it's a lead with 90% of the votes in. and i mentioned we were waiting for votes for allegany counheny. not a lot of votes left. >> leading in michigan, pennsylvania, and wisconsin? >> that's right. leading in three, he only needs to win one. >> and jim talked about the hispanic vote. so much talk about waking a sleeping giant, building the wall, about a deportation force, he woke another sleeping giant. and that's the uneducated white men in this country who heard someone who spoke to them. 49 points, the biggest record going back to 1980, an 11-point gap with non-college educated
white men. >> and gender gaps the likes we've seen never before. 30-some points in some states. it's another place where you'll see a sense of being left out. if you have african-americans voting by 89% for clinton, and hispanic americans voting for her by 67%, and women voting for her, you have got this incredible divide that's not just a partisan divide, it's a divide among groups of people who are going to feel very, very hostile to each other. >> and groups of people around the country and in washington as well. byron pitts? >> i'm confused at this moment. >> join the club. >> i went to an all-boys school
in baltimore. i've been talking to them, they see it's very american, the underdog has won. it's a very american quality. and many of my friends of color and women, many times if you're a person of color, you're told if you get a good education, prepare yourself, you can be as successful as anyone else in america. in this case, you have a woman as prepared as anyone could be on paper, and she lost to, forgive me, a white guy with a haircut. >> and tom llamas, you have the champion of working class america, a man who inherited an awful lot of money, parlayed that into success in reality tv and hotels, moved himself as far away from that life as you can
imagine. >> a billionaire from manhattan, connecting with the midwest. his message resonated with these people so well, and he never adapted or changed his style. wore that suit, threw on the hat, sometimes if he was going into -- an area with a lot of hunting, he would throw on a camouflage make america great hat. that was the only adaptation of his gear, he never lost that jacket, played golf every sunday. but the message connected. >> and matthew dowd, he connected in a way, tom llamas is saying, people saw him as a truth-te truth-teller, even though if you look at the nonpartisan examination of the claims he was making, by 5 to 1, he was making
untruthful statements. >> well, his voters didn't take him literally, but took him seriously. things that many people laughed and said, he's not serious. but the bad things, he doesn't mean that. i think they've been frustrated at both political parties. this is not a reward for the republican party. they said, give us the biggest, brashest guy, he's giving us a voice we didn't have in years. give us that big, brash, in many ways bully, and he's going to go to washington and he's going to represent me. >> he's not there yet, but close. what's happening in wisconsin? >> there are still democrat votes to come in. dane county, home of madison, 81% reporting, but solidly
democratic. still votes there and in milwaukee. but if you look overall at the state, trump has a three-point lead. and michigan, he's had a lead all night. we've been waiting on wayne county. which is detroit, 85% is in. so, they're starting to run out of democratic votes. >> and new hampshire? >> and new hampshire, it's tight. let's see where we are now. donald trump has expanded his 15-vote lead. now, 81% reporting, with a sizable lead. >> all the ballots, everything is going liberally. marijua marijuana, minimum wage,
assisted suicide, that's passing. so, this very bifurcated >> and i want to bring this to terry, if donald trump is indeed elected, with a republican house, perhaps with a republican senate, he will be adopting the agenda they put on the table. that's what paul ryan was saying all along. >> well, good luck, paul ryan, retaining your speakership. and the thing that is trump's ideology, he's not a liberal or a conservative, he's a nationalist. make america great again is a nationalist slogan. and what counts for the people who voted for him, it seems to
me, they want to make america great again. seems like the people in new york city have more in common with people in frankfurt, london, hong kong, than with their cousins in albany. >> and you make a good point, terry, just now, that just because donald trump may win, that doesn't mean that paul ryan is in the clear here. remember, he has had that very, very tense relationship with donald trump. donald trump has called him weak, ineffective. donald trump made very clear his views about paul ryan when he made the announcement that he was no longer going to defend or campaign for donald trump. that relationship could still be
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boy, what a night it's been. unusual, surprising. just a day ago, no one would have predicted it. donald trump, 26 votes away from becoming president. he's leading, jonathan karl, in most of the states on the board. >> he sure is. the key ones, the industrial states in the midwest and pennsylvania. let's start with pennsylvania, 48%, 49%, 95% of the vote in. and donald trump is winning in pennsylvania. >> just to underscore, that was considered safe territory by the clinton campaign. part of the safe, blue firewall. >> it's a state that hasn't gone republican since 1988. the clinton team did campaign hard there in the final days. barack obama campaigned there, they had their final rally in
pennsylvania, with bruce springsteen, the clinton. they put some effort there in the end. michigan, donald trump still has the lead. now just 77% reporting. donald trump continues to lead in michigan, and in the state of wisconsin, here, this enduring lead, 85% of the vote in. and donald trump has a three-point lead. and wisconsin, a state that might have been even more improbable for victory than pennsylvania. >> let's sit on that for a while. donald trump did not win the state of wisconsin in the primaries. he had the republican establishment against him. some of them came around, but scott walker, paul ryan against him. the talk radio network in the state against him. he was incredibly unpopular.
>> and paul ryan, offering to campaign with him in the final stretch, and trump cancelled the trip to wisconsin. >> went to minnesota instead. >> this may be the state that puts him over the top. >> matthew dowd. >> i can't -- the historical, unprecedented, we've said that from the beginning. i thought donald trump would win the republican primary based upon data. and then i said donald trump would lose the general election based upon data. but the data was wrong in the second half so far. even if hillary clinton pulls out a close victory in the final hours of this, something went majorly off in all of the expectations, everybody on both sides had. >> and i think it had to be more than secret trump voters, i didn't find anybody who wouldn't say, i'm voting for trump.
there were a couple of people that didn't tell me who they were voting for, but they were college educated women. who knows about the secret trump support. but there is something that the data and polls are missing. >> we do have, late deciders, this is interesting. when did you decide, last few days, last week. many decided earlier. but break it down to, did you decide last week? if you decided in the last few days, trump outweighed clinton. >> we're coming up on 1:00 a.m. eastern. one state still voting. donald trump, 26 electoral votes away from the white house. hillary clinton has a small path, she's not giving up. we're not ready to call anything. the latest results, coming up. >> back live in times square, after this.
it's 1:00 a.m. in the east. 10:00 p.m. in the west. and we have an amazing election night going on. donald trump has 244 of the 270 electoral votes he needs to become the 45th president of the united states. and hillary clinton has 215. the polls just closed in alaska. three electoral votes in alaska. but let's just go through the most consequential states, starting with new hampshire. put that up. and we're going to show where the votes are in the state of new hampshire. there's the state of wisconsin,
donald trump holding on to a three-point lead. nevada, we've called for hillary clinton. and let's go to pennsylvania, wisconsin, and michigan. >> new hampshire, donald trump has a, hillary clinton now has a slight lead in the state of new hampshire. only four electoral votes, she has a slight lead. the first lead of the night we've seen in new hampshire. pennsylvania, 96% for donald trump, almost 50,000-vote lead over hillary clinton. michigan, donald trump continues to have a lead, with 77%. and about a 59,000-vote lead. the state of wisconsin, donald trump continues to lead 87% reporting, a three-point lead. out west, in arizona, where democrats had hoped for an upset vict victory, donald trump has a
three-point lead. >> he only has to win one of the other big states. >> he would win wisconsin, michigan, pennsylvania, one puts him over 270. and maine, only one electoral vote, he's way ahead there as well. >> a lot of possibilities here, it's been such a surprising evening. matthew, in some ways, an entire industry blindsided. >> i think a country blindsided, as well as an industry. every single media association that did their own polling, the
clinton compa clint clinton campaign, the trump campaign. and i think we're going to be asking a lot of questions in the days that follow this, how was this missed? i actually think this was a bigger miss than the brexit. there were way more polls done in this race going up to this, and the arguments were clear. so, i think this is the biggest miss the world has seen. >> you know who didn't believe those polls? donald trump's voters, they listened to him say this isn't over. they didn't listen to us, or anybody else about the polls. it's not over. >> and cecilia vega, give us a sense of what it's like at the javits center. >> well, bewilderment.
people walking out, there's questions in this room right now. people don't know what's going on. they don't know if they're waiting for a concession speech, they're hoping they're waiting for a victory speech. one man, with a paper hillary clinton mask on top of his head. this was supposed to be a party. and i'm standing underneath this glass ceiling, the symbolism that at this point i think a lot of people are wondering if in fact it will be shattered tonight. >> radio silence from clinton command? >> complete radio silence. but we're hearing from top democrats and clinton campaign donors saying the race is over. >> and stephanie cutter, you
worked for president obama in his campaign and the white house. take us inside the white house at this point. jon had the tweet from david plouffe, he was as certain as anyone that hillary clinton would win. it sure seemed that president obama believed it would be a victory as well. >> i think we all got it wrong. and it would be good for the democratic party to take some time and look at what happened. maybe we weren't listening well enough to those voters. she clearly didn't perform as well as she needed to with african-americans, hispanics, even women. and he overperformed with white men. so, we have to understand what happened here, and also understand that white men used
to be at least part of our coalition. but we've completely lost them here. >> stephanie, one of the things we talked about, we saw in the primaries, bernie sanders out of nowhere to give hillary clinton a real fight for the nomination. but a lot of hollowing out of the democratic party. at lower levels. >> this has been troubling, we're very confused, because the numbers were just so wrong. just all across the country. i was in florida stumping for hillary clinton. i saw people coming out to the polls, they wanted to make sure their votes were in the bank for hillary clinton. i don't know if there was some overconfidence in the democratic
voters. but we definitely have a lot of regrouping to do as a party. >> and bill kristol, donald trump was talking about during the primaries, maybe this was a hostile takeover of the republican party. maybe on the verge of winning after that hostile takeover. >> and i think matthew dowd made the point, but it's extraordinary that donald trump was not a politician or a military officer. the upset in the republican party was striking, they normally nominate the next in line, a former vice president, former governor, and to win an upset like that, we're all going to be underestimating the impact of this. you don't have an anomaly of this magnitude, and things go back to normal.
i don't buy that. i don't know that paul ryan will be speaker of the house, i hope donald trump reaches across the aisle, and across country, because it's a divided country, whichever one won. i hope there's a message of unity. but what he chooses to do, he doesn't agree with paul ryan on the heart of the republican agenda, a different view of immigration, trade, is he going to go ahead with the trade policies he's talked about? we're in more uncharted waters than we even think. >> alex? >> one thing it makes you think, president obama's personal popularity is separate from where he's left the nation. this is a rejection of continuity. president obama said at the convention, hillary clinton is continuity. he campaigned for her strongly. and voters sent a powerful message there. but as far as uncharted waters,
this isn't left/right anymore. this is old/new. top-down washington and government has failed this country, so we're going to blow it all up. that's part of the big message tonight. >> people were saying, we hate those charted waters. we know where that chart goes, and it's not working for me. >> yup. >> so, what they want, it's ironic in a way. what trump kept saying about african-americans, if not directly to them was, what do you have to lose? they felt there was a lot to lose. close to 90% of them voted for hillary clinton. but trump voters, that's exactly right. what do i have to lose? >> and this is what i'm trying to puzzle over, i think your
reading is exactly right. my question, what are they going to get? what is donald trump going to do for these voters who have now put their faith in him? >> he's going to attack nafta, the countri companies that take jobs out of american. we haven't mentioned this yet, but the supreme court, all the evangelical voters, he didn't prove that he loved god more than his rivals, we saw the bible come out but not again, but he got the vote because of the supreme court. >> to pick up on the point that tom was just making, terry
moran, he says he's going to tear up trade deals, and nato. he's been critical of the operation in mosul and the iran deal. how does the world react? >> in shock. he's about to take over the united states, in this personalized and charismatic power. the president is an office with a great deal of power for a person who knows how to pick it up and use it. if there's one thing he's demonstra demonstrated, he's that guy. >> and martha, you questioned donald trump closely on this during the debates. but right now, we have americans on battlefields in afghanistan
and iraq. >> yes, and his understanding of military policy and civilian/military divide, i don't know that he really has a plan for what he's going to do there. he has general mike flynn with him, he'll quickly tell you he has 200 admirals and generals backing him. i think mike flynn has been a huge influence on him. i was also looking back at an interview tim kaine gave. tim kaine has a son in the marine corps. he was asked, if donald trump is democratically elected, and your son is serving as a marine, you wouldn't trust his life under that commander-in-chief, and kaine said, i wouldn't. that's an extreme thing to say. the people in the military defend the constitution. that's what they do. >> and let's take one more look at the key states.
start with new hampshire. >> i've been looking, so, new hampshire, hillary clinton seems to have a lead. she's maintaining with 85% in. but new hampshire is only four electoral votes. go down to pennsylvania, 20 electoral votes. solidly, democrat for a long time. and donald trump continues to have a considerable lead, with 97% reporting. further west to michigan, donald trump continues to lead, but it's narrowed. 87% reporting. wisconsin, 87% reporting, and donald trump has a three percentage point lead. >> needs to win only one of the three states. and let's look at minnesota, as we keep an eye on the trump headquarters in the new york hilton right now. i'm sorry, clinton. >> hillary clinton has a
three-point lead, the thought that minnesota is even close is not something that was anticipated. >> i want to go back to the first time i really met donald trump, at the iowa state fair. he was really just coming on the scene in a big way. flew the helicopter in, trump on the side. the people at the iowa state fair couldn't get enough of him. we were walking around, seeing if anyone supported hillary clinton there, and couldn't find anybody. and donald trump, bringing kids on his held capitopt helicopter. he was charming them. >> i grew up in upstate new york, you go home, and you see trump/pence signs everywhere. we go back to the bernie sanders comparison, both had a message for the working class in the
country. when you say make america great again, they were talking for people who might be a high school graduate, may not have had an opportunity to go to college. which is a huge issue, and they wanted the opportunity, too. and think that, bernie sanders may cringe at the notion that some of his supporters went to donald trump, but it was something that sanders and trump tapped into. and i think there will be an autopsy in the democratic party about whether hillary clinton got that message across that she could do something, too. >> and this is from bucks county, an obama voter, he said, i've never voted republican, but i'm voting for trump this year. and why?
i don't trust hillary at all. she wanted to be a politician her whole career. staying in a marriage for that, that bothers me a little bit. does anything bother you about donald trump? they're both who bibhorrible, b going with trump. >> i want to go outside to t.j. holmes in times square. tell us about the crowd, what you're seeing and hearing. >> well, you talk about being shocked and confused, same here in times square. something i've never heard before is quiet. it's been quiet in times square this evening as the results have popped up on the screen behind me. it's overwhelmingly a pro-hillary crowd. and they've been shocked. we set up this facebook booth, and this instagram oval office. an empty booth and empty oval
office, the pro-hillary crowd, they've been in absolute shock. the place has gone quiet. seven days a week, 24 hours a day, times square, you hear noise. you're not hearing much of anything. ayla, hello, you have a smile on your face. >> considering the fact that florida was republican, i'm very disappointed. but it's not shocking. i love in boca raton, very pro- trump. >> are you holding out hope? >> it sucks, but it is what it is. >> thank you so much. and if you want to hear from more voters, you're welcome to, george. but not a lot of trump folks.
a couple out in the crowd, they're hiding, but got a little bit more vocal. you hear, let me go ahead and toss it back to you right now, george. but the place has gone quiet this evening, something i never thought you would hear about times square on an election night. >> and we're still waiting for crucial battleground state results coming in. donald trump, only 26 electoral votes away from the white house. we'll be right back. vo: introducing the new motoz droid with moto mods, exclusively on verizon. boom! vo: transform your phone in a snap. with the only next gen network that lets you get the most out of it, because verizon lte advanced delivers 50% faster peak speeds in 450 cities, coast to coast. buy a motoz droid and get another one free and $300 back. and get 20 gigs of data with no surprise overages, and 4 lines for only $40 each.
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>> he didn't reveal who he was going to vote for until the end. you have to look at this day for the republican party, because outside of what happened with donald trump is having an unbelievable day. holding on to the house, losing very few seats. look at the senate races. they are winning indiana, florida, wisconsin, now they've won pennsylvania. new hampshire is very close. ma hampshire, and blunt is ahead in missouri. will keep control of the senate. the question that bill kristol raised, what does the republican party stand for? because they ran on a very different agenda than donald trump. >> well, the democratic party needs to have the same condition. if this continues, donald trump is elected president, the
republicans take over the senate, and republicans suffer very few losses. everyone thought it was the end of the republican party 30, 60 days ago. the democratic party has to realize, 34% of the electorate rejected the democratic party. >> and hillary clinton did underperform what she needed to do with nonwhites. >> it was the effort to get nonwhites, hispanic, african-american voters. and this is what president obama did in 2008 and 2012. look what she did tonight, at least so far into the evening. ten points, she lost, to what obama was able to perform just four days ago. donald trump gained 11 points with nonwhite voters across this
country. >> we're still waiting detroit, milwaukee, philadelphia, but is one of the stories tonight going to be that african-americans, who came out in record numbers for barack obama, did not have the same enthusiasm for hillary clinton? >> well, i don't think anybody expected they would have the same level of enthusiasm. but there's a big difference between fighting to win and being a leader. when you're a candidate it's great to have a winning strategy. but i don't think anybody up there that's a supporter of trump or a republican can say one policy that he'll actually do to keep any of the promises that he's made. not one thing. you don't know how he'll fix the
trade deals, he's certainly not going to build the wall. we don't know how he will bring jobs back. so, i hope that will be a story that will be filled in. >> that will be a challenge for him. still 26 electoral votes short of what he needs right now. 244 to 215 for hillary clinton. we'll be right back. remember 2007? smartphones? o m g ten years later, nothing's really changed. it's time to snap out of it. hello moto. snap on a jbl speaker. a projector. a camera that actually zooms. it's a phone you can change again and again and again. hello moto. get excited world. moto is here. the new moto z with motomods. buy one moto z droid, get one free.