whether or not you are able to watch it live, join us here wednesday night starting at 8:00 p.m. eastern on msnbc. looking forward to seeing you there. that does it for me. alex wagner will be back here tomorrow. "way too early" is up next. >> newly revealed video of trump ally roger stone in july of 2020 and he seems to be laying out a plan to overturn the election. the clip comes from a documentary that is now going to be featured in tomorrow's hearing from the january 6th committee. plus, cuba and florida are preparing for the worst. as hurricane ian gains strength overnight. we'll have the latest on the deadly storm's path. meanwhile, nasa goes armageddon on an asteroid to see if it's possible to save humanity from

disaster. good morning. welcome to "way too early" on this tuesday, september 27th. thank you for starting your day with us. we'll begin with new reporting on what to expect from tomorrow's hearing. according to the "washington post," the committee plans to show footage of roger stone, the trump ally recorded in the weeks before the capitol attack by danish documentary filmmakers. they focus ond six hours of material and selected about 10 minutes worth of footage. cnn obtained several clips and one clip recorded a day before the election after a rally in georgia stone can be heard calling for violence. >> excellent. let's get right to the violence.

>> shoot to kill. cnn-tifa. shoot to kill. gone this. [ beep ] f the voting, get right to the violence stone said the day before the election. he reportedly followed up that remark claiming he was kidding. here are two more clips of stone explaining how the trump campaign planned all along to reject the election results if he lost. >> what they're assuming is the election will be normal. the election will not be normal. oh, these are the california results. sorry, we're not accepting them. we're challenging them in court. if they show up and the electoral college, armed guards will throw them out. f you. you're not stealing them. i'm challenging all of it. and the judges we're going to are the judges i appointed. f you, you're not stealing the election. >> let's hope we're celebrating. i suspect it will still be up in the air. when that happens, the key thing is to claim victory.

possession is nine tenths of the law. sorry. we won. you're wrong, f you. >> that couldn't be more clear. he since released statements saying he believes the videos have been manipulated. we're learning about items that the fbi seized from donald trump's mar-a-lago home and club. the special master judge dearie ordered the justice department to file a revised inventory of the all nonclassified items to trump's lawyers as part of the review of document that's the florida agents took from the florida estate. the updated list, it adds 55 items to the more than 11,000 government owned documents and photographs that the doj says were removed from mar-a-lago. the number of classified documents seized during the search remain unchanged at 103. the revised inventory reports two fewer empty classified folders. that still leaves 46 empty folders with classified

markings, 43 of them found in the trump office and three in a storage room h 28 empty folders marked as return to staff secretary military aide were also found in trump's office with 14 others found in the storage room. those figures also remain unchanged. two fewer items were listed under the category of magazines print clippings. that leaves 1,671 that were recovered. other categories include gifts, books, articles of clothing remain unchanged. mark meadows is scheduled to give testimony today in fulton county, georgia, although it's unclear if he will show up. fulton county district attorney filed a request last month for meadows to testify before a phone call he set up between trump and georgia secretary of state. during that call, trump asked him to find enough votes to put

him ahead of joe biden. >> all i want to do is this. i just want to find 11,780 votes, which is one more than we have because we won the state. so what are we going to do here? i only need 11,000 votes. fellows, i need 11,000 votes. give me a break. >> let's turn now to the war in ukraine. in a rare admission yesterday, the kremlin acknowledged that the new military draft to reinforce forces in russia is rife with problems. the kremlin spokesman yesterday said there had been irregularities in the call-up due to cases of noncompliance. "the new york times" reports he tried to shift blame to the local authorities carrying out the mobilization among resistant civilians across the country. this as the governors of several russian regions also acknowledged that the men that did not meet the defense military's criteria are also

being called up. the authorities admission came as a gunman who was allegedly distraught over the military mobilization opened fire yesterday at a draft office in siberia seriously injuring a recruitment officer. joining us now, senior correspondent for yahoo news. michael, good morning. you reported yesterday about the growing backlash in russia over putin's call for mobilization. tell us more. we've seen images at the borders, airports, people trying to get out of the country. what did you find? what sort of widespread discontentment are we seeing? >> yeah, i mean, jonathan, there have been attacks, recruitment or enlitment centers have been burnt to the ground. in one case, a guy got in his car and rammed through the front gates and then got out of the car. he opened fire with a gun. set fire to the building. clearly there is a great deal of unrest in russia. we also found based on some sociological reporting that the

areas that are hit hardest here in terms of the kind of call-up that people that have been targeted for call-up in this so-called partial mobilization, the russian regions in the north caucuses and ones supposition is that putin is targeting nonethnic russians more heavily than he is ethnic russians as a way of essentially turning, you know, the minority populations of the russian federation into cannon fodder for this war. some analysts say actually the real thing is to look at economic underlay of the call-up. in other words, the poorest regions of russia are the ones that are going to be the most targeted it. these are the regions where military service is still seen as dignified and patriotic and people, frankly, because they have few options in life, are more willing to pick up a rifle and go fight abroad. but it is fascinating. yeah, as you said, the center is now blaming the periphery. the regions are a little overzealous in their methods. this is a sort of classic thing

in russian and soviet history. josef stalin wrote an essay, dizziness when the soviet union was running riot throughout the country and kbd people arresting people, torturing them, murdering them, interrogating them. they have to come out and say, sorry, it's the guys, my underlings got carried away. >> the kremlin doesn't take the blame, certainly. this comes against the backdrop of those sham referendums russia is holding in the occupied areas of ukraine. those are happening this week. give us a quick assess noent -- assessment. >> that is not going to change much in the war. this is illegal. the referendum have no bearing under international law. they're not going to respect them. we found so much territory in ukraine. now we take the territory we

still control and call that russia. so that anything ukraine does against these areas will be an tack inside russia. you know, it's a ruse, i suppose. but the west, the united states in particular, they're not falling for it. every major country come out and said despite putin's oblique nuclear blackmail in the call-up for this mobilization, if anything, they're going to increase security assistance now. they're not going back down. >> and michael, lastly, i have this report about giorgia meloni worrying the white house. publicly saying italy is a member of the g-7 nato, we don't expect much to change. they do worry in the months ahead she may become an issue and rat this will coalition that west formed against russia in the ukraine war effort. europeans that you speak to, how nervous are they about this develop snent. >> -- development?

>> they're nervous. prior to gaining this political clout had been outwardly very pro putin. for the same cultural reasons that a lot of people on the far right. he stands for family and faith and, you know, he's having this lgbtq nonsense, et cetera, et cetera. but since the war, rather like another far right actor in italy, she sort of backed away from that embrace of the kremlin. come out in favor of ukraine and so on. so it remains to see at the geopolitical level italy's new government is going to be, you know, as dangerous as perhaps it will be at the domestic level. >> yeah. certainly the months ahead here with potential recession in europe, we know could be a cold, dark winter for much of the continent. that will test resolve. that's the moment that white house aides are worried about. michael, thank you for joining us this morning. shifting gears, hurricane ian strengthened to a category 3 storm as it approaches cuba with powerful winds, raising threats

of dangerous storm surges and prompting evacuations. it's expected to hit the western part of the island nation with 125 miles per hour winds. we're looking at the radar. cuba is already bracing for the impact. authorities evacuated nearly 50,000 people from the capital. ian is expected to become a category 4 hurricane before making land fall in florida with wind speeds forecast at over 130 miles per hour. tampa and st. petersburg are currently projected to take a direct hit as ian expected to be the first major hurricane to hit the two cities since 1921. florida governor declared a statewide emergency warning that ian could knock out power and interrupt fuel supplies. we're going to get a live forecast on the storm a little later in "way too early." we'll also get to this. democrats proposing a stopgap funding measure that would avert a government shutdown this week. am it get any gop support? plus, a nasa spacecraft

deliberately crashed into an asteroid yesterday. what scientists are saying about the first of its kind test. no words on bruce willis' whereabouts. those stories and much more when we come right back. and much morn we come right back

welcome back to "way too early." protests continue for the 11th day in iran and response to the death of 22-year-old ameany who died while she was in police custody for violating the country's islamic dress code. women in iran are tossing head scarfs into bonn fires and cutting their hair in front of security agents as a mark of protest. two dozen women have been arrest sod far. several female protesters are killed according to state media. the female journalist brought it to light is being held in prison according to colleagues.

elsewhere, vice president kamala hair sis set to visit the demilitarized zone that divides north and south korea on thursday. the trip to the dmz will include meetings with american service members and a briefing for military commanders. white house officials say the visit to the dmz underscores the united states' commitment to "stand beside south korea in the face of any threats posed by its neighbor to the north." according to reporters traveling with the vice president, the news of the visit first came during a bilateral meeting between harris and the south korean prime minister. the vice president traveled to south korea after leading a u.s. delegation to japan for former prime minister abe's state funeral. nasa said successfully completed its first real world test of humanity's ability to nudge a threatening asteroid off its course.

>> nasa's dark spacecraft in time lapse, the final seconds before slamming into a harmless asteroid, orbiting a bigger asteroid seven million miles away. in typical nasa precision, bulls eye. >> fantastic. nasa's goal to slam into the asteroid and nudge it slightly off course. >> for the first time humanity demonstrated ability to autonomously target an aller the orbit of a celestial object. >> it will take a week or more before nasa can analyze data from tell he scopes from earth and space to tell if it gave the asteroid a tiny push. a critical test of nasa hopes to use the same technique to one die divert a mega asteroid from hitting earth. >> there is a huge come it headed towards earth. >> a scenario played out in hollywood mega hits. >> it's what we call a global killer. >> but potentially a real life threat to the global population.

nasa chief bill nelson. >> it may be the clue of what we can do in the future to try to save life here on earth. >> nasa says they do not see any asteroid posing a threat to earth. but in 2013, a massive meteor escaped detection and exploded over a remote russian village injuring 1500 people. impacts have had a profound effect on history on earth. >> oh, my goodness. >> ask the dinosaurs about that. >> coming up, we'll switch gears to sports. plus, highlights from a monday night football game that started slow but had an entertaining finish. game that started slow but had an entertaining finish. think he's posting about all that ancient roman coinage? no, he's seizing the moment with merrill. moving his money into his investment account in real time and that's... how you collect coins. your money never stops working for you with merrill,

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touchdown, lamb. >> c.d. lamb dropped a wide open touchdown pass with this spectacular one handed catch in the corner of the end zone to cap a go ahead dallas drive in the fourth quarter. after then, trading field goals, the giants got the ball back with a minute and a half to play. the attempted come back is short lived as quarterback digs diving to make the game interception on a terrible pass. cowboys beat the giants for the tenth time in 11 games. the final, 23-16. meanwhile, giants quarterback daniel jones now 0-9 in prime tin, folks. he's not the answer. brian daboll lost his first game as head coach. the nfl pro bowl is no more. actually, no one cares. the league announcing yesterday it is doing away with the full contact all star type contest and replacing it with a week long skills competition and a

flag football game. the new event will be renamed the pro bowl games and will be held in las vegas the week before the super bowl on february 12th. let's turn now to major league baseball. and we begin in toronto. all yankees celebrations are still on pause. he led off with a single. he walked twice. also new york's winning streak ended at seven games. the yankees would have clinched the american league east with a victory. instead, they walk it off right there. 3-2 in ten innings. toronto extended the lead in the al wild card race to 2 1/2 games over the rays and the mariners who were both off last night. >> to the nation's capital, joe biden hosted the braves at the white house yesterday. >> franchise never quit. never gave in. you rebuilt the whole outfiled

practically overnight, play-by-play, inning by inning, you ground it out and did it together. one of the history's greatest turn arounds. but none of it came easy. people counting you out. heck, i know something about being counted out. and you know in georgia, you show up when it counts. >> some subtle election messaging there for the president. the braves head over to nationals park. atlanta moves to within one game of the first place new york mets in the national league east. this is fun, folks. both teams have eight games remaining in the regular season including a head-to-head three game series starting friday in atlanta. time now for the weather and, of course, the major category 3 hurricane in the caribbean. michelle grossman is here with

the latest. what it is looking like? >> it's looking concerning. we're looking at major category three storm. i'll show you the stats ichlt show it track and what we expect over the next couple days. that will happen today. we're look teg movement of 12 murpz. that's going to slow down a walking pace. that is concerning. we're going to see days and days of really heavy rainfall. up to 20 inches in some spots and catastrophic storm surge. 19 million at risk whether it is a tropical storm warning, hurricane warning, that is in red. that includes western florida, also the keys. the cuba, you're being pounded right now. we're looking at hef yan. we're looking at 16 inches of

rainfall possible there. there is the category 4 status early wednesday morning. look what happens throughout time. this track did change as of 5:00. we thought it would weaken encountering wind shear. we see a little earlier land fall thursday morning. we do anticipate it being category 3 storm. we're going to see heavy rain again up to 20 inches in some spots. now as we go throughout time, maintain those winds. and impacting portions of georgia. with he have a storm surge watch in portions of georgia. speaking of storm surge, looking at five to ten feet of storm surge. what that means is salt water. comes right from the ocean. it's a wall of water moving on land w he can see really high feet and then you add on that fresh water rainfall. so we're looking at a lot of flooding. >> for now, we're looking at a potentially direct hit on tampa-st. pete. >> yep. >> all right. we're going to watch that obviously very closely in the hours ahead.

michelle grossman, thank you. still ahead here on "way too early," the mid terms are just six weeks away. there is already a lot of attention on the next election. yep. 2024. we'll talk about how the country appears to be heading toward a rematch few voters are interested in. "way too early" will be right back. sted in. "way too early" will be right back

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welcome back to "way too early." it's 5:30 a.m. on east coast. 2:30 out west. thanks for being with us. the senate is back in session

today. working on a tight time line to avoid a government shutdown. funding is set to expire at the end of the day this friday. overnight, senate democrats released a text of their continuing resolution or short term funding bill that would push the deadline to mud december. not related to funding including a controversial measure by snar senator joe manchin. it also includes billions of dollars in aid from ukraine. the first test of the spending bill comes later today when the senate will vote on a procedural motion to move forward. they need 60 votes to pass. you never say never when it comes to the u.s. senate. we'll keep you posted. a new report about the budget office reveals that president biden's student loan debt will cost the government $400 billion. last month the president announced up to $10,000 in student loan relief for some

borrowers. it is a program for next month. the cbo estimate that's the administration's continued pause on student loan payments through december may cost about $20 billion. a lot of polling right now is already focused on the 2024 race for the white house. few voters actually want. but the two presidents, one current, one former, can't stop talking about. president biden and former president trump cited poll numbers at recent valleys showing how well they would do against the other despite the fact that neither man has formally declared they're even running in 2024. joining us now, the aforementioned matt vizer for "the washington post." great to see you. let's start with student debt.

you covered president biden for years now. this is a great example of that. they put together and a bit of a political football hero. some like, some don't. give us the latest here. we see the numbers now. we're expecting to hear more from the white house in the days ahead about this program. what do you think we're going to get? >> yeah. i mean, i think they're going to start trying to roll this out. we were asking about it yesterday in the briefing and they didn't have necessarily much of an update in terms of when it's going to be prepared and people to start applying for this. of course we have that cbo score yesterday. putting a new estimate on the package which white house officials were trying to sort of explai they put the rollout

quickly. >> certainly. and an issue for a lot of young voters. matt, we just teased your latest from "the washington post." writing that president biden and trump in many ways started the rematch. neither of them, of course, declared officially that they're running in 2024. but, yet, polls seem to indicate voters less happy about this possibility. >> and our latest "washington post" poll, 56% of democrats and democratic leaning voters said they wanted the party to nominate someone other than biden. only 35% want the president to run for a second term. and republicans are also divided about trump which is fairly new. 47% wanting the party nominating. preferring someone else. you know, so each party kind of wants to go in a different direction. they want someone new to be running.

but all indications from both biden and trump are that they're heading toward a rematch. and, you know, it's sort of a replay of 2020 which there is a history of presidential -- of sort rematches in presidential elections we had in this country. but very few involve a former president challenging an incumbent president. the we had to go back to 1892 with grover cleveland and benjamin harrison to come up with that. so it's kind of seems where things are heading. but it is also maybe where the country doesn't want to necessarily be headed. >> grover cleveland and benjamin harris. you got that on your "way too early" menu card today, you got it. thank you. still ahead, we're moving on to business news with a look at wall street before the bell. u.s. futures are up after five straight days of losses. we'll have much more on that and the morning's other business headlines next on "way too early." siness

headlines next on "way too early.

stock futures are up after a choppy training session left all three major averages in the red. the dow was in bear market territory. that means it's now down more than 20% from the recent high. the s&p 500 meanwhile tumbled and is at its lowest level since december of 2020 and nasdaq fell as well. this as investors brace for more rate hikes that could potentially put the economy into a recession. let's now bring in u.s. economics editor for the financial times colby smith. good to see you again. the futures for now looks good. but there's been a dramatic selloff on wall street over the last month. give us a sense as to what analysts are saying where markets could be headed now. >> we have really seen a significant repricing of financial markets over the

recent weeks. that's extended a route we've seen over a couple of months now. and to your point, it's really been a reflection of the fact that investors and economists now really expect interest rates that are not only higher but that are going to stay that way for quite some time. so what we heard from various officials at the federal reserve and policymakers globally is the fact that interest rates are really not coming down any time soon. and typical reactions that the central banks might have globally to volatility and financial markets or an economic slowdown are really not holding up anymore. the fed isn't going to step in as it has in the past. it wants to see the economy cool. >> you adjustment mentioned we had interest rate hikes. is there an expectation that fed and other central banks can raise them in the months ahead? >> absolutely.

i think that's really not only the expectation but an explicit signal to central banks in particular. we heard from the fed. the economy and what that level is exactly isn't something can you say with any precision. but it's quite clear that it's a level that higher than where we currently are at. and so what that means is that rate hikes are here to stay and could very well extend into early next year. and most importantly, the fed isn't going to immediately turn around and reverse course. they're going to hold at those levels for an extended period of time. >> and colby, briefly, right now, what is the best assessment as to the likelihood of a recession? >> it's rising. i think after we saw some pretty substantive -- pretty substantive increase in

inflationary pressures over the last month and then we hear, you know, this pretty aggressive language from the federal reserve and central banks globally, the assumption has to be that the odds of a so-called soft landing whereby inflation can come down without this pretty severe economic contraction have really reduced. en that is something that was notable in the most recent fed meeting where we heard from chair jay powell that no one can really know for certain if the recession can be avoided. but he did admit that this process is going to require some pain. it will not be painless. and that's a big admission from central bank chair. >> yeah. big and worry so many. >> we're going to look at two stories tied to january 6th. a rioter set to be sentenced. meanwhile, wisconsin's republican speaker is trying to stonewall subpoena from the committee. we'll explain why just ahead. e committee. we'll explain why justhe aad think he's posting about all that ancient roman coinage?

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an iowa man is scheduled to be sentenced to day for his role in the january 6th attack. 38-year-old kyle young pleaded guilty in may to assaulting, resisting or impeding a law enforcement officer. he is one of the rioters that assaulted mike finone as drobed into the mob, handing fellow rioter a stun gun before he shot him in the neck. he tells nbc news he'll be at the sentencing to day. prosecutors are seeking a sentence of 86 months in a federal prison. that will be the third longest sentence handed down to a january 6th rioter so far. meanwhile, wisconsin republican senator robin -- republican speaker robin vos is trying to block a subpoena from the house select committee investigating january 6th. the committee issued the subpoena over the week seeking testimony about a phone call that vos had with donald trump in july of this year. during which the former president pushed him to overturn

wisconsin's 2020 presidential election results. forget about the fact that was two years ago. the panel wanted his testimony by september 26th, yet. but in a court filing, vos argues the old explanation for such an extreme time line is the committee's desire to conduct the deposition before the next public hearing which, of course, is scheduled for tomorrow. joining us to talk about this, congressional reporter our friend nicholas. with a deposition ahead of tomorrow's hearing now, unlikely, is the committee going to continue to push for vos's deposition ahead of another potential hearing? >> that's certainly a possibility. i mean, the committee is showing here is that there is still trying to take in information even as they reach a final stage of their investigation. one thing they're likely trying to do that robin voss' testimony is to get this to the last hearing. that could indicate one thing the storty the committee is

interested in telling of this final act is about the continued efforts to try to overturn the election even after the fact. like you said, nearly two years later. but keep in mind, there are still other folks the committee is trying to get testimony from. right? there is still an interview that they have set with jimmy thomas, for example. and so this isn't going to happen by wednesday's hearing. and this is something that we can, you know, end up present later in another hearing or perhaps in the final report. >> so that's what i was going to ask you. so we know we have the hearing tomorrow. another one has not yet been scheduled. certainly the door is left open for it. but if a hearing doesn't occur, perhaps because they fear it's too close to the election, what would mechanism would this new information -- we've been presented? it is possible it could continue even after election day? ? >> the committee is made clear that they want to push through to the very end here. and the end being, you know, the end of this year. the sunset of this congress when

the mandate officially expires. and so the committee chair is certainly left open the door to do another hearing. but remember, they set the bar pretty high for holding any kind of last minute hearing. the last time they did that is with the cassidy thing that became a key part that filled in a lot of gaps here. at the same time, most members of congress are going to be away in october because they need to head home and campaign for re-election. >> so, nicholas, give us a brief preview of what we should expect tomorrow. we know this roger stone documentary footage is going to be a part of the proceedings. what else should we be looking for? >> well, there's the committee is still held its cards close to the chest for exactly how this is going to play out. but we do know according to the chairman bennie thompson that he's going to lead the hearing. each member is going to play some sort of part in these proceedings. it won't be quite like the other hearings we've seen so far.

individual number will lead it. there is a specific theme. and that would, you know, touch on any number of different pieces of testimony. tomorrow is likely to be in some ways final argument for part of investigation. >> and we're going to hear from thompson, what sort of role do we anticipate liz cheney playing tomorrow. she of course, since we last had one of these hearings, was defeated in the republican primary in her reelection bid. >> cheney is the vice chair of the committee will still play a major role. it remains to be seen exactly how this is going to shake out tomorrow. we can expect certainly more details in the next day or so. >> a remarkable political moment there from cheney who made that choice. so rare these days to choose patriotism over party, and she stood against donald trump, stood against what happened on january 6th.

paid the price with home state voters over the summer. "politico's" nicholas wu, thank you so much, and we're going to have complete coverage of the hearing, previewing it tomorrow morning. up next on "way too early," a look at midterm spending a little over a month before november's elections. >> and then coming up on "morning joe," more of what to expect from the january 6th select committee during tomorrow's hearing, including newly revealed video of trump ally roger stone appearing to call for violence in the weeks before the attack on the capitol. former trump chief of staff mark meadows is scheduled to testify before the special grand jury investigating the special attempts to influence the 2020 election in georgia. we'll get live reporting from the fulton county courthouse. also ahead, democratic senator amy klobuchar is a guest. "morning joe" is just a few minutes away. guest. "morning joe" is just a few minutes away

♪♪ joining us now, a look at axios a.m., political reporter laughlin mckay, great to see you this morning. what is the "axios" one big

thing today. >> we're tracking spending, money and politics tracking organization is set to shatter any record for midterm spending. they're projecting about 9.3 billion in total spending on just federal elections this year. that's up from over 7 billion in 2018, and really it's being driven by a few factors, in large part the extremely expensive primaries we saw earlier in the year, particularly on the republican side, candidates like dr. oz, jim layman in california. that's really driven the numbers up. >> so so far republicans are out spending democrats, what issues are they starting to push. they believed inflation and the economy would be the animating factor. that's still out there. what other things. >> inflation is there to an extent, but really we're seeing

a shift to a much larger focus on crime as a major issue in republican ads. you know, and even democrats we talk to say this is a pretty potent issue, although they dispute the merits of it. but it's really across the country in the senate race in wisconsin, in multiple gubernatorial contests, house races across the country, republicans are really hammering this issue, and democrats are scrambling and putting up a lot of money and a lot of air time to try to counter act it. >> crime certainly up in many places in the country. republicans, though, trying to make the claim that democrats are defunding the police. we know of course virtually all democrats are opposed to that idea. on the other hand, what are democrats talking about and how much of it is abortion rights. >> abortion rights have become a major, you know, when democrats were really looking for an issue that they could hang their hat on that would drive some enthusiasm and serve as a political wedge, the supreme

court's decision overturning roe v. wade sort of provided that political lifeline. you know t may be enough to tilt some contests, even states where you night not expect there to be support behind the position, kansas, for instance, it has been a political game changer. so, you know, you're going to continue to see republicans and democrats sort of running parallel messaging tracks, right, they're not going to be talking about any of the same issues, you know, to the extent there's any intersection, it's going to be trying to directly push back on ads that, you know, have been pretty effective on both sides. >> you talked about the extraordinary amount of money being spent in advertising across these midterm elections. way more than we're used to seeing for a nonpresidential year. which states are seeing most of the spending. >> basically the ones with the biggest and most expensive media markets are where you tend to see the most spending. places like pennsylvania, georgia, arizona, you know, it

just costs more to buy an ad there, and these are states with extremely important and hard-fought and very close statewide political contests. so that's where you're really going to see the most money. again, you had a lot of these primaries where you had very wealthy people, you know, even on the democratic side, you had like alex lazari in wisconsin, for instance. the degree to which wealthy people are deciding, what am i going to do with this fortune i amassed, why not try to buy a seat in congress. i think that trend is only going to increase. you can expect numbers to go up in future cycles as well. >> and you detailed all the money being spent. give us your assessment, though, republican and democratic strategist, lawmakers you're talking to, both sides of the aisle, where do they think things stand right now, six weeks to election day. where are they leaning, where is the senate going to go, where is

the house going to go. >> the conventional wisdom is the house will flip, the house will have a narrow majority there. and the senate is going to come down to a few races, nevada, georgia, north carolina, so, you know, it's really anyone's guess at this point. whoever has the majority in the senate come next year is going to be a narrow one. if democrats can pull off the split congress, you know, with them holding the senate, republicans taking the house, i think at this point they'll take that. >> key democrats i have been speaking to, you know, certainly antsy about georgia, pennsylvania, like their candidates and chances, but know the races are tight. growing alarm about nevada. that's one that snuck up on them. we shall see in the weeks ahead. lachlan markay, thanks for joining us on this tuesday morning.

"morning joe" starts right now. stick around. good morning, and welcome to "morning joe." it is tuesday, september 27th. new footage released of trump aide roger stone calling for violence and talking about plans to steal the election. the clips are set to be featured at tomorrow's january 6th hearing, but we'll get an early look this morning. we are also tracking hurricane ian, which is rapidly intensifying as it barrels toward the state of florida. the storm could hit the state as a category 4 hurricane, and a state of emergency has already been declared. we'll have the very latest and we'll be tracking it throughout the show. and nasa goes armageddon on an asteroid to see if it's possible to save humanity from disaster. >> yeah. >> willie, i just want you to know, of course, mika has no idea what she just said. >> no, i do actually.