plaza. nbc news projects that donald trump will win the state of indiana. we project, donald trump will win in kentucky as well. vermont goes to hillary clinton. the projected winner in vermont. we're watching virginia. the polls have closed there. too early to call, clinton however leading in virginia. georgia, also, too close to call. and south carolina, too early to call.

all night long watching the race to 270 electoral votes. here is how it stands based on the calls. trump with 19. clinton with 3. we map it out on the ice for you in democracy plaza. the map will fill in with a lot of red and blue before this night is over. again, 270 its the magic number that will elect our next president. come on inside, we say a big good evening. i'm lester holt alongside election night team, savannah guthrie, chuck todd, tom tonight. history will be made? >> we have an unconventional candidate against an unprecedented candidate. this election has changed so much about our politics, it up-ended every assumption, redefined what it means to be a republican or democrat in this country and it will be very exciting to see who turns out tonight. who shows up to vote. what that coalition might look like for hillary clinton or donald trump. i think we are in for a cliffhanger on the senate side. who is going to control the senate by end of the day.

tonight? >> we will learn a lot early. look, we are learning something now. the quick indiana call means that republicans came home. you know it was three weeks ago before comey, indiana was neck and neck. and the fact we can call a poll close, a sign, republicans came home, mike pence's home state. look at virginia and georgia. we may be talking about the story. the southeast corner of the united states over the last 12 years we have seen this battleground map change and now welcome g battleground joining florida, virginia, north carolina the atlantic seaboard. spending a lot of time tonight, in how quickly those races get called will tell us how long this night is going to be on the presidential front. >> tom, a lot of big themes that will extend far beyond 2016 we'll be watching tonight? >> this country has been simmering for some time. this election is not going to end all of that. the question -- does it boil over depending on who wins? i think that is the real test for who ever wins this race. also the test for the country. they have to figure out how they

there is a lot of absence of confidence in the institutions of governance. 54% of the people said recently they would defeat every member of congress, republican or democrat alike. who ever wins tonight, going forward from here is going to have to find a way to reach across the lines to the red state or blue states because there are a lot of each. however you look at the map. and get them to work together toward a common goal. that's the big, big challenge, lester. >> hallie jackson in the newsroom here with a full team working on reporting the story. our team of correspondents blanketing the country coast to coast, not just polling places and election watch parties but in key battleground states. of course campaign headquarters. i will be digging through exit polls here. and this is the engine room of our election center the we have our vote watch unit here led by cynthia mcfadden, pete williams checking for voting irregularities, legal issues that might pop up. political unit with pollsters diving into all right data.

be bringing you all the coverage for the next seven hours, maybe more. lester. >> okay, thank you very much. keeping a close eye on clinton and trump election headquarters. manhattan's pretty small town right there. all located a short distance from each other and us here in midtown. let's check in with them now. starting with andrea mitchell at clinton headquarters. hello, andrea. >> reporter: good evening, lester. this is the night that hillary clinton has been waiting for. she is in a midtown hotel with her husband of course forme close friends and family. but they're hoping this will not be a nail biter. but we have learned they have written two speeches. they're hoping of course it is a victory speech that she declares and she is able to finally shatter that glass ceiling. and the convention center here has a glass ceiling. so that is the symbolism of what they're trying to do and hope to accomplish tonight. the real issue -- what happens in north carolina? they see north carolina as the

but where they have gone in the last 24 hours tells the story. we were at 1:00 this morning at a rally in north carolina. raleigh, north carolina. earlier in pennsylvania. pennsylvania, former pennsylvania governor ed rendell telling me it is not a done deal. they can't take pennsylvania for granted. so therefore, that big extravaganza with both obamas and clintons in front of the independence hall in philadelphia last night. and earlier in the day, she went to pittsburgh they don't want to leave anything on the table and again hoping she can finally achieve the goal that she has sought, so hard, for 18 months and in fact for decades earlier. >> andrea mitchell at clinton headquarters in manhattan. katie tur at trump headquarters in new york. hello, katey. >> hey there, lester. donald trump is watching the returns come in at trump tower. surrounded by his family and his close aides.

turnout from what they call a white republican counties in new hampshire and in michigan. but i spoke to a couple new hampshire source whose tell me they're not as confident as the the donald trump campaign. they describe the state, tense, close, sickening. i spoke to multiple sources inside and outside the campaign, absolutely everybody believes this is going to be a tight race. they're focusing on four states. their core four, conway puts it, ohio, florida, iowa, north carolina. from there they will look to michigan, a blue state that they hope to turn red. and get donald trump the presidency. but this is a campaign, lester that has conceded from the beginning that they're the underdogs, the infrastructure, the money, the electoral map was never in their favor. >> katie tur tonight. katie, thank you very much. let's talk now about some of the results we ticked off at the top of the hour.

georgia is considered a deep red state. >> well it has been. the clinton campaign talked about investing it, they said "well you, know what, we need to put more, takes more time to make georgia competitive." obama flirted with it. now looks like firmly battleground. talked to republicans they were surprised in the last weekend, surprised the clinton campaign didn't make more play for georgia early, the same way the democrats talked about michigan. is a problem for the democratic side. but here's what we are, i am going to keep an eye on. outside of atlanta, kalb county, romney won by double digits. college education split in this electorate. if she carries georgia, we'll see the evidence in kalb, doesn't have to carry kalb, but has the to be a swing. to win georgia. we'll find out out. >> fascinating watching where

side makes them think they should be worried about. thinking of the to do list that has so many things left off of it. >> absolutely. you are going to hear chuck talk about the suburbs all night long. that ultimately might be one of stories that emerges here. whether or not hillary clinton can pull more of the married white women, might have traditionally voted republican into her corner if she can that's potentially a fact tr that could be decisive. and they have all kind of once again, gone to the same le starting to see the glimmers of new demographic battle grounds, as i just mentioned and also new geographic battle grounds. chuck talked -- georgia, airs airs -- arizona got a late visit from hillary clinton. i think we are going to see a lot of that kind of conventional thinking about politics and the map. potentially up-ended tonight. >> tom? >> what you see tonight -- what

this country is changing at warp speed. look at the hispanic vote. republicans rejected the hispanics, going back, pete wilson ran hard against mywards in california. republicans said we lost a constituency that belonged to us. these are family oriented people. they're very faithful. they work hard. we have given them to the democrats by our attack on them. look at women taking a more prominent place in united states, the number of governors around the country, number of women, heads of corporations, big bankers, half the law school classes now are filled with women. here is one of them. and doctors as well. so, that is a changing map, that is going on out there. and these two candidates have been running behind the curve in my judgment. and not reaching out to figure out how they're going to get ahead of the constituency that is out there looking for somebody who can deliver to them

>> all right, chuck, walk me through the states that really could determine this thing tonight. >> yeah, look, i think we know. we have talked about florida. i kind of want to build on this larger point here. we know that i think -- and just in this respect. if clinton wins this election she is going to win it because of this southeast corridor. and if donald trump wins this election it will be he overperforms. that's what is going on here. we have seen the growth states. the southeastern states are becoming more diverse. the difference in georgia, north carolina, florida, virginia. isn't going to be african-american vote. going to be hispanic vote. up here there isn't a lot of hispanic vote in michigan. isn't a lot in pennsylvania. that is what has given trump real chances in both michigan and pennsylvania. iowa, ohio. we are seeing, by the way, the map may look very similar to 2012 when it is all said and done. i want to emphasize what tom

going to look a lot different. once we start seeing real numbers come in. for what it is worth. very little actual vote is in. keeping a huge eye for instance on florida. because we are seeing more vote come in right now in florida than anywhere else. but again, 2% in. so, as you can see all coming from essentially one semirural county. >> yeah, right now. a lot of what we are dealing with is anecdotal conversation what has been happening in the states. let's go to kerry sanders, begin states. kerry in florida. what are you seeing there? >> well, the polls closed at 7:00 where i am. inside there is about a half dozen voters still inside. about a men out before they close the polls they made an announcement. two people literally sprinted inside. the reason they're still inside voting is, while it is the presidential election that everybody is watching, of course, the vote itself. the ballot is rather long. so it can take up to 20, 30 minutes for some people to actually vote here.

here, as you go out to the panhandle, the polls are still open for, well, till 7:00 that type. then people can, continue to vote as long as they have been in line. it is likely that we are going to have a pretty long night here because of how close things are. i am along the i-4 corridor. while it is all indications are that the real determination of who is going to take the state will be along this corridor, as you were just talking, the hispanic vote may actually turn this state and moved along the i-4 corridor that are really likely to perhaps determine who wins or loses here. consider this fact, since they have had their economic problems on the island there, about 7,000 puerto ricans a month have been leaving that island and many of them coming here, in fact, with the current projections we may wind up having the largest puerto rican showing here not in new york where they are still

of the ground game that we hear so much about -- this getting out the vote effort? >> well the ground game on the democratic side has been much stronger than on the republican side. hillary clinton's teams have actually gone door to door and had people in cars bringing voters out to the polls where on the republican side it's been a little bit more of people being self-motivated to come out. i think it will be very interesting. because donald trump made it very clear the polls because he saw such huge crowds and many of them of course showing up in the state. we'll see whether that translates into the votes that he thinks will result. >> kerry sanders. thank you very much. let's move on up to north carolina, a part of the country, chuck was circling. rehema ellis is there. tell us what you have seen there throughout the day? >> reporter: well i can tell you the polls are still open here.

here. later on not so much. it was steady. officials say it has been like that statewide. they say it is primarily because there has been a record all-time early voting here in this state. with 17 voting days before today. it's added up to 45% of registered voters here in north carolina who cast their votes before this day. making this a tossup state for clinton and for trump. i can tell you what happened when i talked to some folks who came out of there who had voters alike were happy they voted and more than that they're relieved this is over. >> all right, rehema ellis for us, polls close in north carolina at 7:30 eastern. 15 electoral votes there. tammy leightner at a polling place in manchester, new hampshire, have seen a lot of movement there, tammy over a week or so. notoriously hard place for pollsters to predict.

hampshire still a wild card the we have been speaking with voters all afternoon. i can tell you one thing, this state is divided. now, keep in mind this is where trump got his start. this is where he won his first primary. also, something to keep in mind. 40% of the voters here are declared, undeclared, both making a push here. trump has been here nine times. president obama was here yesterday campaigning for clinton. i can tell you that they are beth mak mention, lester the crucial senate race. i can tell you tonight when the polls close everybody is going to be looking at new hampshire. to see one, who is in the white house. and two, who takes control of the senate. lester. >> tammy, thank you very much. we are here in our nbc news election center. barely getting started. await more poll closings. we are going to dig into the exit polling coming up. see what we can glean from that. we are learning some very interesting things about what voters are thinking.

battle for the white house between donald trump and hillary clinton. two parties, two candidates, and one prize. decision night in america continues right here on nbc. i used to blame the weather for my frizz. turns out my curls needed to be stronger to fight back. pantene's pro-v formula makes my curls so strong* they can dry practically frizz free.**

democracy plaza. welcome back from our nbc news election center. hallie jackson in the digging into exiting polling we are getting. what have you got? >> lester, looking at three big themes tonight. the first character for each of the candidates. remember this entire campaign, each candidate has tried to paint the other as basically unfit for the presidency. take a look at these numbers of honest and trust worthy. you can see voters nationwide, found 60% of them rather found hillary clinton to not be honest or trust worthy. so that means, 6 in 10 voters feel this way. look at donald trump, his

this is still clinton again. for donald trump, it's 64% of people who feel that way. so what does this mean? it means there is still a considerable character problem. no matter who ends up in the white house. we want to talk, the trump numbers behind me. another team tonight. hispanic voters. heard chuck talking earlier this hour, how key the latino vote will be. right now we see hispanic voters breaking for hillary clinton, not so surprising, what we are watching whether tru 2012. right now no indication he is. remember, still early in the evening. these are our early exits. which means we are waiting on west coast figures to come in. the final point i want to make sheer, we are closely watching what happens with college educated white women. this is kind of a swing group. went for barack obama in 2008. mitt romney, 2012. look where they're breaking right now. for hillary clinton by 8 points. she has flipped that group from last cycle. but take a look at where trump

educated white women. he is up over hillary clinton by 24 points according to our early exit polls. this is decisive for him. and it illustrates, guys this is not so much a gender gap that we will be talking about tonight, more of an education gap when it comes to white women voters. >> all right, hallie, let's turn to savannah. struck by numbers, honesty. trump and clinton viewed the same by voters. she was the one that seemed to be labeled with the truth issue. >> by the way, donald trump has made a meaut the better part of the general election. what is interesting how remarkably stable the negative ratings are. they haven't gone too much hyperor too much lower. let's be clear. they're astronomically high for both candidates. the two most unpopular presidential candidates in history. they have very high negatives. but in a sense they're kind of washing each out since they both viewed unfavorably by voters by the way even by some of their

unpopular than him. our pollsters will say you are right. but at this point, look at the difference of those negatives. that matters. >> stay with us. we are just getting started. we are minutes away from poll closings in north carolina and ohio. we'll characterize those races for you when those polls close. decision night in america continues right here on nbc. around here, i'm lucky to get through a shift without a disaster. heads up!

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of the next set of poll closings. 7:30 eastern closings. north carolina, ohio, west virginia. i want to go quickly to chuck todd right now. how late do you think north carolina is going to keep us? >> yeah, what are you doing thursday? >> oh, come on, no. >> between the senate race and presidential. could keep us up, i think north carolina is that close. it is a state with very few swing voters. that's what makes like the country right now. it is going hard. it is why it is such a polarized state. let's not forget north carolina. hb 2. the last battle taking place tonight in north carolina. >> ohio is going to close. historic battleground state. how large does it loom right now? >> it is interesting here. hillary clinton can win the presidency without winning a ohio. and she would be the first democrat to do it since john kennedy.

for donald trump than it is for hillary clinton. >> this is what we talk about, the idea that she came in with multiple paths. thinking she had multiple paths. >> she does. always, the atlantic seaboard has allowed her to essentially lose ohio, lose iowa, and still have various paths to 270. because of what is going on, the atlantic coast. >> polls close in 5:30. stay with us. polls are going to close in more states. including north carolina and coverage continues here on nbc. good evening, everyone, the polls are now closed in virginia and time is running out to vote in maryland and the district. one more hour left.

we'll get you back to network coverage in a minute. the polls closed in virginia about 25 minutes ago. results slowly starting to come in. i don't think we have any yet. looking at where they stand right now in the commonwealth, well, actually there are some result already. donald trump seems to be leading with 57% of the vote to 38% for hillary clinton at this particular time. >> and we're also watching the race for northern congressional district. luann bennett is the challenging barbara comstock. you've seen the tv commercials. this is a hard fought race. >> and important one in regards of the u.s. senate. we have the team of reporters coverage all of the races. megan fitzgerald is at the comstock watch party. >> we begin with david culver.

a lot of excitement there as they're hearing state after state being called. i can tell you, this is where the democratic leadership is starting to assemble. we've seen senator mark warner arrive. let me tell you how confident he is that clinton will win us. he is referring to her as president-elect hillary clinton. we caught up with governor terry mcauliffe. he got here a short time ago. we caught up with him. he, too, stand on stage tonight as the first governor of an eastern state to announce that we are a blue state and with virginia going for hillary clinton, it is almost mathematically impossible for donald trump to become president. that is going to happen tonight. >> reporter: now, we are expecting luann bennett to arrive shortly. we'll catch up with her as soon as she arrives. i want to go to my colleague

with barbara comstock's camp. >> reporter: that is exactly right. we're expecting congresswoman barbara comstock to arrive here around 9:00. she will be here with supporters, friends and family memberers but we talked to a close, family friend. she tells us that the congresswoman is feeling good. she spent the day making the rounds at different polling locations around her district and over the last couple of days, we've seen her, of course, campaigning, she has been at touching all of her constituents as much as she could leading up to today. this is a hard fought race as you've been seeing. you've seen the commercials out there. police experts will tell you, the tenth cannot congressional district has been changing, making the argument that a democrat could possibly come in and win this district, but on the opposite side, supporters of the congresswoman will tell you

since she got into congress back in 2014. we will be here watching as this race unfolds. back to you. >> thanks meagan. not much time left if you live in maryland or virginia and you intend to vote. the polls close there at 8:00 tonight. a little more than half hour from now. you have to be in line by 8:00 sharp if you are going to cast a ballot there. those in line by that time will be allowed to vote. >> we expect maryland and presidential race but we're watching other issues down the ballot in maryland, we're watching the race to replace long time senator barbara mikulski and house races in the 4th, 6th and 8th strict. they have a state hood referendum on their ballot. >> we'll be watching those races and more as the polls close and the final results come in. >> we plan to keep you updated on all of the local races. the nbc washington app will send you breaking news alerts and

about 25 minutes. >> for now, back to nbc news >> for now, back to nbc news special election coverage. what you gone do? >> for now, back to nbc news special election coverage. lift up your head and keep moving or let the paranoia haunt you? i keep my fee-fi-fo-fum i keep my heart undone

welcome back from our election center. 7:30 in the east. polls have closed in three states including two very important swing states. take you through them right now. the state of ohio. too close to call. at this hour. north carolina -- too early to call. west virginia, nbc news projects when the votes are counted, donald trump wins west virginia. a state where his message played well. it is coal industry has taken a beating. hillary clinton, made a misstep there when she talked about putting coal workers out of a job. trump goes, gets west virginia. as we look at the race to 270. we move done to the ice there on democracy plaza.

clinton with 3, 19 to trump. at this early hour. nicole wallace joins our panel now. i want you all to react to some numbers we are seeing coming in from florida now. keeping in mind all the polls have not closed there. but we are getting some raw numbers. what are you seeing as we put them up, chuck? >> i am seeing, look, we have got, 40% already of the vote in. all early vote here. but here's what's not in. we only half abo all. barely anything out of miami. what you are seeing now, watching the map. clinton up a point. what that is, that's where the vote is currently coming in. if you see any gray there, means we have had zero vote in from there. all that is telling you is who is leading in the county. as you see there, obviously it's the southeast corner where the population is, miami, broward, palm beach. you see no broward. that's if she wins florida, she

right now in the raw vote, before we have anything out of broward county, you are going to have a lot of nervous trump people. and a lot of very, very, excited clinton people. >> nicole. let me ask you. even trump said florida was must win. but then down the stretch here we saw, let's go to michigan. looking for other paths and suggesting they might have them. do they exist? or is this a head fake we have seen? >> so even some of trump's closest advisers, by mid talk about what if? what if donald trump hadn't engaged in a month long battle against the kahn family, what if donald trump hadn't taken so long and never properly apologized for access hollywood, and the what if, the answer to the what if -- what if he focused instead on a strategy that remade the map where his economic message, direct line into people experiencing economic despair in upper midwest what if they had a real campaign could have targeted

short in florida. call this the checkmate state. i agree with that. but this story if they've comep short tonight will be about a campaign that was, was not lost at the beginning. they had the potential to take his economic message. take his outsider message and turn some states that really haven't been available to republicans they could have taken that message in a concerted manner with real traditional. maybe boring in trump eyes. turnout operation. could have done boring things. they could have done some of the nonsexy twitter. i think what they will talk about if they come up short how they might have been able to remake the map so states like north carolina and florida weren't do or die for them. >> did donald trump have his finger on the pulse, tom, of what americans cared about? >> any number of people. he ran a brilliant campaign from the ground up at the beginning. but he continued to run through the general election like it was a primary. that the voter turnout was much different in the reality than

him. 60% of the people who voted for him today according to the exit polls and the surveys that the we did, thought he did not have the right temperament to be the president of the united states. these are people who voted for him. any number of republicans went to him, you have to shift gears, change, be different. he has a very strong ego. he knows how well he did. giving them the trump act from state to state to state. but he didn't shift the gear in time for the general election. and he is paying a price for that in some of the states so fa but they have got to scramble to win tonight. >> to your point, he was on to something and in so many ways is remaking republican orthodoxy. here is a guy who is saying he is against, against the free trade agreements. where free traders were, that was an article of faith in the republican party. some of the foreign policy of the traditional republican party. he completely up-ends. so, it is because of some of those positions, he is opening up a path to rust belt states

flip side of it. what he did, i mean to nicole's point. it wasn't over before it started. this is a winnable race in the republican year, history is on the side of republicans. on the other hand when he had his first announcement speech, disparaged mexicans and kind of put the battle lines down. if we see in florida the hispanic vote goes up and that ends up being decisive, a lot of people will look and say, boy was that lost on the first day? at >> one of the early piece of this drama we will be watching what is happening in florida. want to get around to battleground states now where our correspondents are in ohio. which we as we know the polls close here a short while ago. too close to call. we have got -- nbc's chris jansing and jacob saberoth in pennsylvania. first to ohio and chris. providing the drama, as it always does, chris. >> boy, does it. i can tell you both campaigns

you were just talking about this. the union workers who have been really responsive to donald trump's message. on the other hand i'm standing in cleveland, in cuyahoga county. a place where barack obama won twice overwhelmingly where the clinton folks were down at end of early voting now. they had hoped that there would be lines long enough to keep this place open after 7:30. but as you can see, the doors close. no one is here. there is some nervousness on their de than, in other states. i am hearing front trump campaign. having said that, if they're able to pull it out, the clinton campaign, it is going to be about the ground game. today they did something really interesting. lester. they took 400 paid staffers out of the offices. put volunteers in. sent them out canvassing four times. they knocked on the door once. somebody wasn't home. they went back, a second time. they belief that ground game can

to. thinking there is a chance they could pull out ohio, lester. >> all right, chris, thank you. >> jacob in pennsylvania. not a coincidence the clinton folks ended in pennsylvania. and we know as watching florida it would be critical to a donald trump path. describe what you have been seeing on the ground, jacob? >> there is no doubt about it. as to the reason that the president and the secretary were here in philadelphia last night. there were 1686 election perhaps this is the one with the longest lines in the entire city right now. this is the main polling location for temple university in north philadelphia. some of the young folks told me they have been in line, three, four hours. somebody came by and dropped by pizza for the students. the line snakes around this way. all the way around. through this area. and down under the overpass. down that way. i have to tell you, lester.

with philadelphia. drive up the margins particularly amongst the young people you are seeing right now that have been waiting on this line for hours and hours and hours. they could potentially close the margins that donald trump is running up in the center of this state in the areas between pittsburgh, and philadelphia. we will be watching this. polls close. all the people on the line down to the overpass are more than likely, in fact, are certainly going to be let into this pollingpl good to see. jacob, thank you. hallie jackson in the newsroom and a look at exit polling. hallie, fascinating stuff coming out of exit polls. what are you looking at? >> how people feel about the federal government? listen, people don't like the federal government according to early exit poll. 2/3 of folks are dissatisfied or angry. keep in mind this does not mean we are a nation of angry people. only 22% say they're actually mad at government. let's dive into that slice of the pie though.

an overwhelming majority of them, 75%, broke for donald trump according to this early data. donald trump has run a campaign trying to tap into that voter dissatisfaction. you are seeing some of that reflected in early numbers. want to switch gears and talk little bit about a key swing state, chuck brought up earlier in the night, north carolina and the gender gap. another theme we are following. take a look at this -- hillary clinton. of men, most of them went for donald but basically the flip of it. most women went for her. double-digit gender gap in north carolina. part of the reason the state is so close. potentially, reflection of what we have seen this entire campaign. >> all right, nicole, pouring through exit polling data on your own. going rogue, what are you seeing in there? >> so, savannah, matt were kind of enough to let me follow the mom vote this cycle. a year ago, i sent a note. want to look at one group and

can win back the white house, watch the mom vote. the last time it was done, was george w. bush in 2004 was able to tap into the security mom, some call them nascar moms. it is impossible for a republican to win the white house without narrowing the gender gap. what i am looking at so far, it does not look like, trump is on track to do that in enough swing states? >> going to go to the map here. going to show one of the counties that have the moms in it. in virginia. >> moms are everywhere. >> they are everywhere. >> will -- >> my mom. >> quickly. loudon county. how loudon goes, so goes virginia. obama won virginia last time. won loudon. seven points. look at right now. we got a quarter of the vote in loudon. basically, you know, college educated, a pretty high income county. sort of the next suburb out of arlington and fairfax and northern virginia. and she is up by 16 points. essentially doubling.

pulling out of virginia. >> before the break, show me where we stand in virginia. too early with clinton leading. >> still early. not a ton of vote in here. here we go. show you here. here it is. so far most of the vote has come in from republican areas. you can see arlington. we have ? ? -- no vote at all. the strongest democratic areas have not really ce loudon, you brought up that. i was stunned that already she has a double digit lead out there. we still have more vet to come in. >> we need to got to a break. invite you to stay with us. more states. more calls. our panel. the man who helped orchestrate bill clinton's campaign to win the white house, james carville will join us. decision night in america continues right here on nbc. >> announcer: decision night in

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built for better health. welcome back. democracy plaza here on election night. decision night in america. just keep in mind we are 15 minutes away from 8:00 eastern. we will see a slew of poll closings. 16 states plus the district of columbia. we're back now from our guy who knows what it is look to help a clinton win the white house. james carville. hey, james. >> little nervous tonight. feeling good. >> where are the clinton nerves right now. looking at the same data we are looking at. >> i do know this, turnout in brow ward, fort lauderdale, dade, miami. city of philadelphia are all eye-popping. now what i don't know is what the turnout is in trump areas. i do know the turnout in the clinton areas, johnson county,

boulder, colorado. college towns. i think the story at the end of this night if i guess is going to be the clinton ground game. the logistical thing that they put together in the amount of money that they did, these numbers are beyond anything like i think chuck or none of us, nicole, think right now. >> is that a gift? >> yeah, a lot of people. a trump gift too. had something to do with it too. >> funny you bring this up. yes, she ran against somebody who had no ground game. who did nothing. >> i she had run against somebody with a ground game. you see what i mean? is this a very different election or not? >> when political scientists study this. we will ascertain what a ground game means. you're right. he has none. they have hundred of thousand of people. i think they said 3 million touches on saturday alone. but, i mean, you know, this is, some extent. you have to say this is democracy at work. people out knocking on doors. people standing in line. people bringing pizzas.

about this. >> james, if it works out the way you hope. she gets the presidency. the country is still badly fractured. >> absolutely. >> she is a known factor the everybody knows of her. on the other side they didn't like her very much. they're talking about a target rich opportunity in the congress of the united states. so what does she do right away if she wins. we don't know that. >> the one thing is. once she gets in office, much more popular. much more popular office holder than candidate. i think, that what she h that all of this trump voters, people, they have something to say. they want to be heard. and i think she has got, i think a lot of democrats say, you know these people are really hurting. they're trying to say something. you know, she should reach out, and say, you know, you were sending me a messagen't i heard that message. you came out. when i say we are stronger together. i hope she says when i say together i mean everybody. i don't mean to be just like. >> should she go to red states and listen? >> i think so.

inaugurated. i would love to see her go to some parts that were, heavily, trump areas. sit and talk to people. >> yeah. >> yeah. >> no, i mean. >> i mean it. >> yeah, good place. >> it's not a -- not a bad idea. there are a lot of places she can go. i do think there are a lot of democrats that are like these are our people. this its why a lot of us became democrats. yes, we want to win the election. and we are, they're screaming that they want to be heard about something. i think, you know, my guess is that, she gets it. i just really believe that. >> what are your thoughts on the comey factor? the polls didn't really detect anything. when you got to this notion of republicans coming home. there was, we had a ten day stretch there where all the bad news was pointed in her direction. >> right. it was. politics, have become so tribal. people have become so hardened

i was very glad on sunday when i was talking to somebody on the phone. said my god look what happened. it had, robbie mook, it helped fund-raising a lot. they had started to see some declines before that. you don't know. but it might have motivated a lot of democrats. you don't know that for sure. >> i think you are right. i think we have to unpack this after the election. what it did that is you can't tabulate that effect. >> he became focused. >> he became focused. described by sources close to him that it was like a thunderbolt. that it struck him for the first time in, in many weeks, or several weeks, that he could win this thing. he gave up his twitter. he read from a teleprompter. he did all that boring stuff that i talked about a couple of minutes ago. you can never, i mean, i think the polls are hard to decipher because this was a time in elections when peach party goes

being disciplined for ten straight days. >> by the way, every tim he was disciplined for ten straight days there was a coinciding rise in the polls. >> exactly. >> disciplined for ten days. stuff he did on announcement day. the stuff he did, that gets back in the cake. that makes impressions that last on people. you know. ten days of discipline. going to help some. >> james, curious, what does bill cli t bubba vote? i say this because bill clinton's map in 1992, these were his people. >> i -- i am very relctant to talk about conversationize have with president clinton. but he is not happy about it at all. i can assure you that it is a topic that, that gnaws on him. >> people in arkansas. >> some people he grew up with. >> some democrats say that look, our coalition is growing.

a lot of people in the coalition. >> i will interrupt you. we have got a call here in south carolina. nbc news projects when the votes are in, donald trump wins south carolina. chuck? >> not a huge surprise. it is the one state though in the southeast corner down there that hasn't moved into battleground territory the i can tell you there are a bunch of democrats there that think with time it could. >> look at, go down the where things stand on the electoral count. the race to 270. 33 for trump. 3 for clinton. the night is still early. the map barely filled in. but there you have it right now. play the threes right now in the -- on your lotto numbers right now. see if it hits before 8:00. >> not encouraging that behavior. want to point that out. all right. we are staying with us. and minutes away from the 8:00 p.m.

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the plot about to thicken. 7:30 until polls close in 16 states and district of columbia. we have big wins here. florida, pennsylvania on there. this is where my friend chuck todd begins to salivate now. he looks at his map. tell me what you will focus on

florida. the part that the polls are closing in, of course central time zone area there. i till you this. we have 71% in. clinton pulled the lead in statewide. here is your swing county of florida. as hillsboro goes in tampa. so goes the state of florida. she has a ten point lead here, you can see, still a lot of vot vot -- of vote in hillsboro. quickly show you the spread in mi see if there is hispanic surge for her. looks like it so far. but this is just early vote. we don't know what election day voting is going. >> if this goes to clinton. a lot of eyes will lock on pennsylvania. >> becomes he has to win pennsylvania and michigan. if he loses florida. he need pennsylvania and michigan. can't just get away with one of them. >> this comes back to the same area of the country. move up from florida. >> her power center. really, really could be interesting. but it absolutely could.

talking to robbie mook earlier. florida, virginia, pennsylvania. he said that's their backbone to 270. they think they're going to within all three. they think once they do it is checkmate for donald trump. >> we have big ones again coming up. 16 states. district of columbia. grab a drink. grab a snack. hurry back to the tv. 8:00 p.m. poll closings, moments away. a lot of important states. florida, florida, florida, chuck said. our decision night in america continues here on nbc. this is a special decision 2016 update from news4. >> some excitement is building in the rals for the white house right now. both presidential candidates are watching the ballots come in

the polls have closed in virginia and in five other states. >> and they're ready to close in a few minutes in maryland and the district. we're starting to get early results. nbc news projects donald trump wins west virginia. this has been a long, hard fought election. there is still a lot of ground to cover tonight. >> we're following two of the biggest races in maryland. tracee wilkins in silver spring. is >> reporter: democratic chris van hollen is the favorite. he has a 30 point lead. he was a congressman from 2002 and formally in the maryland state house. he voted today in kenzing ton and he -- kensington and campaigned throughout montgomery and prints george's county. now, his republican opponent, kathy szeliga is the house

she is a rising star in gop politics. she and her husband began a construction business together and finally, there is green party candidate margaret flowers. now, i'm told if there is any celebration to be had here, they will wait until 9:00 to bring the staff in from the field and they won't be alone in this celebration because there are other candidates here. here is tracee wilkins to tell you more. >> absolutely. they're sharing the democratic celebration is what tre there are other candidates as well. jamie raskin and anthony brown will be here this evening all participating in what they hope will be a celebration for the democrats. they are favored to win in all of the races although they're all facing contestants. jamie raskin is the democratic nominee for maryland. 8th congressional district and is joining anthony brown for maryland fourth congressional

in silver spring. brown, maryland's former lieutenant governor says he didn't take any votes for granted after losing to larry hogan in 2014. raskin, who serves the maryland state senator for district 20 is hoping to take van hollen's seat in congress. i asked why all three chose to be here tonight together. >> i'm feeling pretty but the country is ready to put the ranker behind us and find a new path forward where we bring forward the best ideas and the best sentiments from all sides of the political spectrum. >> tonight, we're expecting, actually in a few minutes, the polls will be closing in maryland. they're expecting this to be one of the greatest turn outs for an election in maryland based on

are registered to vote participated in early voting and it has been a busy day at the polls pretty much all day. >> and as far as chris van hollen goes, they say there are some that say he was democratic leadership in congress and could have stayed there and became the speaker of the house. i was told that ever since he was a young boy, he wanted to run for u.s. senate. >> all three of the candidates saying that tonight is about a new opportunity to show some democratic unity and that is having this event here together in silver spring. they'll be here all night. back to you in the studio. >> all right, tracie, chris, thank you both. good to hear the good news about voter turn out. here is what we're learning in virginia polls closed at 7:00 with 25% of the votes in so far. donald trump is leading hillary clinton 53-42%. still 75% of the votes remain to be counted in virginia. >> of course, we'll be watching

close and the results come in. right now, we go back to nbc news special election coverage

we are back on this decision night in america. it is 8:00 in the east. one of the biggest moments of the night as polls have just closed in a slew of states. 16 in all and district of columbia. let's take you through where thinta florida, we have been watching that raw vote come in. right now too close to call in florida. pennsylvania. another big one. battleground state. too early to call. pennsylvania too early to call. new hampshire. too early to call. now we have hey bunch of states here in which there are projected winners starting with alabama. we project that donald trump wins alabama. in connecticut, hillary clinton,

hillary clinton. district of columbia to hillary clinton. illinois, her home state goes to hillary clinton. as well as the state of maryland. and massachusetts also in the clinton column. mississippi, we projected donald trump wins in mississippi. new jersey, to clinton. oklahoma the projected winner donald trump. rhode island, hillary clinton. and tennessee, dona let's look at the count right now in the race to 270. at this hour, based on the projections, clinton stands with 75, trump with 66. 66 in the race to 270. now, a couple others we want to mention right now. we are watching -- maine. too early -- actually. looking at missouri up there. but too early. maine is too early. but, clinton is leading there in mississippi.

missouri was too early. we got trump is leading there. the colors begin to fill in. the race to 270. savannah guthrie. watch big senate races. >> yeah, promise you a cliffhanger. the democrats are trying to wrest control. they have a pick up. one seat into their corner. they need four if hillary clinton wins. tammy duckworth congress woman displace the incumbent. mark kirk, widely believed to be the most vulnerable in come come -- incumbent. tammy duckworth. wounded warrior. mark kirk one of thepub -- republicans to distance himself, after trump questioned impartiality of a judge that had mexican heritage. one of first. as we have seen in so many senate races.

trump as much as possible. a deep blue state. the president's home state. so not a big shocker. but, if you are keeping score at home, we hope you are, the democrats have netted one. >> lot's bring in now -- our panel. james carville remains with us. we welcome in friend, hugh hewitt, host of the "hugh hewitt" show on salem radio network. >> i am happy senator rob hard nosed politics, james did when he first within a state race in pennsylvania. educate the the country about the opioid epidemic, takes more lives than cash crashes do. love the fact that he has gone back. good signs out of indiana for todd young. that would mean two new war veterans in the senate. senator-elect duckworth and senator-elect todd young both

combat veterans. >> good you brought that up. lost vietnam vets. gap with little military. >> jason kantur. >> tom cotton. >> dan sullivan. >> dan sullivan. now starting to see the new generation, tom. >> the fact is this generation -- very impressed with. because they have come back and they say we want to be involved in public life. they're doing it not just by running for office. but they have got all kinds of foundations going on. they're running off to south america, africa, got any projects going there. oriented. they were trained so well in the military. they came back. they wanted to use the skill that they were trained with there. and my own hope is that we can expand that for young people, the same kind of military training that they get, you can do in public service and other ways as well. and give them something to shoot for. the millenials are going to be the fastest growing, most educate the. most entrepreneurial generation we have ever had in this country. and we don't want them on outside looking in. we got to get them into the system in some way.

actually. interru interrupt. kellyann conway. great to see you. >> hi, lester. >> tell me what it is like. you have done everything you can do. now you like the rest of the country are waiting. what is it like? what are you seeing in the numbers so far? >> high energy here. i just was with mr. trump on my way down here. he is watching the returns. and we have a whole digital and data war room, not atypical. we are getting many different inputs from all across the country. trying to piece together our 270. we very competitive with a political veteran who many advantages and a ton more money than we do. and i just think that the movement that donald trump has built has been able to grow the party in a very different way, be more pro worker, little less elitist. frankly a part that really represents change and not the status quo, we haven't always been able to claim that mantel. >> you said florida is a must

but clinton with a 49-48 lead. what are you seeing in the number does it worry you? is there a path without florida? >> we have seen the same thing with our internal polling in florida, lester, we never had donald trump or hillary clinton at 50% in any of the polls. that's happening. not because the other party candidates were growing their electoral vote. they weren't. their vote share was actually shrinking in the case of states. it is really just how divided the country and the states are. florida is always a very tight, even in, in the year 2000, all came done to florida. when you look back, george w. bush had been the nominee for a couple year. cleared the field for him. he had the entire republican infrastructure behind him. all the elected officials. his brother was the governor of the state. he within by 527 votes. went all the way to the supreme court. let's remind ourselves how tight

panhandle, closes they vote a whole extra hour because they're an hour behind time zone wise. that we will be able to catch up with her. hillary clinton thanked a big early vote in florida. but we saw that, mitt romney was losing early vote in florida by 167,000 votes or so. we cut that number almost in half to about 88,000. >> do you envy her ground game? >> i don't envy much sophisticated ground game. running for president for eight years sense she lost last time. one could argue she should have put us away a long time ago. you have the ground game, all the money, all the king's horses, all the king's men, all the current sitting president who is incredibly popular and first lady incredibly popular, a former president who is popular just happens to be your husband, lots of celebrities.

-- reluctance, to go there with hillary clinton, who says if i am one of 70% of americans who want change, take in a different direction, how can i vote for hillary clinton? are has been a great reluctance. >> we have a call in the senate race. marco rubio, projected winner in florida. what do you take from that? >> i think that's terrific. a great senator. and, florida is looky to have him. he would work very well with president donald trump. so, i'm glad he race. and i am very happy that floridians put him over the top. >> kellyann. this is chuck. interesting to seat performance between donald trump and marco rubio in florida. basically overperforming you by three points. a good 150,000 votes more than donald trump. was rubio a help to you? is this a case where -- you're right now if you win this, rubio

or how do you read it? >> well a great ticket to have trump rubio on the same ticket. ill tells people that they're two people who want to improve upon obamacare, they're two people who want to defeat radical terrorism, create economic growth, more jobs. and they're very similar in many ways. certainly policywise. we would hope, perhaps he can help us. i do, i back to an earlier point though, chuck, too. there are senate races, particularly governor races to night where we are of the candidates in the states. hasn't been a lot of talk about that. talk about the reverse many time. in the four states that have governor races in the last polls we were ahead of republican gubernatorial candidates. we look to think we are helping some of those. >> kellyann. great to have you on. thank you for joining us. >> thank you. >> katie tur at trump headquarters in new york. katie, what do you have? >> hey there, lester. spoke with a gop source in ohio, high level source tells me they believe it is going to go down

news. they believe that donald trump didn't come in with such a deficit the way romney did in early voting. they believe that he could potentially make good numbers up in two counties. west ohio and -- the clinton team on the other hand, is also feeling quite good about the state. a state that donald trump visited 26 times. a state that he was leading with many, many of the polls to say that they started to feel very confident in. but now the clinton campaign is saying that they are feeling pret they're optimistic. they're saying that no one wins in ohio. without putting in the work. without a ground game. i spoke to my gop source. asked them. what sort of ground game did donald trump have in addition to the rnc. the trump campaign heavily relying on the rnc ground game effort. the source said, i have no idea. again a race that is very, very, very close. and that gop source believes it could go, so late into the

tonight. maybe well into tomorrow as well. lester. >> all right. right now we have it down as too close to call. katie tur. thank you very much. talk about it if you can. republicans coming home you. were one that a few weeks ago you were calling for donald trump to leave the race. what transpired? >> well he didn't. i wanted him to withdraw. i think mike pence would have won easily tonight. he didn't. i voted for him. he is running. amazed electoral college map that go down in history. never thought he had a prayer of getting nomination. never thought we would be talking about this tonight. he changed the issue set in the race. but he is running behind the senators. i want to go back to that. significant where there are portman is a lot ahead of him in ohio. rubio is called. put florida away. and, and todd young is probably doing better in indiana. mike pence. if dr. joe heck gets the same bump over donald trump in nevada

next senator, dr. general joe heck in nevada. >> going to say interestingly enough. rob portman thought at the beginning that trump would help him. down in that corner of ohio. appalachia, comes together with west virginia and kentucky. and in the end, then, portman was helping pull trump. >> consider this, guys. there may be a presidential, somebody who ran for the presidential nomination who will be giving the victory speech tonight. marco rubio. >> interesting. maybe the onl president this cycle. >> the senate, getting back into the race as well. may have saved the senate for the republicans. >> little marco as he was called by the man who is at the top of the ticket. and, so it is sweet revenge for him. >> president obama went to florida. shamed marco rubio by name. how do you call some one in the primary, a con artist, and say you are supporting him. the direct quote from the president, come of on, man. marco rubio prevails.

have coat tails for donald trump at the top of the ticket. >> we have seen nothing surprising or nothing significant in projections. i think that will change in an hour. i advise people to stick around. going to be different an hour from now. right now everything that we have seen is not surprising, imminently predictable. >> stay with us. a lot going on. we'll check in. very interesting exit polls you will want to see our decision night in america coverage continues here on nbc. pizzas to france. but not for the president. for you! you can be president of whatever you want. like president of your own salon... i look good. or your kid's little league team...foul ball! or president of whatever this is! get the domains, websites, and 24/7 personal support to be awesome online. get your dot com domain at godaddy dot com.

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outside view of the crowd on democracy plaza on this big, big night. hallie jackson in the newsroom. she and her team digging into the exit polling. >> lester, here is what we know. no matter who ends up president-elect of the united

concerns about the candidate. take a look. people who voted for hillary clinton. 20% of them voted for her, because they didn't like donald trump. that's twice what we saw back in 2012. same goes and even more extreme for, donald trump voters. nearly 30% of them voted for donald trump because they didn't like hillary clinton. that's three times what we saw in 2012. so, call this the nose but holding their nose and doing it. talk about a couple key swing states. talking about all night. the first one, florida. here's the breakdown so far, remember these are the early exit polls. of hispanic voters. see they're breaking more for hillary clinton. she is outperforming where barack obama was back in 2012. donald trump underperforming where mitt romney was. last take a peek at ohio. specifically union voters. what we are seeing from the early exits.

be resonating. we see that here. back in 2012, more union households voted for the democrat, but, donald trump has reversed that trend in ohio. he actually is appealing to more union voters about half of them. he is outperforming hillary clinton by 6% points there. interesting stuff given donald trump's message throughout much of the campaign was aimed at working class voters. lester. >> going to get right on to the campaign headqu kristen welker, hillary clinton headquarters here at the javits senator. >> secretary clinton fighting to make history tonight. watching returns with her family at a hotel in new york. top campaign officials telling me they're feeling confident heading into tonight. feeling good about a robust ground game they have built up. one official telling me they have knocked on 2 million doors today alone. they also feel good about the way that secretary clinton ended this race.

was hoping to. arguing that she will be a unifying force if she elected. and talking about why she will be the most qualified president despite all the divisive rhetoric and e-mail controversy which dogged her until the end. the states that they're watching closely. michigan reliably blue state. donald trump making a serious play. north carolina of course florida. she is preparing two speeches tonight but hoping she will deliver a victory speech. lester. >> is headquarters at the hilton down the block. what are you seeing there, peter? >> lester, good evening. i spoke to a top source close to donald trump. feeling good. touting epic numbers. turnout specifically in white republican counties in states like michigan and new hampshire right now. this source close to donald trump is now predicting victories in states like ohio, iowa, north carolina, new hampshire, and the second district of maine. gives you a sense of the real confidence they have right now.

turnout in michigan and north carolina they think will have a benefit. the bottom line this source says right now is i am going to be realistic. you have got to be lucky. this race is certainly going to be a lot closer than most americans may have thought. lester. >> peter, thank you. chuck, over to the map here. >> look, the turnout, the fact is everybody has higher turnout. i want to give you an example of how trump territory is turning out in much bigger numbers. i want to tell you the story here in florida. of up here. mitt romney won the county by eight points. you see here the total vote over there. going to show you here. total vote here, you can see. you know, about 87,000 total on this. now, let me take you to 2016. map here. trump is winning by a whopping 29 points. there is more vote. that is good news. that is a big deal.

overall. and getting 30% more of 10,000 new voters. take you to miami-dade. 80% in. they're still 20% of the vote. add this up, you have, basically a million votes right now. in miami-dade. they didn't top 800, didn't top 900,000 during barack obama. she is winning by 30 points. barack obama won it by 24. point is good news for both of them. their bases are up. she voters. he is winning big among a smaller group. >> obsession with florida on election night continues. >> we need to get to a break. take a quick break. lot more coverage. race to 270 electoral votes under way. our decision night in america coverage continues here on nbc. see me. see me.

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we have got poll closings in another 7:30 or so. as we look at the map there on, on arkansas. will be the next poll closing. look at the map there. i want to talk briefly if i can, savannah, chuck, about every four years we are confronted with the way we elect presidents, this electoral college. the 270 number. florida put it in our face. and we always visit the idea. why do we do it that way?

that doesn't make it any less odd. for a lot of people watching the election and shows like ours. they're hearing about national polls. that's not how we elect a president in this country. as we learn distinctly in 2000. win the popular vote but not win the electoral college. so basically, our founders set it up. that each state has a certain amount of electoral votes. it's based on population. you have got to reach that magic number of 270. >> why you may not have seen candidates come to your state? >> it is. there i you have an even number of electors, you can win in a tie. way too easy to win in a tie. ridiculous to create a constitutional crisis under that. >> lester don't get chuck started on the electoral college. >> used to be a big defender of it. i will tell you this. go explain it to somebody overseas. and when you no longer, the great american democracy, you can't tell them it is one person, one vote. it is like, well, it is, let me. you are just like by the time you are explaining what have i done. it is very difficult.

somebody overseas, maybe you need a new one. >> the playing field we have, right, james? >> look. it may not be the system we want. but the system we got. that's what we are going to have tonight. going to go through with it. >> that's huh we roll as we say. stay with us. polls about to close in the state of arkansas. bill clinton served as governor before winning the white house himself. we'll have that and more on decision night in america coverage right here on nbc. this is a special decision 2016 update from news4. >> well, good evening once again. the polls are now closed in maryland, d.c., and virginia and the results are starting to come in. i'm doreen gentzler.

coverage in a minute. we want to look at a big local race here in maryland. nbc news is projecting that we'll be calling chris van hollen senator. we're projecting him as the winner of the senate race. the polls in maryland closed fewer than 30 minutes ago. van hollen along with kathy szeliga and margaret flowers were in the process of retiring the senator barbara mikulski. >> chris gordon has night. he joins us from chris van hollen's watch party in silver spring. chris? >> reporter: well, doreen, the announcement was just made minutes ago. you see, there it is again. as they are learning that chris van hollen is the projected winner. [ inaudible ] >> it has been a divisive presidential election.

hope over fear and i'm looking forward to working together. i think we're going to have to reach out, all americans, regardless of political party, regardless of political inclinations to work together. >> reporter: [ inaudible ] >> he has not yet appeared here. -- >> okay, we're obviously having trouble with chris's mike. he was talking about senator chris van hollen who has won. we're projecting will win the senate race in maryland. now to battleground virginia. we're watching it. the nation is watching the presidential race there. here is what we can tell you with 46% of the votes counted, donald trump is leading 52-43% but there is still many votes left to be counted in virginia. >> we're watching the race for northern virginia's tenth

going on there. democrat luann bennett challenging republican incumbent barbara comstock. you can see for yourself. 50/50 with 28% of the vote in. that has been a firecley contested con tense and it looks like right now, they're just going neck and neck even. >> news4's meagan fitzgerald is covering the tenth district race in loudoun county. it is pretty tight. what is happening >> reporter: very tight, indeed. i can tell you the people that are here, the supporters, are very excited. eagerly awaiting the arrival of congresswoman barbara comstock. the room here that she is expected to arrive in is filling up with her supporters, friends and family members here as well. it is a nail biter. a lot of the experts are saying they don't know which way this race is going to go but an interesting bit of information here, we talked to voters who

they voted for hillary clinton at the top of the ballot and split off and voted for congress woman comstock. they say it is because we know her. she out reached to her community and touched each and every one of us. they know she has been at churches, mosques and temples and that is exactly what virginia delegate says he is hoping will give her the win. listen to what he has to say. >> and barbara has been out our way in winchester, a good hour away, multiple times. we have a drug court now in our area, based largely upon a funding she was able to get for us through the federal government. she worked very closely with our law enforcement as well as the heroin epidemic we've been dealing within winchester and fredrick county. >> we got off the phone with a close friend of the congresswoman and friend of barbara comstock saying she is

we have a long way to go tonight. >> stay tuned to nbc news

we are back with more coverage. we have a call to ke representatives. nbc news projects that republicans will retain control of the house of representatives. now quickly take you outside. where we have got a call from the state of arkansas. and as we move up the building, nbc news projects that donald trump will win in the state of arkansas. of course the state that hillary clinton was for many, many years the first lady. we're back with our panel right now. and, chuck, you are going over --

>> he is -- you can tell. >> that's right. >> she worked in florida before she worked for president bush. back in, back in the day when we were both young bucks. we were just both sitting here, what's out in florida. 91% in. i think trump is leading by 60,000 votes. and -- we're both noting, like why is the clinton campaign feeling good, and trump not feeling good. what is you have a lot half of the broward vote hasn't come in. half of palm beach. and 15% of miami-dade. and as we showed you, she is winning miami-dade by numbers that are landslide like for miami-dade. >> why do we care so much about florida? because for trump it is a, close to a must win as there is. it's not that he can't put together 270 votes without florida. becomes exceedingly difficult.

look at tom. i can't go there. >> talking about. >> you have seen the movie. >> florida, florida, florida. at one point. bill dalien one ear, karl rove in the other ear on the phone saying what is going on. if you don't know. how do i know? >> back to 2000. >> florida, florida, florida. the late tim russert, miss on nights like this. >> could be. >> the bigger story is both, both bases came out. you know, the fact is everything came out. it just may be she has a ohio too close to call. florida, too close to call. pennsylvania too early to call. so those are big ones hanging out there right now. we want to go to andrea mitchell. hillary clinton headquarters here in new york. are they -- are they feeding into any of this. watching these numbers, the way we are? >> you can imagine how much they're watching it. boiler room, war room, looking over at peninsula hotel. few blocks from here. both clintons have now weighed

two versions as we said. one is a victory speech. and the so speech writers were in, in the hotel. with both bill and hillary imagine having both editing your speech. now the speech writers are going back to work making some changes. so we have all been edited by editors and producers. pretty high powered team of bill and hillary clinton editing. the thing to report is that my democratic sources, this is not campaign sources, these are democratic party source in michigan. because the democratic areas of detroit and flint are not showing the kind of vote that they had wanted to see. obviously early. but raining. they're a little worried about this michigan could be tight. as you know. both hillary clinton and donald trump were there yesterday. it would be far more important for donald trump's path, his, he really wants to flip a blue state. not critical for clinton. but of, still like to win

there against clinton and for trump. lester. >> andrea. thank you. joining us from clinton headquarters, former michigan governor, jennifer granholm. great to have you on. >> great to be on. >> watched you on msnbc, earlier today, you couldn't wipe the smile off your face. >> i know, it is democracy. >> earlier now, you are starting to see raw vote totals, watching florida, how is your level and campaign lev because as chuck was saying, there are still huge sectors of electorate that have not come in. a lot of that, are our people, whether it is broward county, or, you know in michigan. as you know in many of these states. that we count on. a lot of the urban areas come in later than the rural areas. so we are feeling really good still. >> all right. now, we talked about florida being a must win.

folks. but without it he may, made you defend pennsylvania. look where the clinton campaign ended yesterday. how do you feel about pennsylvania? >> good about pennsylvania. in fact, we think -- between pennsylvania and virginia, and north carolina. again, it is still early. you have got to see the rest come in. we are feeling really good about the ground game we have er what we are hearing on the ground. anecdotally, and in the numbers. we know what is out there the everybody just take, on my side, take a deep breath. it is going to be okay. and by the way, can we not all just celebrate that it is record turnout in democracy. people really love this country and care about it. >> come on something has to be making you nervous right now, what is it? >> michigan always makes me nervous. because that's my, that's my state. and i am concerned about the numbers in detroit and flint.

large, for exam pull, arab-american community that is in michigan and deerborn. president clinton visited. there is huge turnout in that community. if there is a diminution in votes in detroit, we have made up for it, i think with the votes in the arab-american community, the latino community, and frankly we had banked, 50,000 of the absentee votes. so we still, i mean, still close. closer than anybody wants be. but i feel very good about michigan anyway. still makes me nervous though. >> governor, always good to talk to you. >> until it is in. >> thank you for joining us. savannah, senate call here. >> state of indiana, deep red. republican hold for the senate. we have congressman young todd young going to the senate, evan bayh, former senator from indiana, vying to got his seat back. what an interesting story. because, this is -- a case where it is really not expected to be

be. because of the strength of evan bayh's connection to the state of indiana. lot of democrats were excited. hey, maybe make this competitive. >> -- an outsider? >> too much of an insider. way too much insider. somebody who lost his indiana roots. somebody who barely had an address in indiana. >> couldn't remember the correct address. got a court avenue confused. >> deep indiana roots. it wasn't enough. so we see that indiana hold. that's a red state. stays tha senate map. we have one democratic pickup on the record i believe. so far. but one of the races we were closely watching, it had potential to be competitive. >> interesting thing about, young/bayh, got whipsawed by his prior job. working for the u.s. chamber of commerce. came out against him. been away a while. assumed he would go back. >> he is a democrat from another era. >> okay. a centrist democrat that just didn't fit this democratic

trump is unpopular, maybe i can sneak back into the senate." >> never forget when he left the senate he, he penned this op-ed. you and i were covering the white house then if i don't love congress. i think there are better ways to serve. here in 2016. trying to get back in. no dice. >> no dice. >> mentioned karl rove. this is don rumsfeld's known/unknown. republicans hearing from all over the country. fearing cheered by the senate ballot races. >> hallie jackson and exit polling and what women voters are saying. hallie something we continue to focus on in the race. >> lester, started talking, a year and three month as go. the first primary debate for republicans. the first question to donald trump about his comments about women. here on election night. take a look. 51% of voters across the country are bothered a lot by donald trump's treatment of women.

purple section of the pie when we dive into how this breaks out. of those voters who say they were bothered a lot, look at how it breaks down. eight in ten say they voted for hillary clinton over donald trump. not particularly surprising when you look at the fact that they say they're bothered by women. certainly notable that hillary clinton made her closing argument, part of it on trump's treatment of women. and for these voter, lester that is something that has resonated. >> i want to continue on what you are talking about. kate snow joins us from king o talking with women voters. kate. >> hi, lester. we are in the collar counties outside of philadelphia. the suburban county. outside of philly. and these counties since 1976, have really predicted the way the state of pennsylvania will, will go. so that's why we are here. we got a lot of trump supporters here. behind me. wanted to talk to a few women over here. all hillary clinton supporters.

today you voted for hillary clinton. >> definitely. >> why? >> because she is -- knowledge bum. the most qualified canned date running for office. and i agree with a lot of things she stands for. >> we were talking about the exit polling. a lot of it is showing that women, many women were turned off by donald trump. is that part of what, what motivated your vote? >> definitely. i think that the derogatory things he said, and to the media, have been like repulsive. are important to me. sheila and vicky, wearing white and lace, what's that about? >> callout to the suffragettes who called for the original women's votes. such an historic day having a female candidate for a major party. we wanted to kind of recognize that. >> if she wins tonight, you told me you are in your 30s. you are millenials. what does that mean for you if hillary clinton pulling this

wins and so happy. because of what i value. and, she really -- you know, epitomizes that and can speak well on that. just an incredible candidate. >> thank you guys so much for sharing a little bit. appreciate it. you know, lester the thing is, as i said, these counties really can be important in the way that pennsylvania goes. we're checking in with all the offices here in terms of the four counties. turn out does seem to be pretty high according to both the democrats that i talked to and the republicans that i have talked to. talking long lines. party who thinks they're going to be counting votes here for a long time. after the official poll closing. polls closed here at 8:00. they think there are people in line, lester. they may be at it until late, late tonight. >> yeah, suspect so. kate snow. thanks again. pennsylvania. too early to call. we'll take a quick break. check in with more of our correspondents. fan out across key battleground

on the ground. when our decision night in america continues here on nbc. alexa, where's the nearest jewelry store? [alexa]: i found one 3.2 miles away. [alexa]: wolf spiders are robust and agile hunters with excellent eyesight. alexa, how many minutes are in 18 years.

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things stand as we await states. >> a little bit. we need to remind people here, virginia, we moved too close to call. now, the numbers have been creeping up. still a lot of northern virginia vote still to go. as you know, loudon, as loudon goes, so goes things. that's the good news for clinton. but as we told you, and i want to make sure see if i get campbell county here just right. get this just right. this was a questio would do well with evangelicals. the numbers are big for trump in trump territory too. those two. nicole you were sharing with me. steve shales who ran florida for obama in '08 and '12. everybody's vote totals have been shattered in the state of florida. record turnout in florida in the red county and in the blue counties. now we'll see how this balances out. explains why, we are seeing, some of the battleground states. virginia was something that a

he is doing well in trump country. >> all waiting with badd breath for when polls close in michigan. clinton folks were rushed in to defend what they felt was a sizable lead. kevin tibbles, a trump watch party in grand rapids. how are they feeling tonight? >> listening to you, lester, talking about how michigan all of a sudden seems to come into play here. people here i which is where grand rapids is, you are right that hillary clinton campaign had to come in here yesterday. but of course, being a gop rally here this evening, they were all out after midnight last night. because donald trump made one of his final stops here. grand rapids all of a sudden is on the map with regards to this election campaign, lester. they were also listening to the fact that, in the democratic areas, in and around detroit

was not very good. while here in western michigan, which there are very strong republican pockets, like the one i am speaking to you from, they're saying the lines were down the street when they got there this morning. they are very sort of encouraged by what they -- say, they saw on the streets here in michigan today, lester. >> all right, stay in the middle east -- middle east? the midwest. kevin, thank you very much. kelly o'donnell. paul ryan's headquarters in jamesville, wisconsin. midwest. hey, kelly. >> good evening, lester. this is unusual. house speaker, paul ryan is in the room here. he is over my left shoulder milling about with some of the guest whose have come to his headquarters tonight. for paul ryan, really a three-level night. his own house race which he expects to win easily, kind of a position for the future of the party. will he be and continue to be the highest ranking republican in elected office. of course, if donald trump were

and what happens next for the congressional majority? it is expected the house will hold its majority. what will happen on the senate side. and how will congress have a partnership with the new president whomever that is. but it is a bit unusual. i guess it is a since of how paul ryan expects his own personal night as a candidate to go. he is here in the room. greeting supporters. hugs directly behind me. talking with folks who have been a part of his life here in jamesville. i am told he will spe early this evening. reflect on his own race. not wait for the whole night to resolve itself. he'll have plenty to say about all that in the next few days. lester. >> paul ryan. and what his future is like. no matter how the thing shakes out tonight. >> nobody gramled more publicly or painfully with their endorsement of donald trump than speaker ryan. people who were long-time, paul ryan, staffers and advisers and

advisers hoped he would take a stand against a nominee many establishment republicans thought stood for everything that paul ryan had worked for. paul ryan is one of the architects of modern conservative policymaking. he is an expert on the intricacies of budget making and conservative solutions for education and poverty. whatever you think of the idea, he is one of the chief architects for the was a set back to the never trump wing of the gop, which at that point had unrealistic expectations. he has the job of being the top wrangler and the gop caucus was pro trump. reality he is dealing with whether trump wins or loses. a lot of rumors, just rumors, sort of an undercurrent, additional anxiety for all of us hand wringing establishment

terms -- >> another thing. especially the other thing about speaker ryan is that he has not given up his own presidential aspirations. that had to be a conflict in his mind. play the part of leader of the house republicans, try to keep that intact. same time, keep his eye on the far horizon. if trump does go down, then he is obviously going to be the front-runner. if trump wins tonight, would we still believe there is a possibility that he could do not just with the people who are in the house with him. but with the new president of the united states. as well. >> don't you think he has trouble no matter who wins tonight. >> no win proposition. >> it is. if trump loses there will be a lot of people who look hard at paul ryan and other establishment republicans, saying where were you if you had been more enthusiastic for our nominee maybe we would be having a different result tonight. >> paul ryan maybe has the worst job in washington. >> the worst night for him.

a lot coming up. in a moment take a lay of the land. where does the map stand? which states are still in play? which poll closings are upcoming. stay with us our decision night in america coverage continues here on nbc. [vo] wells fargo is making changes to make things right. first, all customers who have been impacted will be fully refunded. second, a confirmation will be sent when new personal or small business checking, savings or credit card accounts are opened. to ensure your interests are put first. we're taking action.

>> 7:30, more polls closing. arizona. new mexico. more on the latino vote.

jolene kent out on democracy plaza. a pretty sizable crowd now, watching our coverage, watching these numbers come in. jolene. >> lester, that's right. out here on democracy plaza, where situation here is very electric. i want to take you through the crowd here. show you some of the voters. we have a lot of clinton voters over here. we have trump supporters behind us. what we find is about, 50% of this country, 60% of this country believe that this country will be divided when we and so, this is an area. oh, oh no. we have got a voter from arkansas as well. lester, what we want to till you is, yeah, right here. okay. so here in democracy plaza. a lot of action. a lot of voters from all over the country here. and we'll send it back to you in studio. >> jolene. thank you. if you are in the neighborhood come on down. democracy plaza. big tv's there.

arizona, new mexico. still watching florida. >> want to show you really quick. florida. less than 100%. 100,000 votes. georgia don't have a lot of vote in. north carolina, you can see here, clinton narrowly ahead. still a lot in. and virginia too close to call. wow. the backbone states of the battleground are all too close. >> help you didn't make a dinner reservation. going to be here a while. >> we are goi >> polls about to close, minutes from now. a lot of news to got to. don't want to miss a good evening. more final results coming in from the states where polls have

>> hillary clinton's first win was in vermont. all four were expected but everyone is watching virginia and it is still too close to call. let's take a look at the numbers that we have right now with 71% of the virginia votes counted now. donald trump is leading 50% to 45% for hillary clinton. let's take a look at where things stand right now in the commonwealth. >> we're watching the race for northern virginia's tenth congressional district. lu republican incumbent barbara comstock. comstock is ahead with 56% of the head over 44 for bennett. that is with 49% of the votes counted so far. david culver is joining us in forest heights virginia. -- falls church, virginia. >> we're here with the democratic leadership.

shortly. in the past hour, democrats here declaring two big victories in virginia. the 8th district with don bier and third district with bobby scott. no real surprises there. they're calling the victories and i caught up a short time ago with mark warner, he says the results are indicative of a changing virginia. >> i think two things have happened. there have been changing demographics but two, as virginia democrats,e that we know how to govern. >> we mentioned bobby scott's victory in the third district. that is south of richmond, down to hampton roads. if kaine and clinton were to win the presidential ticket. scott is favored to be the replacement. i asked if he would consider a title change to say senator? >> i've been in congress for a long time. i'm familiar with the issues and

>> reporter: that decision ultimately up to virginia governor terry mcauliffe. of course, that is a decision we'll continue to watch. that is the very latest live here in falls church, we'll send it back to you. >> david culver, thank you. we'll go to maryland now. nbc news projects chris van hollen has won the senate seat to replace barbara mikulski who is retiring after 30 he has defeated kathy szeliga. she is the longest serving woman in the history of congress. >> nbc news is projecting that hillary clinton has won or wins in maryland and in the district. polls there closed about an hour ago. no surprise there whatsoever.

seventh consecutive maryland presidential victory for democrats. nbc news also projecting republican donald trump as the winner in west virginia. >> and we're still looking for final numbers in the hard fought race for the congressional seat in maryland's sixth district. john delaney is challenged by amie hoeber. only 6% of the votes, the precincts are reporting so far. scott gaithersburg. hi, scott. >> reporter: it is inside a restaurant bar in gaithersburg. really, the southern tip of the maryland sixth congressional district that extends from montgomery west, washington, allegheny counties. john delaney will arrive here in the next 25 minutes. this was the closest race in the nation or about that in 2014. no really good polling to show us what the race looks like but there was a series of

party thought it was

we are back now from our election center here at 30 rock in r new york city. it's or9:00 in the east, 6:00 i the west. polls have just closed in 14 more states. take a deep breath as we take you through it. nbc news projects hillary clintonct will win in her home state of new york. and now we have a slew of trump calls starting with texas. trump is thes. projected winner. in kansas, trump wins. louisiana, trump is the projected winner. nebraska, donald trump. we project that north dakota will go to donald trump as well as south dakota and wyoming, all those in the trump camp.

race to 270. here's where they stand. donald trump at 137 electoral votes. 104, based nton with on those b projections. some other places we're watching, michigan, we've talked about how close things are, too close to call right now. arizona, another important state where clinton has made some ground up, too early to call. colorado, too early. minnesota, right now we have it listed as too close. moving over to now, too early but clinton leads in new mexico. andco finally, wisconsin, wheree visited in the last half hour, it's too early to call. take a look again now at florida. florida is too close to call. look at the. numbers there. very, very close. a differenceos of roughly 140,0 votes. >> we will not call this before tonight. >> you think florida will keep us from -- >> we will not call this

because the margin, it's so ridiculously tight that it's sort of emblematic of the battleground states right now. >> 2700 votes. >> 2700 votes there in ohio. still a lot of vote out there but 37% reporting. iin feel that that 2700 tells y, virginia, which we'll be here a while, north carolina -- >> let's look at north carolina. all right. 3700-vote difference right there in north carolina. >> and that'sor wit votes cast so far. >> the bottom line is, turnout has been shattered on both basis. we've been telling you this. blue counties, red counties. >> and there's the red and blue states as they stand right now based on the projections. joining our panel is eugene robinson, political analyst with "the washington post." what do you want to say about all ofy this? >> ?gee, what can you say?

several months that the polls have been relatively stable in all of this. > the polls were relatively stable thatel showed hillary clinton with a lead but a slim lead and things could break either way and what we're seeing tonight is what we've been talking about all year, how divided the country is, how acrimonious may not be the right word but it's close. this trump hast won so far. >> to the extent to which it was a base election and now we see both bases totally mobilized. >> we use that word split but you're talking about people seeing throughe an entirely different set of lens. i mean, we covered the political conventions and we heard two just incredibly different visions of this country. >> you know, i had a really interesting observationll comin

know, it's funny, we never are in the same place even when we're in the same state, meaning the clinton people and he goes, i've never been in a race where there's one voter they are fighting over. >> exactly. >> it was not that. they were fighting between voters whoht were thinking abou voting and not voting. that's what we're seeing here, is sort of a balance by extreme. >> but that's the difference between where d the traditional battleground was. i mean, everything you learned

we've said this all along -- it's a country that's not deeply in love with d either one of the candidates so they were moving back and forth a lot, especially in the last week or so, we saw hillary clinton way out in the polls and then comey makes his original announcement, he goes down, and then he makes the announcement on sunday and she seems to be making a comeback in the last 48 hours and then as we're seeing tonight, something that looks to be very tight as we go deeper into the hours and a lot of people thought that we would have manifestation of the country saying it's got to be one or the other, i'mo not sure it's goin to make a big difference to me. they are theirme core groups. donald trump has his passionate supporters. so doess she. the bulk of the country is still angry and the big issue for most americans is change, shake it up, how are we going to change this country to get itng workin again and neither one of them has been able to deliver on that

now. kerry sanders is and things are tight there, kerry. >> reporter: they are really hanging on to the edge here. we're here at the darren soto election headquarters and he turns out to be the first puerto rican-american elected, a lot of latinse have since w moved to the unite states. for those looking at the different hispanic groups who may have influence today, remember, puerto ricans are born with a u.s. b pass board, they comehe to the united states, if they decide to live here, they can register to revote. it turns out that there's been a swell of a hispanic votes in th state. it's too close, as you know, to call whether this is going to be a donald trump victory or a hillary clinton victory but the folks that i spoke to here just a short time ago said that they

of happiness if hillary clinton wins in this state or they'll be crying tears of sadness if donald trump i wins. that's just a snapshot in one room in florida but a lot of people hanging on the edge right now. as chuck todd said, it's going to be ang long night before we know which way florida's going. >> i'm looking at the map right now and 92% is in. chuck is at that map right now. where are the remaining votes going to come esfrom? >> i'm looki people, you're very happy about broward county. there still appears right now this isow only early vote that essentially was dumped in. we expect about another 400,000 out of there. if she wins that by 40 points the way she's winning its here,i don't know if that quite makes up the gap. there is some miami-dade vote. not a lot.t. this has already shattered records here. there's still another 10% of the

before. let me take you to hillsborough. this hasgh tightened up. it's clinton plus six. obamasi won it by a point. so this is something here to keep an eye on. soon look, there's a chunk of ve down here in south florida. but there's still a lot of trump country. we're sitting here and it's so -- you can't sit here and say for sure, look, it's about it out of south florida. can she find another 36,000 somewhere else? we'llwh see. let me take you, by the way, to virginia. this is going to look very familiar to folks because we essentially have 68%. if you followed the virginia governor's race or obama/romney, she's closing the gap as the vote a totals come in. this is the big one. fairfax county, very little vote.

it's going to be a big clinton county. this iss likely enough to put hr over the top but i can tell you this, we've been here before, brokaw brought up jim webb to me. it took until fairfax county until jim webb won the race and fairfax was counted until mcauliffe won. the pointwo is, until we see northern virginia vote, that is why this thing -- and i tell you, virginia and those bigtl leads were essentially a myth. >> andrea mitchell is at hillary clinton'sil headquarters here i new york where the crowd is certainly taking this in. there's been a lot of confidence at the clinton camp but there's got to be fingernail biting right now. >> reporter: you're right. terryt. mcauliffe is the govern

running mate. they actually took money out of virginia, advertising. they were that solid,ad they thought, in virginia. this is going to be as close as it looks like it's going to be, that's not good news for them. broward county is their big hope. i was just talking to a top clinton official here who said we are s still waiting on browa, there's more votebr to come in t florida is obviously that close. north carolina, they did get a break in that the hours when there wasg some votig problems there. that's part of the research triangle where they knew they had a t solid vote to come in. still hoping on north carolina. michigan is making then nervous, not getting the vote out of flint. this thing is getting so close. you justlo showed the numbers i ohio as well. all of the information at your fingertips, you reported

nebraska for trump and i checked. that's four out of five congressional districts. warren buffett mades. a promiseo hillary clinton when he endorsed her. he said, i am going to deliver omaha because nebraska is like maine where two congressional districts are counted separately. he said he's going to go door to door today in omaha turning out the vote. i wante to know what happened with omaha. is it going clinton or too close to c call? >> andrea, as you were speaking, is it a double-digit difference here? 71. 7171 difference.er and that's 12% in. 16 electoral votes at stake in michigan. the trump folks forcing the clinton folks to try to defend michigan and it's going to provide a certain amount of drama. katy tur, before i go to you, i want to bring in ohio. the word is. ohio is going to b crazy close and that's what it appears to be right now.

katy has been covering the trump campaign from the very start and joins us now. what's the feeling inw. the roo? >> reporter: well, the feeling in the roomhe is obviously very exciting, as you can see behind me. the feeling atd trump headquarters and trump tower is very upbeat. they believe the longer this night t draws out, the better i is for them. you were talking about a few states that they've been paying close attention to. virginia, interestingly, for it to be close is quite interesting pulled out their efforts about three weeks ago and if you can hear me y better with the stick mike, pulled out their efforts from virginia three weeks ago. if it's close there, they are certainly going to feel good about that. ohio they put a lot of focus on. the gop believes it's going to be down to the wire in ohio. potentially they say they won't be able to call until tomorrow. but also michigan. that's the state that the trump campaign is really looking to after they get to their core four. that's's florida, north carolin

going to look towardshe michiga. it's a state that they've been to 13 times since the convention. three times in this last weekend alone. it's where donald trump essentially ended his campaign.n he took the stage there at 12:30 this morning to a packed room of thousands of people that were stille streaming in as donald trump arrived. he left a little bit after 1:00. they believe that his job's message is going to cut across all demographics in michigan. they believe, chalso, that the clinton in the same way that it turned out for barack obama. and they are saying to me that they have seen record turnout in a couple ofn towns in gop counties. they are pointing to that as a very good sign. they also are believing that there is flat turnout in flint, michigan. so the camp -- the trump camp is feeling quite upbeat now. they are n cautiously optimisti but feel that they have a chance to pull this off. lester?

let's go to ohio. chris jansing is in cleveland watching that very tight race. chris? >> reporter: yeah. and both sides are very nervous, i can tell you this right now, and both feeling like they have an opportunity here. if you're going to watch what's going on,t' you've got to look where i'm standing, which is in cleveland. i spent the day at a polling place p there. it was very telling. there was a burst around lunchtime but in the morning when you would expect a lot of people, later in the day when you'd expect a lot of the director of the elections board e here in cuyahoga county said i still think we'll get up around 67% but the reports that were coming in weren't that there were't lines, weren't tha there was any big last-minute rush and i will tell you, one thing to look o at from the exi polls is the economy. very important to people here in the rustbelt and who is better at handling it.

story as i was speaking with folks in this largely african-american voting place. iac said, are most of your fries andds family voting? and more than half in this unscientific survey said to me they knew people who weren't voting and i thought it might be about the tenor of the race. they saidra it wasn't that at a. they felt as african-americans that theca resurgence in the economy had not impacted them, that they were by washington. so watch this vote coming in in cuyahoga county and that reaction in an unexpected place. >> chrisex jansing, thanks. when we come back, we'll talk with senator rand paul who nbcho projects has been re-elecd in kentucky. our election night continues

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welcome back, decision night in america. look at the map. those are the battleground states. if i had to title this, there's a reason they call this the battleground states. >> they sure are. michigan, less than a thousand votes. virginia, basically we're looking at 3 percentage points and climbing. florida, less than a percentage point. ohio, now watch, let me take you to new hampshire. this point. a difference there. let me take you down to north carolina. look at this one. we got about 20,000 votes out of more than 3 million cast. i'll take you back to florida one more time, as you can see, where, again, still waiting mostly for broward county. as soon as that gets in, we're going to feel comfortable going one way or another but it will take a long time. colorado, i want to show you

she's winning but not by big numbers. a lot of people thought colorado like virginia was somehow going to end up being out of the battleground. >> savannah, either side can feel -- it's suspended animation. >> i think there's real jitters setting in at the clinton headquarters and hope on the trump side. if you look at colorado and virginia, these are battlegrounds and yet these are tw s stopped really spending money in feeling like these were in the bag and when you look at polls recently from these states, they showed clinton with a healthy lead and look where we are right now. i mean, of course everything -- the caveats are there. we're waiting for some northern virginia counties that would be expected to go for clinton big and that may make all of the difference but i think what's incredible here is just how tight all of these races are. >> we're going to take a break and check in on all of the races

who's ahead, don't go anywhere. our decision night in america

looking at democracy plaza here in new york city. there you see right now where things stand on the race to 270. donald trump with 137. hallie jackson in the newsroom with what else we're learning about the mood of the electorates and more exit

middle of our election center talking with our political unit and specifically talking with our pollsters. you look ready for me here. bill is one of our folks. bill, when we talk about this being a nail biter, what are you seeing in these places where it's too close to call? how much of a nail biter is it? >> it certainly is in a number of states and the reason is simple. we've seen some of the largest divisions between urban america and rural america. donald trump is winning white college men in a margin we haven't seen since ronald reagan and hillary clinton is winning african-americans and latinos. there's two different americas and we're watching them fight each other to a draw in a few of these states in ways that, again, reflects enormous division, much bigger than we've normally seen. >> fred, turn around here in your chair. you're seeing the same data that bill is.

divided the nation is? are we in for a night that's going to go past 3:00 a.m.? >> what i'm noticing in my study is an even bigger gender gap, that trump is doing better with male voters that romney did four years ago and mrs. clinton is doing slightly better with women voters than obama did four years ago which is making for a very tight election. >> freddie, bill, thank you. we'll chat more about these key swing states of micn election center. the notebooks are out, the binders are out as these guys dig through the data. lester? >> hallie, thanks very much. one of the things we've not talked about a lot in this campaign is the historic nature of hillary clinton's campaign. she's not made a big deal about it but as we see her perform with women voters, how does it play? >> you know, it's very interesting because in 2008, one of the things that the campaign concluded was that she didn't

of her candidacy the way that barack obama had with his candidacy as the first african-american. i think they dabbled in making it a possible appeal to voters but it never really caught on that way. if she were elected tonight, of course it would make history but i just don't see that as a point of emphasis in the campaign as much as you might think it would be. >> we'oi break. we'll be back more with nbc election control in a few minutes. this is a special decision 2016 update from news4. >> you're looking at the object of a couple of desires there now. the white house, as votes are counted across the country in

contentious and it comes down to this. democrat hillary clinton has won, so far, massachusetts, maryland, new jersey, delaware, d.c., and vermont. >> republican donald trump has captured indiana, kentucky, west virginia, oklahoma, south carolina, tennessee, and alabama but we are still watching virginia. so is the rest of the country. take a look at the resultsh 82% of the virginia vote counted now, the numbers are, trump is leading 49% to hillary clinton's 46%. >> that is awfully close. in the last four presidential elections, virginia goes as loudoun county goes and right now, despite the numbers we just saw, hillary clinton is leading in loudoun county. clinton there has 54% of the vote to trump's 39%. >> now we look at another tight

congressional district democrat luann bennett is challenging barbara comstock there and look how close this is with 74% of the voting barbara comstock ahead 55 to luann bennett 45%. news4 meagan fitzgerald is with the comstock campaign. are they ready to celebrate yet? >> they're excited and they can't wait until this race is officially called. they're really optimistic at filled with a lot of supporters for the congress woman. a lot of the folks in hearsay they've been door knocking themselves. they've been campaigning for the congresswoman who is supposed to arrive here within the next couple of minutes here, any minute now, she is expected to come in here. we know she spent her day going to different polling locations, thanking her supporters but there is a lot of unknowns here, a lot of questions about what the trump factor will do for her. she distanced herself from the

video was released. how would that fare with independents? a lot of questions we don't know. we did speak with the chairman of the republican party here in virginia and he seems very optimistic. take a listen. >> the turn out is different. for the presidential race. the top of the ticket. everything is different. we feel good about where she is at. she is over performing in the top of the ticket in a lot of precincts. >> we talked to a close friend of the congresswoman who tells us she is feeling good tonight. back to polls in maryland have been closed nearly an hour and a half now. bureau chief tracee wilkins joins us for the 8th district, tracee? >> tracee, you're up. >> reporter: we're here at the tommy douglas conference center in silver spring. we're paying close attention to what is happening with the u.s.

so far we're waiting for numbers and what is going on with anthony brown. we're waiting for the prince george's county precincts to start to report. because of some of the voters who got in after 8:00, the numbers are coming in slowly. we know that raskin is leading right now 77-19% with 7% of the precincts reporting. jamie ratstin, the democratic nominee for the 8th congressional district is joining anthony brown, the democratic nominee for the 4th u.s. congressional chris van hollen who is expected to win tonight. projected to win tonight. and so we can call him senate elect now for maryland. we talked with jamie raskin earlier tonight about why all three decided to be here together to celebrate. he said that this is about the democrats starting to come together as they ran the campaigns in preparation for what they hope will happen for maryland. reporting live in silver spring,

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we are back now from our election center in new york. this is a very tight race between hillary clinton and donald trump. many states right now are too close to call, as i think we you a states and show you where things stand. as we look at the national popular vote, trump at 50% and florida continues to be too close to call. 141,000-vote difference there. michigan, it has emerged as an important state. 28,000-vote difference. that's too close to call. ohio, too close to call. you see the difference there. that could go way, way into the night or early morning. north carolina, too close to

56,000-vote difference. let's look at georgia. hillary clinton drawing close there down the stretch. that is too close to call. you see the difference on the screen there. new hampshire, new hampshire right now is too close to call. 1700-vote difference. 22% of the votes in. and pennsylvania, this is where hillary clinton wound up her campaign with that big rally with the obamas last night, 15% of the vote in. and the guy that's watching ma minutia of all of this is chuck todd. >> we have 94% in for florida. most of the vote left is in miami and broward. there's more vote in broward left than dade. she's winning this 67-31. the bottom line is this. how much vote is left and what

okay, and i'm just going to do it this way, if there's 400,000 votes left and she wins it 70-30, she'll net -- she'll net 140,000 votes. that's assuming all that. now, let me go back to where florida is. oops. sorry about that. show you the total vote here in florida. it's about 140,000. my point is this. i don't know if there's enough vote left for con on. we are looking at a florida -- i don't think it's going to be closer than 537 votes, nicolle, but it is going to be less than a percentage point at this point. we just don't know. >> and then it gets down to what was your strategy without florida. each of them had one going into this, she going into this had more roots. >> right. no, him with florida and it's a straight shot, it's -- he can do michigan.

keep in mind, we still have north carolina sitting out there too close to call, new hampshire too close to call. i can tell you this, if you're the clinton campaign, because of the way the rest of the map looks, you don't want to see florida go red yet. >> and nicolle, if you're the trump campaign right now, you're starting to feel signs of life? >> well, you're saying, i told you so in that this was a lot closer than any of us -- i'll put myself in this category myself alone than i thought and that the polls i think that the polls showed hillary clinton with an 85% chance of winning. this doesn't feel like that kind of night. and trump supporters -- and i know this because i have several of my family is divided generationally between trump supporters and clinton supporters, they felt there could be a brexit effect. we don't have enough information to know if that's the case but if she wins, she won't win it

will prove everybody wrong. >> we knew we weren't going to have a call this early in the night. it was going to be close but -- >> the clinton camp thought they did. i have to say, the clinton campaign for the last 72 hours has been projecting a lot of confidence. >> but here's why. the trump campaign didn't have the same turnout operation as the clinton campaign and we saw some of the demographic roots and i think what everybody underestimated was the trump -- the rural vote coming in as high as it did. and you know what, i think we have to start to say was whether -- we didn't have our weights correct and we didn't realize that he was going to bust through the caps, essentially, of what -- turnout caps in those ruby red counties and even in -- >> you know, from the beginning, donald trump has been running from the ground up, not from the top down. he tapped in to all of those people feeling disenfranchised. i was looking at iowa the other day.

hughes and dick clark. now it's a very conservative evangelical state because they are uncomfortable with the shifts. they moved to the right and donald trump came along and tapped into all of that by going down at the bottom level and working his way up. the fact is that he is astonished everyone from the very beginning of all of this, including the last 48 hours, however this turns out tonight it's going to be so much closer than anybody could have realized going in. >> we ought to bring up what's going on with dow futures right now. >> yeah. >> all of the stock markets around the world are in a crater. >> margin calls. >> yes. >> i've had a note from somebody saying they are beginning to sell off because it went the other way in the last 24 hours, by the way. >> when everybody thought she was going to win.

could put together their own electoral maps, call 270 to win and as far as i can tell, it's crashed right now. i think everyone is -- they are starting to -- >> how does this work? there's no florida. what's the map? >> talk to the master here. he can walk you through it. let's go to rehema ellis. >> reporter: absolutely, lester. we're at a watch party for patrick m is dallas woodhouse. this is a toss-upstate. how are you feeling? you've got butterflies in your stomach? >> i feel more nervous than a fish at a fish fry. no question about that. however, we are in a great position at this point in the evening. urban areas tend to come in sooner and mr. trump looks like he's well on his way to win.

than halfway across, you don't go back down. i will tell you a couple of things. we were up as republicans 100,000 votes, over 212,000. the democrats were down 22,000. >> reporter: that's early voting but now you've got the voting today. >> right. but republicans win election day. democrats win early voting. and they did win early voting. >> reporter: and that's what you did in 2012 and in 2008, you think that trump is going to take it? >> doi believe that we're going to win. trump, burr and mccrory tonight. close races. >> reporter: they are cautiously optimistic here. >> thanks very much. let's go to miami right now with a family who is nervously watching these results in florida where things are extraordinarily tight. >> reporter: lester, i'm here

local watch party in miami. many of the people you see behind me are undocumented. some are voters and, as you can imagine, the mood here grew incredibly tense as these results started to tighten like many latinos across the country for many of the voters here, their main motivation was what they call the trump effect or the trump factor, mainly, the republican candidate's stance on immigration that crystallized the issues for so many seen record turnout by latinos in several battleground states here in florida, a 75% increase in early voting by latinos compared to 2012. but just the fact that donald trump appears to be leading in the polls now just brought back the issue of immigration to a gathering like this one you see behind me. it is not the only issue latinos care about but it is a very

hands. they even held a prayer not too long ago as they anxiously await these results and fear their families could be split up if donald trump in fact wins the presidency. >> mariana, thanks. i think it's time to revisit -- it's time to revisit the -- >> the what if map? >> yeah, the route to 270. and florida was such a big part of it. >> let's, for now -- and we're just going to do it. we're not projecting he's leading in georgia. he's leading in north carolina. he's leading in ohio. he's sitting at 248. let's assume arizona he sits at 259 there. he's not leading in new hampshire. we do have this nebraska situation. i don't know why we haven't -- >> it's split. >> it's split but he's already got those, that we're aware of. >> that is sitting out there. >> nevada is sitting out there.

you just flipped michigan here. now, let's give her new hampshire for now. there is some work there. and then you look -- >> she's over the top. >> he would be over the top with michigan at this point. she needs one of these states. let's put back north carolina. that would do it. but as you can see here, now michigan -- take michigan and it's a different situation. this is what we're staring at. it doesn't take long, by the way, and it doesn't take long to get you to 269. i could do it right here by simply moving colorado and then you would have -- i don't know why we have three extras. i think nebraska has gotten messed up here on our map so we will neutralize them. but this should be red. the point is, this is precarious. this map is suddenly 50/50.

sweeps those two and ohio and we're looking at michigan too close to call and suddenly we could be sitting on michigan, colorado. i mean, it's going to be a long night. if you're a junkie, it's going to be a fun night. we're dividing up this map in ways we haven't seen. 269, 269 is in play. this feels a lot like 2000 brokaw. >> are you okay, tom? >> yeah. i brought my >> i may need to borrow it. we're going to take a quick break. we're continuing to monitor those states that are too close to call. you will want to stay with us. our decision night in america continues here on nbc.

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that's democracy plaza outside our studios here in new york on what is a dramatic night that has even more drama on top of it. the popular vote, trump ahead, 49-47%. but folks, this is a night about the battleground states. we knew it would be butt' florida right now, too close to call. 139,000-vote difference. clinton was forced to defend down the stretch, a 50,000 vote difference, too close to call. ohio, perennial battleground state, too close to call. you see the difference there. north carolina right now at 84,000-vote difference. too close to call. same story in georgia, a state

blue, very close there as well. too close. new hampshire, look at new hampshire right there. 1300, 1400 votes separate the two of them. and pennsylvania, also too close to call. the state that hillary clinton made her big finish last night. a lot of drama here on this night and in the race to 270, here's where things stand. based on the projections we've made so far, 137 in the trump column, 104 to hillary clinton. and there's the map right now unfolding on the rink below us. a lot of gray still unfinished which will tell the story when they are filled in but right now they are not and the biggest one hanging out there, literally, is florida. >> i hate to say, this looks good for trump. >> in florida? >> in florida. i think with what's left -- it depends on how much is left and nicolle remembers this mythical box, it switches.

at about 75, 80% of the broward vote is in and she has not narrowed that gap. there's not a lot left. one precinct in miami can be -- can have 100,000 votes in it. so that happens in those big counties so you don't know for sure but i don't think -- she needs, as i said -- she's still behind 140,000 votes. she needs to hope there's -- i keep saying, 400,000 votes remaining and wins them wins them 65-35 but i don't know if there's that much votes left. >> what about the too close to call states? >> we have a way to go here. north carolina, there's too much vote out to say. i take the republican party spokesperson dallas woodhouse's word for it that you'd rather be trump than clinton but if you go to virginia, it's narrowed to

starting to look like she is likely to end up getting what she needs here. we're still waiting for fairfax and northern virginia. she'll likely win virginia but by the smallest of margins and we have to wait to see if these folks turned out. but virginia is trending her way, narrowly, okay, but we -- it may be michigan. >> michigan. >> michigan is going to be the linchpin. if he wins to be sitting here waiting on michigan. >> and nobody was talking about michigan five days ago. >> let's go to hallie jackson now. hallie? >> reporter: i'm joined by filmmaker michael moore who has spent months diving into the mind of the trump voter. you're a hillary clinton supporter but you have predicted what we are seeing with donald trump, particularly in michigan, for months. >> well, back in the summer i

states, michigan, ohio, pennsylvania, that the working class that has been so abused and attacked and their livelihood taken from them over these last couple decades. they are at the point where they are so angry and full of so much despair that i could see they would use the ballot box as an anger management exercise. >> you call it a middle finger to the or two from now how regretful they are going to be because he's not only going to blow up the system, he has no idea how to rebuild it. >> so when we talk about a state like michigan which came on late in the game as a really important battleground, when we're seeing what we're seeing there tonight which is this state that is incredibly close and essentially a turning point for donald trump, you're a guy who knows michigan pretty well. are you surprised by that? >> not at all. this has been my fear.

we have to put special focus on michigan, ohio, pennsylvania. these are the people i grew up with. i know what's going on here. they are being manipulated by a con artist. that's what donald trump is. he has not told them the truth. he's not going to bring your jobs back and he is really -- he's the -- he's a dying dinosaur. his way of doing things and that old -- that's the old america. we're into the future right now. >> michael moore, thank you very much, former bernie sand supporter, now a hillary clinton supporter. lester, back to you on the other side of our election center. >> hallie, thanks. up next, a live report on the ground in which is perhaps the most surprising battleground in the whole election. plus, four more states are closing, including nevada.

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break, this is a picture ivanka trump tweeted out showing mike pence and family and staffers watching returns here like the rest of us, trying to figure out where this is all leading. let's go to katy tur at trump headquarters. katy? >> reporter: quite confident in where they stand at this moment. they still believe this is going to be a tight race but it's looking even better than it ever has, frankly.

now. two of donald trump sources are telling us, florida operatives are telling us that it's a nail-biter but that they will win it. they are holding their breath and waiting on more results from broward county. a source in virginia tells us to watch out for virginia beach. they believe they could see quite a bit of turnout in that area. after they go from florida, north carolina, ohio and iowa, then they are going to go on and keep their focus on michigan. if they can turn michigan, they are going to feeler about this race. they have said for quite a while now that they believe michigan is a state that is particularly susceptible to donald trump's message, his job's message. they believe it's one that cuts across demographics, one that won't matter what race you are. you'll want to vote for jobs rather than vote along party lines and they believe they are going to be able to do that. >> let's go to andrea mitchell

nervous as every other democrat around. look, this place is so down, they are playing videos and also coverage. now there's a cheer that's gone up because they see some movement in virginia. virginia is critical, as you know. they were waiting to see what was happening in fairfax county and in richmond. but the fact is that the results in michigan and ohio and in the mood here. that's the first cheer i've heard here basically all night, anything other than an east coast state like rhode island or connecticut performa. the fact is, they are going to have to look back at what they didn't do. they had a 2-1 spending advantage on air, on television. a 5-1 advantage, pulled money

they have a lot of thinking to do about what is happening here tonight if this thing does go against them. >> andrea, in that crowd, we heard them applause a minute ago. let's put up virginia. >> first time that she took the lead and that's what they were looking at. >> move forward there. >> there it is. she took the narrow lead and i can just tell you, my own history of doing this, we know where this is headed but, wow, it's close. >> she had to work for it. >> that's right. >> we're quickly p.m. out west. our electric well, we start with breaking news. news4 is calling northern virginia's tenth congressional district. this has been a tough contest.

defeating virginia democrat luann bennett. >> also, keeping a close eye as is everyone else in this country on the race for the white house, as it regards virginia, still too close to call. let's look at the very latest numbers now with 90% of the vote in. donald trump with 48% of the vote to hillary clinton's 47%. we're told that some of the northern virginia precincts stillha vote yet. our team in new york tonight covering the trump and the clinton campaigns. big crowds as supporters gather to witness history as it is unfolding. beginning with jim hanly at the javits center. >> northern virginia, virginia in general, they've been watching the jumbotrons like

crowd went wild. they erupted. for the last 90 minutes, two hours, there has been a tension and anxiety in the hall holding about 5,000 people. they've had to put up some campaign videos because most of the states that they've seen coming in, she is behind. they've been having to put up some, you know, videos of hillary clinton to pump up the mood in this room. they are starting to fill up the stands. the fact that some are empty, we know wh and a half away at the peninsula hotel with her husband, former president bill clinton, her daughter, chelsea clinton, watching the returns come in with close aides that have stood by her side for years. she will come over here to the javits center. we have about 10,000 in the over flow and they've been waving flags, cheering when states go clinton's way.

we heard from chuck schumer. i saw former michigan governor jennifer granholm making the rounds. they have their surrogates here in michigan and other states. we're starting to here applause. they know everybody is going live and want to project confidence. the kind of confidence we've been hearing all day today until some of the returns came in. we'll be back live here from midtown manhattan at 11:00. >> our coverage coin at trump election headquarters. what is the mood there, chris? >> reporter: well, they don't have to project confidence, they are confident and the numbers they're seeing are making them as energized as i've seen them all day. we've been talking to trump supporters literally minute by minute and you can tell every half an hour that this wore on, some of the states were not called, they're getting their

the ball room at the hilton hotel where the election night party is going on. i can tell you, i've been speaking with some of the supporters inside there who are saying look at some of the returns in some of these rural counties where trump is out performing mitt romney by big margins. they say that bodes well for places like pennsylvania and michigan that he would have to flip to have a chance and as for the trump campaign itself, they say they're very encouraged by the early numbersfully right now, they're all -- they're all about florida. donald trump got back from visiting his room getting a first hand analysis on where the numbers sit and where they could be going in the next hour. back to you. >> tom sherwood joins us now. we're looking at virginia once again. what is going on there? what are we looking at? >> we're looking to see if fairfax county which has about 30 or so more precincts to go where a lot of votes are, whether northern virginia will save hillary clinton in the state of virginia.

big margin in northern virginia. it looks like they've carried loudoun and prince william county which are battleground counties. trump has ran up his margin in shenandoah county and the democrats are doing okay in the hampton roads area. classic three quarter offense for the democrats. right now, this is much closer than all of the polls have shown. it tends to be that polls over credit democrats in these races and always are much even given that, it is a very close race in virginia and we'll be watching the last, it could be the fairfax is the word for this whole campaign. >> in terms of what the votes are there. >> and can i comment on state hood in the district? in state hood it has won overwhelmingly but if the republicans keep the u.s. senate, that is the end of the road. >> it won't matter. >> all right, thank you, tom. we'll invite you to stay with news4 as more results come in. we'll be sending out breaking news alerts on the nbc

with another update in about 25 minutes. now, back to nbc news. welcome back, everyone. it's 10:00 p.m. in the east and 7:00 p.m. in the west. . the polls have closed in let's take you through what we have. as you look at the vote total, looking at the state of iowa, it's too close to call. nevada, too close to call. utah, too early. keep in mind, that's a three-way race with mcmullin in the race there in utah. montana, nbc news projects donald trump will win in montana. . and we can look where we stand now at the race for 270.

now. based on the projections we have made so far, trump with 140 and clinton with 104. we're also watching where things are close, the state of pennsylvania as we take a look right there at the map. but if we can move out, i want to show you what is happening in pennsylvania because we want to go to our correspondent there, kate snow, who is with both trump and clinton voters. . kate? >> reporter: lester, yeah, we are right outside of philadelphia, montgomery county, which we said that you need to watch in pennsylvania. and it's interesting, we're in a bar, obviously. we've got a lot of trump fans here. i was talking to lisa before. you were telling me that you didn't want to put a sign out in front of your house because you're a business owner. but now, how are you feeling right now? >> i'm so excited. i am just beyond excited because now you can say this is the guy i wanted, this is a guy who spoke his mind and who is going to fight for us. >> reporter: why did you vote

why? >> yeah, because he, again, is going to take our country back. . there are different things as a business owner you want to just -- taxes, obamacare, there are all of these -- >> reporter: you said to me earlier you felt like he says the things that other people don't say out loud? >> no. they said he said this about women, he said that. what has he said that i don't hear other women saying about men? you know, women talk about m all the time and have said worse than he's ever said. >> reporter: let me pivot over here. how are you feeling? you're watching the tvs in here. the sound isn't up. how are you feeling? >> a little nervous. i'm surprised about florida being so close. i don't want it to go back to a bush/gore thing where they have to recount the votes but i think

florida. >> everybody is nodding. nobody wants a recount. myself, included. i was in tallahassee for a long time. tell me why you think this county might go for hillary clinton. . >> i'm actually from illinois but -- >> reporter: okay. you're from philly. we've got a mixed crowd in the bar. why did you vote for her? >> i did not vote because i'm not american. >> reporter: t it's very loud in here, there's a deejay playing behind me so folks can't really hear all of our coverage. we've got it all on the screen. people are glued to the screens. we're hearing the lines were so long in some places, people are still voting. even though polls closed technically at 8:00, two hours ago,

>> kate, thanks. another projection coming in, i'm told it's new mexico. nbc news projects that hillary clinton will win the five electoral votes in the state of new mexico. hallie jackson is digging into some of the numbers in this very, very tight race in the exit polls. >> lester, we're looking at three battleground states. let's start with we've been talking about that all night. we want to focus on what's driving this close race in these states. and in michigan, at this moment, exit polls are showing it appears to be white voters with a college degree. look at this column here, the republican candidate. the republican candidate in 2012 got 55% of the vote. donald trump is doing better, up six points. he is overperforming the republican from 2012, mitt romney. look at the democratic candidate, of course hillary clinton. in 2012, barack obama, the democrat, got 44%

she is down 13 percentage points from that position, from where they were in 2012. so that is really what we're looking at and what we're sort of diving into when it comes to michigan. i want to pull up pennsylvania. we're taking a look at the age gap. voters in pennsylvania under the age of 30, the so-called millennials, they're breaking out for hillary clinton by 55-39%. it's the reverse of that when you look at voters over 65, going he's got 60% of the vote, she's got 48% of the vote. another key battleground state, the race breakout in florida. let's pull it up here. those voters in florida who have a favorable opinion of donald trump, most white voters in florida do have a favorable opinion. one in four hispanic voters roughly have a favorable opinion. only one in ten black voters feel that same way. and this demographic here, the african-american vote, the hispanic vote, that is going to be crucial to what we see in florida when it

i did speak with one source close to the trump campaign who said, hey, we are not getting crushed with the hispanic vote, a good sign for them. >> hallie jackson, thanks. now back to our panel. mike murphy served as senior strategist for john mccain's first campaign for president in 2000, mike, nice to have you. for those who thought this was going to be an early evening, you say? >> yeah. anything but. i thought florida, a state i worked a lot, political hacks on both sides thought it would be an early defeat for trump and that would set the tone. instead, florida will be hard. >> we have another call in the state of missouri. nbc news projects missouri will go to donald trump, donald trump a win. and let's look at where things stand right now. there is a missouri call. let me show where we stand in the race to 270. there it is right now. trump with 150, clinton 109.

>> what's interesting about florida is the pattern is unlike anything i've seen in florida politics before. you get a more urban republican area, jacksonville, trump is doing horribly. he's doing under romney in the bigger counties. but in tampa he's off the charts, breaking the meters in numbers that we haven't seen before. i believe it will tighten, there is more of her vote out be able to make it. >> so far he hasn't won anything that we didn't anticipate. chuck, you've been crunching the numbers on florida. >> it's not enough. maybe there's some extra vote that we don't know about. i stress that, that happens. i remember vividly in 2000, the 50,000-vote error that was discovered late. so don't forget those things happen here. but you look, and there's trickles that

only one county that's out that's more favorable to trump. polk has a little bit. volusia, which is daytona, a 50/50 county. that's not enough for her to gain ground. it's palm beach, miami, and broward. is there enough vote out there left in those bottom three counties for her to close this gap? but i have to tell you, the gap grew again. she got it down to 111,000. and then it's back u i don't see the path forward for her in florida. listen to this, last time a democrat won the white house without the state of florida was bill clinton, 1992. so maybe she's got that karma going for her, i don't know. the last time you lost florida and ohio and won the white house? >> we're looking at a situation that it's michigan. at the end of the day, we're staring at michigan.

out, we'll see. she has to do that. we're looking at michigan being the big decider here. >> nobody was talking about michigan until about five days ago. >> except michael moore, i'll give him that, he's been screaming about that, to his credit. >> to his credit. it's his home state, we all like to talk about our home states, we look at chuck with florida. trump saw something going on in michigan, they sent him there, people were saying, what? then the clinton team added a stop, president clinton was there. >> somebody who's done a lot of governor campaigns, michigan has rural counties that are more democratic in many places compared to sun belt and southern states. >> they have been. >> they have been. will trump turn that over and will detroit vote with flint or will it be under enough that trump's overage in some of these places will make it? trump was doing well at the beginning but a lot of michigan is

>> totally underestimated by those of us in the so-called establishment. the people who have been looking at this, the depth of the anger, the depth of the people saying i want to change, i don't care if i have to pull a pin on a grenade and roll it across the country, whatever it takes, we want change and we want big change. >> the other thing we did, and i have to say this, the biggest critique on the establishment, and i throw the media in here as well as the two political parties, we have overlooked rural america a bit too much. and i think in talking about the changing demographics of america and the changing face of america. that's all true. but we've forgotten about rural america. and rural america is basically saying, hello, they are screaming at us to say, stop overlooking us, you know, we're not ready to have just 21st century fly by us. >> some of this has been hiding in plain sight. donald trump came in with a message that was very distinct and very different from

from republican -- the way that republicans have always run as free traders and they love free trade agreements. and if his message is resonating, this is where it was going to resonate. if it was going to make a difference, this is exactly where. in some ways, ultimately it's not surprising that now we're focused like a laser on this section of the country. >> and building a bit of a new coalition with that economic populism. but will it have long enough legs? we'll see. >> we still have hours to go here. by the way, if you have a restaurant that now. >> joining us now is conservative political commentator and host glenn beck, founder of the blaze, thanks for joining us. >> thank you very much. >> give us your take, things are a lot tighter than many had imagined tonight. >> a lot tighter than i imagined as well. i think what chuck

i think chuck said the heartland. i don't think we've listened to each other at all. i know i've been at fault in this. in the last couple of years, i've recall tried to analyze myself and analyze what i've done and what i do. and we don't listen to each other. and we don't trust each other. and, you know, the media, that includes me, that unfortunately, tom, includes you, it does, that 34% of americans trust any of our voices. and that is because they view us as speaking down to them, pontifica pontificating, telling them and not listening to them, declaring who they are. it's difficult for me to consider myself a conservative or to consider myself a

conservative or a republican is, then i'm not part of that. i don't want anything to do with that. but i understand why people are feeling this way. when you have, what is it, 60% of the people who voted for donald trump don't like that they're voting for adopt, and 54% who are voting for hillary clinton aren't happy about voting for hillary clinton. >> so at the end of this, are you going to have a lot of yourself who don't feel like they have a place? >> i think the majority feel that way, even those people who voted for either one of these, they're not happy with it. and so i think on both sides, the parties have to realize now, boy, we need to start reflecting the piece people and listening to the people, because the people are entering a time, as we see tonight, beyond

much fear or so much anger, you know, the mind's mechanism is just to shut down reason. they're not listening to reason. and we have got to find our way to each other. my goal in the next year is to meet with the people i think i disagree with the most and not try to talk them into anything, not try to have an argument with them, i just want to listen. i want to be able to say, is this what you believe, and why you believe it? then we could even begin to have a conversation. but at least for me, that's a year away before i can have a conversation. we have to start listening to people. if we don't, we're in trouble. >> glenn beck, thanks for spending some time from dallas. the close race is still up for grabs. we're awaiting more poll closings. stay with us. things remain razor thin right now. more coverage of decision night in

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polls closed. that again from hillary clinton. we're also watching the dow futures right now reacting to this night. the dow futures down 625 points right now as investors continue to watch what's happening here. this race a lot closer at this point in the night than many people had anticipated. it's going to keep us all up here quite late tonight. a lot of states too close to call. let's go to welker at clinton headquarters. >> reporter: lester, good evening. top clinton campaign officials and surrogates say they're not panicking. they still insist there is a path to win even if they don't hold florida or ohio, not that they are conceding those states. the path for them, the states that they are focused on right now, include michigan, colorado, virginia, and pennsylvania. lester, we've spent so much time talking about pennsylvania. that is her firewall. that's where she held

30,000 people joined by the obamas and of course her husband, that big unity rally. i can tell you that i've been talking to democrats who were invited here to what they were hoping would be a watch party and victory party and they are candidly acknowledging that they have begun to get nervous, that this is a very close race. they were anticipating that but obviously it's turning into a much closer race than they had hoped for. the mood here, when this night initially got under ebullient. the crowd was cheering, now it has become much quieter, those moments of cheering have become fewer and farther between. again, they still think they have a path and they are very focused on the state of michigan and pennsylvania at this hour, lester. >> all right, right now we see trump leading in the electoral race with 150 to clinton's 109. this could be, this will be, a very long night. we'll be here with you every step of the way,

races. more poll closings coming up. we invite you to stay with us. we'll be right back. about my family history. went to ancestry, i put in the names of my grandparents first. i got a leaf right away. a leaf is a hint that is connected to each person in your family tree. i learned that my ten times great grandmother is george washington's aunt. within a few days i went from knowing almost nothing to holy crow, i'm related to george washington. start searching for free now at ancestry.com we're quickly back from the break. we have a new projection, the state of ohio. nbc news projects donald trump will win ohio. chuck todd, first of

the race to 270 right now. as we come down on the ice and right now it's 168, trump. clinton, 109. you've been watching florida. you don't think it's going well for clinton there. >> i don't. and i think north carolina is trending trump here. look, first of all, ohio, a little historical nugget. last time somebody didn't win the white house while winning ohio was in 1960, richard nixon. ohio, you have to win ohio to win the w florida is trending his way. north carolina is trending his way. i go back, this is -- i mean, luke russert has already tweeted it, god love him. michigan, michigan, michigan. itting here talking about michigan. >> ohio, i agree, i was just going to say, ohio is one where the polls seem to have gotten it right, the polls consistently showed a tight race with trump up a little bit.

carolina, now we're looking at the rust belt, virginia close for comfort for clinton. >> the clinton campaign bragged about these firewalls. okay. let's see if you have one. we're about to find out. >> does pennsylvania remain a firewall? >> pennsylvania is the one state so far performing as they expected, not underperforming. all eyes are on michigan. although both new hampshire and nevada, those go ways that you're not sure, and then business, i'm not saying that yet. there's still macomb county and wayne county. she's winning in oakland by about ten points. it's killing it in macomb by about 20, the old democrat home. wayne is detroit. detroit has been a shrinking city, one of the few cities in

last decade. >> she's going to lead excellent wayne county. he'll do well in western wayne county, which are working class suburbs. and genesee, flint. she'll need to perform there. the rural stuff is going pretty well for him. and oakland is not that big. it should be -- >> not big enough. >> are there any signs, we talked about the silent trump vote, the ones that didn't show up on the radar in the polls? >> i wouldn't call it silent. i think we underestimated the turnout in rural the polling underestimated it. is it a silent trump vote or it was more, it was there, it didn't activate during the primaries in these giant numbers, so i think too many of our pros, i would love to talk to our pollsters about it, these folks maxed out in rural america. >> it vindicates what donald trump was saying about his rallies, look all these people, i got 20,000 people in this tiny section of north

ohio, a very popular guy, governor cass itch, who has gone to war against donald trump during this entire election season, and rob portman who ran away from him, a popular senator, trump comes into the state and wins it. i mean, that tells you something that is extraordinary that is going on. conventional politics ain't in play anymore, folks. >> in his places, they're on steroids. it is huge amounts of numbers. >> we've got to take a quick break. latest one in the trump portfolio, as we've watched that hello, again! a live look, once again, at the white house right now. it is election night and people all over america are watching

race is still very tight. but, the lead has shifted in the last few minutes, to show hillary clinton leading in virginia, as lester holt, chuck todd and team, have been showing you all night, the presidential race, they are too close. take a look now, with 93% of the vote counted in virginia, hillary clinton has pulled slightly ahead, 48% to donald trump's 47%. we're still watching >> joy carey is with the clinton campaign in new york city right now. julie? >> reporter: hey, there! well, with a big moment for this overflow crowd outside the javits center a little while ago when singer katy perry took the podium. she didn't sing, she spoke. and ended her pep talk with the words, let's do it for hillary, at the same time conceding her parents voted for donald trump today.

not here at the javits center yet. he is a few blocks away, watching the returns at the intercontinental hotel with friends and family. we're told that there are some richmond neighbors there. and a few law school friends. he also took time, tonight, to send this tweet, posting a photo of his daughter as a little girl and writing, thinking about my daughter now. no little girl will ever again have to wonder whether she, too, can be president. but, we have yet to see whether that kind of histoil senator kaine probably had to be boosted a short while ago when some of the vote totals in the northern virginia totals came and gave hillary clinton her first lead in virginia for the evening. prince william county, loudoun county all making the difference with that development. we'll be standing by here to see when senator kaine and hillary clinton might make their arrival here. back to you now in the studio. >> thanks, julie.

soon as this very close race was called. incumbent republican barbara comstock, we're projecting her to win. >> in fact, those numbers pretty called the case. 92% of the vote in. barbara comstock with 55% of the vote, but only 45% for luan bennett. megan fitzgerald with comstock's campaign in ashburn, virginia, now. megan? >> reporter: and i can tell you, as soon as we called that in favor of the congresswoman, this room behind me erupting in cheers. a lot of these evacuates that you see here, they've been in the trenches. they've been knocking on doors, encouraging people to vote for the congresswoman, talking about her record and why they should cast their vote for her. of course, right now they're anxiously awaiting for her to a arrive here. we're told she should get here any minute now. ed gillespie is favored to win

here in virginia. he talks about that work ethic, how the congresswoman will not be outworked. then we heard from one of her former colleagues, the assassinate senate here, who talked about how she is one of the hardest working members in congress. so it's essentially turned into a party here, but we want to play for you some sound that we got earlier today, from the chairman of the republican party here in virginia. take a listen. >> everything that she does is for her constituents. i just couldn't be more proud to be represented by her as loudoun county resident. >> reporter: so, again, a lot of excited people here and very anxious for the arrival of the congresswoman. we understand that she is en route, on her way here, and she should be here within the next couple of minutes, or so. so, as soon as she is here, of course, we will bring that to you. back to you. >> thanks, megan. things are changing by the

virginia. right now, 96% of the vote in. she is up by 1 percentage point over donald trump. >> and here's a race we've been watching in fairfax county. the vote on a 4% meal tax, right now it is going down. 56% voting no on this, with 97% of the vote in. >> no surprise on this one. vincent gray has won seventh district council seat and we're going to be back here in just a couple of minutes.

and as we come back from a break, we have a new projection. nbc news projects that hillary clinton will win in the state of virginia. 13 electoral votes. here is how it's shaking out right now. over trump. let's see how things stand on the electoral map. trump, 168, clinton 122, as our map begins to fill in. some states in gray on the map will create upset stomachs in both campaigns. >> these guys are the

journal" poll. bill, obviously the battlegrounds, much tighter than any of the polling showed. not just ours, all of the polling. is this the result of a hidden trump vote, or us underestimating what rural america would do in turning out? >> well, i think it's a little bit of both. it's not a shy vote. it's that donald trump has built a unique coalition, winning white non-college by the mid-30s, the year 1980. and those people are turning out. and it's aggregating. when you're winning the rural part by 30, 35 points, it's offsetting softer turnout in some of the core urban areas. that combination is pushing these states. look, the other thing you want to remember is that minnesota, michigan, these are states that still radiant a very high percentage of the white vote, very different than other

>> i would say volatility. one of the interesting findings from the exit polls is the people who decided in the last couple of days went for trump by five points, not a huge margin, but in a race like this where small margins make a big difference in some of these battleground states. plus the fact that clinton didn't perform as well with white college age voters as some of the pre-election polls suggested. add all these things up, it tilts some of these battleground es column. >> bill, you had a fascinating nugget in the exit poll. among voters who didn't like both candidates, who is winning? >> trump is winning 2-1. that's 18% of the people who voted who didn't like either candidate. >> that's one in five. >> that's 3, 3 1/2 times higher than the things we normally see. you have folks, one out of five, who don't like either candidate, and they voted for the guy who represents the bigger change. >> not only that,

americans gave president obama a positive approval rating. and his designated successor is in a 50/50 fight for the presidency. >> unbelievable. all right, lester, i'm coming back to the boards, buddy. >> come on back. i want to go out to andrea mitchell at hillary clinton's headquarters in new york. andrea, we've discussed over the last week or two this notion of overconfidence. the clinton folks said they were guarding against it. but clearly there's nervousness in that room right now. >> there was a big cheer that went up with the virginia call, that was a very big deal. interesting that barbara comstock, a well-known fairfax county congresswoman, republican, won her seat, even though hillary clinton is projected to be the winner in virginia. the crowd is being fired up by governor andrew cuomo, speaking outside this room. other than that, there have been few speakers that have gotten their attention, it's been a

michigan, and i was talking to former governor jennifer granholm who still things it's possible, she acknowledges the african-american vote was not what they expected, they're still looking for more latino votes. they're waiting to see what happens in michigan, as you've all been pointing out, that's their hope that they've got a path. i don't buy the argument about overconfidence. just traveling with hillary clinton and watching how hard they worked and the money they've spent, and the that they were determined not to leave anything on the table up until her final homecoming at 3:30, 3:45 this morning. so i just think that the e-mail controversy and other ingredients that made her less popular, less trustworthy, you just cited those polls with john yang and bill

residual fact. that last-minute comey letter, we don't know this, anecdotally, that last-minute letter was a momentum-killer. nbc news projects the state of colorado, hillary clinton will win in the state of colorado, nine electoral votes. let me quickly get nicole in re one. that's got to -- >> here's what's happened. they're all important for her now, and for him. with all due respect to our pollsters and everyone else's pollsters, the assumption as of noon today was that she was three points, five points ahead. this is not the map that reflects a three-point race. the republicans in michigan are like republicans in a lot of the other states, he certainly had a big

knew he had a shot at. >> trump at 168, hillary clinton at 131, in the race to 270. chuck is at the map continuing to work these paths to 270. >> i'm going to put them here. nebraska, we had a little glitch, it's all in the system, trust me on there. let's put arizona, let's give her pennsylvania. if it holds, talked one of our pollsters, an expert on pennsylvania, he thinks she wins there. 259 to 252. let's see what happens in nevada. i'm not as confident about nevada anymore considering what we've seen there. but you can easily start messing around. michigan would put him completely over the top without needing a nevada and without needing new hampshire. that's the potential path he now has. this assumes that iowa goes his way too, we

that iowa is going to go there too. so look, i come back here, michigan, she's now going to need michigan and new hampshire or a nevada. certainly there. but essentially, nicole is right, each state is now important to both of them. this is no longer, oh, you know, she's got all these paths to 270. no, she doesn't. her path to 270 is pennsylvania, michigan, and either nevada or new hampshire. and she has to win three of those four. and two of those three can't be nevada and new hampshire. >> savannah, give me your take on that. >> as chuck just said, this is firewall time. and you look at some of these states and you see that there's a hillary clinton headquarters and they're cheering for virginia and they're cheering for colorado. these are two states that they were so confident about, they stopped spending money on them back in august. it's just a complete sea change. i think people are going to say, how did this happen, how did polls miss it so much?

underestimated that rural vote, the white noncollege educated voter, turning out in a much bigger number, and perhaps we're going to be looking at the african-american vote being depressed in certain areas and that's going to be the difference. >> i hate to bring up a name that -- this race changed when director comey made that initial thing. that's when republicans galvanized. you noted, nicole, that's when trump became a good candidate for the first time in weeks. coming home is the other story here. not only have we seen in the excerpts blowing through the roof the trump voter, but as -- >> establishment republicans. >> -- as bill noted, your college-educated white voter, she's doing well. but she's not doing as well as expected. >> it doesn't cancel out what he got. this was always out of reach for him when he was fighting for his own party, that's why

calamitous when he went to intraparty war with republicans. but the closing weeks of this campaign have had republicans, even paul ryan, singing off the same song sheet. >> and don't forget health care. >> huge story. >> when those premiums went up, their research said go after it, because he hammered, hammered, hammered health care. >> with an assist from bill clinton, who said something derogatory about obamacare, which gave them fuel, gave about the post-comey period was that he had ammunition and he used it. he had been a very inefficient candidate until that moment. when the comey letter hit, he became a very efficient, very disciplined, almost a traditional kind of candidate. this is what it yielded. >> kevin tibbles is in michigan right now. kevin, what's the mood where you are and what are people talking about? >> reporter: well, lester, i think it's one of amazement and perhaps a little bit of surprise thrown in.

were attending one of the final donald trump rallies here. at any point, did you ever think that michigan, it might actually come down to michigan? >> never. never thought it would happen. >> reporter: what about you? michigan did not seem to be in play. this was supposed to be a democrat state. >> we were ready to be in play. we were excited for something new and different. and donald trump is that person. >> reporter: what does donald trump represent to you that is different? is. he isn't politically correct, which is sometimes good and sometimes not, but you know where he's coming from. >> reporter: i have to ask him, as a woman, why did you vote for him? >> because he tells it like it is. i have a lot of friends who tell it like it is and you can trust them. you have to sort through some of the weeds. but when you get to the gist of it, you know he's speaking strong words, and that he's going to live up to those words.

up until about 45 minutes ago, lester, that's when the results started to come in. i think people here got excited when they saw what was going on in ohio. which of course i believe is still too close to call. and then it started coming in here. people started talking about the number of people that voted in the detroit area, which seemed to be low. and then here, which has been a republican sort of island in this state of michigan. but after this evening, i mean, w air. who knows what's going to happen here, lester? >> all right, kevin tibbles, thanks very much. i know in the crush of that room and the noise, you may have missed it, but ohio has been called as a donald trump state. donald trump wins ohio. let's drill down on ohio, because it may be -- hallie jackson, it may tell us what else is going on in the midwest. >> here is what we're seeing in ohio, which could be reflected in michigan, another upper midwest states.

win, according to our exit polls. it was the economy. 54% of ohio voters said that was the most important issue to them. the voters who said that the economy was the most important issues, and ohio voters overall, more of them thought that donald trump would better handle the economy. his message on trade seemed to resonate. this is something that we heard from trump in the closing months of his campaign, in the last few weeks, as he made trip after trip to ohio, pressing this message. the other thing drg there. take a look at this next board here. it's what we've been talking about all night. white voters without a college degree. look at the margin for the republican candidate. in 2012 it was 56%. donald trump outperformed mitt romney this year. look what happened with the democratic candidate in 2012. barack obama got 42%. hillary clinton underperformed him by five points. that is something

michigan, lester. >> hallie jackson, thank you. we'll take a quick break. we'll keep a close eye on the too close to call states, and there are many of them. we're also keeping an eye on a big one, california. stay with us. ? alexa, pause. [silence] alexa, resume. ? alexa, ask domino's for my easy order. okay. alexa, open baby names. okay. [laughter] from the first moment you met it was love at first touch

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it's 10:45 in the east. more poll closings, california, hawaii, idaho, oregon, and washington. we'll have the characterizations at the top of the hour. kristen walker joins us from the clinton campaign headquarters. >> reporter: i just heard from one top official who says they

why? because they have won colorado and virginia. but the path includes holding wisconsin and michigan. they would then have to win pennsylvania and either win nevada or new hampshire. so those are the states that they are watching at this hour. now, they point out that in terms of wisconsin, madison is still out, obviously a heavy college area, they're going to get younger voters, they think they can clinch that area. michigan, detroit is african-american voters, of course president obama has been there trying to energize his base and that part of the obama coalition. i can tell you there are jitters here among top clinton supporters who are gathered at the javits center. some of them acknowledging to me they're quite concerned about the fact that this race is a whole lot closer than they were anticipating. but again, at this hour the clinton campaign stressing that they still have a path to 270. they think they can get there.

sending chuck with his pad up to the map here. >> the path is one state right now. yes, we may -- we'll worry about nevada and new hampshire when we get there. >> and wisconsin, she noted. >> and wisconsin, no doubt. let's get to know michigan a little bit here. look, more than 50% of the vote is still out. ultimately let's take a look at what wayne county is going to do. right now clinton is winning it by almost 30 points. let's go back to 2012, just to get an ide so we have 220,000 votes in there so far. you go to wayne in 2012, president obama won it by almost 50 points. he got nearly, oh, 370,000 net out of there. so my point is, that's what you're going to be wanting to watch tonight, number one, is going to be how much -- oh, there we go -- how much does she get out of here. still very little of

much as obama got out of there, but she needs to net 275, 300,000 votes just out of wayne county. we have a ways to go. that's just a simple way of watching michigan right now. >> while we have you on the map, can you show us where florida is. >> we haven't checked in on florida in a little bit. >> sorry to put you on the spot. >> that's okay. i could have navigated it simplier. lo t she hasn't narrowed the gap that well of it's not not there. unless there's magic ballot boxes somewhere that we don't know about, i can tell you the remaining vote is basically here in palm beach, broward, miami, and one precinct in monroe that's left. by the way, i was talking to a florida expert of mine about how has trump done this. and it's essentially these tampa ex-urban

south, in the tampa market. he just blew through every single vote total estimate that democrats had and frankly even republicans. just blew through. look, she did her job in hillsboro. normally, how hillsboro goes, it was the most important swing county in the country over the last 16 years. but this is not enough. she's going to win hillsborough and lose the state. that doesn't happen very often but that's the story of w happened in rural america. >> everybody was talking about how trump didn't have much of a get out the vote operation. >> he didn't need it. >> apparently not. he relied heavily on the republican party, and there was grousing about some states but there not being sufficient get out the vote operations. he got out the vote. we'll take a break. a lot more on decision

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but these days it's phones before forks. they want wifi out here. but behind that door, i need a private connection for my business. wifi pro from comcast business. public wifi for your customers. private wifi for your business. strong and secure. good for a door. and a network. comcast business. built for security. built for business. we're watching a nail-biter of a presidential race. we knew this was going to be a close race. it's far closer and far earlier in the evening than many had anticipated. we continue to watch the dow futures, tom. >> the night of 9/11, after we absorbed what had happened that day, they were down 690 points. right now they're down

we're seeing so far. that's wall street making its bet, hedging its bets at this point about what is likely to happen. if you look at these, they think that trump is going to be the president. >> as florida seems to be slipping away from clinton and the path certainly for trump becoming a lot easier. >> i don't speak fluent cnbc, but i mean, wall street, we all know, hates uncertainty. i think most financial experts will tell you wall street had not priced in a trump hillary clinton would win. so i think what we're seeing here is wall street reacting to the uncertainty, what would it mean, because this is not something that the markets had really considered as a true possibility. >> although -- >> but it went the other day until comey. >> it did, they briefly priced it in and priced it out. >> it's interesting, the polls didn't really identify a comey effect, even

we still will never know, okay? the point is, was it a natural closing we were all witnessing? or did comey sort of galvanize the republican base to say, oh, yeah, that's why i don't like her. i had somebody text me and just say, perhaps democrats -- and this was a democrat saying this -- perhaps democrats underestimated the dislike for hillary clinton out there. the assumption was trump's dislike would trump hers. but that's not what's if you dislike both of them, you were more likely to vote trump than clinton. i think they thought in the dislike-both-of-them game, she would win. >> people had them even on the untruthfulness question. >> we have to be careful, we don't have the final results yet. we have to work our way through them. >> tom, even if she wins now, this is a different -- this is an impactful agreement. >> no, i agree with that.

is what i think. there will be an automatic challenge, given the way donald trump operates. i really think it's going to come to that. whatever the results are. >> what's interesting is that when we polled, it's remarkably consistent. trump had high negatives, slightly higher than hillary clinton's, but both extremely negative opinions from the public. however, it seems like voters were willing to going to stick with him. >> we have a lot more ahead. so we invite you to your ballots are in. >> i'm asking you to dream big. >> the campaigning is done.

of the united states. >> we will make america great again! >> however you're watching, we've got you covered, live with the clinton and trump campaigns in new york. >> our work together will be just beginning. >> and covering the local races that affect you and your family. welcome back to news 4 coverage of decision 2016. i'm jim vance. >> and i'm doreen gentzler. we're or unless a winner is called in the presidential race before 11:30. here's a live look at the scene right now in new york. hillary clinton supporters watching and waiting to hear results in all of the battleground states. >> donald trump supporters watching, as well, and there are a lot of states still too close to call. outside the white house right now, a group has gathered, waiting to find out whether there'll be celebrating or commiserating. >> we have a team of reporters

screen, on-air, on the nbc washington app, and on your facebook news feed. >> presidential campaigns gathered less than two miles apart up in manhattan. hillary clinton at a convention center on the hudson river. donald trump at a hilton hotel in midtown. news 4 is there as well. we begin tonight with chris lawrence at the trump camp. and chris, they've got to be thrilled with what they've been seeing so far, huh? ep you know, whatever anxiety they had coming into this night, these early numbers and these early results have turned all of that anxiety into pure excitement. we were standing right by a group of -- a huge group of trump supporters, right here on the street, in front of the hotel. when they got the word that ohio

i'm optimistic, period. because i think that people are very sensible and i think they're going to vote for what they know america needs right now, irregardless of what hillary's tried to do. >> i think it's hard to tell what will actually happen, but so far it's looking pretty good. looks like it's leaning towards trump. so that's a good thing. but like i said [ inaudible ]. >> reporter: yeah, we were seeing them cheering, waving flags. they feel, they look at these numbers, they see him vastly outperforming what mitt romney did in some of these deep red, rural counties. and they say, you look at what's happening in places like florida, and north carolina, where he's overperforming, they think, they think that that can translate, and that he can unlock the real key to this election, which is flipping one of the big blue states red. we have been talking to them.

they think they're good there. now they're starting to turn their attention to michigan. and pennsylvania. they think they've got a shot in michigan. we're keeping an eye on it, they're keeping an eye on it. i know the trump campaign, there's a war room at trump tower, where donald trump, he's watching the results, but then he goes down to the war room to get the updated analysis from his people. they're keeping a very close eye on what's going on here tonight. vance, doreen, we'll send it back to you. >> thanks, chris. when she pulled ahead in virginia. >> but they haven't had as many moments to cheer tonight as they would like, at least not yet. news 4's jim handly is inside the javits center. how's the mood there in the collin camp? >> you said wit, doreen. we've got 5,000 people here trying to put on their game face. but make no mistake about it, they are nervous. some look shell shocked and stunned in the back rooms, though they still insist they

days has been, i don't give up. i'm a fighter. this room just sang "fight song." they're not about to walk out or give up. you have about 5,000 people standing shoulder to shoulder for about four hours now. and it's a good thing hillary clinton has that long line of surrogates, because they have tried to keep the morale up in this room. we heard from governor cuomo a short time ago. katy perry, too. also, gold star fracture, khiz they are not mentioning the results coming in and the states being called for trump. but we have been watching some of the numbers coming in, but a lot of what the campaign is doing is showing videos of hillary clinton, their candidate, that we've seen on commercials, quite honestly, to try to keep this room motivated. we know that she has two speeches, two options, two versions that she worked on last night on the plane down from north carolina to philly. safe to say, she is doing some

now. she's with her family and top aides still watching these