tv FOX News Special You Decide 2016 Election Special FOX November 8, 2016 11:30pm-1:00am EST
and shepard smith. >> breaking news, donald trump has won the state of wisconsin. wisconsin was a blue state. wisconsin was reliablely democratic. wisconsin had milwaukee and madison. wisconsin is reliablely blue. this is the flip that donald trump was seeking. this is the end of the inside straight. you must win florida. he won it. you must win ohio, you probably will but it will be close. no, he won it big. he won florida, north carolina, ohio. now he's just flipped the blue state that we knew he would have to flip out west. wisconsin goes to donald trump. fox news projects hillary clinton will win the state of
oregon. as expected, oregon is solid blue. there's an update on the state we're still watching. michigan is still very much up in the air. michigan has tightened over the last few minutes. michigan has tightened because more areas around detroit have come in. but wisconsin is the new story of the night. bucky badger is running around camp randall starting to figure out how to say the two words together president and trump. if it happened, wisconsin is the one that helped him draw the inside straight. if you look at the electoral vote count, can which we will in a minute. here's a look at the states we have already called for the candidate. that's the state. all the red across the center of the nation over on the east coast up in the upper midwest, you see the blue states around the place. the one that really stands out for you there is the state of wisconsin. now the latest electoral count.
here's the electoral count. donald trump with 238 electoral votes. hillary clinton with 209 electoral votes. now this is the state of iowa we now call for donald trump. the board is coming up now. hillary clinton had been trailing here. she's down now by more than 10 points. donald trump with 59% of the precincts reporting, donald trump wins the state of iowa. now we should go back and look at the electoral college count again and the electoral college board will show it that donald trump has what must be consid considered at this point a healthy lead in the electoral college. remember, the big west coast states are in. california is in for hillary clinton. hawaii is in for hillary clinton. oregon is in for hillary clinton. only a few states left to call. pennsylvania is one of them. wisconsin has gone now. wisconsin is another one that is
up for grabs. michigan is leaning towards donald trump. secretary clinton is trailing in the most unlikely of ways. let's bring in our panel. a democratic strategist, the let's begin with you. where are we? >> we were all wrong. the map was wrong. what's interesting about this from a policy perspective free trade is over. we're going to a bernie sanders on the democratic side donald trump protectionist policy because the midwest has trudged back. they are it's a tough order. i'm not sure you can, but that's the expectation now.
what you're now seeing is a realign m where progressive states like wisconsin, potentially michigan, pennsylvania is still a tough order for republicans, are now expecting certain deliverables from both parties. that's why you have bernie sanders surge in those places during the primary and why you're seeing donald trump most likely be elected tonight. >> i assume now we can draw that the liberals of the party who felt disenfranchised by hillary clinton east campaign, others pushing for hillary clinton when the people were saying bernie sanders were much farther left than she. >> you're about to see the same realignment over the last few years on the democratic side. there's about to be a major civil war between the chamber of commerce, free trade, globalists wing of the party versus the
progressive bernie sanders stream of the party, elizabeth warren and that strain. it's going to be a battle royal of the same kind you saw with the republicans. the oj thing that can unify them now is opposition to the president trump. democrats don't have a good track record of having good moments. it's going to be a huge realignment of the democratic party. i think this is the end of clintonism. by the end of this moderate democratic wing that you saw asce ascended. >> we're waiting for the state of georgia. 16 electoral votes, it's possible we'll have a call there soon. this is not over. hillary clinton does have a path to the presidency at this moment. the race has not been called. it is not over. this reaction is to just over the fact that it is this close. just that hillary clinton that he was able to hang around with
hillary clinton for this long creates these realignment in the party. so much of the party, the millennials who spoke out so long and loudly for bernie sanders, all of those people felt unrepresented in his absence. they felt that he had been disrespected. his movement had been ignored and didn't shut up a about it. >> i don't know if it's the millennials. we'll find out when we look at the exits later tonight. to me it's more than that. if it's a rust belt of people who believe, stongly believe this progressive extreme missing in the democratic party for several decades now where they feel the democrats have gotten too cozy with wall street and global free trade. they feel democrats have forgotten about making college education affordable. they fooed feel all the
priorities over the last i don't know how long has been left behind. that's what you're going to see today. the same fight fight they are going to seek with speaker ryan. over the next few months. and president-elect trump and how he's going to behave and bring the republican party together. same battle on both sides. >> wisconsin is a back breaker. this is a state that fell in love with barack obama. that have been really close in 2000 and 2004 decided by a handful of votes in both of those cycles. obama won it overwhelm iingly n even mitt romney putting paul ryan on the ticket four years ago. so it will be interesting to see also whether the millennials, for all the talk about obamacare and fbi thing, whether any of this wikileaks stuff that showed basically that millennials system being rigged was proven
true to them, whether they ended up staying away, but right now wisconsin flips the script here. clinton is the one that has to pull the inside string. >> i've been rewatching "game of thrones" and i love the line where they say you know nothing, john snow. i was thinking as these polls were coming in that the trump supporters and the people who voted to him and the establishment, you know nothing. you don't understand what i'm going through. even tonight if we think about it, what is hillary clinton's message for why she should be president? i mean that seriously. >> we're stronger together. >> but what i mean by that is there was no unifying message. it was that i'm better than trump. i'm against tpp but i helped author it. every single thing she walks back on, this is a change election and the democratic party if you believe wikileaks, i hate to use rigged, but they r rigged their primary for her and
they are paying the price for that. >> fox news election breaking news. the state of georgia, fox news projects goes to donald trump. and that means donald trump now has 254 electoral votes. hillary clinton now with 209 electoral votes. georgia goes red as mostly expected. there were questions about whether atlanta might be able and that the african-american vote in georgia might go toward hillary clinton. did not in florida or georgia. the african-american vote has not held for hillary clinton. it did not work in the state of georgia. and donald trump wins georgia. and ladies and gentlemen, we appear to be at a moment of history in the united states of america. there are but a a few ways now that remain that hillary clinton could become president. her task now, her hill now seems higher to climb than donald trump's climb was at 7:00 p.m. this evening. it is more difficult for hillary clinton to become president now
that it is for donald trump. every good dime is on donald trump being the next president of the united states. so the race is still too close to call in a number of states. including iowa and we'll have more calls for you in a minute. coming up, fox news sunday chris wallace will be here on what ie peers to be -- we'll wait for it. stay with us.
on the east coast of the united states, what appears to be a political realignment like nothing ever seen in the history of the united states politics in that the realignment is happening not in one of two party, but in both of them. if donald trump goes on to win the white house, all that e we know about the republican establishment has changed. no longer do we have an evangelical small government, promilitary conservative right and no longer do we have a center left moderate hillary clinton style democratic party. we would have more of a bernie sanders far left. two parties of extremes like we have not had in modern history. is that the big picture now?
chris wallace is here. >> assuming that trump were to win and he's now only 16 electoral votes away, i don't know that you would say that it's more extreme. in some ways it's more moderate. trump is much more moderate than the republican party, the evangelical party has been on foreign policy he's much less interventionist. in some republics he's to the left of hillary clinton on foreign policy. he's talked about multilateralism. bef to make other people pay for their own defense. we're not going to be the world's policeman. >> what would a cabinet look like? >> we were just talking about that in the green room. giuliani maybe for attorney general. people like chris christie, a senior aid who doesn't need confirmation. >> chris christie has his own
demons. >> jeff sessions in the senate would either be secretary of state or secretary of defense one suspects. >> it's mind boggling. in that most of the chattering class had not considered these things with a nod toward reality. >> not seriously. yes in theory, but people had really not wrapped their head around the prospect of president donald trump. and we in the news media -- i'll admit it. i didn't think he was going to win. >> i don't know journalist who is really thought locking at the numbers, looking at the ground game that they thought this was possible. >> and the business world at one point -- >> the markets are up 750 points. >> waking up in europe in a few hours or already in asia, good
morning, paris. we have a message to deliver. things have changed in america. >> you have to think that i can't go back to the 1800s. i'm sure there was some big shocking upsets. it's certainly in our lifetime and my lifetime is longer than yours, it is the biggest political upset. people were two conventional politicians. we're talking about donald trump. t >> a howard stern character not long ago. >> a celebrity tv game show host. >> he makes no apologies for any of it. >> normally it's a nonpolitician, it's a general. the idea of somebody who is a pure businessman and a showman possibly becoming president of the united states likely
becoming president of the united states -- >> it's likely now. >> we're just -- these are review of states. >> no new states to call, but there are a few of them out there that would flip it. >> wisconsin, wisconsin is not a state we even had on the board. >> wisconsin is a blue state. >> if wisconsin can go to trump, why can't minnesota or michigan or pennsylvania or nevada? it's up for grabs. the great likelihood is that he's going to be the next president and then i don't know what happens to the democratic party, but you have to figure to the degree that sanders came close that the sanders/elizabeth warren wing of the party is going to say this was the problem. >> if this is the case, obama's legacy is completely lost. clintonism no longer lives.
there's no path. that wing of the democratic party dies if they lose this election. >> think about this. eight years ago barack obama wins a sweeping victory to be president of the united states and brings in a veto-proof majority and a huge majority in the house. . eight years later at end of his term, we could have donald trump as president and a republican majority in the house and the senate and we were trying to figure out the last time that republicans because reagan never had it. a complete unified republican government. looking back to eisenhower. >> does the republican-dominated house and senate agree with him on all his positions? >> no, and the interesting e question will be if he's president, the degree to which he has to rubber stamp their
agenda. for instance, obamacare. he wants to repeal and replace obamacare. when you look at his program, it's not really developed. there's not much detail there. and one assumes that he is going to have to -- he might take the lead from them in terms of the details of how you do that. >> lots of news to report coming up. the dow jones average overnight trading down 750 points. the world is reacting and the political tide appears to be turning. more races to be called as we rate wait to hear who will be the next president of the united states. many sleep-aids have pain medicine
more than 700 points down for the dow. investors are trying to come to terms with the coming election results. the fox business network with news coming in now. asia collapsed overnight. >> it did. down 4%. we're not far from that here in the u.s. when folks wake up in the morning, they might see this. if these losses hold. wall street did not expect donald trump to do so well tonight. wall street likes the status quo. they were banking on hillary clinton being president and that might not be the case. this is the knee jerk initial reaction. this doesn't mean we're going to continue to see losses.
the mexican peso plunging. it's something you want to consider as well. and gold is up very sharply. if trump takes it and congress is republican, you have no gridlock. you know better than anybody else that wall street likes a little bit of gridlock. >> lauren checking in late night live, thank you. our next president will have big issues to tackle both home and abroad. we'll look at those and we'll watch for the rest of the states
♪ >> we shall rejoin shepard smith and fox news team in just four minutes. thank you much for staying with fox 29 on this historic election night. right now we're looking at again at the pennsylvania senate race. thank you again for sticking with fox 29 you decide 2016 coverage. i'm lucy noland if i'm iain page. of course this race is got national interests our pennsylvania senate race here's where the race between republican pat too many moon and democrat katie mcginty stands with 80% reporting. deadlock at 48%. >> we've got the peps senate race covered for tonight. shawnette wilson live at toomey's headquarters we begin with jeff cole at mcginty headquarters at the sheraton in center city philadelphia. jeff. >> reporter: lucy we've lost a lot of people here at democratic headquarters. it was very big crowd you still have good number of people here but most of them have sat down and just watching the projection and they are just sort of
stunned about what's happening nationally here. as we reported bruce gordon has reported mcginty started out with pretty good lead looked like she was pretty strong but this thing looks like it has really tightened up here now. so there is concern. they still believe there's hope. if clinton goes down at least they hope that they get mcginty here. we're hearing now about what the democrats think will happen going forward but at least right now smaller crowd, sitting on the floor, hoping for the best. very worried about hillary clinton but think mcginty still in this live in the sheraton. folks back to you. >> thanks jeff. let's get to shawnette wilson now at toomey election headquarters. shawnette. >> reporter: well partite toomey call this a dead heat race earlier, and watching the numbers come in it has been pretty a tug of war much he's fitting to hold on to that seat he's held since 2011 and behind me you can see many of his supporters have moved from standing around the floor talking to gathered around the monitor watching those numbers
come in. pat toomey is here and of course the first site of him we will bring it to you live. back to you in the studio. >> thank you shawnette. >> here's where we stand with the pennsylvania senate race. really no surprise we knew this race was neck and neck and to that's where things stand right now tied with 48% with 80% of precincts reporting. bruce gordon joins us analyzing all the numbers as they come in tonight. bruce? >> yeah, the key here is that we i new update lead for mcginty shrinks down to 30,000 votes witness 80% of the precincts reporting. that has got to make folks nervous you heard jeff cole describe that scenario a second ago. here's where we think she may be a little bit vulnerable. four years ago, and again different candidates obviously, but four years ago the democrats piled up big wins in philadelphia, no surprise surprise but also in montgomery and delaware counties. look what's happened this time around. last time around in 2012 the democrats won in montgomery and delaware county by about 120,000 votes. this time around, it's about
75,000 or thereabouts. a far smaller margin. in the city of philadelphia, the democrats came out of it with 465,000 vote margin at the presidential level. this time around, about 417 or thereabouts. so, again, smaller margins of victory out of the philly and delaware and montgomery county makes this thing very tight and if she's going to win this she's going to hang on by her fingernails, guys. >> all right. thank you very much bruce gord gordon. we are going to be heading back to shepard smith as we watch the presidential results which is basically producing a lot of shock and awe nationwide right about now. >> certainly has. states a lot of people didn't think would go to donald trump have. >> wisconsin he flipped the blue state. >> yup. >> ohio, florida. it's going to be interesting and we'll continue to stay on top of it. we now get you ba, to new york and shepard smith and the fox news team. ♪twork election
pennsylvania would do it. if he win's pennsylvania, nothing else matters. donald trump will be the president of the united states. with that in mind, rick leventhal is here in allentown tonight. pennsylvania, who ever would have thought it? ever were to be called, pennsylvania would put donald trump over the thought. >> it's incredible. and if you look at the map of pennsylvania, you will see that it is mostly right. the democrats have won make this state the last six presidential elections because the heavenly parts of the state around the philadelphia area are democratic by 7-1. do you go back to 2012, met romney won 54 of the 76 countie counties. but he lost the race by seven -- several hundred votes because he dominated in the areas. the latest numbers show hillary clinton winning just 11 ofhi the 67 counties. as you mention, it is very, very
tight. thes question remains how many votes will be tabulated from the philadelphia area? what percentage of votes have hg been tabulated from the very red control and other portions of the state, that will determine who wins pennsylvania. i can tell you that the election party, they have been cheering as each state falls to donald trump. hillary clinton loses states like ohio, north carolina, florida. they are not cheering about pennsylvania because we simply don't know yet which way the state is going to turn. we know that senator toomey is here in this hotel. he is upstairs in a hotel room. and we are told that he will come down here and speak to at the appropriate time. to what time that is we just don't know. >> explain the move there. tell us what the feeling is in allentown tonight. >> there were a lot of people that thought this would be an early night. the thinking was hillary clinton was going to dominate and these folks would come in and show support for the senator and the
republican party and go home. but they have seen things turn here tonight. and there's a growing sense of optimism among people in this room that their party and their candidate has a real shot at winning here tonight. >> rick, thank you. let's turn to our panel now. the what's your headline? >> i think there's going to be a lot of revisionist history we're going to see. we're already seeing from republicans who for months have been trying to distance themselves from donald trump. we saw this a few minutes ago with the chairman greg walden. it's happened even more in the senate. but we had republican campaign strategists actively encouraging their candidate to run away from donald trump concern ed that he was going to be such a drag on the party. it would make his impossible for
anyone else to recover. now we're going to see republicans try to display the unity we heard about talking about trump sharing republican values and republicans trying to come out of this able to really deliver on a wholesome agenda. >> i agree. i think there will be a strong united front, which will be interesting after all this time that will hold up at least for awhile. but sean hannity saying that paul ryan is not going to be speaker in january. there thereby some tumult about who stuck with trump, who didn't have faith in him. that unity will break overtime. he's not entirely representative of his own party. but then over on the democratic side, the end of the clinton, the lashing and gnashing of teeth about nominating someone who just locks the party down and sort of mob style while she was being investigated by the fbi. there's going to be some incredible on that side.
so while republicans will president trump pulls it out tonight, we'll run the whole government. there will some be internal divisions on their side as well. fighting in both parties. i think a a reset for both parties. >> john busy. >> this anti-insider urge in the united states that you're seeing expressed in apparently elected or very close to it an outsider to be the president is in keeps with a very large global trend. brexit was an example of that in the european union. a nativism has taken hold. you're seeing this in the rise of right wing parties in denmark, austria, poland, france and in germany as well. so this is in keeping with the global trend.
you have to ask yourself if people are doubtful and suspicious about institutions and about government and insiders versus outsiders, where do we go in a world that is ever more integrated. technology is going to do that it no matter what. ever more integrated when people are saying we want to run our own lives. >> it's 6:00 a.m. in paris. 5:00 a.m. in london. they are waking up. markets will open in a few hours. ours will open in nine hours or so. institutions will begin to make changes. corporations will begin to make moves. fundamental workings of government will begin to shift. what is tomorrow? >> as u said, i think in this temporary eunited front, there will be an attempt by republicans to try to nail down as much as they can with donald trump that they share in common. there's so much that they don't, but he has assured them that he's going to support the better way agenda, which is the name of
the congressional republicans agenda created by paul ryan. they are gloing to make an immediate push for everything they can while they are still uni unified. so a replacement of obamacare. some will work on tax reform immediately. what that will if it's paired with infrastructure, i don't know. this nominee, this potential president, donald trump is not interested in overhauling entitlement reforms. that will be a source of tension going forward as they work out the numbers. but trying to sort of have a debate within the party about what the path is to economic growth. 45% tariffs on the chinese is not going to be a part of what the congressional republicans are going to support. so i think they will try to find as much common ground as possible. and i imagine they will run into trouble down the road, but in the first 100 days, it's a productive session.
>> the democrat not yet. colorado has hiked its minimum wage from $8.31 to $12. the state of california has okayed recreational marijuana use. it's the state of california, which normally leads the country on matters of this nature. when it was california who was first to say no more smokie ini indoors. new york looked at the west coast and said what are you doing. this will never happen in new york. it's spread from sea to shining sea. marijuana liberalization began in colorado, washington state, now in california. it's sure to spread east. the world is changing before our eyes. . >> even amid-those gains by democrats in the ballot issues, they will have a pivotal choice to make. for eight years, democrats have been complaining that republicans never gave president obama a chance. they decided from day one their goal was going to be to try to sometimemy his agenda. the democrats are going to have to decide are they going to say, look, trump is our president. at least for four years.
we're going to try to work with him and find common ground. or after telling their children and relatives for the last year and a half that this person is the devil, are they going to decide that their goal from now on despite being in the minority is to block him. >> hang tight. michigan is a state with 16 electoral votes. donald trump has 254. add michigan to 254 and you have 270 ask you're the president of the united states. michigan is too close to call. we're live in michigan, next. you bought a wig, a jersey, and overpriced nachos...
michigan leans democratic. michigan has been a blue state for quite some time. president obama won michigan in 2012 with 54.21% of the vote. he beat mitt romney by 10 votes. it leans democratic. it has long leaned democratic. tonight it is a toss up. should donald trump win michigan's 16 electoral votes, his name is then mr. president. matt finn is live in detroit at a hillary clinton watch party. the mood there, how would you describe it? >> right now, it's tepid. perhaps a bit deflated. there are people seated. not a lot of conversation going on. just a few hours ago when this party began, it was much more energy and excitement. there was music playing and
people walking around having drinks, as you might imagine. but as the night progressed and we saw fox declare victory in florida and north carolina, crucial battleground states, the energy here slowly started to fade. and right now, it's not much of a party atmosphere, but people have their heads buried in their phones texting and sending out messages. people coming in and out of the exit. certainly not a celebratory atmosphere, to say the least. donald trump barn stormed and conned that lead to 4 or 5 points. if you want to look at the polls and trust them, that forced hillary clinton and the president himself to come and
campaign here in the final hours to defend a state that's typically very blue. michigan nhas not elected since 1988. we were there yesterday at a michigan rally where there were thousands of students who lined up before sunrise to attend an event for president obama. and president obama touted his experience and what e he would consider his victories. to speak further about the upset here tlz no state party for donald trump.
>> counties that are going to matter now. michigan is so close. over at the billboard and wayne county, right? >> detroit, a right? >> wayne county, detroit. a lot of democratic votes there. 47.8% for trump, clinton is at 47.1%. still winning in a little bit of the vote. this is super tight. why does it matter? it could decide the entire thing right now. and 254 votes. he needs to get to 270. if he wins michigan, he's the president. how does she do it? can she do it right now? you would almost have to see hillary clinton run the table. we've talked so many weeks about trump doing a inside straight to pull off the presidency. look at her challenge. if you give her paennsylvania ad
michigan and nevada, then you have to give her the state of arizona and then she would pull in a 272 electoral votes with new hampshire outstanding and maine and alaska but that would do it. can she do it right now? does she have the votes to pull it off? this is what we're seeing in the state of arizona. trump has about a 4-point lead. how does that stack up historically? go back to 2012 and we can show you what mitt romney and barack obama did. mitt romney won. and at the moment, trump is in a defensive position. a pretty decent shape to win that state and if he does, that inside straight i'm describing for hillary clinton may not be possible. watch michigan here and we'll see what happens. but this message, shepherd that trump has sent out to the american worker in the upper
midwest, boy they heard it loud and clear and they're showing up tonight as a result. back to you. >> thank you so much. i want to go through some of the key states still outstanding. some of the states yet be to decided. we have not yet called. donald trump needs 16 more electoral votes to win. iowa leans red and we have just called it. iowa goes to donald trump. so, the 6 electoral votes are to donald trump. he's now 12 electoral votes away from iowa. we called iowa earlier. so, they're part of it. he's 16 votes away. now michigan. michigan and its 16 electoral votes are up for grabs. donald trump is leading in michigan but again, there are many wayne county votes still
out there. the rest are scattered around the state. if donald trump holds on to michigan, he would win the presidency. that was michigan. michigan now at 72% and he is still with a lead. pennsylvania and its 20 electoral votes are up for grabs. pennsylvania, 92% of all precincts reporting and it is dead even. donald trump with a 2 thousand 1500 vote win. if he wins pennsylvania, he wins it. minnesota, which leans democratic. has leaned democratic in all of our polls, hillary clinton with a 4/4 and half point lead. nevada now, nevada leans democratic. hillary clinton with about a 4-point lead in nevada with 73% of the precincts reporting and
arizona, which leans republican, hillary clinton is trailing in arizona. donald trump with the edge there. 63% of all presingtds reporting. if he gets arizona and nevada, he wins it. his path is much easier than hers now. >> and it changed so rapidly. went in with the smaller chance of winning and rocketed up to the 90s or whatever now. and now they talk about her having to run the inside straight. it's remarkable. >> he pointed out what the democrats are going to have to do. some of the republicans are going to have think through that same problem. a lot of them had aligned themselves against trump. once you're the boss, all those in the lobbyists industrial complex of washington who had signed advertisements, those in
the national security and economics realm will probably fall into line as well. he's going to have a lot of talent to pull from. the question is how is the republican party going to reconstitute itself to support a republican trump? >> yes, difficult to understate the degree to which this is a repudiation of obama. we just got new poll numbers that everybody in the white house was excited about showing his popularity at a 54%, higher than it's been since the start of his presidency and people took that to mean people have come around and appreciate what he's tried to do but it seems the country is expressing itself clearly that it wants to go in a different direction. >> stay with us. 254 electoral votes for donald trump. 209 for former secretary of state, former first lady, secretary hillary clinton.
209 electoral votes for her. donald trump needs 16 electoral votes. michigan, too close to call. pennsylvania, tooer close to call. minnesota, nevada, and arizona all still too close to call. and a state just went to hillary clinton. hillary clinton's electoral vote count just went up. we will find out exactly who that is in just a moment. hillary clinton has just picked
♪ rejoin shepard smith and fox news team in just four minutes. we have breaking news on this night and breaking news its news. fox news channel called nevada for hillary clinton. quick check in pennsylvania senate race right now it's tied up, my friends. 48% tied up right there with the whole lot of precincts reporting. we'll take look at the keystone state how it's figuring into the presidential election. thank you so much for sticking with us it's now in the early morning hours. for fox 29's you decide 2016 coverage i'm lucy noland. >> i'm iain page. of course the race everyone is talking about is the presidential race. look at this. lot closer than a lot of people thought. right now percentagewise donald trump needs 1 percent but he's pick up some states that some people the experts thought perhaps he wouldn't pick up. >> wisconsin would be one of those. >> take look here. this is where pennsylvania stands in the presidential race.
it is a dead heat. you cannot get any closer than what's going on right now. >> bruce gordon joins us in the studio spinning all the numbers as they come in. bruce. >> well the numbers there the percentage if's you round everything off are tied. donald trump leads right now with the vast vast majority of vote counseled by two thus san votes statewide. this blows a hole in the theory democrats have been working on for a number of presidential cycles. you can win the big populated areas like southeastern pennsylvania, philly, delaware county, montgomery county, chester and bucks county, do well in allegheny county out in pittsburgh and lose the entire rest of the state all of this red here none of the it matters you can win as democrat with a dozen or so counties out of pennsylvania sketch counties. not so fast. last time around in 2012 the democrats came out of philadelphia with about 465,000 vote margin. this time around, in the city of philadelphia, we're going to see a margin of about 446,000 for
the democrat hillary clinton so more or less the same kind of margin let's look at the four counties surroundin surrounding philadelphia four years ago. the democrat barack obama came out of those counties with a margin over mitt romney about 120,000. look at the margin here. the margin here 393 to 549 in other words an even bigger margin this time over last time. so hillary clinton has actually out performed in this entire region. out performed barack obama. but clearly she has done poorly in the rest of the state. also, let's take quick look here at allegheny county. again, this number is wrong. it's movely in. vast majority of allegheny is up she's up about 100,000 margin four years ago the democrat barack obama over mitt romney by 90,000. bottom line the democrats this time in the presidential race in pennsylvania have done every bit as well as they could have expected in philly the collar
counties and in hal gain knee county. it doesn't appear if it will be enough to overcome the massive margin for republicans and in this case we're talking about the republican donald trump in the center part of the state and this upper i. er. right now the democrats are going to win just one, two, three, four, five, six -- 10 of help counties they've done that before. but this time it does not appear it will be enough as these votes have been counseled donald trump has caught up and now surpassed hillary clinton. if he wins pennsylvania, nothing else matters. he's the neck president. guys. >> here's the quick question for you. if hillary clinton has out performed president obama in these counties you're talking about d this mean quickly bruce that the other counties the get out the vote kind of happened they got out and they voted for trauma? >> i think the real simple answer is if these rural areas here we know where he was -- where he was putting all of his efforts. wily know those folks are angry. they are the folks he was targeting all along. they've clearly come out big
numbers and overcome the rural folks have beaten the cityow folks. it's that simple. har >> we'll get back to new yorke and shepard smith. won. >> reporter: it's 9:30 on the west coast, half past midnight on the east coast and fox news projects hillary clinton wins the state of nevada. harry reed brout out his big machine in and around clark county in the wayning days of the campaign. harry reed had lines and lines of people. the polling places were supposed to close at a certain time. the long was so long that they voted for hours on end after. donald trump complained about it to a judge said these votes should not be allowed. the judge said we hold them anyway. but the widespread blee is they were already in line and if you're already in line your
votes count, be it as it may, they would not have made the difference. nevada goes to secretary clinton. that gives her six more electoral votes so the count is donald trump 254. hillary clinton, 215. here are the rest of the states we're still watching. these are all that remain. nevada is off the board for secretary clinton. next is michigan. michigan and its 16 electoral votes still too close to call. at the moment donald trump leads by less than 1 percentage point. donald trump with a hair's edge. pennsylvania still too close to call. donald trump with the slightest of leads, something around 3,000 votes out of more than 5 million cast. 48.2% for hillary clinton. 92% of all precincts o close to.
arizona with its 11, donald trump is leading by 3 1/2 points. only 2/3 of all the precincts are reported. arizona too close to call. new hampshire where both candidates spent a lot of time in the wayning days, look at that. new hampshire is separated by 15 votes. half a million votes are in in the state of new hampshire. 1-5 votes. hillary clinton has 2,890 and donald trump -- 15 separate the two. and new hampshire is still to k rr close to call. minnesota, hillary clinton with a lead there of just about 4 1/2 points. it amounts to something about close to 100,000 votes as you
can see on your screen there. but by far minnesota is still too close to call. donald trump spent time in minnesota. they said why are they in minnesota? now we know. and the state of maine which leans democratic and has leaned democratic throughout the contest, 75% of all precincts are reporting that 3/4s of all hillary clint. is leading donald trump. is this over? it is not over. if michigan goes to hillary clinton and pennsylvania goes to hillary clinton. arizona leans right, give that to donald trump. new hampshire, let's give that to donald trump and give donald trump new hampshire and we're down to maine. maine and its 4 electoral votes and they split there, this thing could go until dawn. here's a look at the state we
called so far. all of the states on the big map you can see in the upper left of your screen, all of the red are donald trump. all of the blue are hillary clinton. hillary clinton with 215, donald trump with 254 and the race is too close to call. the latest electoral, the numbers are up for you. i want to bring in our panel. executive -- or editor of the wall street journal. and from real and clear politics.com. associate press white house reporter. a few minutes ago it was like this is donald trump. it looks that way. the path is easier for donald trump, but if you give her pennsylvania, and it's 20 electoral votes, she's up to 235. give her michigan, that's 245, that's 251. give her -- the math is not
settled. >> well, it's still harder for her. >> but it's not over. the trend is to him. >> that people don't like her and that energized a real hunger for change in this country and that all of behavior which people have said is disqualifying is not to the people who want him to come in and change washington. and really what is too bad we would be better for the country if one of them won in a land slide. if trump did tonight and ran away with it or if she did because as i said she still looks -- even if she wins the popular vote and it's the divided math. >> she can have 309 electoral votes if she tweak sweeps what'. >> if president trump,
controlling votes. republicans also controlling both houses of congress. he's not in accord with traditional republicans in the senate and the house on the issues that he says he's going to act on right away. transpacific partnership is going iowa rigaway right away. which has taken a couple of years to negotiate. republicans want to take that region away from china which will dominate trade relations. affordable care act, maybe they agree on that. right taxes, maybe they agree on that. but private -- congress has backed away from that. currency has gone up, gone down. not sure if they want to tangle with china over this particular issue when there are a lot of
other issues they need china's support on. >> the numbers are solid in the house of representatives. republicans believed they would lose at a minimum double digits. still retain control. they have lost but a handful of seats. they will not lose double digit seats. republicans firmly in control of the house of representatives. >> that make as job if for paul ryan, if he wants to stay on as speaker, and i have don't know if he does. it makes it easier for him and become more conservative and it would have been harder for him to pass obviously anything with president clinton but even maybe sometimes with a president trump. so, it makes the path just a little bit smoother for him to try and retain enough support. >> 30 seconds. >> the remarkable thing is how it will changing the dynamics so
they will be hoping that senate republicans will be the check on the trump presidency and trying to reign him in from his more moi boisterous instincts. >> we should go to donald trump headquarters and the man that's been covering politics since fluf was a kitten and she's a full grown cat, cameron will see him at the new york hilton in just a moment on fox broadcast coverage in the race for the white house 2016. one that's shaping up to be one of the most historic if thought the most in all our lifetimes. your insurance company won't replace the full value of your totaled new car. the guy says you picked the wrong insurance plan. no, i picked the wrong insurance company. with liberty mutual new car replacement™, you won't have to worry about replacing your car because you'll get the full value back including depreciation. and if you have more than one liberty mutual policy,
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15 minutes before 1:00 in new york city. the city of donald trump and hillary clinton and we do not know who the next president will be. here from the fox business network is live at trump campaign headquarters just a couple of blocks north of here. how is it going here, blake? >> they've been waiting for quite a while. the mood escalated. it's not a big scene here. kind of like a primary night event but we know, crowd wise, but we obviously know stakes are much higher. they're still waiting as donald trump sits on 254. no one has gone anywhere here, whereas we're seeing reports
otherwise at the clinton campaign headquarters. so it's a wait and see at this point and almost 12:30/1:00. i don't know. >> from high level representatives of either campaign on the national stage. have you seen anything there? >> no, not from the trump campaign but the rnc folks are here and in talking to them, at least coming into this night, they have a high senior aide told me they were watching four states. fll f florida, north carolina, michigan. we await here on michigan. and i'll tell you i was talking a little while ago to a senator, who is from alabama, one of the earliest backers of donald trump and he said they feel when this
is said and done that donald trump will out pace mitt romney when it comes to african americans and union voters. if that doesn't sound like the makeup of michigan, then i don't know what does and that's potentially what could tip the scales for donald trump. >> he's certainly out paced mitt romney in all the rural counties of florida where mitt romney ran the tables. donald trump has out performed him and that's why he won flal fll. we're still waiting for michigan and pennsylvania. we have to hear from the winner and the loser, all of them. the night is young. have a cup of coffee and stay up with us. your grandchildren will ask you about this. changes to make things right. first, all customers who have been impacted
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and here on manhattan was west side. sounds quiet. >> reporter: i can tell you there are campaign staff here. there have been people screaming out for the last several hours. there's a sense of doom and gloom. they're listening to the news right now but there have been points where there has been shouting at the television as results came in but for the most part it's been very quiet. we have not heard from any campaign surrogates for several hours right now. they have completely gone to ground and everyone here is going to watch and wait mode. >> you know what they're saying to players behind the scenes. i've got democratic operatives who have talked to the hillary clinton people and nothing is ever come easy for hillary clinton. it has never been easy. she's never had a clear sail and her people are hanging on right now.
when you look with hands and fists in this picture. there is a path for hillary clinton, without any question. if she wins michigan, that's 16. if she wins pennsylvania, that's a total of 36. that gets her to 141. add 141 and minnesota, that's 151. and arizona and that's 172. and hillary clinton is the president of the united states. it is not over for anybody or we would have said it's over. hillary clinton can still be the president. it's not the way, jennifer, we thought it might go down, but it's certainly still a possibility. >> reporter: and don't forget the "r" word. we could have a recount in some states if they're very close. look at new hampshire. it's very close tonight. one of the things that is notable, arizona has not gone democratic since 1988, but one of the last stops we made on the campaign trail, hillary clinton
got one of the largest crowds we have seen throughout this campaign, about 15,000 people in arizona. the latino vote in arizona still very crucial. she won nevada with the latino votes. we haven't been talking about that in the last few hours because florida was called and there was an expectation earlier in the evening that the latino vote would carry her across in florida but this is not over yet. and if we've seen strange things during this election and i would say that we still have to wait and see. >> we do indeed. and we'll be back at the hillary clinton headquarters. martha, the host of america's news room on fox news channel with us tonight, watching exit polling. how did they miss it? >> when you look at the polls that we all go through every morning, there's really only two
organizations that look like they may come out looking good. the business daily and the l.a. times, both of which were thrown out by most prognosticators. but you go through the groups and it's quite stunning to see how it stacks up. you compare donald trump to mitt romney and he's done better with hispanics, black voters and in many cases better with women and i think back to the interviews we've all done talking to the trump family, which has been his most powerful and involved surrogates and all they kept talking about is wherever they were on the trail, to rallies, they had tremendous support from women, hispanics, black voters. those voters makeup a much smaller percentage of the republican electorate. but he's moved the needle from where mitt romney was and that is making the difference for him tonight. it is a stunning, stunning turn
around and i in many ways they shouldn't be surprised because this has been stunning us at every turn. >> rural america has come out in numbers we haven't seen before. >> that's true. and earlier in the evening if looked like they were only moving by a small amount but white workers, white blue collar workers who donald trump has had a connection with throughout the course of this entire campaign are voting for him. unions are voting for donald trump. that is something that we haven't seen in our lifetime. you saw some of it with the cross over in the regan 1980 campaign and in many ways this is shaping up to look like something comparable in some ways, somebody that many people thought was an out liar, a hollywood movie star and we had more political experience than donald trump has and there's
similarities in terms of the restructuring of the electorate. >> watching it as it comes in. if donald trump wins this, it will be the biggest upset in modern american political history. four big states on which we still wait. michigan and its 16 electoral votes. it's too close to call. 78% of all michigan votes are in and donald trump leads by just about a point 1/2. in the state of pennsylvania, where the big democratic machine came out in philadelphia and expected to run away with pennsylvania for hillary clinton. 48.5% for donald trump. 47.9% for hillary clinton. it's less than a point separating tell the. obviously 95% all of precincts reporting. pennsylvania too close to call. minnesota 10 electoral votes.
♪ rejoin shepard smith and fox news team in just four minutes. thanks for sticking with fox 29 you decide 2016 coverage. the race everyone is talking about. >> here's where pennsylvania stands in the presidential race right now. it is so incredibly close but you can see that donald trump is in fact when you look at actual votes ahead of hillary clinton. >> here's where the race between the republican incumbent pat toomey and democrat ting katie mcginty 97% of precincts reporting pat toomey up by 50,000 votes. incredibly close race but it look like toomey has the edge right now about 50,000 votes. that margin keeps growing. actually this morning. pennsylvania senate race covered for you this morning. shawnette wilson live at toomey headquarters.
we begin with jeff cole at mcginty headquarters at the sheraton in center city. you're awfully lonely man there, jeff. >> you know what i do have some friends here and it's all reporters and photographers, and principal reporters we wait any longer here to get the result here and they'll be absolutely more press people than democra democrats. this room was very crowded earlier in the evening. but it has grown very very sparse now. folks have become very glum and they're sitting on the floor and watching the results come so where is katie mcginty or where is -- where are any of the others prominent democrats we had seen around here? well they have been missing for quite sometime now. there's obviously concern here that this has slipped away mcginty seemed to have early lead dark have an early lead but as trump has surged as hillary clinton has pulled back the fallen back real concern here that katie mcginty is going to lose this race as we head here this is tremendously expensive
race at about $155 million. they played this thing out on tv. the democrats have gotten huge numbers out of philadelphia. but it look like the republicans and trump have done very well in other parts of the state. we are waiting to hear from katie mcginty. when we get her we'll try to bring her to you. jeff cole live at the sheraton here in center city. >> thanks much jeff. let's get to shawnette wilson live at toomey election headquarters she's got much more friends than jeff does. >> reporter: well, toomey's camp also waiting to hear a word from katie mcginty just a moment ago, huge explosion of energy in this room here that had been quiet for most of the night barry davis got up on the announced pat toomey would be coming out the crowd rush the stage they were chanting and cheering bring out pat and and that they stopped short a little bit saying that katie mcginty had not conceded. somebody yelled from the crowd, come on katie, so they put the brakes on it but we're being
told right now that pat too many me is deciding right now what he's going to do, what he's going to say and how they'll work that out. we're expecting at any moment that he's going to come out, get behind that podium you see behind me and give a victory speech the way it sounds like they're saying it will happen here. so the first site of him you'll see it first here. back to you. >> all right, shawnette. we'll talk to you soon. meantime bruce gore season is in our studio analyzing all these numbers. what do you got, bruce? >> here's what i can tell you right now with every update toomey gets better mcginty gets worse. 70,000 votes between the two with toomey spreading that lead with every new update. we've told before you democrats feel like they can win the state of pennsylvania with just a dozen or so cun tease. they can do it with seven county won. i can tell you almost all of the votes are counted in philadelphia and allegheny counties. most of the ma vast majority of those votes are counted.
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