year it's michigan. so, we know what the answer was in 2012. this is, itçó looks -- it looks like we're heading down the same path in 2016. i think your point that you raise to reince priebus was the right question. it makes perfect sense that michigan and pennsylvania would be donald trump'sçó targets. if you win with white working class voters only that's where you go. that's where you invest early by finding the voters, registering them, getting them out. not going in with 48 hours to go. >> dickerson: ma'ajamelle,Ñi rod reagan did get the bigger part of the white sroes. mitt romney didn't win. how do you think this race itself, mitt romney was different then donald trump. donald trump has a better chance turning out those voters. where does this theory play out? is he pulling the skeptics wrong. >> i don't think he is. he's turning out more working class white voters then before. it explains i don't think he's far behind. a large proportion of the electorate and they're doing extraordinarily well. it lifts the ceiling considerably. wha

they believe they will win pennsylvania and michigan?r closely. enthusiasm they see in the trump movement. >> dickerson: okay. thank you, major and nancy, for being with us. we go to virginia senator and hillary clinton's?? running mate tim kaine in milwaukee. the trump campaign is feeling they may win with a comfortable margin, how do you see things??6 we take nothing for tkprapb it. we are working hard. we see tremendous?irg registration requests for absentee ballots and early vote across the country. what we know about the early vote in the?i states that have , wisconsin for example. they set a record in early vote. we're excited about what we see. >> dickerson: you mentioned you thought hillary clinton was the underdog there. how? the name, the money, she has been in politics before, her opponent hasn't. what makes her the underdog. >> i told hillary, i encouraged we talked about. that she hadn't decided yet. i said no matter what the poles say and what you see in a editorial consider yourself an underdog. if it was easy for a woman to be pres

michigan, michigan, michigan. itting here talking about michigan. >> ohio, i agree, i was just going to say, ohio is one where the polls seem to have gotten it right, the polls consistently showed a tight race with trump up a little bit. potentially north carolina, now we're looking at the rust belt, virginia close for comfort for clinton. >> the clinton campaign bragged about these firewalls. okay. let's see if you have one. we're about to find out. >> does pennsylvania remain a firewall? >> pennsylvania is the one state so far performing as they expected, not underperforming. all eyes are on michigan. although both new hampshire and nevada, those go ways that you're not sure, and then we into the funky 269-269 business, i'm not saying that yet. there's still macomb county and wayne county. she's winning in oakland by about ten points. it's killing it in macomb by about 20, the old democrat home. wayne is detroit. detroit has been a shrinking city, one of the few cities in last decade. >> she's going to lead exce

so give her michigan. >> give him michigan. >> that's what i mean. give him michigan. >> this is where the groundwork that the hillary clinton campaign has done kicks in. >> they're doing their operation. i get it. >> that matters. >> it does, unless you have a wave of enthusiasm that overwhelms organizations. so if he wins michigan and he wins ohio and florida -- >> and north carolina, you win. >> well, you got to give him arizona. >> there you go. >> now, that's not implausible. >> the biggest problem for pollsters is predicting the composition of the electorate. there are two different ways it could go. one way is that the electorate is more white working class, more nonurban whites. what trump is doing is, in fact, bringing out this army of voters. the other thing, chris, it's equally possible that the electorate will be more diverse. the electorate has been two points more nonwhite every four years pretty much for the last 20 years since 1992. most of the late polls are having it even or up one. the good news is we won't have to speculate too mu

i mean, and michigan, too. and so he's-- he's won a lot of the states that-- the flags have been tipping in his direction. so if that continues -- >> and there's arizona as well. >> arizona, which i don't think-- i think given the way the night is going, arizona will end up in his column. >> arizona and wisconsin could be 21. the evening saying if donald trump wins, he's basically got to run the table of all those battleground states. now, hillary clinton has to run the table if she's going to win. >> with less room. >> she's 61 votes away. it's just-- everything this year is upside down. >> and, again, we've got-- while we're here waiting for the votes to come in, i mean this-- donald trump made an enormous gamble on basically assuming all the smart people in politics were total gamble going down on his own, and this is an enormous thing that he has done. he bested 16 republicans in his primary. and he's run the table. running the table is not an easy thing to do. and that's waihee has debate so far. >> pelley

they beat michigan, where the scene. a record crowd at ohio stadium. hundred and 10,000 michigan's. saves the day 3 -- 1 the picked off by the week. 7 for the team. it is 2 -- 7 wolverines. urban calls for a punt on fourth down. they do not get it. touchdown, 17 -- after wolverines turnover late in the 3rd, 17 -- 14 buckeyes. all the way with six seconds left. he already missed two field goals but he hits 23 going over time. buckeyes first. jt barrett on the ground. 17 ohio state. when a connection with garbo. we go to double overtime. wolverine has the ball first. buckeyes go forward. he runs it and get that. barely, review, holds it up. next play, curtis samuel, game over. 15 yard touchdown. guys when. 30 -- 27 in double overtime. defenses forced three turnovers. spot defenses doing their job, we have to do ours. not play buckeye football. we had to go out that second half and make some plays. >> the biggest thing, i tried to instill in the defenses keeper had a. control we can control. >> early from glenville, had a career of 11 tackles. that save the season. an interception late

michigan and pennsylvania. lou: let me just say this to all of our college-educated white people or whoever they are. you are demonstrating a certain lack of education. you may have gotten a degree but if this is where you come down with that college degree, you are not paying attention or you are not processing or incapable or just horribly tortured values. >> i also think it's important when you look at how many people think the system is broken, the washington d.c. -- lou: where did you ever get that idea of? >> people think how can you vote for hillary clinton if that's what you believe? she's not going to go down there and fix fix it. his works are advantage and that's one thing i hear from voters over and over again. whether or not they like donald trump. lou: would he think of a president that stands in front of a camera set to illegal immigrants, please vote and we will prosecute you. this is absolutely illegal what he is doing. it's immoral and it's unethical and frankly i didn't see a major mainstream

if she wins michigan, doesn't get 270, michigan and pennsylvania, 268. needs to win new hampshire, michigan, pennsylvania, and wisconsin. >> and is behind in all but hampshire. our election coverage will continue. dot kot h donald trump has 244 electoral votes. 215 for hillary clinton. donald trump is closing in on my dream is to help kids living on the streets with education. charles what's up man? -whoa! how can we help? -ah man! wait, is that a basketball player? yes! -wow! my heart's about to jump out my chest man. charles you ought to be proud man. i'm just extremely grateful they were here giving them some encouragement- that's something that these kids are going to remember for a lifetime. did you see his big old feet? look. >>> and we're back now, 2:00 a.m. on the east coast. 11:00 p.m. on the best coast. and we're still here, because donald trump is closing in on the 270 electoral votes he needs. 244 to hillary clinton's 215. he'sls up in the midwest. michigan, leading in the state of michigan. he's leading right now in the state of wisconsin. y

jobs leaving michigan will be coming to a very rapid end. we are going to make michigan the economic envy of the entire world once again. it used to be the economic engine. the political class in washington is betraying you. they have operated your jobs come your communities and they have shipped your wealth all over the world to mexico and all over. they put new skyscrapers up and aging where your factories in michigan were crumbling. these were our politicians. i will and i will and the theft of american prosperity, believe me. i will fight for every last michigan job. he will have plenty of jobs, get ready. when we win it's going to be america first. so you have to make sure you get in your absentee ballots and get out to the polls november 8. has anybody sent in the ballot? anybody? november 8. we will never chance to do this again. this is a great movement. the whole world is talking about it. i don't care who does that runs you are never going to have this chance we have to get out and vote. vote with all of your heart in all of your s

michigan is a toss up. all those states. >> and yet there are several, norah, as you see here on our computers, several that are edge republican or likely republican as we head deeper into this night. we will have the very latest on this election coming right back for you, some of you are going to your local returns, the rest of you we'll see you right here for more election night on cbs. now we are backer for campaign 2016 election night coverage here on cbs. norah o'donnell the battleground states still hanging out their shoes left to drop principally florida, the biggest of them all and still unable to estimate the winner there. >> that's right. it is going to be a late night. the republicans are having a very good night keeping control of both houses of congress. we have not yet called the state of florida but we do have it likely republican. donald trump has also won the state of ohio and north carolina. john, where does that put him? >> , it puts him in very good shape and what puts him in better shap

it takes is michigan, michigan does it, if he doesn't do michigan, he could do new hampshire and nevada. >> and he has iowa. >> and in michigan and in new hampshire, remember, hillary clinton was dealt a surprise by bernie sanders who had -- many people said had a similar message, talking to white working class blue collar america about the inequality that so many people are feeling in this country. there are some parallels with donald trump's message and bernie sanders. i know that frustrated sanders when he joined forces with hillary clinton, saying, don't vote for him, vote for hillary. a lot of people on the ground feel like there's something that resonates about the arg both of them made. we remember when hillary was surprised. >> our friends at fivethirtyeight had it at a 99% she would win michigan in the primary. >> let's go to nate silver right now. a pretty dramatic change in your forecast right now. >> well, it's not about our forecast, it's about the fact we haven't had any swing states called yet. and those are states that clinton was supposed to win, was supposed to win mic

getting in michigan -- this is michigan. with 82% of precincted reporting. donald trump with a lead of less leans democratic did going into this election. widely believed that hillary clinton had michigan. michigan right this minute is too close to call. in the state of pennsylvania -- with its 20 electoral votes up for grabs. pennsylvania by itself, by itself, would give the presidency to donald trump. and donald trump does lead but only by one percentage point with 97% of all precincts call. moving on, arizona. arizona with 11 electoral votes, donald trump with a lead in arizona. you can see, only 2/3 of precincts. a lead of just three plus points. 4 percentage points. a long way in arizona. correspondent in phoenix says couple hundred thousand ballots don't know if they will get those counted overnight. if that is the case they have to wait until tomorrow, arizona could be a state that we don't know anything about until midday on the east coast tomorrow. a possibility. even a probability. there you see, another tick tup in the arizona numbers. a small one

. >> we are going to win michigan. we're going to win minnesota. >> just when you thought you'd seen it on the campaign trail, there is a moment donald trump complimenting the hair on the plastic mask. this is it. our entire team of correspondents has it covered coast to coast. full court press from msnbc and nbc news now. let's start with reporters in two battleground states where donald trump and hillary clinton are today. my fellow road warrior kasie hunt in pittsburgh. jacob rascon. i think ron is on stage now. fill us in. anything new or different today? >> he's wrapping up here in ann arbor. a big crowd of 5,000 or more people. a lot of students and millennials. that's a reason he's here to get excited about hillary clinton. trying to reassemble his coalition in north carolina, florida and here in michigan. again this is a state that doesn't vote early. there is absentee voting but not early voting as we have seen. they vote on tuesday for the most part. of course donald trump is making a big play here. he and mi

and by the way, we are going after this to michigan, because michigan is in play. and i may get there a little bit they're waiting. we have thousands and thousands of people. the polls just came out. we're leading in michigan. [cheering] >> we're leading in new hampshire. we're leading in ohio. we're leading in iowa. leading in north carolina. [cheering] we're doing really, really well in pennsylvania. do believe we are leading in florida. so it's gonna be amazing. it's going to be amazing! want to thank do believe we ar. and folks, go ahead. mike, i'll see you in a little while. i think mike is going to come with me to michigan, right? you. thank you. thank you. thank you, everybody. thank you very much. well, you know, we said we want to finish off in new hampshire, the incredible relationship i have. but who would have expected right? who would you expected this? this is something else. so... couple of things. two people i have a lot of respect there, really like as people, credible people, and because they're so important to thought i would give you this inform

then they're going to michigan. tomorrow again they're going to go to michigan. they will make it the last stop of the whole campaign. mike pence has been to michigan three type times in the last f days. this is them banking on being able to upset a democratic stake somewhere. the campaign will say they believe the biggest surprise they could have would be in michigan. >> jacob, kasie, we have a killer 48 hours ahead. we are excited. i want to go to ben ginsburg. also rick wade, a former senior campaign adviser to president obama. ben, let me start with you. priebus, a guy you know well, sounding really confident this morning. listen. >> we're seeing a dead heat. in fact, we're seeing that all over the country, seeing it in pennsylvania, in colorado. there's a lot of surprises here in the end. >> you know the numbers. you have seen the polling. should he be feeling that confident? dead heat in pa? >> sure. at this point what you are trying is encourage your supporters. >> it's talk. >> nonetheless, the rnc and priebus have a tremendous amount invested in this. th

michigan rolls michigan rolls for their third win of at least 50 points this season. penn state taking on iowa. barkley 57 yards for the touchdown. penn state wins 41-14. fifth straight win tied for their longest win streak in the last five seasons. number five washington taking on cal currently in progress. daniels for the 39 yard line touchdown. washington is trying to get a road win against cal berkeley. berkeley. 10:49 to play in the second and you can see this game right now on espn. that's it for the ford wrap-up. i'm cassidy hubbarth. (door slam) (laughter) ? oh my god get out! smile for the camera! ? woo! we all live for football. and we're headed to the playoff. life is a sport. the ford escape. >>> a man is detained after secret service agents are seen rushing donald trump off stage in reno, nevada. the man at the rally had posed a threat and was taken away. trump, though, returned later unharmed. that that rally. >>> good evening, everyone. thank for staying up late. >>> us that filled the fair ground to hear the speech. >> he outlined what he called the co

but then michigan. i think most people thought that was in the democratic column, leaning that way, even though it was a battleground. so we are seeing things now, and it seems to be a trend here, where we see him leading in some places -- or at least toss-ups, where we didn't think-- >> how do you explain, that bob? >> well, i don't know. more people seem to have voted for him than voted for her. >> remembering the exit vote we tight. that was one thung we said. but is what we're seeing now different than what we expected from the can exit polling that we had? >> well, it's interesting. we just have some new numbers out of virginia, anthony mason can share those with us, that i think will shed some light on what is going on in the dominion state. anthony. >> reporter: yeah, norah,y we want to look for three potential trouble spots for democrats in virginia. first is among white women with college degrees. this was a group hillary clinton wanted to perform very well with her among highly educated white

that is why i am going to win michigan. i believe we are going to win michigan. [cheering and applause] mr. trump: michigan -- they have ripped, they have ripped cars out of their factories, out of their plants -- same thing, ohio. so many companies have gone to mexico and other countries, and we are going to win these states by tremendous amounts because people are tired of being ripped off. that is what is happening. they are being ripped off. they are being led by politicians who -- frankly -- i went to an ivy league school. i was a good student and all that stuff, but some words, you can't duplicate them. we are tired of being led by stupid people. they are stupid. they are stupid. [cheering and applause] mr. trump: we will renegotiate nafta, stand up to china, and stop the job killing transpacific partnership, which will be a disaster. hillary clinton said it was the gold standard, and she is right. remember, she lied in the debate . she said i never said -- i said, you did say it. she lied. turns out she was right though. it was the gold standard for other

then the state of michigan which donald trump made a late play for, state of michigan 16 electoral votes and at this hour michigan is a toss up. >> we started with 13 battle ground states this evening that could go either way. now there are only six and the remaining three include arizona which we still estimate as a toss up but donald trump does have a numerical lead there right now. there is nevada which we have estimated leans democratic. that could change but hillary clinton does have a lead there now. and then finally new hampshire still. donald trump slightly ahead in the vote count there with 68% of the vote having been counted at this point. bob schieffer. >> well, i mean this could come down to new hampshire with its four electoral votes. but there are many ways now, not many but a number of ways now that donald trump could get to 270. and you know, you look at wisconsin ten votes, pennsylvania, 20 votes, michigan 16 votes. that would do it for him. >> john, is it possible at this point because it has never been true until now that donald trump has more paths to the whitehouse t

if she wins in michigan -- most people still feel she has an advantage in michigan. it is because of the diversity of michigan. huge problem for trump given all the things he has been saying. >> it goes to the fact that in many ways he has been a cultural populist than economic policy lift. if they would have picked up -- as far back as 2012, that race between romney and santorum, who was the one who started to pick up on this idea of populism, talked about his dad working am the coal mines. imagine if they had stayed on this economic populism, picked up on some of these sanders -- >> it's a winner. >> yeah. sanders cut fantastic ads in michigan where he was photographing some of those houses of those abandoned houses in detroit. but they didn't do it early enough. you wonder. they've got two days now if they settle down there. sarah palin will be down there, too. again economic populism. >> you can't separate the cultural and racist element out of his populism because that's part of a package. that's what folks like, to be totally, brutally honest about it. if he ha

michigan is a toss up. all those states. >> and yet there are several, norah, as you see here on our computers, several that are edge republican or likely republican as we head deeper into this night. we will have the very latest on this election coming right back for you, some of you are going to your local returns, the rest for more election night on cbs. now we are backer for campaign 2016 election night coverage here on cbs. norah o'donnell the battleground states still hanging out their shoes left to drop principally florida, the biggest of them all and still unable to estimate the winner there. >> ts the republicans are having a very good night keeping control of both houses of congress. we have not yet called the state of florida but we do have it likely republican. donald trump has also won the state of ohio and north carolina. john, where does that put him? >> , it puts him in very good shape and what puts him in better shape is the fact he's pressing hillary clinton so hard in the states of wiscon

direction, michigan, michigan, michigan. >> if trump wins michigan, i think that is it. josh: if you are sitting here and saying if trump wins california -- [laughter] >> let's not get crazy. josh: but, states like maybe oregon or washington, something like that we might look at differently if this trend continues. >> ourselves. positive news for the republican party. acta you. -- back to you. jennifer: you never know until people turn out to the polls. tom: all of these states in play. florida, north carolina, michigan, a lot still in play. jennifer: ohio just went trump. tom: we will be back with you. >>> and we are back, election 2016. 10:30 here in the east coast. you see it right there, donald trump, we called it just before the break. donald trump projected the win the state of ohio and its 18 electoral votes there, and david muir, you see a big gender gap in that state. >> this is really must-win for donald trump, and he's now pulled that off tonight. no republican wins the white house without ohio. the breakdown. 53% women voters, 47% men. but look when we break

michigan up 13-11 ... still in the 4th, michigan facing a 3rd and 9... watch true freshman manny rugamba come up with the interception ... the iowa offense looking to capitalize... c.j. beathard with the play-action, goes deep for jerminic smith... but the but iowa's defense forced a three and out ... hawkeyes got the ball back and set up a 33-yard field goal attempt for duncan to win it... and he does... iowa stuns no. 3 michigan with the 14-13 win... even coach ferentz couldn't hold back the emotions "i'm proud of him and i'm so happy for this team. a week ago this time, we weren't feeling real good. but the guys battled hard." trt: 12

that's how people feel in michigan. he gives the peopleñr hope. the other piece is hillary clinton has a heck of a bad narrative cooking up the last ten days. it's playing her campaign. >> dickerson: if michigan and the midwest was such a place that works well for donald trump why not spend more time in michigan and minnesota? why isn't there a moreÑi concerd effort then nevada and colorado, that are less likely? >> let me hit that point,çó qui. underground in the operation, get the votes out efforts and all of that. we have massive organizations in michigan and wisconsin twofpl of the best political parties. these are two -- they're very good ob rations. we have spent millions and millions of dollars in. you are also seeing it tightening in the senate races and we believe that pennsylvania and michigan, wisconsin could quickly move onto our board. >> dickerson: you mentioned donald trump is a different candidate appealing to different voters. the early vote in nevada and florida he's driving away the voters you talked about attracting after th

, michigan, michigan -- given its importance tonight. here we go up the side of the building. in the golden state, in california, the projected winner is hillary clinton. note the electoral votes, 55. in the state of washington, hillary clinton the projected winner. in the state of oregon in the pacific northwest, hillary clinton, the projected winner. in the state of hawaii, four electoral votes, hillary clinton, the projected winner. in idaho, interesting race, as we've been saying, donald trump, the predicted winner, four electoral votes. here is the bar graph to 270. here is the math. right now, hillary clinton, 209, to donald trump's 172. more on that as we continue. here are the states we continue to watch. too close to call, and these are some big ticket items. florida, pennsylvania, georgia, one of the first states to close here tonight. here we still are. michigan, michigan, michigan. north carolina, 15 electoral votes. minnesota with ten. iowa, still too close to call. nevada, still too close to call. ditto, new hampshire. and

i mean, look at the crowds we had in michigan. by the way, michigan is in play. you know, it hasn't been in play for republicans for 30-some years. michigan is in play because they're tired of watching their car factories be taken out. they're tired of losing their jobs to mexico. ford right now moved all of its small car production to mexico. they're building the biggest plants in the world in mexico. and michigan's going to vote for trump because i've been complaining about it for five years to michigan. tomorrow's going to be a very historic day. it really is. i think it's going to be a brexit plus, plus, plus. does that make sense? plus, plus, plus. it's going to be amazing. going to be amazing. i want the entire corrupt washington establishment to hear the words, we're all about to sing, this is a phrase, i told you, i didn't like it. i thought it was hokie but it's not hokie. it's called drain the swamp. we're going to go to washington. we're going to drain the swamp. can't believe it. i told this story, i hated that expression. i said, no way i'm going to

the touchdown. 10-8 michigan at the break. they would trade field goals in the second half -- before the duncan hits a 33- yard field goal -- and just like we saw eight years ago at kinnick -- iowa upsets a number three-ranked team that was 9 and oh coming in. as you can tell i can't really teammates, so just an incredible feeling. we needed this win. we needed this win. we needed this

in some states like michigan election day is election day. all vote on part of why they're there is there is no early vote in michigan. there is momentum tightening it could play out in michigan. he would win on election day. a lot of the other states they have been voting for weeks or many weeks or many days, right. that's the question of science. where money and infrastructure, get out of the vote operations and the ground game matters. part of the reason the clinton campaign is confident the because places like florida, north carolina, nevada those places have banked a huge number of votes and in many cases they believe and there is actual statistic information not anecdotal information, that it's true. they have banked the votes that no matter how well donald trump does on election day it won't help out on the gap. >> they're voting to day in big states. ohio, north carolina, florida. this is still, people are voting today. even as we take the polls we will see a big number out of amusing a lot of people advising donald trump say when she

michigan four points. the difference being we haven't seen a democrat lose michigan in the presidential since 1988. what gives? >> i don't think you'll see one this time, but what you are seeing is, look, michigan in particular the population is non-college educated whites. that's a pretty good place for donald trump to target. but we're seeing african-american turnout it looks like is lower than they hoped it would be. obviously, you don't have the first african-american president on the ballot this time. she has a lot of make up to do there. at the end of the campaign, the last couple of days, 270 win. you want to lock in what you know you have. it makes pretty good sense, but i think it is a little bit of spin to suggest that you're only going to michigan because we're approaching election day. the fact is if it was totally locked up you probably would be heading to ohio instead. my guess is they're trying to turn out every vote they can at the last minute. >> that rule essentially applies both for trum

pennsylvania, michigan, nm. states that president obama has carried the last two cycles and we think mr. trump can win the next week. >> north carolina? >> we feel good. look at republican absentee early voting, is way ahead of the pace four years ago. this is another state we think heading into the election day we can can deliver. >> in terms of the surrogates on the trail you talk about trump maybe going back to michigan himself. chris christie has been out on the trail a lot. two former aides for the governor were convicted on charges related to the bridgegate. he's scheduled to be there on donald trump's behalf. is he going to do that. >> governor christie will not be out on the trail for us this weekend. but we have plenty of other surrogates out there. and governor pence, i believe he has three or four states and mr. trump has four states tomorrow. five on sunday, four on monday. a much different close than secretary clinton heading into the final day squ. >> chris christie significant. he was the first to

and kristen talked about adding stops in places like michigan. walk you through the michigan vote. early vote later. a recent poll came out where hillary clinton is up four points. that could kind of concern you and one of the reasons why hillary clinton's going to campaign there again. president barack obama will campaign there. the one little bit of, if you're donald trump, one piece of caution here. you're 38%. >> good point. >> where donald trump, to be able to win the presidency. we've seen numbers in the high 30s, low 40s. to be able to win the battleground states, he's got to get up at least into that mid-40s, if not high 40s. >> mark, go back to the last screen. passed by something on early voting. get what you told me about this. >> so the early voting's fascinating. part is sometimes reading the tea leaves. go through the states that have really interested me. nevada. the people who have watched nevada's early vote. john ralston, basically the best political reporter in nevada. he thinks this is almost locked up for democrats given the high concentration of votes coming i

michigan, it's a close race in michigan right now. it's a key state. pennsylvania, only 5% of the vote is in. hillary clinton has an impressive lead of more than 106,000 votes over donald trump, 65% to 30%. 20 electoral votes are at stake in pennsylvania. donald trump really was hoping for pennsylvania, but only 5% of the vote is in. let's take a look at colorado right now. 7% of the vote is in. hillary clinton has a 42,000-plus vote lead over donald trump, but very early. only 7% of the vote is in. 9 electoral votes are at stake in colorado. let's take a look at the electoral college map, where it stands right now. as you can see, hillary clinton has 97 electoral votes, donald trump has 84 electoral votes. once again, you need 270 to be elected president of the united states. the red states, we've projected, going to donald trump. the blue states, we've projected going to hillary clinton. all those yellow states you see, too early to call, no projections there. let's go over to john king. i want to update our viewers on florida right now, because that

you mentioned it, michigan. they say they are seeing tightening in the polls there and we are seeing some scheduled changes. hillary clinton heading there tomorrow along with president obama. he will be there too and, george, former president clinton is there today. >> okay, cecilia vega, thanks very much. let's go to tom llamas now. he is in denver. trump campaign too. >> reporter: george, good morning. that is so true. a look at the map right now. kellyanne conway, trump's campaign manager, calls florida, iowa, ohio and north carolina their core four. they need those states. but they're also hitting six other states and there was a surprise yesterday, they canceled an event in wisconsin and now going to minnesota today. some people say this is a desperate move because a republican hasn't won that tate since 1972. that was richard nixon, donald trum g airport hangar there during a vikings game. when asked why he's doing it, donald trump said they saw a promising poll and that's why they're going there. now, don

we have to find something else to focus on, so they look at michigan. >> do you think michigan could flip? i do. >> what we could see in michigan is a result. even if hillary clinton wins the map, michigschigan could look different. take the upper peninsula, the rural part of the state, donald trump could run this. he might get higher support, it's also right here, mccomb county. this blue-collar county north of detroit. ancestrally used to call this the reagan democrat county in michigan. it flipped back to the democrats. obama won it four years ago. the indications is trump is headed for a win in mccomb county tonight. what could balance that out if you're hillary clinton is right next door is a more upscale suburb, oakland county. a little bigger. it could be a situation where clinton is counting on the upscale suburb and donald trump is counting on the blue-collar suburb. that could be the story. >> we're not going to let you play it safe two days in a row. what is your prediction? yesterday, you were like, maybe 300-ish. what's your number? >> i'm going to hedge again, but the o

eh, michigan, he has a shot. he's blanketing those locations and really what has been keeping up, as you can see, a grueling pace for him. she's also got stopped in pennsylvania, north carolina, and interestingly, michigan, where president obama will be, too. that's emerging as sort of the blue battleground dejure, the one to watch as we head into the final stretch. >> something else emerging. over 70 white and wonderful and how one might describe the cabinet possible selections for donald trump. >> so let's talk about those cabinet selections. this is reporting from my colleague katy tur and benjy sarlin talking to senior advisers about what a transition would look like for donald trump's team. who would be on sort of the next administration. how does secretary of state newt gingrich sound to you? that's one possibility. rudy giuliani for attorney general. mike flynn as possibly a defense secretary, that's something we have been hearing about since maybe august, just speculatively since he started going to those

michigan has 16 electoral votes. so that could do it. 6 plus 16 will do it. >> it certainly could do it. the fact that the clinton campaign is also there trying to have a presence in michigan at all suggests maybe this isn't just a trump campaign head fake. and they are bringing everyone. hillary, bill, michelle, barack obama, our first lady and president all going to michigan. >> where a candidate spends their time sends an interesting signal in what they are seeing. a state like nevada was one that originally was in the mix as a must win for trump. i looked at analysis that showed how each county will perform relative to 2012. there is a big blue stripe places like nevada will be more democratic than four years ago. that upper midwest, that rust belt area looks red. looks as though republicans do michiga michigan is a state where you have a republican governor. it is very likely that the clinton state. this isn't just trump campaign saying it is in play. >> all those heavy hitters are going to philadelphia. those s

michigan now stands at the cross roads of history. if we win michigan, we will win this historic election and then we truly will be able to do all of the things that we want to do. they won't be taking the jobs any longer. they won't be doing the things that they're doing to us. we will have great health care and strong borders. we will build up the military and have no choice. we have a depleted military and we will be ail to do the things that we want to do. when you step in the voting both today, there's one core question for you to consider. do you want america to be ruled by the corrupt political class or do you want america to be ruled by you the people? that's what it is. you the people? the way that it's supposed to be for a long time. we have lost track and for michigan we will bring back your automobile production and we will bring back your industry. wait until you see what you do for michigan. i have been talking about it for a long time. crooked hillary clinton has not talked about it folks. she does not know where to beg

michigan, looks like to me less than 70,000 votes in the state of the michigan. again, some discussion about absen see ballots around the detroit area. arizona, what has been a traditionally republican state but has the largest number of hispanics of all the battleground states, you see donald trump with a margin there. wisconsin, a state that hillary clinton did not visit since the primary, and donald trump is doing quite well in that state but also if you look at the the vote tally, it's close. and new hampshire. look at this. less than 4,000 votes in the state of new hampshire. it's just four electoral votes, but had al gore won new hampshire? 2000, h he would have been president of the united states. >> the gary johnson the spoiler for hillary clinton, the independent candidate? >> we'll have to look in places like north carolina and florida where he got the younger vote, the 18 to 29-year-olds, we'll have to look at the margins to see if they're big enough. we started out the night saying it was very difficult for donald trump to get his six different pathwa

you can understand michigan certainly. so explain what is up with minnesota. >> well, pretty of the same thing. donald trump is getting nothing but blue states. he started the morning out in colorado, a state that obama won in 2012 and where hillary clinton has an edge in the polls. they say even though he didn't do any polling there, they are hearing that it's an opportunity to compete and there haven't been a lot of polls in minnesota. this is a risky strategy, but one to signal that trump is trying in the last 48 hours to appeal to suburban swing voters, middle class voters, moderate, undecided. but he's doing this in the blue states and he will end up tonight in florida. that is a state that barack obama beat mitt romney in. trump needs to flip that red. if he does, the math would be very difficult. put this way, trump has to win all of romney states and find enough to come up with another 66 electoral college votes. virginia, florida, north carolina are his first targets. but he has to do womell our at least make hill

i want to talk about michigan and millennials. first, you have -- i mean, you have been in a lot of situations where you're in front of a lot of clouds. and a thing happens and there's that moment of fear. >> yes. >> is this going sideways? >> yes, that has thappened to m a number of times, yes. not a good feeling. but you know, i have been fortunate to have very good security, and here i am still talking to you. >> we always have this confidence which i think is largely an earned confidence, thank god, that we conduct our politics no matter how spirited in a nonviolent fashion, for the most part, particularly when you compare it to places where political violence is routine. but there's always a way about the way our politics have gotten so fraught that makes it feel ominous in a way it didn't feel before. maybe that's just me, but i think this year feels like that. >> we know the country we live in. we live in a country where there are 300 million guns in people's homes. the good news, according to the "washington post" a couple

michigan. hillary clinton, bill clinton, barack obama all campaigning there in the final stretch before the election. it's a state that was once thought to be safely in the democratic column this year. is hillary clinton at risk of losing this democratic firewall of states such as michigan? >> again, i'm not a pundit. what i do know is that i have been for hillary this whole time, all along. she's the smartest, hardest working, toughest person i know. i think she would be great as president. you know, jake, when a decision comes to the president, it's because only the president can make that decision. and the president has to draw on his and i believe soon her -- all her vast experience and knowledge. and i want her doing that and i don't trust donald trump because i don't think he has any really depth or breadth of knowledge about public policy anyway. >> there are a lot of democrats out there who are nervous, who are anxious. are you among them? >> oh, sure. i'm always nervous. i was nervous