iowa caucuses. i am about as biased as you can be on new hampshire. i say that as a journalist. the criticisms are real and they are completely legit. they are not diverse states. they are largely rural states in a time where america is becoming increasingly urban. it frames the conversation around issues that may not be as relevant to most americans. yes, we were expecting record high turnout in the democratic primary in february, officially the date hasn't been set, and that would be about a quarter of a million people, maybe 275. california has 40 million people. in terms of perspective, it has an outside influence. the criticisms are real. but when we have this conversation, what bothered me about it -- you will hear me say this a lot tonight -- as opposed to what? that is what we should be talking about. we can talk about the endless criticisms, but a couple dates matter. 1960 matters. -- 1916 matters. i'll be very quick. 1916 matters. out of the progressive era, we decided these private clubs

the iowa exactly once. we had a great victory there, but new hampshire is the state that decided. he never mentioned the iowa again the rest of the time up until the primary but by contrast in 2008, barack obama landed in new hampshire and he talked about iowa endlessly. we won iowa and now if we win new hampshire we have the nomination. suddenly, and i suppose hillary when she was asked that question how hard campaigning was contributed to it and suddenly obama lost the primary that he had a pretty big lead. you have to do well but don't you have to be careful when you get to new hampshire? >> there's an awful lot of people in iowa and new hampshire that have pretty interesting jobs because they were there early and helped to at least propel the campaigns. the key more than anything else is the current race to look at that expectation. i think she will be the nominee of the democratic party and i believe that. i'm not sure that it's the right thing for the democratic party because one of the things you loo

booker: hello, iowa! hello, iowa! [cheers and applause] sen. booker: hello, iowa. hello, iowa! it was 10 years ago this very month that i was having a conversation in a hospital room with my hero and someone who was like a father to me. it was the last conversation i would ever have with him because 10 years ago, he died. he was my hero, a man named frank hunch and. he was a legend in new jersey. he was one of the greatest tenant leaders that has ever led. he led the longest tent strike and heat -- rent strike and he won. 10 years ago, when he was dying in a hospital room, i was there in the conversation has shaped me. you see, in the 1990's, i met frank at the -- as a grad and i was helping him to take on -- i will never forget one meeting in a basement of the projects where people were together in that meeting, we were fighting to get that. no heat and other hot water. the meeting went on and on. i'll never forget that after it, i was walking out with him, and i made a snarky comment. i talked about how long the meeting was. he stopped and looked at me with his kind and gentl

we've seen candidates get very hot in iowa. win iowa and the world changes. everybody is there right now. going to be an interesting weekend. >>> coming up, the candidate who once said he was born to run is out, and another candidate shuts down offices in a violate early primary state. we dissect it all when "the 11th hour" continues. >>> and i urge everyone who was part of this campaign or supported me in my bid for the nomination to do everything they can to support whoever the nominee is. >> beto o'rourke is out of the 2020 presidential race. the former texas congressman has been struggling in the polls and with fund-raising in recent months. at this point he hadn't even qualified for the november 20th debate that's going to be here on msnbc. o'rourke's campaign said in a statement he will not run for senate in texas next year. meanwhile, politico is reporting that kamala harris' campaign has almost completely shuttered its new hampshire operation. quote, the campaign confirmed it is largely abandoning new hampshire, keeping only a skeleton crew and cancel

let's win big iowa. [cheers and applause] ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ hello iowa. hello iowa. it was ten years ago. that i was having a conversation in a hospital room with my hero was someone that was like a father to me. because ten years ago this month he died. he was my hero. and as a legend in newark new jersey one of the ever tenant leaders and he won. ten years ago dying in a hospital room and that has shaped me. and when people were together in that meeting we were other conditions that were unacceptable. and i made a snarky comment. and that this is not just about repairing the buildings it is about repairing unity. and to tear down that slumlord comes from the strength of that together. and to be mayor as i got older. he became blind. or to say frank it is corey. and then walking into the hospital room in the last hours when he said it would not be long and then told me that it couldn't speak. and then to kiss the four head and tell them how much you have mean to me. it wasn't about purpose. of how many you show up for when you are alive. [applause] i had to leave hi

i love iowa. i love it here. [ cheers and applause ] ♪ >> thank you. ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ >> please welcome senator elizabeth warren. ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ >> hello, iowa! [ cheers and applause ] >> okay. okay. okay. hello, iowa. i'm here to talk about something that people all across iowa and all across america know down deep in their bones. our democracy has been hijacked by the rich and the powerful. they make it work for themselves and they leave everyone else behind. we see it every time a corporate executive threatens to cut pay and move jobs overseas. we see it every time an insurance company won't give people, denies treatment, and denies access to the doctors that people trust. we see it when a criminal justice system tears apart black and brown families and the list goes on. people crushed by student loan debt. people crushed by student loan debt. we see it over and over. we see it. when a gun industry prevents any vote on sensible legislation that could save the lives of

. ♪ >> hello, iowa! hello, iowa! hello, iowa. hello, iowa. it was ten years ago this very month that i was having a conversation in a hospital room with my hero and someone who was like a father to me. it was the last conversation i would ever have with him because ten years ago this month, he died. he was my hero, a man named frank hutchins. he was a lenld in nuke, new jersey. he was one of the greatest tenant leaders that led. he led new york's longest tenant rent strike and he won. ten years ago when he was dying in that hospital room, i was the mayor of the city of newark and that conversation has shape aed me. you see, in the 1990s, i met frank as a recent yale law grad and i was helping him to take on slum awards and i'll never forget one meeting in a basement of the projects where people were together and that meeting we were fighting against a slum lord with no heat and hot water and other conditions that were unacceptable. the meeting went on and on and on and after it, i was walking out with him and i made a snarky comment back then

in 2016 mary rose was living in iowa falls, iowa. she is 90 years old and she watched donald trump get elected with horror. she was scared. she was upset, and she was worried about the future for her grandchildren. when i started the need to impeach campaign, mary rose immediately signed up. but she is 90 years old. so she can't go to door to door and she can't series of phone calls. so what did she do? she wrote over 1000 cards to other americans asking them to hold the most corrupt president in american history accountable. [applause] mary knew that mr. trump is a fraud and a failure and a criminal. so when people said to us, it's not politically smart to push impeachment, i am with mary. it's not a question of what's politically convenient. it's a question of what's right. [applause] truth in action, that's what america needs, what democrats need our truth in action. we are talking about turnout. we're talking about grassroots. i started one of the biggest grassroots organizations, nextgen america, in this country. with our partne

he was in the hawkeye state, iowa. all eyes are on iowa. iowa gets the first say. february 3rd, next year, the first votes that are going to cast and counted, the first meaningful contest, when the primary season begins, the iowa caucuses, monday, february 3rd, next year. it is four standalone contests that will define that first month. iowa, then eight days later the new hampshire primary. then the end of the next week, nevada. a week later, south carolina. then you're into march, you're into super tuesday. these are the winnowing contests. they're the ones who decide the real contenders, the folks who can't compete, who can't come close in those early states, usually fade out quickly. with all the candidates in iowa, what does it look like in these early states right now? here you go. here is where they are right now. here is iowa, brand-new poll, "new york times"/siena college. it's close but warren leading in the iowa poll today, 22%. bernie sanders, second place, 19%, just three points off warren. remember, about a month ago we were all talking about bernie sa

let me tell you a story about someone who did that in iowa. rose was living in iowa falls, iowa. she is 90 years old. she watched donald trump get elected with horror. she was scared. she was upset. she is worried about the future for her grandchildren. when i started the need to impeach campaign, mary rose immediately signed up. she is 90 years old. she cannot go door-to-door. she cannot make a series of phone calls. what did she do? she wrote over 1000 cards to other americans asking them to hold the most corrupt president in american history accountable. [applause] mary knew that mr. trump is a fraud and corrupt and a criminal. when people said it is not politically smart to push impeachment, i am with mary. it is not a question of what is politically convenient, it is a question of what is right. action, that is what america needs. what democrats need our truth and action. we are talking about grassroots. i started one of the biggest grassroots organizations, next general america, in this country. with our partners in the labor kedement we have knoc on tens of millions of doo

they have fought with iowa. the long rates there shall be -- law reads there shall be no the 70's before and after the contest. -- seven days before and after the contest. the 70's before and the secretary of state runs things in new hampshire with an iron fist. he is good about making sure he was prepared to hold the election new year's eve or valentine's day to make sure new hampshire goes first. injury is extremely homogenized. it does not look like america. it is largely white. it is frankly not as conservative on the republican side as it could be, and it is not as liberal on the democratic side. the largest group of voters in new hampshire are independent voters. that needs on election day, you can poll a ballot from either party. the basis of both parties have an opportunity to vote after being organized, as one woman said in a focus group, i never worked for a candidate i haven't danced with at least twice. it is a small state. 1.3 5 million people. you can drive the length and width of the state easily.

who won the iowa caucuses. pretty much any of the front-runners who are polling below 49% went on to lose the iowa caucuses. they didn't win. didn't win the nomination. so warren's 22%, that's good. ahead right now, but the fact based upon history that's far from a guarantee you're going to go on to win iowa let alone the nomination. so all this sort of points to me. we have a wide open race. it's very, very messy. any of those top four, sanders, warren, biden or buttigieg could win iowa. i wouldn't be surprised if someone not in the top four, someone like klobuchar, actually goes on to win. so a very wide open picture with three months to go. >> all right. the numbers jackpot of the day. >> you know, i try my best. >> well it delivered. >> i try. >> it works. thanks so much, harry. >> thank you. >>> speaking of polling, a pair of new national polls on impeachment have president trump pretty fired up. we'll tell you what he said at the white house this afternoon. and richard miles spent 15 years in prison for a

she's well organized there on the ground in iowa. she's only polling at 4%, but also she's pushing a more moderate message. >> she is. and i frame what keith and bakari said sort of a different way, which is really iowa is the only place pete buttigieg can move his presidential campaign right now. when you look at those first four big primary states, iowa is the place where he's got the best chance. under the theory bakari says, joe biden has more african-american support than any of the candidates including our, you know, leader in kamala and cory. but i think when we look at what pete buttigieg can do in iowa, that is the place he has to surge. if he doesn't succeed in iowa, i think he falters in the next two

to recover from that and she is all in in iowa, and a decent showing in iowa or not much to go on beyond that. >> we'll see how it goes there. >> and we're learning from the biden came they're entering a new phase at this point. this eight-day bus tour focusing on iowa. and polls show that biden is losing support there. but they're saying we feel like the more joe biden is one on one with voters the better that is for us. and basically joe biden needs facetime. >> one of the things he tends to put his foot in his mouth and he is good at retail politics. he has this ability to connect with people on a deep level when he's -- the first time he meets them and it is really stunning for people who watch this on the rope line and they see it over and over again and it is a good use of his time but alarming to be someone like joe biden and to have your fortunes shifting the way they have in iowa. >> and carrie, mayor pete buttigieg is out with a new ad going after candidates like warren and sanders talking about college for all. his more centrist approach is helping him a lot in iowa? >> it is.

thank you iowa. thank you iowa democratic party. thank you fellow democrats. [cheers and applause] the first time i came to the state was as a volunteer to knock on doors for presidential candidate a young man with a funny name. [cheers and applause] and we knew the stakes were high then. the stakes are colossal now. if countries cannot afford more for more years that cannot recognize it. we know what is at stake and we know he will do everything he can to hold onto power. but if you nominate me his playbook will not work this time around. [cheers and applause] >> i don't get a golf course with my name on it while pretending to care about the working class. i don't even golf. i drive a chevy that was built in ohio by the very same workers this president has led down. [applause] and i don't go to work in an office in washington dc. it is six hours that way on iad. here in the midwest. and we can see the outline of our ethanol plant which is why understand the measure of this president's betrayal of american farmers and i know how to talk about it. [cheers and a

since i had run in iowa and i knew what it took when barack obama won iowa i knew not only could he win the presidency i knew he could be a good president because the organizational left organizational heft it takes to too that is extraordinary. >> one more followup questioning on this iowa polling. governor granholm you've both talked about the importance of people on the ground and really having an organized campaign in the state specifically. i'm just curious why somebody like kamala harris who has now gone all in on iowa, remember several weeks ago she said i'm basically moving to iowa and yet she is not having the same kind of response as pete buttigieg. >> yeah, of course. it's all -- people get to test out the wheels on these candidates and they've obviously decided pete buttigieg for the moment as governor dean says is high on the list. you remember the last des moines register poll it was elizabeth warren on top. and the one before that it was joe biden. there's a lot of testing of the wheels. i agree that there may still be a late entrance. you saw and were just talking about

hello, iowa. i am here to talk about something that people across iowa and across america know down deep in their bones. our democracy has been hijacked. by the rich and powerful. they make it work for themselves, and they leave everyone else behind. we see it every time a corporate executive threatens to cut pay and move jobs overseas. we see it every time an insurance company won't give people, denies people, and denies access to the doctor that people trust. we see it when a criminal justice system tears apart black and brown families. and the list goes on. people crushed by student loan debt. people crushed by student loan debt. we see it over and over. we see it, when a gun industry prevents any vote on sensible legislation that could save the lives of our children. we see it when an oil industry continues to drill and close -- and calls the shots in washington. that is corruption plain and simple. and we need to be willing to call it out for what it is. [applause] if we are going to make the

here's iowa, brand gnaw ponew p today. warren leading in the iowa poll 22%. bernie sanders second place 19%. just three points off warren. remember, about a month ago we were all talking about bernie sanders. his health scare. oldest candidate in the field. was he going to start to fade out in the polling? this is proof right now at least this would strongly suggest he is very much in contention in iowa. if you're in contention in iowa you're in contention for the democratic nomination. pete buttigieg right behind sanders, 18%, doing much better in iowa than in the national polls, than in some of the other early state polls. he is in contention in iowa. so is fourth place here joe biden only five points behind warren but it is fourth place in the pecking order sitting there at 17%. think about that if you are joe biden. if you can't win iowa, if you were to finish third, fourth place, something like that in iowa and you're running on the idea of electability that you're a winner what does that do to that image? what happens then? you got four candidates tight

in iowa. of nowhere. those are the ones that show up and change everything. those are the ones that show up at verizon, we're building the most powerful 5g experience for america. that's why the nfl chose verizon. because they need the massive capacity of 5g with ultra wideband, so more screaming, streaming, posting fans... can experience 5g all at once. this is happening in 13 stadiums all across the country. now if verizon 5g can do this for the nfl... imagine what it can do for you. are critical skills for scientists at 3m. one of the products i helped develop was a softer, more secure diaper closure. as a mom, i knew it had to work. there were babies involved... and they weren't saying much. i envisioned what it's like for babies to have diapers around them. that's what we do at 3m, we listen to people, even those who don't have a voice. at the end of the day, we are people helping people. >>> the 2020 battle for iowa is heating up with a new democratic front-runner. mayor pete buttigieg h

you have iowa and hamsher -- cooks before you finish, are you going as me to sit here and criticize iowa and new hampshire? amy: no, i'm asking about the order. they are two of the whitest states in the country and then we moved to south carolina with a very significant population to people of color. it means the candidate spend so much of their time catering to those first two states. overall, do you think i should change? >> i am just a player in the game on this one. and i am delighted to be in south carolina. thank you. amy: thank you so much. thank you. senator warren's reaction to the question echoes the democratic party's stance on maintaining first-in-the-nation status for both the iowa caucus and the new hampshire primary. in 1972, iowa democrats moved the caucus up to january 24 to give themselves extra time to process the results from all the precincts. that early date made the iowa caucuses the nation's first indicator of each candidate's standing and attracted extraordinary media attention. the iowa democratic and republican parties agreed to hold their caucuses early, and o

the other question, if he does succeed in winning iowa, iowa, new hampshire for that matter, they are not demographically representative of the rest of the country. certainly, of the democratic party. you look at the democratic party. these are 2016 numbers. about a quarter of the electorate nationally in the democratic primaries next year will be african-american. virtually no black voters in new hampshire and iowa on the democratic side. much bigger numbers when you get later on including south carolina and by the way, i can tell you just in the last two minutes, brand new poll out of south carolina from quinnipiac. so new, we don't have the graphic but i can tell you biden leading in south carolina in this new poll with 33%. yep. and pete buttigieg continuing to struggle there in a state with a majority black electorate. 6% he's getting in this new poll. >> all right. so people who watch you, steve, think that you are the guru of all things that are happening and making sense of these polls. but you have a remarkable sense of perspective. and in your book you've written about this.

that's iowa. more than a dozen of the candidates giving speeches at a dinner that had historic implications. joining me now. hello to both of you. it is an empbt known for historic moments that super-charged campaigns. you were in the crowd. you seem to get the best -- you were there. who seemed to get the best reception? >> there was certainly a number of candidates who got warm rowdy receptions from the crowd here. as you can see julian castro is still on stage. we have a few more candidates who will be speaking here tonight. you had elizabeth warren. sanders and joe biden. pete buttigieg in the top tier right now. here in iowa. and take a listen to the message they had for the iowa democrats. >> tonight all of us no matter what candidate we are supporting are in agreement we must defeat the most dangerous president in the history of our country. the first thing we have to do is get rid of donald trump. get him out of office and once that happens, the road is clear. for significant change. >> i'

is this an instance of maybe what happens in iowa stays in iowa? >> that's one of the questions, would this be bigger than iowa. also another question, is he peaking too soon. this is what it looks like on the ground in iowa right now if you picked up the biggest newspaper in the state on sunday. you put the poll result there, 9 point lead now in the signature poll out in iowa, the des moines register poll. competitive democratic caucuses, this poll having a lead in this poll, the des moines register poll at this point. how have those candidates done in recent elections? we can show you the most recent election, democratic side, hillary clinton was the leader at this point ruffle in the des moines register poll and they won 48% in the pole, 49.9 on caucus day. 2008, barack obama with 28%, he led in the des moines register poll around this point, won the iowa caucuses. there's a good track record, but it is not a perfect track record. think back to 2003. remember this guy? richard gephart. he was the leader in iowa at this point, second place in iow

several iowa polls show mr. deng averaging 3%. iowa holds is caucasus in -- [applause] mr. yang: thank you all, so much for being here. i feel like this mic is unnecessary. hello all, i am running for president as a democrat. how many of you have seen me talk? so many of you. that is fantastic i suppose. so i am going to give a combination of remarks for the people who have heard me -- i would love to take advantage of the fact it is a relatively small group of us to take questions and get to know and have a sense for what brought you here. despite you are here in iowa, and here politics is a combination of sporting events and community gathering and education all in one. i have been joking that iowans are a special breed because this is one of the only places where democracy still functions the way it is intended. someone help him? that is iowa nice. lugging that thing -- they used to send teams. now it is like one person. it is true, a sign of the times. here in iowa, you all are very very lucky and privileged and , accustomed to being a place where democracy works as the

would i put all that energy into iowa if i'm harris? maybe not. maybe look at south carolina. she doesn't want to wait through the early states so i was critical. getting momentum even off of a decent finish in iowa would be crucial for someone polling the way she is right now. >> "the new york times" had an interesting piece this week talking diversity of the field and they point out that, you know, you look at who's leading the polls. they're all white. and then, you know, add in the fact when you look at the fund raising, the people who are leading are all white. as a result, you know, when we look at the debates next month and certainly in december where the requirements are that much higher we may see only one person of color on that debate stage even though this is the most diverse field in history. keith, how important is it to have voices and candidates that represent, you know, minorities in this contest? >> it's crucially important. i'm saying this for weeks now, in the past couple of days especially, particularly coming to the african-american community, african-ame

let's say what happened quickly in iowa. a lot of of concern americans were with hillary clinton until they saw barack obama can win. and they were like we can hope, we can dream, we can be with this guy and then it shifted around. so i don't know we're going to see that with cakamala harris o cory booker. >> i don't have a lot of time, please. >> if kamala harris does well in iowa, the game changes. people will tell you this, i believe hillary will agree with this because biden has relationships throughout the south, the only one who appears to be able to challenge that issue is harris. >> i agree with what bakari said and with what hillary said, i just think the important part here is that iowa is not representative of the rest of the country, not representative of the democratic party. it is a good state, and it's good opportunity for amy klobuchar, pete buttigieg. but you've got to be able to expand your base beyond that in order to win the primary in the democratic party. >> the three of us would rather get rid of iowa,

we win iowa. they are like, who just won iowa? and then democrats and progressive look up and go, wait a minute, is a strong bit to be donald trump. i'm one of only two candidates, and the other one is bernie sanders, that in one poll, 10% of trump voters said they would support and a general election. i'm peeling off trump supporters and independents ends the rotarians because they since i'm not ideological -- independents and libertarians because they sense i'm not ideological. so then i run against him, we win, and then i come into d.c., january, 2021 and everyone knows how i won. americans want that freedom dividend. democrats and progressives will be like, i love the dividend because it is going to make children and families stronger and healthier. but then the republicans in congress are going to say, wait a minute, this helps rural areas. this helps red states on the interior. this helps places blasted by automation loss in manufacturing jobs. am i really against the dividend? can you imagine mitch mcconnell standing there

because iowa's the first state. jon: all right, but the you take a look at -- if you take a look at the polling in iowa right now, she's not even in the top five. you have warren at 22.3%. this is the real clear politics average. pete buttigieg at 17. joe biden at 15.7. then sanders and klobuchar rounding out the top five. kamala harris is obviously nowhere near the top. is focus on iowa going to get her anywhere? >> she's not committed to new hampshire. there have been photos circulating today about all of her offices that have been effectively closed. nobody's there. nobody's doing anything. so an all in strategy for iowa may sound good if you're a harris supporter but by the same token too, nobody is really supporting her in iowa yet. there are a lot of undecided voters still. the poll numbers you just put up are for the people who have made up their minds. but there's a dwindling number of people who haven't made up their minds at this point. if kamala harris is going to stay in this race and have any success, s

>> yo lo veo muy bonito, yo creo que en el estado de iowa la comunidad latina estÁ muy joven. >> las proyecciones dicen que la poblaciÓn latina en iowa podrÍa triplicarse para el 2040 y entonces las voces en espaÑol serÁn aÚn mÁs potentes. >> quÉ interesante, gracias a julio vaqueiro y aquÍ en noticias telemundo tendremos el martes los resultados de nuestra propia encuesta que se enfoca en los votantes latinos y lo que piensan sobre los temas que mÁs los afectan ¿quÉ se siente ser latino en estados unidos hoy en dÍa? ¿cuÁl es el candidato demÓcrata favorito entre los hispanos? ¿quÉ deben hacer las campaÑas presidenciales para ganarse el voto latino? no se lo pierda, las respuestas lase la encuesta exclusiva de noticias telemundo porque en el 2020 es usted quien decide. los invitamos tambiÉn a que deÁ abierto, a travÉs de las redes sociales utilizando nuestro #decisiÓn 2020. y al regresar en noticias telemundo mediodÍa, 6 casas del "chapo" guzmÁn apunto de salir a subasta en mÉxico, toda ellas tean Úneles para la huida perfecta. perfecta. pridentes de el sals

yes, an upset in iowa could change a lot of things. then you get the more crowded contest that bloomberg is waiting for. first we track out joe biden, where he has been all the way back to april. there's joe biden. then you bring elizabeth warren into that. joe biden has had a few ups and downs. warren came up. now she's sort of plateaued. senator sanders has been essentially a straight line. he has a solid core of voters who aren't going anywhere. then you bring in the surprise candidate of these four, mayor buttigieg. he's way down at the bottom below 10%. this is our first poll that gets him up into double digits. the biden line is up and down but resilient. his argument constantly is i'm winning. >> he's winning nationally. what he needs is for iowa and new hampshire to be a split decision. the worst outcome for biden is somebody else wins both iowa and new hampshire. that's when real momentum kicks in. john kerry did that in 2004 and the race was pretty much over. if there's a split decision, if it's buttigieg in iowa and warren o

in 2008, they were skeptical a black person could win iowa. he won iowa. they did everything according to the a, b question. you don't like that i don't wear a flag pin. flag pin on. you don't like me in my short sleeves, jacket on. they wanted to win. >> the maps are changing. it doesn't matter if those states remain number one or two 10 or 15 years from now. >> to me, it has always been silly. >> castio is looking for attention here s.e. >> the democrat who usually wins the iowa caucus usually wins. not the case for republicans. usually it does not brpredict t republican nominee. thank you. >>> the president shot shouldn't come as a surprise. in the defense of experts who actually know stuff. of nowhere. those are the ones that show up and change everything. those are the ones that show up what's this? cindy, that cold's gonna keep you up all night. and tomorrow, you're gonna be a zombie! forget that, i'm taking a new nighttime cold medicine. ha! there's nothing new. 'fraid so. new mucinex nightshift cold & flu fights my worst symptoms so i can sleep gre

we thought howard dean was going to roll into iowa and win iowa. we all remember the scream and his campaign collapsed and john kerry came out of nowhere. there's such a battle within the democratic party within the real liberal forces, the aocs out here with bernie sanders and in the middle they can't seem to get together as one to try to defeat donald trump. >> that's just the key. the party is so hungry for a trump defeater. all above all else they want the dragon slayer. when you see these folks weighing publicly of getting in so late, it is this hand wringing that the dragon slayer, the real trump defeater is not there. >> thank you all very much. coming up in a bit more than an hour i'll be speaking to joe biden live from iowa. we're in the room. that will be the stage. our audience is filling up and that is coming up with the presidential town hall at 9:00 right here on cnn. >>> next, can a presidential candidate succeed without running here in iowa in that's michael bloomberg's most unconventional strategy and elizabeth warren not backing d

he's very young, but i still think that he will really arrive on the stage after iowa -- after iowa completes this. >> a new poll has former vice president joe biden still seen by voters as the best candidate to beat president trump. the former vice president leads trump by 5 points. warren trails the president by 1. president trump beats mayor pete by 6. i don't know what to make of this. we're all guessing. >> here's the thing, people may not want to pick their president in iowa, but they're thinking they want to pick somebody that can beat the president of the united states, which is donald trump. that's why i don't think it'll be pete. again, if he pulls off some sort of obama surprise and blows everybody away. -- giving the speech now in november -- >> my question in the beginning, is this a november decision like next november, a year from now, are they picking the president of the united states or the person who's going to beat trump, or are they saying right now the strongest of the candidates the one that impresses me the most is pete buttigieg? me, i'm voting for him because i like

he's really moving in iowa. those national polls are good for biden, but he's running fourth right now. if biden doesn't finish in the top three in iowa, that's a big, big problem. >> the poll showed mayor buttigieg emerging in that top tier among iowa voters, but there have been major concerns about his favorability among african-american voters. buttigieg said this morning, as he walked back a little of that enthusiasm on this week, he did say he plans to be bolder and a unifier. how can he do that? >> i agree with mark in that you don't really say that ought loud when you're on the hunt in iowa, but he does have a strong organization there, he has strong momentum, and as mark said, there is a huge crowd for him. i remember being at that dinner in 2007, and barack obama just lighting the joint up. i mean, one could argue that's what catapulted him to the presidency. i'm not sure that's what happened on saturday night for buttigieg, but it was ra really good performance. the other thing i would say about that c

she's cutting staff, going all in on iowa. but if you look at the polling she's been losing ground in that state. that 3% in the latest polling, how do you explain this strategy? >> this isn't good news for kamala harris to be honest about that. because her allin on iowa strategy, she's not in the top three. her campaign explained why it's yanking staff and redeploying them to iowa, it said that she had been there five times in the last month. it boasted about how she had been there ten more days than any other candidate. and then you get this poll that shows it has nts helped her whatsoever. so now her campaign is basically pulling out of new hampshire altogether in order to focus on iowa, on south carolina. what they're hoping for is what i call a slingshot effect. which is that if she can do well in iowa, it will really help her on supertuesday when her home state of california votes. on supertuesday there will be a lot of voters in california, but the vote by male begins on february 3rd. if she doesn't do very well in iowa

iowa is a fairly small state population-wise. are all of those people just interested in local trenresiden interested in this campaign? >> reporter: in fact, something like this at the fish fry. right? or last night, the 10,000 folks in that arena. by and large these are very much of your traditional activists that are very much engaged in a very big way. coming in from places across the state. we're in cedar rapids now and i'm visiting with folks from towns across the greater northeast region. the same time, antidotely, there's a stock car race next door and the woman saw pete buttigieg outside and said, oh, is mayor pete here? started talking. she's very much engaged. may not come to an event like this, the fish fry, the conversation in iowa is very intense. you said it. 93 days away, people show up for the caucus, they are engaged and know what is happening. media markets across the state and they're at an engagement ledge and you see a lot of candidates stay in the race despite polling numbers, 1%, 2%, 3% because of name reco

that would require him to either win in iowa or finish a strong second in iowa. new hampshire after that is not much better for him because he's going to be squeezed from the senator from vermont and the senator from massachusetts. new hampshire is home state for them. if pete buttigieg does well in new hampshire, he's going to have that momentum that will push him there and joe biden is going to be risking being in fourth place. i'm wondering with all these stories of joe biden running out of money with yet another poll showing the supposed front runner fourth place in iowa, how much concern is there among biden fundraisers and among democratic bundlers that this is maybe not horse they want to bet on? >> i would say there's a lot of concern, joe, for all the reasons you say. that the fundraising for joe biden didn't go well in the third quarter. these polls in iowa, as you know, biden -- iowa for biden in 2008 didn't go very well either. he doesn't have a great history in iowa. finishing third and north iowa fourth in iowa as the presumed front runner would be

>> we are thinking about iowa. >> where in iowa? >> i want to get the deal done. do it in iowa. it would be the largest deal ever for farmers. i like iowa. >> you said the phone call was perfect. now there will be public hearings. do you feel that will help? >> i think helps us. my poll numbers are very high. we have raised record-setting money. record. a numbers that i don't think people have ever seen this before. on the swing states, when it comes to the impeachment word, it is a very ugly word, but when it comes to that word, we are way ahead. they don't want to do it. democrats don't want to do it. we are going to take over the house because of it. they want to keep going forward with the charade but that letter was perfect. that was highly appropriate and perfect. hello. anybody else? go ahead. >> [indiscernible] he is right now acting and we will see what happens. we have great people in their and i want to thank the country of mexico. soldiersey have 27,000 on our border. a fantastic job. they are doing a job that the democrats should do and the democrats won't do it. th

for buttigieg, less than three months to iowa. >> yeah, we're 77 shopping days left before the iowa caucuses. and if you're going to peak, you want to start peaking now. and it's clearly a very good moment for the mayor and, you know, he hit -- regardless of what happens in the polls, kate, he's the breakout star of this primary process. if you would have told me a guy who's only other national experience is losing a race for dnc chairman would be leading in iowa, i would be really surprised, but he is. that said, let's slow our roll here. he's the fifth candidate to lead at least one poll in iowa. in the early state polls, where it's came out over the weekend, have him way down in the early states. he's in fourth or fifth total. and you have biden and warren kind of leading the pack. so i think it's a very big moment for him. i think he's absolutely got to win iowa to catch fire here. but i also think we're still a long ways away. >> but, looking at the polls, you have a chance that biden is still leading in national polling. and leading in nevada and south carolina and could lose the first

i think there's still a lot of ball left to be played in iowa. while i love people in iowa, i love people in new hampshire, i definitely rock with people in nevada, the ball game is in south carolina, south carolina will be the real test case for this race. however, for some people like warren, buttigieg and sanders, i will be, could be a place of strength, iowa could be a place of a launching pad for them. but for joe biden, arguably still the front-runner in this race, south carolina could not only be a place of rehab, but it could be a place of comfort and a place of relaunch for him to go on to secure the party's nomination with our large percentage of african-american vote who are will participate in our primary process. >> nbc's steve carnacki compared this poll to the latest in new hampshire. >> this is where new hampshire stands, it's cluttered. sanders newest poll this week in first place in new hampshire. what happens if sanders sneaks up and wins iowa, does he roll it into new hampshire and win new hampshire? what's the track record of

joe biden is trying to rally support in iowa where he is lagging in the polls. allison barber is following has campaign and moves from one cornfield to what appears to be another cornfield in iowa. >> reporter: biden has been behind in two consecutive holes in iowa but in spite of that he is not worried. he is in iowa today, so are we. stick with us. .. everyone uses their phone differently. that's why xfinity mobile lets you design your own data. you can share 1, 3, or 10 gigs of data between lines, mix in lines of unlimited, and switch it up at any time. all with millions of secure wifi hotspots and the best lte everywhere else. it's a different kind of wireless network, designed to save you money. switch and save up to $400 a year. and now get $250 off google pixel 4 during xfinity mobile beyond black friday. that's simple. easy. awesome. click, call or visit a store today. >> 75 days until iowa's presidential caucuses, joe biden making a couple stops in the hawkeye state but not a top in the polls. allison barber in one of the many cornfields. hi, allison. >

most of it would stay here in iowa. it would go to the daycare expenses and little league sign-ups, and car repairs you have been putting off. it would end up infusing mainstream businesses and nonprofits in families with resources that would create and sustain jobs right here in iowa. this is the trickle up economy from our people, our families and communities up. participants all and beneficiaries of the 21st century economy. right now, there are two sets of rules. there are the rules for the big companies and the rules for us. the big companies screw up, it is like, no one can hold them accountable. if we screw up, someone pushes you into the ditch. it is all your fault. is evolving economy in front of mental ways. yorkke to 70 ceos in new and asked them how many are you looking at getting rid of your call center workers and replacing them with ai and software? guess how many hands went up out of 70. all 70 of them. the fact that you can fire that ceo if he was not looking and making that deal, it was mainly guys. ho

wasn't as strong as iowa polling. but then we get to south carolina, heavy african-american vote, a demographic with whom he's not doing so well. >> and that's the key. i pulled up the chart. let's take a look at the african-american share of electorate in iowa. 2016, in the democratic race, only 3% were black in iowa. 2% in new hampshire. nationally, we keep saying it's about 1 out of 4 votes that will be cast in democratic primaries by black voters so basically not represented at all in iowa and new hampshire. that begins to change in nevada. as you mentioned, south carolina, that's where you have the majority of the african-american electorate. that's been the issue for pete buttigieg. by the way, we're getting another poll in a couple hours. but this has been the story for buttigieg in south carolina. this has been the story for buttigieg with black voters. even as he's moved up in iowa, moved up in some other polls, he's not moved up measurably with african-american voters. you've seen warren move up measurably,

>> in iowa, higher education is in crisis. the iowa board of regents hikes tuition year after year shifting the burden of funding public universities onto students' backs. this model is being repeated at almost every college across the country and it ain't right. what is your vision to ensure colleges can't take rights from students especially undocumented students? >> i've been traveling around the united states i mean as a presidential candidate just for the last four months. but as an activist and grass roots organizer i've been traveling around this country full time for seven years. and what i've seen is exactly what you're talking about, and it is -- it sounds like an idea, but it's actual cruelty. and i want to just put in words the way i'm seeing what you're experiencing, and that's this. the republicans have a play book. and the play book starts with cutting taxes for the richest americans and biggest corporations. but the next step is always cutting education. it's cutting education and health care because they say w

we're in grinell, iowa. stefanie? >> joining the conversation, a chief political reporter for the democrat register and steve kornacki still with me, does the national polling echo what you're seeing on the ground in the state of iowa? >> it does i think right now in the polling that we're seeing here out of iowa really reflects this narrowing of the field we're seeing. the top four are pulling away from everyone else and that includes a surge of people pete buttigieg, but we're still seeing joe biden and bernie sanders hanging around as well. >> the latest polling has these four candidates very close in the lead. will these candidates go after her medicare for all plan? it's not that any of the rest of them don't want anyone covered, they're arguing that this is not the right way. the majority of americans don't want to scrap what they have, they just want something better. >> we started to see it in the last debate and i suspect the other candidates will pick it up, warren becomes the front runner but she is walking

it is hurting him in iowa. if you are going to caucus, you have to spend two to three hours and hire a babysitter and you have to be intensely behind your candidate. if you are in biden's position right now, he could easily finish fourth in iowa. >> john altar and steve kornacki, thank you, gentlemen. let's go to iowa and vaughn hilliard and, von, you have just spoken to elizabeth warren who is stumping there today and what did she tell you? >> yes, katy. we will be getting answers over the next three months and if you will recall where we were in the middle of the summer, and i say it, because the candidates are going to continue to face more specific questions in the last couple of months. largely, introducing themselves to the iowans here, and what you want to see her is right here at the cornell college, and elizabeth warren starting up the photo line, and we have had the opportunity to talk with warren briefly to talk to reporters and our colleague ben fhun who said when we were talking about medicare for