republicans ahead, democrats ahead, republicans ahead, it will close with seeing one more shift. democrats ahead to close it. [applause] >> look, the last couple of weeks, i do not pay attention to anything have the do with the polls, i pay attention what -- what is happening on the phone and knocking on doors. this is what we need to do in the next 15 days to make it to reassured. -- assured. to make it clear that this election is a choice. everyone wants to make it a referendum it is a choice. between two vastly different visions of america significantly different. democrats are building a better one with an economy that grows from the bottom up in middle out, where everyone does well. republicans are doubling down on mega maga trickle-down economics. it benefits the very wealthy, has failed the country before and will fail again. democrats are lowering your costs. [applause] folks, republicans and made it clear, at least they are being honest this time they say they that's what they want to do if they win. they will increased everyday cost. democrats are making sure the bigges

republicans are featuring host: --hokel.f this governors race disinfecting close she probably what a lot of those constraints even though she sort of would do well in new york city. and, so that's typically good enough that's why new york has become such a democratic state. the messaging you have seen in this race, you can see the sort of advertising across the country, democrats ted a response -- respond by issuing their own. here we have at the capitol sort of attacking lee for not being protective of capitol police. but you also see they are using law enforcement to sort of validate themselves to try to push back against crime messaging or republicans. host: you mentioned governor youngkin in virginia we saw it come close that surprise happen in new york? guest: i think the door has cracked open a little bit. . she still leads is just her lead is more in the single digits. pulling did mention to watch out for the pulse to underestimate democrats in a blue state. it has been more competitive. you do have the state holds co

>> what the republican party of mitch republican and mitt romney. we want the trump republican party. we want the american first part republican party. >> tonight robert draper on his new book and new reporting. why he says the republican party lost its mind in pursuit of power. then, another desantis political stunt cottontail. >> i know you're caught off guard, i understand. it's voter fraud okay? >> and dystopian footage of florida's election security force. plus, >> care about the right to choose then you've got to vote. >> the new white house promised to legalize abortion if dense grunting control. and steve kornacki on exactly what the election landscape looks like weeks out. when all in starts right now. >> good evening from new york. i'm chris hayes, we are three week away from the midterm elections. frankly, have no idea which party will control the house or the senate. but what we do know is that there will be enormous consequences for the country that night. elections are run on rhetoric and issues personalities, adds, fives, like what's

republican. your turn. caller: people are mentioning national issues. although we have to recognize that inflation and the price of fuel and rising prices affect everyone in the country and state, fuel affects every industry and price. one thing we are facing -- let me back up. henry mcmaster has done a good job. he tried his best to keep us open during covid. he kept our port open. they stayed open 24/7, unlike some other ports around the country, trying to keep people at work. i never lost any time during covid. now his challenger, joe cunningham, would have you believe south carolina is one of the worst states in the union. people are moving here in droves to escape the oppressive tax codes of the northeast and some of the midwest. we are having a big influx of people and that is good. people are welcome. we are business friendly, have jobs and we are tax friendly. people love it here. so joe is just wrong. the issue is, for my state, for me, is trying to keep up with the infrastructure to sup

republican ads on crime, that is.on the issue of inflation and taxation essentially democratic spending, more traditional republican messages there. the question is it's a lot of money and we're watching it shift in key races as we get across it. the question is, would wings the ad war in the end? >> yeah, i mean, look, it ultimately comes down as many midterms do base turnout so democrats clearly view based on what you just showed there, john, that abortion is what is going to motivate the key pieces of their base whether young voters or voters' color as well as women. we've seen women, particularly white women kind of go back and forth between the republican and democrats and so ultimately, you know, in 2018 for women it ended up being gun safety and health care. is abortion going to be enough there for democrats to defy history because it's the first midterm under a democratic president or whatever president -- whatever party is ultimately in power, it tends to go the other way so, again, they're really trying to d

they push through a republican plan anyway -- and push through a republican plan anyway. they will still redo the districting the way they've done it, still gerrymander. i'd like the idea of frank's choice voting. -- ranked choice voting. >> maybe you should define that. >> you go into the polls with three or four candidates running and you rank them 1, 2, 3, 4. if somebody doesn't get 50%, they look at the choices and keep going until somebody hits. >> and divide up the lower number. >> we did it in the new york city mayors race. it was fascinating. it changes the way you campaign. as a practitioner, my first campaign i ran was 1976. every campaign, you do contrast advertising, but the way the most voters make decisions, differences between candidates. when you have ranked choice voting, people who do not like a single candidate may not give that candidate their second or third choice, and so it encourages campaigns to be more positive. the less negative you are in a more positive you are on a campaign, the less polarizing the campaign is, and the less polarizing voters

representative tim ryan and republican j.d. vance partipe in a debate in youngstown, ohio 930 eastern, republican senator marco rubio and decratic challenger representative val demings held at palm beach state college. watch our coverage tonight c-span, c-span now, or online at c-span.org. a lot of books have came out in the past year or so. what makes the divider different from those other books? guest: the first book and only one so far that is the history of the trump administration. we saw it was important not just to write about the catastrophic ending from the trump presidency in 2020, but to understand how we got to that place in many ways. the violent of combination of the four euros salt of the american democracy. it was based on more than 300 interviews that we did all after trump was in office. host: both of you have a lot of access to people when trump was in access. guest: there was a four-year marathon to report in real-time everything we possibly could in the new york times. when he was done and it was over, we l

a different republican mike doyle is. >> i am a very conservative republican. >> if that's what republicane doyle says about himself -- >> for his, part of the republican michael says he is not trying to intentionally confuse anyone, but as summer leads campaign manager told the guys that. he could identify as a republican on his website or his literature, he could use his full name michael doyle, he could use a middle initial. there are so many ways that he could clarify who he is and isn't if he was honest about his intentions. republican mike drought doesn't seem to be doing anything to help the issue, because as he obviously knows, the only way republican mike doyle could win is if people think he is a democrat. tony here from creditrepair.com, helping people see the true cost of bad credit. what are you doing to improve your credit? should i be doing something? absolutely, unless you like paying thousands extra in high interest rates. did you know repairing your credit could save you thousands of dollars in lower interest rates? wait, i can repair my credit? of course you can. even if

caller: i'm up for republican with a bone to pick with the president and my fellow republicans. republican party platform says the federal government should not originate student loans. there's only two reasons for this. either my congressman is a rhino or the last of self-defense at the free market check made the department of education back off . the previous caller was right. he sounds a bit liberal but student loans need bankruptcy protection like donald trump and gambling. with our student loan bankruptcy, we could make the department back off and stop the insane lending, crashing the dollar. it's not students versus taxpayers. those bills, even rick scott has it at 4772, the durban bill holding the cause accountable. student loan bankruptcy is the free market check. constitution requires the bankruptcy code to be uniform. host: got you on that front. are you saying neither party does it for you as far as taking care of the working person? caller: actually, 14% of democrats follow the democrat plank on bankruptcy. 8.14% of republicans follow the plank on our platform that t

if republicans really thought this was a problem, the republican controlled pennsylvania legislaturesh include doug mask rihanna as a member, could change that. >> take a let the states start counting those early votes as they come in, but i want to do that. because they want to sow doubts in the results by seeing the influx of early votes, which are expected to favor the democrats, are somehow illegitimate. the exact same playbook trump set up in front of all of us and ran in front of us, leading to january 6th back in 20 and 2021. and trump has made his voters so paranoid and delusional about the vote tallies, they are going to extreme measures to stop the fake threat of voter fraud. as the associated press reports in a truly remarkable better of reporting. there is one county in rural nevada which is now hand counting ballots, because they do not trust the voting machines. after market world spread possibly defamatory conspiracy theories about the machines, switching votes to biden in 2020, which, of course, were false. but as the residents of nine county or learning, there is a re

for republicans. a couple reasons, the issue set favors them, they have been talking in response to will of the people through polls about inflation and education and border security, national security. financial security and physical security, fri freedom and crime and drugs over the border. odd lly democrats have not responding making it more about january 6 and trump and abortion and a little bit about climate change. and second reasons they are going well for republicans right now, because they recruited really good candidates for all handwringing and white knuckle monday morning quarterbacking, saying they nominated wrong people, it turns out, john fetterman and barnes and pennsylvania and wisconsin, respectively, they seem more unelect a able. so, i think that issues is a president's apersp approval rating, it is great to have president obama out there but he is not the miracle worker. bill: kevin, how does this feel to you? >> when you look at early vote numbers we're on pace to beat of 2018 in

it's not just all republicans. you have places in michigan, i think democrats are going to win there. but i would keep an i would keep an eye on arizona, nevada and wisconsin. >> i agree and jessica will be back in a minute. i think it's called the independent legislatures theory which is basically that if you read the constitution literally, it says state legislatures get to determine who are the electors in the electoral college, it does not mention one the majority of the vote. there has been a tradition of 100 years of that being the case. if you go to the u.s. constitution and read that sentence, it's pretty clear state legislatures can do whatever they want to do in terms of appointing electors and that will factor into the makeup of the legislature and mood of that state. i want you to be able to finish your thought. >> not sure where it cut out. arizona, nevada and wisconsin are places where we can see election deniers win. arizona is the most likely. you should feel good about wisconsin, pennsylvania and g

we tackle the role of republicans in the fate of the republican party here in arizona and across the party. among the reason why arizona was high on my list of places to visit this election cycle is because the state, the city where i am right now with practically ground zero for the election denialism that has taken over the gop in the last couple years. it has given rise to a new crop of republican politicians who i must characterized by the fealty to donald trump in their delusions on the stolen election that never happened. a handful of them are running for election right here in arizona. according to the washington post, all but one of the republican candidates running for office or statewide offensive here in arizona have questioned or flat out deny the results of the 2020 election. among that badger some of the countries most ardent election deniers. including blake masters, the republican candidate for senate. back in the early days of november, 2021. he tweeted out a video with the caption, quote, america's most powerful institutions conspired to manipulate the 2020 election

republicans are for surprise overdraft fees. that's not something that i thought when could before, but apparently they are. for publicans control congress following the midterms and 13 days, in biden, we cannot expect crazy bills passed by republicans to be vetoed. even without the power to pass legislation, republicans taking over even just the house would give them a ton of power tyreek have a. they've already floated the idea of holding the debt ceiling hostage, and that ukrainian cannot -- in the form of a, quote, blank check. they could obstruct basic legislation just to make biden look weak. and they will almost certainly use their power to interrogate the biden ministration over the guise of congressional orcas -- to conduct investigations, and possibly give impeachments. some of that has always been expected. it is a generally expected principle that the republican white house will be -- as a way to fill fox news airtime and sling mud at democrats. the prospect of impeachment, we may want to listen to what republicans a

republicans refuse to do that. so i think what we have to do is contrast what a strong, pro worker democratic position is with the corporate agenda of the republicans. >> to play devil's advocate here, if i'm a swing voter out there, young voter, working class voter, and i hear your message i think, but you guys control everything. democrats control the house and the senate and the white house. and inflation is really high and i'm having a tough time making ends meet. why should i vote for you again? >> well, we have half the votes, exactly half the votes of the senate and a tiny majority in the house. and i think it's important that when we talk about inflation republicans will say well this is joe biden's fault. really? our inflation rate is much too high. it is 8%. it is 10% in the uk. 10% throughout europe. 7% in canada. inflation is a global problem caused, a, by the breaking of supply chains because of the pandemic, by the war in ukraine, and as i said, significant part of inflation has to do with corporate g

it is republican, but how republican? norm or steen knows a lot about what happens when he -- when you have changes when stuff goes on. now, he is going to give us the lay of the land. if things were to go as i think the four of us have concurred, that would, what is going to happen? >> first, let me say, this is the 40th year we have done this. i was president -- present at the creation. we have the creator here. >> here, here. >> [applause] >> they started election watch before anybody else was doing anything like it. also, sean mentioned research assistant. one of our own is sitting in the front row. andrew helped a lot with election watch when he was here. with that, a couple of comments as we move along. adam wax all, like josh mandel, has a characteristic. 18 members of his own family said they were going to vote for his opponent. so, you lose your own family but that doesn't necessarily mean that you are going to lose your state. i would keep and i on iowa, 89-year-old chuck grassley is the republican candidate. he

republican kellyanne conway and democrat lake join us live. >> they can't take me down. >> republicansim to win the house and senate, but they have yet to overcome razor-thin margins in key races. democrats caught on a hot mic reassuring president biden they can hold on. we'll ask republican national committee chair within ronna mcdaniel if her party can close the deal. and helping a senator in a tight race. plus, elon musk takes the elm of twitter, will he give former president trump back his megaphone? ask the panel who happens now that the free speech advocate is in charge. also, it could be the biggest supreme court case this fall, arguments in college admissions, we'll discuss the cases, history and potential impact on kids applying for school, right now on "fox news sunday." >> shannon: hello, from fox news in washington, big-name republicans and democrats are swarming the campaign trail this weekend selling their vision to voters. deem trying to shore up control of the house and prevent it from flipping red and the heat is on in the battle over 50/50 senate, both parties on edge

will republican raise your wage? they're complaining about gas prices, but they won't raise your wage. will they help to lower prescription drug prices? no. so will the republicans cut medicare and social security? i think democrats have a way to compete with republicans, although the electoral environment is going to get to tougher. >> i haven't seen a lot of democrats campaigning on what they've accomplished. frankly they've been trying to scare voters about donald trump and that's their primary message and that's whay as you just said on your issues set, immigration, crime, which is why i think in pennsylvania and inflation -- >> do you think control of senate will come down to a runoff in georgia again? >> i do. i think it will come down to runoff in senate. >> herschel walker, your majority or not majority will depend on herschel. >> i think he did well enough in his last debate to go to runoff. when the runoff happens in georgia -- >> donna disagrees with him doing very well. >> the bar was so low. >> does trum

are voters really saying we like this republican and not that republican?rd to imagine, like, a large number of people voting that a way. so then you question, well, are the polls undersampling the republican senate candidate in those cases. howard: well, it's not crazy that voters or might decide to split their tickets. but when matt bennett told politico that we peaked a little early, speaking of democrats meaning over the summer when the party did have momentum, that quote was picked up everywhere. and today's washington post headline, democrats fear the midterm map is slipping away. so, certainly, the press is now beyond board -- onboard with this notion. >> well, the press loves a swing in momentum. the press knows, as you -- loves, as you know, howie, a horse race. there are two factors happening in the midterms that aren't being widely reported. one is trump and the impact he can have on motivating voters to the democratic side, those swing voters that people want, and his sort of anemic rallies that he's been having and his lack of impact but still

republican leader kevin mccarthy, who's likely become the next speaker if republicans take the house, much as well. again, republicans are smart enough, some of them, i mean, cagey about what exactly -- imitating wasteful spending means. but not all of them. earlier this month, bloomberg news reported someone wanted -- explicitly to, i'm quoting here, cuts to medicare and social security. medicare and social security. as my next guest writes in a new piece for new york magazine titled return of the hostage takers, quote, the biden administration is unlikely to cave. it's seen this show before. of course, this happened in 2011. but house republicans can't necessarily be trusted to fold. in the trump era, the party's rank and file -- suddenly more detached from reality. republicans hold on and been replaced with once beholding to qanon fanatics. it's far from clear that speaker mccarthy would be able to marshal votes necessary to avoid engineering an economic cataclysm. joining me now is aaron the senior writer for new york magazine. great to have you here, eric. >> thanks for having me

and so now we have this republican bill introduced by shelly fellow west virginia and republicans havend tries to get through in the lame duck. paul: all right when we come back from extended unemployment benefits to long covid everyone has an explanation for what's being dubbed the great resignation. so what's really behind a near record number of job openings we'll talk to randy kessler what he calls nation of quitters, next. weather paul: it has been dubbed great resignation or the big quit. the u.s. has a new record million job opens and not enough to fill them with roughly 3 million fewer working than at the start of the coronavirus pandemic some blamed unemployment benefits and equity was long covid so where have all of the works gone let's ask iran can i lest from wall street journal and former hedge fund manager. nice to see you. so there you went and called us all of the nation a quitters what do use mean by that? >> student loan forgiveness add that to eviction moratorium extended unemployment benefits and no one wants to work anymore and my theory is that once you get a tast

the republicans in the house will be a different set of republicans.f they win the majority, there will be a larger number of republicans who you might agree with, the kind that don't choose to certify elections. >> so rational republicans. >> and that's not great for democracy. but there will be some republicans hopefully returning to the senate who do believe in democracy, voted to hold donald trump accountable, like lisa murkowski in the senate. uh, so you're going to have a mixed bag. >> bonnie, what are you thinking in this moment? >> you know, milk is expensive. so of course we should vote in the party slow roasting the planet and keep that cheap milk flowing into our sticky children's faces. >> voters know that republicans get stuff done. just think about how we pulled off those several hundred thousand covid funerals. let's go back to that debate in pennsylvania between david mehmet oz and david fetterman. afterwards, there was a lot of speculation about whether fetterman has cognitive capacity to serve alongside mental super athletes like dian

we open up our republican lines. republicans, you can call in at 202-784-8001.our number is -- democrats, your number is tun -- 202-748-8000. independents, you can call 202-748-8002. you can always text us your opinion at 202-748-8003. and we are always reading on social media, on twitter and on facebook. let's go right to our telephone lines and start with sean, who is calling from florida on the republican line. sean, good morning. caller: yes, hello? host: hi, you are on, sean. caller: yes. my grandmother used to say if you were a good liar, you would make a good politician but don't expect me to vote for you. it's my opinion that politicians shouldn't be allowed to run this country anymore. i think we should let the american people run this country and their own lives because all the politicians have ever done was screw it up for everybody else. that's why the rich get richer and the poorer get poorer. it doesn't matter what party you are talking about. i am not singling any one person out but i will say this. every party had its liar and thief for a politic

two areas that are basically run by republicans. republican mayor, republican governor. they do nothing to protect the people in this country, especially working class hispanics. all you have to do is see what the democrats and president biden who's a wonderful president have done to basically uplift everybody in this country. you want to see the continuation of attacks on hispanics, vote republican. unfortunately, many hispanics are unfamiliar with what's going on in this country. they vote blindly thinking that the republican party is actually helping them when in reality, they are basically doing their best to destroy them. host: so andy on that point, what do you think accounts for republican gains among the preferences of latino voters in this country? back in 2012, democrats had a 40-point advantage when asked before the election, a month before the election who's your preference to control congress in the upcoming elections? it was among latino voters, latino voters said democrats controlling congress would be the -- controlling the congress. and compare that to j

that is a source of anger among republicans as well. >> and it is a new republican strategy.r dixon the republican candidate for governor in michigan. mastriano in pennsylvania. you have the candidate for governor in illinois, democratic candidate for governor -- i'm sorry, republican candidate for governor. the republican candidate in maryland. all not spending any money between their primary and october. that is unusual to say the least in a competitive year where republicans at least began the year thinking they'd have chances. >> well, they are unconventional candidates. so this is a very unconventional approach. some of it is just lack of money. i'm sort of sorry he did start advertising because i wanted to see how this actually worked if you've never ran an ad. but i've been watching, john, how these governor's races are affecting the senate races. and in pennsylvania you see this very determined democratic campaign for governor. i think that that polls along the democrat for the senate because there's not much other advertising going on there. so -- and that's going on

this republican talking.into, black lives matter killed 25 matter -- they repeated it for two years. but several validity and some journalist don't push back and say it's absolutely ridiculous. they're just collectively coming up with a narrative. and not addressing the problem. the real problem is someone spoken to -- and attacked or has it with a hammer. the real issue is, black lives matter protesting in the summer of 20 tiny, with a much larger uprising about inequities that have existed in the nation. and this is about antifa one of the republican party talking points are to this moment. the fact that the far extreme, wing of the republican parties become so normalized, they go on sunday morning shows, evening shows, they spit out the rhetoric and talking points of the party without any real pushback. it's actually part of the larger problem as well. >> mike, why is it the same that so few republicans are willing to condemn this heinous act, just for what it is, and not try to equate it to anything else.

he is now a florida republican.cott: and desantis could never pick trump as vice president because they are from the same state. it would be nice to see a new face. gerald: that is what i am trying to say subtly. i think there is a market for a new fresh face. but you see potential for a lot of fresh faces on the republican side. scott: including governors, that are fresh, politically skilled, but not hard-edged. gerald: well, scott, thank you. this has been a fascinating run across the map of the united states of america. scott: thank you for having me. gerald: i appreciate it very much. thank you for not only being here today, but for being a friend of the dole institute. we appreciate it. [applause] >> one last programming note, we will back here's -- we will be back here's same time, same place next week and switch to the other side of the aisle. and very smart democratic operative is going to be here to talk about how democrats can hold off the title wave that scott has been talking about today. i encourage you

not one republican voted for it. they did not vote for any commonsense sense solutions to dealing with the challenges we are facing with inflation and all we are hearing is they want to have a national abortion law. they want to take away fundamental rights from women. they want to challenge elections. candidates are saying if they lose the election they are going to challenge it because it is stolen. they want to undermine the fundamental basis of our democracy. that is what they are offering up to the american people. democrats are dealing with tough issues and are offering commonsense solutions for those issues whereas republicans simply are not doing that. jonathan: two more questions before we get to specific races. this is from california, john sutter picking up on something you just mentioned in terms of abortion. he is wondering if democrats are considering new abortion legislation to take the place of roe v. wade, they are trying to get something off the ground. there was a move just after dobbs by the senat

who is going to stand up to republicans if they think republicans are going too far to the right?n has shown, he blocked an enormous amount of spending that a we should all be thanking him in huge ways for inflation not being even higher. i think mark kelly, tim ryan, they would all be a part of that caucus cuts and that's why i think voters in ohio seem to be rewarding him right now. gerry: katie, these races that harold talked about, ohio, pennsylvania, nevada, arizona, they seem to be pretty close right now. you would expect in a midterm election if republicans to be well ahead especially with the9 senate split 50-50 right now. why do the republican party seem to be having such difficulty securing a senate majority in these circumstances? >> well, first of all, i would say you can't always fend on the polling. you remember in 2020 the republicans were not to be said to be even close to taking the house, and actually they won more races than predicted, and nancy pelosi has been oversee toking the slimmest majority in the house in decades. so, you know, the polling always undercu

to likely republican.t be surprising but one key piece of data is the poll done by the des moines register by al seltzer who is the gold standard in iowa that had grass had i ahead 46 to 43 against mike franken. now, those of you who any of us that have doubted ann salter have barely lived to tell the sorry. that is something that i think we would take seriously. republican have their own poll, they think grassley will be fine. >> but we know better. >> grassley has the advantage but i think this is going to be a closer race. we're seeing it at the district level, too, grassley's numbers have been soft for months. >> that poll did was a big favor for chuck grassley. he came on the air this week with an ad against mike franken tying him to joe biden. so if there was any sort of sense of closeness there that probably is changing because polls are always a look at what has happened or backwards not forward. iowa democrats are pretty dispirited about their chances. the governor's race is so important. that's o

republicans with that advantage now.ou start to see here, if you take the trend line for the year, it really does start to look like republicans are creating some distance here. let's just remind you, go back to me, go back to the spring, republicans have been pretty solid advantage on the generic belt. remember in 2021, this off year elections, they won the governorship in virginia, they nearly pulled a big upset in new jersey, they came into 2022 with a head of steam and then, at the end of june, you've got that supreme court ruling overturning roe v. wade. you had donald trump front and center in the news, the mar-a-lago rate. lo and behold, by august, democrats actually caught republicans in the generic about. take a look at that blue line, it was a above the red line for much of august into december into the middle of september, and republicans did move back ahead, but here it is, it's the last week you're looking at here. it's the real divergence, we've seen it over the last week, republicans have opened up a lead,

pat toomey, republican, retiring, but it's a republican seat, this is the only republican seat whererman, currently leading the polling average. right now, republicans on the polling average, best position to get to the game you are looking for in nevada, democrats best position to offset it in pennsylvania, that's what raises the stakes, potentially, in georgia. if herschel walker were ever able to overcome warnock there, if it ever came down to a runoff, and potentially that could be decisive. that's what makes a state like ohio, we're north carolina such a potential wildcard. folks have been looking at ohio the entire campaign, wondering when will the polls break advances direction. this is a state that won comfortably for donald trump twice. yet, vance queens on average by less than one point right now. we will talk about this later in the show, the polls have been off in states like ohio, in most recent elections. is that a factor here as well? again, name of the game for republicans is to get a net gain of a seat for democrats, everyone they could get in this column, if they co

republicans ahead. democrats ahead. republicans ahead. but it's going to close, i think, with seeing one more shift. democrats ahead in the closing days. so, look, the last couple weeks, i don't pay attention to anything having to do with the polls, i just pay attention to what's happening on the phone, and we're knocking on doors. i'm here to deliver what i believe is a closing argument about what we need to do in the next 15 days to make a victory assured and make it clear that this election is not a referendum, it's a choice. everybody wants to make it a referendum, but it's a choice between two vastly different visions for america, significantly different. democrats are building a better america for everyone with an economy that grows from the bottom up and the middle out, where everyone does well. republicans are doubling down on their mega maga trickle-down economics that benefits the very wealthy. it failed the country before and will fail it again if they win. democrats are lowering your everyday costs like prescription drugs, hea

as a republican.n donald trump was saying early voting was a scam? don't do it? the percentage of republicans then was at 36%. so 36% then in florida. up to 42% now. is that because donald trump almost every day is not saying early voting is a bad thing? we will see. similar question in arizona. you see in 2018, 44% of the early votes cast at this point in that midterm were by registered republicans. in 2020, that dropped to 34%. trump's attacks likely responsible for that. this year, back up to 37%. not all the way back to 2018 levels, but jeff zeleny, that will be one of the questions. early voting data now gives us insights, but we have to be careful about context until we see what happens on election day. is there a flood of late voting -- people who show up on that day, or is this early voting now part of our new norm? >> without question. the reality is -- it is astonishing that 21.4 million people have already voted. it makes you wonders if all the money on these ads at the end of the cycle are

now in 2022 with a positive at least a good if not great republican environment, and republicans arenk more -- maybe even more worried about north carolina than they are senator johnson even though at a basic level senator johnson's unfavorable numbers are higher than what they should be for an incumbent. >> appreciate you helping us set the table. we'll continue the conversation, thank you, sir. if you want to dig deeper at home here's one way go to cnn.com forward slash tldr for the breakdown of the six states that will have the most impact. we go deeper, the pennsylvania senate race. new comments from the republican candidate dr. oz about abortion and about his harsh attacks on democrat john fetterman's health. before.. & bath fitter. if you have a "before" bath, now's the time to call batath fitter to get a beautiful "after." with our unique tub over tub process, there's no mess or stress. spend smart on a beautiful new bath done right, backed by a lifetime warranty. join over 2 million happy customers who know: it just fits. bath fitter visit bathfitter.com to book your free con

a republican house will change this. a republican house will change this by voting on the national security restoration act within our first 100 days. our contract with america includes putting a stop to putting american troops under u.n. command. to stop raiding the defense budget to finance social programs and u.n. peacekeeping. and to stop gutting ronald reagan's vision of protecting america against nuclear or chemical attack. republicans are committed to a defense against missile attacks from terrorist states such as north korea, north korea, libya and iran, providing for the common defense as the first duty of our government. it is not optional. with republicans in the majority, we will stop undermining our military and give american security with peace of mind. the job. our senior citizen fairness act led by denny hastert, member from the state of illinois, and joined by j.d. hayworth from arizona. enid green walled holtz from utah and making the presentation, the next member from the state of texas, bobby ortiz. d

history would suggest it's good for house republicans and republicans at large. i would say this is not a good poll for senate republicans because of the senate republicans are burdened by four or five really bad candidates in states they have to win. we are not seeing the big pop for republicans into this poll. this might be good news for house republicans today as a snapshot. i don't think it's good for senate republicans and mitch mcconnell. >> moving forward with that category, we have 71% of voters who say the country is heading in the wrong direction. compare that with 20% who say it's on the right track. what do you make of that? what's at stake if republicans win both houses in the midterms? >> i actually have a problem with the premise of the question. i have for a while. i don't like the right direction, wrong track question. it makes it hard to see what voters are actually concerned about and why they think the countries on the wrong track. if you look at that, you assume that they are saying that we wish we had republicans in power instead of the demo

republicans are fighting against that.out the policy even within the party. here is the main point. republicans will be in a position of now taking something away from those kids. they have said they want to get rid of that student loan payback. sorry, the student loan forgiveness. there is -- that is something you can campaign on. republican candidates have said, as bernie has pointed out, they want to such -- cut social security and medicare. those you to be third real issues. ron johnson other people like that are talking about it. i think there are voters including some republicans who are out there who don't want their social security cut, who don't want their medicare cut. by the, way that has been a long time finish of a lot of republicans dating back to when i worked in the senate for harry reid and 05. when george w. bush wanted to cut social security. even with the republican senate, harry reid won. there are cory economic issues that democrats can one on and win. >> tim, despite you being a lifelong republican,

and actually, though i've been associated with the republican party or affiliated with the republican party as an independent for most of my adult life, what's more important to me is our commitment as a country to our founding ideals and to the institutions that allow their realization in our daily lives. so i'm a conservative because i'm committed to those things. i think that's what conservatism -- true conservatism is. and though i've been an independent for most of my adult life, i've, until 2016, saw the republican party as the best vehicle for me to pursue the conservation of those things, our values and our institutions. i still hope that the republican party will serve that purpose. certainly, it's gone in a direction that is something that i don't recognize as the party of lincoln or the party of reagan in which i grew up. but i hope that it will return to be that, because i think the country needs a healthy conservative party and a healthy liberal or progressive party and a healthy competition of ideas between them. right now, i don't think that's the case. >> so you don't

face for the republican party.couple examples here about how things could change. this is down in florida. this is florida district 13. just west of tampa. the republican is anna luna, her mother is of mexican descent and running against eric lynn the democrat. if she were to win, first time office holder different face for the republican party. up in michigan remember john james? he ran for the senate in michigan four years ago and lost but back to try to get into congress this year running in michigan ten right here just a little district here north and east of detroit, michigan here. african-american. we'll see whether or not james can -- he is favored to win. we'll see whether or not he can. a different face for the republican party. another key race northern virginia now, this is virginia district ten. the republican candidate has been on our program before, his name is hung cao born in saigon. his family fled vietnam and took up residency in the u.s. a tough race against democrat againfer weekston. we'll see

pollster. >> yes, a republican pollster.urage caution in terms of who is up or down in early vote data. the last election we had was in the midal of a pandemic. i think republicans are feeling good and for good reason. when i do aal portion we ask who are you voting for, candidate a or b or undecided. undecided is not available at the ballot box. they're very concerned about inflation, an issue set that tends to favor republicans. >> you're the only one at the table on the ballot this year. unfortunately you lost your primary, but you just recently faced voters. what do you think about what kristen said? >> well, obviously, historically an off-year election right after we have a new president is tough for the president's party. that said, i think democrats in michigan certainly and around the country, in congress, house and senate and in the state races are getting the message that we have to talk about the cost of living. republicans have no plan to reduce -- >> were democrats slow on that? >> we were slow. we were slow on

the democratic ad slams the republican, the republican ad slams the democrats. can the candidates and get into the important nuances, whether it's reforming police or defunding police. if you're going to free somebody from prison, who are we talking about here. john fetterman says, sure, i'm under attack on crime. but listen closely. dr. oz attacks me. what does he say? >> he literally doesn't have a plan, other than to talk and that's been a hallmark of his campaign. just not any plans, just cheap photo ops or just empty kinds of arguments that are hypocritical about the things that they have chosen to support. >> it's interesting. before we discuss that, let's give oz his return here. often when you hear oz responding to fetterman, it's at a certain location. you figure this one out. >> fetterman to your point said if he had a magic wand to do anything he wanted to, his goal would be to release murderers from life in prison. now can you imagine having a magic wand to do anything you want? you could take care of inflation, although you don't need a magic wand f

longtime republican strategist. the mind be consulate in things like these, thanks for your time mike. >> thank you. >> still ahead here tonight, florida republican governor ron desantis met with president biden today while surveying the devastation caused by hurricane ian. is it's a sign that desantis is settling, setting political partisanship aside? don't bet on it! but first, billionaire elon musk is closer than ever to becoming the new owner of twitter. new york magazine at large karen swisher joins us to discuss what happens if musk decides to reply form donald trump. we will be right back. l be right back. when our daughter and her kids moved in with us... our bargain detergent couldn't keep up. turns out it's mostly water. so, we switched back to tide. one wash, stains are gone. [daughter] slurping don't pay for water. pay for clean. it's got to be tide. ♪ ♪ ♪i'm so defensive,♪ ♪i got bongos thumping in my chest♪ ♪and something tells me they don't beat me♪ ♪ ♪ ♪he'd better not take the ring from me.♪ as a te

this race is likely republican.may be in the final months of the nancy pelosi era as house speaker. if republicans gain control of the chamber, she will lose the gavel and may decide to retire as well. tonight congressional correspondent chad pergram looks at some of the big changes that could be in store for the next congress. >> it's an understate to say that nancy pelosi is coy about her political future. >> do you intend to be here in the new congress as the speaker, the minority leader? >> i'm strictly focused on winning the next election. do you want to talk about that? >> democrats are in the dark. >> i think people are looking for a cue from the speaker. she probably wants to get through this election. >> pelosi sticks to a singular montra. >> first we win, then we decide. >> pelosi hinted this would be her last term when democrats talk ant term limits for leaders. >> whether it passes or not, i will abide by those limits that are there. >> but nothing is locked in. >> she's a master of using words that will