scott macinnis and dan mays. dan mays is the tea party candidate. i don't think what that means in colorado. maybe you can tell me. does this mean because of scott macinnis's plagiarism stumble that dan mays will be the likely nominee? >> i don't think it makes him the likely nominee. he is a flawed candidate in his own way. he was paid recently one of the largest if not the largest fines in the history of the state for campaign finance violations. he's a political newcomer. he has some tea party support. no question about that. i think if it were not for the plagiarism issue, macinnis would win this primary. at this point it's too close to call. depending on who wins it, we haven't heard the last of who is going to be the republican nominee for governor in that state. if macinnis is the candidate, if he wins tomorrow we could see some things playing out afterwards in which party leaders try to convince him to step down. >> ifill: it's possible to overdetermine the meaning of a single state in the national climate. what are we watching for national