jeb bush: i have no idea. mark: what will it take for jeb bush to overcoming new hampshire history of being unkind to people whose last name is bush? john: well, mark, that history is not pretty. george herbert walker bush lost. we have it up on the wall. lost in 1980, won in 1988, won in 1992 but damaged him in a way because pat buchanan did so well. george w. bush lost to john mccain in 2000. new hampshire is not a great state for the bushes. what jeb bush has to do to overcome the history is to live up to what he set a couple of times about himself -- proved to new hampshire that he is his own man. mark: both president bushes went hard in iowa, and that hurt them in new hampshire. new hampshire voters tend to not just validate what iowa voters to. if you look culturally, you and i disagree about this -- i still think bush can be a strong iowa candidate -- he will be a strong candidate for this state. scott walker is here, doing a public isn't tomorrow. unless chris christie picks up the establishment vote h

first, let's look at how they felt about republican jeb bush. what you know about jeb bush? >> i cannot tell you much specifically. it was not one i spent much time looking at. i felt like a lot of the things the facts i looked up about him were not compatible with me. mark: could you imagine voting for a republican? >> i want hillary to win, but i could live with jeb bush. he is pretty moderate. >> the stance on immigration things like that -- >> i think his support of the common core may be an issue for him. >> on immigration, he is big on schools, education. those are big issues for us boys and girls, aren't they? that is part of who we are. >> being the son father brother of the latest president, is going to leave a mark on at least percentages of people. he may be able to pick up the vote. i think he will be losing at least a percentage of the vote just having that name. >> i would listen to him. i would. i would listen to him. i do not know if i would vote for him, but i would listen. he could change me. >> not any chance at all really. mark: democrats of four jeb bush

jeb bush: this is a blast. give me five minutes with anybody and show that i'm not off the reservation and. maybe a combination of both. i'm not surprised where people don't understand where i'm coming from. the common core, there is a lot of people -- >> breaking it down. jeb bush: take the federal government's role. >> [indiscern i believe conversation] -- [indiscernible conversation] [indiscernible conversation] [captions copyright national cable satellite corp. 2015] [captioning performed by national captioning institute] >> first legislative day of the week for the house and back at 6:30 eastern including a vote that would exclude hours worked by volunteers, firefighters and emergency medical personnel, from the health care law. we will have those votes at 6:30. in the meantime, a look at the health care law and the enrollment numbers and projection of health care costs from today's washington journal. guest: they have over the tax period to be able to sign up for insurance and not get a penalty next year.

a confidante of jeb bush. i'm surprised that it's gotten this direct this early between walker and bush, the two front-runners, up in new hampshire. >> i think it's fun. i think it is going to -- frankly, it's the most fun and entertaining thing we have seen going. if i were a democrat, i would being into the brown paper bag at the thought there is going the be no primary. this primary process sharpens political skills, tests skills. it makes good candidates. gets rid of bad candidates. so i think it's going to get tough. it's about to get tougher. >> the only thing in my brown paper bag is popcorn. i want to watch this thing. i can tell you that right now. it's classic. jeb is tough. i'm enjoying every minute of this. every minute of it. it will be good. the republican party has to go through this. we certainly went through it in 2008. the most interesting thing is jeb bush has got to do something about his polling numbers. they're universally bad across the board. >> an nbc/"wall street journal" poll showed

mind you marco rubio his mentor was jeb bush. i can remember when people said, look if jeb bush decides to run there's no way that marco rubio is going to get in the same race because jeb bush was his mentor. all in those florida politics now we see something entirely different. john, what do you make? >> first of all there is a part of the republican establishment that is -- that likes jeb bush fine but does not want to sacrifice the mantle of the future. the nominee, do not want to have another bush running against her. there's an openness to someone of younger generation, scott walker marco rubio or someone else. when mitt mitt romney announced he was not going to make a third run one of the things he said was that it was time for a new generation people read that as implicit shot at jeb bush. the fact that the two are now new best friends bffs as you say is, doesn't surprise me. he was leading us toward the support or potential support of rubio. >> schieffer: what's interesting about that, romney said that after it became cle

jeb bush: we do. >>our foreign policies one of retrenchment disengagement, one of the things america's presence and powers in the world is not a force for good. i love reading books about history particularly. if you take a pause at our own history, we have been a force for good consistently. she idea that we are not is quite dangerous. the two things that matter in foreign policy is that our friends know that we have their back. and that our enemies fear us a little bit -- not a lot but just enough to know that the consequence, if they behave in a way that is dangerous for the region or the world that will be consequences. our consistent friends don't believe america is reliable. this is a test i am do this all the time. you're going to go first. [laughter] name a country where the american relationship is better today than when barack obama came into office. >> can't do it. >> cuba. jeb bush: congratulations. i don't know about north korea. mirror mark perhaps. but not canada, absolutely not. not la

our poll, than jeb bush. very tough for jeb bush to look at republicans and say, hey, i'm the most electable when he's running below his brother, george w., in that question. how about this, look back to a 1999 -- what i mean, when george w. bush was running for president himself, at this same point of the 2000 cycle, this same question in this same poll, he came in at 55 positive, 14 negative. his brother today, 23% positive. when george w. bush was running and telling republicans to get on board with me because i can win, these are the numbers they were looking at. different story. there's more we can show you here. this is jeb -- excuse me, jeb against hillary clinton on the question of which one of these would be a return to the past or which one has new ideas? 60% saying jeb bush would represent a return to the past, old policy, past policies as opposed to new ideas. hillary clinton, 51% saying she'd represent a return to the past, but that is a bigger problem for jeb bush again as to the electability is

we will listen to a sound from jeb bush. he knows how to talk about them in a way that i think is more comfortable for new hampshire voters and some of the past people who have lost here as front runners. >> moving on. in hillary-land, the fervent hope is that the e-mail benghazi teapot-dome scandal has been deleted. a gallup poll puts her favorable/unfavorable ratings at 50/39, but the survey was taken before the controversy erected about her personal e-mail account. another round of polling will come out soon, and when it does it will reflect this flat. do you think she will take a significant hit over this e-mail controversy, and how bad would numbers have to be for hillary to be genuinely concerned? >> she might take a hit -- i'm not sure. what her cap cares about is if she starts losing support amongst independents but what they would really care about is if she lost support amongst democrats. i don't expect she will lose them a craddick support, and if she loses independent support, president clinton will have 42 ways

he was asked about how he would beat jeb bush. he said, jeb bush is the front-runner. that is his sale to people to give him money. he's the front-runner but i'm the slow and steady guy who will come up behind just like when i ran track when i was younger. >> diplomatic, lett ejeb catch e harpoons. >> i've been following israel. benjamin netanyahu, the prime minister, who got so much notice here is close to losing. doesn't mean his party will lose but higgs party is in grave danger in the election which is coming up on tuesday. now israel's political system is so complicated that even if his party ends up not being the leading party, there are scenarios where he could be the governing coalition. we don't know that he's going away. it's interesting to note that isaac herzog wants to change israel's approach to the world, has been talking about trying to end israel's isolation in the world which would suggest changing a lot of policies that have infuriated this white house or frustrated this white house in the last several years. there could be a change if the election r

plus 36 for walker plus 7 for jeb bush. that's a big problem for jeb bush early on. and now how about this, take a look at this. if you looked at the top two in the horse race or at this same stage going back to the 1988 cycle. early 1987 if you took the republican race for president, george bush sr. against bob dole, they were one and two in the polls. george bush was clearly ahead of bob dole back then by 20 points. in 1996 early 1995 that stage of the cycle, dole was crushing phil gramm. how about george w. bush in 1999 crushing elizabeth dole. you could see they were way out ahead in the cycle. only two recent nominees weren't, john mccain in 2008 and mitt romney in 2011, and both had trouble getting the nomination. we'll take a look. where does jeb bush fall if you average all the polls taken, republican polls for president on average, scott walker is leading jeb bush right now, 16.2%, 15% points. jeb bush, the supposed front-runner, just 15.8% averaging puts him in that mccain/romney territory, and that's the threat of scott walker. mitt romney was able to surv

spoiler alert, jeb bush is a lot of work to do in new hampshire. anybody think a career politician is what we need now? >> no. mark: i want to start with jeb bush. >> i don't need to be voting for a bush or a clinton over and over again. >> politicians have no faith in the classroom. >> he is not someday i would vote for. >> he has no chance at all. mark: who considers themselves someone who would vote for jeb bush? >> i don't think the bushes are bad people. if they were the only candidate i guess i would vote for them. mark: that's a ringing endorsement. >> if he had come -- become a candidate before, yes. but after his father and brother, he won't have a chance. mark: anybody think he has a good chance? anybody think he is the front runner? probably not. who knows who scott walker is? >> he's done a really great job in turning around the economy in wisconsin. loosening up regulations, limiting the power that unions may have in that state. >> what he has done with regard to business is reduced taxes and other things, and everybody says it will no

. >> jeb bush makes his case to republicans in iowa. our new poll explains why he has big problems with conservatives. >>> also, 50 years after bloody sunday. >> what they did here will reverberate through the ages. >> "meet the press" goes to selma to see what has changed and what hasn't in half a century. >>> and bullying at school and in politics. former pitcher curt schilling and missouri senator claire mccaskill on how a toxic situation can turn tragic. and how it should be stopped. i'm chuck todd. joining me to provide insight and analysis this morning are jonathan martin of "the new york times ," kathleen parker of "the washington post", the cook political report's amy walter and manu raju of politico. welcome to sunday. it's "meet the press." >> from nbc news in washington, this is "meet the press" with chuck todd. >>> and good morning. it is the kind of story that has a lot of people here in washington, democrats and republicans shaking their heads and saying here we go again. we learned this week that hillary clinton went arou

ben carson at 11 and jeb bush at 8. en came jeb came in with a lot fwan and some to lose. >> i saw jeb bush speak earlier last month, state policy luncheon addresses. he was far more comfortable at a hostile address at cpac. i thought he had a pretty confident performance. he had to sustain and deliver. he knew that all eyes were going to be on him. i think he passed the test. how much does it matter in the long run? not a lot. you know, john had a pretty good point. the best news coming out of this for jeb, he didn't see anything that's going to hurt him long run in either the primary or the general, but it was shrewd on the part of his people to bus in supporters because i think the sound of the boos around him if he had not brought in his people would have been a bigger story coming out of this. you heard and i hope you just played, there were a lot of cheers there. those weren't organic cheers, it was cheer from his supporters. >> one of the questions, could he go into an event like that? how was he going to stand u

we have not seen jeb bush's private e-mails either. he admittedly has a lot of private e-mails he hasn't released. we're not going to see them. why must they not become public? it's ridiculous. >> ten seconds i'll put you onthen clock. >> this is wakeup call. it reminds them of their ability to draw drama. this will be a positive wakeup call for them. >> margaret carlson. we appreciate you getting up this morning. >>> still ahead, our pi party now just minutes away. special guest celebrations pastries all sorts of things. >>> next we'll go live to the white house for the latest reporting on the secret service controversy. some surprising details. stay with us. start the interview with a firm handshake. ay,no! don't do that! try new head & shoulders instant relief. it cools on contact, and also keeps you 100% flake free. try new head & shoulders instant relief. for cooling relief in a snap. meet the world's newest energy superpower. surprised? in fact, america is now the world's number one natural gas producer... and we could soon becom

here is a picture of jeb bush's face. mr. bush: there are few that can tell that story the way i can. i advocated my views on moral issues. this will all sort out. in order for a conservative to win we have to unite the conservative cause not divide ourselves in spare parts, and persuade people that aren't as conservative. we have to get to 50. winning should be what this is about. john: that is jeff answering the new york times story on evangelicals. here is the question that arises out of these things. is -- is his biggest opponent some republicans, or is he beaten by his own self? mark: given his strength and fund-raising as a former conservative governor of florida, if he performs if people like his product, if you sells it well he can't be beat. i think right now it is his to lose if he performs. it is possible. i keep hearing it is possible republicans won't buy what he is saying. it is possible that dog won't even dog food. john: and the fish jump out of the tank. you and i were struck by those focus groups in new hamp

lindsey: the country will evaluate jeb bush on being jeb bush. we do not like dynasties, but we like individuals. if there is anything consistent about america, she will give you a chance to make the case as to who you are and let you fail and come back. like bill clinton. the idea of jeb bush being kind of shouted -- shadowed by his brother, here is what i think about america. they are going to give you a chance to make the case about who you are. when you are talking about somebody based on your name, i do not think you quite understand who we are as a party or country. he is going to have to make the case and prove to people he is his own guy. here is the question for scott and george -- what we have to offer. most elections are about the polls. when you think about the last 40 years, reagan's antidote -- antidote to carter clinton to bush, what is the antidote to obama? a technical savvy guy? maybe so, maybe not. mark: could be. lindsey: how about a guy who can do but some things? a guy who has a record of being willing to tell his party some

about jeb bush's e-mail that we are asking and ask asked about jeb bush as well as secretary clinton. >> one of the reasons why jeb bush is getting so much attention in iowa iowa when it comes to republican party is a more conservative state than others and the question is how can jeb bush and that fairing, mitt romney almost won the iowa caucus in 2012 rick santorum ended up winning it. question is how well does jeb bush play there and in future states. as far as jeb bush's private server, his e-mails he may not have received all those are true, but one big difference is he has at least released his e-mails to the public or a good portion of them while hillary clinton hasn't. that's what they think is their biggest difference between jeb bush and hillary clinton. >> the difference there, what about the difference going back to the potential candidates who want to represent the republican party. there's been certainly infighting and disagreements within the group. what do you expect might be the highlight from this summit? >> the best way to look at the summit i don't think you'll ha

>> bueno, yo pienso que el contrincante mÁs serio serÍa jeb bush-- >> ¿por quÉ, fabiÁn? >> por una razÓn. yo pienso que es formidable, una razÓn formidable, que es el hecho de que los derechos plenos de los trabajadores indocumentados y del pueblo, que ha trabajado tan arduamente en este paÍs para lograr un poco de dignidad, es el tema que Él, tanto como hillary, estÁn de acuerdo de que hay que legalizar a esta gente que tanto ha trabajado en este paÍs, y yo pienso que eso es un tema muy importante, que si jeb bush gana la precandidatura republicana, espero que no se mueva de su plataforma, ese tema tan importante, que Él ha bogado a favor de una regularizaciÓn para los indocumentados en este paÍs. >> y una cosa, jorge, ya ha hablado frente-- a las facciones mÁs conservadoras de nuestro partido, se reunieron aquÍ en washington, se llama cpac en inglÉs. se reuniÓ y ratificó sus posiciones al respecto. no cambiÓ-- >> veremos quÉ es lo que pasa. >> yo creo que es un candidato que sigue con la misma trayectoria. >> jorge, como vimos en la Última elecciÓn pr

jeb bush is off to a start. for "this week," david wright, abc news, cedar rapids. >> thanks to david for that. we're back with the roundtable right now and, nicolle wallace, i want to start with you, of course, you worked for jeb bush in the past. you saw david wright. gave him pretty good review, mark halperin gave him pretty good reviews yesterday, as well. probably his most confident campaign performance yet but is facing aight in iowa. >> yeah, david wright made the exact point about what jeb accomplished yesterday. he proved to everybody that he can connect, and i worked for him. i went to countless events with him, and he is always real in the room, always. there's nothing -- no manufactured emotion. there are no talking points. he writes his own talking points so i think that iowa is a great place. i think iowa gets a bad rap for having this conservative litmus test. that's part of it but also the most sophisticated political analysts in the republican party. they want someone who could win so you saw je

what does jeb bush say? >> talks about immigration, say we need to prevent a path to citizenship and jeb bush has to respond to that. the conservative base agrees with ted cruz and not jeb bush on this. obamacare as well. flat tax. abolishing the irs. >> why do people get so red hot about common core, something 90% of americans have no idea what it is? what is it that turns them off with this common core? they're jumping up and down over it. >> first of all, it's something they experience directly in their daily lives. they have kids trying to prepare for the tests common core -- >> i thought it was the three rs. wasn't teaching african culture or women's feminist culture. anything new age. it was about reading, writing, arithmetic. isn't that what common core is about. >> the reason there's an alliance between the teachers unions on the one hand and the conservatives on the other are these tests and there are a lot of parents, frankly, struggling with common core. people talk about how the implementation of

jeb bush's server was his own. millions of e-mails which he decided to release a portion of all the rest he self selected out. and finally your point about a neutral, i know that secretary clinton if asked by the state department to have everything reviewed and differentiate personal messages to chelsea versus official would have to agree to that request. so i have no idea what the congressman is talking about except six republican congressional committees have cleared secretary clinton of any wrong doing, cover-up or anything suggestive of wrong doing. and he doesn't mention his republicans disagreeing with this highly partisan -- >> lanny -- >> committee that he is part of. >> the $64,000 question. why? why did she go this sflout seems to me a no-brainer. if you were advising her at the outset of her tenure i think you would have said well of course you have two phones. and on one you set up your dental appointments and plan chelsea's wedding, on the other you negotiate middle east peace. >> i don't know the answ

>> ted cruz or jeb bush? >> i think having the third -- yes, having the third bush versus the first woman is going to attract 15 to 18% republican women and independent women to say, i'm going with the first woman. i don't think that's a fair fight. i think arguing about how you prosper under the bill clinton economy or either the bush economies is not a fight that the republican party definitely should want to take on. chris and david. i do think the fact that 77% of republicans say they are for generational change in the party, including a majority of seniors means they've been watching the democratic party. they were all told, you can't win. we have 20 years democratic presidencies them dealing with the republican candidates never do, which is to resist moralism and go for somebody new. >> okay. here's the question. parties have to make a decision, are they going for the gold or silver? and 72 of the democrats said they couldn't beat nixon for re-election but picked a guy they could really believe in. eigh

chris: jeb bush. fred: jeb bush for the establishment. scott walker for the farther right wing will stop mark -- farther right wing. mark: thank you. john: after the break, our exclusive report on what you will and likely to use for her campaign. might use. is likely to use. probably won't use. ♪ mark: well hillary clinton the side when combining if, if she's going to announce her campaign madison avenue is already dreaming of slogans she could use. we asked them to brainstorms about her very best campaign bumper sticker themes. collect hillary is all about convenience. hillary clinton: i opted for convenience. convenience. correct i'm thinking, "hillary putting convenience first." that is just one option. there's also family. hillary clinton: i'm still in the grandmotherly glow. >> i'm thinking, hillary, the challenges, real grandma. it turns out she loves yoga. americans love yoga. ever seen one of these? i'm thinking, "hillary, now must stay for america." and then i was thinking about the other democrats in the running and they are p

jeb bush finds himself faltering in the polls. scott walker puts the front-runner target on his back. and ted cruz finds out what happens when you tell a 3-year-old that the world is on fire. it was a wild weekend in republican presidential politics. as four candidates, count them, four candidates descended on the first of the nation state of new hampshire. the heavyweight matchup up there, jeb bush and scott walker. each candidates' first visit to the granite state in years. right now, walker has clearly stolen the hot hand from bush. in december, 63% of republicans said they could see themselves supporting bush versus 33% for walker. in just a few months, though, bush's numbers have dropped 14 points. this is among republicans, remember. walker's have soared by 20. they're now neck and neck in that metric. walker's clearly got the momentum here. bush has some friends in some very high places and fund-raising machine that could outspend mr. monopoly if it wanted to. john brabender, republican strategist, ron reagan is an msnbc po

he is jeb bush and he is a fine with that. at a time when he is trying to show that he is not his brother or his father, he is his own man. it is a pretty good part of winning the argument. we cover that health party in dover, new hampshire, -- host: if you haven't seen it, you will want to get a real sense of intimacy at the home of the former chair of the state republican party. he is also writing a book on new hampshire's role in the primary process. this morning, a piece from "the washington post" with the headline -- joining us from london, england, your take on all of this from across the pond. caller: oh, hi. i think it is quite strange for the republicans. i am sitting here in london i don't see what the policies are and they seem to be obsessed with obama. everything he says and does is opposite to what they say. they just say no, they have no policies at all. what is the republican policy and their vision? what are their policies? they don't seem to come up with anything at all. what is their vision for america in th

." >>> the bottom line is that jeb bush is pro-gay. >> the anti-right is jeb bush. >> this disqualifies jeb bush from consideration for the gop nomination. >> tonight, why it appears that 2016's allegedly gay-friendly candidate is starting to pander to the base. >> then what is rudy talking about? >> it is an african-american president stood up and said -- i hate to mention it because of what happened afterwards -- the kind of stuff that bill cosby said. >>> and plus new video from the boston bombing trial, and can dzhokhar tsarnaev's strategy work work? >>> and plus -- ♪ tap along if you feel that the room without a roof sfoet ♪ -- >> and marvin gaye's family sets its sight on the new blurred line verdict. >> and we are will talk to the man behind the verdict. "all in" starts right now. >>> i'm chris hayes. and building a campaign behind jeb bush behind the republican campaign that was once a unifying issue, gay rights. today, the man giving a a speech right now was hailed by buzzfeed last month as the gay-friendly republican thanks to who he has hired. be bush's campaign manager i

there is a new poll that shows jeb bush is no longer ahead in new hampshire. he is basically tied with scott walker. in republican circles, murmurs are being murmured about bush's apparent flaws and apparently there are many. if jeb bush is in a barrel of cindy crisis -- semi crisis what are the elements of it? john: one is what we pointed to for a long time. he has fund-raising strength above all. there is almost nothing else that he really has. his whole numbers are fine but not great. the result clear safety can really win and there are many in the republican party that air saying they like him find what they want a new generation of leadership to take on hillary clinton. those words are getting louder and louder all the time. mark: he is a paper tiger in the view of many. the excitement over marco rubio in florida and around the country highlights the weakness of jeb bush. not a youngnew face or young. two, people are concerned about the bush brand. there is no way to put that to rest. the last thing is he has not found a way to put the rest conservative c

jeb bush coming in fifth. matthew, we know the straw poll doesn't mean that much otherwise we would have had presidents paul. was this a breakthrough moment again, for scott walker? >> i don't know if it's a breakthrough moment. i think what it shows is the momentum, right now, behind scott walker. he's given basically two speeches in the course of his presidential nomination race. he's tied or in the lead in new hampshire. tied nationally. it's a continued momentum for him. i think one of the interesting things about this is it shows the desire of the republican party to nominate somebody that's not necessarily the quote unquote establishment figure. i think that really existed in 2012. but there was nobody that could take it way from mitt romney. they want somebody outside washington. >> scott walker has won in two very conservative venues. and the truth is everything he says makes it worse for him. that business of i've stood up to public employees unions and i can stand up to isis. >> actually i would argu