morgan and holger schmieding. i don't know if i should ask you about the oil, or the list, sanctions and politics. is it the one thing that could be the real risk to the markets in 2018, or will markets work through these tensions? >> geopolitics is something markets often find difficult to price in a realistic way. you get an accelerated recognition of risks when they actually even to eight. my sense is there are some geopolitical risks we think we can withstand, the italian elections being one and the german coalition talks at the moment. the speech that president trump will give we will be looking for clues about trade policy coming out of that. , but ire a lot of things don't think there is any particular indication at the moment that we are about to face some kind of geopolitical crisis. francine: francine: does the geopolitical crisis an impact the economy? will this lead back to possible trade protectionism, or does this make people more wary about their economic future, and so, they spend less? >> in the c