my name is dr. paul coyer i'm a research professor here at the institute of world politics . we are for many of you who don't know we are not a think tank. we do like to think, but we are not a think tank. we are actually a graduate school. we have about 17 1-year graduate certificates. several masters degree and have just started a doctorate in strategic studies. we are privileged to date to have mike pregent hear from the hudson institute. i'll give you a bit of his background. i've recently come into contact with him over the last year or so. michael has many years of experience, not to make him sound too old, he is still young. but he is a senior fellowat à the hudson institute , he was a senior middle east analyst, former adjunct lecturer for the college of international security affairs and a visiting fellow at the institute of national strategic studies at national defense university. michael is a former intelligence officer with over 20 years of experience working security, counterterrorism in the middle east, north africa and southwest asia. he is an expert in the m