monmouth took a pole in iowa. under 50 years old in the democratic side, sanders the runaway leader, nearly 40%. joe biden single digits, 39.7. if you jump all the way to the other end there, look at the contrast between the youngest and the oldest. if you go 65-plus, it's biden nearly at 40%. it's sanders back there in single digits. overall a close race between paid biden and sanders statewide. is this side going to show up more, is this side going to show up more? we always say turnout is the key. really when you see a divide like this, turnout is the key to this thing. the significance of the iowa caucuses, why are those so important? small state, not that diverse. why does iowa matter? certainly it hazms mattered in e recent past. four times you've had competitive iowa caucuses. all four times the winner of the iowa caucus has gone onto win the democratic nomination. 7 of the last 9 times you've had competitive iowa caucuses, the winner of the iowa caucus has been the democratic nominee. better track record t

like iowa doesn't deserve this. you know, iowa screwed this up. no, the system screwed this up, the caucus screwed this up. >> no one is angry. no one is throwing anger on -- >> a lot of people are fr frustrated. >> maybe outside the studio. >> today was a mess, a colossal mess, there's no question about that. but the bigger issue we're talking about now is, one, should we have caucuses or primaries? i think primaries are better than caucuses. but secondly whether or not iowa is actually a reflection of what the democratic party is today. now, the people of iowa are spectacular. we've all been there. we know how serious they take it. but it is a fact that the demographic of iowa don't accurately reflect the demographics of the democratic party, and diversity is a strength, not a weakness. and if another state was before iowa you could very well get a different result that catapulted you into a different place. >> depending on where you come in iowa people say oh, my gosh they're not viable or they're great and they get a lift out of it. >> i belie

iowa. so we already have the beginnings of the 2024 race. in case democrats do not win the white house, there will be about 15 people who have spent time here in iowa as candidates and the idea of changing the rules will not go over well with them. they say, wait a minute. i have an investment in iowa and new hampshire. so they are not interested in changing the rules and we could have a number of presidents on their second go and we are seeing a lot of political figures working this hard who will be political leaders in america for the next generation. so they are not interested in changing it. no one can agree on a different way to do it. some of the criticism comes from people who lose campaigns here, who are jealous of the influence iowa and new hampshire have. so if everyone could agree, the demographics of the state, it is a lily white state, rural. but the argument is made that that is not all bad. it provides a big boost to the first african-american president. it elevated hillary c

the recanvas means the iowa

nothing like iowa. this is the last thing advocates of the caucus needed, not a scandal but chaos like this, chaos of this time and this inconclusive result. it's going to raise the volumes of some of the concerns, and look it is still a tradition of the nominating process. it is hard to erase all the history we have the with iowa caucuses, and there are going to be people in both parties who defend the iowa caucuses and they're role in this process but it's going to get a lot louder. >> it is contributing to a very strange morning here in new hampshire. i want to go to leyla santiago at the airport in manchester here, and we had some quality time together, leyla. it's so interesting. these candidates are arriving and they don't really know what to say. they don't really know how to behave because they don't know where they stood in iowa. >> reporter: right. quality time indeed. but you're right. we saw joe biden arrive here first. when he arrived i asked him a few things. he didn't respond when i asked

nowhere to report from the iowa caucuses. why and what it means for the race to unseat president trump. welcome to our viewers in the united states and around the world. this is "early start." i'm laura jarrett. >> and i'm christine romans. it's tuesday, february 4th, 4:00 a.m. in new york and new hampshire. it's 3:00 a.m. in iowa. in the room where it happened nobody knows what happened. the 2020 race kicks off with a debacle for democrats. there are still no results to report in iowa's first in the nation caucus. the state party -- the state democratic party said a problem was caused by inconsistencies among data sets. for hours the party claimed quality control was slowing the a release. >> the delay leaving candidates frustrated and their supporters waiting late into the night with nothing to celebrate. at a call 2:00 a.m. eastern with party officials campaigns raised concerns about the integrity of the results. the party chair said heults lat. >> we want to emphasize this is reportsing issue, not a hack, and it's exactly

iowa? >> they had apparently they had a problem with the computer system and getting the numbers on. i think they will be able to count them by hand, just like people used to, and then they will get them in. >> has the state told your campaign anything about when they might expect it, or what exactly happened? >> well, coming from a state that's had to count a few ballots as in recounts in minnesota, i'm an expert on this and they can get it done. i'm sure they can get it done by tomorrow. i would hope so. >> i was at a rally of yours -- i've lost track of time, i think it was two nights ago in des moines in beaverdetail at a junior high. one of the lines you used that got the most applause was we better not screw this up. >> i didn't mean the numbers. >> well -- >> i meant -- >> but -- but -- but is iowa screwing it up? >> no, you know what i meant by that. i meant that we need to have a candidate that can lead the ticket, that can bring people with her instead of shutting them out. i made

now the story is iowa, the mess. this is all good and the political theater is great, however, until your candidate can actually get above 15% of the black vote everywhere, your candidate will have trouble. joe biden has done well, which means he'll do well in south carolina, which means he'll do well in march because the voters during that time period are voters of color, which iowa and new hampshire are not. >>> stick around. i want you to hear some new sound from senator bernie sanders. i know you remember in favor of both the warren and sanders candidacies. take a listen to what sanders has to say. >> the people of iowa, as i've said multiple times, have a responsibility to be the first in the nation to vote. i think the people of iowa have done their duty. unfortunately, i think the democratic party here in iowa is negligent in not getting us timely results. >> what do you think? is that right? is that the right tone? >> i mean, i think we shouldn't be blaming the people of iowa. i believe that this is definitel

nothing yet out of iowa, zilch. this really is something of a political debacle and according to the iowa democratic party there won't be any results until later today >> we want to emphasize that this is a reporting issue, not a hack or an intrusion. and it's exactly why we have a paper trail and systems in place to uphold the i'm degree grit of our process. we are validating every piece of data we have against our paper trail. that system is taking longer than expected, but it's in place to ensure we are eventually able to report results with full confidence. >> so what exactly happened? county chairs from across iowa were reporting problems with the new app they were supposed to use to report results. after the app didn't work many say they were kept on hold for hours, some of them right here on cnn you could see it party actually been knocking on the doors of precinct chairs who have not reported their results yet, alisyn. >> as you know several of the candidates are not waiting for the results before putting th

the chaos in iowa continues. results from the first nominating contest of the 2016 presidential election are still two hours away we're told. we're also in new hampshire where the candidates are pressing on without knowing exactly how they fared on the first night, and here we're putting the pieces together as we wait for the first results. to put it bluntly, the iowa caucuses are a debacle, a technical glitch with the app they were using to report the votes meant no results last night or this morning. the glitch in the delay causing some to question the validity of the results. democrats are now focused on that failure while president trump prepares to address the nation in what could be his final state of the union address.angles. our jeff zeleny is camped out in des moines as this debacle drags on. how do we get here, and how close are the democrats to getting out? >> reporter: anderson, that is a great question that no one here has an answer to. as you said, there are going to be the first wave of results fro

say iowa keeps its status. should we take a closer look at the caucus system and say maybe the system should be scrapped? >> maybe it should. all i know is that this isn't an aberration. we were counting hanging chads for weeks in florida. we just need to have integrity of our election process. >> robert, that was years ago. now it is 2020, should we say let's embrace a new method so we aren't doing that? >> the best method is paper. that's what we're counting on. we can trust that paper ballot. trust our friends and neighbors doing it. trust our auditors. it is technology that failed this time. i am sure heads will roll, perhaps iowa will lose first in the nation status, there will always be somebody first. the important thing is step back, wait and see. this is part of the process. there was a technological failure last night, but it isn't a failure of the system. part of the system is the backup after backup after backup, and it is going to work. iowa is going to yield an accurate result, and the campaigns n

think iowa recognizes. i was texting last night with the former chairman of the iowa democratic party who said very clearly this isn't about iowa, this is a glitch, people should wait a day, there are -- >> that's not -- this is a -- can i just -- >> the democratic party this is the question. when will the democratic party decide -- >> this seems to me, though, this seems to me like a second order issue because that is going to be litigated after this election. there is an election going on here. and the question is, where are we coming out of this thing. >> you said the word glitch. i just want to point out that when you look at the advertising for this app that failed, one of the big points was it is a low cost solution by a not for profit organization. i love not for profit organizations, this is not the thing you want a low cost solution for. you have a billion dollars, i don't know how much money was spent in the state. >> $68 million. >> $68 million spent on the state. we're going to save on the app?

if you look at how iowa, if you win the iowa caucuses and you look at the balance coming out of iowa what do you see? you see big bounces coming out of iowa. you see it on the nationally and you see it -- look at this, 7 n point median bounce for the winner coming out of iowa pre and post. expectations are really important. say you outperform the iowa polls. what do you see nationally? for every point you outperform you gain seven points nationally. for every point you underperform you lose seven points. somebody like john kerry who outperformed and 2021 iowa caucuses saw a huge bounce. not just nationally but new hampshire which is of course the next contest. we see also bounces coming out of iowa and then new hampshire polls. you see the median person who wins the iowa caucus gets a three-point bounce. if they beat expectations in iowa for every point they beat expectations they get half percentage bounce. for every percentage they underperform they lose half of a percentage points. john cancery 2004 did well in iowa. outperformed expectations, won new hampshire and then won the no

they will determine who the iowa chairman's. they will determine the rules of the iowa democratic party's. i guess that's important for the aisle democrats but not for the rest of the country. at the end of the day, i expect will definitely happen is that mr. would adjudge and i will end up with the same amount of delegates, 11 now each, probably a little bit more. that is what can happen in a given change. and what's not going to change in terms of a popular vote we won a decisive victory. see max's center there has been a lot of accounting issues and issues of the iowa democratic party. how should people respond to that should they trust our democratic party? >> i really do feel bad for the people of iowa. i have been all over the state, as you well know. we have held i think a hundred and 20 rallies and town meetings and these are serious people who are trying to do the best they can in determining who the best candidate for president is. i think what has happened with the iowa democratic party is an outrage. that they were t

iowa? because -- did iowa decide to retire and move to florida because i didn't know. >> the app that the democrats commissioned to make vote counting easier malfunctioned and screwed up the entire night. the average age of the candidates is 85 years. the most they know about apps is you get one for free with the early bird special. >> there were no plans for iowa to secede from the union, but we still don't have all the votes. >> we don't. new results, we'll tell you where the results stand, what they mean for democrats. the democrats trying to unseat the president and more on the hugely divisive state of the union. - do you have a box of video tapes, film reels, or photos, that are degrading? legacybox professionally converts them to dvds, thumb drive, or the cloud. legacybox is simple and safe, with over half a million satisfied customers. visit legacybox.com today, and get 40% off. my sister moving differently, i didn't know what was happening. she said it was like someone else was cont

here in iowa. john? >> this is a big deal for the candidates, for voters in new hampshire and around the country, and for people watching around the world saying, what the hell is going on in america. it's the chairman of the party along with 11 presidential campaigns. you say the parties that are concerned about the future of their caucuses. the majority of the results. any other information about how or why or assurances about how they're going to back this up so that when they do release those results -- will we see any transparency of how they got there? >> reporter: that is a great question and i assume those questions are being asked right now of the party chairman. i was there at the very top of the call which happened 15 minutes or so after the hour, maybe 20 minutes after the hour. i can assure you those questions being asked by various campaigns about the scope of this. of course, they all have their own interest in this. they've been releasing selected pieces of information from different prec

no results from iowa. no clarity on when we'll get the results and no confidence, not a lot, at least, in the party's process which means a lot of questions about the status of the state that traditionally kicks off the campaign year. joining me now is editor-in-chief of the iowa capital dispatch. so great to see you. nobody knows the iowa state politics better than you. tell me what you're hearing from the sources this morning about when we might know more and what the heck happened. >> yeah. so the iowa democratic party did release a statement this morning updating with a little tiny bit more detail the statements that we were getting early in the morning last night. where they said that the app did in fact fail. even though they kept saying all night last night that the app did not fail. they said though it was not a problem with the data. it was a problem with the reporting. they are still going hand counting all of the results and comparing all of the paper trail. they said it had integrity, but it wa

he did something similar in iowa. i was out there, obviously, for the caucuses and he was there a couple of nights before having large rally. so the president really trying to steal some of the spotlight from the democrats both in iowa and especially here in new hampshire. this is an important state for donald trump. remember it gave him his first big victory. he slaughtered the competition in the primary four years ago. he got the nomination to the white house. he lost the general election here so narrowly by less than 3,000 votes. new hampshire is the smallest of those swing states. four electoral votes. every one is important. he narrowly lost here to hillary clinton. this is an important state for him and one of the reasons he's coming up here is to plant a marker and try to win this state. one of the few states that republicans hope the president can flip from blue to red come november. >> we remind our viewers and listeners we're covering that speech tonight. live on c-span 3 at c-span.org and c-span radio app.

from iowa. wow, but here's what we know, it's a tight three-way race at the top. we had a bumpy start to the democratic process yesterday in iowa. >> i'm someone that thrives in chaos. you want a steady hand in chaos, right? we are still awaiting the results from iowa, but i can tell you that we feel very good about where we are, and we won so many precincts and delegates that i don't think people gave us a chance to win. zb >> all the candidates you just heard are in or were headed to new hampshire, which will hold the next primary contest for democrats. that's next week tuesday, and that's where cnn's leyla santiago is standing by. she's in manchester with more on the candidate reaction. leyla. >> reporter: yeah, jake, and just also in the last hour i'll add to what senator elizabeth warren said when she was at the party's announcement saying that they were going to be releasing more than 50% of the results at 5:00 p.m. eastern today, and she expressed that she had some confusion about it, and

iowa didn't have a problem yesterday. iowa's had a problem for years and years and years. what last night did was expose it. and who knows what's going to happen from here, when they have their press conferences, it's not going to get better, it's probably going to get worse. what's important is what you said. katie touched on something, in that we keep reacting to previous elections by overreacting. if you look at the demographic issue, yes, iowa is lily white, new hampshire is lily white. part of the solution to that is nevada and south carolina forward the idea is, in the month of february, have you these four contests that hit the full spectrum of the democratic party. by the time you get to south carolina and nevada, sometimes it's over. it would be one thing if there were a super monday where all four went the same day or the same week. this is not the way it works, and iowa's been a money pit for years. if i were a candidate last night, i would be thankful, iowa is the grim repeater, usually it takes two, three candidates every three or four years, it took none last

six cabinet secretaries to iowa. several congressional republicans, essentially, testing their field program in iowa. there was a republican caucus last night. trump got more total votes than obama got as an incumbent when he ran in 2012. lot of people didn't even realize trump had anything going on there last night. but he did and he had six cabinet secretaries campaigning for him. how concerning should that be to democrats, you know, a state you all, you know, aren't even at this point contesting? >> listen, i think it's concerning on a lot of levels. one, we as a party, democratic party b ha party invested every dollar in the state of iowa, the. president is likely to win, we're not likely to contest it at all. listen, you and i talked about it before. this president is extraordinarily formidable. i think he's going to be very tough to beat. why mike bloomberg is running the campaign he is. six states. iowa will not be one of those in november. mike was in detroit this morning. michigan will be one. in front of 1,

iowa will be a battleground. people look at the fact that trump won by 9.5 and think that is a big margin. obama won by a similar margin in 2008. we have been the first day for a while. , all the republican presidential wannabes were coming to iowa and badmouthing hillary clinton because she was the presumptive nominee. in 2016, they were all coming to iowa badmouthing hillary clinton. there is a four year period where local media in iowa was talking about republicans hitting hillary clinton. maybe it was not as widespread as it was in the rest of the country, which i think made iowans more reticent to support her. jeanne: we have been hearing about electability. is that the number one issue on democrats mine? we are still hours away. there is a high level of undecided. is that all about electability and making sure iowa chooses the person who will go on to be the nominee? rob: a lot of it is. there are two pieces. behavioral science says there's a paradox of choice. if you have two tubes of toothpaste, you pick

will iowa matter? craig:you hours i have had -- tg it -- the busiest 72 hours i have had in my career. iowa matters. pete buttigieg seem to have a good night. bernie sanders seem to have a good night. that will help them in new hampshire's. kevin: they did not get the headlines they wanted. people staying up late did not get the moment to declare someone a winner. that hurts them. i am struck by the biden campaign strategy. it would seem this is a strategy to go process argument and say we are prepared for the long run , so meet us in new hampshire. craig: when you're a politician and you are losing, you start talking about the process. joe biden thought he was at the top of the result, he would be screaming to release them. instead there is jumping on what is the process, what is the count look like? there is a widespread feeling joe biden did not do well and that is what we are seeing. talkingoming up, we are about the policy as well as cybersecurity and the president's state of the union address. he

just explained to us why there is so much attention on this vote in iowa with yellow iowa is important because it is the first states that votes. that is frankly why it matters. the candidates will have meant much of their time campaigning over the past year here in iowa, meeting people in small farm villages, and small communities, you really do get to meet the people. i always love coming to iowa, i love the caucus process. it's fun, engaged, people are very excited, the candidate come here a lot and you get to meet them. they have also spent quite a lot of money here, some $60 million. and then, if you win iowa, it gets you a lot of attention. the press talks about the fact of who one iowa. with a joe biden, was a bernie sanders, so traditionally iowa matters for that. this time around, the story out of iowa is not going to be who one. the story is going to be why couldn't the democratic party doa couldn't the democratic party do a betterjob? how strong is the correlation between whoever wins iowa winning the democratic party nomination itself? historically and a democratic party, v

been here in iowa. they originally had plans to conduct a virtual caucus, the dnc scrapped that, because that wasn't secure. there's been endless criticisms about accessibility of iowa's caucuses. they're under heavy scrutiny here. it's going to be very paramount that what they report are the accurate results. and i also wanted to note, friday is the deadline for campaigns to submit a request for a formal recount. there's speculation over, you know, what the accuracy is going to be. so when we do finally hear from the iowa democrats, when they file these results later today, there still might be some hesitancy from campaigns to accept that. they've got till friday to say that out loud. ka katy? >> maria, thank you. peter alexander, if you're complaining about being cold look at maria out there with a scarf that is bigger than her entire body. you've got to bundle. she's been here long enough to know what to do. peter alexander, thank you very much. great to see you. charlotte altherr, thank you as well.

they will determine who the iowa chairman is, they will determine the rules of the iowa democratic party, very important, i guess, for iowa democrats, but not important for the rest of the country. at the end of the day, what will i expect most definitely happen is that mr. buttigieg and i will end up with the same amount of delegates, 11,000 each, probably a little bit more. that's what will happen. it ain't going to change. and what's certainly not going to change that in terms of the popular vote, we won a decisive victory. gary? >> reporter: senator, there's been a lot of counting issues and issues with the iowa democratic party. how should people respond to this, should they trust the iowa democratic party here? >> i think what you should trust are two things. number one -- and i really do feel bad for the people of iowa, because i've been all over the state, as you well know, we've held i think 120 rallies and town meetings. and these are serious people who are trying to do the best they can in determining who the best candidate for president is. and i think what has happened with

iowa time. again, this is a -- this is a call between the iowa democratic party and these presidential campaigns. as they're putting it, the majority of the results will be released at 5:00 p.m. we should say this call is ongoing as these particular campaigns have pushed back against iowa democratic party frustrated. the iowa democratic party insists that they are reaching out to precincts that they have yet to get results from. they are making those calls to get those results. but they are also sending staff out across the state to go and pick up the actual paper trail of the results. again, what time do we have? 12:30. in 4 1/2 hours, the iowa democratic party has a lot of work to do to put out those results, andrea. >> first of all, why a majority? i know that -- you're saying that two precincts aren't in yet. doesn't it further confuse it if it's not all of them. i know you have more reporting to do, but -- >> that was the plan all along last night was to release all of the results at once h

the caucus rally in indianola, iowa. according to an average compiled by real clear politics, she is pulling in f

iowa is a good start to that process. if we can mobilize and bring young people into the political process, i think it will have a very positive and profound impact on the general election. thank you all very much. >> during this election season, the candidates beyond the talking points are only revealed over time. but since you can't be everywhere, there is c-span. our campaign 2020 programming differs from all of their political coverage for one simple reason, it is c-span. we brought you your unfiltered view of government every day for since 1969, and this year we are bringing you an unfit -- and unfiltered view, this november. in other words, your future. so this election season, go deep , direct, and unfiltered. see the biggest picture for yourself, and make up your own mind. with c-span's campaign 2020, brought to you as a public service by your television provider. live friday on the c-span networks, the u.s. house meets at 9:00 a.m. for work on relief april puerto rico. at 6:00 p.m., representative tosa gabbard sp

here's what the iowa democratic party said, 62% of all 99 counties in iowa, buddha elizabeth warren is third and joe biden's fourth. amy klobuchar sits in fifth place. the results coming with an apology from the state democratic chair after confusion and embarrassment over what they called a coding issue at last night's iowa caucuses that kept them from reporting results until just about an hour ago. this comes as president trump puts the finishing touches on his third state of the union address beginning in three hours, which occurs hours before unexpected acquittal in the impeachment trial in the senate. at first tonight, we are off to des moines war correspondent allison barber has the latest on the caucus chaos. >> the iowa democratic party says they will continue releasing results as they become available. right now former mayor pete buttigieg is speaking to supporters in a town hall in new hampshire. he says regardless of what happens next, he believes this is an astonishing victory for his campaign, a senior advisor for senator bernie sanders telling fox news "we are gratified t

when does iowa end? >> i think iowa ends very soon. again, i'm very -- and i know senator warren shares the desire to have accuracy, and we both share the desire to beat donald trump. and i want to learn the lessons from iowa so that we never repeat the mistakes of iowa. and in this re-canvass -- and it will be very, very -- assuming no candidate files a request, it will be surgical, surgical because we want to make sure if somebody raises a question, we have an opportunity to answer that question. and make no mistake about it, rachel. we are building an infrastructure across this country because senator warren is absolutely spot-on. our mission here is to defeat donald trump, and in 2017, '18, and '19, what they all have in common is democrats wanted scale. and we built the infrastructure that is going to help democrats up and down the ticket. that is absolutely our focus. as i said a couple minutes ago, i think we're at our best when we're working together with our state parties to help elect democrats up and down the ticket. >> let

and in iowa. but i have heard people make comparisons when you talk about the size of joe biden's krourd, they compare that to hillary clinton and what happened in 2016 and raise a flag about hey, can we actually beat donald trump with somebody who doesn't necessarily have the same kind enthusiasm we know from our lessons in 2016 can make a difference? >> look, i agree with katy t matters. especially when you think about an iowa caucus in particular, because that's happening tomorrow. we're asking people to do a lot. you're asking people to take time off. you're asking people to go against their neighbors. the only way you get folks to do that is if you're excited about your campaign. and when you look at the general election, i'll repeat myself again. to beat donald trump. yes, he's incredibly unpopular. impeachment is insane right now. but you're going to have to expand. they're going to have to expand their beige. they have to get people who don't come out and vote and they need a diverse coali

in iowa. >> it is opening night of the what the democrats need to be for them a successful campaign. in matter the nominee. the goal is beat a president of the united states with a strong economy. that was the starting gate. they are having a problem out of the starting gate. a senior biden aide questioning the integrity of the process. all the campaigns are livid. nobody is happy. they say they had a phone call with the iowa democratic party officials and it was ended. some call it they hung up on us. and started to ask questions. explain the process to us. i'm told by sources in two campaigns at the time of the call an hour ago. they had zero verified results and 35% of the vote counted. it hadn't been double checked yet. one person in one campaign said the impression was this might not be done until morning. >> four years ago 98% had already reported. right now 0%. >> the party said they think it's due to inconsistencies in the three different streams of data. final vote and delegates. seei

going back to the form guide of iowa, the republican iowa caucus is a terrible guide. we have not had a president ted cruz, we have not had a president nick santorum. not had a president nick sa ntorum. but we not had a president nick santorum. but we did end up seeing a president barack 0bama, hillary clinton one four years ago, john kerry in 2000 all and he won the nomination and every single immigrant who is one of the iowa caucuses census 2000 has gone on to win the democratic nomination. it does not always work. clinton did not win in 1992. jimmy carter, he made iowa his home and emerged as a surprise candidate. it is a pretty good form guide for the democrats but we might get a messy not clear—cut tonight but we simply do not know because we have not got any numbers. i have always wondered if we should not have the first contest in somewhere like florida, hawaii... so we can go and cover it! it is great, the engagement, the process , great, the engagement, the process, the amount of education, the fact that people ta ke education, the fact that people take it s

>> iowa. >> iowa. >> caucus day. >> always exciting to be in iowa. >> hurricaneses of thousands of voters. >> sounds like to me iowa is ready. >> the decision is going to begin right here in iowa. >> after months and months of campaigning. >> if the turnout is high we're going to win. >> the first votes are about to be cast in the 2020 iowa caucus. >> you have to love that grask. really excited. we took months getting that iowa caucus thing on the white house south lawn. i swear to god. music says it all. opening day of the presidential season. i'm chuck todd from java joe's in iowa, kicking off the msnbc special coverage of the first elimination presidential contest. the iowa caucus as the battle for the democratic nomination for president officially gets under way and as we come on the air tonight senators bernie sanders, elizabeth warren and amy klobuchar are all iowa bound again from washington where the impeachment trial adjourned for the day. on the senate floor, senators begun to deliver speeches previewing how they might vote later this week. moments ago, west virginia democratic

city, iowa. thank you so much. i do want to say while we have been talking, the iowa democratic -- sam, can you run straight under the set here? the iowa democratic party has put a statement out. thank you, my dear. this is from the iowa democratic party communications director mandy mcclure. ready? this is our first official explanation from the iowa democratic party. drum roll. the integrity of the results is paramount. we have experienced a delay in the results due to quality checks and the fact that the iowa democratic party is reporting out three data sets for the first time. what we know right now is that around 25% of precincts have reported, and early data indicates turnout is on pace for 2016. so if turnout is on pace for 2016, that means it is not record turnout, because record turnout in iowa is your race. >> 2009. >> so they're saying this is more on pace with 2016, which was a lower number. they're saying they've got abou on pace with 2016, which was a lower number. they're say ig th

why it was purchased in iowa? why nevada apparently purchased it and is now scrapping it in light of what happened here? what's your perspective on this? >> i really don't have any information. the first i heard about the vendor's name was the last time on the set here. so, you know, acronym is a volunteer who's helping acronym -- >> describe what acronym is. >> acronym is a digital firm. they put out a newsletter that tracks digital spending and creative is running some ads to defeat donald trump. they have also invested in this company called shadow. it's the first i've heard of it. but my assessment is, i think like claire's, clearly there was a technological problem. hard to argue if you are going to use apps going forward, you don't want to use this vendor. but i think the original season is, saying we'll have three different sets of data we've never had before, so that kind of overburdened the system. clearly, a lot of these people, it wasn't mandatory to use the app. there's reports that people tried to dri

and it starts here in iowa. [cheers and applause] >> that moment last night and clive, iowa, getting a lot of attention today. and this statement from representative rashida tlaib is a series of tweets that reads, i am incredibly in love with the movement that our campaign of not me, us, has created. this makes me protective over and frustrated by attempts to miss the strength and diversity of our movement. representative receded to label what on to say i know what is at stake if we do not unify over one candidate to be trump and i tend to do every thing possible to make sure trump does not win in 2020. in this instance, i allowed my disappointment with secretary clinton's latest comments about senator sanders and his supporters get the best of me. you all, my sisters and service on stage and are movement deserve better. i will continue to strive to come from a place of love and not react to the same way as those who are against what we are building in this country. this is about billing a just and equable futur

in a moment, big news from iowa. as we bring you the news from the first presidential contest before the 2020 election. here we go iowa, you are on the clock tonight. >> i am here to ask you not only to come out but to bring your friends, family, coworkers and students, because this is the political reality of the moment. this is what i believe. we are taking on the entire political establishment. >> bernie sanders hoping for a big night and we will see what he gets in iowa. sanders trying to push on that support. and, that real change is something we will tell you abo about. shannon, nice to see you. we have the fox news voter analysis which is what? >> it's totally unique, gives us data for people that we've been talking to come up more than 200 iowa caucus goers. we are asking important questions that will give us clues as the night rolls on. they go into these caucuses and start arguing with each other. they have to give these votes elsewhere and start changing their minds. what's more important for you in pickin

we didn't quite see that in iowa. i'm wondering how people are views that in your world. >> when i was looking at the numbers, it's clear that the turnout numbers in terms of the entire amount of people that turned out was about the same as 2016. but actually when you look at specifically young people between 17 to 29, they actually did, more people did come out. i think it was something like, and you know these aren't official like david was saying, but it is an increase of about 30%. so he is bringing out definitely young people and, yes, maybe mayor pete got some but let's be clear, the majority of folks that got behind mayor pete yesterday were moderate conservative. it wasn't all the people of color. those went to bernie sanders. there was still like an over 20-point lead of bernie sanders among young people. when it comes to a lot of folks like myself that have come in new fresh into the party, they are still showing they're with bernie sanders. >> it does worry me about -- not just with sanders but overall why

when does iowa end? >> i think iowa ends very soon. i know senator warren shares the desire to have accuracy. i want to learn the less sons fm iowa so we never repeat them. assuming no candidate files a request, it will be surgical. surgical because we want to make sure if somebody raises a question we have an opportunity to answer that question. and make no mistake about it, rachel, we are building an intrastructure across this country because senator warren is spot on. our mission here is to defeat donald trump. and in 2017, '18 and '19, what they all have in common is democrats wanted scale and we built the infrastructure that will help democrats up and down the ticket. that is our focus. i think we're at our best when we're working together with our state parties to help elect democrats up and down the ticket. >> let me tell you the concern that i have heard voiced about what happened in iowa this week that is not about the process failures but is about the prospect of beating donald trump in november. that was that the turnout was

what a night here in iowa. thank you all so much for the hard work and dedication you put into making tonight a tremendous night for the yang gang and this campaign. and this is great time to actually pause for reflection on how far we've come. we declared over two years ago, over 30 people ended up jumping into the race. remember that first debate stage there were 20 candidates, they had to break it up into two nights? and i'm going right from here to new hampshire where i will be one of seven candidates on the debate stage. so many of you dropped everything and came here to iowa to fight for this campaign. raise your hand if you're here from out-of-state and came here? let's give them a round of applause, let's give you a round of applause. look at this. that's humanity first. that is what has made this campaign the political force of nature that no one saw coming. we've raised tens of millions of dollars from almost half a million americans in increments of only $30 each. and that is because people have made

thank you, iowa! [ cheers and applause ] >> amy klobuchar taking advantage of free media time during the lull as we wait for the democratic party in the state of iowa to report anything, even partial results. mike memoli over at biden headquarters where i imagine they're getting nervous too. mike? >> reporter: well, brian, amy klobuchar is of a similar mind-set to joe biden right now. at he's now arrived mpaign here at drake university, his event site. i see the international association of firefighters leadership. they've been with him every step of the way there in the building. we expect him onstage, and here's what we know from our team of reporter who's have been talking to all of the campaigns. there's a call happening right now between campaign officials and the iowa democratic party. one campaign source says that the results app that they were using -- this was a new app they were supposed to be reporting each result from each precinct location around the state -- has not been working, and the

have been in iowa. i saw congressman walsh walking the line at the trump rally for people who work lined up outside to get into the trump rally. he was talking to people and trying to change some minds. there has been a little bit of an effort. day, he is thehe incumbent president. he still has a strong support within the party especially among that poor group. we talk about people who caucus, it is not all iowa republicans or democrats. it is more condensed, smaller, the most active people within the party. within that group, i think president trump still enjoys strong support in iowa. i don't expect any huge surprises. the president is not taking anything for chance. you mentioned he was just here, had a big rally, vice president pence was here. next week, he is sending out an army of surrogates from his staff and supporters who will be here in iowa at caucus sites rallying support for the president. i don't expect any huge surprises on caucus night on the republican side. but you never know and that

and they see iowa as their best shot to knock that down. new hampshire obviously near his home he's electronic. he runs well with latino voters important in nevada. where they placed those high expectations might be the best bet. they tried to play up the controversy this weekend where bernie sanders surrogate encouraged the crowd to boo hillary clinton and then later apologized. that's the language you see from other candidates talking about unity. it's a subtle shot, subtle nod to the sanders campaign saying hey every candidate at 20% doesn't have enough votes to win the nomination. it's the candidate in the campaign that can grow that coalition. they are saying that bernie might have the most committed group of supporters, the group of supporters that are most passionate and highest floor but they are the campaigns that can row above that and grow. bernie is changing the electorate. >> the biden campaign is making a choice. they chose not to challenge sanders very much as he has ascended. the view inside the biden campaign is precisely f

liberty. ♪ . ♪ ♪ ♪ jillian: good morning, a live look at des moines, iowa, at the iowa state house where iowa is still trying to figure out the results of the caucuses last night. rob: they really botched. this and there is a lot of people very angry at the democratic party in iowa and the dnc in general. how they could not get this right. so much emphasis. you have to think about all the time and the money that's been dumped into this state. these candidates have killed themselves to win this state and now it's all just up in the air. it might be muddled and not even matter. jillian: we will see. keep you updid ited. in the meantime harry truman, vladimir putin and bush. picking a winner of their own poor the iowa caucuses. rob: carley shimkus here with the topics from the people. hey, carley. >> the meltdown in iowa sparking equal parts laughter and an grer. tom perez bearing the brunt #resign tom perez becoming a top trending topic on twitter. some people are mocking the delay in results by declaring their very own winner. this personal, given a win to kansas city dems just announced

watch. >> iowa caucuses, folks, iowa caucuses are this next monday evening. i am really interested to see how this discussion today informs and influences the iowa caucus voters, those democratic caucus-goers, will they be supporting vice president biden at this point? >> david, did she give up the game here in how the president say tacking joe biden? >> no, i think you had to watch the lead in to her krarks where senator barrasso was talking about the bidens and burisma. taken on their own it sounds like she was saying the quiet thing out loud. >> it did. >> let's face it a lot of the impeachment stuff revolved around a whole biden question, obviously. we will see. he's using this to fund raise. he's put it in his remarks over the last few days. i think both sides are kind of playing politics with this a little bit. >> it is no secret i think that republicans would love nothing more than for the impeachment trial to muddy up joe biden's campaign. president trump tweets publicly and talks publicly about bernie sanders in a way that it is clear he wants him no

of iowa. is the do-nothing democrats fault. as long as i am president, i will stay where it is an important tradition pretty also thanked them for his landside win in the caucuses which was fully expected. the president tweeting "i had the largest reelection vote in the history of that great state by far. beating president obama's previous record by a lot, also 9097% of the vote. the state of the union address tonight, the overarching theme is going to be the great american comeback. the president will be highlighting five big topics, the blue-collar economic boom, support for working families, lowering the cost of health care, safe and illegal immigration systems and protecting national security. they rated so you can follow along. lowering the cost of health care, safe and legal immigration system and protecting national security. the speech is amid the democrats final push to try to remove the president from office, it appears there is zero chance of going to happen before 4:00 tomorrow. th

they give us at the iowa caucuses on monday night. even though the vote calculations have been extremely slow, we are now at a point with some 97 percent of the precincts reporting where our campaign is winning the popular initial vote by some 6000 votes, in other words, from 6000 more islands came out on caucus night to support our candidacy than the candidacy of anyone else. and when 6004 people come out for you in an election, when your nearest opponent, we here in northern new england, whole that a victory. further in iowa, as you all know there is a realignment process. where people who supported a candidate with less than 15 percent in the room, can cast a vote in a second-round for a different candidate. that is the realignment process. in that process, we are now ahead by over 2500 votes. in a election with voter turnout of approximately 180,000 people, and with eight strong candidates competing, and victory margin of some 6000 votes is pretty decisive. and the reason that happens, is because of the unprecedented grassroots ef