on both sides of the humber, including parts of lincolnshire, the alert level has been raised. along with some other areas, that means tougher rules for local people in the latest bid to curb the virus. hugh pym, bbc news. as countries across europe tighten their restrictions, or impose nationwide lockdowns in some cases, and with the prospect of further measures in the four nations of the united kingdom, our science corrrespondent rebecca morelle has been looking at how effective both national and regional lockdowns can be at tackling the pandemic. preparing for the worst. a hospital in germany getting ready for the virus that is spreading out of control. all across europe, countries are facing national lockdowns. it is the most extreme action we can take for covid. should we be doing this in the uk also? this was the picture back in march. covid cases were increasing incredibly rapidly, then the national lockdowns was introduced on the numbers are slowly came down. the lockdown worked but a big cost to the economy and other parts of the health service. now, there is a regiona

the react survey by imperial college london estimates that infections in yorkshire and the humber and the north west of england, at more than 200 per 10,000 people, are the highest in england. among the rest, the south—east and east of england are said to be the lowest, at below 70 per 10,000 people. cases are going up, hospitaladmissions, deaths. what is really concerning about the react study is that the most recent round is showing an acceleration, and that's the last thing we need. we need it notjust to slow down the growth, we need growth to reverse, we need cases to come down. and instead, we're seeing the opposite and that is really worrying. some scientists are calling for tougher restrictions across england, though ministers say they're sticking for now with the current system. we don't have a plan today to do a full national lockdown. we can see that there are arguments in favour of that, in terms of simplicity and clarity, but there are very strong arguments against it, as well, in that it is treating all parts of the country the same. data from virus testing is being wat

we are seeing increases now that are quite noticeable in the north—west, yorkshire and the humber and the north—east, and increasingly in the midlands, as well. but the other areas will follow because they will follow the nhs admissions. so that is all the data in terms of looking backwards. those data have already happened. patrick will now talk briefly about the projections forward. thank you, can i have the first slide, please. so, to recap, these are three ways of looking at it from different studies or the consensus group from the modellers, the number of people every day with covid, catching covid new and it is 50,000 plus most likely is the number and perhaps half a million people or more overall with the disease. next slide, please. the r was relatively flat and below one. below the red line means the epidemic is shrinking, above the red line means it is growing and you can see, from august onwards, the r went above one, the epidemic grew and continues to grow so, although some of the measures that are in place have eased off perhaps the rate of growth, it is still growing a

increase in cases — with warnings that the high rates seen in the north—west, north east yorkshire and humber could spread across the country. new restrictions on pubs and restaurants in scotland are due to come into force this evening. an nhs trust is charged over the death of baby harry richford, who lived forjust seven days after an emergency delivery. president trump says he might hold an election rally in florida tomorrow — just over a week after being diagnosed with coronavirus. hello, good afternoon. the uk economy recovered more slowly than expected in august, growing by 2.1%. although this is the fourth consecutive month of growth, it was considerably smaller than that seen injune and july, despite the introduction in august of the government's eat out to help out scheme, which boosted restaurant trade. the economy remains 9.2% smaller than before the pandemic struck. it comes as the chancellor rishi sunak is set to announce this afternoon more financial support for businesses forced to close when virus rules are tightened. an announcement of these new restrictions, which could see

study says that the highest rates were seen in north east and north west england, and yorkshire and the humber. while the react study says it is likely those level of infections will be replicated across the country within a few weeks' time if cases contiune to rise. local authority leaders in england are waiting to hear this afternoon what further local lockdown restrictions may look like in their areas — but there's been growing anger among mps and local leaders about the way the government has communicated proposed changes — as our correspondent katherine da costa reports. concerns growing the nhs could be overwhelmed. in england, hospital admissions are doubling every fortnight. this graph for the north west shows the number of people over 60 needing hospital care for covid has started to accelerate in recent weeks. this is serious. it is getting out of control, and we have to do something to bring it back under control. we definitely need to work locally, and we definitely need to make sure that the communications are much clearer. in nottingham, new cases have shot up. two weeks ago,

being that exhibition us opened in both but it's not yet been possible to travel from johannesburg to humber so i'm hoping to get that during the run of the exhibition. and to see how it feels in a different space obviously an exhibition changes every time it moves it's a mixture between the work that there and the space shown in and and it looks beautiful and dr hunter i'm sure it does now just quickly politics plays such a huge role in your work and of course your own biography how do you see the political role of our ted at this stage of your career. well i'm interested in an art that can reflect things which aren't usually their political art that is to say that can reflect the ambiguity the paradoxes the contradictions of the political so normally when one thinks of political art one thinks of something of the clear agenda with just statement that very single minded and for me that doesn't reflect the absurd and that in the paradoxical in the world some interest in an art which has a space for not knowing quite what something might need to understanding that something can mean one thing

the react survey by imperial college london estimates that infections in yorkshire and the humber in the northwest of england at more than 200 per 10,000 people at the highest in england. among the rest of the southeast and east of england are said to be the lowest at below 70 per 10,000 people. said to be the lowest at below 70 per10,000 people. cases hospital admissions, doubts what‘s really concerning is the most recent round is showing an acceleration. that‘s the last thing we need. we needed not just to slow down the the last thing we need. we needed notjust to slow down the growth, we need for new cases to come down. instead we are seeing the opposite. and that is really worrying. some scientists are calling from tougher restrictions across england. the ministers say they are sticking for now with the current system. we don't have a plan today to do a full national lockdown. we can see that there are arguments in favour of that in terms of simplicity and clarity. but there are very strong arguments against it as well. in that it arguments against it as well. in thatitis arg

slowdown and slight reduction in case numbers and a bigger gap with the north west and yorkshire and humber regions. but officials say overall things are going in the wrong direction and minutes of meetings of the government putts—mac sage advisory committee renew a pessimistic move. a paper says that in england the number of daily deaths is now in line with the levels in a reasonable worst case and is almost certain to exceed this within the next two weeks. that worst—case scenarios 85,000 covid deaths over the winter. officials say government interventions can reduce that. policy makers around the uk are under increasing pressure to come up with plans to allow families to meet up at christmas and the first minister in wales had a message for downing street. we need to share that information, we need to share ideas and wherever we can, particularly, would like to see is common in approach as we can together while recognising that the state of the virus and the response does depend on one part of the uk from another. in parts of scotland face coverings will be required for teachers and

down and slight reduction in case numbers and a bigger gap with the north west and yorkshire and the humber region. but officials say overall, things are going in the wrong direction, and minutes of meetings of the government's sage advisory committee reveal a pessimistic mood. a paper on 0ctober14 from a group tracking the spread of the virus says that in england, the number of daily deaths is now in line with the levels in the reasonable worst—case and is almost certain to exceed this within the next two weeks. that worst—case scenario is 85,000 covid deaths over the winter, though officials say government interventions can reduce that. policymakers around the uk are under increasing pressure to come up with a plan to allow families to meet at christmas, and the first minister in wales had a message for downing street. we need to share that information, we need to share ideas and, wherever we can, particularly around that christmas period, i would like to see as common an approach as we can craft together while recognising that the state of the virus and the response that's being made

in the yorkshire and humber region it was more than 4,000 extra cases — an increase of 113% on what we were originally told. civic leaders affected by restrictions in the north west say policy must be reconsidered. somebody should be checking this. this is a national government implementing the system and making decisions that are predicated on that evidence and the evidence, now we find, has been faulty. so how does the system work? tests of hospital staff and patients are analysed at nhs and public health laboratories. these seem to be working well. testing for the public and most care homes at drive through centres or with kits is partly done by private companies. they send the swabs to the big lighthouse labs to analyse tests. these were set up by the government and are run by private companies and universities. they then pass on results to public health england, to be fed into the test and trace system for contacts to be followed up. this is where the it problems have occurred. phe says the issue has now been resolved, but wider challenges for people using the testing network rema

his reporting brought the scandal to light in 2013 he was working for news magazine show down in humber. he took an anonymous phone call and what he heard brought him to what may well be the biggest story of his life. it has a direct source code for. i hate editorial meetings and so i was probably the only available reporter at standing that say because everyone was in the meeting and the receptionist put a call through to me and the caller told me about come x. and he was cassini a piece i have to admit i'd never heard of comics before but when the person mentioned the names of several german investors my ears pricked up because one of the investors was casten mushed maya. as well as entrepreneur. there was meat industry boss and shall go soccer club chairman clemons tanya's and drugstore king evan mierda these mega rich germans are said to have poured millions into what were attractive investments with high returns all 3 say they didn't know they were involved in suspected come x. transactions they later took action against the bank that allegedly invested their money in the dubious d

england there was evidence of a slowdown in numbers and a bigger gap with the north west, yorkshire and humber regions. things are going in the wrong direction. a meeting of the wrong direction. a meeting of the sage advisory committee reveal a pessimistic mood. a paperfrom the group tracking the spread of the virus says in england the number of daily deaths is now in line with those in the reasonable worst case and is almost certain to exceed this in the next two weeks. that worst—case scenario in the next two weeks. that worst—case scenario is 80,000 covid deaths over the winter, although officials say government interventions could help. policymakers in the uk are under increasing pressure to come up with a plan for families to meet over christmas and the first minister in wales had a message for downing street. we need to share information, we need to share ideas, and wherever we can, particularly over the christmas period, i would like to see a common approach as we can craft together, recognising that the state of the virus and response thatis the state of the virus and response that

slowdown and slight reduction in case numbers and a bigger gap with the north west and yorkshire and humber regions. but officials say, overall, things are going in the wrong direction and minutes of meetings of the government's sage advisory committee reveal a pessimistic mood. a paper on october 14th from a group tracking the spread of the virus says that in england, the number of daily deaths is now in line with the levels in the reasonable worst case and is almost certain to exceed this within the next two weeks. that worst—case scenario is 85,000 covid deaths over the winter, though officials say government interventions can reduce that. ministers at westminster say the system of local restrictions is the right response. we really need to lean into this and that is the way we avoid the more drastic measures which we don't want to take because of the impact that they would have on the economy. it must be right to take a focused, localised approach where the virus is the strongest, than to have the rather blunt tool of a nationwide blanket lockdown. but there are calls for a national l

in the yorkshire and humber region, it was more than 4,000 extra cases — an increase of 113% on what we were originally told. civic leaders affected by restrictions in the north—west say policy must be reconsidered. somebody should be checking this. this is a national government implementing the system, and making decisions that are predicated on that evidence. and the evidence, now we find, has been faulty. so how does the system work? tests of hospital staff and patients are analysed at nhs and public health laboratories. these seem to be working well. testing for the public and most care homes at drive through centres or with kits is partly done by private companies. they then send the swabs to the big lighthouse labs to analyse tests. these were set up by the government and are run by private companies and universities. they then pass on results to public health england to be fed into the test and trace system for contacts to be followed up. this is where the it problems have occurred. phe says the issue has now been resolved, but wider challenges for people using the testing n

in the yorkshire and humber region it was more than 4000 extra cases, an increase of 113% on what we were originally told. civic leaders affected by restrictions in the north—west say policy must be reconsidered. somebody should be checking this. this is a national government implementing the system and making decisions that are predicated on that evidence and the evidence now we find, has been faulty. so how does the system work? tests of hospital staff and patients are analysed at nhs and public health laboratories. these seem to be working well. testing for the public and most care homes that drive through centres or kits is partly done by private companies. they send swabs to big lighthouse la bs to they send swabs to big lighthouse labs to run tests, set up by the government and run by private companies and universities. they then pass on results to public health england, to be fed into the test and trace system for contacts to be followed up. this is where the it problems have occurred. phe says theissue it problems have occurred. phe says the issue has been resolved now, but

coronavirus cases in england has doubled in a week, with the north east, north west and yorkshire & the humber the worst affected areas, according to the latest data. the office for national statistics estimates that one in 240 people in england had the virus in the last week of september, with more than 17,000 people catching it every day. 0ur health editor hugh pym has been examining the figures. more testing, part of the drive to rein in the spread of coronavirus. here at nottingham university, helping students get a quick result if they have symptoms. a sharp increase in infections in some areas is why the government at westminster are set to announce new restrictions next week. 0ne survey involving random testing of people in the community showed that in a week in the middle of september, there were over 116,000 people infected in england. by the following week, that had nearly doubled to 224,000, meaning one in 240 of the population had the virus. in wales, the figure in the middle of september was about 6500. by the next week, it had come down a bit, with the proportion one in 500 infec

newcastle is different from liverpool which is different from yorkshire and humber which is different from manchester. overall, there is a discrepancy in investment and funding. and obviously grant shapps is promising more. let's see what he delivers first before we get too excited here, ifi first before we get too excited here, if i was getting up —— if i was living up there i would be tired of all the rhetoric and with the delivery. and of course having won so delivery. and of course having won so many of those redwall seats from a labour in the general election and as you set the timing is interesting because we have this sort of sta ndoff because we have this sort of standoff between the greater manchester region in central government anyway. and they now must deliver on their promises and you are absolutely right to pick up on that phraseology the north. the times, stefanie we have another promise, another prediction. i million tests a date result in 15 minutes by christmas, this is all a lot of money being spent on this. if this does happen, this could be a game changer. yea

increase in cases — with warnings that the high rates seen in the north—west, north east yorkshire and humber could spread across the country. new restrictions on pubs and restaurants in scotland are due to come into force this evening.

the hardest—hit areas yorkshire and the humber where around one in a0 has the virus. while cases are highest in the north, infections are surging number is above two. the report's authors say the rise in the older ages is deeply worrying. we are seeing in the 55—64—year—old age group there has been a tripling of the prevalence, and in the 65 plus group a doubling, so these are the most vulnerable groups in terms of their risk that the infection will lead to severe illness, hospitalisation. wales is already in lockdown. northern ireland and scotland's central belt are also under tighter controls. in england, the study suggests either tougher restrictions are required or communities need to be better at following the rules. either way, it says change is urgently needed. the government is not changing its position. we do not have a plan today to do a full national lockdown. we can see their arguments in favour of that in terms of simplicity and clarity but there are very strong arguments against it as well. labour leader keir starmer has renewed his position. every

coronavirus cases in england has doubled in a week, with the north east, north west and yorkshire & the humber the worst affected areas, according to the latest data. the office for national statistics estimates that one in 240 people in england had the virus in the last week of september, with more than 17,000 people catching it every day. this figure is approximately double that reported for each of the last two weeks. 0ur health editor, hugh pym, has the latest. more testing, part of the drive to rein in the spread of coronavirus. here at nottingham university, helping students get a quick result if they had symptoms. the government at westminster are set to announce new restrictions next week in response to the general increase in infections. 0ne survey involving random testing of people in the community showed that in a week in the middle of september, there were over 116,000 people infected in england. by the following week, that had nearly doubled to 22a,000, meaning one in 240 had nearly doubled to 224,000, meaning one in 240 of the population had the virus. in wales, the figure in the

in the yorkshire and humber region, it was more than 4,000 extra cases — an increase of 113% on what we were originally told. civic leaders affected by restrictions in the north west say policy must be reconsidered. somebody should be checking this. this is a national government implementing the system and making decisions that are predicated on that evidence and the evidence, now we find, has been faulty. so how does the system work? tests of hospital staff and patients are analysed at nhs and public health laboratories. these seem to be working well. testing for the public and most care homes at drive through centres or with kits is partly done by private companies. they then send the swabs to the big lighthouse labs to analyse tests. these were set up by the government and are run by private companies and universities. they then pass on results to public health england, to be fed into the test and trace system for contacts to be followed up. this is where the it problems have occurred. phe says the issue has now been resolved, but wider challenges for people using the testing netw

deepest waters, we will harvest the gusts and by upgrading infrastructure in such places like teesside, humber and scotland and wales, we will increase an offshore wind capacity that is already the biggest in the world. as saudi arabia is to oil, the uk is to wind, a place of almost limitless resource, but in the case of wind, without the carbon emissions, without the damage to the environment. i remember how some people used to sneer at wind power 20 years ago, saying it wouldn't pull the skin off a rice pudding. well, they forgot the history of this country. it was offshore wind that puffed the sails of drake and raleigh and nelson and propelled this country to commercial greatness and this investment in offshore wind alone will help to create 60,000 jobs in this country and help us to get to net—zero carbon emissions by 2050. the labour leader sir keir starmer has also been speaking today — on a visit to frontline workers, he said the nhs needs more resources now, to cope with the additional pressures coming this winter. research out today, data out today, that shows a lot of nhs areas

the hardest hit area is yorkshire and the humber, where around one in a0 has the virus. while cases are highest in the north, infections are surging more rapidly in the south, where the estimated number two is above two. the authors of the report say arise in older cases is deeply worrying. in the over 65 age group, there has been a doubling. these are the most vulnerable groups in terms of the risk the infection will lead to severe illness and hospitalisation. wales is already in lockdown, northern ireland and scotland's central belt are under tighter controls. in england, the study suggests tougher restrictions are required or communities need to be better at following the rules. either way, it says changes are urgently needed. we don't have a plan today to do a full national lockdown. we can see that there are arguments in favour of that in terms of simplicity and clarity, but there are very strong arguments against it as well. but labour leader sir keir starmer has renewed his position. everybody is very concerned about the tragic number of cases and deaths. that is

0ns says that the highest rates were seen in north east and north west england, and yorkshire and the humber. local authority leaders in england are waiting to hear this afternoon what further local lockdown restrictions may look like in their areas, but there's been growing anger among mps and local leaders about the way the government has communicated proposed changes, as our correspondent katherine da costa reports. concern is growing the nhs could be overwhelmed. nationally, hospital admissions are doubling every fortnight. this graph for the north west shows the number of people over 60 needing hospital care for covid has started to accelerate in recent weeks. this is serious. it is getting out of control, and we have to do something to bring it back under control. we definitely need to work locally, and we definitely need to make sure that the communications are much clearer. in nottingham, new cases have shot up. two weeks ago, it was below the national average. in the week up to monday, there were 689 cases per 100,000 population. local leaders have pleaded for people not to mix this

and scotla nd places like teesside, humber and scotland and wales, we will increase an offshore wind capacity that is already the biggest in the world. as saudi arabia is to oil, the uk is to wind, a place of almost limitless resource, but in the case of wind, without the carbon emissions, without the carbon emissions, without the carbon emissions, without the damage to the environment. i remember how some people use to sneer at wind power 20 yea rs people use to sneer at wind power 20 years ago, saying it wouldn't pull the skin of a rice pudding. well, they forgot the history of this country. it was offshore wind that puff the sales of drake and nelson and propelled this country to commercial greatness and this investment in offshore wind alone will help to create 60,000 jobs in this country and help us to get to net a zero carbon emissions by 2050. imagine that future with high skills green collarjobs in wind and solar and nuclear, hydrogen and carbon ca ptu re and nuclear, hydrogen and carbon capture storage. retrofitting homes. ground source heat pumps. mother nature has savaged

across the humber bridge, grimsby was a key stop during last year's election campaign. boris johnson visited the famous fish market in december, and met patrick, who prepares and sells smoked fish. we caught up with him now to get his thoughts. we had the toughest year possible, and he's going to get it wrong. you know, i defy anybody to get what we have just been through, right. boris johnson visited the famous fish market in december, and met patrick, who prepares and sells smoked fish. we caught up with him now to get his thoughts. we had the toughest year possible, and he's going to get it wrong. you know, i defy anybody to get what we have just been through, right. the fishing trade was courted with conservative pledges and brexit. this is a town of traditional industry that labour wants back. mike, who also met the prime minister last year, does still support him. i do believe that boris is the right man for the job and i couldn't, i can't look at the present moment in time and think who's going to replace him. he does though question what's to come. i'm very conc

down by age band and by english region, beginning with the north—east, the north west, yorkshire and humber. and really, each of these subplots is a contrasting game of two halves in as much as the 10—19 and 20—29 age group, you can see that the weekly case rate has declined on all of those traces. now, this may be partly ascertainment, it may relate to the rate at which people are coming forward for testing, which is now flat, because the rate of swab positivity continues to increase. the other half of the coin, if you like, or the older age groups, from 30-39 like, or the older age groups, from 30—39 through to 80 plus, and here, you can see over time this continues to loom a continuing increase in case rates. this really shows us now that the infections which have seededin that the infections which have seeded in the younger age groups are now penetrating those older age groups as we go forward in time. and these are cases. this means that the hospital admissions and the deaths, sadly, that are linked to those cases, are now baked in for the next two or three weeks. next slide, ple

cases are still rising sharply in places like the north—west, yorkshire and humber. today, the estimated r number — so that's how many people infected, one infected person passes onto — that is1.1 or1.3. it is slightly down on last week, but anything over one means the virus is growing. the government's chief medical and scientific advisers, chris whitty and patrick vallance, have both warned restrictions in tier 3, the highest alert level in england, wouldn't be enough to bring the r number down. today, chris whitty tweeted that deaths and pressure on the nhs are increasing and sage, the advisory committee, wanted a two—week circuit breaker back in september to try to buy time to fix the test and trace system. labour wanted that in place over half term. we have seen wales has currently got a short fire breaker system in place. northern ireland and scotland have got their own controls in place, but the government is still sticking to a targeted approach for england in an effort to try to balance lives with the economy, but experts say the longer you leave it, t

it in the north—east and you can see it in yorkshire and humberjust you can see it in yorkshire and humber just beginning, but you can see it in yorkshire and humberjust beginning, but at an earlier stage. next please stop that is the direction of travel in terms of the creeping of the infection up through the age band in a given local or regional area. that brings my slides to a conclusion. i will 110w pass my slides to a conclusion. i will now pass to professor paris to prevent some further data on hospitalisations —— professor powis. thank you, jonathan. rising levels infections in the community are now leading to a rising level of hospital admissions. as a country, we can limit the impact of the virus using our three lines of defence — the first of these is the personal measures we all individually take to limit transmission, washing our hands, wearing masks, and keeping an appropriate distance from each other. these come along with other measures introduced by the government, such as the rule of six, have helped slow the transmission of the virus at the summer, as you have seen.

coronavirus cases in england has doubled in a week — with the north east, north west and yorkshire & the humber the worst affected areas, according to the latest data. the office for national statistics estimates that one in 240 people in england had the virus in the last week of september — with more than 17,000 people catching it every day. this figure is approximately double that reported for each of the last two weeks. our health editor hugh pym has the latest: more testing, part of the drive to rein in the spread of coronavirus. here at nottingham university, helping students get a quick result if they have symptoms. the government at westminster is set to announce new restrictions next week, in response to the general increase in infections. one survey involving random testing of people in the community showed that in a week in the middle of september, there were over 116,000 people infected in england. by the following week, that had nearly doubled to 22a,000, meaning one in 240 of the population had the virus. in wales, the figure in the middle of september was about 6500. by the next

in the yorkshire and humber region it was more than 4000 extra cases, an increase of 113% on what we were originally told. civic leaders affected by restrictions in the north—west say policy must be reconsidered. somebody should be checking this. this is a national government implementing the system and making decisions that are predicated on that evidence and the evidence now we find, has been faulty. so how does the system work? tests of hospital staff and patients are analysed at nhs and public health laboratories. these seem to be working well. testing for the public and most care homes that drive through centres or kits is partly done by private companies. they send swabs to big lighthouse labs to run tests, set up by the government and run by private companies and universities. they then pass on results to public health england, to be fed into the test and trace system for contacts to be followed up. this is where the it problems have occurred. phe says the issue has been resolved now, but wider challenges for people using the testing network remain. a surge in demand caused

is a national problem but probably feels most acute if you're living in the north west yorkshire and humber where you have seen the largest absolute rise in the number of cases. i think we can show that to the audience and you can see that it is roughly, if you look at the number of cases that were reported for the week up to the 1st of october and how that evolved from friday night through to sunday night, when all the new cases were added in, the red area shows the additional, it is roughly doubling everywhere. between 90% and 130% increases so that is business as usual, test coming in from a wednesday or thursday over the weekend, but most of it is this glitch. it has mostly doubled everywhere, but doubling mean something very different if you're in the north—west, where you are a seeing about 9000 cases a week compared to if you're had any south—east or south—west when it is closer to 1000. so it is not concentrated in one area, but when most of the cases are, the net result is that it has at the biggest absolute effect there and you have seen that any biggest rise we have seen in

steadily in the north—east, the north west, and yorkshire and the north west, and yorkshire and the humber. at a more moderate rate in the east and west midlands, and in london. next slide, please. and ata in london. next slide, please. and at a much lower right, currently, but i think we should not be lulled into a false sense of security, in the south—west, the east of england and the south—east. next slide, please. and i think something which has got a lot of traction over the la st has got a lot of traction over the last few days, in the press, is the fa ct last few days, in the press, is the fact that there are very variable rates by different age groups, and in blue, light blue, we have those 10-19, in in blue, light blue, we have those 10—19, in reality this is mainly people over the age of 16, and what we have in these areas is the first rapid rise is in younger people, but then you start to see rises across then you start to see rises across the entire age group, and this is illustrated in areas of the north, but the same pattern seen at a much lower rate elsewhere in the co

result of £160 million worth of investment going into sites in humberand investment going into sites in humber and teesside and also elsewhere in the uk. the prime minister will be hoping that talking about this bold aim for the future we'll satisfy some of those conservative mps you mentioned, who are anxious that the prime minister needs to look past the pandemic and remind them and voters what the government plans to do after it won its landslide victory at the end of last year. but there will be questions about how it is all going to be paid for, as ever, and the man writing the cheques, the chancellor, rishi sunak, has been out and about this morning after his speech to the party conference yesterday, reaffirming that message that he had, that he will need to balance the books before too long. as to how he is going to do that, and how the government might look to raise taxes to potentially pay back some of the huge feel that it has racked up in its response to the pandemic, we got very little in the way of detail on the chancellor this morning. but it was interesting to hear him talking a

prevalence is still highest in yorkshire and the humber, where one in a0 people are estimated to be affected. on average though, just over one in 100 people are thought to be infected in england, where the r number is 1.6. but infections are increasing rapidly in the rest of the country. the highest r number is in london, 2.86. the south—east and the east of england is also above two. even though people are taking lots of measures, and there's an awful lot of thought and an awful lot of kind of intervention policy in place, we have seen a consistent pattern of the number of infections going up, and that's generating hospitalisations and deaths. then the patterns we are seeing in most recent data suggests those rates of hospitalisations and deaths, unfortunately, are likely to increase. researchers say there has to be a change in measures or people's behaviour sooner rather than later, if further hospitalisations and deaths from covid—19 are to be avoided. pallab ghosh, bbc news. 0ur political correspondent, jonathan blake is at westminster. this will add to the pressure, surely, jonathan

significant delay and we're seeing increases now that are quite noticeable in the north west yorkshire and humber in the northeast and increasingly in the millions as well but the other areas will follow because they will follow the n.h.s. admissions so that all the data in terms of looking backwards those data are those have already happened patrick is now going to talk briefly about the projections forwards thank you kind of the 1st light please so just to recap at the moment. these are 3 different ways of looking at it from different studies all the consensus group from the modelers the number of people every day with coded catching new and its $50000.00 plus most likely is the number and perhaps half a 1000000 people or more overall with the disease next slide please. the op was relatively flat and below one below the red line means the epidemic is shrinking above the red line means it's growing and you can see from august on words the r. went above one the epidemic grew and continues to grow so will though some of the measures that are in place have eased off perhaps the rate of growth is st

the north—east, the south—west, yorkshire and the humber and the east midlands also saw their testing figures for the last week more than double and yorkshire and humber had more than 3000 extra cases, in fact 4444 was the difference. it was an increase of a hundred and 13%. looking at the breakdown, it is quite dramatic when you look at it region by region. the highest proportion in impact was the east midlands which went from 1695 confirmed cases prior to the new cases coming to light, after that it has gone up to 3683, which is a rise of the hundred so it goes through. south—west up 824 cases. a bigger rise in the north—east and in london, there was a big rise. 2295 cases, just under 100% increase. these figures very uncomfortable for the government, how that glitch happened and also what it means because when you look at the statistics showing that the highest number of missed cases was in areas that are already under strict lockdown, it is going to lead to questions as to why that has been so and whether there will need to be a new strategy to get those cases under control. t

and humber accounts forjust over half of the deaths involving covid in the last week. if we look at the hospitalisations, that is where we are seeing the greatest numbers going into hospital with coronavirus, in the south—west it is only three people in a week, but the fa ct we only three people in a week, but the fact we are seeing the concentration in the north of england does not mean there will not be any writers, because we have seen eating indicators of cases writing elsewhere in the country and the number of people going into hospital also rising, so definitely concentrated in one part of the country but that is not mean it is the only place it is happening. funky very much, robert. —— thank you very much. mps will today vote on the government's new three—tier system of coronavirus restrictions, which comes into effect tomorrow. so far only the liverpool city region is in the "very high" category. pubs and bars will close, except where serving "substa ntial meals", households can't mix indoors or out. this is from tomorrow. gyms, leisure centres, betting