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so everybody on this stage agrees on a lot of things on the importance of ingenuity and creativity i think deep down we are all optimists otherwise we wouldn't be working on this we agree that climate change is real it's caused by humans and sadly we also agree that efforts to mitigate it to reduce greenhouse gases over the years have been mother's rule so why are we even arguing it really as we said comes down to mitigation if you excuse the the wonk speak uh basically reducing greenhouse gases to prevent to prevent more need for adaptation which as you hear is protecting ourselves from the effects of climate change my work focuses on big obvious high impact crises like climate change they're the sorts of things that are right in front of us that we're talking about that we know are happening picture a giant gray rhino charging right at you and giving you a choice of what to do so my work has shown me first of all that humans are way worse than we'd like to think at both recognizing and acting on these gray rhinos we've got cognitive biases and perverse incentives that are really messing us up but i've also realized that we are not condemned to ignore these things like climate change however they're really two extremes of people and some in the middle on the one end are the people who recognize it who do what they can who don't need to know exactly the details but they know that something is urgent and they deal with it the other ones say well it's not that serious oh yeah we can deal with it oh it's somebody else's responsibility and what i'd like you to consider tonight is where you are on that spectrum and of course climate change is quite daunting and i could cite studies until i'm blue in the face and you are all asleep i'm not going to do that i'm just going to say that some of the world's leading scholars and scientists have concluded that it's quite possible for us to come to a safe point to to reduce global warming warming to a point where we can feel confident we can survive with as little as one percent of gdp each year by comparison the us alone spent 27 of gdp and counting on covid every year we spend seven percent of gdp to subsidize fossil fuels the very things that are causing the problem so taxpayers are paying for the subsidies and then they're paying to clean them up so that's that's not quite okay but if we were just to switch those subsidies those funds and some of the financing that's right now going to dirty fuels to clean fuels we could prompt one of the biggest economic and social transformations since the internet since electricity since the steam engine our colleagues and us both agree that we need to invest in research and development we also need to invest in installation of clean tech to bring the rest of the world who doesn't have enough electricity onto the grid but through cleaner ways this will reduce poverty it will help us to be healthier and cleaner and safer adaptation is just basically spending money to stay in place so what i want you to go away with tonight is is to think about can we afford to risk that climate change won't be as bad as expected can we afford to count on humans adapting as much as we needed i think you know the answer for me is no and i'm hoping that you all will vote no to come to the same conclusion thank you very much [Applause]
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