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A Unified Plan for Ocean Science 



A Long-Range Plan 

for the 

Division of Ocean Sciences 

of the 



National Science Foundation 




DOCUMENT LIBRARY 
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1987 





Advisory Committee on Ocean Sciences 

August 1987 



A Unified Plan for Ocean Science 






DOCUMEMT LIBRARY 
WOODS \^SyjL GCEANOGaAPHlC INSTiTUilOM 



A Long-Range Plan 

for the 

Division of Ocean Sciences 

of the 

National Science Foundation 



Advisory Committee on Ocean Sciences 

August 1987 



Initial Editing by Vicky Cullen, 
Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution 

Production by Lisa Lynch, 
Joint Oceanographic institutions, inc. 

Publication of this report was supported by grant #OCE 86- 1 380 1 
from the National Science Foundation 



Table of Contents 



Letter of Transmittal ii 

Advisory Committee on Ocean Sciences (1983-1987) Hi 

Executive Summary 1 

Section I. Global Ocean Research: A Time for Action 3 

Section II. A Unified Plan 

A. The Ocean Sciences Core Research Program 9 

B. The Global Program 12 

Initiative 1. Global Ocean Studies 12 

Initiative 2. Ocean LIthosphere Studies 19 

Section III. Program Areas 

A. Physical Oceanography Program 22 

B. Chemical Oceanography Program 28 

C. Biological Oceanography Program 35 

D. Marine Geology and Geophysics Program 44 

E. Ocean Drilling Program 52 

F. Oceanographic Technology Programs 56 

G. Ship Operations, Shipboard Scientific Equipment 

and Ship Construction/Conversion 60 

Section IV. Budgets 

Composite 69 

A. Physical Oceanography 71 

B. Chemical Oceanography 72 

C. Biological Oceanography 73 

D. Marine Geology and Geophysics 74 

E. Ocean Drilling ^ 75 

F. Ocean Technology 76 

G. Ship Operations 77 



UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON 

SEATTLE, WASHINGTON 98195 



School of Oceanography. WB-10 August 24, 1987 



Dear Colleague: 

On behalf of the Advisory Committee for Ocean Sciences (ACQS) , I am 
pleased to transmit the 1987 revision of the Long-Range Plan for the 
Division of Ocean Sciences (OCE) . 

The concept and outline of the plan was initiated by the AOOS in 1983. 
The Committee, working closely with the OCE staff, developed a Long-Range 
Plan (IRP) to identify needs and priorities for ocean research and research 
infrastructure. The IRP, conpleted in the spring of 1984, was favorably 
revi^tfed by the Board on Ocean Science and Policy of the National Research 
Council that summer. The Plan was adopted at the ACOS meeting in May, 1985. 

At the same time, ACOS laid the grounc3work to revise the LRP every two 
or three years and established an AOOS Subcommittee to lead that effort 
during 1986. The Ocean Studies Board again reviewed the draft IPP in 1986. 
Ihe revised LRP was approved by AOOS at the May, 1987 meeting. 

The long-range planning activity has extended over several years, led 
by several ACOS chairs with contributions from many members and OCE staff. 
Particular thanks go to Vera Alexander and Bob Corel 1 v^o preceded me as 
chair and to the ACOS members vAiose names appear on the attached list. 

The budgetary framework embodied in this version of the LRP reflects 
actual funding availability only through FY-87. Beyond that, it projects 
funding levels that in the committee's view, represent optimum opportunities 
for scientific advancement. It does not, and is not intended to, reflect 
NSF endorsement of the LRP and the concomitant funding levels. 

On behalf of the ACOS, I am grateful for wide-spread interest and 
si:pport throughout the community and for the opportunity to submit this 
Long-Range Plan for Ocean Sciences. 




Brian T.R. Lewis, 
Chairman 



EfTRI/saf 
Enclosure 



Advisory Committee on Ocean Sciences, 1983-1987 



Vera Alexander 
University of Alaska 

Donald Boesch 

Louisiana Universities Marine Consortium 

Otis Brown 
University of Miami 

Douglas Caldwell 
Oregon State University 

Robert Corell 

University of New Hampshire 

Robert Douglas 

University of Southern California 

Richard Eppley 

Scripps Institution of Oceanography 

Dale Haidvogei 

Johns Hopkins University 

William Hay 
University of Colorado 

Terrence Joyce 

Woods Hole Oceanographic. Institution 

David Karl 
University of Hawaii 

Jay Langfelder 

Harbor Branch Oceanographic Institution 

Marcus Langseth 

Lamont-Doherty Geological Observatory 



John Lehman 
University of Michigan 

Margaret Leinen 
University of Rhode Island 

Brian Lewis 

University of Washington 

John Martin 

San Jose State University 

Mary Jane Perry 
University of Washington 

Charles Peterson 
University of North Carolina 

Allan R. Robinson 
Harvard University 

Thomas Royer 
University of Alaska 

Constance Sancetta 

Lamont-Doherty Geological Observatory 

Jorge Sarmiento 
Princeton University 

David Schink 

Texas A&M University 

Friedrich Schott 
University of Miami 

Derek Spencer 

Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution 

Fred Spiess 

Scripps Institution of Oceanography 



Liaison Members: 



John Booker 

University of Washington 

Robert Duce 

University of Rhode Island 



John Hobbie 

Marine Biological Laboratory, Woods Hole 



/// 



Executive Summary 

Knowledge of the oceans and continental margins has expanded dramatically in recent years 
bringing insights about the oceans and their role in the complex processes that govern the 
nature and health of our planet. 

This Unified Plan is the product of a science that has matured extraordinarily during the past 
decade and that is poised to address scientific questions of vital national interest. The Plan is 
based on the following premises: 

• Progress in the ocean sciences requires a mix of fundamental research, including both 
small projects and multidisciplinary large-scale research that connects the sciences of 
the ocean, atmosphere, and solid earth. 

• Ocean sciences, together with the other geosciences, can expand our knowledge of the 
interrelationships at work around the globe by describing how the component parts and 
their interactions have evolved, how they function, and how they may be expected to 
continue to evolve in the future. 

• Essential technologies and techniques to exploit the potential of the ocean sciences are 
becoming available and proven, particularly earth/ocean observing satellites, computer 
systems, and advanced methods and sampling systems. 

• The National Science Foundation, together with the academic ocean community, should 
continue to craft long-range plans and strategies for ocean research that recognize 
national scientific interests and that build upon a community consensus concerning 
research trends and priorities. 

The Plan sets forth a unified approach for the Division of Ocean Sciences of the NSF. It 
highlights, in three parts, a global program in oceanic and ocean iithospheric research. 

Section I describes the underlying need for an NSF-supported ocean science research 
program that addresses priority global scale research initiatives and core programs of 
research in the ocean science disciplines. 

Section II develops the unifying themes of the ocean sciences and presents a detailed 
projection for the global interdisciplinary ocean sciences research programs and for the 
fundamental core discipline-based research programs. It also details the vital importance of 
support for an infrastructure of modern and efficient ships and platforms, advanced technology, 
new equipment and facilities, and an aggressive international program in Ocean Drilling. The 
essential ingredients are: 

• The Core Program - Priorities for this Core Program are outlined for the four 
disciplinary aspects of the ocean sciences (i.e., biology, chemistry, geology and 
geophysics, and physical oceanography), for the Ocean Drilling Program, and for advanced 
programs in oceanographic technology. Further, Critical Needs are outlined for the future 
in the core programs, including constructing and refitting research vessels for scientific 
operations, facilities, new technology, post doctoral training, biotechnology and ODP 
sample analyses. 



The Global Program - Plans for NSF-supported Global Ocean Studies and Global 
Ocean Lithosphere Studies are described, both as components of NSF's Global Geosciences 
Program, and as parts of a program to study global change. These are seen as 
contributions to international efforts such as WOCE, WCRP, GOFS and IGBP. The Global 
Ocean Studies focus research on global ocean circulation, climate, and productivity; open 
ocean fluxes; coastal ocean dynamics and fluxes; ecosystem dynamics and recruitment 
mechanisms; and the land/sea interface. The Ocean Lithosphere Studies focus on ridge 
crest processes and on tectonics and structures of submerged continental margins. 



Section III presents a program plan and prospectus for each major program component of the 
Ocean Sciences Division of NSF. Long-range planning priorities are recommended for the: 

Physical Oceanography Program; 
Chemical Oceanography Program; 
Biological Oceanography Program; 
Marine Geology and Geophysics Program; 
Ocean Drilling Program; 
Oceanographic Technology Program; and 
Ship Operations, Shipboard Scientific Equipment, 
and Ship Construction/Conversion. 



The Plan includes information on recent, present, and planned NSF ocean sciences budgets. It 
details FY 1989 through FY 1996 budget perspectives by program areas and program elements. 
The budget outlined is designed to present an aggressive Ocean Sciences Program, consistent 
with overall NSF strategic planning guidelines and with the vital contribution that these 
sciences can play in the nation's science policies and interests. 



Section I 

Global Ocean Research: 

A Time for Action 

In the rapidly evolving ocean sciences, new data, ideas, models and methods are bringing 
previously unrecognized phenomena to light providing us with new perspectives on 
interrelationships on our planet. This new global perspective has also brought a fuller 
realization that the processes regulating conditions on Earth are delicately balanced and easily 
perturbed. 

Growing human populations affect the land, air and water worldwide. The global food supply 
depends critically upon climate. Carbon dioxide released into the atmosphere by burning fossil 
fuels is changing the earth's temperature. While the oceans will eventually absorb much of 
this material, it will not happen soon enough. Therefore, we need a much better understanding 
of the consequences. How do changing rainfall patterns affect farm fertility? How soon will 
polar ice caps melt and how much will sea level be raised? 

The monsoon has long been recognized as a control on the success of the harvest in India and 
Southeast Asia. Now it appears that the monsoon is controlled by an atmospheric phenomenon 
called the Southern Oscillation, which in turn controls El Nino in the ocean off Peru. El Nino Is 
best known for devastating Peruvian fisheries in 1 972 and 1 982-83, but its effects are more 
far reaching. The 1982-83 El Nino has been blamed for disrupting ecosystems as far away as 
the Gulf of Alaska, triggering ravaging storms on the west coast of North America, drenching 
the U.S. "sun-belt" with unusually heavy rains, and leaving a thick snow pack in the Rocky 
Mountains that later produced heavy flooding in Colorado. Accurate forecasts reduce damage 
from such events. 

Metal-rich deposits forming at ocean ridges and on seamounts may be an important source of 
strategic metals, such as cobalt. Models of their formation provide clues to the location of 
similar deposits on land, yet the processes forming such deposits are largely unknown. 

The largest untapped resources of hydrocarbons are located on submerged continental margins. 
Their detection and recovery require understanding the processes which form the margins. As 
United States hydrocarbon reserves decline, it is imperative that the science underpinning 
discovery and recovery of new resources be pursued. 

The need for a more unified global perspective is compelling. Modern ocean science is a 
sophisticated and quantitative endeavor that draws upon and influences the fundamental 
sciences. Physically, as a turbulent fluid, the ocean provides input to development of the 
dynamics of nonlinear mechanical systems and shares the complexities of these systems. 
Chemically, the numerous reactive molecules, compounds, and ions in solution tax the limits of 
analytical skills and the understanding of rates and equilibria. Biologically, the diversity of 
organisms and complexity of their interrelationships within the marine biosphere present 
challenges for development of new models and techniques applicable to organismal, molecular, 
and evolutionary biology in general. Geologically, ocean studies provide the key to 
understanding past climates, the formation of many mineral resources, the causes of major 
earthquakes, and the evolution of the oceans in the context of a dynamic earth. 



Although oceanography is by nature an interdisciplinary science, the greater part of marine 
research over past decades has been traditionally segmented into programs focused on one or 
another of its component disciplines. Recently the disciplinary lines have begun to dissolve and 
growing attention to interdisciplinary studies has produced some dramatic progress. The 
problems now at hand call for even greater interaction among ocean scientists. Although 
focused disciplinary research remains essential, substantial increases in integrated efforts are 
now imperative. 



Developing the Unified Approach: The Work to Be Done 

Some pathways to a global approach are clearly indicated. We must better define ocean 
circulation, its associated physical processes, and the biological,geological, and chemical 
consequences. General circulation patterns, their variabilities, dynamics, associated boundary 
interactions, and resulting fluxes must be studied more intensely with programs designed to 
determine global and mesoscale patterns. Data from dedicated field experiments addressing the 
dynamics of the general circulation with its major current systems (Gulf Stream, Kuroshio) 
will help to define the general circulation, including large-scale mean fields and basin 
interconnections. 

The ocean and atmosphere form a tightly coupled system that largely controls the earth's 
climate and its variability. The ocean plays two important roles: heat storage and transport of 
heat and water. Intermediate and deep waters, by their heat content, reflect air-sea exchange 
processes extending over periods ranging from years to centuries. A better grasp of air-sea 
exchange on a global scale will advance our understanding of the earth's climate-control 
systems. 

Ocean currents exert a major control over distributions and fluxes of materials in the sea. 
Elements and compounds such as carbon, nitrogen, sulphur, phosphorus, water, biogenic gases, 
and man-made aerosols all have important roles in complex global cycles. The magnitude of the 
exchanges in these cycles is virtually unknown. Inputs from human activity mark many of 
these cycles and may serve as useful tracers for the processes involved. Some of man's waste 
products can themselves modify the global systems. For example, the build-up in atmospheric 
carbon dioxide since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution has caused a worldwide rise in 
temperature and possibly in sea level as well. 

Chemical cycles and physical processes must be understood if we are to interpret the biological 
structure and dynamics of the world ocean, including primary and secondary production, 
recruitment of populations, predation, and decomposition. The general relationship between 
oceanic physical processes and marine ecosystems has long been recognized, but only in the last 
few years has enough been learned to address specific problems. We are just beginning to 
comprehend the effects of large-scale ocean phenomena (such as El Nino) on marine 
ecosystems. 

At the same time, studies of processes on smaller spatial and temporal scales are essential to a 
better understanding of large scale phenomena. Modern approaches to these studies may include 
large experimental ecosystems (mesocosms) to examine the cycling of biologically important 
materials and the role which key predators play in structuring pelagic communities. Other 
important, but poorly understood, processes which operate at intermediate temporal and 
spatial scales include the distribution, recruitment mechanisms, and trophic relationships of 
invertebrate and fish larvae. 



Coastal regions are only a small fraction of the total volume of the ocean, but they exert a 
disproportionate influence upon it. Human activities have the greatest impact in this zone. But 
the interaction goes both ways - conditions in the coastal zone can also have great influence on 
human activities. Most rivers enter the sea through estuarine zones, complex, highly variable 
regions that often show immense biological productivity. Each is distinct, and each modifies the 
material passing through it in its particular fashion. Many coastal zone organisms range far 
and influence open-ocean communities. Natural and man-made materials washed or blown 
from the continent either settle and interact with the biota or move out to sea. The resultant 
fluxes of chemicals, particles, and biota represent boundary conditions that must be defined if 
we are to understand the ocean system. 

In the surface layer, plankton convert dissolved materials into a vertical flux of particulate 
matter. As particles sink, consumption, decomposition, and chemical exchanges (dissolution 
and adsorption) modify their original composition. Much of the particulate matter returns to 
solution at various depths as it falls or is eaten, digested, and excreted. Some fraction of the 
particulate mass, still reactive, reaches the bottom. Chemical and biological modifications 
occur within the sediments. To a large extent, the sediment particles themselves consist of the 
remains of planktonic organisms. Their organic components are progressively degraded as 
bottom dwellers consume them, but a small fraction of the organics may persist and eventually 
become petroleum. The skeletal remains mostly redissolve, but some endure and survive 
burial to become a part of the sediment where they record the ocean's history over millions of 
years. 

The thick sediment deposits along the continental margins form a significant repository for 
products of ocean-continent interaction. Understanding the distribution and history of these 
deposits provides temporal constraints on chemical, biological, and particulate fluxes, as well 
as a guide to the evolution of biota, climate, and oceanographic conditions during their 
formation. The deepest sediments along passive continental margins record the earliest history 
of new ocean basins created by continental rifting and seafloor spreading. Ocean drilling 
provides access to the deep sedimentary layers in the margins and ocean basins and the crustal 
rocks beneath them. 

Deep-ocean ridge crest processes are responsible for the chemical and thermal properties of 
hydrothermal vent systems. These systems are important as sources and sinks for chemical 
elements in the oceans and are responsible for extensive sulfide mineralization. They provide 
unique habitats fervent communities. Through seafloor spreading, ocean ridge systems create 
and modify 70% of the earth's crust. A comprehensive understanding of the processes that 
control the dynamics, structure, composition and variability of these systems is required. 



The Geosciences: A New Global Initiative 

The scientific issues and global perspectives of the ocean sciences are critical components of the 
tightly connected ocean-atmosphere-geosphere-biosphere system. Taken together, they form a 
major new initiative within the National Science Foundation known as the Global Geosciences 
Program, begun in FY 1 987. This effort, in which ocean sciences play an integral part, 
consists of separate but related research efforts and treats the earth as an integrated system of 
physical processes. It encompasses the full range of earth sciences and includes global 
tropospheric chemistry, properties of the solid earth, dynamics of global ecosystems, and 
features of global ocean and atmospheric circulation and biogeochemical fluxes as well as their 
relationship to climate variability. 

5 



The Global Geosclences Program is designed to examine four components of the global system - 
atmosphere, ocean, biosphere and solid earth - and includes seven programs of study: 

Global Tropospheric Chemistry, 

World Ocean Circulation Experiment (WOCE), 

Studies of Interannual Variability of the 

Tropical Ocean and Global Atmosphere (TOGA), 
Global Ocean Flux Studies (GOFS), 
Global Ecosystem Dynamics, 
Ocean Lithosphere Processes, and 
Remote Sensing of the Solid Earth. 

The Global Geosclences Program was born of a gradual evolution of the sciences involved, 
major advances in observing systems, and the advent of supercomputers. Since the early 
1980's, attention has focused on studying the environment within a planetary context. 
Large-scale complex feedback mechanisms operate among the fluid, living, and solid 
components of the Earth system. They must be more completely understood in order to address 
such fundamental issues as climatic change and predictability, changing carbon dioxide 
concentrations, acid rain, and the exchange of heat and biological species within the 
atmosphere, ocean, and biosphere. 

The NSF Global Geosclences Program is the keystone of a national effort to improve fundamental 
understanding of global change which is being coordinated other Federal agencies. This effort, 
referred to as a "Scientific Program of Research into Global Change", will benefit from a series 
of other activities recently completed or now underway. For example, the Office of Science and 
Technology Policy (OSTP) has completed for the President an review of the applicability of 
space-based remote sensing to study of the earth system. The National Academy of Sciences is 
establishing a new standing committee to address problems related to global change. 

Internationally, components of the NSF Global Geosclences Program are already contributing to 
major global studies being sponsored by the International Council of Scientific Unions (ICSU) 
in cooperation with intergovernmental organizations such as the World Meteorological 
Organization (WMO) and the Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC) of Unesco. 
The NSF TOGA program organized by ICSU and WMO as a part of the World Climate Research 
Program (WCRP). Similarly, the NSF WOCE program is a driving force in the planning of the 
WCRP's international WOCE program. 

The International Geosphere-Biosphere Program (IGBP) being developed by ICSU is likely to 
rely heavily on the efforts undenway under GOFS to provide a sound basis for its planning. The 
International Lithosphere Program will clearly benefit from the results of the NSF program 
for study of Ocean Lithosphere Processes. These international efforts, to which the NSF Global 
Geosclences Program will be a major contributor, provide an opportunity for truly integrated 
studies of the earth's environment necessary to establish the basis for effective management of 
the world's resources and protection of the global environment. 



utilizing Modern Teciinoiogy 

Availability of new methodologies account for the rapid pace of the ocean sciences in recent 
years. Future progress depends upon continuing development of techniques in exploration, 
measurement, and comprehension. An important role will be played by greater availability of 
laboratory-based instrumentation such as electron microprobes, ion probes, electron 
microscopes, ultraviolet laser Raman spectrometers, accelerator mass spectrometers, and 
liquid chromatographs, and also by a growing arsenal of sophisticated shipboard water 
samplers and measuring instruments. 

For example, biologists are deploying new sampling systems ranging from highly instrumented 
nets with twenty square meter openings to ship-board flow cytometers and towed underwater 
multi-frequency acoustic sonar systems for studying plankton. Geologists have benefited from 
new developments in long-range side-scan sonar systems, a constant series of advances in 
multichannel seismic surveying and signal processing, cryogenic magnetometers, long-coring 
systems, ocean bottom and near ocean bottom instruments and survey vehicles. Submersibles 
have provided a first glimpse of unsuspected seafloor biota and processes; surely much remains 
undiscovered. 

Remote sensing methods (acoustic mapping of water masses and airborne - especially 
satellite-based observations) are revolutionizing our understanding of ocean systems. 
Measurements can be made simultaneously around the world of sea surface height, 
temperature, plant pigments, winds, and ice cover. Combined with in situ (surface and deep 
ocean) observations and with subsurface interpretive models, remote sensing provides a 
quality and quantity of information impossible to obtain a short time ago. But the resulting 
flood of information threatens to overwhelm our ability to assimilate it. High-speed 
data-transmission networks are required to distribute the flow of measurements, to make them 
accessible to researchers and to permit large data sets to be incorporated into models of ocean 
phenomena. Supercomputers and related facilities are critically important to digesting and 
interpreting this wealth of data. 

Expansions in computing capability are producing yet another revolution in ocean science. 
Numerical models offer a powerful tool for increased understanding. As supercomputers 
become more accessible, models can become more sophisticated, less abstract. For instance, our 
new global view provides a better understanding of how the atmosphere affects the ocean. By 
comparing these models with actual ocean behavior, scientists can modify the models to better 
represent the ocean and to quantify its influence on earth's climate. Thus, continued expansion 
in computational power is a key ingredient in the new global ocean science. 



Expanding the Effort 

Scientific progress tends to be erratic. Occasionally, developments in basic understanding or 
technology coalesce to produce dramatic advances. Such a breakthrough is now in prospect, 
balanced national program of interdisciplinary, global perspectives and traditional focused 
projects will provide a new vision of the earth-ocean-atmosphere system. A major increase in 
global geosciences research with an interdisciplinary approach exploiting new technology will 
produce a tremendous increase in our understanding of the earth system. 



In the United States, the NSF Is the lead agency for research In ocean science. Through Its 
commitment and allocation of resources NSF provides leadership, guiding the growth and 
evolution of ocean science. As such It has the responsibility to foster the planning required for 
the continued development of ocean science in the nation's academic institutions. The Foundation 
involves the ocean scientific community in its planning and funding activities. NSF workshops 
and studies solicit advice from advisory groups and panels, Including the Advisory Committee 
for Ocean Science and the National Research Council's Ocean Studies Board. NSF interacts and 
coordinates work with other agencies (ONR, NASA, NOAA, DOE, EPA, USGS, etc.), relating 
fundamental research to national needs and policy. 

The Division of Ocean Sciences has recognized the need for and accepted responsibility for 
fostering advancement and unification of ocean science. It has, through its Advisory Committee, 
formulated In this report a plan for a decade of rapid progress. 



Section II 
A Unified Plan 
A. The Ocean Sciences 
Core Research Program 

The Division of Ocean Sciences supports research through two Sections. The Research Section 
funds investigations in Biological, Chemical, and Physical Oceanography, and IVIarine Geology 
and Geophysics. The Oceanographic Centers and Facilities Section underwrites Ship Operations, 
Oceanographic Technology, and the Ocean Drilling Program. 

A unified plan for growth in Ocean Sciences must recognize that new research initiatives arise 
from the core programs and their support for relatively small projects in traditional 
disciplines. This core has critical needs that should be addressed to allow the individual 
investigators access to improved facilities and analysis techniques, to train new Ph.D-level 
scientists in these technological innovations, and to undertake new research beyond that called 
for in the Global Geosciences initiatives, such as in marine biotechnology and ocean drilling 
core analysis. 

The Physical Oceanography Program is concerned with understanding the circulation of 
the major oceans and adjacent seas, continental shelves, estuaries and large lakes. 
Investigators study physical properties, water boundaries, and the driving forces, such as 
winds, solar radiation, precipitation and evaporation, the earth's rotation, and tides. The 
program is divided into five areas: ocean circulation, coastal and estuarine circulation, 
ocean/atmosphere coupling, surface and internal waves and tides, and microstructure and 
turbulence. 

The Chemical Oceanography Program supports scientists who seek to understand 
processes affecting the chemistry of oceans, estuaries, and large lakes, and the way they 
respond when perturbed. They study processes and mechanisms affecting chemical compounds 
and phases in the ocean to determine routes and rates of supply to and removal from the ocean as 
well as alterations during transit. The program is divided into five areas: equilibria and 
physiochemical properties; transfers and transformations at the land/sea boundary; material 
fluxes, transport, and alterations; the influence of biochemical processes; and development of 
tracers to study large-scale processes. 

The Biological Oceanography Program has wide responsibilities involving the support of 
scientists to study and predict relationships among marine organisms and their interaction 
with geochemical and physical processes. A central focus is to understand ecosystems ranging 
from ocean margins and continental shelves to central gyres and ocean basins, and ultimately to 
understand the role of organisms in global-scale processes. Biological oceanography involves 
research into primary production; microbial loop processes and the role of microorganisms as 
sources and sinks of materials and nutrients; higher trophic levels and food webs; and 
communities adapted to specialized, extreme environments. 



The Marine Geology and Geophysics Program includes work on the composition and 
evolution of oceanic crust, deep ocean basins, and continental margins; the distribution, 
composition and history of terrigenous and biogenic sediments on the seafloor; and the history 
of the oceans. Research methods include seismic reflection and refraction; magnetic studies of 
the crust and sediments; analysis of gravity data; petrologic and geochemical study of ocean 
crustal rocks; paleontologic, mineralogic, and geochemical analyses of marine sediments; and 
studies of samples recovered by the Ocean Drilling Program. 

The Ocean Drilling Program is an international effort to explore the structure and history 
of the earth beneath the ocean basins and margins using the drilling vessel JOIDES Resolution. 
Samples are analyzed aboard ship along with results from logging, other downhole experiments, 
and regional geophysical field studies to address important problems. These include crustal 
evolution, crustal structure, and hydrothermal systems at midocean ridges; tectonic and 
sedimentary history of passive and active margins; origin of island arc systems; response of 
marine sedimentation to sea level changes; global mass balance of sediments; history of ocean 
circulation (paleoceanography); and evolution of marine organisms. 

The Oceanographic Technology Program provides funds for Ocean Sciences research 
activities in three distinct areas: shipboard technician support, acquisition of shared-use 
scientific instrumentation, and new instrument development. 

The Ship Operations Program provides funds for the operation and maintenance of 
research vessels used by NSF-funded scientists. This includes funding for crew and marine 
staff salaries; maintenance, overhaul, and repair; insurance; direct operating costs such as 
fuel, food, supplies, and pilot fees; shore facility costs directly related to ship operations; and 
indirect costs. 

The Shipboard Scientific Support Equipment Program provides funds for ship 
equipment deemed essential to the proper and safe conduct of ocean science research. This 
includes such items as deck, navigational, and communication equipment. 

The Ship Construction or Conversion Program supports new ship construction, 
conversion of ships to research vessels, and remodeling and refitting existing research ships. 



Areas of Critical Need for the Core Programs 

The program described above has developed through proposal pressure and scientific judgement 
to make the most of limited basic research funding. Examination of future research 
opportunities indicates that this core program should grow in several areas. Some of this 
growth involves increases in research support for specific subdisciplines, while most program 
areas require improved support to introduce new technology, train future scientists, and 
facilitate processing of data. All three of the latter activities are common to all of the 
sub-disciplines. 



10 



Technology Development and Support: New instrument and vehicle capabilities can both 
accelerate progress in ocean sciences and render its operations more cost effective. It is 
essential to bring new concepts into reality and assure their effective use through technical 
support centers sen/ing large segments of the community; an example is projected development 
and support of an accelerator mass spectrometer center for isotope studies. It is important to 
upgrade geochemical analytical capabilities with new generation instruments (electron 
microprobes, ion probes, mass spectrometers, etc.) and to provide physical oceanographers 
with modern current meters, instrumented current-tracking floats, and acoustic 
current-measuring systems (tomography, multibeam doppler). Biological oceanography 
requires continued development of new sampling and analytical tools (acoustic and optical 
sensors, flow cytometry, satellite remote sensing, mid- and shallow-water submersibles, and 
remotely operated vehicles). 



Establishment and Operation of Essential New Facilities: The effectiveness of ocean 
sciences research would also be enhanced by establishment of several new support facilities. 
The principal need is for an essential data and communications network offering a selection of 
hardware/software options for accessing satellite and other data, for building local data 
archives, and for interactive processing, analysis, and interpretation of these data. There is a 
related need for an ocean modeling facility to provide high-quality supercomputing capability 
for large data sets. In order to take advantage of recently developed capabilities to take long 
undisturbed cores from the seafloor, a long-core facility should be established to fill the gap 
between standard piston coring and the continuous cores obtained by the Ocean Drilling 
Program. 

General Facilities Improvement: Enhanced support is required to upgrade and renovate 
the generally decaying and outmoded shorebased infrastructure, including buildings and 
facilities at academic institutions and coastal laboratories. This is needed not only to ensure the 
continued productivity of the core programs but also to provide facilities essential to the 
success of unified ocean science initiatives. 

Postdoctoral Program: The vitality of ocean sciences requires not only that we maintain 
our community through graduate education but also that we bring new skills and viewpoints 
into areas such as numerical modeling, satellite imagery.and multichannel seismics. An 
expanded postdoctoral program would be the best way to meet this need. 



11 



B. The Global Program 

The first NSF Long-Range Plan for Ocean Sciences (released in late 1984) outlined two new 
initiatives -- a Global Ocean Study and an Ocean Lithosphere Study. The essential elements of 
these two were later combined into a single initiative, the Global Geosciences Program 
(included in the NSF FY 1 987 budget). It brings together related research efforts of the Ocean, 
Atmospheric, Polar, and Earth Sciences Divisions. Areas of inquiry include studies of global 
ocean and atmospheric processes and circulation; biogeochemical fluxes and their relationships 
to climate variability; global tropospheric chemistry; the properties and dynamic processes of 
the solid earth; and the dynamics of global ecosystems. This program also includes studies of 
global ecosystem dynamics and of interaction between the geosphere and biosphere undertaken 
by the Division of Ocean Sciences in cooperation with NSF's Division of Biotic Systems and 
Resources. 

This revised and updated Long-Range Plan builds upon that initiative and outlines the essential 
ocean sciences components of the Global Geosciences Program and its contribution to major 
national and international studies of global change. For consistency with the original Plan, the 
two global initiatives detailed here are called "Global Ocean Studies" and "Ocean Lithosphere 
Studies." 

These programs enable NSF to focus its resources and contribute to critical national and 
international research programs such as the World Climate Research Program (WCRP) and its 
World Ocean Circulation Experiment (WOCE); the International Geosphere-Biosphere Program 
(IGBP); and Global Ocean Flux Studies (GOFS). Each of these is referenced in the relevant 
sections below and in the detailed programmatic information contained in the appendices. 

While multi-investigator, coordinated programs will be required to implement these major 
initiatives, the programs listed above are not necessarily synonymous with the initiatives or 
their components described below. Several coordinated programs may be appropriate under a 
given topic; such programs might be conducted simultaneously, sequentially, or both. Several 
components of the initiatives are closely related; thus, a single research program could 
be relevant to more than one component. Furthermore, smaller research programs, including 
many conducted by individual investigators, will also make significant contributions to these 
initiatives. 

Initiative 1. GLOBAL OCEAN STUDIES 

There are five components or subinitiatives within this initiative: Global Ocean Circulation, 
Climate, and Productivity; Open Ocean Fluxes; Coastal Ocean Dynamics and Fluxes; Global Ocean 
Ecosystem Dynamics and Recruitment; and the Land/Sea Interface. Detailed descriptions of each 
follow. 

Global Ocean Circulation, Climate, and Productivity 

Continuing developments in satellite remote sensing, numerical modeling, biological sampling, 
acoustic tomography, and transient tracers present opportunities for major advances in our 
understanding of the oceans. The research combines synoptic global-scale information from 
satellites (TOPEX, ERS-1, NROSS, and others) on oceanic dynamic topography and wind forcing 
stress with data from ships on ground truth, properties and dynamics in the underlying water 
column, and distribution of transient tracers. 



12 



Integrating these activities with additional satellite-derived data (ocean color imager) and 
associated field programs provides information on ocean productivity, its spatial and temporal 
variability, and the underlying causes of this variability. Global productivity estimates are 
critical to ocean flow studies described later. Closely coupled to these observational aspects are 
numerical modeling efforts using general circulation models of the ocean and/or atmosphere 
systems to help guide the field activities and data analyses. 

The extensive field observation programs range in scale from a number of smaller process- 
oriented studies to integrated national and international field efforts being developed for the 
World Ocean Circulation Experiment (WOCE) and the Tropical Ocean/Global Atmosphere (TOGA) 
Programs. 

Some of the scientific questions to be addressed are: 

• What is the mean, large-scale circulation of the oceans, its variability, and the 

resulting heat transport? How much of it is predictable? 

• What are the large-scale coupling mechanisms (wind stress and thermodynamics) 

between the oceans and atmosphere which relate to El Nino/Southern Oscillation and 
other elements of the global climate system? 

• What is the effect of the global circulation and its variability on primary productivity of 

the open ocean? 

• How do distributions of chemical tracers vary in time? What do these variations reveal 

about large-scale vertical mixing, surface ventilation, deep circulation rates, and the 
ocean's role in controlling the global COg balance? 

The major elements of these programs are: 

• spaceborne oceanographic sensors to provide global and regional surface boundary 

conditions; 

• computational resources including augmentation of staff, communications, and related 

NCAR costs for handling the oceanographic share of the advanced vector computer 
(AVC), and equipment at oceanographic institutions for high data-rate links with NCAR 
and other supercomputer centers; 

• preparation for and implementation of in situ field measurements including development 

and testing of equipment and techniques, initiating selective long-term baseline time 
series, and global field measurements utilizing both shipboard sampling and moored and 
drifting arrays; and 

• analysis and numerical modeling based on development and use of global circulation 

models and analysis procedures that can utilize real-time satellite and in situ data sets. 



13 



Incremental funding in FY 1 989 will augment planning and data management activities as well as 
TOGA-related process studies. It will also support CTD and tracer sampling, modeling/analysis 
studies, and continuation of instrument development efforts. Augmented support for 
TOGA-related studies and initiation of a two-year preparation period for global circulation and 
productivity studies will require $40M and $51 M in FY 1989 and FY 1990, respectively. 

Activities will include instrument development and acquisition; establishment and operation of 
institutional data analysis centers and communications networks with NCAR and the Jet 
Propulsion Laboratory; expanded transient tracer, long-lines, acoustic tomography, and 
biological productivity studies; and field and modeling activities associated with monsoon 
research involving both U.S. and Indian oceanographers. Full-scale field operations in concert 
with satellite sensing (altimeter, scatterometer, and ocean color imager) and numerical 
modeling will cost about $50M per year during FY 1991 to FY 1995. Ship and facilities costs 
are included. 



Open Ocean Fluxes 

A major goal for ocean sciences over the next decade will be to understand oceanic biogeochemical 
cycles and budgets at large space and long time scales. Depiction of the physical dynamics (steady 
state and first order variability) essential to meeting this goal will be obtained through global 
ocean circulation research programs such as WOCE. The character and primary productivity of 
the sea surface will also be evaluated synoptically from satellite sensors. Finally, the lateral 
flux from the coastal boundary zone must be understood and integrated into a comprehensive 
global ocean flux study (GOFS). 

A most exciting opportunity exists to link these boundary conditions and new knowledge of ocean 
dynamics with intensive in situ observations of the fluxes of soluble and particulate phases and 
the transformations among them. New tools and techniques, e.g., sediment traps, large-volume 
samplers, experimental benthic chambers, chemical buoys, and numerical modeling, will be 
developed and used in conjunction with physical and satellite observation over the next ten 
years. This program will provide an understanding of the factors which control long-term 
biogeochemical dynamics at ocean basin and global scales. 

Some of the major scientific questions to be addressed are: 

• What is the magnitude of oceanic primary productivity ? How does it vary with time? 

How is primary productivity controlled by physical processes? 

• How much of this production represents recycled material and what are the processes 

and pathways involved in this recycling? 

• What are the flux rates of organic matter from the photic zone into the ocean interior 

in relation to primary production? 

• What are the transfer rates between soluble and particulate phases within the water 

column and what processes are involved? 

• What are the flux rates between the ocean and the seafloor? 



14 



The major elements of this initiative are: 

• Ocean color imagery and other satellite-derived data which provide global and synoptic 

sea-surface boundary conditions; 

• Further development of critical sampling technology to measure or infer 

material fluxes in the ocean system over a wide range of time and space scales; 

• Extensive field observation programs focused on critical processes, regions, and/or time 

periods and ultimately Integrated with satellite-derived surface boundary conditions; and 

• Development of modeling capabilities for global fluxes in the context of improved 

general circulation models of the coupled ocean-atmosphere system. 

The incremental costs of this program total about $70M between FY 1 988 and FY 1 992. Major 
emphasis during this period would be in planning, data analysis, technology, numerical model 
development, and pilot experiments for testing system integration and defining observational 
requirements. This would phase into long-term global observational programs starting in FY 
1 993 and costing about $25M annually. This full-scale phase would be closely coupled with 
satellite observation programs on surface productivity and circulation as well as with coastal 
boundary observational efforts. Ship and facility support costs are included. 



Coastal Ocean Dynamics and Fluxes 

The other major component required for a study of global ocean flux is scientific understanding 
of coastal oceanography for dealing with pollutant dispersal and fisheries management and for 
understanding the influence of climate and weather. The coastal ocean is also a most significant 
environmental boundary zone - a temporary sink for materials eroded from the continents, a 
mixing pot for river outflows and marine waters, a region of high biological productivity, and a 
source for much of the dissolved and particulate material flux to the open ocean. The developing 
technical and conceptual ability to study this region as an integrated physical, chemical, and 
biological system provides a significant, long-term opportunity to advance our understanding of 
the dynamics of coastal regions and the fluxes of material through them. Coordinated 
investigations under the Land/Sea Interface Program will provide information on the 
interconnections of land, fresh waters, and estuaries that is needed for studying inputs to the 
coastal ocean. 

Some scientific questions to be addressed are: 

• How do winds and atmospheric pressure fields, mean currents, bottom topography, river 

outflow, and internal shelf waves interact with one another to form the continually 
evolving mosaic of surface currents, upwelling centers, eddies, and jets? 

• To what extent can these rapidly changing currents be forecast and what parameters 

require monitoring for such forecasts? 

• How do the geographical setting and physical dynamics quantitatively influence particulate 

and dissolved matter, the seafloor, and biological productivity and evolution in coastal and 
estuarine regions? 

15 



• What is the flux of dissolved and particulate material brought into this boundary zone 
by rivers and carried out across shelf areas to the deep ocean? How do these fluxes vary 
from place to place, with time, and as a result of biological and chemical alteration 
processes? 

The major elements of this initiative are: 

• Multicomponent, multidisciplinary field programs in representative coastal regions; 

• Extensive use of satellite imagery (physical dynamics from altimetric, scatterometric, 

and infrared temperature measurements; primary production from the ocean color 
imager) and airborne remote sensing (wind stress, infrared and color imagery ,and 
air-dropped XBTs) coupled with In situ physical, chemical, and biological observations; 

• Development of rapid biological sampling techniques and tools to analyze distributions and 

productivity on time and space scales appropriate to those of the relevant physical and 
chemical processes; and 

•Development and expanded use of computers and computer modeling in handling large data 
sets, guiding the field programs, interpreting data, and assessing the system's 
predictability. 

Funds required during FY 1 988-92 average about $1 6M per year and will support the design 
and implementation of several pilot field experiments to test the integration of a diverse suite of 
new sampling technologies and the ability to quantify dynamic processes and flux measurements. 
Full-scale field programs based on the results of these pilot experiments will follow in FY 1993 
at a cost of about $24IVI per year. Ship and facilities costs are included. A remote-sensing 
research aircraft will be required for this initiative beginning in FY 1989. It will also benefit 
the other global ocean studies. 

Global Ocean Ecosystems Dynamics and Recruitment 

Over the next decade, one of the most practically important and scientifically challenging areas 
of marine research is that of recruitment of marine organisms. Age-classes of nekton and 
benthos frequently vary in abundance by orders of magnitude, usually due to variable survival 
of larval or juvenile stages. Climate, physical factors, and variability in primary production, 
secondary production, and predation have been hypothesized to regulate nekton and benthos 
age-class success. We are now at a point in the development of the field where many of these 
basic recruitment mechanisms can be studied effectively . 

Some of the major questions to be addressed are: 

• How do climate, physical and chemical processes, and biological constraints interact to 

influence recruitment of invertebrates and fishes? 

• How important is the role of predation on young stages as a determinant of future 

population structure and which are the important predators? 



16 



• What are the salient differences in recruitment patterns and their causal mechanisms in 

high- and low-latitude systems? 

• Under what conditions is recruitment and subsequent ecosystem structure more likely to 

be physically (transport, temperature, etc.) or biologically (starvation, predation, etc.) 
mediated? 

• How is recruitment related to nutrient availability and primary production? How Is 

variability at the primary producer level expressed in production and ecosystem 
dynamics at higher trophic levels? 

Major aspects include: 

• Developing a broader understanding of the annual and seasonal variability and 

productivity of ecosystems and the effect of ocean climate on such variability; 

• Expanding collaborative research by physicists and biologists at a variety of scales to 

learn how larvae, their predators, and their prey are aggregated and dispersed; 

• Use of new sampling, identification, and data analysis methods to bring the plankton 

studies into the same time frame as important physical processes; 

• Determining the kinds and abundances of predators and their rates of predation on 

planktonic or young stages of nekton; 

• Application of emerging technologies, including in situ sampling from research vessels, 

mesocosm studies on larvae-zooplankton interactions (feeding, predation), acoustic 
methods to estimate abundance of larvae and zooplankton, and satellite methods for 
assessing primary production and its variability; 

• Developing and applying numerical models to guide experimental research and predict how 

physical processes and nutrient availability influence recruitment potential; and 

• Developing coherent theory regarding evolution of adaptive strategies by marine 

organisms which enhance the long-term survival of their populations. 

Incremental support growth averaging about $3M annually for FY 1988-93 should provide the 
basic underpinnings for our understanding of plankton dynamics, larval ecology, and predation 
as they collectively influence recruitment variability and higher trophic level productivity. 
This growth will also allow development and experimental use of new technologies and 
methodologies. Major, long term field experiments based on this developmental work will be 
conducted in the mid-to-late 1990's and cost $20-25M annually. Ship and facility costs are 
included. 



17 



Land/Sea Interface 

This is the newest program of Global Geosciences and is a cross-directorate effort involving the 
Division of Biotic Systems and Resources of the Biological, Behavioral and Social Sciences 
Directorate (BBS) and the Biological and Chemical Oceanography Programs of the Division of 
Ocean Sciences. It is part of Global Ecosystem Dynamics within Global Geosciences. 

Interfaces between land and ocean are only a small part of the earth's surface, but they are of 
great global importance in terms of biological productivity, geochemical processes, origin of 
sedimentary rocks, and the evolution of life. Human activities have already wrought significant 
changes upon the interconnections of land, freshwater, and the coastal ocean. Furthermore, these 
couplings are highly sensitive to changes in global climate. 

As a result of land- and water-use practices, flow volumes of many of the world's rivers have 
been significantly altered. Their content of dissolved and particulate substances has changed, 
resulting in two- to fivefold Increases in river nutrient levels In developed regions during the 
latter half of this century. Such changes are also likely to be occurring in developing countries 
as a result of deforestation, population growth, and wider use of fertilizers. 

Present day coastal environments are the product of relatively stable sea level conditions over 
the last 7,000 years. The widely-predicted atmospheric warming could cause a rapid rise in 
eustatic sea level at a rate of perhaps more than one centimeter per year in about fifty years. 
Significant melting of polar ice could raise sea level several meters more in the next century. 
Global climatic changes may dramatically alter regional temperature regimes and precipitation 
(and, consequently, runoff) patterns. These changes may,in turn, influence terrestrial, 
freshwater, and coastal marine ecosystems and their biota. 

Some major questions to be addressed are: 

• How do modifications in the flux of materials from land to rivers and from rivers, 

wetlands, and estuaries to the coastal ocean, caused by complex interactions of global and 
local human activities, affect aquatic and marine ecosystems and global biogeochemical 
processes? 

• Do these changes have significant implications for the global carbon budget? 

• What will be the effects of global climate changes, including changes in temperature, 

precipitation, and sea level rise, on aquatic and coastal ecosystems and on the large 
human populations that live In these environments? 

The major elements of this initiative are: 

• Utilization of the new generation of satellite sensors to provide visualizations and promote 

computer modeling of these environments as integrated systems; 

• Integrated studies of fluxes of materials within watersheds and receiving estuaries and the 

biological responses to variation in these fluxes; 



18 



• Greater development of the role of coastal marine laboratories and field stations as 

national resources whose centers of environmental research activities are already at the 
land/sea interface; and 

• Expansion of the Long Term Ecological Research (LTER) program of NSF (currently 

within the Division of Biotic Systems and Resources), to cover more representative 
types of land/sea interface systems; and broadening of their concept to include 
recognition and monitoring of the effects of global change on regional ecosystems through 
the utilization of products of other Global Geosciences programs. 

The Biotic Systems and Resources Division (BSR) and Biological Oceanography Program are 
beginning to fund some community planning activities in FY 1987. BSR plans to significantly 
expand this function in FY 1988 ($.5M). By FY 1989, the Ocean Sciences Division 
(principally Biological and Chemical Oceanography) require $1M, increasing to at least $10M 
within five years. 

Initiative 2. OCEAN LITHOSPHERE STUDIES 

The Ocean Lithosphere Studies Initiative includes two components: (l)Ridge Crest Processes and 
(2)Tectonics and Structures of Submerged Continental Margins. 

Ridge Crest Processes 

Fundamental questions about ridge crest processes remain unresolved because of a lack of 
long-term observational data to test hypotheses and predictions. The subjects needing intensive 
study include the driving forces of plate tectonics; thermo-mechanical properties of the oceanic 
lithosphere; and hydrothermal, volcanic, and mineralization processes at ridge crests and their 
geological, chemical, and biological effects. Extensive application of a newly developing suite of 
observational systems over the next ten years will yield much new information and a deeper 
understanding of these basic elements of earth science. 

Some of the major questions to be addressed are: 

• How does the ocean lithosphere respond mechanically to large surface loads, to 

compression, to bending, and to stretching? With an understanding of these factors, what 
can we learn about deeper processes in the earth, such as mantle convection, by looking 
through the "ocean lithospheric window?" 

• What are the driving mechanisms for seafloor spreading? How does crustal accretion 

vary with time? What are the local scales of accretion and tectonics in space and time? 
How are volcanic processes coupled to hydrothermal circulation at midocean ridges? 
What are the controlling factors on sulfide mineralization and the extent of deposits? 
How does oceanic crust vary and how is it altered as it moves off-axis? 

• What are the chemical and thermal properties of hydrothermal fluids from vents and what 

is their role in the mineralization process? What is the contribution of vent fluxes to 
the chemical balance of oceans? What chemical reactions occur? What is the relation 
between fluids and biologic communities? 



19 



• Are vent communities controlled by such factors as nutrients, heat, or symbiosis and, if 

so, how? How do vent communities colonize in new areas? How do such communities 
adapt to unique chemical surroundings, high-temperature, and high-pressure 
environments? What is the physiology and productivity of vent organisms? 

The major elements of this initiative are: 

• Improved capabilities in multichannel seismics (MCS) and their expanded use in selected 

areas with experiments focused on determining the thermo-mechanical properties of the 
oceanic lithosphere under varying conditions of age and stress/strain. ODP crustal 
drilling and downhole experiments for direct physical measurements will augment this 
work. 

• Increase in number of field programs with modern detailed survey capabilities to 

determine history and scale of crustal accretion. Development of integrated geological, 
chemical, and biological studies using research submersibles for representative sites - 
e.g., high- and low-temperature, seamounts, sedimented and unsedimented sites. 



• Development of in situ instrumentation for long-term monitoring of hydrothermal vents 

and crustal accretion - e.g., flow meters, chemical and thermal sensors, strain gauges, 
seismometers. ODP drilling on the rise crest region will provide depth control from 
downhole instruments. 

• Long-term integrated biological program to understand the unique properties of vent 

organisms with emphasis on chemolithotrophic bacteria, symbiont hosts, substrates 
used for energy, and physiological adaptions. This will define community structure, life 
history strategies, and evolution of biological communities. 

Incremental funding will provide essential upgrading of existing capabilities, expanded and 
integrated use of new, multichannel seismic, side-scan sonar, Seabeam and submersible 
systems, and development and implementation of a long term ridge crest/hydrothermal vent 
monitoring program. Ship and facility operational costs are included. 



Tectonics and Structure of Submerged Continental Margins 

Continental margins not only form the boundary between the two major physiographic provinces 
on our planet, but also, in many cases, are past or present boundaries of the lithospheric plates 
that make up the earth's surface. A much deeper understanding of the structure, tectonics, and 
dynamic evolution of these fundamental geological features is within our grasp. It can be 
realized with extensive application of multichannel seismic tools, with development of 
new and more powerful techniques to use these tools, with long coring capabilities, and with 
ocean drilling at carefully selected margin sites, ultimately using a riser capability. 

Some of the major questions to be addressed are: 

• What geologic units underly active and passive continental margins? What are the 
dominant tectonic, geochemical, and thermal processes involved in creating 
ocean-continental boundaries? 

20 



• How do lithospheric structures vary along continental margins, including old and young 

margins, island arc and trench regions, fast and slow convergence sites, and thiols and 
thin sedimentary sequences? How are they related to adjacent geologic provinces, 
onshore basins and tectonics, and offshore basins and trenches? 

• What causes initial rifting? How are conjugate sites on the opposite sides of ocean basins 

related? What are the controlling factors for subsidence rates, sediment accretion rates, 
thermal histories, and regional basin formation? 

The major elements of this initiative are: 

• Expanded seismic experiments to determine the deep structure in contrasting regions and 

integration of these data with lithologic, acoustic, stratigraphic, structural, and 
subsidence analyses, and also with heat flow, gravity, and magnetic measurements. 
Onshore geologic studies of the continental lithosphere should be correlated with offshore 
drilling by the Ocean Drilling Program. 

• Utilization of state-of-the-art seismic and other geophysical field systems with sufficient 

resources to maintain effective data acquisition and data analysis centers. Attention must 
be given to maintaining a critical mass of scientists, technicians, and students for these 
operations. 

• Support for riser drilling on continental margins to determine the age and composition of 

the basement in order to identify seismic reflectors and biostratigraphic data needed for 
subsidence models and composition and fades of the geologic section. 

Incremental costs will cover modest upgrades of existing academic facilities and support the 
essential use of these capabilities through the next decade. They also cover coordinated, 
community-wide use of state-of-the-art industry exploration capabilities. Developmental and 
operational costs of riser drilling are included under facilities support in the FY 1989-93 
period. 



Funding Requirements 

A summary budget for Ocean Sciences and component budgets for each Program are provided in 
the tables of Section IV. 



21 



Section III 
Program Areas 



A. Physical Oceanography Program 

Long-Range Planning 



I. Core Program 

The Physical Oceanography Program is concerned with developing a basic understanding of the 
circulation of oceans, estuaries, and large lakes. Investigators document water properties and 
study the motions of water masses and transport processes. They seek to understand the physical 
properties and boundaries of water masses and the driving forces, such as wind, solar radiation, 
precipitation, evaporation, the earth's rotation, and solar and lunar tides. The program has been 
traditionally divided into five topical areas: ocean circulation, coastal and estuarine circulation, 
ocean/atmosphere coupling, surface and internal waves and tides, and microstructure and 
turbulence. The heart of the program is the general circulation of the ocean, complementing the 
central thrusts of the NASA and ONR programs in surface and upper ocean processes, 
respectively, and the coastal zone programs of MMS, NOAA, Corps of Engineers, and state 
agencies. 

Recently the major thrust of large physical oceanography projects has been in tropical 
oceanography. This reflects the rapid development of theoretical models of equatorial circulation 
and the recognition that, first, these ideas could be tested with observations and, second, 
atmospheric general circulation seems most sensitive to the condition of surface waters near the 
equator. 

The near-term direction for physical oceanographic research seems relatively clear based on 
recent theoretical and technological developments. At least two recent theories of mid- and 
high-latitude ocean dynamics, namely, ventilation of the main thermocline and the 
homogenization of potential vorticity, are ripe for further development and testing. Remote 
sensing techniques (acoustically tracked floats, satellite altimeters and scatterometers, surface 
drifting buoys) make global sampling possible on meso, synoptic, and gyre scales. Expanded 
large-scale computing capability and improved ocean circulation models provide new tools for 
data assimilation and interpretation. The need for improved understanding of ocean circulation 
for climate studies has stimulated development of two large-scale projects in the international 
scientific community - the Interannual Variability of the Tropical Ocean and 
Global Atmosphere Project (TOGA) and the World Ocean Circulation Experiment (WOCE). 

II. Critical Needs of the Core Program 

The categories of critical needs specified in Section II.A all apply to the Physical Oceanography 
Program. Those which have a significant impact on development and maintenance of basic 
research capability in physical oceanography in the immediate future are described below in 
greater detail. 



22 



1. A Postdoctoral Program in Numerical Ocean Modeling. The national 
supercomputing initiative has three thrusts -- development of a class nine computer, academic 
access to present supercomputer centers, and training of research scientists to develop and make 
effective use of vector codes. NSF also has an advanced computational initiative which has 
established new supercomputer centers and an academic computing network known as NSFnet, 
and has provided some local equipment and facilities. Availablility of 20% of NCAR's new CRAY 
XMP is especially important to oceanographers. This CRAY will be linked by satellite network to 
Miami, Oregon State, WHOI, and other institutions. 

Now that we have these badly needed facilities, development of a program to train scientists in 
numerical ocean modeling seems prudent, especially in light of future modeling and data 
assimilation requirements. We propose to establish a five-year program in Numerical Ocean 
Modeling for postdoctoral scientists with training in Applied Mathematics, Computer Science, 
and Ocean Sciences. These postdoctoral investigators would be resident at academic institutions. 
Funding for the program would provide salary support, local computing and communications, 
and travel for ten investigators. Funding needed is $1M per year beginning in FY 1989. 

2. Current Meters. Key elements in advancing our understanding of ocean flow during the 
past 20 years have been the current meter and the intermediate mooring. Aging, obsolete 
equipment (some current meters were purchased 15 years ago) must be replaced with new 
equipment. The level of funding available to the program has not allowed maintenance of current 
meter and acoustic release inventories. At least $.7M annually over the next two years is 
required to purchase new equipment and to return these inventories to a level of sufficiency for 
the science currently supported. 

3. Acoustic (Pop-up, SOFAR, and RAFOS) Floats. Autonomous listening stations (ALS) 
and acoustically-tracked, neutrally buoyant (SOFAR) floats have recently been improved both 
mechanically and electronically and redesigned to take advantage of microprocessor technology . 
Present scientific projects in the North and Tropical Atlantic would benefit greatly from 
additional SOFAR floats (40) and listening stations (5) at a total cost of $.7M. We would like to 
acquire a suite of five pop-up floats for future Gulf Stream or Arabian Sea studies and to expand 
the RAFOS float capability for related studies at a cost of $.7M. 

4. CTD Group Support. In the past, two CTD groups have been available to meet large 
project needs; both groups have recently become marginal in their capabilities due to a variety 
of problems (equipment failures and losses, relocation, management problems, and decreased 
funding for field work). We think that it is important to reestablish both groups with an 
up-to-date data processing facility ($.IM), new at-sea and in situ sampling equipment 

($.2M), and base salary support for a few high quality technicians/engineers ($.3M) starting 
in FY 1989. Salary support should continue for an additional four years. 



23 



III. Physical Oceanographic Components of the Global Program 

There are several program areas where significant advances could be realized. 

1 . Interannual Variability of the Tropical Oceans 
and Global Atmosphere (TOGA). 

The TOGA program is one of two major ocean climate projects formulated internationally as part 
of the World Climate Research Program. TOGA began in January 1985 and will last for ten 
years. Project objectives are: 

(1) to determine to what extent the time dependent behavior of the tropical ocean/global 

atmosphere system is predictable on time scales of months to years and to understand the 
mechanism of this behavior; and 

(2) to study the feasiblity of modeling the coupled ocean-atmosphere system for the purpose 
of predicting its variations on time scales of months to years. 

As presently formulated, there are three major oceanographic thrusts to TOGA. They include an 
oceanographic monitoring program to provide a description of month-to-month variability of 
the temperature, circulation, and pressure fields of the tropical ocean; an air-sea flux 
measurement program to provide a description of month-to-month variations of fluxes of 
momentum, heat, and moisture across the air-sea interface; and development of tropical ocean 
circulation models and associated techniques for data assimilation. 

As part of the core programs, we expect that about $4M will be devoted to tropical 
oceanography/TOGA on a continuing basis. We consider that participation by the academic ocean 
sciences community in TOGA activities sponsored by NSF should increase to about three times 
this level by FY 1992. About half a ship-year would be needed to support this additional 
activity. We note that Atmospheric Science will sponsor a similar initiative for meteorological 
studies, and that the Foundation is likely to have special responsibilities for Indian Ocean/TOGA 
studies. 

As part of TOGA, an El Nino rapid response study has been developed. Its purpose is to obtain 
additional information on atmospheric and oceanographic (physical, chemical, and biological) 
changes which occur during El Nino. This would be accomplished by redirecting some resources 
to the Eastern Pacific, but additional funding will also be required in the amount of $1M per 
year for three years for collection, analysis, and interpretation of oceanographic data, and one 
ship-year on an Oceanus-class vessel. 

2. World Ocean Circulation Experiment (WOCE). WOGE is the second major ocean 
experiment planned as part of the World Climate Research Program. Many important problems 
of climate, ocean chemistry, and biology could be solved given the ability to characterize and 
model the general circulation of the ocean. However, the ocean is a chaotic fluid with temporal 
and spatial variability on all scales; the lack of obsen/ations needed to define important time and 
space scales for surface forcing and dynamical response constitutes the main reason for our 
present inability to characterize and understand the general circulation of the ocean. 



24 



Recent technical developments should significantly enhance the observational data base available 
to oceanographers studying general circulation. These include: satellite scatterometery, 
satellite altimetry, neutrally buoyant and surface floats which can be tracked over great 
distances, measurements of air-sea fluxes, chemical tracer measurements, acoustic 
tomography, and eddy-resolving numerical models which can be adapted to operate with basin 
and global scale data sets in assimilation modes analogous to those used in meteorology. 

Because of these new tools, the National Academy of Sciences held a work shop to look into 
possibilities of developing a program of global observations toward understanding the general 
circulation of the oceans. The consensus of this workshop was that WOCE was feasible, 
worthwhile, and timely. Participants agreed that the overall goal of U.S. contributions to WOCE 
should be to understand the general circulation of the global ocean well enough to be able to 
predict ocean response and feedback to long-term changes in the atmosphere. 

Specific objectives to meet this goal are: 

(1 ) To complete a basic description of the present physical state of the ocean; 

(2) To improve the description of the atmospheric boundary conditions on the global ocean and 

to establish their uncertainities; 

(3) To describe the upper boundary layer of the ocean adequately for quantitative estimates of 

water mass transformation; 

(4) To determine the role of interbasin exchanges in the global ocean circulation; 

(5) To determine the role of ocean heat transport and storage in the heat budget of the earth; 

(6) To determine seasonal and interannual oceanic variability on a global scale and to estimate 

its consequences. 

Major hardware costs for WOCE are associated with satellite missions (NROSS, TOPEX, Ocean 
Color, and GRM) proposed by NASA. We must have at the same time in situ field measurements 
both at the surface to calibrate satellite data and deeper in the ocean to measure properties and 
dynamics of the underlying water column. Numerical model development must be closely 
coupled to these efforts. About 20% of the core program's base budget ($4M) would be devoted to 
WOCE activities without additional funding increments. 

Additional activities for which funding is required include instrumentation development and 
acquisition, development of improved data/supercomputer communication links, establishment 
and operation of data analysis centers, a global hydrographic and tracer survey, an accelerator 
mass spectrometer (described in the chemical oceanography plan and budgeted under facilities in 
the Global Ocean Studies section), increased tomography and float capability/activity, 
process-oriented experiments, and ocean model development. These activities require an 
additional $1 2M in FY 1 989 above base funds, increase to $20M above base funds in FY 1 990 
and $30M in the 1 990's. This includes WOCE and related activities which are expected to 
require a total of about 12 ship-years of support during the FY 1989-1996 period; an 
additional $2M will be required to upgrade CTD winch capabilities on these ships during WOCE. 

The National Science Foundation has been identified as the lead agency for WOCE studies. 

25 



3. Coastal Ocean Dynamics and Fluxes. Important studies for this program include 
circulation, mixing, and particle dispersion in coastal and estuarine waters and large lakes. 
Base funding for these activities should be adequate for continuation of the present level of 
effort, e.g., an occasional CODE-type experiment. However, this base funding seems inadequate 
to support anticipated growth in coastal studies, including addition of physical oceanography 
faculty at "marine biological" laboratories and at coastal academic institutions which presently 
employ no physical oceanographers. Faculty members at these primarily state-supported 
institutions have access to state funding and facilities and can thus carry out some effective 
studies in local waters with rather modest supplemental funding from the Foundation. Budgeting 
for this growth fits with NSF infrastructure and undergraduate institution initiatives. $.5M 

per year would support five to ten such projects each year. 

A second area of projected growth is in multidisciplinary experiments to study the chemical, 
biological and geological fluxes along and across the continental shelf and slope. The Coastal 
Ocean Dylnamics Experiment (CODE) and Organization of Persistent Upwelling Systems (OPUS) 
programs have recently discovered a number of new mechanisms for these fluxes, e.g., intense 
squirts and jets, which can advect shelf water and material hundreds of kilometers offshore into 
deep water, and energetic oceanic mesoscale eddies, which can directly influence 
shelf circulation. These phenomena occur on a variety of scales, and these and other recent 
observations suggest that the flow fields controlling property fluxes over the shelf and slope are 
much more turbulent than previously imagined. The further definition and understanding of 
these phenomena needed for studies in other ocean disciplines will require a substantial 
investment of physical oceanography resources. Support of one such field experiment per year 
would cost $2.5M. 

Finally, recent theoretical and observational work is beginning to provide the critical 
intellectual framework needed for more advanced numerical modeling of coastal phenomena. The 
dynamical roles of bottom friction, stratification, wind and tidal mixing, and coastal topography 
in wind and buoyancy-forced motions are now better understood and allow construction of more 
realistic process and regional numerical models. Growth in this area will depend critically on 
the Foundation, in terms of both encouraging work from a wider group of investigators and 
providing adequate computational resources, especially access to NCAR. Support for this growth 
has been budgeted above. 

4. Aircraft Capability. Use of scientific aircraft for remote sensing of sea surface and 
air/sea fluxes has become increasingly important in recent years. Aircraft measurements in 
conjunction with coastal oceanography experiments are now common for production of maps of 
wind stress, sea surface temperature, and subsurface temperature (using expendable 
bathythermographs). Development of geodetic receivers and laser altimeters has increased the 
utility of these aircraft measurements, as has development of aircraft-mounted passive and 
active radiometers and radars. In the future, aircraft surveys of dynamic features will be 
possible, resulting in truly synoptic data at meso- to large scales, and WOCE and TOGA will 
require extensive measurements of air/sea fluxes, in part to improve our understanding and 
parameterization of these processes. 



26 



To date, NCAR has been able to meet our needs for coastal aircraft measurements, but due to 
increased atmosptieric and oceanograpliic demands, a second aircraft should be acquired soon. We 
anticipate that this aircraft would be used half-time for coastal oceanography measurements, 
and so suggest that $1 .5M dollars be budgeted for acquisition of this aircraft (the Atmospheric 
Sciences Division (ATM) of NSF would also need to budget $I.5M). Beginning in FY 1990, $.5I\/1 
should be budgeted for ocean sciences activities using this aircraft. Operational costs for the 
aircraft would be budgeted by ATM, much as the Ocean Sciences Division budgets ship costs. 

Ocean sciences will require, in the WOCE time frame, a dedicated aircraft with greater 
endurance and more capability such as a P2 or P3. We suggest acquisition of such an aircraft in 
FY 1990, which should be possible at minimal cost (such aircraft are available for use as DOD 
surplus), and $.5M for updating avonics and electronic equipment. The aircraft should be 
budgeted to operate at $3M per year beginning in FY 1992. If this aircraft is not available, 
additional ship time would need to be budgeted for WOCE. 

It is noted that these aircraft will be especially useful for biological work, as much regional 
ocean color work will need to be done for productivity studies. 

5. Support for an Ocean Modeling Facility. The emergence of geophysical fluid dynamics 
as a separate theoretical discipline and the success of atmospheric scientists in predicting and 
modeling the atmosphere are having a profound effect on the interplay of theory and observation 
in physical oceanography. There is a greatly expanding need for numerical experiments not only 
for interpretation of data, but also for justification of observational efforts. In looking to meet 
these needs, we funded 20% of the acquisition costs of an advanced vector computer and 
wide-band communications equipment at the NCAR in FY 1985, and we should also establish an 
Ocean Modeling Facility to utilize this capability. 

The purpose of this initiative is to provide base funding for a core group at a central location to 
aid the ocean sciences community in making effective use of the facility, e.g., building 
community models, specialized routines, and hardware. This would provide for scientific and 
senior staff communications costs for the academic community, space rental and maintenance, 
and hardware costs. The total cost of this support is $1 .1 M per year (beginning in FY 1989) 
and should be budgeted indefinitely. 

6. Indo-U.S. Monsoon Research Program. As part of the Indo-U.S. Science and 
Technology Initiative, a program to study long-term variability of the monsoon includes a study 
of the effect of ocean-atmosphere interactions. A bilateral workshop was held in Bangalore, 
India, for discussions of modeling, data analysis, future field experiments and data 
requirements. U.S. modeling and data analysis work required $0.6M in FY 1987. Tentative 
plans call for continuation of modeling work and initiation of field experiments toward 
understanding the regional ocean atmosphere coupling problems. 

These programs would require an additional $1 .8M per year for scientific studies and $.7M per 
year for ship time by FY 1 990 from the U.S. The direction of research beyond 1 990 should be 
coordinated with the TOGA program. 

IV. Funding Requirements 

A summary budget for the physical oceanography core program, areas of critical need, and 
major initiatives can be found in Table A of Section IV. 

27 



B. Chemical Oceanography Program 
Long-Range Planning 



I. The Core Program 



The Chemical Oceanography Program is directed toward providing an understanding of how 
oceans, estuaries, and large lakes function as chemical systems and how they respond when 
perturbed by nature or man. These efforts address such global problems as sea-air exchanges 
and particulate fluxes. They provide the scientific underpinning for dealing effectively with 
socioeconomic problems including pollution, deep-sea mining, agriculture, and open-ocean 
waste disposal and with other scientific problems requiring marine chemical input such as 
sediment diagenesis, climate, ocean circulation, and biological productivity. Broad goals of these 
activities are: 

(1) To describe quantitatively the types of reactions (i.e., processes and mechanisms) 

that occur between the various phases and chemical species existing in the marine 
environment; and 

(2) To determine routes and rates of supply to and removal of substances from the ocean, and 

the alterations which occur during transit. 

For descriptive purposes, the program is divided into five components. These are: 

(1) Seawater chemical equilibria and physicochemical properties; 

(2) Material transfers and transformations at the land/sea boundary; 

(3) Fluxes of material to, transport through, and alteration in ocean basins; 

(4) The role and influence of biochemical processes on the chemical nature of seawater; and 

(5) Development and use of chemical tracers to study large-scale temporal processes 

in the oceans. 

Because boundaries between these components are somewhat diffuse, their interrelations are 
discussed below. Budgetary history and projections in the core program are shown in the tables. 

1. Seawater Chemical Equilibria and Physicochemical Properties. This component 
includes studies on equilibria of chemical species and compounds in seawater and their 
availability for reacting with other chemical phases in the marine environment. 

Through efforts of a diverse group of physical chemists and physical oceanographers, a 
universal equation of state for seawater has been recently adopted, and new insights on 
dissociation constants of major seawater equilibria (e.g., the carbonate system) have been 
developed. Future research will be directed towards further developing speciation and ionic 
interaction models in seawater, including microbially mediated reactions and thermodynamic 
and kinetic investigations on marine photochemical reactions. The relative level of effort, 
however, is projected to decrease slightly to allow other areas of the program to increase. 



28 



2. Material Transfers and Transformations at the Land/Sea Boundary. Research 
at this interface is focused on displacement of heterogeneous equilibria and on chemical fluxes in 
the upper sediment and porous crust. Major scientific breal^throughs have occurred in this area 
in recent years as a result of joint efforts with Biological Oceanography and Marine Geology and 
Geophysics. An example is the discovery of and follow-on work concerning hydrothermal vents. 

Activity has increased in the recent past, and with new vents being found (e.g., hydrothermal 
methane plumes in the North Fiji Basin in February 1986), this trend is likely to continue. 
Moveover, bottom landers and other similar instrument packages will provide a technology 
whereby heretofore impossible studies on chemical processes and mechanisms at the ocean 
bottom boundary will begin. Core resources required for studies in this component will 
increase somewhat in the immediate future, including associated ship and submersible time and 
construction of samplers and analytical instrumentation for deployment from ships or from 
Alvin. 



3. Fluxes of Material to, Transport Through, and Alteration in Ocean Basins. This 
component is aimed at understanding and measuring fluxes in ocean basins, including sources and 
input from the troposphere to the ocean surface, lateral injection of material from the coastal 
boundary, and transport through the water column to underlying sediment. The state of the art 
for following particles through the atmosphere to the ocean surface and for quantifying fluxes of 
particulate material by collection and analysis of material in sediment traps has increased 
notably over the past several years. 

Major programs have contributed to this understanding during the last decade (e.g., Sea-Air 
Exchange Program, Vertical Exchange Program, and ADIOS). Several other National Science 
Foundation Programs also have contributed to support of this research, either through joint 
support of individual awards or of major thrusts in atmospheric, biological, geological, and 
physical sciences. 

Progress has been significant, but for the most part it has remained within specific disciplinary 
areas. The coupling of rates and characteristics of material passing between the troposphere and 
the ocean must now be considered. Some material falling through the ocean depends upon how 
particles are packaged by marine organisms and the stability of these biogenic containers as they 
pass through domains of varying temperature, oxygen content, and acidity. Metals capable of 
being adsorbed on particles, for example, can be scavenged from and then released to the water 
several times during their descent. 

These same particles could have originated from desert regions and been carried aerially 
through tortuous paths in the lower atmosphere before beginning their equilibration with 
seawater. Investigators are now relating rates of input to the surface with fluxes carrying 
material to the bottom. Clearly, significant complementary biological and physical 
oceanographic information is required to understand the entire process fully. 



29 



4. The Role and Influence of Biochemical Processes on the Chemical Nature of 
Seawater. The objective of this component is to understand the chemical and biological 
mechanisms that together control the nature of the marine environment. Development of this 
major component of the Chemical Oceanography Program arose from advances in marine organic 
chemistry and in microbiology, advances based on constantly developing instrumental 
capabilities, most notably temperature-programmed capillary column gas chromatography- 
mass spectrometry, flow cytometry, image analysis, and high-performance liquid 
chromatography. New techniques and instrumentation continue to open up opportunitites for 
study of organic matter distribution and reaction mechanisms in seawater and sediments. 

Isotopic tracers and organic source markers are new techniques for advancing marine organic 
chemistry. It is now possible to determine carbon isotopic composition of functional groups on 
individual organic compounds. This allows more specific information to be gained regarding 
biosynthesis and sources of individual compounds as well as mechanisms of their transformation 
reactions over time. Close collaboration with the Biological Oceanography Program will 
continue and probably increase in these areas. 



5. Development and Use of Chemical Tracers to Study Large-Scale Temporal 
Processes in the Ocean. This area of research has progressed rapidly during the last five 
years due principally to increased precision in analyzing radio isotopes in seawater and 
development of sampling and analytical techniques for measurement of new tracers that have 
unique source functions (e.g., freons). Because geochemical and physical sampling strategies are 
often incompatible, plans are now being devised for multiship coverage to accommodate 
infrequent large-volume samples and a denser sampling grid for smaller samples. The latter 
accommodates most physical oceanographic sampling and measurement schemes. New tracers 
include pairs of constituents requiring tjoth small- and large-volume samples. For example, 
freon and krypton complement each other as conservative tracers, with one of them, krypton, 
decaying predictably so that the age of water parcels can be obtained. 

Activities in this area will proceed into the southern hemisphere incorporating higher precision 
in analytical methods and more efficient sampling strategies that will combine large- and 
small-volume samplers. Results from the South Atlantic will complement data already collected 
for the North and Tropical Atlantic. This study will also complement efforts of other 
projects such as SEAREX, VERTEX, Warm Core Rings, and future efforts concerned with 
biogeochemical cycles/balances and ocean fluxes. International cooperation is expected to 
continue along the pattern set during Geochemical Ocean Sections Study (GEOSECS) activities. 
However, the ability of foreign laboratories to conduct extensive large-volume sample 
processing, as for GEOSECS in the 1970's, is now paralleled by facilities supported in the United 
States (e.g.. for ^^Kr, S^Ar. 228Ra. 90sr, I37cs and ^^C). 

Foreign ship-of-opportunity programs are essential for the tracer coverage required, but they 
cannot substitute for well-designed and well-managed sampling programs using large dedicated 
research vessels of the UNOLS fleet. Close collaboration with the Physical Oceanography 
Program will be maintained to coordinate transient tracer studies with modeling efforts 
conducted in WOCE. Tracer information is extremely useful to physical oceanographers to 
provide additional constraints on circulation models. 



30 



II. Critical Needs of the Core Program 

Besides the critical needs common to all the programs described in Section 1 1. A, certain elements 
of the core Chemical Oceanography Program, as well as the Open Ocean Fluxes program, need 
special support in order to exploit current developments in the field. This is particularly true 
of accelerator mass spectrometry, which will also be vital to the WOCE program and the Marine 
Geology and Geophysics Program. 

Accelerator Mass Spectrometry Facilities. Recent achievements in accelerator mass 
spectrometry (AMS) have convinced a wide spectrum of environmental scientists to assign an 
extremely high priority to developing a dedicated Ocean Sciences AMS facility in the U.S. The 
AMS technique combines conventional methods of mass spectrometry (ionization and mass 
discrimination by magnetic and electrostatic fields) with acceleration through high potentials of 
1-15 MV to achieve spectacular increases in analytical sensitivity. Because AMS lowers 
previously attainable detection limits by several orders of magnitude, it opens up a wide range 
of very significant scientific opportunities and brings a previously difficult span of earth 
history within reach of quantitative interpretation. 

The achievements referred to above include use of ^^C to reconstruct ocean ventilation rates, 
direct confirmation of the plate tectonic cycle of subduction-melting-volcanic eruption with 
^°Be tracer, and the first-ever determination of the rate of groundwater flow through a major 
aquifer using "^^Cl dating. Use of AMS has also made major contributions to studies of such 
diverse problems as ocean circulation, soil and rock erosion rates, dating ice cores and cave 
deposits, climate variations, origins of meteorites, atmospheric chemistry, waste containment 
in geologic repositories, hydrothermal and ore-forming fluid circulation patterns, and direct 
dating of petroleum fluids. 

The wide potential of AMS makes it imperative that we begin planning immediately to develop an 
AMS capability in the U.S. One possibility is for an AMS facility to be developed around a new 
Tandetron accelerator or its equivalent. This facility would respond to the rapidly growing needs 
of ocean scientists for precise ^^C analysis. Establishment costs for this facility are estimated 
at $5M, including capital construction, with $1 M operating funds for FY 1 989 and beyond. 
These funds are incorporated in the facilities budget of the Global Ocean Studies because of the 
wide utility of this facility. 

III. Chemical Components of the Global Program 

Global initiatives will involve the Chemical Program in a variety of areas, particularly in the 
context of global ocean flux studies, which are sub-divided here into open ocean and coastal 
components. 

1. Open Ocean Fluxes. A major goal for ocean sciences over the next decade will be to 
determine the biogeochemical cycles and budgets in ocean basins over long time scales. The 
physical dynamics (steady state and first order variability) essential to meeting this goal will 
be obtained through research programs such as WOCE and the continuation of tracer studies. A 
determination of the character and primary productivity of the sea surface will also be 
available globally and synoptically from satellite and airborne sensors. Finally, the very 
important lateral flux from the coastal boundary zone will be available from studies conducted 
in that region. 



31 



With these dynamic and boundary conditions, a most exciting opportunity exists to link them 
with extensive in situ observations of fluxes of soluble and particulate phases and 
transformations between them. New tools and techniques (e.g., sediment traps, large-volume 
samplers, experimental benthic chambers, and numerical modeling) will be developed and used 
extensively in conjunction with physical and satellite observation programs over the next 
decade. This program will provide an understanding of the factors which control long-term 
chemical/biological dynamics at the ocean basin or global scale. 

Of particular relevance here is the application of emerging methodology employing AMS for 
measuring '''^C, ""^Be, ""^Si, and ^^ai concentrations in seawater. Additionally, significant effort 
will be required to assure that the necessary infrastructure is in place to guarantee that the 
volumes of data produced from satellites and aircraft can be handled. 

The specific objectives of this initiative are: (1) to define the rate of production of organic 
matter (i.e., organic tissue, opal, calcite, and many of the specific chemical and biological 
components of these phases) as a function of geographic location and time; (2) to define the flux 
of organic matter from the photic zone into the ocean interior as a function of location and time; 
(3) to define the transfer rates (by respiration, dissolution, and sorption) between phases as a 
function of time and location within the water column; and (4) to define the flux between the 
ocean interior and the seafloor. Several major aspects of the ocean sciences will benefit from 
having results of this research applied to specific regions. 

A knowledge of rates of photosynthesis and respiration as a function of space and time in the sea 
is fundamental to any understanding of the ecology of marine organisms. A knowledge of 
production and dissolution patterns of opal and calcite hard parts is fundamental to reading the 
record of paleoenvironments preserved in marine sediments. Finally, knowledge of the pattern 
of nutrient transport to the ocean's surface and of the pattern of nutrient regeneration in the 
sea's interior will provide powerful constraints on models of water flow through the sea. 

To accomplish a synoptic study of this scale and match fluxes to and through the water column, a 
seven-year program costing between $5M and $8M per year is required, with an additional 
$6M required in FY 1 988 and FY 1 989 for establishing a dedicated AMS facility for the Ocean 
Sciences. 

2. Coastal Ocean Fluxes. The objective of this subinitiative is to determine the extent and 
nature of material being injected into the open ocean across the coastal boundary. The results of 
this research will be augmented by studies of the Land/Sea Interface and Continental Margins and 
will serve as the input function for models developed to describe global open ocean flux studies 
(GOFS). 

Mass balances of both meso and global space scales are necessary in determining whether the 
influx of material to the ocean is greater than its removal. The approach has been applied with 
regard to some metals in seawater, and results indicate that a substantial increase in the oceanic 
inventory of certain metals has occurred as a result of human activity. However, these efforts 
have been severely limited by a lack of comprehensive models. It is likely that global models 
will be generated using regional models; therefore, the geographic setting must be 
predetermined. 



32 



Two natural modes of input of terrestrial and man-mobilized material into the ocean are 
atmospheric fallout and river discharge. The SEAREX Program has increased our understanding 
of the former. Riverine transport studies are more complex since influxes donot go directly into 
offshore waters of regional seas or global oceans, but first pass through estuaries and other 
nearshore environments. River-carried material therefore does not represent actual riverine 
fluxes to the ocean proper. Other important modes for introduction of material, especially for 
wholly artificial substances, are through direct discharge from land via pipelines and through 
dumping by ships at sea. 

In the case of naturally occurring contaminants, such as metals, it is also important to quantify 
natural influxes. These include emissions from tectonic spreading centers and hyrothermal 
vents and influxes from runoff other than rivers, such as glaciers. These sources need to be 
placed in perspective with regard to the role that rivers play. The net input to the open ocean is 
that material which survives chemical and biological removal and reinjection as it traverses the 
estuarine environment and the coastal-open ocean boundary. Physical characteristics of these 
areas also play an important role in transport. 

The chemical components of this estuarine transport study would require from $2 to $4M of 
new support per year over a five-year period. 

3. Ocean Lithosphere and Ridge Crest Processes (Chemical Component). An 

initiative in Geological Oceanography describes the geological, chemical, and biological aspects of 
understanding how lithosphere and ridge crest processes work. The support needed for studies of 
sulfide mineralization, vent water chemistry and seawater leaching of porous crust will be $2M 
per year. 

4. Recruitment Mechanisms (Chemical Component). This initiative in Biological 
Oceanography requires studies of chemical input to access food chain shifts resulting from 
dissolved material in the water column. Between $1 M and $2M per year will be required to 
perform these chemical studies of recruitment. 

5. Tracer Studies in WOCE. A critical step in any effort to predict the role of the ocean as 
a sink (e.g., for fossil fuel 002) and its ability to transport chemicals both vertically and 
horizontally is creation of models of ocean circulation and mixing. Present models are limited 
and a major obstacle to their future development is a lack of data with which to constrain them. 
Chemical tracers offer the best means of providing these constraints. As a result, one of the 
major objectives of TTO, initiated in 1978 jointly with the Department of Energy, is to obtain a 
fully three-dimensional picture of tracer distributions throughout the world ocean. 

Large field-intensive oceanographic research, such as study of tracers, depends upon 
well-maintained and efficiently operated ship support facilities comprised of sampling 
equipment, in-situ measurement devices, analytical instruments, computers, and staff to 
operate these facilities to provide requisite data handling and management capabilities. With the 
advent of large-scale oceanographic field studies lasting several months, permanent technical 
staff are needed to handle support activities efficiently. 



33 



In the past there have been two groups available to meet project needs. Both groups have 
recently become marginal in their capabilities due to equipment failures and losses, relocations, 
management problems, and decreased funding for field work. For the Global Program we must 
reestablish both groups, with up-to-date processing facilities, with new or refurbished 
sampling equipment, and with continuing support for a few excellent engineers and technicians. 

6. The Land/Sea Interface: This is an expansion of the core program on Material 
Transfers and Transformations at the Land/Sea Boundary. It is being planned jointly by the 
Ocean Sciences and the Biotic Systems and Resources Divisions. The objectives are defined under 
the Global Program and in the Biological Oceanography program description. 

V. Recommended Funding 

The recommended future funding for the Chemical Oceanography Program overall, including the 
core program, enhancements and major new initiatives, is provided in Table B of Section IV. 



34 



C. Biological Oceanography Program 
Long-Range Planning 



I. The Core Program 



Biological oceanograpiiy is tlie subdisclpline of oceanograpliy concerned withi thie study and 
prediction of tiie interreiatlonslilps of marine biota witli one another and witli tlie pliyslcal, 
chemical, and geological features of the ocean and atmosphere. A central focus Is to understand 
ecosystems on both regional (e.g., estuarlne, coastal embayment, central gyre, ocean basin) and, 
ultimately, global scales. 

Biological Oceanography has come of age over the past 15 years with increased participation in 
major interdisciplinary programs such as Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems, Gulf Stream Rings, 
and Hydrothermal Vents. Bioiogical oceanographers have tal<en advantage of steadily developing 
sampling technology towards real-time, in situ measurements (e.g., fluorometry, 
respirometry, ocean color sensors) compatible with those of chemistry and physics. They have 
also recognized the significance of new and complex communities (e.g., those comprising the 
microbial loop, the gelatinous midwater communities, and hydrothermal vent organisms). 
Biological Oceanography is now poised, with its sister disciplines, to expand its vision to 
interdisciplinary global processes. These include interconnections, not only between the coastal 
and open ocean, the ocean and atmosphere, and the ocean surface and sediments, but also between 
terrestrial and freshwater environments and the coastal ocean. 

The core program in Bioiogical Oceanography may be subdivided into: 

(1 ) primary production processes (benthic and water column), 

(2) microbial loop processes, 

(3) higher trophic levels, 

(4) specialized environments (deep ocean floor including vents, coral reefs, 

oxygen minima, etc.), and 

(5) large marine ecosystems and their control by physical and chemical processes. 

These divisions are not mutually exclusive. Programs focused on communities (4) and 
ecosystems (5) often involve the first three areas. 



1. Primary Production Processes. The nature and rate of primary formation of biological 
material, a central theme of biological oceanography from its earliest days, still holds center 
stage. Primary production is the basis of all marine food chains and biological production of 
economic importance, and it plays a central role in the flux of material to the deep ocean and in 
the control of climate through CO2 cycling. 



35 



The struggle to compute total ocean primary production accurately and to determine the relative 
significance of component ecosystems continues as more sophisticated tools become available. 
The subtle complexities of such integrations are being pursued through research on the 
physiology and biochemistry of photosynthesis and metabolic activities of single cells, the 
rigorous intercomparison and evaluation of the methodologies of primary production 
measurement, and the expanding range of primary production processes including photo- and 
chemosynthetic bacteria, nitrogen fixation and the role of submicron "picoplankton." The 
concept of new versus recycled production is sharpening definitions of regional potential for 
secondary productivity (e.g., fish production). 

The promise of a renewed capability for large-scale synoptic satellite color sensing is 
stimulating reexamination of the relative roles of shelf and open ocean waters in marine 
productivity. It is also, of necessity, stimulating efforts toward quantitative calibration of 
ocean color In terms of primary production in preparation for the next decade. These core 
studies are particularly important for global (both coastal and open) ocean flux and 
recruitment subinitiatives, as well as global productivity. 

2. Microbial Loop Processes. As little as two decades ago, marine bacteria and other 
heterotrophic microorganisms were thought to be rather rare and largely inactive. They are 
now known to be responsible for up to 50% of the total water column biomass. They can 
consume up to 50% of the total primary production in some situations and over 80% of water 
column respiratory activity remains after filtration through a 1 -micrometer filter. 

Growing knowledge of the vital and active role of microorganisms in marine food chains has 
vastly complicated the old "simple" diatom-copepod-fish short food chain concept. We now 
realize that intricate microscale food chains may be responsible for rapid recycling of material 
in the upper water column and transformation of detrital remains sinking to the ocean floor. 
Further definition of the role of ocean microbes will provide a major component of ocean flux 
studies. 

3. Higher Trophiic Levels. Ecological studies of populations and communities above the 
microbial level and their behavior and ecological interactions have also added immeasurably to 
our current understanding of the sophistication of ocean ecosystems. One significant example is 
the exotic gelatinous zooplankton. Their importance was first determined by scientists using 
near-surface scuba techniques; submersibles are now being used for studying them at greater 
depths. In standard texts on marine invertebrates, whole chapters can now be written where 
formerly groups such as Foraminifera, Radiolaria, salps, ctenophores, and chaetognaths were 
dismissed in a sentence or two. 

Complex predator/prey interactions are being explored in imaginatively designed field studies 
and in controlled laboratory studies. Sophisticated instrumentation is being developed to analyze 
swimming behavior in three dimensions, to slow down millisecond-rate activities of the 
microscopic mouth parts of copepods, and to measure flow velocities over feeding appendages of 
benthic organisms. The biochemical basis of larval settlement and the competitive overgrowth 
of clonal encrusting organisms are but two examples of ecological studies needing support for a 
better understanding of major groups of organisms comprising coastal and oceanic ecosystems. 
Basic life history and biology studies of individual populations are requisite for understanding 
the seasonal, interannual, and longer scale regulation of populations and communities, and they 
are relevant to the recruitment processes and ecosystem dynamics subinitiative. 

36 



4. Special Environments. The outstanding examples in this category are the specialized and 
unique communities living aroung hydrothermal vents. Scientists continue to be fascinated by 
the diversity of unusual life styles and unique adaptations of these organisms. As new 
hyperthermal and isothermal vent environments are discovered, we can expect further insights 
into basic phenomena involving symbiosis, sulfide metabolism, the nature and pace of evolution, 
and adaptation to extreme environments. The complex organization and extremely high 
productivity of the rich, diverse coral reef fauna also demand further study Other specialized 
environments that will continue to command interest include localized upwelling regions, 
sub-surface oxygen minimum zones, and seagrass and kelp forests. 

The potential applications to biotechnology of organisms adapted to specialized environments 
cannot be underestimated. 

5. Large Marine Ecosystems. Compreheshive investigations of marine ecosystems through 
interdisciplinary approaches are an important part of the Biological Oceanography program. The 
percentage of total awarded dollars for such research has fluctuated between 25 and 40% over 
the past 5 years. Large interdisciplinary programs were funded through the International 
Decade for Ocean Exploration (IDOE) in the 1970's and have been administered as OSRS 
programs since 1981 . The IDOE phase-out was followed initially by a decline in dollars spent on 
multiinvestigator, multiinstitutional awards in biological oceanography. However, increasing 
numbers of large interdisciplinary programs have been funded since 1 981 . 

Recently concluded large programs in which biological oceanographers had major involvement 
include Warm Core Rings, Organization of Persistent Upwelling Systems OPUS), and Planktonic 
Rate Processes in Oligotrophic Oceans (PRPOOS). Current large programs include the Vertical 
Exchange Program (VERTEXO, SUPER, and Microbial Exchanges and Coupling in Coastal Atlantic 
Systems (MECCAS) for the water column, and Hydrothermal Vents for the benthos. Future 
basinwide interdisciplinary studies are projected for the Indian Ocean, where predictable 
regular monsoonal upwellings cause intense production and extreme oxygen minimum layers, 
and for higher latitudes, where new production is likely to be a much higher proportion of the 
total. The phasing in of ocean and coastal flux and recruitment processes studies, described 
below, will bring greater emphasis on large ecosystems and interdisciplinary research. It is 
also vital, however, to maintain the core of individual investigator research. 



M. Critical Needs of the Core Program 

Special funds (see the tables) are necessary to supplement core program funding in all the areas 
addressed in Section II. B of the Long-Range Plan. Two of these are highlighted below as 
particularly urgent. 

1. Biochemistry, Chemical Ecology, and Marine Biotechnology. There is an 
immediate need for substantially enlarged research support to accommodate the accelerating 
numbers of exciting proposals in this burgeoning field. Increasingly, biological oceanographers 
are employing the techniques of analytical biochemistry to studies of microbial ecology, 
sediment biogeochemistry, metabolic biochemistry, and chemically-mediated organism 
interactions, and to their applications in biotechnology. 



37 



The application of new analytical and molecular research tools to studies of the evolutionary 
diversity of marine organisms and their colonization of unique and extreme environments will 
produce important new discoveries. Enhancement of this work is projected to require $1 .5M in 
FY 1988 and to increase rapidly beyond this as marine biotechnology grows in importance. 
Besides the obvious need for research dollars, we also see the need for enhancement of existing 
centers through aquisition of the expensive new generation of instrumentation to integrate 
modern molecular biology and genetic technologies into the ocean sciences. We also need to 
encourage establishment of new centers in the context of existing marine laboratory and 
oceanography facilities, where seawater systems, culture expertise, and ecological knowledge of 
the habitats of marine organisms already exist. This program will require a $10f^ annual 
budget within five years. 

2. Technology Development. Development, acquisition, and use of new tools for field data 
aquisition and analysis Is a most critical need in biological oceanography. Support for the 
technical personnel to operate and maintain such complex electronic and mechanical equipment 
is also vital. A small proportion of the resources of the Oceanographic Centers and Facilities 
Section is assigned to ongoing technology development for the Ocean Sciences Division as a whole, 
but it is inadequate to equip Biological Oceanography with a new generation of field observational 
and data management tools. 

Specific prototype research methods that would contribute significantly to advances in Biological 
Oceanography with enhanced support include (1) multifrequency acoustic sampling for 
zooplankton and small nekton; (2) in situ optical sampling and image analysis for plankton, 
microbes and marine snow; (3) flow cytometry and image analysis for identification and sorting 
of phytoplankton and microbes; (4) satellite data capture and analysis; and (5) optimally 
designed submersibles for investigation of midwater plankton and benthos. Greatly expanded 
funding for these and other endeavors will allow biological oceanographers to develop 
state-of-the art observational capabilities and will insure real-time interaction with physical 
and chemical oceanographers in future interdisciplinary and large-scale programs. 

This enhancement will require at least $5M per year over the next decade. 



38 



III. Biological Oceanography Component of the Global Program 

Biological Oceanography contributes major components to the Global Ocean Studies Program, and 
a minor component to the Ocean Lithosphere Studies Program, the latter in connection with the 
biological communities associated with Ridge Crest Processes. Planning funds have been assigned 
starting in 1987. 

Within the context of Global Ocean Studies, the biological and chemical components of Global 
Ocean Flux Studies (GOFS) are furthest advanced, and are scheduled to begin pilot field studies in 
1989. The Land/Sea Interface study, a program being jointly planned with the Chemical 
Oceanography Program and the Division of Biotic Systems and Resources, is scheduled to receive 
funds for planning beginning in 1988. Recruitment Processes and Ecosystem Dynamics as a 
subinitiative has been endorsed by the Ocean Studies Board of the National Academy of Sciences, 
and following further planning workshops it will start in 1989. Coastal Fluxes and Dynamics, a 
multidisciplinary series of programs, is beginning to be organized and may also be expected to 
become structurally defined by 1989 in preparation for major field activities in the next 
decade. The biological component of Global Circulation, Climate, and Productivity is seen 
in a supporting role for all of the above. The order of presentation below maintains consistency 
with the other parts of this document and does not reflect an order of priority. 



1. Global (Circulation, Climate, and) Productivity. Within the ocean sciences, this 
program encompasses such well-established efforts as TOGA and WOCE. Within the Biological 
Oceanography Program, global productivity studies will not be developed as a major focus, but 
continuing core studies will serve the needs of the coastal and ocean flux studies subinitiatives, 
as well as those for recruitment processes and the land/sea interface. If these efforts are to 
succeed, significant supplementary funds must be set aside for the acquisition, groundtruthing, 
assimilation, and management of the expected data stream from satellite and aircraft sensors 
and from ships at sea. 

Although the coastal zone color scanner is now a memory, there will be a new generation of color 
sensors, the earliest of which could be spaceborne by late 1 990, followed by multispectral 
instruments capable of resolving up to 100 separate spectral bands. These sensors are likely to 
be commercialized and hence the cost of their data gathering may have to be borne by NSF in 
partnership with other agencies for the academic community. In addition, there already 
exists a wealth of productivity data collected from past programs and stored in a variety of often 
inaccessible data bases scattered through the literature, both in published and technical report 
form. Additionally, major cruises of the global ocean programs, including TOGA, WOCE, and 
GOFS, will generate new productivity data over the next decade. 

Funds must be projected now for (1) aquisition of hardware, facilities, and data links for 
academic institutions; (2) training of graduate and postdoctoral students in remote sensing 
technology and integration of biology into coupled ocean/atmosphere models requiring super 
computers; (3) detailed analysis of currently archived data; (4) ground truthing and the 
development of new algorithms for higher latitudes and the conversion of ocean color to reliable 
production estimates; (5) the actual cost of new commercial products; and (6) development of 
data assimilation and management schemes, identification of specific sites for these activities, 



39 



and the means of dissemination of global and regional productivity data to feed the requirements 
of Open Ocean and Coastal Dynamics and Fluxes programs, the Land/sea Interface, and 
Recruitment Processes. Some of these activities are currently being funded at a minimal level in 
the core program. By FY 1989 the effort will require at least an additional $2M, increasing to 
$6Mby FY1993. 

Global Ocean Flux Studies will require an interdisciplinary effort by chemical, biological, 
physical, and geological oceanographers. The sediment trap will be one of the major sampling 
tools, but the diversity of biological projects needed will require major use of traditional and 
new sampling technologies. From a biologist's perspective, the most effective flux program 
design would incorporate onshore-offshore sampling to estimate influences of terrestrial 
sources, basin boundaries, and advective processes on both the vertical and horizontal movement 
of materials. For convenience, the program can be sub-divided into open ocean and coastal 
components. 



2. Open Ocean Fluxes A major research effort is required to examine the flux of biogenic 
particles from the sea surface to the benthos and the mechanisms by which materials are 
transported, transformed, and cycled. Rates of primary production and seasonal succession of 
phytoplankton species,loss and regeneration rates of nutrients, dynamics of plankton 
communities, and energetics at the organism, population, and community level all must be 
studied to understand particulate flux. 

The fate of particulates reaching the seabed, the effect of turbulence on benthic organisms, the 
pathways by which benthic communities utilize, transform, and regenerate materials, and the 
role of nekton in both lateral and vertical transport of materials must be considered. Because 
flux of materials varies between ocean basins and with the seasons and climatic conditions, a 
successful program will require broad coverage of major marine ecosystems and multiyear 
commitments to measure intra- and interannual variability. 

Planning and long-lead time activites for a community effort designated Global Ocean Flux 
Studies began in 1 986 with the joint assistance of NASA and NSF. Pilot ocean basin observational 
programs will be mounted before the end of this decade. The biological oceanography component 
of this program will require $2M by FY 1989 increasing to $10M by FY 1992 when full scale 
global field programs should be in place. This will help biological oceanographers to phase 
into a major interdisciplinary flux program and allow development of instrumentation as well 
as training of technical personnel critical to the initiative's success. These figures include the 
funds required to help support ship and facility operation and the establishment of an Ocean 
Sciences Accelerator Mass Spectrometry Center essential to both the GOFS and WOCE 
programs. 



3. Coastal Ocean Dynamics and Fluxes. The new in situ and satellite imagery tools 
provided oceanographers with the first vivid realization of the complex dynamics of the 
micro-and mesoscale physical structure and its inevitable consequences for sediment transport, 
geochemistry, and population recruitment processes. This dynamic mosaic of currents, 
upwelling, eddies, and jets has been clearly seen to influence equally complex patterns of ocean 
surface color, itself an index of biomass and productivity as revealed by the coastal zone color 
scanner. 

40 



From a biological perspective, the coastal ocean has two important characteristics 
distinguishing it from the open ocean: (1) very high rates of biological productivity based on 
upwelling and the influx of nutrients from land, and (2) dynamic interactions at the seabed 
interface. High variability in space and time characterize processes related to these phenomena. 
This has traditionally confounded interpretation and understanding, but it is increasingly 
apparent that these processes, governed by ocean physics, are very much less stochastic than 
formerly thought. This apparent noise in coastal biological patterns and processes is made up of 
important signals which several programs are being designed to unravel. 

One of these is MECCAS, already in its first field phase. It is designed to follow the Chesapeake 
Bay estuary plume onto the continental shelf and to determine the biological transformations 
taking place along its path and its effects on the productivity of the adjacent region. In a second 
physical/meteorological program, biologists are involved in assessing the effects of the passage 
of coastal winter storms on fish spawning and larval survival. There are programs in advanced 
planning stages designed to investigate the biological significance of sediment resuspension 
caused by storms, waves, and currents off the coast of California. Many organisms important to 
productivity cycles, from dinoflagellates to copepods, are now known to produce resting spores 
or eggs which accumulate in sediments. 

Transient physical phenomena may be responsible for the bulk of biological production in some 
regions of the coastal ocean. Another planned program takes as its premise the gobal biological 
significance of western boundary currents, which aire an order of magnitude less intense than 
eastern boundary upwellings but often occur over much longer coastlines and are often sustained 
over large parts of the year. The potential for nutrient enrichment of coastal regions and the 
fate of subsequent particulates produced are currently a matter for speculation, but it is certain 
that large amounts of biogenic carbon are fluxed across the ocean margin into the deep ocean 
basins. 

Funds to support biological aspects of a coastal flux program will need to begin by FY 1 989 and 
sharply increase to $6M by FY 1994. 



4. Global Ocean Ecosystems Dynamics and Recruitment. Animal populations 
frequently vary in abundance year to year by orders of magnitude, usually due to variable 
survival of larval or juvenile stages. Climate, physical processes, variability in primary 
production or zooplankton production, and variability in predation have been hypothesized to 
regulate such large changes, which often have huge economic impacts. This NSF initiative, 
together with efforts planned by the International Council for the Exploration of the Sea (ICES), 
UNESCO, and FAO (and their member states, including France and the U.K.) could provide new 
solutions to understanding recruitment variability and ecosystems dynamics in temperate and 
tropical seas. 

A central question concerns the mechanisms by which relatively small (three- to-fourfold) 
variability in annual primary production within an ecosystem is magnified to express ten- to 
hundredfold variability in fish or benthos recruitment. Differences in recruitment mechanisms 
in high and low latitude systems need to be considered as do probable differences associated with 
the dominant type of primary producer at the food chain base. Predicting recruitment and shifts 



41 



in abundances of commercially important fisfies (e.g., sardine/anchovy), based on ocean and 
climate parameters, would have great economic and social benefits for fisheries harvests and 
management. It is important to know the sequence and temporal-spatial scales of events that 
lead to failures or successes in recruitment in order to make predictions about the long-term 
changes of population structure. 

A Recruitment Processes and Ecosystems Dynamics program will require funding for studies in 
both coastal and oceanic ecosystems and the use of mesocosms for controlled experiments to 
examine factors that influence recruitment. Initial research will focus on larval stages of fishes 
and benthic invertebrates. As in other biological oceanography initiatives, strong input from 
physical oceanographers will be required to allow collaborative investigation of factors that 
aggregate or disperse larvae, their predators.and their prey. The role of predation and its 
effects on the recuitment process will be a particularly important topic for investigation. 

As in the other subinitiatives, there is a critical requirement to develop new samplers, 
instrumentation, and analytical techniques, and to train technical personnel. The control of 
ecosystem structure through recruitment processes in the coastal and continental shelf and slope 
environments is particularly important, because this is where the bulk of the harvestable 
biomass resides. Among the obviously important controls on recruitment processes are the 
physical, chemical, and sediment transport considerations embodied in the Coastal Ocean 
Dynamics and Fluxes subinitiative. 

Core program funds up to $4M are already being spent in this area. We should expect to expend 
at least $2-4.5M per year in the FY 1 989-90 time frame increasing to $1 0.5M per year by FY 
1 993, in order to make really significant contributions to planned international programs on 
recruitment problems and ocean ecosystems dynamics. 



5. The Land/Sea Interface. Traditionally, terrestrial, freshwater, and ocean research have 
been separated both at academic institutions and at federal agencies. Nevertheless, their 
geographic interconnection, especially in large terrestrial drainage systems and their estuaries, 
offers a unique opportunity for NSF to provide leadership and catalyze integration at a critical 
juncture. These transitional ecosystems contribute enormously to the livelihood and well-being 
of the global human population, which itself endangers their health. 

Environments at the land/sea interface continually change because of natural variability of 
climate and runoff and because of their sensitivity to small changes in sea level and to storms. 
Recently, the change has been accelerated as these environments have been subjected to 
human-caused increases in the amounts of freshwater, sediments, and nonnatural (and often 
toxic) materials moving from the land to the oceans. Populations of organisms have also been 
greatly changed in recent years because of habitat alterations and intense harvesting. In the next 
century, the predicted greenhouse effect may cause global climate changes resulting in changes 
in river runoff and temperature. 

We need to begin to plan a long term research program to monitor and document changes and to 
specify the studies that will enable us to predict the effects of these changes on aquatic 
ecosystems at the land/sea interface. We expect that $1 M increasing to $6M will need to be 
allocated to OCE efforts between FY 1989-93 (with an equal amount being provided by BSR) and 
maintained at that level through 1996. 

42 



6. Ridge Crest Processes. This program includes a significant biological component. To 
understand fully the origin and evolution of biological communities, a long-term integrated 
biological program should be coupled to geochemical flux studies and directed toward the unique 
properties of vent organisms with emphasis on chemolithotrophic microbes, symbiont-host 
relations, bioenergetics, and physiological adaptations. 

To define community structure, life history stategies, and evolution of biological communities, a 
number of important questions must be asl<ed. These include: What are the most important 
factors sustaining vent biological communities - nutrients, heat, symbiosis? How do vent 
communities colonize new areas? How do communities evolve? What are the mechanisms for 
adaptation to the unique chemistry, high temperature, and high pressure? What are the 
productivity and the physiology of vent organisms? 



7. Funding Requirements 

Funding requirements for the Program are detailed in Table C of Section IV. 



43 



D. Marine Geology and Geophysics Program 
Long-Range Planning 



I. Core Program 



Major changes in marine geoscience research have occurred in the fifteen years since acceptance 
of plate tectonics theory. Reconnaissance studies of sediment distribution and composition, 
crustal age and chemistry, and ocean basin structure and history have set the stage for detailed 
examination of (1) the "how" and "why" of plate tectonic processes; (2) the mechanisms of 
global climate and ocean circulation changes as recorded in deep sea sediments; (3) the temporal 
and spatial scales of seafloor formation and their control on crustal heterogeneity; (4) seawater 
chemistry and formation of mineral deposits; (5) the stretching and subsidence of rifted 
continental margins; and (6) the mechanisms for crustal accretion and erosion in deep sea 
trenches. 

New instruments allow the geologist to image the seafloor in real time on spatial scales of meters 
to kilometers (swath mapping, side-scan sonars, and cameras) and permit the geophysicist to 
probe the deepest sedimentary and igneous layers beneath the margins and ocean basins 
(large-aperture seismic arrays, broadband digital reflection profiling systems, satellite 
geodesy, and ocean bottom seismometers). The geological and geochemical significance of 
remotely sensed features can be determined by precision sampling from submersibles and deep 
ocean drilling, with subsequent analyses using modern analytical instrumentation. 

Marine geosciences are at a point where these new techniques can be integrated and utilized in 
major new programs to provide a comprehensive understanding of the processes which create 
and modify 70% of the earth's crust and which have controlled global environmental changes for 
the last 150 million years. The basic scientific manpower, theory, and technology exist for such 
programs. The present status and future trends for the five major program areas at existing 
support levels are summarized below. 



1. Structure and Evolution of Continental Margins. The use and development of 
multichannel seismic techniques, swath-mapping, sonar systems, and seismic stratigraphic 
analysis have lead to new conceptual models of margin formation and evolution. On a few passive 
margins, such techniques have been coupled with heat flow, gravity, and sediment analyses to 
quantify faulting, crustal stretching, and subsidence which accompany continental rifting. 
Limited study of active margins has begun to clarify the process of continental accretion and 
provided unexpected evidence of crustal erosion. 

The geological structure of the transition from ocean to continent is a direct result of, and varies 
with the processes causing rifting and subsidence (passive margins) or convergence and uplift 
(active margins). A major limitation is the lack of field data from these contrasting tectonic 
areas to construct and constrain geologic models. 



44 



A principal aim of future work is to provide crystal structure profiles at margins that differ in 
their physiography, sediment history, and tectonic style. Multichannel seismic experiments and 
ocean drilling will be part of studies of margin evolution that include lithologic and acoustic 
stratigraphy, structural analysis, subsidence analysis, and heat flow, gravity.and magnetic 
measurements. Correlation and integration with onshore geological studies will be required. 
This program is of fundamental geologic interest, but it is facilities-limited. Therefore, a 
major increase in support for this program area is requested as part of the Tectonics and 
Structures of Submerged Continental Margins component of the Global Program. 



2. Tectonics and Structure of Midocean Ridges and Basins. Studies using multibeam 
bathymetric systems, side-scan sonars, navigated cameras, and research submersibles have 
provided new perspectives on the complex and poorly understood spatial and temporal scales of 
tectonic and volcanic processes along ridge crests and transform faults. Ridge crest 
reorganization and migration, changes in spreading rate, and fracture zone orientation can 
imprint the ocean crust with a complex structural and geochemical signature. Episodic 
volcanism may control both distribution of ridge crest morphologies and hydrothermal vents. 
Major limitations are a lack of knowledge of the internal structure of ridge systems, including 
the shape and distribution of magma chambers, and the spatial and temporal scales of volcanic 
activity and faulting which are needed to constrain dynamic models. 

A major goal of future work is to provide a three-dimensional view of the structure and 
evolution of spreading ridges and fracture zones including closely-spaced surveys at critical 
locations using detailed bathymetric, magnetic, seismic, and heat-flow measurements. 
Complementary studies in off-axis, old ocean basins will examine effects of plate motions and 
geologic age on lithosphere chemistry and rheology. This area is also of basic scientific 
importance and is also facilities-limited. Therefore, the Oceanic Lithosphere component of the 
Global Program on Ridge Crest Processes provides for significant new efforts in this program 
element. 



3. Geochemical Evolution of the Oceanic Crust. One square kilometer of new seafloor 
is created each year along midocean ridges. Research on this process and the resulting volcanic 
products has documented the large-scale geochemical heterogeneity of the crust and upper 
mantle; the rate of chemical and heat exchange between the ocean, oceanic crust, and mantle; and 
secondary mineralization of the crust as it ages. Application of modern analytic techniques for 
isotope and trace element variations provides insight into magma evolution, mixing processes, 
and thermodynamics of the volcanic system at ridge crests, back-arc basins, and seamounts. 
Detailed studies of the geochemistry of hydrothermal vents are relating the composition and 
structure of oceanic crust to the nature and origin of associated mineral deposits, though studies 
are limited by the lack of adequate control on chemical and thermal fluxes. 

A major emphasis of future work is to couple detailed geochemical sampling and analysis with 
studies of the spatial and temporal scales of seafloor creation and evolution. Such studies will 
require coordinated and comprehensive geochemical analysis of samples recovered by dredging, 
submersibles, and crustal drilling. These studies will examine chemical heterogeneity produced 
by overlapping and propagating spreading centers, the location of transform faults and mantle 
plumes, and magma chamber evolution. This significant new effort is proposed as part of the 
Ridge Crest Processes component of the Global Program. 

45 



4. Fluxes, Transport, and Deposition of Marine Sediments. Approximately 40% of 
all sediments occupying the major global sedimentary reservoirs are found on the continental 
slope and rise and in the deep ocean. These sediments reflect a wide variety of complex and often 
interacting sources from continental erosion and pelagic productivity to volcanic eruptions and 
deep sea hydrothermal activity. Transport, deposition, and, often, subsequent erosion of these 
sediments are directly coupled to surface and deep ocean current systems and modified by the 
long-term history of global seal evel. 

Recent research has concentrated on (1) developing geochemical tracers which allow 
sedimentary components to be partitioned between source functions; (2) first-order studies of 
sediment supply and alteration through use of sediment traps and surface sediment analyses; (3) 
use of high resolution side-scan sonars and reflection profiling to study dynamic processes 
which transport and erode sediments; and (4) use of the preserved record to model global 
geochemical cycles of carbon, sulfur, and other elements. 

Although first-order models of many of these processes are available, a major limitation to 
advancement is a lack of integrated field data sets incorporating comprehensive studies of 
source, transport and flux, and depositional controls. Increased support for such studies on 
continental margins are included as part of the Coastal Ocean Dynamics and Fluxes subinitiative. 
Predictability of regional sedimentary sequences and their acoustic stratigraphy, the resistance 
of sediment deposits to erosion or dissolution, slope stability along continental margins, and the 
origin of microtopography are still poorly understood. 

Future emphasis will be on geochemical processes in the benthic boundary layer which modify 
terrigenous and biogenic material before its incorporation into the geologic record. Such studies 
will be coupled to ocean flux studies assessing production, transport, and dissolution of biogenic 
and inorganic material in the water column. Funds are included in the Open Ocean Fluxes sub- 
initiative for increased geochemical studies in this area. Efforts under the Land/Sea Interface 
program in Biological Oceanography will similarly complement this activity. 

Additional emphasis at the current program level will be directed to effects of in situ reactions 
within sediments and their influence on physical properties, pore fluids, and sediment layering 
and chemistry. Enhanced support for a new Long Coring Facility is requested to improve 
sampling quality and recovery for sedimentary analysis. 



5. Geologic and Climatic History of the Oceans. Paleoceanography has emerged as a 
separate and important discipline. Study of microfossil assemblages, coupled with their 
geochemical signatures, has provided a new tool for examining changes in global climate and 
ocean circulation. Projects such as CLIMAP and SPECMAP have attacked the most recent portion 
of the geologic record and uncovered the relation between orbital forcing and the Pleistocene ice 
age. Samples from the Deep Sea Drilling Project have been used to document gradual decay of 
global climate and resulting formation of ice sheets during the last 60 million years (e.g., the 
CENOP project). 



46 



Other significant advances have been made in understanding ecology of marine organisms, the 
history of surface and deep water production and circulation, the global carbon cycle, and 
changes in the chemistry and biologic productivity of the global ocean. Most recently, theories 
of extraterrestrial impacts and their relation to biotic evolution are being examined in the 
context of global environmental conditions preserved in marine sediments. 

Major goals of future work include detailed studies of specific geologic intervals to establish 
temporal relations between oceanographic, climatic, and tectonic events; improved 
understanding of the resolution of the oceanographic record presen/ed in fossil assemblages 
through studies of modern organisms and their environment; an increased emphasis on 
determining the history of the carbon cycle and its relation to climatic change; and use of 
integrated data sets to model ocean circulation and climate. Enhanced support for analyses of 
samples collected by the Ocean Drilling Program is requested (see below). 



il. Critical Needs of the Core Program 

The areas of critical need in Ocean Sciences Core support are all relevant to the Marine Geology 
and Geophysics Program. In particular, support for three aspects of this research program are 
urgently needed to continue recent scientific advances and respond to technological 
Improvements. Each crosses several programmatic areas described in the preceding section. 
These are: 

1. Ocean Drilling Program Sample Analyses. Support for postdrilling analyses of 
samples from the Ocean Drilling Program (ODP) is provided by established disciplinary 
programs at NSF - mainly Marine Geology and Geophysics. The drilling program includes major 
sampling programs for carbonate reef formation and carbon cycles in the oceans, controls and 
timing of glacial cycles, early rifting history of the Atlantic Ocean, geochemical and thermal 
evolution of oceanic crust, evolution of the Mediterranean Sea, mineralization processes, 
sedimentation regimes, and tectonics of ocean ridge systems and continental margins. Sample 
sites range from the Norwegian Sea through the Atlantic Ocean to the Weddell Sea off Antarctica 
followed by future work in the Indian Ocean and Pacific margins. 

The success of the drilling program requires a strong sample analysis effort and without 
enhanced support it will be difficult for the U.S. research effort to maintain its leadership 
position in this international program. Funding at $IM per year is required to establish and 
maintain effective levels of research. 

2. Long Coring Facility and Sedimentary Processes. Approximately 40% of all 
sediments are found on continental margins and in the deep ocean. The marine sedimentary 
sequences, in general, are more continuous than land deposits; are the ultimate sink for 
terrestrial, pelagic, and deep-sea hydrothermal particulate materials; and are the recording 
medium for past global environmental and climatic changes. 



47 



Large continuous samples from differing regional settings are required to meet research goals. 
Funding is needed for acquisition and operation of an instrumented piston corer system and 
handling equipment capable of taking 50-meter-iong, 10-centimeter-diameter cores from a 
number of research vessels. A Long Coring Facility (LCF) will provide sufficient penetration 
capability to resolve major sedimentary, diagenetic, and geochemical processes. It will 
complement the deep penetration capabilities of the Ocean Drilling Program and extend standard 
piston coring techniques by a factor of three. 

Preliminary engineering design of a prototype system is complete. The LCF corer will find 
immediate use for paleoclimatic studies along continental margins, in sediment transport and 
microtopography studies, and in determination of geochemical gradients in ocean sedimentary 
basins. In FY 1989 and FY 1990 $.9M will be required for construction and testing. Operation 
costs are estimated at $.6M annually during the period FY 1991-96. 

3. Geochemical Instrumentation. During the past decade marine geosciences research has 
evolved from reconnaissance studies to quantitative studies examining various aspects of 
paleoceanographic and plate tectonic models. This transition has highlighted the need for modern 
analytic instrumentation. An example of research opportunities that require improved 
analytical systems is polymetallic sulfide mineralization on oceanic ridge systems. The complex 
series of geologic, geochemical, and physical reactions involving high temperature 
seawater-rock, mineral fluids-rock, mineral fluids-cold seawater, and secondary 
mineralization and magmatic processes are a formidable challenge. 

In the past, interpretations have all too often been frustrated by lack of a comprehensive 
approach, and critical data have been missing because adequate instrumentation was not 
available. New state-of-the-art, automated instruments with on-line computers and real-time 
data correction, reduction, and archiving capabilities, as well as a new generation of 
instruments with multielement or isotope detection capabilities, are needed. These include 
electron microprobes, ion probes, x-ray diffraction and fluorescence units, gas and solid source 
mass spectrometers, acceleration mass spectrometers, emission and absorption spectrometers, 
microprobes, and transmission and scanning electron microscopes. 

No oceanographic institution has the instrumentation, facilities, or necessary expertise to 
undertake all the techniques identified. It will be necessary to expand present analytical 
facilities and develop regional and national capabilities to provide for the comprehensive studies 
needed. Funding is required for a six-year program totalling $4.2M to upgrade (and utilize) 
instrumentation capabilities at oceanographic institutions. Additional funding for acceleration 
mass spectrometry is also needed, but it is budgeted as part of the facilities needed for the new 
initiatives. It is described in the Chemical Oceanography section of this document. 



48 



III. Marine Geology and Geophysics Component of the Global Program 

The Ocean Lithosphere Studies component of the Global Program provides for a broad research 
effort based on modern technology to be directed toward understanding the dynamics, structure, 
evolution, and origin of ocean basins. It has two major aspects: (1) Tectonics and Structure of 
Submerged Continental Margins and (2) Ocean Lithosphere and Ridge Crest Processes. They 
focus respectively on ocean-continent transition zones and tectonics and on hydrothermal 
processes at ocean ridge systems. Together they provide a balance between (1) examining 
crustal formation processes responsible for the basic structure of 70% of the earth's crust and 
the associated biological and chemical questions, and (2) determining the processes of formation 
of oceanic sedimentary basins, destruction of oceanic crust, and aggregation of continents. Both 
components share the need for expanded facilities and their application. The approach to these 
problems balances upgraded and expanded field programs with improvements in laboratory 
equipment and development of new in situ measurement technologies. 



1. Ocean Lithosphere Studies 

a. Tectonics and Structure of Submerged Continental Margins 

The transition zones between continents and oceans represent the boundary between the two 
major physiographic provinces on our planet. In some cases they are also past or present 
boundaries of the lithospheric plates forming the earth's surface. A much deeper understanding 
of the structure, tectonics, and dynamic evolution of these fundamental geologic features is 
within our grasp. The basic scientific manpower, theory, and technology exist for developing a 
comprehensive understanding of continental margins. 

Some of the major questions to be addressed are: 

• What are the geologic units underlying passive and active continental margins? How is 

their geology coupled to formation of ocean-continent boundaries? What are the 
dominant tectonic, geochemical, and thermal processes? 

• How does the geology vary along continental margins? What are the differences between 
old and young margins, island arc and trench regions, fast and slow convergence sites, and 
thick and thin sedimentary sequences? What is the coupling to adjacent geologic 
provinces, to onshore basins and trenches? 

• What causes initial rifting? How are conjugate sites on the opposite side of ocean basins 
related? What are the controlling factors for subsidence rates, sediment accretion 
rates, thermal histories, and regional basin formation? 

To answer these questions modern geophysical, geological, and geochemical methods and 
equipment for measuring and interpreting the physical properties of crustal structure are 
needed. A primary technique is multichannel seismic profiling with large numbers of detectors 
and large receiving apertures. The Large Aperture Seismic Experiment (LASE) showed that 
multiship techniques can map the deep structure of the margins. A major limitation is the lack 
of field data from contrasting tectonic areas to construct and constrain geologic models and the 
lack of state-of-the-art multichannel seismic systems. 



49 



An early thrust of the program is to acquire seismic data on the continental margins with 
tuned-source arrays and high-speed digital recording systems. Sufficient resources will be used 
to maintain effective data acquisition and data analysis centers along with the critical mass of 
scientists, technicians, and students required for operations. An expanded number of seismic 
experiments ($2.7M in FY 1989, $6.2M in FY 1990, and increasing to $I2M by FY 1992) for 
studying deep structure in constrasting regions will be integrated with lithologic and acoustic 
stratigraphic analysis, structural analysis, subsidence analysis, and heatflow, gravity, and 
magnetic measurements. The initial studies will use upgraded capabilities of existing ships 
followed by a transition to a proposed new research ship in FY 1991 . 

An additional requirement is correlation of marine geological and geophysical studies with 
onshore geologic studies of the Continental Lithosphere program and offshore drilling by the 
Ocean Drilling Program. Geologic samples from continental margins will provide controls on 
the age and nature of basement, on age correlations for seismic reflectors, on biostratigraphic 
data for subsidence models, and on the composition and facies of geologic sections. Other 
significant measurement techniques include using arrays of ocean-bottom seismometers, the 
Long Coring Facility, and upgraded laboratory facilities for geophysical, geological, and 
geochemical analyses of data and samples. 

b. Ridge Crest Processes 

Oceanic ridges are a major component of the dynamic geologic system that forms, modifies, and 
changes the surface of the earth. They are the source of major transfers of heat and chemical 
elements from the earth's interior to surficial geologic layers and into the oceans by volcanic 
and hydrothermal processes. Active "vent systems" also support specialized biological 
communities that draw a significant part of their energy needs from geochemical fluxes. 

Much more is known about kinematics of seafloor spreading than about plate mechanics, their 
physical and chemical properties, or the forces acting to drive the plates. These questions plus 
their geological, chemical, and biological effects remain unresolved because of a lack of 
state-of-the-art observational data to test hypotheses and speculations. A major limitation is 
the lack of knowledge of the internal structure of ridge systems and the spatial and temporal 
scales of volcanic activity needed to constrain dynamic calculations. 

The objective is to provide integrated geochemical and structural models defining spatial and 
temporal scales of seafloor creation and evolution. Particular emphasis will be directed to 
developing techniques for long-term monitoring of hydrothermal vent systems to quantify their 
full geochemical cycle. 

Some of the major questions to be addressed are: 

• How does the ocean lithosphere respond mechanically to large surface loads, to 
compression, to bending, to stretching? With an understanding of these factors, what can 
we learn about deeper processes in the earth, such as mantle convection, by looking 
through the "ocean lithospheric window?" 



50 



• What are the driving mechanisms for seafloor spreading? How does crustal accretion vary 

with time? What are the local scales of accretion and tectonics in space and time? How are 
volcanic processes coupled to hydrothermal circulation at midocean ridges? What are 
the controlling factors on sulfide mineralization and the extent of deposits? What is the 
variability and alteration of oceanic crust as it moves off-axis? 

• What are the chemical and thermal properites of hydrothermal fluids from vents and what 

is their role in the mineralization process? What is the contribution of vent fluxes to 
chemical balance of the oceans? What chemical reactions occur? What is the relation 
between fluids and biologic communities? 

Answering these questions requires modern detailed survey capabilities (e.g., Seabeam, 
Seamarc, Alvin) for expanded field programs to determine the history and scale of crustal 
accretion ($IM in FY 1989, $2M in FY 1990, increasing to $6 in FY 1992). Research 
submersibles must be used to mount integrated geological, chemical, and biological studies to 
examine a spectrum of representative sites including high and low temperature fluids, seamount 
localities, and sedimented and unsedimented regions. In situ instrumentation for long-term 
monitoring of hydrothermal vents and crustal accretion must be developed and deployed ($2M 
per year beginning in FY 1989). 

These systems must include flow meters, chemical and thermal sensors, strain gauges, and ocean 
floor seismometers. Improved techniques for multichannel seismics must be used in selected 
areas to conduct experiments focused on determining thermo-mechanical properties of the 
oceanic lithosphere under varying conditions of age, stress/strain, and thermal regimes ($IM in 
FY 1 989 and $2M/year from FY 1 990 through FY 1 996). For complete integration of spatial, 
temporal, and in situ processes, crustal drilling by ODP on bare rock hydrothermal sites is 
required. An appropriate set of instrumented holes would form a long-term natural laboratory. 

The additional funding requested is essential if existing capabilities are to be upgraded. Use of 
new multichannel seismic, side-scan sonar, Seabeam and submersible systems in integrated 
studies of geochemical and mineralization processes requires new resources. Development and 
implementation of in situ monitoring systems for geophysical, tectonic, chemical, volcanic, and 
biological changes require support beyond that available within current support levels. 
Application of these new suites of observational systems over the next ten years will lead to 
greater understanding of these basic elements of the earth-ocean system. 

2. Related Programs 

Research being conducted under two other subinitiatives is important to the study of sediment 
transport and fluxes, production and processes involved - the flux of organic materials to the 
seafloor and the fate of biogenic materials. These programs are Open Ocean Fluxes and Coastal 
Ocean Dynamics and Fluxes and funding requirements for these programs accompany their 
program descriptions. 



IV. Funding Requirements 

Funding requirements for the marine geology and geophysics program, including the core 
program, critical needs, and major new programs are presented in Table D in Section IV. 

51 



E. Ocean Drilling Program 

I. Core Program 

The Ocean Drilling Program (ODP) is an international research program organized to explore 
the structure and history of the earth beneath the ocean basins. The focus of ODP is to provide 
core samples from the ocean basins, facilities for the study of these samples, and to provide 
downhole measurements (logging) and experiments to determine in situ conditions within the 
earth's crust. 

The major scientific themes addressed by ocean drilling, identified in the first Conference on 
Scientific Ocean Drilling (COSOD) report, include: 

• Processes of magma generation and crustal construction at ridges. What is the character 
and composition of the deep portion of the oceanic crust? 

• Configuration, chemistry, and dynamics of hydrothermal systems. What are the 

dimensions and characteristics of hydrothermal systems at ridge crests versus those on 
ridge flanks? How does overlying sediment cover, or the lack of it, affect these 
hydrothermal systems? 

• Early rifting history of passive continental margins. What is the shallow and deep 
structure of stretched and normal faulted margins versus those characterized by excessive 
volcanism? 

• Dynamics of forearc evolution. What are relative motion, deformation, and pore water 
characteristics of sediments at accreting and erosional margins? 

• Structure and volcanic history of island arcs. What are space and time relationships of 
forearc subduction, accretion, and erosion; and of backarc spreading, compression, and 
volcanism? 

• Response of marine sedimentation to fluctuations in sea level. Which stratigraphic 
sequences and intervenin unconformities represent fluctuations of sea level, and which 
represent vertical tectonic motion? What is the response of deep-sea sedimentation to 
fluctuations of sea level? 

• Sedimentation in oxygen-deficient oceans. What are the ocean circulation, paleoclimate, 

and potential hydrocarbon characteristics associated with black shale deposits? 

• Global mass balancing of sediments. What are best estimates of the world sediment mass 

and composition balances in space and time? 

• History of ocean circulation. How do patterns of ocean circulation respond to changing 
ocean boundaries, e.g., changing ocean size, the extent of shallow continental seas, and the 
opening and closing of oceanic passages? 



52 



• Patterns of evolution of microorganisms. How has the process of evolutionary change 
proceeded in marine organisms? 

• History of the earth's magnetic field. What is the nature of the magnetic field during a 

magnetic reversal? What is the detailed history of magnetic reversals and changes in the 
intensity of the magnetic field? 

A second COSOD meeting (COSOD II) to evaluate the progress of ODP to date and to make 
recommendations for scientific and technological objectives in the 1 990's is planned for 
Strasbourg, France, in July 1987. 

The ODP is funded by the U.S. National Science Foundation (NSF) and by partners which 
currently include Canada, France, the Federal Republic of Germany, Japan, the United Kingdom, 
and the European Science Foundation representing thirteen Western European countries. 
Support for general operation of the drillship JOIDES Resolution and related science services Is 
from comingled funds (U.S. plus international partner contributions) while direct support for 
U.S. scientists to participate in precruise planning, sea-going operations, and postcruise 
research is a national responsibility. The ODP is managed by Joint Oceanographic Institutions, 
inc. (JOI) as prime contractor to NSF. 

The overall direction of the program is established by the Joint Oceanic Institutions for Deep 
Earth Sampling (JOIDES) which provides planning and program advice with regard to scientific 
goals and objectives, facilities, scientific personnel, and operating procedures. The JOIDES 
Office provides support for the JOIDES Executive and Planning Committees and for the science 
advisory structure in general. 

Texas A&M University (TAMU) is the Science Operator for ODP and manages the operation of the 
drillship, including the planning and implementation of cruises. The Lamont-Doherty Geological 
Observatory (LDGO) manages the wire line logging operations for obtaining measurements in the 
drill holes. Sample and data banks are maintained by TAMU and LDGO for cores and downhole 
measurement collected by ODP. 

Research and planning activities that are directly related to specific drilling objectives or that 
are required to meet broad-based U.S. research community needs (national needs) are 
coordinated by the U.S. Science Advisory Committee (USSAC). These efforts include: (1) 
planning activities, including U.S. participation on JOIDES panels and regional or topical 
workshops; (2) recommendations for shipboard scientific participants, (3) syntheses of 
existing topical and regional data to meet defined drilling objectives, (4) development 
of downhole tools and instrumentation for general use in the drilling program, and (5) site 
specific surveys for safety or unique siting requirements on defined drilling legs. 

Regional geological and geophysical field studies required to develop drilling proposals and 
specialized downhole geophysical or geochemical experiments are supported by the ODP Program 
Office of NSF from unsolicited proposals. Based on the results of these studies, planning panels 
solicit future drill sites. Individual studies address the major problems outlined by the Marine 
Geology and Geophysics Program (i.e.. Structure and Evolution of Continental Margins; Tectonics 



53 



and Stucture of Mid-Ocean Ridges and Basins; Geochemical Evolution of the Oceanic Crust; 
Fluxes, Transport and Deposition of Marine Sediments; and the Geologic and Climatic History of 
the Oceans). The ODP field programs build on and complement the marine geology and geophysics 
field efforts and provide the data required for U.S. scientists to translate their research goals to 
specific drilling objectives. 

A number of different types of downhole studies are supported. These include the analysis and 
interpretation of the data from the ODP shipboard logging program; development and operation of 
instrumentation required for downhole experiments together with the analysis of the data; and 
feasibility studies of new general use downhole instruments or techniques. The results of the 
studies together with analyses of recovered geologic samples are crucial to converting the 
drillhole work to solutions to the scientific questions and problems. 



II. Critical Needs of the Core Program 

Borehole geochemical and geophysical measurements permit extrapolation of drillhole results 
well beyond the sides of the wellbore. Experiments such as oblique seismic reflection sounding, 
using a geophone clamped in the wellbore, give a picture of the regional lithology and structure 
for several tens of kilometers. Downhole sampling of formation water, especially in holes which 
penetrate the plumbing systems of hydrothermal regions, allows the measurement of the 
material balances within the oceanic crust. Downhole measurements of physical properties 
show the natural state of stress in the ocean floor and indicate the modes of response to that 
stress by fracture and flow. These measurements require the development of expensive 
instruments and their deployment in the drillhole. Because of the peculiar requirements for 
deployment in the drillhole (narrow diameter, high pressure, high temperature, etc.) these 
instruments must be substantially modified from more conventional instruments used in other 
studies. The costs of this enhancement are expected to be $1 .5M in FY 1989 increasing to 
$2.1MbyFY1996. 

Regional geological and geophysical field studies provide the fundamental information base for 
the formulation of drilling proposals. The U.S. effort in regional studies supplies the bare 
minimum of well-surveyed regions. The appropriate level is considerably higher. There should 
be two well-studied regional drilling targets for each drilling leg to insure that the drillship is 
used on the most important and interesting targets. The costs of these efforts are expected to be 
$2M in FY 1 989 with a 1 0% annual growth for the remaining life of the Ocean Drilling 
Program. Approximately half of these funds will be expended on ship time and half on scientific 
operations. 

Critical needs and initiatives in other ocean science programs are important to ODP. In order to 
ensure that samples are effectively used, ODP has a collaborating interest in the Marine Geology 
and Geophysics Program (MGG) enhancement for ODP sample analyses. Similarly MGG efforts 
in the Ocean Lithosphere Studies are important to ocean drilling objectives and represent 
opportunities to collaborate with nondrilling investigators. The Open Ocean Fluxes program is 
also important to ODP as it will demonstrate the relationship between the sedimentary record of 
the environment and environmental parameters which paleoceanographers are attempting to 
understand using ODP cores. These programs provide new insights into geological processes and 
problems which will develop into new drilling targets for ODP. Exchange of ideas between 
nondrilling and drilling science operates in both directions and benefits both. 

54 



The present capabilities of the dhllship, while impressive, are limited. The ship is not able to 
drill in any situation where uncontrollable flow might occur in the well bore. This limitation is 
due to the lacl< of a riser and well control system. The drillship was chosen because of its ability 
to support these systems, but they are not presently installed. The JOIDES planning structure 
has begun to investigate scientific opportunities presented by the addition of a marine riser and 
well control system. Initiation of engineering studies and equipment acquisition Is expected to 
require $1 .1 M in FY 1 989 and $2M In FY 1 990. In FY 1 991 , shipyard and material 
acquisition costs are estimated to be $10M. A riser drilling program starting In FY 1992 Is 
expected to have an Incremental cost over standard operations costs of $5M Initially Increasing 
to $6.2M by FY 1996. Because ODP costs are shared by the U.S. and the International partners, 
the U.S.-appropriated funds required for this initiative are approximately 55% of the total or 
$0.6M in FY 1 989; $1 .1 M in FY 1 990; $5.5M in FY 1 991 ; and $2.8M in FY 1 992, increasing 
to$3.4MinFY1996 



III. Funding Requirements 

Summary budgets for international operations, core programs for science support, and areas of 
critical need for future advances are included in Table E of Section IV. 



55 



F. Oceanographic Technology Programs 
Long-range Planning 



I. The Core Program 



The field of ocean science research is undergoing rapid evolution and advances in all of its 
component disciplines. In the past decade or so, our understanding of the seafloor and ocean 
basin geology has been transformed by discovery of and advances in tectonic theory. The 
discovery of unique vent communities at great depths has altered views and insights about 
deep-sea biology and has revolutionized studies concerning aspects of cell physiology and other 
biological phenomena. Our understanding of macro- and mesoscale ocean circulation processes 
has advanced to such a level that global perspectives can finally be developed, and our 
understanding of oceanic chemical fluxes and reaction mechanisms Is providing new tracers for 
biological and biochemical processes. 

Advanced technology plays an important role in contributing to the productivity and maturation 
of the ocean sciences. Introduction of critical new technologies to the field is a common theme in 
the study of global change and is central to the Global Ocean and Lithosphere initiatives. The core 
research programs and their enhancements need continued and expanded progress in 
instrumentation, facilities, data management, and new observing systems. The ocean sciences 
are at a point where new technologies must provide critically needed tools and techniques for the 
ocean science research programs to develop comprehensive understanding of global change. 

The multidisciplinary core program in oceanographic technology provides technical services, 
instrumentation, and facilities support to the ocean sciences. It is organized around two 
elements - oceanographic instrumentation and shipboard technical support. 

A. Oceanographic Instrumentation Program 

This core program provides support to institutions for the acquisition of shared-use scientific 
instrumentation to be placed in an equipment pool available to all users of the facility, be it a 
research vessel or shore based laboratory. Overall research support capability of the 
institution and its ability to make effective use of the requested instrumentation for conduct 
ing a number of NSF-sponsored research projects are main criteria for program support. 

Instrumentation acquired under this program may vary greatly; new capabilities for meeting 
research requirements have recently included acoustic doppler current profilers, seismic 
reflection systems, image analysis systems, and advanced shipboard computers. 

B. Shipboard Technician Support 

This core program provides technical assistance to users of the academic research vessel fleet. 
It includes at-sea maintenance and repair of shared-use scientific equipment, liaison between 
scientific staff and ship's crew, and shore-based maintenance, calibration, and scheduling of 
equipment. Because there is increasing collaborative and cooperative use of research vessels, an 
important role for the program is to provide guidance and assistance to visiting investigators 
from outside the ship-operating institution. 



56 



Management of this support program entails close interaction with the Ship Operations Program 
in following the numerous iterations of the research vessel operating schedules. Interactions 
with the technical support managers at the various institutions is also required to insure some 
uniformity among the services provided on different vessels. Interaction with the science 
support programs and the individual ship users is also required to evaluate and monitor the 
effectiveness of services provided. 

As the technical sophistication and complexity of sea-going systems increase, the requirements 
for technical support centers are also increasing. More and larger institutional centers are 
projected as part of the new Global Ocean and Lithosphere Studies initiatives. 



II. Critical Needs of the Core Program 

The most important of the critical needs under this program are in the areas of in situ and 
intelligent ocean sampling systems. 

A. In Situ Measurement Systems. Despite the fact that ship and manpower costs will 
continue to increase, ocean science can broaden the scope of data acquisition without major 
increases in costs if more effective measurement systems can be developed. Autonomous 
vehicles may be one solution; others include fast response profilers; large, highly instrumented 
towed arrays to increase the data acquired per ship-hour; and expendable instruments that may 
be deployed from ship or aircraft and telemeter data to central locations. As the trend in ocean 
measurements continues from small-scale, short-term to large-scale and long-term, better 
sensors will be necessary. Although diverse sensors exist, many require substantial power and 
are very delicate. If the requirement for long-term, unattended measurement is to be met, 
research must be directed towards improving existing sensors and the development of entirely 
new sensors and sensor systems with an emphasis on low power, high stability, robustness and 
reliability. Funding of $1 .5M in FY 1 989 growing to $3.1 M in FY 1 996 is required for this 
effort. 

B. Intelligent systems. Research in the field of "knowledge-based computing" has now 
evolved to the state that it is feasible to apply some fundamental artificial intelligence (Al) 
concepts to problems of ocean science. One can now consider programming "judgement" into 
instrument and vehicle systems. There is a need to establish a development effort for applying 
knowledge-based computing to ocean research. 

Current trends in ocean science require placing data acquisition systems in the ocean, 
unattended, for long periods of time. An Al control system designed to handle a wide range of 
unanticipated transient or steady state events could improve the quality of the data gathered. It 
could control sampling rates, dynamic range, parameters measured, sensitivity of 
measurement, etc. as well as handle any reliability problems associated with sensor or 
equipment failure. The data system could be designed to behave as if the best of human experts 
were onsite controlling the experiment. The addition of symbolic line-of-reasoning 
methodologies to well developed mathematical techniques could provide new concepts for 
instrumentation and measurement. 



57 



Remotely operated and robotic vehicles are candidates for ocean surveys, such as bathymetry and 
photo surveys, and the measurement of specific parameters in time and space. The robotic 
vehicle, almost by definition, will need the high degree of decision making capability that 
research submersibles now have in pilots and scientists. They could be capable of extended 
submerged operations following launch from shore or ship to home on any desired target. The 
same logic can apply equally to surface platforms. An unmanned surface platform would require 
the ability to make decisions about its environment as well as its current performance. It must 
be able to contend with a wide variety of circumstances during a long unattended term, and it 
must have the ability to manage and plan the function of its instruments in 
response to a changing environment. 

Funds required to meet these needs are $2M in FY 1 989 with an approximate doubling of this 
effort by FY 1 996 ($3.8M). 



III. Oceanographic Technology Component of the Global Program 

A pilot program in oceanographic technology development was initiated several years ago. It 
demonstrated that this component is essential to overall productivity of the ocean sciences, and it 
is a key component of the global program. During the next decade, continued advances in ocean 
sciences will be significantly influenced by introductions and further developments in at least 
four major technologies: satellite-based remote observing systems, ocean sample collecting 
systems, new ocean structures, and supercomputers. With the enhancements requested, these 
technologies will help meet the requirements of the major new global-scale ocean sciences 
initiatives. 

A. Remote Measurements: The prospect of synoptic measurements on global scales from 
satellite altimeters, scatterometers, and microwave radars has excited the ocean science 
community for some time. The Long-Range Plan for the Ocean Sciences depends upon an effective 
and "easy to access" program with satellites, such as NROSS and TOPEX. While much of the 
costly technology for satellites is appropriately being developed under the aegis of NASA, it is 
unlikely that NASA will develop technology to support the needs of effective networking, 
processing, and analysis of oceanographic data. Funds to meet these needs are included in the 
Global Ocean Studies initiatives. 

In addition to satellite measurements, but equally important, are remote measurements using 
techniques such as optic and acoustic sensors, autonomous vehicles, and deep ocean observing 
networks. Engineering and technical requirements of these systems for basic research purposes 
will fall entirely upon the ocean community. 

B. Sample Collecting Systems: In situ measurements of many ocean properties are 
possible and highly desirable, but there are many others that require laboratory analysis of 
samples collected at sea. Samples are required, not only to verify and calibrate remotely 
obtained in situ measurements, but also to describe features being studied. Many water, 
particulate, and biological sampling systems now in use must be operated blind, towed over 
poorly defined areas at the ends of long cables. Sampling systems that can better sense their 
environment and be selectively controlled for appropriate time and space scales need to be 
developed. Such systems could be tethered to ships by cable or integrated into autonomous 
vehicles or moored arrays. 

58 



C. Ocean Structures: Ability for long-term emplacement of instruments on the seafioor or 
tethering to the bottom by an anchor is increasingly needed by many ocean programs. Bottom 
landers are growing larger and more complex. There are still many areas of the deep ocean 
where mounting of such devices is impossible or risky because of high energy conditions in the 
near bottom and strong shears within the water column. New materials and ideas need to be 
developed and tested so that future ocean science programs may have reliable and long-lasting 
structures for mounting experiments, such as those required for the hydrothermal vents 
program in the Ocean Lithosphere initiative. 

D. Supercomputers: Ocean science investigators are increasingly accessing modern 
supercomputers. The FY 1985 NSF initiative to establish an ocean modeling facility at NCAR and 
to provide broad-band communications links is a vital first step. The field of Geophysical Fluid 
Dynamics (GFD) has made signal contributions to modeling and prediction of atmospheric 
behavior. Major inroads into critical issues concerning ocean circulation will similarly be 

made with the advent of new supercomputer capabilities. They will profoundly influence 
interactions between theory and observation in ocean physics. In this plan it is assumed that the 
supercomputing capability for ocean sciences will continue to expand as modeling needs of all of 
the sub-disciplines grow. Management in OCE will remain with the disciplinary programs, but 
Ocean Technology will continue to support basic hardware and communications equipment 
acquisition. 

It is increasingly apparent that ocean science investigations are highly dependent upon the 
availability of sophisticated and appropriate technology. To the future needs, outlined above, can 
be added the increasing need to access, on a broader scale, the remotest parts of the vast reaches 
of the ocean. Data gaps in such locations as the polar oceans, the Indian Ocean, the South Atlantic 
and Pacific Oceans, and deep ocean basins and trenches increasingly impede formulation of 
large-scale theories of ocean and earth phenomena. Cost-effective technology to access and 
sample these regions is lacking. Research and development focusing on expendable systems, 
air-launched systems, remote sensing systems, and intelligent mobile systems could help to 
meet research initiatives and enhancements discussed in the Long-Range Plan. 



IV. Funding Requirements 

Major growth in this program area is recommended as an essential part of the new global 
program. Support for advanced technology and systems is directly coupled to specific initiatives 
under this program. A summary budget for the core programs, areas of critical need, and the 
global studies is included in Table F of Section IV. 



59 



G. Ship Operations, Shipboard Scientific Equipment 

and Ship Construction/Conversion 

Long-Range Planning 

I. The Core Program 

The U.S. academic research fleet is supported through a joint effort of several Federal agencies. 
The National Science Foundation is the key agency among these and conducts a comprehensive 
program for support of ship operations, development and acquisition of shipboard scientific 
equipment, and ship construction/conversion. 

The Ship Operations Program provides funds for operation and maintenance of research vessels 
used in support of NSF-funded scientists. Ship Operations support Includes: crew and marine 
staff salaries; maintenance, overhaul, and repair; insurance; direct operating costs such as fuel, 
food, supplies, and pilot fees; shore facilities costs directly related to ship operation; and 
indirect costs. Ship Operations is an integral part of the core program. It supplies support for 
operation and maintenance of platforms essential to ocean-going research. NSF supports each 
year about 170 science projects requiring about 3,700 days at sea and about 40,000 scientist 
days on 25 ships. As a result, NSF supports about 70% of the total operating costs of the U.S. 
academic fleet. 

A modern and efficiently operated academic fleet is essential to field programs in the ocean 
sciences, both for the core ocean science programs and for the global program. This plan 
outlines the requirements for NSF to take the lead in equipping and assuring effective operation 
of the academic fleet. The plan identifies the NSF role in upgrading and modernizing a research 
fleet largely built during the 1960's and now requiring extended operational and scientific 
capabilities. This plan is based on a careful evaluation of this fleet, done with assistance from 
UNOLS and the National Academy of Sciences. 



II. Critical Needs of the Core Program 

The U.S. academic fleet has been the cornerstone of productivity in the ocean sciences. There are 
critical needs that require appropriate budget augmentations to maintain an effective and 
scientifically viable field science program in the ocean sciences. Two priority areas of the core 
program require special attention: (l)shlpboard scientific equipment and (2)upgrading and 
modernization of the academic fleet. 

A. Shipboard Scientific Equipment 

The Shipboard Scientific Equipment Program provides funds for ship equipment deemed 
essential to proper and safe conduct of ocean science research. This Program provides support 
for such items as deck equipment, including winch systems for deployment and retrieval of 
scientific instruments; navigational equipment, such as radars, gyroscopes, and earth satellite 
receivers to pinpoint the locations of research sites; communications equipment, including 
radio and satellite transceivers for voice and scientific data communications; and other 
equipment, such as motorized workboats for transporting scientists to and from their 
operations. 

60 



In recent years, the Shipboard Scientific Equipment Program has been responsible for 
significant improvements in the ability of academic fleet vessels to support research. Improved 
communications and navigation technology (such as INMARSAT and GPS, respectively) is being 
added to the fleet. Special emphasis has been placed on upgrading deck equipment (such as CTD 
winches and cranes) to handle the larger and increasingly massive instruments (such as rosette 
samplers and MOCNESS nets) which have come into wide use. This Program will continue these 
efforts in the near future and will coordinate them with modernization of onboard science 
laboratories and automation of data collection and analysis systems. Funding of $0.5M in 
FY1989 increasing to $1 .7M in FY1996 is required for this effort. 

B. Upgrading and Modernization of the Academic Fleet 

In 1970, almost 70% of the academic research fleet was composed of ships which had been 
converted to research vessels. By 1985, this percentage had been reduced to less than 20% by 
replacing older converted ships with ships designed from the keel up as research vessels. The 
Ship Construction/Conversion Program provides funds for new ship construction; for 
conversion of ships to research vessels, when appropriate; and for refitting existing research 
vessels. 

Since 1970, the National Science Foundation has funded construction of seven new research 
vessels -- Calanus, Iselin, Oceanus, Wecoma, Endeavor, Point Sur, and Cape Hatteras. 
Occasionally, it remains economically advantageous to replace an obsolete vessel with a 
conversion. A recent example was the NSF-supported conversion of an offshore supply vessel to 
become the R/V Sprout, replacing the aging R/V Scripps. Recent refittings have included the 
Alptia Helix (a new pilot house and modernized laboratories); the Iselin (interior spaces); and 
the Cape Henlopen and the Warfield (engine improvements). Funds required to meet these needs 
are $2.2 M in FY1989 with an increase to $3.1 M by FY1996. 



III. Research Vessels as Components of the Global Program 

The capabilities of the existing research fleet must be substantially improved during the next 
decade if forefront ocean science research is to be successfully pursued. The ships of the 
research fleet have been and will continue to be essential to this pursuit. However, present 
demands of science require new, more capable research ships to replace aging existing ships, 
especially the largest ones. All reviews of the academic research fleet demonstrate that by the 
1990's most present ships will be obsolete in terms of their capability to support the growing 
requirements of modern sea-going ocean science research. Better sea-keeping ability, higher 
performance, improved over-the-side handling arrangements, and modern, state-of-the-art 
shipboard laboratories are needed to meet these requirements. 

The trends and patterns of the basic ocean science disciplines demonstrate the critical nature of 
the needs for substantially improved ocean-going, more science-capable vessels and platforms. 



61 



Ship and Science Requirements 

The following summary of trends of future research is abstracted from a UNOLS report. The 
primary source documents for the research trends were the 1 982 Report of the NAS Ocean 
Sciences Board, Academic Research Vessels 1985-1990, and the 1985 NSF/OCE Long-Range 
Plan for Ocean Sciences, Emergence of a Unified Ocean Science. 



A. Physical Oceanography. Physical oceanography involves the study of mean and eddy 
fluxes of energy, heat, freshwater, chemicals, and gases horizontally and vertically throughout 
the oceans and exchanges at the ocean boundaries. In the coming decade, ships will remain the 
primary method of observing the oceans at high resolution by deploying, and, in some cases, 
recovering nontethered instruments. As research progresses, the instrumentation must become 
more sophisticated; this calls for state-of-the-art technology in cranes and winches, 
ship-to-shore communications, and shipboard computers. 

A few decades ago, it was standard practice to infer ocean motions and mixing from limited 
measurements of water temperature, salinity, and perhaps oxygen and nutrient content. Today, 
physical oceanographers are using a variety of new and developing instrumental techniques 
(floats, moored arrays, acoustics) for direct measurements over an increasing spectrum of time 
and space scales. Coupled to this are water column measurements which are expanding greatly in 
density and type, including the use of stable and unstable isotopes and natural and man-made 
tracers. These expanding and diversifying measurement requirements point clearly to the need 
for larger ships with more laboratory, deck, and berthing space; increased shipboard data 
acquisition, processing, and analysis capabilities; better equipped and cleaner laboratories; and 
larger complements of scientists and technicians. 

Physical oceanographic research complements chemical and biological studies. As the need 
increases for more interdisciplinary field work, so will the heavy demand for more laboratory 
space. 



B. Chemical Oceanography. Future chemical oceanographic programs may be considered 
under the broad categories of tracers of ocean processes, exchange and fluxes, and reaction 
mechanisms. 

Recent advances in laboratory analytical techniques enable a look at increasingly more stable 
trace elements and organic species that offer exciting possibilities as tracers of biological and 
biochemical processes. Oceanic distributions of many of these species are still largely unknown. 
An important aspect of these studies is the need for high density sampling and analyses in 
selected horizontal and vertical profiles. Many measurements are aliased because sampling 
frequency has been too sparse to represent the natural variability. The development of profiling 
tools and automated analytical techniques will be required for these studies. 

Distribution of chemicals in the ocean is central to understanding fluxes that are taking place at 
important ocean boundary regions and within the ocean's interior. The ability to assess the 
climatic record or implications of pollutant dispersion is dependent on a knowledge of materials 
exchanged at the air-sea interface. This calls for sampling locations uncontaminated by the 
vessel or nearby environment. 

62 



Another aspect involves chemical fluxes at the seafloor boundary. Understanding of 
seawater-crustal interactions has been greatly enchanced by the recent study of fluids issuing 
from hydrothermal vents in midocean ridge areas. Analyses of these fluids provide important 
information on the chemical compositions of exchanges between the fluid oceans and the solid 
earth underlying them. 

These studies require various experimental and sampling strategies, including in situ pumping 
and filtering, sediment trap deployment, in situ experiments on the ocean floor, and time-series 
sampling systems. 

fi/larine chemists in the 1990's will need to perform chemical measurements and sampling with 
greater resolution in space and time than is now possible. They will give more attention to 
short-lived, unstable, chemical species responsible for chemical dynamics in the ocean. They 
must be able to perform real-time chemical analyses at sea and conduct more experimental 
studies at sea. A great deal of chemical oceanography has used ships as sampling platforms and 
returned the samples to shore laboratories for analysis. However, important investigations of 
chemical speciation and transient chemicals frequently can not be accomplished on stored 
samples. Future marine chemical studies will require analytical and experimental facilities at 
sea that equal those on land. 



C. Marine Geology and Geophysics. Marine geoscience in the next decade will focus on: 

• Close-up investigations of seafloor features with 3-D imaging, detailed measurements and 

sampling with manned submersibles, deeply-towed vehicles, and remote deep-swimming 
devices; and 

• More powerful geophysical techniques for imaging the deep structure of the oceanic crust, 

margins, and lithosphere. 

This research will require use of research vessels designed specifically for studying seafloor 
geology. The specialized instrument systems and activities that most profoundly influence the 
designs are: 

• Large array multichannel seismic system: requires rigging for handling large air gun 
arrays and large, reinforced deck space aft to accommodate a 20-ton, 8-foot 

high, 15-foot wide streamer reel. The ability to tow multiple air gun arrays and/or 
streamers over a 50 to 100 meter thwartship span is important. The air guns require a 
minimum of four large capacity compressors that can develop pressures of >2,500 psi. 

• Deeply-towed acoustic imaging system: requires a winch capable of handling 25,000 feet 
of electro-mechanical cable. 

• Multibeam bathymetry: requires a "quiet" hull, sufficient beam to carry the 

hull-mounted hydrophone arrays, and, for some applications, a relatively high cruise 
speed (15 knots). 

• Submersible: One or more of the geological ships should be able to carry and launch a 

manned deep submersible (e.g., Alvin). 

63 



General station work: Launching dredges, cores, and instruments requires over-tlne-side 
frames and plenty of working deck space and clearance. Certain applications, such as 
bore-hole reentry, will require dynamic positioning. 



D, Biological Oceanography. Biological oceanographic research in the next decade will 
focus on defining the structure and processes of ecosystems on scales ranging from the 
microenvironment of an individual to basinwide biogeographic distributions of populations and 
communities. Emphasis will be on filling major voids in the knowledge of particular ocean 
regions and of important dynamical processes which, until now, have been difficult to approach 
because of inadequate ships, equipment, or techniques. 

Among these future study areas are: impact of mesoscale physical processes on biotic structure 
and dynamics and its seasonal varibility; high resolution, long time-series studies of upper 
ocean biological dynamics in a given hydrographic province and its interannual variability; 
deep-sea studies of resident fauna; and nutrient and particulate fluxes into and out of surface 
waters. 

The current trend of using microprocessor-automated equipment, expendable probes, and 
remote sensors (satellites, moorings, drifters) will accelerate. There will be an even greater 
need for clean, dry, stable spaces on ships for sophisticated analytical laboratory equipment. 
Work on board ships will be increasingly multidisciplinary and labor intensive, giving rise to a 
need for more laboratory and living accommodations for scientists and technicians. 



E. Ocean Engineering. Academic activities in ocean engineering in the coming decade are 
expected to fall into three categories: 

• Engineering to enhance ocean science; 

• Environmental studies to guide use of the oceans and to establish factors which control 
design of systems; and 

• Exploratory development of systems, devices, structures, and vehicles needed to use the 
ocean effectively. 

Development of engineering understanding requires ability to carry or to tow large devices to 
sea, deploy moorings and arrays of sensors, and make detailed observations both in the water 
column and on the seafloor. Some work may require special vehicles (e.g., manned spar buoy 
laboratories) but much should be done from well-designed large general purpose research 
ships, presuming they have the necessary handling gear, load carrying, and station keeping 
capabilities. 



64 



IV. Funding and Operations Requirements 

The preceding discussion leads directly to insight into requirements for ships of the future. We 
must have a mix which will include the ability to work far from normal operating bases, will 
accommodate large scientific parties for multidisciplinary work on site with collected 
materials, will support deep diving submersibles and unmanned seafloor work systems, and can 
support acoustic systems ranging from multichannel seismic to doppler profiling current 
meters. 

In recognition of these needs, UNOLS, with NSF and Navy support, examined the developing 
science mission requirements for new oceanographic ships and provided a plan for research 
vessel replacement and construction (UNOLS Fleet Replacement Committee Report, 1986). 
Conceptual designs of large ships to meet the research requirements of the next 20 to 30 years 
are included in that report. Table G.1 is a summary of the required construction schedule. 



TABLE G.I 
SHIP CONSTRUCTION SCHEDULE 



Time Frame 


Larq? 


Intermediate 


5m9ll 


1985-1989 


1GP 

1 GP+MCS 
Modernize 2* 






1990-1994 


1 GP+MCS 
1 GP+lce 




1 GP+lce 


1995-1999 




2GP 


1 GP 


2000-2004 


1 GP+Sub 


1 GP 


2GP 


2005-2009 


1 GP 


3GP 




2010-2014 


2GP* 




2GP 



Total 



* R/V MELVILLE and R/V KNORR 

GP = General purpose oceanographic research vessel 
MCS = Compressors for multichannel seismics capability 
Ice = Hull strengthened for ice capability 
Sub = Submersible handling capability 

65 



New large ships will be much more capable than their predecessors. They will be longer and 
wider. They will carry more scientists and have more laboratory space and scientific storage. 
They will be faster, with more efficient power plants and hulls, and their range and endurance 
will be longer. They will cost less to operate and significantly less per scientist day. Most 
importantly, they will allow scientific work in sea conditions that are beyond the capabilities of 
the present fleet. Table G.2 compares the present large-ship fleet with the new ships 
recommended in the UNOLS Report. 

TABLE G.2 
THE AVERAGE LARGE SHIP 



Number in Fleet 
Length Overall (ft.) 
Beam (ft.) 

Displacement (tons) 
Speed (knots) 
Range (nautical miles) 
Endurance (days) 
Crew 
Scientists 
Lab Space (sq.ft.) 
Deck Space (sq.ft.) 
Sci. Storage (cu.ft.) 
Days At Sea 
Operational Cost ($M) 
Daily Rate 
Scientist Days " 
Cost/Scientist Day 



Present 

7 

220 

41 

1,730 

10 

10,000 

40 

23 

23 

1,300 

2,000 

4,200 

270 

$2.8 

$10,370 

43,470 

$450 



Future 

8 

255 

56 

3,000 

15 

13,000 

53 

18 

28 (43w/vans) 

4,000 

5,000 

16,250 

270 

$2.6* 

$9,630 

75,600 

$275 



% Change 



+14 

+14 

+37 

+73 

+50 

+30 

+39 

-22 

+22(+87) 

+310 

+250 

+387 



-7 

-7 

+174 

-39 



* Assumptions: Constant Dollars; 

Crew decreases by 22 %; 

Fuel decreases by 15 % (efficient engines and hull); 

Supplies increase by 20 % (in proportion to people); and 

Other costs remain unchanged. 

23 Scientists per day now; 35 in the future. 



Six of the seven large ships in the present academic fleet were built and are owned by the U.S. 
Navy - Conrad, Thompson, Washington, Knorr, Melville, and Moana Wave. Present Navy plans 
for the late 1980's call for construction of two new large ships for academic research plus 
modernization of the Knorr and Melville. If realized, these plans should meet the UNOLS 
construction schedule for 1985-1989 and provide the research platforms needed for the late 
1980's as the Global Ocean Studies and Ocean Lithosphere Studies initiatives are ramping up. The 
Navy has no plans for additional construction of academic research vessels beyond 1 990. 



66 



The complementary NSF plan calls for engineering designs leading to construction of two large 
ships plus a smaller, ice-strengthened ship in the period 1990-94. The combination of Navy and 
NSF plans will result in construction of one small, ice-capable and four large ships between 1 988 
and 1995, and modernization of two others. 

The UNOLS report provides estimates for new ship construction costs. This is summarized in 
Figure G.I which shows that $98M in inflated dollars will be needed for the three NSF-planned 
ships in the 1990-94 time period. An additional $50M will be required in 1995-96 to address 
the late 1990's requirements to continue with a fully capable modern fleet. These funds will 
support two additional smaller ships for delivery in 1996 and 1997. Specific planning for these 
needs has not yet been completed. The UNOLS Fleet Improvement Committee will begin to examine 
these needs in 1987. 

To meet the 1990's requirements for fully implemented Global Ocean and Lithosphere programs, 
the core academic fleet must be augmented with additional ships beyond the identified Navy and NSF 
replacement and modernization plans. The existing academic research fleet evolved to its present 
size based upon core program requirements. The existing research ships, coupled with the more 
capable and effective new construction/replacement ships, can absorb some of the increased field 
program requirements but clearly cannot meet all of them. 

Analysis of the "at sea" science requirements in the 1990's (Table G.3) shows a shortfall of 
available research ship time, including the new construction, of 2.5 ship-years in 1989 
increasing to 8.5 ship-years by 1991 and remaining at about 10.0 ship-years of time to 1996. 

Several complementary activities and programs are planned to provide the facilities needed by 
these science programs. These include consideration of: 

• Use of long-term commercial charters for multichannel seismic capabilities needed by the 

Ocean Lithosphere Studies; 

• Increased use of research ships provided by international partners/collaborators in 

Global Ocean Studies; 

• Incorporation of new institution-owned research ships in the core academic fleet; 

• Development of cooperative-use arrangements with other Federal agencies which operate 

research ships; and 

• Additional commercial charters for specific science project needs on a short-term basis. 



67 



Summary Table G.3 For Science Requirements 

1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 



Ship and Equipment Funds 


27.2 


29.4 28.1 31.2 


37.6 


50.6 62.6 


74.7 


86.1 


94.7 


103.2 


110.8 


119 


Ship Years Needed 


15.2 


16.5 15.7 17.5 


19 


23.5 27.8 


31.5 


34.2 


35.2 


35.6 


35.2 


34.6 


Ship Years Available 


19 


20 20 20 


20 


21 22 


23 


24 


24 


25 


25 


26 



Surplus/Shortfall In Ship Years 3.8 3.5 4.3 2.5 1 -2.5 -5.8 -8.5 -10.2 -11.2 -10.6 -10.2 



-8.6 



In summary, to meet long-term oceanographic science needs, it is essential to implement during 
the 1990's a balanced program of new research ship construction and expanded international, 
interagency, institutional, and commercial charter arrangements. Funding requirements are 
presented in Table G of Section IV. 



68 





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